News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re: by karel-3d on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:09AM (#44245303)
The money situation is what gives me pause with LLMs.

The amount of money it's burned on this is giant; those companies will need to make so much money to have any possibility of return. The idea is that we will all spend more money on AI that we spend on phones, and we will spend it on those companies only... I don't know, it just doesn't add up.

As a user it's a great free ride though. Maybe there IS such a thing as a free lunch after all!

Re: by Mistletoe on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:18AM (#44245349)
I’m constantly confused why Google wants me to use Gemini so much. Why would they want me to use an AI that doesn’t show ads, isn’t their search, and costs them money to generate the responses? The instant we see ads in LLMs we will stop using them, it will be as abrupt and as annoying as the vuvuzela example because using an LLM is a very intimate interaction. It will feel much more jarring when your intimate chat friend becomes a used car salesman to you. I get that AI=stock go up right now but it seems like they are poisoning their own well deeply down this path.
Re: by lipowitz on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:28AM (#44245413)
Google thinks it is going to charge a monthly fee for Gemini so they are basically correcting their model to be user paid in the switch from search to LLM.

They are also trying to reduce workers in search, etc, somewhat through the trained LLMs so the other idea is that they have lower costs per user.

I don't think many people will pay monthly fees or will want to pay them for each platform they use which is why they all tend to do so many questionable integration attempts to try to get users to not want to use a separate LLM of their choice in a browser instead.

Re: by k__ on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:45AM (#44245516)
This.

Gemini Pro requires a monthly subscription.

Seems like a pretty straightforward business model.

Re: by Mistletoe on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:46PM (#44252630)
How many would really pay though? I certainly wouldn't. Would you pay for Google search?
Re: by lipowitz on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:40PM (#44253327)
Their ads are very convincing, I'd pay up to 40¢ a month for Gemini to tell me how to recover with a recipe for tomato sauce I accidentally put sugar in, though only in months where I inexplicably add sugar to things.
Re: by aleph_minus_one on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:25AM (#44245388)
> I’m constantly confused why Google wants me to use Gemini so much. Why would they want me to use an AI that doesn’t show ads, isn’t their search, and costs them money to generate the responses? The instant we see ads in LLMs we will stop using them, it will be as abrupt and as annoying as the vuvuzela example because using an LLM is a very intimate interaction.

I think with the last sub-clause (that I emphasized), you answered your question: because the conversation is more intimate, Google learns more about your "true interests", be it to make advertising to you more targeted, or for more sinister purposes.

Re: by 9dev on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:24AM (#44246057)
Google has this pesky problem of carrying almost all their eggs in one basket: The moment their ad business doesn’t work anymore, the behemoth that Google is will come down to its knees. But due to the way the company is structured, they need search to drive users to the ads, and it’s all one big mess of entangled revenue streams that can’t be touched for fear of breaking something.

Now if AI turns out to be the next big thing, they can steer differently next time, sell subscriptions, and avoid all that entanglement with multi-sided markets and layered revenue strategies. At least that’s my take.

Re: by h2zizzle on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:38AM (#44246528)
>The moment their ad business doesn’t work anymore, the behemoth that Google is will come down to its knees.

Which makes it all the weirder that they seem to be intentionally sabotaging it by nerfing Search into unusability.

Re: by Marazan on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:46AM (#44247047)
The slow destruction of Google search is and will continue to be revenue positive for Google right up until the point where it isn't.

Eventually they will break the "trust thermocline" in their search results and that will blow it up but on the way they'll keep making more and more money from every damaging change they make.

Re: by woooooo on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:06AM (#44247778)
Crucially, the people driving each incremental change get to celebrate the extra revenue they drove and get promoted for it.
Re: by autoexec on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:31PM (#44249850)
> they need search to drive users to the ads

Why? The websites we visit can still be infested with google's ads, and so can our gmail accounts, and so can the youtube videos we watch, and they can push ads directly onto our cell phones 24/7. Google has plenty of ways to force ads into your life.

Google used to need search in order to build extensive dossiers on everyone. It told them what people were looking for online. What they were interested in. Now Google has their cell phones, their browser, and their DNS servers doing that for them. Most people are handing all of their browsing history to Google. Google doesn't need search, which is why it's been allowed to atrophy into uselessness.

Re: by fragmede on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:03PM (#44250710)
This was true, and is why Google didn't come out with ChatGPT themselves 5 years earlier. But since OpenAI's come to take their lunch, they understand this predicament and are pivoting.
Re: by 9dev on Thursday June 12, 2025 @03:03AM (#44254901)
Until that pivot isn't even close to complete, this continues to be true. Take ads away now, and Google ceases to exist tomorrow. It's going to take a long time until that fundamentally changes.
Re: by pbhjpbhj on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:32AM (#44245431)
If you're going to use an LLM instead of their search better to keep you on their estate. Presumably they're using responses to tune a personalisation layer, or in some way, they can use to modify their advertising algos?
Re: by dragonwriter on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:56AM (#44245581)
> The instant we see ads in LLMs we will stop using them

But what if you don't see distinct ads? LLM advertising can just be paid-for bias in the generated content.

