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Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ChicagoDave on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:03AM (#29921444)
I have 3 college-aged kids and one nearly there. Their universal concern is the cost. It has become prohibitive.

Colleges assumed the trend of charging $25k to $50k per year would be sustainable. They were dead wrong, especially given the horrendously predatory loans backed by the government and barred from bankruptcy.

If we fix the college financial system, enrollment would likely skyrocket.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bagacrap on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:29AM (#29921765)
The loans are exactly why the colleges were able to continue jacking up the prices. As with homes, people will pay as much as institutions are willing to loan them. In both cases the currently low interest rates allow the loan principal to be much higher (given that folks calculate cost based on recurring payments). If you remove the student loan system then tuition would become cheaper. However that does unfairly impact those from economically disadvantaged households.

Also, in-state tuition for state schools is much less than $50k/yr so try going to Cal and/or your best local public school and supplement with self teaching (e.g. via public/free lectures from MIT)? The self directed learning/motivation is the hard part for many people of that age, but few have said living frugally should or would be easy.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by HWR_14 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:04AM (#29922212)
It's not just loans, it's COVID.

If I were college-age and I were planning on going to college I would certainly do one of two things. I would postpone college until the COVID issues died down -or- I would use the fewer applicants to get into a more prestigious school banking on a better 3 year experience (out of 4) starting in the fall of 2022 and more impressive degree going forward. Either way, I can imagine admittance numbers falling off.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by DebtDeflation on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:33AM (#29922723)
Tend to agree. I did my Masters degree (pre-Covid) as part of a predominantly online program at a large university. It worked out well, but I cannot even begin to imagine doing an undergraduate program remotely and missing out on the campus experience. There's much more to "going off to college" than taking classes, and I fully understand why 18-22 year olds would not want to shell out tens of thousands of dollars to miss the bulk of that experience.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by MikeTheRocker on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:53AM (#29923090)
I'm currently about 2/3 through an online Master's degree: Georgia Tech OMSCS. Same as you?

For me it's been a drastically different experience compared to my in-person undergrad. Whereas my Bachelor's degree was full of camaraderie and formative life experiences, my Master's has been more or less bereft of social or personal growth and focused entirely on course material. This is okay for me since my primary goal is to develop a deeper technical background, but I would not recommend such an experience for your average 18 year old kid who is about to start their first university experience.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by FredPret on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:57PM (#29925951)
Agreed. About 50% of the value I got out of uni was outside the classroom. Though now I’m good to take online courses as I’m looking for skills, not personal transformation
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by 0xdky on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:08PM (#29923343)
I hope there will be student towns with mostly students taking online courses for the camaraderie and learning by helping out each other.

Apart from the labs, I do not see a reason to go to college to learn.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by brendoelfrendo on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:29PM (#29925526)
> I hope there will be student towns with mostly students taking online courses for the camaraderie and learning by helping out each other.

You just described a campus.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by archy_ on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:06PM (#29923299)
This makes a lot of sense. I took a couple online classes when I was in college, and despite my efforts, I definitely didn't learn as much as I would have otherwise. THere's something about someone telling you something in person that makes it easier for my brain to absorb, even if it's in a giant lecture hall and you don't go to office hours. I can recall accounting principles (taken in person) far better than material from my project management class (taken online). I took the former for an easy minor and never use what I learned, but the latter has proven much more important in my career, yet I managed to forget it all.

And my online classes were explicitly taken online, with professors who had done online stuff before, not hastily moved online in the midst of a pandemic. Knowing how computer-averse some of my professors were, I can only imagine the transition to online was rough, and I bet I'd be scared away from online classes in college if I had to go through high school like that, even if I got a full ride.

And, as others have said, going to college isn't just for the degree. Yes, that's a big part of it (the expensive piece of paper at the end), but just being able to be away from your parents really helps you grow up and become independent.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by AlanSE on Thursday January 13, 2022 @04:12PM (#29926928)
> And my online classes were explicitly taken online, with professors who had done online stuff before, not hastily moved online in the midst of a pandemic. Knowing how computer-averse some of my professors were, I can only imagine the transition to online was rough, and I bet I'd be scared away from online classes in college if I had to go through high school like that, even if I got a full ride.

Universities are moving into a new space by taking so much online, and people will realize that some institutions are better at this than others. MOOCs can be done well, but it is largely not those traditional institutions that will be doing that.

I'm very interested to see if some education disruptors come out of this time.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by merolish on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:29AM (#29922614)
I do applicant interviews for my alma mater (MIT). The number of students applying has skyrocketed, and it sounds like it's the same for peer schools.

https://thetech.com/2021/03/18/regular-admissions-2025

Tuition has doubled since I went there, but at least they can afford good financial aid for those who can get in.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by wayoutthere on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:22PM (#29923580)
Yeah I suspect people have wised up to the fact that the alumni base of a program matters more than pretty much anything else. So unless you’re at a prestige program at a prestige school, college probably isn’t going to pay off as well. Thus the piling in to elite universities while overall enrollment drops off.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by magicloop on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:29PM (#29924593)
You've hit the nail on the head here.

Education is primarily a prestige product. Secondarily, the social and alumni effects of the network around you when you attend. Thirdly, it is the college campus experience. Fourthly, it is what you actually learn.

If you just price the value of each of these four pieces, the dynamic in the market is completely explained. Community college still provides learning, but not much on the other three factors. That is, it has become poor value for the fees it charges despite them being lower in absolute terms than prestige schools.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by wayoutthere on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:00PM (#29926002)
The prestige is all that matters. It’s really the only chance someone has to achieve class mobility; i.e. a kid from the working class might get into an Ivy League prestige program and rub elbows with the children of rich and powerful people, thus getting access to that network.

But if you’re going to a second-tier state university I really wonder if any of those students are getting a positive payback.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryanhuff on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:54PM (#29926700)
Prestigious schools are seeing record numbers of applications, and record low in acceptance rates. If there is a hit in college attendance, its not happening at the top of the food chain.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by causalmodels on Thursday January 13, 2022 @05:31PM (#29927883)
True, but prestigious schools are playing games. For example, my alma mater is currently waiving the application fee for students they know will not get in simply so they can reject them. It is incredibly fucked up.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by elefanten on Thursday January 13, 2022 @09:01PM (#29929742)
Why? To juice application numbers?

Couldnt it just be wanting to waive fees for those it would help? How are they supposed to only waive fees for those who have a shot at getting in?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by causalmodels on Wednesday January 19, 2022 @01:18AM (#29990588)
Yes to juice application numbers. Acceptance rate is something heavily considered by the AP in college rankings.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by eduhec4teawayyy on Thursday January 13, 2022 @08:06PM (#29929305)
Sadly, the ship has sailed on that one. Apparently college applications have been unusually cutthroat this year.

The problem is, the pandemic has been in full swing for the past two application seasons, and you can only take so many gap years.

There is a large backlog of very talented students. It's not a good time to be an applicant.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by HWR_14 on Friday January 14, 2022 @11:27AM (#29936496)
I suppose a lot of people opted for a gap year in the 2021-2022 school year for the same reason, and they're applying now.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by treis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:48AM (#29922999)
>. I would postpone college until the COVID issues died down

What would you do instead?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by dgfitz on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:05PM (#29923273)
Work. Save money.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by VikingCoder on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:18AM (#29922440)
Here's what I don't get -

Where the hell is the money _going_?

Are Colleges and Universities pocketing the money? Are they publicly traded and distributing dividends? Are they building rockets?

I know some of it goes back to financial aid, and some goes to football coaches...

But we're talking about so much freaking money, and I just can't visualize where it's going.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by _jal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922664)
Salary of full-time faculty at American colleges and universities:

1970-71: $81,798

2018-19: $88,703

Mean salary of American college and university presidents in 1983: $160,640 (2018 dollars).

Median compensation of private college and university presidents in 2018: $668,000.

Median compensation of public college and university presidents in 2019: $495,808

More, and primary source links:

https://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2021/03/university-admi...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by arrosenberg on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:39PM (#29923853)
Now add the Athletics programs to that and you have a pretty good idea of the issue.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by nfw2 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @06:42PM (#29928616)
The marquee athletic programs (football and sometimes basketball) generally are cash-positive.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by worstestes on Saturday January 15, 2022 @11:02AM (#29947368)
Source?
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by the_jeremy on Sunday January 16, 2022 @07:04PM (#29961814)
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sosuke on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:18PM (#29923490)
nvm
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by _jal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:32PM (#29923751)
The post declares near the top:

"ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED INTO CONSTANT 2018 OR 2019 DOLLARS."

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sosuke on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:16PM (#29924415)
Yup, I didn't look at your source only what information you posted. The "(2018 dollars)" on only one line implied to me the other numbers were unadjusted.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lthornberry on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:47AM (#29922994)
Two biggest drivers are 1) massive declines in public support (for public universities, obviously) and 2) more administrators.

Much of the growth in administration is driven by a significant rise in the costs to comply with federal regulation. Those regulations are not bad--it's the cost of complying with things like disability laws, Title IX, etc--but they require collecting and reporting significant amounts of data, and that isn't free.

There's other stuff too; some colleges do have the lazy rivers and fancy dorms, many colleges lose money on their football program, etc. But those aren't the fundamental drivers.

By the way, in case anyone is wondering, the money is definitely NOT going to faculty salaries. Salaries for full-time faculty have been stagnant for decades even though an increasing percentage of classes are taught by poorly-paid adjuncts.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ativzzz on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:13PM (#29923404)
> Much of the growth in administration is driven by a significant rise in the costs to comply with federal regulation. Those regulations are not bad

Similar things happen in healthcare. My SO works in pharma and the amount of red tape they are required to navigate significantly increases the complexity of their administrative work and decreases the cost-efficiency of their business, partially passing on the costs to the price of drugs.

Again, like you said, the regulations are not bad (like regulating the types of communication they can have with doctors), but there is a price to pay to keep them.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by whimsicalism on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:16PM (#29923474)
Also, prices aren't visible before hand, so it is more difficult for price competition to work.

Also, medical profession trade unions/cartels (aka AMA) constricting the labor market for medical work.

These things probably could actually be resolved by governmental regulation.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ativzzz on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:32PM (#29923758)
> These things probably could actually be resolved by governmental regulation.

They could, but I wonder if it would actually improve the state of things. We would then need to increase the size of the bureaucracy (in the government and in each institution that does any of these things) to meet these regulations, and given that a bureaucracy becomes less efficient with size it may not actually make things any cheaper.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by whimsicalism on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:12PM (#29924342)
No, I think public prices would definitely make things cheaper. It would also incentivize keeping bureaucracy lean, there is little to no price incentive to do so now.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by connorgreenwell on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:24AM (#29922524)
Armies of administrators, shiny new amenities to attract more students (competing on quality of education is too difficult / more expensive). There's probably some good that it goes towards too, but its hard not to be cynical about it.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by vgeek on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:53AM (#29923092)
I was a one of two developers at a small relatively unknown private college (costs over $70k and wasn't even top 5 in this state) in a communications (see: marketing B team for admissions, mostly PR and crisis response) department of around 15. I cannot emphasize how inept and slow everyone was. Simple tasks took 10x longer than they should. There were 3-4 people dedicated solely to managing contractors for the bi-annual magazine that likely gets tossed by 90% of the recipients, then people whose sole job was to manage an ad agency in a committee with at least 4 other people. They were in the 6 month process of launching a 5 page WP site for the newly funded careers institute that had ~15 employees to try and help graduates find jobs paying more than $15/hr with their newly minted liberal arts degrees when I finally left. Their solution for making soon/new graduates more employable? Linkedin courses for specific skills like digital marketing, Excel and microcertificates through external resources.

Then there are other leaks, like $50k/yr hosting bills for a CMS serving under 200k pageviews per day, or other ancillary a11y compliance tools that cost nearly as much. If there is budget, it has to be spent.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by FredPret on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:19PM (#29926257)
In the past, people with sinecures could just go home and spend their time painting or composing poetry or inventing scientific disciplines or something else not-entirely-useless. Now they’re managing contractors by committee! How soul-deadening.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by travisgriggs on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:37AM (#29922810)
Pournelle's iron law of bureaucracy at play again.

At this point, my feeling is that the local maximumizations that have driven us to this point are irrecoverable. There is no “fixing” this system. It will carry on for a while yet out of momentum, but something disruptive will dethrone it eventually.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by zeppelin101 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:26AM (#29922570)
A lot of it is going to the administrative staff. They have massive departments, many buildings, and many unnecessary staff members with high salaries. Meanwhile, a lot of the teaching faculty is making a pittance.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by simplestats on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:52AM (#29923060)
Buildings are traditionally paid for by a benefactor who gets their name on it. And the school often ends up with higher costs as a result (and one less parking lot or green area). Such donors are kind of a mixed bag.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by giaour on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:39AM (#29922851)
Some percentage of tuition dollars are effectively cross subsidizing other students (e.g., masters candidates subsidize PhD students, wealthier undergraduates subsidize other undergraduates receiving institutional grants or discounts, etc.), but the biggest factor in private education has to be the increase in administrative staff and facilities.

The one place is almost certainly not going its faculty salaries. The industry's shift to adjuncts has been great for university endowments but terrible for those who got their PhD in the last couple decades

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by roody15 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:22AM (#29922504)
It is indeed interesting. Most major universities look to maximize adjunct faculty and honestly new professors make much less than you think.

My point is I don’t think the money is going to university teaching staff at least…

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ejb999 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922665)
Can't speak of all schools, but at my local state school (which I attended) - which as far as sports teams is way down on the list of being considered important (i.e. you'll never see them on TV), they constantly bringing in coaches making $1M/year, who then hire a bunch of assistant coaches making $200K a year etc - and then when the teams don't do well - like losing 80% of their games - they fire the coaches (paying out the rest of their contracts) and hire the next million dollar coaches, rinse and repeat - and this is at a state-run school; I would imagine at private schools with top tier teams, its even worse.

There is so many overspending problems its not even funny - and yet the people actually teaching the classes are TA's, probably getting $20K/year, while the professors work on their 'research' and are rarely available to students.

