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Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by sylens on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:14AM (#29921588)
Yes, it's quite clearly this.

Millennials have been out there for nearly a decade yelling on social media about how ridiculous their student loans are. Kids on the precipice of college have started paying attention. Combine that with the restrictions for Covid, and you have a lot of kids who don't think that taking on tens of thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of dollars in debt is worth it for some Zoom classes.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bart_spoon on Thursday January 13, 2022 @10:52AM (#29922031)
Plus the amount and quality of alternative learning resources is very high, at least in some fields. I know coding bootcamps get a bad rep, often justified, but at the same time my buddy went to college for a degree in HR and I went for STEM. He ended up hating HR, did a 9 week boot camp, managed to get a job, and after a few years of experience is in roughly the same place as me and is thriving. It took him a little longer because of the time spent in HR, but ultimately he ended up with the same skill set I did between the 9 weeks of intensive study combined with on the job experience. Meanwhile I got a broader education, but the majority of it isn't very relevant on a day to day basis, if ever.

It's a single anecdote, but between online resources and alternative training programs, it seems harder to justify spending tens of thousands of dollars on college.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by feoren on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:51AM (#29923043)
It may seem right now like someone who did a 9-week bootcamp is in the same place as you, but the differences will start to show up after a few years. I have degrees in both CS and Math, and I often say that I got the most benefit from my CS degree in the first ~5 years of my career, and from my Math degree since then. The tech your buddy learned in bootcamp will get stale and he'll have to start over; meanwhile your deeper level of knowledge will help you contribute to the development of the next era of whatever you're working on. This is assuming other factors are roughly equal; of course if your buddy spends more time on self-learning than you, this might not come true.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by pcthrowaway on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:02PM (#29924200)
I graduated 10 years ago, and I don't feel like my degree benefits me much other than marginally in reputation.

I learned more practical skills from free online classes and tutorials than I did from my entire university program, and I can think of maybe a handful of times I've thought about complexity analysis. But I've also entirely avoided whiteboard interviews, so perhaps myself and prospective employers have selected for my weakness in academic computer science concepts.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by f6v on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:09AM (#29922288)
> Plus the amount and quality of alternative learning resources is very high, at least in some fields

Out of interest, what are other fields besides IT?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:40AM (#29922855)
It's a single anecdote, but between online resources and alternative training programs, it seems harder to justify spending tens of thousands of dollars on college.

The evidence suggests that bootcamp grads struggle at finding good jobs, and also bootcamps charge a lot up-front, whereas collages have more aid and other programs to defer payment.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by bart_spoon on Friday January 14, 2022 @08:52AM (#29934388)
From what I can see, new graduates also struggle to find good jobs. And while they may require more upfront, the actual costs still pale in comparison to college tuition and fees.

It’s not a panacea, but it’s a decent option when compared to going to college for 4 years, going tens of thousands of dollars into debt, all to get an education with a lot of material that is fairly irrelevant to a career, while not having much better job prospects, particularly after getting the first job in the field.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Frost1x on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:30AM (#29922641)
>Meanwhile I got a broader education, but the majority of it isn't very relevant on a day to day basis, if ever.

While I agree with your core sentiment, my opinion is that this is a symptom of a cultural/societal problem and not one of the schools. Modern Universities are certainly ripe with problems (largely driven by adopting business structures), including generally poor quality courses and curriculum within them, but I think you've identified a larger societal problem we have.

Why is it that broad education which is generally, at the very least in my opinion, clearly valuable yet so lowly valued in society? It's my opinion that we have institutional structures that, given a lack of opportunities, value specialized and specific knowledge over general knowledge.

Meanwhile, if you have the capability to escape these institutional shackles, general knowledge becomes far more valuable. On the labor side, labor markets are all about jobs and specialized roles with efficient production from that role. On the capital side, you need more general knowledge to see, connect, and sieze opportunities. It seems to me that most lack enough genuine realizable opportunity where general knowledge becomes valuable (say, seeking entrepreneurship) and in such a set of constraints, it makes complete sense why people specialize and chase demand of specialization because it's their most optimal strategy for financial success.

I work in R&D in startup-esk environments and my general knowledge is fairly well valued, however even here leadership sometimes fail to see how some book or article I read years ago, course I took, project I worked on years ago, etc. was critical to making the connection that made this research thing possible.