Re: by lblume on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:06AM (#44245639)
Moreover, the bias could be arbitrarily subtle. This is something that really worries me about black box AI systems.
Re: by MrGilbert on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:52AM (#44245863)
I‘d argue that, at some point, this behavior will surface enough that it gets interesting for government to take a look at it. At least in my country, ads need to be labeled as such - I don’t think this is going to change.
Re: by Lu2025 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:34AM (#44246492)
The entire business model of tech is to fly under the radar of regulations. They can't even force the bastards to stop tormenting us with cookie pop-ups, i seriously doubt the government will do much.
Re: by bjt on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:48PM (#44249432)
What marketing department on earth is going to pay for an ad campaign so subtle that they can't even tell if it's running?

Ad budgets aren't bottomless. People making decisions about them have a lot of options for where to spend. They want provable attribution so they can tell which channel is giving them the most bang for the buck. If that exists, then the ads will be discernible.

Re: by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:32AM (#44245770)
I saw my first AI ad yesterday, in Microsoft Copilot, recommending a Jetbrains product.
Re: by fragmede on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:40AM (#44245481)
> The instant we see ads in LLMs we will stop using them

You mean like how the instant we see ads on YouTube we will stop using it?

Re: by sundarurfriend on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:11AM (#44246338)
Or like how the instant Netflix disables password sharing, we will stop subscribing to it.
Re: by dismalaf on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:31AM (#44246100)
Because Gemini has paid tiers. Also to prevent users from going to other providers.
Re: by Xenoamorphous on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:20AM (#44247330)
> The instant we see ads in LLMs we will stop using them

People didn’t stop using Google Search, Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, TikTok and a myriad other services and products (and things like TV before those) because they got ads.

Re: by tartoran on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:17PM (#44249144)
It's not just ads but plenty of dark patterns. At some point as a user you no longer have much control and no longer get what you were looking for and decide to leave. But the slow boiling leaves a lot of frogs in the pan, it will probably be a slow decay before death. To me browsing the net is unusable without ad blockers but there are many users out there who don't know what ad blockers are.
Re: by closewith on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:27AM (#44245400)
> The idea is that we will all spend more money on AI that we spend on phones, and we will spend it on those companies only... I don't know, it just doesn't add up.

My companies currently spend more on AI than phones - hardware and subscriptions. It's now the second highest expense to salaries and director's remuneration.

Re: by Mizza on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:34AM (#44245441)
What are you doing with it?
Re: by multjoy on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:38AM (#44245469)
Anything that could possibly justify the expense, I suspect, whether it is the right thing or not.
Re: by closewith on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:01AM (#44245613)
Isn't that true of all software development?

But we are lily-white both legally and ethically. One of the perks to a lifestyle business beholden to no investors.

Re: by closewith on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:55AM (#44245576)
We make compliance software for EU enterprises that helps them remain GDPR compliant when writing software. We use agentic LLMs in our client-facing software development, which is largely industry-specific CRUD apps that use our existing APIs.
Re: by immibis on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:35AM (#44245454)
More hopeful explanation: they'll never make their money back and this is either part of the great rebalancing or great collapse of the economic forces that be.
Re: by sheiyei on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:57AM (#44245588)
<AIs are much better at responding to my intent, and they rarely attempt to sell me anything> YET.
Re: by Llamamoe on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:26AM (#44246434)
It's very possible that they never will, that instead the advertising will be so subtle nobody will be able to detect it. Including phrases similar to what products, brands, and their actual ads use in positive contexts, sentences that don't mention but make you think of products, being just slightly likely to bring a brand up than its competitor, and a tiny bit more critical of it, etc.

The goal isn't to have an ad->purchase, the goal is to make sure the purchase is more likely in the long term.

Re: by joegibbs on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:32AM (#44246479)
I think subliminal advertising is banned in quite a few countries - not sure about the US - so it might be a problem internationally. I know that here in Australia there was a big scare about it in the mid 2000s, some station was cutting 100ms ads into shows. Not sure about the efficacy of it though, I’m sure it would be better if you watched a whole ad.
Re: by JambalayaJimbo on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:57AM (#44247685)
TV shows and movies often have subliminal ads. A character will use a specific type of phone for example.
Re: by inejge on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:25AM (#44247968)
That's not subliminal, that's plain old product placement.
Re: by Llamamoe on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:11AM (#44247836)
How are you going to prove that a few thousand weights among billions on a privately owned server were actually amplified or ablated post-training?
Re: by sumtechguy on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:25AM (#44248644)
Edward Bernays created a method to get people to buy/hate/like things. It is used all the time. Its manipulative and shockingly effective. You will never see it coming. It is used all the time on everyone for any plethora of subjects. Subliminal advertising while mildly effective can not hold a candle to the Edward Barnays method of selling.
Re: by rustcleaner on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:47AM (#44248872)
Meme magic, is what I call it. Like how the stage magician moves whole islands for the crowd, TV magicians move whole populations by changing their internal representative models of reality.