Starting to think the whole higher-education model is hopelessly broken.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryathal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:51AM (#29923052)
Sports are generally separate from the rest of the university budget. It's not tuition dollars that are paying the coach, it's season tickets, TV contracts, and donors. Men's football/basketball makes obscene money for the big schools, and the little schools get paid to be beat up by the big schools. The reports that sports don't make money are like how movies don't make money, it's largely creative accounting not actual losses.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by larkost on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:56PM (#29924112)
Hollywood accounting only works because the producers are taking the profits out by spending the money on outside firms that they get a piece of. That does not work in college sports: they are just plain losing money... except for the coaches and he staff who are making it hand over foot (even on the small schools with horrible records).

The vast majority of college sports programs in the U.S. are losing a lot of money for the school. They are operating at a detriment to the school's main goal of learning.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryathal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:37PM (#29924704)
They "lose" money because they offer more than men's basketball and football. Those two sports finance everything else, it's easy to document millions in losses for swimming, soccer, track, field, baseball, softball, tennis, golf, and everything else.

Also a Universities goal of learning is research, not teaching, especially not undergrad teaching.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by AlanSE on Thursday January 13, 2022 @04:57PM (#29927459)
This has always seemed like a weird defense of college sports to me, because college swimming, soccer, etc. are still an elite cadre of extremely physically fit young people.

Maintaining physical health is huge, but the demographic that needs to be targeted is lower performance level that club sports. Even THOSE are quite competitive. Even the (very fit) people who participate often cease physical activity and healthy eating soon after graduation.

On the other hand, subsidizing college gym facilities does tend to reach most of the student body. Required athletics classes is even more effective and pays long-term dividends (if they haven't been canceled due to COVID by now). But even more-so than that, consistent physical activity for grade school and high school would be even better from a whole society perspective.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by nyolfen on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:49AM (#29923016)
this is a conscious calculation to attract alumni donations — people who are into their college teams donate more than others, and even more when the teams do well
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by DebtDeflation on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:39AM (#29922841)
It's going to the facilities and the staff needed to support them.

When I was an undergrad in the mid 1990s, the dorms were square rooms with cinderblock walls, concrete floors, metal frame beds, and a simple desk, the cafeteria was like an oversized high school cafeteria, and the gym was a basic weight room. A couple of years ago I received a brochure from my alma mater asking for donations and showing the modernized campus - the dorms were now luxury apartments, the cafeteria was a gourmet eatery, and the gym looked like a Lifetime.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by kevstev on Thursday January 13, 2022 @08:01PM (#29929255)
Room and board is entirely separate from tuition though. That said, when I was leaving college in 2002 it was essentially a giant construction zone as they were building facilities all over the place. This was not unique- there was something of an arms race to make the glossy brochures even better than the competition. This was a large state school with a good but not really elite reputation and was trying to change that.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by logicalmonster on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:05PM (#29923278)
> But we're talking about so much freaking money, and I just can't visualize where it's going.

I'd bet a lot of it comes down to how modern values are implemented.

Being kind and embracing meritocracy should be completely free.

But adding a department of "Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion" isn't.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bargle0 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:50AM (#29923028)
Administration salaries and buildings. Just because that new building cost $200M, it doesn’t mean the guy’s name who’s on it donated all of that.

Where football coaches have very large salaries (EDIT: compared to peer schools), those salaries are paid by athletic department revenue and boosters.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by rdtwo on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:43PM (#29923898)
The guy probably did donate all of that but keeping these buildings open running and maintained with university maintenance workers is expensive as heck
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:32AM (#29922691)
A college charging $50k/year does not mean it actually gets $50k/year from said student. The amount paid is often much less than the sticker price.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by rdtsc on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:33PM (#29923770)
> Are Colleges and Universities pocketing the money?

They are. Why wouldn't they? Kids and parents can get massive loans from the government, it would be silly for universities and all their admin staff to pass up the opportunity to enrich themselves.

Universities have started to compete on which ones have more gyms, clubs, luxury dorms, various interest groups. Well, the basket weaving club needs an instructor, a secretary, a janitor, a new facility, a maintenance person for it etc. Some of them may be friends and cousins of the existing administrators, but you're not supposed to notice that too much.

I couldn't stop laughing when I visited my alma mater, a decade later and seeing how they had build a brand new gym with a huge lazy river around it. In my head I could hear the enthusiastic tour guide "Your child can type their homework while floating around in a lazy river, isn't that great!". But then, of course, I realized that it was my tuition that has paid for the lazy river.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by scarecrowbob on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:25AM (#29922551)
The answer I get from my friends in the higher ed business are that the costs are covering decreased investment by state level government in colleges and universities.

On one hand, I am not sure I agree. My son is going to the same state university I went to, and it's substantial more expensive, but they 've also built a ton of infrastructure that I find questionable.

On the other hand, I don't really have data and when I look for it I find articles like https://www.cbpp.org/research/state-budget-and-tax/state-hig... :

"Deep state cuts in funding for higher education over the last decade have contributed to rapid, significant tuition increases and pushed more of the costs of college to students, making it harder for them to enroll and graduate."

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by saltminer on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:22PM (#29923577)
I feel like it's a bit of a Pandora's box. Once the student loan box got opened and administrators began to realize the incentives at play (for the lenders, e.g. most student loans cannot be discharged in bankruptcy), they saw dollar signs. It's easy to justify tuition hikes when you know most of your students are already taking out loans which they'll basically always get. And since each student is usually only there for about four years, the increases while they're there don't seem significant because their frame of reference is so small. And even if they do realize the highway robbery taking place, what are they gonna do, transfer half their credits to somewhere cheaper and spend even more time in school to finish their degree?
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by xienze on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:14PM (#29923420)
> The answer I get from my friends in the higher ed business are that the costs are covering decreased investment by state level government in colleges and universities.

I’d take that with a big grain of salt. They love to play up this angle but I just don’t see where funding has been cut at the same rate as tuition has increased.

I remember back when I was in school, one year the state government asked for some belt-tightening, to the tune of a 2% budget cut. Y’know, asking the school to go back to the budget they had like two years prior. The admin started going nuclear, “there’s no fat in our budget, these cuts will go straight to the bone!”, saying they’d have to cut the entire music department, 10% of all class sections, etc. Even got the students riled up enough to march on the capitol building. Even at the time, being significantly less jaded than I am now, I knew this was complete BS. Ever since I’ve been very wary of this narrative that colleges are driving up tuition because of state budget cuts. And it didn’t help shake my belief when I went back to campus a few years later and saw that they did a complete renovation of the library to include multiple gaming kiosks (!) and other such creature comforts.

Simply put, the schools can basically charge whatever they want and students will pay because any 18 year old with a pulse will get approved for unlimited money so long as it goes toward college. Put limits on student loans and you’ll see the situation change quickly.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by seibelj on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:39PM (#29923847)
On a related note - who in their right mind thinks donating to their college is a good decision? I don't understand why rich people keep donating buildings rather than donating parks to their communities. When I begin to donate money for serious, colleges are getting exactly $0. The money will go to places and people that actually need it.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by pbhjpbhj on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:01PM (#29924193)
When you have an organisation full of people creating worth that you can cream off, you've bought a few houses, yacht, fast cars. You get to a point where you realise you're not leaving anything of value behind and think "if I pay for a university building then I've created a legacy of education for generations to come".

TL;DR it's like a shiny name plaque for billionaires.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by seibelj on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:11PM (#29924327)
I get it - and I agree with the reasoning - but I want to leave a shiny new park with my name on the plaque, not a building in an overpriced university.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by chii on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:55PM (#29930718)
Very few people would see the park compared to the University building.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by seibelj on Friday January 14, 2022 @10:10AM (#29935366)
I disagree - more people would see and use the park. The building is for a rarified group.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by manquer on Friday January 14, 2022 @02:33PM (#29939207)
Depends on whose respect you value more. The average park goer or the people who work/study at the University.

Also such donations kind of guarantee your kids will get into the university, so some additional perks are there too

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by samsolomon on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:16PM (#29923458)
FWIW, major college football programs are usually net positive for the school. In some cases they subsidize the other athletic programs.

https://247sports.com/LongFormArticle/Ranking-college-footba...

As far as where it goes, I think a ton goes into new buildings and amenities. I went to Auburn a decade ago and the campus looks completely different. Everything is new and shiny. I assume there are also a ton of administrators.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by throw_nbvc1234 on Friday January 14, 2022 @07:00AM (#29933425)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_colleges_and_universit... is certainly one destination.

I remember when my public college was banned from starting new building projects due to state wide budget restrictions. The year the ban was lifted, half a dozen projects immediately kicked off.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by seltzered_ on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:25AM (#29922548)
I don't necessarily agree with SSC, but he dived a bit into this as 'cost disease' years ago: https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/02/09/considerations-on-cost...
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by honkycat on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:09PM (#29923357)
Endowments. They are lining their pockets with it. A lot of Unis are becoming investment firms that happen to supplement their income with a school attached to them.

Sports team boondoggles are a popular way to spend tuition money.

Administrative salary and staffing bloat.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by fnord77 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:06PM (#29923292)
there's been a proliferation of administrators in colleges. the ratio of administrators to professors/instructors has been steadily climbing since the 70s.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by jmrm on Thursday January 13, 2022 @05:33PM (#29927897)
Adding to all the other comments: Universities in the US are profit companies that pay taxes like if they were charity NGOs
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by VampireWillow on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:17AM (#29922423)
Here in Canada the government simply dictates to universities how much they can charge. It seems beyond insane to me to do it any other way, seeing as our entire societies are dependent on getting enough people educated to perpetuate a service economy.

To be fair, this kind of means that universities should be completely public. And although they are for all intents and purposes, in theory they are still non-governmental entities. And that's strange as well.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by mywittyname on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:51AM (#29923046)
The department of education in the USA kind of does that too. The amount of government-backed loans a student can receive for undergrad is capped at ~$35,000 (it's unlimited for graduate school). It's also graduated, so a freshman can only receive ~$4,000 their first year, and it goes up from there. Grants are given to freshman to cover the shortfall. Also, students/parents are expected to contribute, based on household income.

Most public state schools keep their pricing in line with these caps ($35k in loans + ~$5k in grants). I just picked on Iowa because, and here's a list I found:

https://www.universityreview.org/iowa-colleges/

You'll notice that in-state tuition for all public state schools is around $8k a year. Here's the same for Tennessee:

https://www.universityreview.org/tennessee-colleges/

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Sohcahtoa82 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:42PM (#29926549)
> The amount of government-backed loans a student can receive for undergrad is capped at ~$35,000 (it's unlimited for graduate school). It's also graduated, so a freshman can only receive ~$4,000 their first year, and it goes up from there.

I believe this only applies to the subsidized federal student loans that don't collect interest while you're in school. The limit on unsubsidized federal loans that start collecting interest right away is much higher.

When I started college in 2009, I got $9,000 in federal student loans for my freshman year.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by mywittyname on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:59PM (#29926758)
https://studentaid.gov/understand-aid/types/loans/subsidized...

Perhaps you were classified as a independent student?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Sohcahtoa82 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @06:28PM (#29928480)
I was independent, for sure. I was 29 and living in my own apartment when I started college.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by chasd00 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:51AM (#29923040)
with federally backed student loans the US government has told universities here they can charge as much as they want.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lumost on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:00AM (#29922170)
Would it really penalize disadvantaged households? I’d imagine that many such students lack a co-signer for these predatory loans, or would be further disadvantaged by a 200k degree that doesn’t meaningfully change their economic outcomes in 2022. To make college work you need to pick a dwindling number of high leverage disciplines such as CS, even picking something technical like Chemistry won’t yield a return on a 200k degree.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by namelessoracle on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:29PM (#29923689)
From what i hear you need at least a Masters degree in Chemistry to get lab assistant style jobs at entry level now :(

And no, they do NOT make good money.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by yxwvut on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:13AM (#29922357)
I think the only tenable solutions are 1) a ceiling on the loan amount tethered to public college costs to increase price elasticity and prevent runaway costs, along with a quota on loans to address the 'future ability to repay' issue with many majors/low caliber schools 2) free public college (or equivalent private college voucher)

Giving out loans with no cap on how much schools can charge and with no ability-to-repay check is a recipe for catastrophe.

I think option 2 is the best equitable outcome but is probably politically unsavory given the heterogeneity in public school costs/quality across states (which typically aligns with political divides).

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lotsofpulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:29AM (#29922618)
Option 2 is the only tenable solution. Option 1 is just more of the same we have now.

Either society puts their money where their mouth is and actually pays for people to be educated, or they can choose to keep taxes lower and let people fend for themselves. Either of these options is fine, but the bullshit blank check taxpayer funded loans non dischargeable in bankruptcy is only good for politicians and taxpayers today at the expense of taxpayers and members of society tomorrow.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lumost on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:54AM (#29923101)
The pertinent question of where the money goes needs an answer. Afaict universities are simply spending money on more things because they can or taking on debt to drive prestige projects.

We know college can be cheaper, Brigham young goes for 5k/yr, European and Canadian schools still charge less than 10k/yr.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lotsofpulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:16PM (#29923461)
The answer would be investigated and evident if proper underwriting had to be done and there was not an unlimited guarantee from future taxpayers to make good on the debt.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by selimthegrim on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:17PM (#29923484)
Brigham and Women’s will be delighted to know they acquired a university. Didn’t know they turned Mormon though.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lumost on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:32PM (#29923744)
Oof updated, should be Brigham young
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryan93 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:36PM (#29923815)
What do you mean educated. Like 80% of degrees are useless. My Econ degree is a primary example of useless degrees.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by honkycat on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:22PM (#29923583)
> The loans are exactly why the colleges were able to continue jacking up the prices.

This is partly true. The US also DID use to subsidize more University tuition.

However: Agreed. The loans are dumb. They feed into the issue in exactly the way you describe. They should be interest free as long as you are making regular payments.[1]

> Also, in-state tuition for state schools is much less...

This is so thorny... I have a younger cousin, and what he ended up doing was going to a community college for two years, then transferring. It worked out well for him! But it was a gamble.

When I was in school my parents were very obsessed with me "having the college experience" even though we were much less well-off than they were in uni and were not able to support me financially[0]. I say this to point out: I am not advocating for this. College should not be fun! If it is: Great! Glad you had a good time. But that is not necessarily the reality you should expect.

However: I have noticed a lot of people made a lot of friends in Uni, and those develop into professional relationships later in life.