They value the general subset of knowledge I have that made their thing possible (oh boy you know A, B, and C and those saved us!!!), never mind the hydrology work I've done, it's irrelevant (D, or so they think, even though I may draw on concepts from such domains opaquely) or perhaps hours of video gaming (E, which lead to a game theoretic intuition about approaching an underlying problem). That knowledge was only appreciated after the fact because it made someone a pile of money or positioned a large contract.

I remember hating taking geology in college because "I'd never use it," then I did a lot of applied science and R&D in the fossil fuels industry and suddenly a lot of "silly" things I did in geology gave me a foundation to jump from and to build upon. That silly geology course made me boatloads of money in retrospect. Throughout my career I always like to look back when I have a problem and say "ah ha, I sure am glad I studied or read about X years ago, that's one less thing I need to internalize now to do this thing." I'm always surprised how much old general knowledge I draw upon for new problems and how valuable they truly are.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by cpascal on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:15PM (#29923445)
I'm glad that there is much more awareness and consideration around cost.

When I was in high school and applying to colleges around 2011, the advice given to us was to not take cost too seriously. Many authority figures (like high school counselors) told my peers and I to, "follow your heart" or "go where you think you'll fit in best".

On top of that, student loans and interest rates where not explained to us very well. Very few of us understood that borrowing 160k-200k to go to an out-of-state/private school could very well mean you were signing up for a lifelong debt.

Looking back, its insane we could make such a life altering/hindering decision with so little oversight from the "adults".

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by samarama on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:01AM (#29922188)
Are student loans really such an issue?

85% of graduates have less than $50,000 in student loans. Paid off over 20 years, that’s really not much. https://www.rclco.com/wp-content/uploads/advisory-student-de...

Additionally, those that have much higher loans are usually medical students who make $200,000/year at the entry level.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by issa on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:14AM (#29922377)
If you are in the US and know people who are aged 30-50 and not software engineers, this is almost all that they talk about. Some people manage to pay them off, others (due to high interest) owe more than when they started. It is a huge problem.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by cableshaft on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:29AM (#29922616)
Yep, I'm a software engineer and just about to pay them off (I slowed down because of the deferred loans, could have had it done in 2020).

Meanwhile my wife only makes an appreciable dent in hers whenever she gets a gift from family members, and she's still paying $900 a month to not do much more than tread water. She did get it paid down a bit more thanks to the past two years of deferrals, but she still owes a lot more than I ever borrowed (two years of my school were paid for by a scholarship).

It's been a steady drag on our income since we've been together. At least mine is just about to go away, mine was $400/month as well... that $1300/month is almost as much as our mortgage payment.

I have multiple friends that have just given up on ever paying off their student loan debt in their lifetime and only pay enough to keep it where it is (or slowly increasing even). You wonder why people aren't buying homes and having children, there it is. I guess the solution to overpopulation is just saddle everyone with a bunch of debt, then.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by samarama on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:55AM (#29923115)
Do you have sources for this, because the numbers don’t reflect this.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by issa on Thursday January 13, 2022 @07:16PM (#29928891)
Obviously I don't have statistics on the people I talk to at that age, but to get a sense of the scope of the problem, 6,100,000 people are behind on payments. https://educationdata.org/how-many-people-have-student-loans
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by samarama on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:16PM (#29930532)
Sure but 85% of those have loans less than $50,000 and those that have more have entry levels salaries of $200,000 usually.

That seems rather small for such a huge debating point?

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by issa on Monday January 17, 2022 @05:41PM (#29972525)
It would if it were true. But in reality, there are lots of people with $40k starting salary jobs (example: a librarian, which requires a masters degree!) paying off $50k loans with 8% interest rates.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by belval on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922676)
It's probably my Canadian experience talking, but this sentence:

> 85% of graduates have less than $50,000 in student loans. Paid off over 20 years, that’s really not much.

It is pretty terrifying that you manage to mentally justify going in debt for 20 years over your college education. I understand that given a good job it's easy to pay it back, but I never even borrowed even a tenth of that to complete my engineering degree and I've probably paid my education back several time in taxes to the government.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:41AM (#29922881)
But there is no magic you are paying higher taxes and that’s not for 20 years it’s forever
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lapsedacademic on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:09PM (#29923347)
There are two sources of "magic":

1. Efficiency. Canadian universities deliver similar/better products at much lower cost. Not just cost at point of use, but actual "amount of money spend annually to deliver education".