This is the machine that magicians program for: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wo_e0EvEZn8

Re: by Lu2025 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:28AM (#44246453)
This gave me creeps. Modern tech is good an opening up new dimensions of dystopian hell.
Re: by manosyja on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:20AM (#44246845)
Don’t worry, Doomguy will seal the inter-dimensional portal and kill the icon of sin
Re: by Melonai on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:23AM (#44247950)
I don't think Sam Altman enjoys being called that. :)
Re: by layer8 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:35AM (#44246959)
I’m pretty sure it would be measurable. How else would advertisers pay for it? And given that advertisers would know about it, it would also be generally known. I wager that enough people and businesses would reject it, if it isn’t outright illegal in the first place.
Re: by Llamamoe on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:08AM (#44247803)
Who says it has to be measurable in the output? It could be correlated with searches and purchases of fingerprinted users/demographics, or even just temporally.
Re: by dwighttk on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:58AM (#44247138)
Maybe OpenAI will just have a range of products they manufacture and push
Re: by autoexec on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:06PM (#44249611)
It it makes them money, businesses will do it even if it is outright illegal
Re: by karaterobot on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:42AM (#44248158)
I agree they'd love to do that in theory, and it seems technically feasible. What gives me hope on that front is that marketers and advertisers (let alone the companies that pay them) have never shown the slightest capacity for that level of subtlety. The most sophisticated adtech today, produced by networks of massive data collection and analysis, ultimately just tries to shove as many loud, disruptive ads in your face as possible.

I think if you had this incredible technology that could manipulate language to nudge readers in the softest possible way toward thinking a little bit more about buying some product, so that in aggregate you'd increase sales in a measurable way that nobody would ever notice, it would just quickly just devolve into companies demanding the phrase "BUY MORE REYNOLDS GARBAGE BAGS!!!!!!!!" at least 7 times.

Re: by cgriswald on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:59PM (#44249534)
I've noticed this even with product placement in film and television. It's not enough that Super Agent X drives a Palmora Targon, they just have to pan, zoom, tilt the camera to include a shot of the Palmora logo perfectly centered in frame for a few seconds as the car careens off a cliff. I'm only surprised the protagonist isn't also talking about how well the car has served him with its <insert technical details> as he laments its loss while he parachutes to safety.
Re: by GLdRH on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:50PM (#44252206)
Community made me buy a honda.
Re: by sandy_coyote on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:40AM (#44248804)
This is credible simply because this is how advertising works. Product placement, free products for celebs, modern life awash in images that make us desire things.
Re: by usefulcat on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:12PM (#44249105)
> It's very possible that they never will, that instead the advertising will be so subtle nobody will be able to detect it.

I was going to write a rebuttal to this, about how more subtle forms of advertising are likely not very effective, and then I remembered subliminal advertising.

It's largely been banned (I think), but probably only because it's relatively easy to define and very easy to identify. In the case of LLMs, defining what they shouldn't be allowed to do "subliminally" will be a lot harder, and identifying it could be all but impossible without inside knowledge.

Re: by jandrese on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:47PM (#44249421)
Yeah, the laws against subliminal advertising were written in a rather knee jerk reaction to the creepiness of the entire concept instead of as a result of careful study and analysis.

How effective is it? We don't know, but there is nothing of potential value to lose so nobody really cared. Just ban it and move on.

Re: by ToucanLoucan on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:22PM (#44250356)
> It's very possible that they never will

Oh come on.

Genuinely.

Come on.

Look at every single tech innovation of the last 20 years and say that again.

Re: by yencabulator on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:52PM (#44253093)
That still sounds like AIs attempting to sell you something, to me.
Re: by pcthrowaway on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:21AM (#44245713)
Remember, Google also didn't have ads interspersed with their search results for over 1̶2̶ 2 years
Re: by Cthulhu_ on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:05AM (#44246729)
And they were actually praised when they did start doing ads because they weren't as obtrusive as the existing heavy duty in-your-face Flash animations and they were relevant to a user.

It quickly turned Google into the biggest / most valuable internet company of all time ever, and it still wasn't enough for them.

I've had adblockers running for as long as I can remember so I'm blisfully unaware of how bad it is now... mostly, I don't have adblockers on my phone and some pages are unusable.

Re: by throwaway290 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:59AM (#44247144)
When ads are too many blame website owners, as far as I know Google does not hijack websites to put more ads.

Ads done right is the least bad way of supporting free stuff for people who don't want to pay the cost. But people with ubo punish all sites regardless of whether they do ads nicely or not.

You are right now writing in a thread about upcming future where promotion is embedded in the content so that content itself is one big ad disguised as whatever. Do you really think it's a better alternative to clearly delimited and unmistakeable ads?