Additionally, if you are an ambitious person, going to community college has the risk of failing to prepare you for higher level university teaching.

Finally: I am an extremely extroverted person. I found the community aspect of going to class, studying with friends, etc. extremely helpful in my motivation and understanding of the material. I've tried to do the MIT classes and such, but it rarely sticks.

0: Not their fault, not whining. Shit happens!

EDIT:

1: AS A VERY MODERATE ACCOMMODATION. I'm not advocating for this policy as the end-all-be-all, but I feel like this is a very reasonable suggestion.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by namelessoracle on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:31PM (#29923738)
The issue with student loans no one talks about is that the interest collected on them is already earmaked to help pay for Obamacare and Pell Grants.

If you wonder why Democrats get so hesitant to do anything about the situation there is one of your reasons why. (there are alot more reasons but thats a decent reason)

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by wheelinsupial on Thursday January 13, 2022 @06:32PM (#29928535)
Also AP classes and dual enrollment while in high school. You can knock off 1 - 2 semesters of college level coursework in high school that way.

I’m not American, but there are lots of stories on here I’ve seen of people being able to dual enroll in a local community college or university in grades 11/12 and shorten the time spent in college.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by throwaway5752 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:19AM (#29922455)
That completely shifts the blame to bureaucracies, and that isn't fair. Loans are where they are because students prefer newer dorms, amenities, programs, and research opportunities. Student competition leads to prestige, leads to demand from employers for graduates from a specific institution. It is a self-reinforcing dynamic.

The fact student loads have special bankruptcy treatment is bad. But absent Sallie Mae (or Navient, whatever it is now) students would be paying whatever Harvard or Stanford asked, and that would determine pricing for the next tier of schools.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by malfist on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:28AM (#29922603)
It's a little rich to blame 18 year olds for college costs skyrocketing don't you think?

Of course students prefer newer dorms, amenities, programs and research opportunities. But asking someone who might have been getting $5/week allowance to figure out how much a newer dorm is worth when the prices are in the 10s of thousands is an impossible task. They don't know how much money is worth.

And then to tell them that they can't discharge it in bankrupcy because they knew what they were getting into is very much bullshit.

And I don't say all this because I have student loans. I was very lucky, I went to a state college with a full tuition scholarship. But I've seen a lot of my peers struggle with student loans because teenagers don't understand fiscal policy, and shouldn't be expected too.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by throwaway5752 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:56AM (#29923127)
The demand for top tier education drives prices, just like the financing structure for loans for that education drives prices. Excluding one or the other is a false choice. Maybe if risk of default were factored into loans that would change the trajectory of the tuition cost curve. But taking away agency the consumers in the model doesn't lead us to the insights we need to actually fix the underlying problem.

I have a vested interest in this problem. But saying popular things for upvotes isn't going to change the underlying problem of how to allocate scarce resources.

I disagree with you on "teenagers don't understand fiscal policy, and shouldn't be expected too.". This isn't fiscal policy. This is a pretty straightforward introduction to being an adult and budgeting. I went through it, too. A mortagage was harder and more daunting. Rental terms on apartments were more predatory. The fact that people even discuss bankruptcy to discharge student loan debt is a horrible sign, given how much of ones' life potential one i throwing away to recover prime loan eligibility.

Also, "And then to tell them that they can't discharge it in bankrupcy because they knew what they were getting into is very much bullshit." - what part of where I wrote, "The fact student loads have special bankruptcy treatment is bad" is unclear?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by joshgrib on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:36PM (#29925634)
I'm not trying to make it black-and-white, there's certainly some degree of personal choice weighing in here - but it's not the core issue and it's probably a distraction. When we realized cigarettes were bad it was partially about informing people, but the main thing was to change marketing laws so you could make sure that wasn't undoing all the good info.

If I give you two loan options with bad terms and you have to choose one, then that is a fiscal policy thing and your choice is ultimately pretty inconsequential. You may be slightly better off than the person who made the other choice but the bad policy is affecting both of you.

Ultimately it's both a policy and a personal choice thing, but as with most society-wide issues the personal choice aspect falls away pretty quickly and we need to get realistic and figure out what a solution is instead of just blaming individuals.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by simplestats on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:46AM (#29922961)
It's a simple economic argument. If students care only about quality, Universities will only care about it also. And improving quality leads to higher price.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by joshgrib on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:16PM (#29925318)
This is an institutional problem and they should be blamed though.

It doesn't really matter what students "prefer", if a bank doesn't do their due diligence and a student isn't able to repay their loan, then the bank should be losing that money as a bad investment. They won't give a $1M mortgage loan to buy a 50k lot, and likewise won't give it to someone that doesn't seem like they could pay it back. I do think there's value in people getting degrees that don't pay well - but then you shouldn't be getting a loan to do so.

> students would be paying whatever Harvard or Stanford asked

I don't think this is true - people simply can't go to a school they can't afford and people don't have infinite money. We gave the banks the freedom to tell children that they will indeed be able to pay back loans that they often cannot, so it's the bad actions of one organization(banks) enabling another(school). Ivy league schools may be like Veblen goods where increased prices also increase demand - but that can't be true for all schools and we've seen tuition increases across the board.

The solution that seems best to me is to first fix the bankruptcy issue - if someone can't pay back a loan that is a risk the bank is accepting by giving the loan, just like any other loan. I think that alone would probably have enough of a chilling effect that way less people would be able to attend colleges at first and they would be forced to lower tuition rates. That would correct the market going forward, but it doesn't really help people that already fell victim to this system. That seems like it could be remedied by either making interest rates 0 or capping total interest to some amount relative to the principal (e.g. the total amount can never grow to more than 110% of the principal).

Similar to healthcare, I don't think education shouldn't be profitable in the short term - it's a long term investment a society has to make in itself so you can't really track it as an individual investment in any one person. If someone else becomes a doctor I'm still benefitting from that so it makes sense that I'd pay into some of the cost to educate that person. Unfortunately in the US at least we seem to be totally unable to do anything without a short-term and concrete path to profit regardless of the amount of good it would do.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sokoloff on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:10PM (#29926121)
> won't give [a student loan] to someone that doesn't seem like they could pay it back

I wonder what groups of people might be harmed by such a policy, but I would bet it won’t be middle and upper class families who are willing to co-sign for loans.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by joshgrib on Thursday January 13, 2022 @06:17PM (#29928385)
Yeah I think the initial motivation behind setting it up this way was good - "let's try to get as many people into college as possible". I'm narrowly making an argument against loans that are not dischargeable by bankruptcy or death.

Changing that in isolation would almost definitely have an effect where low income families can't afford college. I see that as a gap the govt should be filling either through public colleges or directly funding people to go to school, probably both. The core issue I see here is we're letting private companies make bad investments without liability, into something that probably shouldn't be profit-driven to start with

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by cherrycherry98 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @08:37PM (#29929548)
I agree with you except for your thoughts regarding paying to educate doctors. Indeed we do benefit from people becoming doctors and they are well paid, have prestige, and are generally one of the most well respected professions. This should be plenty to incentivize one to pursue medicine. You will be paying them when you receive care, exchanging money for their service, directly via billing or indirectly via insurance.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by namelessoracle on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:33PM (#29923771)
They care so much about dorms and the food programs that schools have to mandate that the student live on campus and pay for on campus food their first year!
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by vorpalhex on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:25AM (#29922538)
Students don't usually get a choice of dorm, it's often a lottery program.

Research is usually grant funded.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by throwaway5752 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:54AM (#29923100)
Students tour campuses and look at facilities, including dorms, and that factors into their decisions.

Research may be funded. But research salaries are high as are facility costs and upkeep. There are numerous costs to support a top tier research program and maintain it that are not covered by grants.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by joconde on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:13PM (#29924365)
> Also, in-state tuition for state schools is much less than $50k/yr so try going to Cal and/or your best local public school and supplement with self teaching (e.g. via public/free lectures from MIT)?

Unrelated question: does "Cal" mean Berkeley here? Do you really need to "supplement it with self-teaching"? I don't really understand why state schools are viewed that way, since Berkeley consistently ranks world top-10.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bagacrap on Monday January 17, 2022 @12:01PM (#29968629)
Right, that suggestion was more for folks in states with lesser public school systems.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by aerostable_slug on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:22PM (#29925414)
Yes, "Cal" means UC Berkeley, the first University of California.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by mdavis6890 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:50AM (#29923033)
Yes, exactly. One way to help college-age kids go to college if they want to without having the impact that you describe is to just give everybody ages 18-22 $20k per year in cash to do what they like with it. This still preserves their incentive to choose wisely, compare prices and consider alternate options.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by 2OEH8eoCRo0 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:42AM (#29922901)
I wonder what would happen if banks could deny student loans. Students would need to prove that they are a good investment but it also means that colleges would have to prove they are good investments as well.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ashtonkem on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:26AM (#29922573)
> given that folks calculate cost based on recurring payments

That’s very true for mortgages, but in my experience this isn’t how student loans work. Nobody I knew before college had any idea what their loans would cost on a monthly basis once they went into repayment, and I don’t think it was disclosed to me (or I forgot).

Also unlike my mortgage, my loans have trivially changed repayment plans. I changed some of them several times based on my economic circumstances without refinancing, which makes nailing down a single payment kind of hard, even if the interest rate hasn’t changed.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by zip1234 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:34PM (#29923790)
At least in a house loan they will check your income and job before giving you the loan. For college they will give anyone a loan for an immense amount of money without verifying anything.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by aerostable_slug on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:30PM (#29925546)
The problem comes in when you try to verify someone's ability to repay the loan. It's not just one's choice in major — for example, the graduation rate for Historically Black Colleges & Universities is only 35%. There are significant deltas between GPA, test scores, and college success rates between various ethnicities. Further, there are significant differences in the repayment of student loans between various ethnicities.

I would not want to be on the team that does a risk assessment with these facts as inputs, because the results would be politically untenable.

[dead]
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by aerostable_slug on Thursday January 13, 2022 @07:21PM (#29928936)
That's out of line and I'd appreciate an apology.

I was simply pointing out the most politically hot topic that such a risk assessment would run into, but if you prefer to put class first that is your prerogative. Of course, with even a small amount of research you might find that these issues tend to collide and ethnicity is what gets talked about the most. You might also find out that the disparate rate of repayments between ethnicities is perhaps the leading issue for those who favor debt forgiveness, many of whom frame it as a civil rights issue [0][1][2][3].

That said, it's perhaps a moot point because Biden's not forgiving anything, and the way things are looking I don't imagine Congress will any time soon either.

[0] https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/20/us/black-borrowers-debt-study...

[1] https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/06/us/black-student-loan-crisis/...

[2] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-20/calls-for...

[3] https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/04/66percent-of-black-borrowers...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sylens on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:14AM (#29921588)
Yes, it's quite clearly this.

Millennials have been out there for nearly a decade yelling on social media about how ridiculous their student loans are. Kids on the precipice of college have started paying attention. Combine that with the restrictions for Covid, and you have a lot of kids who don't think that taking on tens of thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of dollars in debt is worth it for some Zoom classes.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bart_spoon on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:52AM (#29922031)
Plus the amount and quality of alternative learning resources is very high, at least in some fields. I know coding bootcamps get a bad rep, often justified, but at the same time my buddy went to college for a degree in HR and I went for STEM. He ended up hating HR, did a 9 week boot camp, managed to get a job, and after a few years of experience is in roughly the same place as me and is thriving. It took him a little longer because of the time spent in HR, but ultimately he ended up with the same skill set I did between the 9 weeks of intensive study combined with on the job experience. Meanwhile I got a broader education, but the majority of it isn't very relevant on a day to day basis, if ever.

It's a single anecdote, but between online resources and alternative training programs, it seems harder to justify spending tens of thousands of dollars on college.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by feoren on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:51AM (#29923043)
It may seem right now like someone who did a 9-week bootcamp is in the same place as you, but the differences will start to show up after a few years. I have degrees in both CS and Math, and I often say that I got the most benefit from my CS degree in the first ~5 years of my career, and from my Math degree since then. The tech your buddy learned in bootcamp will get stale and he'll have to start over; meanwhile your deeper level of knowledge will help you contribute to the development of the next era of whatever you're working on. This is assuming other factors are roughly equal; of course if your buddy spends more time on self-learning than you, this might not come true.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by pcthrowaway on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:02PM (#29924200)
I graduated 10 years ago, and I don't feel like my degree benefits me much other than marginally in reputation.

I learned more practical skills from free online classes and tutorials than I did from my entire university program, and I can think of maybe a handful of times I've thought about complexity analysis. But I've also entirely avoided whiteboard interviews, so perhaps myself and prospective employers have selected for my weakness in academic computer science concepts.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by f6v on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:09AM (#29922288)
> Plus the amount and quality of alternative learning resources is very high, at least in some fields

Out of interest, what are other fields besides IT?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:40AM (#29922855)
It's a single anecdote, but between online resources and alternative training programs, it seems harder to justify spending tens of thousands of dollars on college.

The evidence suggests that bootcamp grads struggle at finding good jobs, and also bootcamps charge a lot up-front, whereas collages have more aid and other programs to defer payment.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bart_spoon on Friday January 14, 2022 @08:52AM (#29934388)
From what I can see, new graduates also struggle to find good jobs. And while they may require more upfront, the actual costs still pale in comparison to college tuition and fees.

It’s not a panacea, but it’s a decent option when compared to going to college for 4 years, going tens of thousands of dollars into debt, all to get an education with a lot of material that is fairly irrelevant to a career, while not having much better job prospects, particularly after getting the first job in the field.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Frost1x on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:30AM (#29922641)
>Meanwhile I got a broader education, but the majority of it isn't very relevant on a day to day basis, if ever.

While I agree with your core sentiment, my opinion is that this is a symptom of a cultural/societal problem and not one of the schools. Modern Universities are certainly ripe with problems (largely driven by adopting business structures), including generally poor quality courses and curriculum within them, but I think you've identified a larger societal problem we have.

Why is it that broad education which is generally, at the very least in my opinion, clearly valuable yet so lowly valued in society? It's my opinion that we have institutional structures that, given a lack of opportunities, value specialized and specific knowledge over general knowledge.