2. Financing model. Taxation allows you to fund things without paying interest to a middle man. If you pay off a set of loans whose principle is 50K, but with 5%-7% interest rates, then you're paying a lot more than 50K. So even if the products were equal in price, the taxation model might work out ahead.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:32PM (#29923759)
thats great in theory the thing is though that US student will make 15K more after tax so break even will be 3.3y
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lapsedacademic on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:43PM (#29923908)
1. That number seems way off. What are your assumptions?

2. I haven't looked at the data, but I'm going to go out on a VERY short branch here and assert that the entire delta between US and CA tax rates is not consumed by higher education.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:23PM (#29924529)
this would obviously depend on the field but generally there is significantly lower comp in Canada vs US for the same job. Taxes are lower in US too.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by lapsedacademic on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:36PM (#29924693)
> but generally there is significantly lower comp in Canada

Right, I figured. This is entirely orthogonal to the discussion about the problems with higher ed in the us...

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by belval on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:09PM (#29924303)
Honestly (I know that's not true of all states) but I worked in California and the taxes I was paying there were higher than my taxes in Quebec/British Columbia.

Yes taxation is higher, but I still feel like we get a lot more bang for our bucks here.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by qaq on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:24PM (#29924539)
Well that's one exception but in CA public Unis are good and fairly cheap.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by vorpalhex on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:30AM (#29922649)
Part of the issue is that you can get these loans regardless your program. Chemical engineering? Here you go. Studying gay romances in 14th century literature? Yup, here's your 50k too.

One of those people can pay that loan off in two years. One of them is likely never going to pay it off without a career change.

Of course, we probably don't want loan officers picking what poor people can major in either.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by giaour on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:50AM (#29923024)
The person studying gay romances in 14th century literature is probably a PhD student with a stipend and full tuition remission. They're getting subsidized by MBA tuition dollars, not by loans.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ativzzz on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:20PM (#29923551)
Sure, but they go through an undergrad in English or something similar before they are a PhD, for which they take the loan, then they don't earn any money (just enough to subsist) while the interest on their undergrad loan accrues. Or the interest may be deferred but the loan is still there.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by rdtwo on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:50PM (#29924014)
The chemistry undergrad has similar career prospects sadly
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by Sohcahtoa82 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @03:52PM (#29926668)
I'm an advocate for requiring career counseling before taking out student loans.

I would not say that people should be denied based on their chosen major, but prospective students should be shown statistics on the average salaries, unemployment, and usage rates of the major they're interested in and compare it to the projected costs and resulting loan debt.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by thehappypm on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:11AM (#29922323)
A $50,000 loan with a high interest rate is not good AT ALL.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by xhkkffbf on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:26AM (#29922577)
Exactly. The fellow above is foolish to think that even $10k is manageable for people in entry level jobs. Even good coders have to strain to pay off $10k-20k.

Plus, you're right that the interest rate is insane when banks are paying 1%.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by vorpalhex on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:32AM (#29922699)
"Below $50,000". And student loans have low rates unless you go private. Of course, who is more likely to need private loans they may not be able to pay? Probably not the trust fund kids.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by giaour on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:53AM (#29923078)
"Low rates" here meaning 8%?! It's lower than credit card APR, but would you take a large installment loan at that rate?

The interest rate especially shocking when you consider that interest is supposed to pay for the creditor taking on the risk of default, which is almost impossible with student loans.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by swagasaurus-rex on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:21PM (#29923563)
You hit on a key point. Lender sees non-dischargeable loans as FREE MONEY.