Re: by kristianc on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:30AM (#44246087)
That wasn’t out of benevolence, that’s because they hadn’t discovered the ads business model yet. The genie is well and truly out of the bottle now.
Re: by wizzwizz4 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:46AM (#44246181)
They're on record as talking about how Google has better results because it doesn't have ads.
Re: by passwordoops on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:54AM (#44246231)
At that time and it's what got them the market share. Once they achieved monopoly status "Don't be Evil" was quietly replaced by "You call that an acceptable margin?!"
Re: by schmidtleonard on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:51AM (#44248917)
They always knew.

> The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users.

- Sergey Brin and Lawrence Page, The Anatomy of a Large-Scale Hypertextual Web Search Engine

http://infolab.stanford.edu/~backrub/google.html

Re: by jkaptur on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:38AM (#44246137)
Google was founded in 1998 and you could buy ads on the search results page in 2000. https://googlepress.blogspot.com/2000/10/google-launches-sel...
Re: by JohnMakin on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:56AM (#44246238)
It’s crazy on the web when you point out that google or google products used to be much better in the past someone will come out of nowhere to tell you it’s always been that way

what is this instinct? anyone that’s over the age of 25 would know

Re: by krisoft on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:48AM (#44246595)
> what is this instinct?

"The rules were you guys weren't going to fact check."

The instinct is about pointing out factual inaccuracies. What they wrote is either correct, or not. If it is not, and someone knows better they can and should point that out.

If you, or some other commenter, have a fuzzy feeling that google is worse than it used to be you are free to write that. You are perfectly entitled to that opinion. But you can't just make up false statements and expect to be unchallenged and unchallengeable on it.

Re: by thaumasiotes on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:50AM (#44247076)
Except that jkaptur is the one making up false statements, and then providing "citations" that contradict him. I don't think an instinct to point out inaccuracies can explain that. There would have to be inaccuracies to point out first.
Re: by JohnMakin on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:30AM (#44247438)
If you believe stuff like this isn’t actual astroturfing, you must face that from somewhere there seems to exist a deeply ingrained belief from a subset of extremely vocal and argumentative people that Google is amazing and if it isnt well that’s just how the web is now (ignore the google man behind the curtain that created the modern web in the first place) and if it’s not that well, it’s always been this way (even if it hasn’t).

There is a very strong stance on this site against talking about astroturfing, and I understand it. But for the life of me, I cannot figure out where this general type of sentiment originates. I don’t know any google enthusiasts and am not sure I’ve ever met one. It’s a fairly uncontroversial take on this website and in the tech world that google search has worsened (the degree of which is debateable). Coming out and saying boldly “no it isn’t, you’re lying” is just crazy weird to me and again I’m very curious where that sentiment comes from.

see some of the sibling and aunt/uncle comments in this thread to get at a little of what I’m talking about.

Re: by thaumasiotes on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:43AM (#44248161)
There was a pretty insane comment in this genre a month ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43951164

> If Google [had been] broken up 20 years ago [...] [e]veryone would still be paying for email.

Some people don't have the foggiest idea what they're talking about. But I don't really see that as suggesting they're part of an organized campaign.

Re: by cgriswald on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:16PM (#44249695)
All I see here is someone making a claim and someone else making a different claim. They may have erroneously intended the claim in opposition, either missing or interpreting differently the 'interspersed' qualifier. Or, alternatively, they may believe when any ads appeared is more meaningful in the context of this discussion.

I think Google search has gone downhill tremendously to the point of near uselessness and have been a Kagi subscriber for awhile, but I don't see astroturf in this instance. Do you have other examples?

Re: by autoexec on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:17PM (#44249714)
I was a google fan back when they first started and were just a search engine. Search engines like Yahoo and excite became massively bloated and ad-filled while google was clean and fast.

I wasn't a fan for very long. Google got creepy fast, and at this point their search is becoming useless, but for a short time I really thought that Google is amazing and I was an enthusiast.

Re: by krisoft on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:20PM (#44253228)
> Except that jkaptur is the one making up false statements, and then providing "citations" that contradict him.

I believe I have covered that case in my comment. Let me quote the relevant part here for you: “What they wrote is either correct, or not. If it is not, and someone knows better they can and should point that out.”

That being said could you help me by pointing out the inaccuracy in jkaptur’s comment? It seems fairly simple and as far as I can see well supported by the source.

Re: by JohnMakin on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:01AM (#44247154)
Other than the fact the parent comment to this subthread is posting a literal factual innacuracy regarding the history of ads on google - It’s not just one guy’s “fuzzy feeling.” It’s been written about in so many thousands of words over the last two years and is the general sentiment across the tech space. It’s sort of the major reason big companies like chatGPT, and smaller ones like Kagi are trying to swoop in and fill this void. it’s fairly obvious to anyone paying attention.

You can sealion with posts like this all you want but every time someone counters a post like this with ample evidence it gets group downvoted or ignored. You are also making an assertion that you’re free to back with evidence, that google and google products are not noticeably worse than 10 years ago.

here’s one study that says yes, it is bad:

https://downloads.webis.de/publications/papers/bevendorff_20...