Meanwhile, if you have the capability to escape these institutional shackles, general knowledge becomes far more valuable. On the labor side, labor markets are all about jobs and specialized roles with efficient production from that role. On the capital side, you need more general knowledge to see, connect, and sieze opportunities. It seems to me that most lack enough genuine realizable opportunity where general knowledge becomes valuable (say, seeking entrepreneurship) and in such a set of constraints, it makes complete sense why people specialize and chase demand of specialization because it's their most optimal strategy for financial success.

I work in R&D in startup-esk environments and my general knowledge is fairly well valued, however even here leadership sometimes fail to see how some book or article I read years ago, course I took, project I worked on years ago, etc. was critical to making the connection that made this research thing possible.

They value the general subset of knowledge I have that made their thing possible (oh boy you know A, B, and C and those saved us!!!), never mind the hydrology work I've done, it's irrelevant (D, or so they think, even though I may draw on concepts from such domains opaquely) or perhaps hours of video gaming (E, which lead to a game theoretic intuition about approaching an underlying problem). That knowledge was only appreciated after the fact because it made someone a pile of money or positioned a large contract.

I remember hating taking geology in college because "I'd never use it," then I did a lot of applied science and R&D in the fossil fuels industry and suddenly a lot of "silly" things I did in geology gave me a foundation to jump from and to build upon. That silly geology course made me boatloads of money in retrospect. Throughout my career I always like to look back when I have a problem and say "ah ha, I sure am glad I studied or read about X years ago, that's one less thing I need to internalize now to do this thing." I'm always surprised how much old general knowledge I draw upon for new problems and how valuable they truly are.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by cpascal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:15PM (#29923445)
I'm glad that there is much more awareness and consideration around cost.

When I was in high school and applying to colleges around 2011, the advice given to us was to not take cost too seriously. Many authority figures (like high school counselors) told my peers and I to, "follow your heart" or "go where you think you'll fit in best".

On top of that, student loans and interest rates where not explained to us very well. Very few of us understood that borrowing 160k-200k to go to an out-of-state/private school could very well mean you were signing up for a lifelong debt.

Looking back, its insane we could make such a life altering/hindering decision with so little oversight from the "adults".

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by samarama on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:01AM (#29922188)
Are student loans really such an issue?

85% of graduates have less than $50,000 in student loans. Paid off over 20 years, that’s really not much. https://www.rclco.com/wp-content/uploads/advisory-student-de...

Additionally, those that have much higher loans are usually medical students who make $200,000/year at the entry level.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by issa on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:14AM (#29922377)
If you are in the US and know people who are aged 30-50 and not software engineers, this is almost all that they talk about. Some people manage to pay them off, others (due to high interest) owe more than when they started. It is a huge problem.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by cableshaft on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:29AM (#29922616)
Yep, I'm a software engineer and just about to pay them off (I slowed down because of the deferred loans, could have had it done in 2020).

Meanwhile my wife only makes an appreciable dent in hers whenever she gets a gift from family members, and she's still paying $900 a month to not do much more than tread water. She did get it paid down a bit more thanks to the past two years of deferrals, but she still owes a lot more than I ever borrowed (two years of my school were paid for by a scholarship).

It's been a steady drag on our income since we've been together. At least mine is just about to go away, mine was $400/month as well... that $1300/month is almost as much as our mortgage payment.

I have multiple friends that have just given up on ever paying off their student loan debt in their lifetime and only pay enough to keep it where it is (or slowly increasing even). You wonder why people aren't buying homes and having children, there it is. I guess the solution to overpopulation is just saddle everyone with a bunch of debt, then.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by samarama on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:55AM (#29923115)
Do you have sources for this, because the numbers don’t reflect this.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by issa on Thursday January 13, 2022 @07:16PM (#29928891)
Obviously I don't have statistics on the people I talk to at that age, but to get a sense of the scope of the problem, 6,100,000 people are behind on payments. https://educationdata.org/how-many-people-have-student-loans
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by samarama on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:16PM (#29930532)
Sure but 85% of those have loans less than $50,000 and those that have more have entry levels salaries of $200,000 usually.

That seems rather small for such a huge debating point?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by issa on Monday January 17, 2022 @05:41PM (#29972525)
It would if it were true. But in reality, there are lots of people with $40k starting salary jobs (example: a librarian, which requires a masters degree!) paying off $50k loans with 8% interest rates.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by belval on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922676)
It's probably my Canadian experience talking, but this sentence:

> 85% of graduates have less than $50,000 in student loans. Paid off over 20 years, that’s really not much.

It is pretty terrifying that you manage to mentally justify going in debt for 20 years over your college education. I understand that given a good job it's easy to pay it back, but I never even borrowed even a tenth of that to complete my engineering degree and I've probably paid my education back several time in taxes to the government.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:41AM (#29922881)
But there is no magic you are paying higher taxes and that’s not for 20 years it’s forever
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lapsedacademic on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:09PM (#29923347)
There are two sources of "magic":

1. Efficiency. Canadian universities deliver similar/better products at much lower cost. Not just cost at point of use, but actual "amount of money spend annually to deliver education".

2. Financing model. Taxation allows you to fund things without paying interest to a middle man. If you pay off a set of loans whose principle is 50K, but with 5%-7% interest rates, then you're paying a lot more than 50K. So even if the products were equal in price, the taxation model might work out ahead.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:32PM (#29923759)
thats great in theory the thing is though that US student will make 15K more after tax so break even will be 3.3y
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lapsedacademic on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:43PM (#29923908)
1. That number seems way off. What are your assumptions?

2. I haven't looked at the data, but I'm going to go out on a VERY short branch here and assert that the entire delta between US and CA tax rates is not consumed by higher education.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:23PM (#29924529)
this would obviously depend on the field but generally there is significantly lower comp in Canada vs US for the same job. Taxes are lower in US too.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lapsedacademic on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:36PM (#29924693)
> but generally there is significantly lower comp in Canada

Right, I figured. This is entirely orthogonal to the discussion about the problems with higher ed in the us...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by belval on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:09PM (#29924303)
Honestly (I know that's not true of all states) but I worked in California and the taxes I was paying there were higher than my taxes in Quebec/British Columbia.

Yes taxation is higher, but I still feel like we get a lot more bang for our bucks here.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:24PM (#29924539)
Well that's one exception but in CA public Unis are good and fairly cheap.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by vorpalhex on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:30AM (#29922649)
Part of the issue is that you can get these loans regardless your program. Chemical engineering? Here you go. Studying gay romances in 14th century literature? Yup, here's your 50k too.

One of those people can pay that loan off in two years. One of them is likely never going to pay it off without a career change.

Of course, we probably don't want loan officers picking what poor people can major in either.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by giaour on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:50AM (#29923024)
The person studying gay romances in 14th century literature is probably a PhD student with a stipend and full tuition remission. They're getting subsidized by MBA tuition dollars, not by loans.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ativzzz on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:20PM (#29923551)
Sure, but they go through an undergrad in English or something similar before they are a PhD, for which they take the loan, then they don't earn any money (just enough to subsist) while the interest on their undergrad loan accrues. Or the interest may be deferred but the loan is still there.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by rdtwo on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:50PM (#29924014)
The chemistry undergrad has similar career prospects sadly
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Sohcahtoa82 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:52PM (#29926668)
I'm an advocate for requiring career counseling before taking out student loans.

I would not say that people should be denied based on their chosen major, but prospective students should be shown statistics on the average salaries, unemployment, and usage rates of the major they're interested in and compare it to the projected costs and resulting loan debt.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by thehappypm on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:11AM (#29922323)
A $50,000 loan with a high interest rate is not good AT ALL.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by xhkkffbf on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:26AM (#29922577)
Exactly. The fellow above is foolish to think that even $10k is manageable for people in entry level jobs. Even good coders have to strain to pay off $10k-20k.

Plus, you're right that the interest rate is insane when banks are paying 1%.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by vorpalhex on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:32AM (#29922699)
"Below $50,000". And student loans have low rates unless you go private. Of course, who is more likely to need private loans they may not be able to pay? Probably not the trust fund kids.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by giaour on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:53AM (#29923078)
"Low rates" here meaning 8%?! It's lower than credit card APR, but would you take a large installment loan at that rate?

The interest rate especially shocking when you consider that interest is supposed to pay for the creditor taking on the risk of default, which is almost impossible with student loans.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by swagasaurus-rex on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:21PM (#29923563)
You hit on a key point. Lender sees non-dischargeable loans as FREE MONEY.

They're pushing these onto kids who are barely adults because its FREE MONEY to them.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by selectodude on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:45AM (#29922937)
Federal loan maximums for dependent students is $31,000. Huge numbers of students need to dip into the private loan kitty and get fucked.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:48AM (#29923000)
By that logic there should be much more outrage about credit card debt, car loan debt.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by giaour on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:54AM (#29923106)
Unlike student loans, those debts can be discharged in bankruptcy.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by thehappypm on Thursday January 13, 2022 @06:33PM (#29928543)
Spoiler alert, many people think these are predatory too
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by drak0n1c on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:58PM (#29924141)
Federal guarantees for the $120+ billion in annual new student loans that the DOE boasts of in its annual letter are still one of the primary drivers of tuition inflation - with tuition increases compounded over decades that increases costs for both those who take loans and those who don't.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by rileyphone on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:47AM (#29922973)
Yes, we shouldn’t penalize people for getting an education and becoming better citizens. Many are drowning in the non-absolvable debt for student loans. And the entry level out of med school is a residency making a third of that number.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by dzonga on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:07PM (#29924272)
I know someone who's about to a Physical Therapist, doctorate. she's gonna leave school owing 200k+. yet starting salary will be 85k that I made coming out of state college as a CS grad.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922667)
this times 100x. The problem may seem really bad, but wages are high enough that college grads still earn more than high school grads even after accounting for inflation and student loan debt.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:29AM (#29922633)
you have a lot of kids who don't think that taking on tens of thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of dollars in debt is worth it for some Zoom classes.

Yeah, but you are assuming people only go to college for its educational value , ignoring that college grads tend to have much higher wages and lower unemployment compared to high school grads. If you look at FIRE subs for example, almost everyone who attains early retirement has a degree. The college wage premium is amplified by both higher wages and higher returns from investments by investing said wages in rapidly appreciating stocks and real estate (the post-2009 bull market in real estate and stocks, on an real basis, exceeds even the '80s and '90s).

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ozzythecat on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:07PM (#29923311)
You’re implying causation - that a college degree is the cause of these outcomes. I’m not convinced that’s true, and in my mind, it might be one of the most damaging beliefs.

It could be that people who are driven or passionate, on average, want to pursue higher education, or that they take on risks, exercise their brains in learning endeavors, and it’s their effort and drive that leads to success.

It’s entirely possible that high earners have college degrees because they were told that to be successful, they had to go to college. It’s a belief they were raised with.

I think it’s highly misguided that we give college so much credit. And we also demonstrate survivorship bias where those who went to college but didn’t get the pay off are blamed for having made some wrong decision.

We treat higher education as a silver bullet and put it on a pedestal when it’s not.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by majani on Friday January 14, 2022 @08:18AM (#29934073)
Yup, it's certain traits that lead people to go for certain degrees and we use the degree as a quick and fair signal for those traits. If you have a problem with that signal, try develop another one which is at least as quick and fair of a representation of those traits as a degree is.

Also if companies gain a substantial advantage using other signals outside of degrees, you can be guaranteed that their competitors in their industry will follow. In media and marketing, degrees have long been abandoned for other signals such as portfolios and social media engagement

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:42PM (#29923896)
This may be true, but at the same time, if the goal is to make a lot of money, rich parents and other luck aside, a college degree in a high-paying major is probably the best shot at it, instead for example trying to copy Garry Vanverchuck or Steve Jobs. Drive and effort apply for all professions, but it's just that college grads will get a higher return for their effort.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hn_throwaway_99 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:02PM (#29923234)
> you have a lot of kids who don't think that taking on tens of thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of dollars in debt is worth it for some Zoom classes.

> Yeah, but you are assuming people only go to college for its educational value , ...

But that's exactly the point, a huge expectation of going to college is the whole college experience: building independence, lifelong friendships, extracurriculars, etc. 50k for Zoom? Fuck that.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by whywhywhywhy on Friday January 14, 2022 @06:39AM (#29933241)
Keep seeing “the experience“ over and over in this thread.

Children literally taking out 5 and 6 figure loans for a glorified multi-year vacation with some half arsed “education” strapped to it.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryanSrich on Thursday January 13, 2022 @05:05PM (#29927569)
It’s mind boggling how bad student loans are looking back at it. It was just normal to spend $100k over 4 years.

I finally paid mine and my wife’s off in 2020 and when I did the math, combined we paid $216k over 7 years post college. We were both lucky enough to have well paying jobs, but so so many people don’t. Some of these people even with decent jobs will be paying $500-$1000/m for nearly the rest of their lives.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by commandlinefan on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:32AM (#29922690)
> Their universal concern is the cost.

I have a senior in high school right now and although I think you're right - he's concerned about a potential quarter-million dollar tuition bill before this whole thing is over - he's also concerned about the whole selectivity of it all. From the outside looking in, you never know what's important and what's not. He has this feeling (and I'm not sure I can dispute it) that the only degrees that matter are degrees from hyper-selective ivy league schools and if the only school he can get into is Texas Tech, he might as well just give up and go into a trade. I remind him that I went to a no-name school and I'm doing fine but he says "things are different than when you were young", and I'm not 100% sure he's wrong.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hallway_monitor on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:16PM (#29923470)
> give up and go into a trade

Exactly this, without the "give up" part. Why is going into a trade giving up? It's choosing a different path than the one that has been shoved down all our throats like it is the only respectable option. University is not for everyone, and not everyone can go there. There's simply not enough room.

I think going into trades is what I want my son to do. I love Mike Rowe's thoughts on this - you can make excellent money, get started fast and be working for yourself by the time you would get a precious 4-year degree. And trades are in serious need of new people; seems like a great opportunity.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:05PM (#29924243)
I have many family members in the trades. "The trades" is not a homogenous group of jobs. Some of them got lucky and got good union jobs. Most of them work hard jobs that are hard on their bodies. They have an income that's enough to live on, but money is always tight. I know very few tradesmen in their 50s and 60s who would tell their children to follow their career path, other than the relative few who have managed to work their way up so that they are managing tradesmen, not working as a tradesman.