They're pushing these onto kids who are barely adults because its FREE MONEY to them.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by selectodude on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:45AM (#29922937)
Federal loan maximums for dependent students is $31,000. Huge numbers of students need to dip into the private loan kitty and get fucked.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:48AM (#29923000)
By that logic there should be much more outrage about credit card debt, car loan debt.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by giaour on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:54AM (#29923106)
Unlike student loans, those debts can be discharged in bankruptcy.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by thehappypm on Thursday January 13, 2022 @06:33PM (#29928543)
Spoiler alert, many people think these are predatory too
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by drak0n1c on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:58PM (#29924141)
Federal guarantees for the $120+ billion in annual new student loans that the DOE boasts of in its annual letter are still one of the primary drivers of tuition inflation - with tuition increases compounded over decades that increases costs for both those who take loans and those who don't.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by rileyphone on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:47AM (#29922973)
Yes, we shouldn’t penalize people for getting an education and becoming better citizens. Many are drowning in the non-absolvable debt for student loans. And the entry level out of med school is a residency making a third of that number.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by dzonga on Thursday January 13, 2022 @01:07PM (#29924272)
I know someone who's about to a Physical Therapist, doctorate. she's gonna leave school owing 200k+. yet starting salary will be 85k that I made coming out of state college as a CS grad.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:31AM (#29922667)
this times 100x. The problem may seem really bad, but wages are high enough that college grads still earn more than high school grads even after accounting for inflation and student loan debt.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @11:29AM (#29922633)
you have a lot of kids who don't think that taking on tens of thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of dollars in debt is worth it for some Zoom classes.

Yeah, but you are assuming people only go to college for its educational value , ignoring that college grads tend to have much higher wages and lower unemployment compared to high school grads. If you look at FIRE subs for example, almost everyone who attains early retirement has a degree. The college wage premium is amplified by both higher wages and higher returns from investments by investing said wages in rapidly appreciating stocks and real estate (the post-2009 bull market in real estate and stocks, on an real basis, exceeds even the '80s and '90s).

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ozzythecat on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:07PM (#29923311)
You’re implying causation - that a college degree is the cause of these outcomes. I’m not convinced that’s true, and in my mind, it might be one of the most damaging beliefs.

It could be that people who are driven or passionate, on average, want to pursue higher education, or that they take on risks, exercise their brains in learning endeavors, and it’s their effort and drive that leads to success.

It’s entirely possible that high earners have college degrees because they were told that to be successful, they had to go to college. It’s a belief they were raised with.

I think it’s highly misguided that we give college so much credit. And we also demonstrate survivorship bias where those who went to college but didn’t get the pay off are blamed for having made some wrong decision.

We treat higher education as a silver bullet and put it on a pedestal when it’s not.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by majani on Friday January 14, 2022 @08:18AM (#29934073)
Yup, it's certain traits that lead people to go for certain degrees and we use the degree as a quick and fair signal for those traits. If you have a problem with that signal, try develop another one which is at least as quick and fair of a representation of those traits as a degree is.

Also if companies gain a substantial advantage using other signals outside of degrees, you can be guaranteed that their competitors in their industry will follow. In media and marketing, degrees have long been abandoned for other signals such as portfolios and social media engagement

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by paulpauper on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:42PM (#29923896)
This may be true, but at the same time, if the goal is to make a lot of money, rich parents and other luck aside, a college degree in a high-paying major is probably the best shot at it, instead for example trying to copy Garry Vanverchuck or Steve Jobs. Drive and effort apply for all professions, but it's just that college grads will get a higher return for their effort.
Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by hn_throwaway_99 on Thursday January 13, 2022 @12:02PM (#29923234)
> you have a lot of kids who don't think that taking on tens of thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of dollars in debt is worth it for some Zoom classes.

> Yeah, but you are assuming people only go to college for its educational value , ...

But that's exactly the point, a huge expectation of going to college is the whole college experience: building independence, lifelong friendships, extracurriculars, etc. 50k for Zoom? Fuck that.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by whywhywhywhy on Friday January 14, 2022 @06:39AM (#29933241)
Keep seeing “the experience“ over and over in this thread.

Children literally taking out 5 and 6 figure loans for a glorified multi-year vacation with some half arsed “education” strapped to it.

Re:More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest nu... by ryanSrich on Thursday January 13, 2022 @05:05PM (#29927569)
It’s mind boggling how bad student loans are looking back at it. It was just normal to spend $100k over 4 years.

I finally paid mine and my wife’s off in 2020 and when I did the math, combined we paid $216k over 7 years post college. We were both lucky enough to have well paying jobs, but so so many people don’t. Some of these people even with decent jobs will be paying $500-$1000/m for nearly the rest of their lives.