Since we don’t have a time machine and can’t study the google of 2015 we have to rely on collective memory, don’t we? You proclaiming “it’s always been this way” and saying any assertion otherwise is false is an absolutely unfalsifisble statement. As I said, anyone over 25 knows.

Besides perusing the wealth of writing about this the last two years or so, in which the tech world at large has lamented at how bad search specifically has gotten - we also see market trends where people are increasingly seeking tools like chatGPT and LLM’s as a search replacement. Surely you, a thinking individual, could come to some pretty obvious conclusions as to why that might be, which is that google search has got a lot worse. The language models well known to make up stuff and people still are preferring them because search is somehow even less reliable and definitely more exhausting, and it was not always this way. If it was always this way, why are so many people turning to other tools?

Re: by krisoft on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:15PM (#44253214)
> Other than the fact the parent comment to this subthread is posting a literal factual innacuracy regarding the history of ads on google

Sounds like it should be very easy to counter their argument then.

For my education could you tell me which part of their message is inaccurate? The “Google was founded in 1998” or the “and you could buy ads on the search results page in 2000.” part?

> You are also making an assertion that you’re free to back with evidence, that google and google products are not noticeably worse than 10 years ago.

I did not make such an assertion. Where in my comment do you think i’m making that assertion?

> You proclaiming “it’s always been this way”

I’m sorry but who are you quoting? Did you perhaps misclicked which comment you wanted to respond to?

Re: by h2zizzle on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:26AM (#44246438)
Many people who post here are, were, or would like to be Googlers. Maybe not so much astroturfing ao much as a kind of corporate hasbara (though maybe both).
Re: by thaumasiotes on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:53AM (#44248303)
> Maybe not so much astroturfing as much as a kind of corporate hasbara

What's the difference? In astroturfing, someone pays people to form an organization, claim to have no external support, and do some kind of activism.

In hasbara, the government of Israel pays people to not form an organization, claim to have no external support, and do various kinds of pro-Israel and pro-Jew activism. This looks like astroturfing with the major vulnerability of the no-external-support claim shored up.

Re: by h2zizzle on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:12PM (#44249672)
Fair. The main difference is that people here don't like it when you call it astroturfing.
Re: by Xss3 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:29AM (#44246457)
But they weren't interspersed they were in a sidebar.
Re: by thaumasiotes on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:54AM (#44246228)
Ads on the page aren't the same thing as ads interspersed with the results. The ads used to be in a sidebar, or in an inset with a different background color that appeared above all results.

Read your own link:

> For example, entering the query "buy domain" into the search box on Google’s home page produces search results and an AdWords text advertisement that appears to the right of Google’s search results

> Google’s quick-loading AdWords text ads appear to the right of the Google search results and are highlighted as sponsored links, clearly separate from the search results. Google’s premium sponsorship ads will continue to appear at the top of the search results page.

Re: by d_phase on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:05AM (#44246293)
You obviously haven't been A/B tested yet. I got very obvious advertisements in a super simple question I asked last week to ChatGPT. The question was "When was the last year it was really smokey in Canada" it answered in one paragraph, then gave me about 6 paragraphs of ads for air purifiers, masks etc.

I'd guess we're only 6-12 months out from a full advertisement takeover.

Re: by sheiyei on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:14AM (#44246353)
It was a quote, which I failed to format in this app I use.
Re: by Marazan on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:43AM (#44247025)
The simpler explanation is that ChatGPT is trained on webpages that have been SEO'd to death.

So you are just getting SEO'd pages (i.e ads) regurgitated to you.

Re: by bombcar on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:37AM (#44247498)
This is of course, absolutely, master sahib boss man.

Have you considered buying a ChatGPT filter/scrubber to clean your results? Only $9.99 a month! Not available in all areas, not legal in most of the world.

;) and </s>

Re: by bandoti on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:36AM (#44247494)
I think it’s time folks dust off their library cards :)

Or support an open source AI model.

I stopped using ChatGPT when it started littering my conversation with emojis. It acts like one of those overzealous kids on Barney.

Re: by conception on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:12AM (#44247845)
Re: by reverendsteveii on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:48AM (#44248230)
thank you. the idea that this will be the one thing that doesn't get enshittified when it's being so heavily pushed by the people who enshittified everything else is frankly absurd
Re: by jameshart on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:21AM (#44248595)
The race right now is to get your product embedded as highly recommendable in the training data sets the AIs are learning from.
Re: by jiveturkey on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:26AM (#44248646)
I would wager that the most prevalent use of AI today is to sell you ads. Whether through market analysis, campaign analysis, content optimization, and content generation.
Re: by bondarchuk on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:02AM (#44245918)
"It has cost a lot of money and therefore they will try very hard to make it back". I don't think it really makes sense. Companies will always try to make the maximum amount of money anyway.
Re: by h2zizzle on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:33AM (#44246487)
No? Some companies are mission-driven. Some are ran by people with ethical scruples, and/or who will forego short-term profit for long-term brand image. Some (allegedly) have been infiltrated or taken over by bad actors who purposely sabotage the company's profitability. Some are private and simply do as they wish.