If you have a very specific career in mind then sure go for it, but just telling people to "go into the trades" is probably harmful.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:34AM (#29922747)
The average debt for recent college grads is around $30-40k, quarter-million figures are outliers . Doctors may accumulate hundreds of thousands of dollars of debt, but they easily make up for it in income.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by JohnTHaller on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:40AM (#29922874)
About 7% (3.2 million) of federal student loan borrowers have over $100,000 in debt. Many of these are likely law (avg $145,500), pharmacy ($179,514), veterinary ($183,302), medical ($201,490), and dental ($292,169).
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:41AM (#29922880)
right, and those jobs also tend to pay the most
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by BeetleB on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:01PM (#29925090)
Law is very bimodal. The median engineer likely makes more than the median lawyer.

Pharmacy: If you get a doctorate and work in a hospital (e.g. in ER), you'll get good pay. The average pharmacist in the pharmacy: Not as much in the future. And there's been a lot of wage pressure due to:

1. Amount pharmacies have to pay to obtain the drugs (i.e. what drug manufacturers charge).

2. Amount insurers will pay for medicine. These are contractual. So if you have insurance and go in, there's an upper bar on what the pharmacy can get from you.

The profit a pharmacy makes is between these two numbers, and that margin has shrunk a lot in the last decade. The upshot? Pharmacies are cutting staff, and cutting hours. In my state, there are towns with no pharmacies at all - they had to shut down as they were losing money.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryathal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:08PM (#29923338)
If you want to be a college grad hired by Google, college name matters. If you want to move across the country, college name matters. If you want to stay in the region/state, not choose a garbage tier college is all that matters. It's not Ivy league or bust, but choosing top 100 university for chosen field is a good bet.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sosborn on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:20PM (#29923548)
If he doesn't want to be in the trades, he should go to Texas Tech. The degree will serve him just as well as a degree from any other school, bar a handful of elite institutions.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lapsedacademic on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:52PM (#29924063)
Texas Tech is a fantastic school. If he chooses to go there and majors in a STEM field, he'll have a bright future.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by munificent on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:03PM (#29924215)
The degree is only part of the value proposition of a college, though. The actual education you get (not just the paper proving it), the meaningful experiences you have, the social connections you forge, and the opportunities you encounter in the environment are all hugely important.

I went to college and dropped out, so the value of my non-existent degree is literally zero. But I got a ton of value out of my time there. I met a lot of friends, grew significantly as a person, and found a job opportunity that started me on my career path.

I still think college is way too expensive these days, but if you think of it as only purchasing a degree, you're missing a lot.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by owlbite on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:39PM (#29926516)
My cousin seemed to have it worked out. Do as many relevant AP classes for credit as possible, finish the first two years worth of credits at a community college for $cheap and then transfer to a brand-name school for the final part.

My general impression is "has a degree with min GPA x.y" is a HR check-box that is necessary to get past an initial screen for a lot of large company roles. After you've got a couple of years experience no-one on the interview panel likely cares about the school you went to (and if they do, maybe give that firm a miss) compared to what you've done in the past 3 years.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Eridrus on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:57PM (#29926743)
There is a lot of defeatism floating around these days that isn't really warranted, there's good evidence that what you study matters as much as where, e.g. https://www.air.org/news/press-release/when-it-comes-your-pa...

Barely scraping through an engineering degree or getting a degree in architecture at texas tech is certainly a bad idea, but the average engineering graduate is doing better than the trades.

More of this data is public now on graduate outcomes, e.g. https://www.collegesimply.com/colleges/texas/texas-tech-univ...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by kd913 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:40AM (#29922866)
I feel the key bit here is to look at the outcome of the education. He is right to be worried about a quarter-million dollar tuition bill, and there is absolutely no point in doing so for a path with poor job prospects.

There are some paths where the university choice does matter, others that don't.

Going into the trades is not a bad idea I think, but again it needs to be a conscious decision for the pros and the cons.

I think the key bit is do some research, try and get a week long internship in the job that he is looking for and/or try to speak with seniors/grads.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ngc248 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:00PM (#29923199)
How many people are getting into selective schools? It cant be more than a few thousands, so indeed there are opportunities for those who go to non-selective schools. It depends in the end.

Problem is we always keep hearing about these selective schools in the media and that colours out perception a lot. Of course try as much as possible to get into a selective school, but if one is unable to, there are still opportunities.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by treis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:20PM (#29923537)
>How many people are getting into selective schools? It cant be more than a few thousands,

Much more than that. The ivy league admits ~20k a year. That number jumps to a few hundreds of thousands if you extend to flagship state schools & the Dukes, Northwesterns, and Stanfords of the world.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by selimthegrim on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:21PM (#29923560)
I know some pretty good biotech start ups spun out from Texas Tech - I wouldn’t dismiss it out of hand
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by yoyohello13 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:34AM (#29922748)
They are not that different. I graduated from a no name school a few years ago and am doing fine.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by _fat_santa on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:50AM (#29922004)
Thought it's not as glamorous as a 4 year college experience, I highly suggest going to a Community College for the first two years and then transferring to a state school.

I did this and through I resented it at the time, I existed college with around $30k in student debt versus my friends that all has something in range of ($40k to $80k). IMO 30k in student debt is very manageable, currently have the thing paid down to like $12k and I like knowing I can reach into savings at any time and wipe out this debt if need be.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by vanilla_nut on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:13AM (#29922352)
If you happen to live near a decent community college, this isn’t a bad idea. But I know a lot of people who did 2 years at community college, and then got screwed over by transfer credits enough that they ended up doing 3 years at a normal college. So the savings isn’t quite ideal. I actually went to community college instead of a senior year at high school, and think you should really inspect the quality of the programs at your community college before trying this. For instance, my community college only had a couple of token CS classes, and they basically taught C++ in a C-style (all declarations at the top of the file, no object orientation) as the only style of programming. Not a great way to get a head start on a CS degree. But the math, humanities, science, and social science programs could probably give you a very cheap head start on those degrees.

For the truly frugal student, I would probably recommend something like what I did: take community college or AP classes aplenty in your senior year. Go straight to a college that has the best program for your interests (keeping in mind your interests may change). Graduating in three years is easy enough if you have a semester’s worth of transfer credits for gen eds, and classes like calculus and linear algebra in particular are really easy to cover before you go to college. Administration will probably try to make graduating early as hard as possible, but they really won’t be able to stop you if you have the credits already.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by _moof on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:44AM (#29922929)
A lot of community colleges have comprehensive transfer agreements with four-year schools in the same city and/or state. You can generally avoid getting screwed on transfers if you do a little research.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by balls187 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:57PM (#29926744)
> But I know a lot of people who did 2 years at community college, and then got screwed over by transfer credits enough that they ended up doing 3 years at a normal college

This was the case for me, though I wouldn't classify as being "screwed."

I attended a private tech school, and they were upfront they would not accept credits for any engineering program pre-reqs (Math, Chem, CS, Tech Comm, etc). However, they would accept "humanities" credits an apply them to any electives required for our chosen degree.

Luckily, I had participated in our schools "running start" so I earned those credits while in high school, and my only intention of taking math at the time was to fulfill my highschool math requirements. I did also take 2-years of mandarin, which my school gladly accepted and counted towards my electives.

All that being said, in Washington state, all publicly funded schools must accept all credits from Community Colleges, AND guarantee admission, so if you are a student looking to attend a state school in Washington state, community college is a very attractive route.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ejb999 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:06AM (#29922233)
>>IMO 30k in student debt is very manageable, currently have the thing paid down to like $12k and I like knowing I can reach into savings at any time and wipe out this debt if need be.

Absolutely - $30K in debt is completely reasonable imo; if after 4 years in college you have not improved your job prospects enough to cover that payment, then you probably didn't work very hard, or didn't pick a marketable major.

Most of these 'college debt is out of control' stories being pushed in the press, are usually focusing on outliers - i.e. people that borrowed $250K for multiple useless majors and now work at Starbucks because they chose badly. Public policy shouldn't be based on edge cases like this; not do we want to reward people for making bad decisions.

Last I read, the median college debt that people owe is less than $20K, and should be more than manageable for most people.

If we want to fix the college debt problem, focus on getting the college costs down - anything that tries to make it easier to pay for, without controlling the cost side of the equation, will almost certainly cause the cost to go up even faster then before.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by valeness on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:27AM (#29922587)
Assuming 20k in debt is more than manageable for most people really says more about you than it does others who can't pay that back.

The OP said he could just "reach into savings" and whip out 12k. That is an INCREDIBLY privileged position to be in and I would urge you both to re-evaluate your perspective.

People taking care of their sick mother, or paying for expensive medication for chronic illnesses, or living in a poor job market area, or have poor credit due to narcissistic parents taking out loans in their name, battling mental illness, or are paying child support, etc; are not "edge cases". They make up a considerable number of people who are struggling with the compounded failures of the system layered over of them.

It was Margaret Mead who said something to the effect that "The earliest sign of true civilization, was that of a healed femur." This was said because a femur is not something that can be healed without assistance from someone else to bandage you, care for you, and fetch food for you.

What is the point of civilized society and public policy if not to ensure that "edge cases" are treated as equitably as the general public? Why do you not have the same mentality when somebody breaks a leg? Why should society care for the outcomes of poor decision making: for example, such as playing contact sports, that results in a broken leg?

Also please quit spewing the nonsense of "didn't choose a marketable major". I see this a lot with STEM grads, shitting on the arts, and then turning around and watching DUNE on HBOMax. Everybody enjoys the work of "non-marketable" majors, but nobody wants to pay for it.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ericd on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:58AM (#29923169)
People are obviously willing to pay some price for the arts, but perhaps not enough to support all the people who want to work in them at a very high standard of living. It's generally not been a very well compensated field throughout history for a reason.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Goronmon on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:28AM (#29922600)
Most of these 'college debt is out of control' stories being pushed in the press, are usually focusing on outliers - i.e. people that borrowed $250K for multiple useless majors and now work at Starbucks because they chose badly. Public policy shouldn't be based on edge cases like this; not do we want to reward people for making bad decisions.

That's quite the story you've created for yourself. I'm sure it makes it easy to dismiss the issue out of hand.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ejb999 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:00PM (#29924170)
Not a story at all - check for yourself what the median student debt is - people who owe $250K are outliers, not the average college graduate.

Pushing these $250K horror stories, is self serving to people who want all loans forgiven - even for those people who owe much less, and who can easily afford to make payments; of course people who owe money, would prefer to get let off the hook, who wouldn't.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by jonnycomputer on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:16AM (#29922413)
I did community college, got a guaranteed transfer agreement to UC Davis, but was admitted to UCLA and so went there instead.

The quality of teaching at the community college often exceeded that at UCLA. Researchers are not necessarily the best teachers.

In my department there were a number of community college transfer students. They were almost always the most ambitious, and ended up going the furthest. YMMV.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by _moof on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:46AM (#29922968)
I had a similar experience. Much better teaching at the two-year school than at the four-year. One of my upper-level professors didn't even teach at all; he just threw us a book, said "read this," and then we didn't hear from him again until the end of the semester.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by toast0 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @09:13PM (#29929831)
Also, you're more likely to get a smaller lecture for Calculus and maybe some of the Physics or Chemistry at a junior college because they're higher level courses there. At a university, those are lower level courses and may be in giant lecture halls, which is not great for Calculus anyway. For science, lab sections are usually small because you can't fit that many students in a lab, so you get some smaller class size stuff there at least.

But certainly, not all community colleges are alike. If you want to transfer to a bachelor's program, you want to find a community college with a competent transfer program that is hopefully aligned with your destination and at least has a track record of transfering students who go on to get their bachelors. Some community colleges aren't great at that.

Also, California community colleges are very affordable, but some states don't have that. If community college has costs in line with 4 year schools, then it might not be a great choice.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by wombat-man on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:56AM (#29922100)
yeah, plus you have to knock out some random 100 level courses anyway. If you end up burning a semester of cc on some topics you end up hating it's a less expensive mistake.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryathal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:23PM (#29924527)
If you can reach into savings and wipe out your student loan, you absolutely should before they start charging interest again.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by epistasis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:17AM (#29921608)
I've heard tales of people with interest rates of 7%+ on student loans, and the official rates are not incredibly low either:

https://studentaid.gov/understand-aid/types/loans/interest-r...

Any loan that is charging 6.28% interest and also cant be discharged by bankruptcy is just usury with current interest rates.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by pkage on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:05PM (#29923279)
I recall that in 2016 First Marblehead (now Cognition Financial) was offering interest rates of up to 13% (!) and averaging 11% (!!) on NYU tuition ($60k/yr for a 4 year degree). I recall during my application that they were very heavily pushing for me to finance my degree there. Thankfully, I went elsewhere.

The chair of NYU's Board of Trustees at the time was William Berkley. Perhaps coincidentally, he also headed the board of First Marblehead. I'm sure there was no conflict of interest, though.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by HWR_14 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:09AM (#29922277)
> Any loan that is charging 6.28% interest and also cant be discharged by bankruptcy

The interest rates are high because so few loans can be discharged by bankruptcy. You can refinance your mortgage with anyone. Far few companies will refinance your student loans.

Meanwhile, it makes prefect sense that bankruptcy cannot discharge student loans. Otherwise, every single student would have crappy credit from 21-28 and no student loans ever.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by epistasis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:18AM (#29922443)
If "makes perfect sense" solution to college is usury, we have serious problems with our higher education system.

It's time to start funding these schools adequately so that they do not immiserate everyone except those with wealthy parents. It's the opposite of a meritocracy.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by 1123581321 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922657)
Schools will increase their expenses and tuition to fill loan capacity plus public funding, as they've already been doing.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by epistasis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:39AM (#29922845)
I'm not sure if the spending or funding side is bigger issue, and surely this depends somewhat on the school, but both must be brought in line rather than forcing it onto our future workers.

The one thing we can't do is stop funding because we have pre-decided that it won't lower tuition. It's easy to attach strings to money, let's do that.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by HWR_14 on Friday January 14, 2022 @11:26AM (#29936478)
> Schools will increase their expenses and tuition to fill loan capacity plus public funding, as they've already been doing.