I wish we wouldn't mindlessly repeat these platitudes. Try and falsify your statements before posting.

Re: by LeifCarrotson on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:48AM (#44247596)
Some are or at least start that way, but they exist in a competitive market.

In our current regulatory and economic environment, it appears that mission-driven, long-term oriented, ethical companies are typically out-competed by finance-driven, short-term oriented, greedy companies.

The article describes the struggle of using a search engine in 2025. Which is to say, using Google in 2025. Search engines benefit greatly from huge economies of scale, and most websites are optimized for Google SEO and for their ad network. Sure, the folks at DuckDuckGo (my search engine) or Kagi appear to be your good sort of company, but the revenue and popularity of those companies is a rounding error in comparison to Alphabet, Inc. They can't afford the crawlers and infrastructure of the big finance-oriented players, they can't convince most websites to optimize for their engine, and most people don't even know they exist.

Sure, there's a handful of people running the equivalent of a small-town grocery with local farm-sourced produce and hand-selected general goods as a passion project, working long hours and slowly chewing through their savings. And there are a handful of people who feel that the existence of such a place is important, and shop there out of principles in spite of the incentives and penalties associated with that behavior. But most of the country is overrun by Dollar Generals and Wal Marts.

Re: by h2zizzle on Friday June 13, 2025 @05:29AM (#44267037)
Costco.

Anyway, it's a self-fulfilling prophecy. Companies were told that this was the way to make money, and that they were in fact obligated to operate this way, by an economic school with ulterior motives. Companies began behaving this way, and lobbying to create a regulatory environment conducive to that behavior. However, it's not natural or even optimal. Many companies treat their employees, customers, AND investors well, and it takes a concerted effort by bad actors during a temporary moment of weakness to shift their policies to the "norm" (not because it's more profitable in the long term, but because such companies represent a threat to the others that would rather enrich investors at everyone else's expense).

Suffice it to say, the idea that the inevitable end state of a corporation is a glorified leech is terminally cynical. And also wrong. And the best way to keep it from happening is to recognize the myth as such, because the people who wish to pervert the common mission of business - provide things and help for people - require that others fail to notice their subterfuge.

Re: by bell-cot on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:00AM (#44246263)
Obviously true.

OTOH, there are far too many people who desperately want to believe in cool new stuff really being free, without any "gotcha" down the line.

Re: by jerf on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:44AM (#44247030)
Yes, but there are definitely levels of desperation. Companies confident that "somehow, it'll all work out" are quite different than "oh crap the money is gone we need revenue now". We're probably entering that transition sometimes this year.
Re: by HappMacDonald on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:20AM (#44247328)
Google is certainly showing unusual signs of revenue wringing desperation at the end-user level in the past year or so.
Re: by Lu2025 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:27AM (#44246442)
Regarding money, they label a lot of expenses as R&D and write them off taxes. Taxpayers foot the bill to some extent.
Re: by andruby on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:19AM (#44246836)
That's not how accounting works. Companies pay salaries and pay for hardware. They don't make profit so they don't pay taxes.

By labeling the salaries as R&D assets and amortizing that over 5 years (instead of taking it completely in the first year), they're more likely to make "accounting" profit and pay taxes in the early years.

Those legislative changes will likely move forward the taxes being paid.

But to your point: not paying taxes because a company is investing doesn't mean taxpayers are footing the bill. It does mean the company isn't contributing to paying taxes while it is in "growth investing" mode.

Re: by jonplackett on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:27AM (#44246448)
They’re all investing with the assumption they can be the ‘winner’ and take all the spoils.

Maybe nvidia can be a winner selling shovels but it seems like everyone else will just be fighting each other in the massive pit they dug.

Re: by philipwhiuk on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:18AM (#44247307)
NVIDIA is already a winner selling shovels.

They don't need a winner, they want the race to continue as long as possible.

Re: by Xss3 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:28AM (#44246450)
Ai is in its early youtube phase. Everyone loves that it's free and adfree and that its algorithm's primary purpose is to serve relevant content not profitable content, everyone knows it can't stay that way, and we are all waiting for the enshittification to kick in on the march to profitability.

The question is, will AI chat or search ever be profitable? What enshittification will happen on that road? Will AIs be interrupting conversations to espouse their love of nordvpn or raid shadow legends?

Re: by tartoran on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:07AM (#44248464)
I'm aware this is going to happen. but you don't think offline solutions will be more prevalent by the time openai jacks up the costs? These companies have no real moats unless they start doing something social so they have a network of captive audience or something like that.
Re: by yuck39 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:59PM (#44249533)
Many of the traditional SEO players are now figuring out how to game the system to get their customers to show up more frequently in LLM responses.

Once the pressure to turn a profit is high enough the big players surely won't just leave that money on the table.

The scary part is that even if we end up paying for "ad-free" LLM services how do we really know if it is ad-free? Traditional services are (usually) pretty clear on what is an ad and what isn't. I wouldn't necessarily know if raid shadow legends really is the greatest game of all time or if the model had been tuned to say that it is.