I'm not sure there is evidence of that at all. Do you have some statistics?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by 1123581321 on Friday January 14, 2022 @12:29PM (#29937326)
I would start by looking at variance in state funding pre-covid. Reducing funding: increasing tuition to market limits, then cutting expenses. Increasing funding: increasing expenses and increasing tuition to market limits. Tuition has roughly on an 8% track and historical circumstances vary, so pricing and spending reactions aren't immediate.

Here's a high level report showing some of the state funding changes. https://www.cbpp.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/10-24-1...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by megaman821 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:38AM (#29922835)
They should be dischargable after 8-10 years. If you are willing to declare 8 years after graduating, you should be able to get your debt restructured or forgiven.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by HWR_14 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:44AM (#29922922)
They are currently discharged (without bankruptcy) at 20 years. Yes that's a big difference, but it is an important point.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lumost on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:04AM (#29922215)
This Happened to me on loans taken out between ‘07 and ‘10. The liquidity crises meant that banks stopped lending to students, and everyone assumed that interest rates would rise. I got locked into 7.25-8% fixed on roughly 80k in debt which I paid off over the next 10 years. Unfortunately a bout of unemployment in 2010 prevented me from refinancing.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by selimthegrim on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:25PM (#29923617)
Me too, I’m still stuck with 10k at (now 10.5%) taken out then
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sokoloff on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:26AM (#29922567)
An interest rate on something that is entirely uncollateralized and granted to someone with no income and often no credit history nor assets is usurious at a rate of around 2x that of an owner-occupied house with 20% down, an income of >3x the monthly payments, and a 740+ credit score? That is quite far from obvious to me.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by epistasis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:47AM (#29922986)
If they have to make it undischargable in bankruptcy, that is a pretty big clue that the loan is usurious, IMHO.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sokoloff on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:49AM (#29923009)
How much money would you personally be willing to lend to a high school senior with no collateral, no credit, and no job who plans to study for 4 years and then file for bankruptcy?

That’s why they’re not discharged in bankruptcy: to make them possible to be made en masse.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by treis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:31PM (#29923729)
Bankruptcy isn't a get out of debt free card. You can only get debt that you can't realistically repay discharged. The new graduate with a job at Google making $150k isn't getting their student loans discharged.

So the answer to your question is as much as I think they could reasonably repay based on their earning potential after graduation. Which is a reasonable answer to the whole problem except that it hands a huge advantage to rich kids who's parents can write that tuition check.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by epistasis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:11PM (#29923375)
I'm not disagreeing with that point, I'm disagreeing that these sorts of loans should be legal at all, much less that they should be a common method of funding the education necessary for the knowledge workers of the future.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sokoloff on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:19PM (#29923516)
If you’re going to have people study for 4 years past grade 12, someone’s got to pick up the tab for their rent, food, entertainment, and clothes/supplies at least.

If we disallow lending, that would tend to limit the attendance at “away from home” colleges and universities to the upper middle and upper classes. I don’t know that outcome is obviously “better”. It would be a massive boon to the wealthier families as compared to today.

I benefited massively from student loans and Army ROTC scholarship; I don’t want to see that taken away from future generations (even if removing that would benefit my family).

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by epistasis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:40PM (#29924752)
Rather than loans, we should reinvest in state universities, which in general have been massively defunded over the past decades, and also tie that additionally funding to reduced student costs so that the money goes where it should. The decision to attend university should be made more on the basis of student capabilities and available slots than on having big loans or ROTC access (and ROTC experience is a great thing, that has its own wonderful merits)
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by agentdrtran on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:56AM (#29923137)
I had 11% interest rates my first two years, but I had to take out private loans.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sarchertech on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:03AM (#29922208)
>horrendously predatory loans backed by the government

What's predatory about public loans. They all qualify for income based repayment, which means you'll never pay more than 10% of your disposable income (any income over 1.5x the federal poverty level). If you make below that amount, you'll never be required to pay back anything. And they are cancelled after 20 years.

Theoretically you'd owe tax on cancelled debt, but only up to the point of solvency. And a borrower who hasn't made enough income to pay back a student loan after 20 years probably isn't solvent, so won't pay anything. This also assumes that as more and more people reach this point, there isn't demand for congress to change the tax code.

Public loans make up about 92% of all student loan debt as well, so the vast majority of loans are going to qualify.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lotsofpulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:37AM (#29922793)
> What's predatory about public loans.

It distorts prices and results in a suboptimal allocation of society’s resources, and results in people complaining about having a “degree” and having to sling coffee cups as their career.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sarchertech on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:42AM (#29922900)
That's not what the word predatory generally means in the context of loans.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lotsofpulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:14PM (#29923430)
The predation is from voters today to taxpayers tomorrow.

Politician A says they want to help students by paying for their education, or at least some of it. This requires cash flow, which results in more taxes, or at the least, entries into the government’s debt figures. Either way it shows up on the balance sheet and can affect tax liabilities today.

Politician B says they want to help students, but they will instead have the government lend money to them, with zero under writing other than the “school” needing to be credentialed by some entity. The cash is spent, but an even bigger asset in the form of the debt is recorded, actually improving the balance sheet. Then you can whittle down whatever taxpayer subsidy is being given to the schools as is, and they can make up for it with tuition increases. Either way, government finances look good, and taxes can even be reduced.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sarchertech on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:49PM (#29924002)
Again "predatory lending" is a standard term, that has a commonly accepted meaning. What you're describing doesn't fit.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lotsofpulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:38PM (#29924716)
Yes, it is not the traditional use of the term. But for me, lending an 18 to 21 year old $200k +/- $50k to get a degree in literature from a non top school would qualify as predatory lending.

The probability of that person digging themself out of that hole and being able to achieve the common expectations of a family, house, vacations, retirement, weekends, etc is pretty low.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sarchertech on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:17PM (#29925338)
You can't get a public loan for $200k. Public loans max out at around $60k. The OP was talking about government backed loans being predatory.

And someone with $60k in public loans most certainly can dig themselves out of that hole, because repayment is capped at 10% of disposable income, and it is cancelled after 20 years.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lotsofpulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:37PM (#29925652)
I was under the impression that private student loans were also guaranteed by the government, but based on my searches trying to source my information, it seems Obama administration changed this since I went to college.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:50PM (#29925852)
Here's what happened. Federal loans have existed for a long time. The Federal government would guarantee loans made by private organizations. However, these were always "Federal loans", the Federal government controlled the interest rate and the maximum amounts available.

The government under the Obama administration changed things so that "Federal" loans instead of being made by private organizations and backed by the government, were directly distributed from the treasury.

However even before this, there were separate Federal and private loans, and the only way to get to $200k (for undergrad) was to get unsubsidized private loans that weren't backed by the government.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lotsofpulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @04:12PM (#29926934)
Thanks, I did not know that. What is a subsidized private loan be unsubsidized private loan?
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ejb999 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:15AM (#29922387)
>>What's predatory about public loans.

To some folks, having to pay off their loan, is considered predatory.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Shared404 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:35AM (#29922757)
The predatory part is the pushing kids who don't understand finances into taking massive loans with high interest rates.

I've passed on a traditional uni for this because I want to avoid debt, and still get "why don't you go to uni?"'d every so often by family and acquaintance's.

And if the argument is "well, if you don't make enough to pay it, just don't!", as GP appears to be, I don't like spending other people's tax dollars dishonestly - especially not on textbook companies [0] and an expanding administrative staff.

[0] Which bribe and cut-throat their way into forcing $100+ payments per student per class per semester. Pirating or buying second hand doesn't even work half the time now - you need the "online access", aka DRM.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:46AM (#29922964)
>The predatory part is the pushing kids who don't understand finances into taking massive loans with high interest rates.

There's literally lectures and a quiz you have to pass before you can take the loans that explains how repayment and interest rates work.

For public loans the actual amount doesn't really matter because payment is income based. And the cap on lending is around $60k for 4 years, so I'd hardly use the word massive.

>"why don't you go to uni?"'

Of course all this only applies assuming you're American, which I'd guess your not since your friends call it uni.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Shared404 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:52AM (#29923076)
> There's literally lectures and a quiz you have to pass before you can take the loans that explains how repayment and interest rates work.

Yes, but they are told their whole life "after college, you'll make enough to pay it off easy, no problem!"

> For public loans the actual amount doesn't really matter because payment is income based. And the cap on lending is around $60k for 4 years, so I'd hardly say it's predatory.

60k, with an extremely high interest is most definitely a problem.

> Of course all this only applies assuming your American, which I'd guess your not since your friends call it uni.

Nope, I live in Texas. Anecdotally, my group of friends all flip between "school name"/School/Uni in conversation. In this case, I picked uni because I'm on mobile and typing is hard.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:54PM (#29924082)
>Yes, but they are told their whole life "after college, you'll make enough to pay it off easy, no problem!"

If anything, the predominant messaging today is the exact opposite of that. It also doesn't matter because public loans qualify for income based repayment, so it doesn't matter. If you end up stuck working at McDonalds for the rest of your life, you'll never pay back a dime.

>60k, with an extremely high interest is most definitely a problem.

Current undergrad rates are fixed at 3.73%.

>Anecdotally, my group of friends all flip between "school name"/School/Uni in conversation.

Interesting, (as an American myself) I've never heard an American use uni outside of conversation with Europeans.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Shared404 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @04:17PM (#29926989)
> If anything, the predominant messaging today is the exact opposite of that. It also doesn't matter because public loans qualify for income based repayment, so it doesn't matter. If you end up stuck working at McDonalds for the rest of your life, you'll never pay back a dime.

Unless you do get a job in your field, with enough income that you're supposed to pay it back, but can't. This probably will be less common with the current rates, but as recently as 2012 the interest rates were at 6.8% .

> Current undergrad rates are fixed at 3.73%.

Indeed. I was operating off of the rates from those who took loans in 2012 or before, the current rate is much more reasonable.

> Interesting, (as an American myself) I've never heard an American use uni outside of conversation with Europeans.

I probably picked it up from the internet and spread it to the group, I like saying less syllables :P

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Friday January 14, 2022 @10:22AM (#29935525)
>Unless you do get a job in your field, with enough income that you're supposed to pay it back, but can't. This probably will be less common with the current rates, but as recently as 2012 the interest rates were at 6.8% .

There's also the fact that now (even for someone who took out loans before 2012) you'll never pay more than 10% of your disposable income, for more than 20 years. Up to a max of about $500 a month (which is the 20 year payoff rate for a $60k loan at 6.8%).

There are ways you could end up paying more. Say if you spent 10 years unemployed running up interest and suddenly got a job paying $100k, but even then you're talking $700 a month for 10 years before it gets cancelled.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by HWR_14 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:10AM (#29922304)
You also get credit for going into public service as well.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by monkeynotes on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:24AM (#29921694)
In addition there is COVID which means a lot of online learning and none of the college social experience. I know of a coop on my team is considering pausing finishing his degree because he hates online learning and does not feel like he's getting the education he paid for.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by taylodl on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:49AM (#29921995)
What's the alternative? Wait for this to "blow over"? We've been waiting for two years now. Maybe omicron will be it. Or maybe not. We simply don't know. One thing we do know from past experience is those opting-out of college or putting their degree on "pause" rarely return to complete their degree. You simply reach a point where you're focusing on your career, maybe start a family, and so forth and the next thing you know there's simply no time (or money) for college.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by nradov on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:15AM (#29922389)
The better alternative is to immediately return all students and staff to full in-person education with no mandates or restrictions. Yes that will incur some small but acceptable level of additional risk.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by VampireWillow on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:21AM (#29922483)
Your comment is the epitome of "some of you will die, but that's a sacrifice I'm willing to make".
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by nradov on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:27AM (#29922591)
Real life is full of risks. I despise this modern culture of safetyism and fragility. We should teach our youth to be stoic and resilient in the face of danger.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by SamoyedFurFluff on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:15PM (#29923433)
I think the youth are plenty stoic and resilient. They have to be in response to increasing inequality, a shrinking middle class, climate change, and increased authoritarianism. They have never known a time without war and terrorism. School shootings are no longer newsworthy and they grew up drilling for a lone shooter.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by logicalmonster on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:26PM (#29923641)
What human activity has 0 risk?

For all of human history, there's been a chance that a child will die in a car-accident or be abducted by a child predator on his way to school every day. We haven't said that kids should stop going to school because of this, have we?

There's a non-zero chance people will die traveling to and from work today. We haven't said that people should stop working to save lives, have we?

I think that most people being bad at understanding risk-management is at the core of why there's there's such big divide with how to react to Covid.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by monkeynotes on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:11PM (#29925242)
We have grown to depend on automobiles for modern life and the economy to function. People can function with kids in masks and home learning, just about. Their quality of life compared to my childhood/teen years is trash though. Additionally society cannot live with hospitals operating at reduced capacity because of COVID overflow. I mean, that alone is reason for managing the risk aggressively.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by logicalmonster on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:33PM (#29925585)
> We have grown to depend on automobiles for modern life and the economy to function.

So when it comes to cars, what you're saying is that "some of you will die, but that's a sacrifice I'm willing to make". Am I reading that correctly?

PS: The above is obvious sarcasm. See how ridiculous bad risk-management calculations sound?

> Additionally society cannot live with hospitals operating at reduced capacity because of COVID overflow.

Color me skeptical about the severity of this risk for 2 big reasons.

1) Look at actions, not words. Think about how governors and hospitals are acting. If there was a genuine fear of the hospitals collapsing, they'd be putting out daily public service announcements begging for retired doctors, people with any medical training whatsoever, or even random nuns to come and volunteer to tend to the sick and dying. Instead they're mass-firing healthy "health care heroes" who refuse to get a vaccine. Is that the act of people who are genuinely concerned about overwhelming the health care system?

2) This sensationalism has been happening every cold and flu season: see pic-related. Hospitals are designed to perpetually run at close to full capacity for financial reasons. https://i.imgur.com/50eqkXq.jpg

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by monkeynotes on Thursday January 13, 2022 @06:46PM (#29928646)
Point #2; Your only source is a screen shot and exclusively focusing on the NHS, which is notoriously underfunded anyway. COVID certainly isn't helping the NHS which as you have observed struggles in regular flu seasons.

Point #1 government is doing everything they can to prevent that collapse scenario. I'd need to understand more about the machinations of the hospital policies you mentioned. No link to your sources, but I imagine it's not as black and white as you are suggesting.

I find it interesting that some people are like "it's not that bad, why do we need these restrictions? Everything is functioning, what's the problem?"