Re: by Cthulhu_ on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:02AM (#44246714)
What I'm seeing at work now is the companies selling AI stuff to companies - mostly Microsoft in my neck of the woods. For me as an employee, using copilot is a trivial thing, not my wallet. But just like with AWS where a developer doesn't really need to worry about how many machines their merge request starts up and lets run, the bills will start to creep up to the companies.

For now Copilot is a fixed $20 / month / person, but it's only a matter of time before it becomes metered, or the advanced models cost more credits. This is also why they're pushing for agents, because a single query is cool and all, how much it costs in compute is reasonably predictable, but an agent can do a lot of interesting things and do 100x the usage of a single query, and put 100x the charge on the corporate credit card.

It'll probably have a chilling effect, with companies being like "ok maybe let's tone down a bit on the AI usage", just like how they hire consultants to bring down their runaway AWS costs.

Re: by jraph on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:19AM (#44247315)
> Maybe there IS such a thing as a free lunch after all!

A free lunch that costs our environment though, which is a big caveat :-)

Re: by returningfory2 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:58AM (#44248356)
The idea that LLMs are uniquely bad for the environment has been debunked. https://andymasley.substack.com/p/individual-ai-use-is-not-b...
Re: by jraph on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:16PM (#44249135)
I've already seen this.

I'm not convinced. This article focuses on individual use and how inconsequential it is, but it seems like to me it dismisses the training part that it does mention a bit too fast to my taste.

> it’s a one-time cost

No, it's not. AI company constantly train new models and that's where billions of dollars they get go into. It's only logical: they try to keep improving. What's more, the day you stop training new models, the existing models will "rot": they will keep working, but on old data, they won't be fresh anymore. the training will continue, constantly.

> Individuals using LLMs like ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini collectively only account for about 3% of AI’s total energy use after amortizing the cost of training.

Yeah, we agree, running queries is comparatively cheap (still 10 times more than a regular search query though, if I'm to believe this article (and I have no reason not to)) after amortizing the cost of training. But there's no after, as we've seen.

As long as these companies are burning billions of dollars, they are burning some correlated amount of CO2.

As an individual, I don't want to signal to these companies, through my use of their LLMs, that they should keep going like this.

And as AI is more and more pervasive, we are going to start relying on it very hard, and we are also going to train models with everything, everywhere (chat messages, (video) calls, etc). The training is far from being a one shot activity and it's only going to keep increasing as long as there are rich believers willing to throw shit-tons of money into this.

Now, assuming these AIs do a good job of providing accurate answers that you don't have to spend more time on proofreading / double checking (which I'm not sure they always do), we are unfortunately not replacing the time we won by nothing. We are still in a growth economy, the freed time will be used to produce even more garbage, as an even faster rate.

(I don't like that last argument very much though, I'm not for keeping people busy at inefficient tasks just because, but this unfortunately needs to be taken in account - and that's, as a software developer, a harsh reality that also applies to my day to day job. As a software developer, my job is to essentially automatize tasks for people so they can have more free time because now the computers can do their work a bit more. But as a species, we've not increased our free time. We've just made it more fast-paced and stressful)

The article also mentions that there are other things to look into to improve things related to climate change, but the argument goes both ways: fighting against power hungry LLMs don't prevent you from addressing other causes.

Re: by tartoran on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:33AM (#44248065)
The free lunch creates a lot of dependency on AI so when the lunch isn't free anymore it will bite hard.
Re: by Ferret7446 on Thursday June 12, 2025 @04:11AM (#44255216)
Same as all technology. You missed the deadline to file that complaint by more than a couple hundred thousand years.
Re: by scrollaway on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:57AM (#44247696)
Maybe.

But to be honest, optimizing monstrously slow processes that cost weeks of human labour by automating them, that saves a ton of energy as well. It’s not zero sum, as the humans spend that energy elsewhere, but ideally they spend it on more productive things.

This calculus can very quickly offset whatever energy is wasted generating cartoon images of vuvuzelas.

Re: by jraph on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @12:23PM (#44249199)
> optimizing monstrously slow processes that cost weeks of human labour by automating them, that saves a ton of energy as well

Yes, I do agree with this. However, that's only good as long as there wasn't a better way of optimizing them. Assuming we'd not be better off getting rid of those costly process altogether.

> ideally they spend it on more productive things

Same gotcha as mentioned in my other comment: "productive" in our growth economy often means "damaging to the environment", because we are collectively spending a lot of our time producing garbage and that's not something we should really optimize. Most of us work a fixed amount of hours so it's not like we are doing ourselves any favor by optimizing time in the end.

In another system, I wouldn't say. I'm generally for freeing up time for us so we can have better lives.