The thing is "it's not that bad" because of all the restrictions and vaccines. If we did nothing hospitals would absolutely be fucked and people would be dying in the halls.

Model me a world where we didn't bother with masks and other measures, then let's talk.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by logicalmonster on Thursday January 13, 2022 @09:37PM (#29929975)
> Your only source is a screen shot and exclusively focusing on the NHS, which is notoriously underfunded anyway.

Here's a few American, Canadian, and European news stories detailing similar sentiments from well before the Covid mass hysteria programming.

https://www.westernjournal.com/2018-flu-bad-hospitals-treati...

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/01/11/flu-levels-rise-texa...

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-flu-idUSBRE9080WD2013...

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/patient-flow/2-healthc...

https://www.nytimes.com/2004/01/18/nyregion/full-emergency-r...

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2000-jan-09-mn-52273...

https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/health-headlines/hospitals-ove...

https://www.france24.com/en/20170111-french-hospitals-cancel...

> government is doing everything they can to prevent that collapse scenario.

Deeds show intent better than empty words.

If they were genuinely concerned about the healthcare system collapsing due to a flood of sick people, they would be screaming daily begging for more health care workers: not firing healthy workers to have Covid positive health-care workers work.

Citations:

https://abc7.com/asymptomatic-california-health-care-workers...

https://afn.net/medical-health/2022/01/12/jab-or-job-califor...

Society has been sold a false bill of goods.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by monkeynotes on Friday January 14, 2022 @08:30AM (#29934212)
Here is the thing, if COVID is like the flu even with heavy measures to prevent the spread, what would it be like it we just didn't bother with restrictions? Seasonal influenza is not as lethal as COVID and hospitals stress to accommodate it. COVID is being controlled world-wide and still hospitals face the potential of being rapidly overwhelmed. The deeds you are looking for are all around you, from vaccines to masks, limited capacity venues, rapid tests, and so on.

None of your sources talk about hospitals being "designed" to run at full capacity for profit. Canadian, UK, and most other EU hospitals don't run for profit, so that leaves the US. I doubt you'll find a medical director that claims the way to maximize profit is to design a hospital that is on the edge of meltdown every flu season.

"they would be screaming daily begging for more health care workers"

Ahem:

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210812/hospitals-struggle-...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-07/hospitals...

https://www.aamc.org/news-insights/hospitals-innovate-amid-d...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/staff-shortages-hospit...

There are many more sources citing hospitals struggling to find nurses, your last two citations demonstrate how desperate hospitals are by re-hiring folk who refuse to get vaccinated or are asymptomatic. How desperate do you have to be to put patients at risk of getting infected from their health care worker? I mean talk about rock and a hard place, that's a fucked up position to have to be in and shows that there are very few other avenues to go down.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by logicalmonster on Friday January 14, 2022 @09:52AM (#29935136)
> Here is the thing, if COVID is like the flu even with heavy measures to prevent the spread, what would it be like it we just didn't bother with restrictions?

There's 2 movies on 1 screen when it comes to the actual stats surrounding Covid-19, so I'm not going to argue that with you.

I'll just ask you about what's serving as the "control groups". How are, say, Amish Country PA and Florida doing? Forget any stats about "cases" you can come up with for a moment: how are normal peoples' actual lives going in places where masks and most preventative measures are less common? Are people living their lives more or less normally, or are these regions wastelands of disease and death with survivors roaming the streets begging for medical attention?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by monkeynotes on Friday January 14, 2022 @10:55AM (#29935978)
> Forget any stats about "cases" you can come up with for a moment: how are normal peoples' actual lives going in places where masks and most preventative measures are less common?

Forget stats about cases in order to understand stats on cases in areas with fewer preventative measures? What kind of crazy is that?

If you do care to look at stats on the Amish community there is this paper: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34117598/

And I think we all know how Florida is doing: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article25729082...

I don't know how else to understand COVID impact without data and factual, meaningful statistics.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by logicalmonster on Friday January 14, 2022 @06:02PM (#29941709)
Yes, forget the stats and look at peoples' actual lives.

Life in these places is more or less the same as it always has been, other than it passing the peak of cold season. People go out without forced masks and having to show their medical histories to enter buildings. Yet these places haven't collapsed. Why not?

If the Covid narrative that we had to mask up everywhere and check your papers to ensure safety or society would collapse is accurate, why is this "control group" (for lack of a better term) not collapsing?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by DanBC on Friday January 14, 2022 @09:55AM (#29935169)
Hello from the UK where we've mostly followed a policy of "let it rip", albeit that's sometimes been disguised.

We're fucked.

We've had very high rates of death, and we've destroyed our economy.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by logicalmonster on Friday January 14, 2022 @10:09AM (#29935348)
> the UK where we've mostly followed a policy of "let it rip"

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but hasn't the UK implemented vaccine and mask mandates?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hackflip on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:52AM (#29923069)
The 3rd calendar year into this this, I'm willing to make that sacrifice. Everyone who wants to be vaccinated is vaccinated. Young people will overwhelmingly be fine. The old should make sacrifices for the young, not the other way around.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by monkeynotes on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:39AM (#29922842)
I think for him pausing and perhaps just having a career is the best of a bad situation. His education doesn't work for him as is.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Dig1t on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:27AM (#29922582)
Doesn't it vary pretty wildly depending on the school?

I also was very concerned about cost when going college, so I went with the cheapest route possible and also worked a job during college. I went to community college for 2 years while living at my parent's house, which was very cheap, it cost about $1000 per year for that. Then I transferred to a cheaper in-state school, in my case it was one in the California State University system (CSU) which is way cheaper though not quite as well known as the UC system (UC Berkeley is part of that system), which cost me about 10k per year for the final 2 years.

In all I was able to get through college with no debt and a degree in Computer Science for a total cost of 22k. I think there is a mindset that students should always attend the best possible school that they are admitted to, but this seems pretty dumb to me as they are usually expensive for big brand names and in the end you receive the same degree and learn the same things.

What I did also happened in California, I think some states have even cheaper paths through college if you go with the community college + in-state university route.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ahoho on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:41AM (#29922884)
If you go to a big name school the aid packages are usually much more generous, so total cost may even be below $22k (depending on your circumstances). Also, I’d push back on the idea that outcomes are comparable across schools. A degree from most Ivies has a measurable impact on future earnings, even controlling for parental income and academic aptitude.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by the_only_law on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:43AM (#29921925)
I’ve been looking at going back to school for some years, and it’s finally looking like I’ll be able to begin the process this year.

I can do the first two years of undergrad, through a community colleges while still working, and grad school can be figure out later if I decide on it, but I’m still concerned about how much I need to save for those last two years of undergrad.

Tuition is one thing, while generally expensive, I’m in a state that’s not too bad if you can get in-state tuition. It’s still probably expensive, but nothing unmanageable (doesn’t seem much worse than financing a new car). The main concern is living expenses.

The financial aid system is a bureaucratic joke as far as I’m aware, and “estimated family contribution” seems like a delusion in the case of most people. I half-joked with some friends about living in a car for the last couple years, and one thought I was crazy, responding with an anecdote about how “you don’t have to do that, I worked 3 jobs to pay for my education” which to me almost seems more miserable at this point.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by PragmaticPulp on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:25AM (#29922560)
> Colleges assumed the trend of charging $25k to $50k per year would be sustainable.

Barely anyone pays full tuition.

Look up the statistics for any of the big colleges that share numbers. It’s usually less than 10% of students paying full tuition. Significant numbers of students pay under $10K and many pay basically nothing at all.

It’s still too expensive, but the myth that everybody is paying $50K/year at these colleges needs to die. It ends up convincing a lot of people who shouldn’t be paying that much that everyone else is doing it and therefore they should too.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ljhsiung on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:56AM (#29923133)
Can I see your source?

Here's mine [1] -- at UIUC, full tuition is 35-50k depending on residency. 30% get free tuition (given their family's net worth <50k/gross income < 67k) and 40% got some form of a loan averaging 20k.

Assuming very generous loans (unlikely), 30% of people paid full price, or about 10,000 students (undergrad class size is 30-35k). That's not trivial, but definitely off your 10% claim.

(Here [2] it is more succinctly, and not in a large picturesque landing page advertisement fashion)

Now some anecdata-- I paid 35k. Every college friend I knew also paid full, except one, who had crazy interest rates on her loan. I recognize my friend group may be a bubble, so I preface this with "anecdata" and gave you some sources on my own.

[1] https://admissions.illinois.edu/invest/financial-aid

[2] https://osfa.illinois.edu/other-financial-aid-options/

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by jrsj on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:15AM (#29922393)
I honestly think keeping people in debt so they have to work more & for longer is considered a feature of the system by a majority of the people running it
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by mywittyname on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:32AM (#29922704)
> If we fix the college financial system, enrollment would likely skyrocket.

Enrollment was at record numbers immediately preceding the pandemic, and this was a trend that held for several years prior as well. Lots of colleges had been expanding their campuses like crazy in the Before Times.

I don't think the pandemic will result in a long-term shift away from this trend. By-and-large, college education remains is a worthwhile expenditure, despite the costs. You even agree, hence why you have three kids in college!

I can appreciate not going to college right now. Classes have been randomly cancelled, there have been lockdowns/classes going remote, professors aren't grading/lecturing at the levels they should be, students are doing the work, etc, etc. But once society reaches some level of normalcy again, I believe enrollment numbers will explode back to record levels.

Plus, cost-conscious students have more options than ever. A lot of community colleges are starting to offer 4 year degrees.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by WoodenChair on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:44PM (#29924809)
> Colleges assumed the trend of charging $25k to $50k per year would be sustainable.

It's worth noting that the vast majority of students don't pay the sticker price because financial aid is provided early and often (beyond just loans). Very few students are actually paying $50k.* [0]

The average net price at a public college last year is $19,230 and the average net price at a private college is $33,720. Note that this doesn't just include tuition, but also room and board. So if you're going to public college you're probably paying $20k to eat, sleep, and learn. Plus you generally get some kind of health insurance too.

These averages can be significantly lower still for in-state public colleges and community colleges.

No doubt the massive inflation in college prices is driven by the government loans, and the federal government's policy around them should be modified at best. But we should speak in reality instead of the hyperbolic articles that often just look at tuition which is what most people are familiar with. Colleges below the top tier compete on their "discount rate" which is what percentage of the sticker price does the average student actually pay because almost no students pay the sticker price.

* "The average grant aid awarded per student was $8,100 at public colleges and $23,080 at private schools."

0: https://www.collegedata.com/resources/pay-your-way/whats-the...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by jjulius on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:10PM (#29926127)
Cost is the primary reason I dropped out of college, with not knowing what I wanted to do with my life being the secondary reason.

It was about 15 years ago, I was 19. At the time, I was attending community college because I had no idea what I wanted to major in, or what I wanted to do with my life as far as careers go, but I had so much societal pressure telling me that I had to go to college in order to be successful. I'd tried steering myself towards a few subjects that were hobbies/passions of mine, but every time I dipped my toes into doing something with them professionally, I quickly became concerned about money/profit/work/bosses bastardizing my love for them and opted to keep them as hobbies/passions. 15 years later, I am still enamored by some of those same hobbies and am happy I kept them as such.

While the "goal" was to transfer to a university from the community college, I consistently found myself thinking, "I'm seeing a ton of my friends, and people who graduated HS a few years before me, taking out these massive loans. Why am I going to go into debt if I don't even know what I want to do?". It just made no sense to me, so I stopped. I've been incredibly lucky that I found a career path in an area that I'm good at, and have risen to a level in my career that I'm happy with, but I absolutely did have to work really hard to get here.

All that is to say, not only do I think we put far too much pressure on people to know what they want to do when they're still too young to truly have that figured out, but I also completely agree with you that cost is the primary concern here. If I didn't have to go into so much debt in order to have continued my college education, I have a feeling I would've opted to keep at it and figure out what I wanted to do along the way.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by MattGaiser on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:20AM (#29921647)
Aren't state colleges must cheaper than that?
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by eschewobfuscat on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:34AM (#29921818)
When I went to Colorado State University (by no means prestigious) tuition ran around $2,300 [1] and is now almost triple [2] per semester, I could rent a 2 bedroom apartment and live alone for $735, where as that's now sharing a 3 bedroom apartment. Renting the apartment I had is closer to $1,300 per month, or nearly double what I paid. It's not very affordable, whereas I could relatively easily afford it.

[1] http://irpe-reports.colostate.edu/pdf/tuition/Tuition_Fees_H...

[2] https://financialaid.colostate.edu/media/sites/38/2018/05/Un...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by epistasis on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:25AM (#29921708)
Without room and board, University of California fees are around $20k. And none of the college towns have adequate housing, so any sort of housing is absolutely through the roof.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by cgearhart on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:51AM (#29922020)
“The University of California is the world’s leading public research university.” [1] So $20k/yr seems like a steal. Meanwhile, if you’re price sensitive then you can go to one of the 26 Cal State campuses for ~$8k/yr (Cal Poly SLO is an outlier at $10k). [2] If you’re really looking to keep costs down, head to community college for two years to finish a Cal State transferable AA, then have guaranteed admission to a Cal State school and only two years there to finish your BS/BA. [3] It should cost <$20k in total to do community college and cal state if you did it in 4 years.

Housing and supplies are still expensive, and _yes_ it’s still very expensive to go to college, but there are affordable options out there for college.

[1] https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/uc-system [2] https://www.calstate.edu/attend/paying-for-college/Documents... [3] https://www.calstate.edu/apply/transfer/pages/ccc-associate-...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by zdragnar on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:09AM (#29922287)
In my experience, "Research universities" are a joke for undergrad students. All it means for most of them is that their classes will be taught by graduate students because the "professors" are too busy doing research to be bothered with such trivial work.

You need to be pretty lucky in your final years or actually going for masters or PHD to really be exposed to the research side of things.

It's a steal alright, but I cant say I agree with who is coming out ahead.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by cgearhart on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:33AM (#29922717)
I guess my point was that the price of a school system that touts itself as a world-leading research university may not be the best baseline for the cost of college—even if it’s a public university system. The Cal State system has always been the “affordable” public option for college in California.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by zdragnar on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:02PM (#29925102)
Yeah, that is fair. I guess my gripe is with the idea that research universities charge undergraduates more at all. If anything, most students get a much worse experience and learning environment as a result.

My own experience was that professors who were not currently research oriented tended to have a much more personal interest in actually teaching- not just the material, but in the practice of pedagogy overall.

Compare that to researching professors (or worse, their grad student substitutes) and it is often a night and day difference. All you're really paying more for is often the name on your diploma at the end of the day.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by yakz on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:48AM (#29921990)
State colleges can be cheaper, but they're not as cheap as they used to be in a lot of places. Many states cut back funding for their universities.

"Overall state funding for public two- and four-year colleges in the school year ending in 2018 was more than $6.6 billion below what it was in 2008 just before the Great Recession fully took hold, after adjusting for inflation."

"Between school years 2008 to 2018, after adjusting for inflation:

    * 41 states spent less per student.
    * On average, states spent $1,220, or 13 percent, less per student.
    * Per-student funding fell by more than 30 percent in six states: Alabama, Arizona, Louisiana, Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Pennsylvania."
https://www.cbpp.org/research/state-budget-and-tax/state-hig...
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by jrsj on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:12AM (#29922331)
Many now make room and board mandatory and when you factor that in with tuition, books, etc you can get to $25k total cost even with in-state tuition. I don’t know how common this is exactly but Ohio State does this for freshman and sophomores now.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by taylodl on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:54AM (#29922066)
There's tuition and there's room & board. In my state the tuition is $10K/yr but the room & board is $15K/yr. It doesn't help that the largest public college in my state doesn't have enough dorm rooms for all their students so by Junior year you have to have moved out. Have you seen rent lately? Taken a look at your grocery bill? There are many costs factoring in to the high cost of higher education.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by rch on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:48AM (#29921987)
It would also help to encourage and support people choosing to attend regional colleges for many fields of study, particularly given that educational content from state universities can easily be made available at the local level.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by standardUser on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:23AM (#29922518)
Public schools average about $10k per year for in-state students. That's a far cry from the $25k-$50k per year people tend to quote when arguing against the cost of college. How important that difference is depends on which state a student lives in. In California there are literally dozens of options including several prestigious ones, whereas many states only have a couple of middling schools to choose from, and out-of-state public tuition averages around $25k/year.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Goronmon on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:38AM (#29922828)
Public schools average about $10k per year for in-state students.

That seems low to me. Are you only counting the cost of tuition (and not books, room and board, etc)?

I just grabbed some numbers for NH, one site says the average for tuition alone is $10k, with another $1.5k for books/etc, and another $15k for room/board. So, unless you are able to commute from your parents, looking at closer to 25k+ in loans, per year.

I also checked UNH specifically, where the numbers are roughly $20k for tuition/fees and $33k all in.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by NobodyNada on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:59AM (#29923183)
> Public schools average about $10k per year for in-state students.

Where is that? At my school (Oregon State University) in-state tuition is $13k, and room & board is an additional $13k (which is way overpriced -- more than double what you'd pay in rent & groceries living off-campus, but all first-year students are required to live in the dorms). And out-of-state tuition is triple the in-state rate. So that $25k-50k estimate is exactly on-point here.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by simplestats on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:34AM (#29922735)
Depends how you look at it. If you're from a poor state, you can get into a solid flagship school (including medical school) even if you could never get in to places with single-digit admissions (like the top tier ofCalifornia schools). Whereas people who would be able get into the high-ranked California Universities can probably get full scholarships to solid out-of-state private schools too.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by xhkkffbf on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922662)
You're thinking of 20 years ago.

Most state schools are easily $20k for in state students once you add in the room and board. Then they try to get $50k from the out-of-staters. Top flight state schools like Michigan, Cal Berkeley and Cornell start at $75k+ for out-of-staters. Of course financial aid does enter the picture for many students.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by standardUser on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:33AM (#29922726)
No, I am not thinking of twenty years ago, I accurately stated the cost of tuition today, which generally does not include renting a place to live, on-campus or otherwise, or a meal plan.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ljhsiung on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:12PM (#29923394)
You didn't say "cost of tuition" in your original comment.

Further, I think it's disingenuous to only consider tuition. Cost of living in e.g. Berkeley is ridiculous, literally more than tuition. [1]

(I understand that living is not something Berkeley can fix, but it's very much their problem and a concern on students' minds, regardless of whose "fault" it is)

To only consider tuition is a cost-shifting marketing tactic that these schools use so you don't focus on the bottom line. Their goal is to get you to attend. Period.

Let's look at a less prestigious school-- UCSB tuition is about 12k, but total cost might be 24k (official estimate says 32k [2], but I have the random fees they have to not be applicable, e.g. "campus fees" or "books")

[1] https://admissions.berkeley.edu/cost

[2] https://www.finaid.ucsb.edu/cost-of-attendance

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by iskander on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:48AM (#29923008)
I went to UIUC and paid ~$6k / year in-state (not including living costs). That has now increased dramatically to ~$20k/year. And, obviously, you still have to pay for living costs while you're a student and the part-time jobs typically available to you don't pay very much.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Goronmon on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:40AM (#29922870)
Having a place to live and food to eat seems to me to be pretty important part of your education.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by kapp_in_life on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:11PM (#29924328)
But is explicitly not tuition. If you weren't in school you would still need to eat and live somewhere.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Goronmon on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:11PM (#29925240)
But its still a cost you have to pay for somehow, and since you are, hopefully, going to classes, studying, and doing homework, you are largely preventing from having a job lucrative enough to pay for those things completely.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by soheil on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:11PM (#29923379)
The administrative fees are outrageous. Administration staff effectively getting paid from student loans just to set more guidelines and procedures in place for students to follow and for themselves to gain more power is perverse incentives.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/stop-feeding-college-bureaucrat...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bastardoperator on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:31PM (#29924629)
My nephew did community college (free) for two years and transferred in state to the UC system which is about 14K a year. He qualified for some grants/scholarships which covered more than half the cost for each semester. He was able to pay off his school loans in his first year out of college. School costs are insane, but there are easy ways to save considerable amounts of money.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by xhkkffbf on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:16AM (#29922403)
Absolutely true. And many of the degrees don't lead anywhere. The smart kids are the ones that aren't in college.

When I hire now, I always look for kids who are willing to teach themselves and learn from all of the good sources on the Internet. Places like Coursera, Udemy or even YouTube. They're reasonably priced.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lvl100 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:38AM (#29922834)
I am convinced college is more or less priced off of prestigious private high schools where the parents simply pay cash. For the wealthy it is acceptable to pay 60-70K per year for their kids. Clearly this represents the wealth gap in this country.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by snambi on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:25AM (#29922553)
Knowledge and education should be free of cost and barriers. Any society that thinks otherwise, will not be able to sustain and expand knowledge in the long run.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by jeffalbertson on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:50AM (#29923026)
in addition to cost, there is also a feeling I didn't get ANY value from the curriculum. Some majors are great but many give you 0 skills for the real world. I majored in communications cause I had no idea what I wanted to do in life. By the time I figured out I loved software, I had graduated.

The best lessons I learned in college were off campus and developing my social skills (which is important).

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by devwastaken on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:45AM (#29921956)
Yes, this is the issue right on the head. At a $0 income, federal and state grants + student loans will not cover tuition and housing costs at the most affordable of in state universities.

We can't just look at tuition, but housing costs. The cost of housing sometimes rivals tuition. A fun fact is they make freshmen have to buy $2200 meal plans for their first year. They also prevent freshmen from better housing where they can cook for themselves and save money through food stamps.

Ontop of this part of those grants are work study, you have to work to receive that money. This is again even if you're dirt poor with nothing. You will have to take a second job if you need to buy personal items like deodorant.

The vast majority of students don't fit into this, they come from middle class parents and have to take out private loans. Students have to pay on private loans, so, again, more and more work. I know students working 30 hours a week just to meet living costs and pay what they owe to the University so they are not barred from signing up for classes. These students are not learning what they should be, even though they are very bright hard workers it's wasted because we let universities charge these ridiculous amounts.

It's not as if the unis are using it responsibly, either. They're not funding extracurriculars or programs students can learn more by being involved in. I recall one of our programs having to be funded by professors themselves to go anywhere. There are many different administrative workers that simply don't need to exist. The system has become lazy and inefficient. I recall in HS teachers spent hours grading. In uni - it's largely automatic. Yet we continue to have multiple teachers per subject and give professors just 1 or 2 classes.

If we defund universities they will shape up quickly. Defund, regulate, start firing people.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:59AM (#29922153)
>The vast majority of students don't fit into this, they come from middle class parents and have to take out private loans.

Private loans only make up about 8% of total student loan debt

https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/loans/student-loans/stude... https://educationdata.org/student-loan-debt-statistics

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by devwastaken on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:12AM (#29922332)
The bill infront of me isnt lying. The amount of student loans is not enough to cover the costs, therefore requiring private loans or someone else to pay it. So either all these parents are paying it, or they're taking out private loans. Or, more likely, the stats are collected poorly as they typically are. Same as how unis are allowed to lie about job placement rates.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:23AM (#29922512)
The fact that you are forced to take out private loans isn't evidence that the vast majority of students are.

College tuitions and housing prices vary wildly, many students live with family, many students have merit based scholarships. Many states have copied Georgia and have lottery funded scholarships that covers the majority of in state tuition for students with a B average in high school.

>Or, more likely, the stats are collected poorly as they typically are.

The stats are widely available along with the data collection methodology. If you want to stick with your confirmation bias that's fine I suppose.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by devwastaken on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:31PM (#29924617)
I've done enough work in data collection and stats to know that generalized statistics are almost always associated with false conclusions that avoid context of their data. An org will not advocate against itself willingly because it's workers like their jobs. Therefore, I trust the bill that many students have. The evidence I have readily available concludes that scholarships are rare, student loans aren't enough, and students have become cash cows.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by learc83 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @02:44PM (#29925769)
>I've done enough work in data collection and stats to know that generalized statistics are almost always associated with false conclusions that avoid context of their data.

There's no context that changes this. Private loans make up less than 8% of all student debt. There are numerous sources available. This isn't in dispute by anyone (except maybe yourself).

Given that fact, the only way your premise, that the vast majority of students take private loans, can be true is if most students take very very small private loans of less than a few thousand dollars.

And even that is demonstrably false. Because we have data that clearly shows that the vast majority of students don't take private loans.

https://research.collegeboard.org/pdf/trends-student-aid-201...

>...that scholarships are rare...

More than 75% of full time students receive at least 1 scholarship or grant. Most of them aren't enough to cover the full tuition much less room and board, but they aren't rare.

And in many states have large scholarship programs as I've mentioned where tens of thousands of students in the state get that scholarship.

>The evidence I have readily available concludes...

Confirmation bias is something to watch out for. There's no evidence outside of your personal experience to support the conclusion that "the vast majority of students take private loans."

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by BingoAhoy on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:07AM (#29922243)
I've always been curious about who's winning the lionshare of the pie of these gluttonous institutions. Is it administrators? they're an easy scape goat. Does it fund more research, so presumably the PHDs and their research assistants?
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:25AM (#29922546)
They are an easy target, but I would argue justifiably so. My ( supposedly non-profit mind you ) university had a president, who paid himself a salary in line with regional bank's president; he was kicked out. Current one is paid less but still high 6 figures. And this is not some prestigious university, where you could reasonably argue he really, really deserves it, because he is running it so well.

I don't know a full answer, but I believe we can start with administrators and work our way through the system. Something has got to give. This system cannot stay as it currently exists.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by asdff on Thursday January 13, 2022 @05:48PM (#29928094)
In state tuition at public schools has still been reasonable all this time
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by shockeychap on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:52AM (#29923059)
I remember reading a while back something like, "It used to be that you could mostly pay for college with a summer job. Today, the only summer job that could pay for college is being Elon Musk."
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hourislate on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:51AM (#29922022)
>Colleges assumed the trend of charging $25k to $50k per year would be sustainable.

I understand that commuting to schools is not available to everyone but State schools are affordable. Entertaining the idea to go away for school either leads to higher costs or more debt. A 4 year degree from UT Dallas landed my oldest a 110k + first job in DFW. His entire degree cost approx 45-50k and that included gas, books, etc.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:25AM (#29922550)
College cost less than a brand new car, yet does not lose a third of its value when you drive it off the lot, but rather gains value due to the wage premium and better job prospects overall. There is no crisis of car affordability yet people talk about college being unaffordable even though student loans are cheaper and have much better terms than car loans. Same for credit card debt. Also the price actually paid on tuition , especially after accounting for generous aid and other programs, is much less than the sticker price.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hammock on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:48AM (#29921992)
College was once to be reserved for the rich elite.

But central bank and government policies starting in the 70's gutted US manufacturing and took away most of the non-information worker jobs - so there was little else for the middle class to go for a career except first to college.

Hence today.

However, today it's easier than ever to live off the nanny state WITHOUT a career.

What should the role of college be today?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by matt_mb on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:54AM (#29922068)
>However, today it's easier than ever to live off the nanny state WITHOUT a career.

In what way?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hammock on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:23AM (#29922517)
Welfare payments supplemented wages by about 8% in 1960.

That figure has risen to about 36% today, a 3.5x increase.

Chart: http://www.mygovcost.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/governme...

Source: http://www.mygovcost.org/2011/03/14/the-u-s-as-welfare-state... (the first random example I found on Google)

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by _moof on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:52AM (#29923074)
This chart includes Social Security and Medicare. I don't think it makes sense to include retirees in a data set when making an argument about "welfare."
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hammock on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:41PM (#29926547)
You don't have to be retired to receive Social Security or Medicare.

Anyway, do you have some alternate data to consider?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by _moof on Friday January 14, 2022 @07:53AM (#29933839)
Yes, I'm aware, but that doesn't actually affect my objection. And no, I don't have any alternate data, and I don't feel it's my responsibility to come up with any. You're the one presenting this data set to make an argument; you do the work.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by noasaservice on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:07AM (#29922253)
Like the way corporations do, I guess?

PPP was a boon - 'Here is a loan that converts to freebie money for millions of companies'. Where'd the money go? Buying Lambo's and the like.

Or, when can I get a tax abatement for 10 years? COmpanies can because of this mythical 'they create jobs' tripe.

Just look up corporate welfare. And if I was permitted to, I would.