Re: by sheiyei on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:38PM (#44249926)
Humans will have the privilege of using that time to take out the trash and be taxi drivers for drug users
Re: by usrusr on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:37AM (#44248106)
There are many phones that won't be bought when businesses can substitute some of their workforce with LLM. That market is not about B2C at all.
Re: by marcosdumay on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:03AM (#44248419)
Yes, the question everybody awake is asking is how long until all the LLM corporate initiatives die? Because as useful as those things can be, they just can't do enough to justify that cost.

But there are free (to copy) ones, and smaller ones. And while those were built from the large, expensive models, it's not clear if people won't find a way to keep them sustainable. We have at minimum gained a huge body of knowledge on "how to talk like people" that will stay there forever for researchers to use.

Re: by troyvit on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @11:31AM (#44248717)
> We have at minimum gained a huge body of knowledge on "how to talk like people" that will stay there forever for researchers to use.

This is spot on. I think we'll be able to capitalize on other talents of "AI" once we recognize the big shift is done happening. It's like five years after the Louisiana Purchase: we have a bunch of new resources but we've barely catalogued them, let alone begun to exploit them.

> how long until all the LLM corporate initiatives die?

Sooner than I personally thought, and I place a lot of that with Apple's. They've led the way in hardware that supports LLMs, and I believe (hope?) they'll eventually wipe out most hosted chat-based products, leaving the corporate players to build APIs and embedded products for search, tech support, images, etc. The massive amounts of capital going into OpenAI, Anthropic, etc., will ebb as consumer demand falls.

I hope for this because the question I keep asking is, how can our energy infrastructure sustain the huge demand AI companies have without pushing us even further into a climate catastrophe?

Re: by chasd00 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:25PM (#44251983)
> This is spot on. I think we'll be able to capitalize on other talents of "AI" once we recognize the big shift is done happening. It's like five years after the Louisiana Purchase: we have a bunch of new resources but we've barely catalogued them, let alone begun to exploit them.

one thing about LLMs used as a replacement for search is they have to be continually retrained or else they become stale. Lets say a hard recession hits and all the AI companies go out of business but we're left with all these models on huggingface that can still be used. Then, a new programming language hits the scene and it's a massive hit, how will LLMs be able to autocomplete and add dependencies for a language they've never seen before? Maybe an analogy could be asking an LLM to translate a written language you make up on the spot to English/other language.

Re: by autoexec on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:03PM (#44249581)
> As a user it's a great free ride though. Maybe there IS such a thing as a free lunch after all!

if you consider the massive environmental harm AI has and continues to cause, the people whose work has been stolen to create it, the impacts on workers and salaries, and the abuses AI enables that free lunch starts looking more expensive.

Re: by umvi on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:00PM (#44250677)
> the people whose work has been stolen to create it

"Stolen" is kind of a loaded word. It implies the content was for sale and was taken without payment. I don't think anyone would accuse a person of stealing if they purchased GRRM's books, studied the prose and then used the knowledge they gained from studying to write a fanfic in the style of GRRM (or better yet, the final 2 books). What was stolen? "the prose style"? Seems too abstract. (yes, I know the counter argument is "but LLMs can do more quickly and at a much greater scale", and so forth)

I generally want less copyright, not more. I'm imagining a dystopian future where every article on the internet has an implicit huge legal contract you enter into like "you are allowed to read this article with your eyeballs only, possibly you are also allowed to copy/paste snippets with attribution, and I suppose you are allowed to parody it, but you aren't allowed to parody it with certain kinds of computer assistance such as feeding text into an LLM and asking it to mimic my style, and..."

Re: by autoexec on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:21PM (#44250867)
AI has been trained on pirated material and that would be very different from someone buying books and reading them and learning from them. Right now it's still up to the courts what counts as infringing but at this point even Disney is accusing AI of violating their copyrights https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/11/business/media/disney-uni...

AI outputs copyrighted material: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/01/25/business/ai-i... and they can even be ranked by the extent to which they do it: https://aibusiness.com/responsible-ai/openai-s-gpt-4-is-the-...

AI is getting better at data laundering and hiding evidence of infringement, but ultimately it's collecting and regurgitating copyrighted content.

Re: by astrange on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:44PM (#44251049)
> at this point even Disney is accusing AI of violating their copyrights

"even" is odd there, of course Disney is accusing them of violating copyright, that's what Disney does.

> AI is getting better at data laundering and hiding evidence of infringement, but ultimately it's collecting and regurgitating copyrighted content.

That's not the standard for copyright infringement; AI is a transformative use.

Similarly, if you read a book and learn English or facts about the world by doing that, the author of the book doesn't own what you just learned.

Re: by kod on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:38PM (#44252087)
Facts aren't copyrightable. Expression is. LLMs reproduce expression from the works they were trained on. The way they are being trained involves making an unlicensed reproduction of works. Both of those are pretty straightforwardly infringement of an exclusive right.

Establishing an affirmative defense that it's transformative fair use would hopefully be an uphill battle, given that it's commercial, using the whole work, and has a detrimental effect on the market for the work.

Re: by yencabulator on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:12PM (#44252400)
> AI is a transformative use.

Reproducing a movie still well enough that I honestly wouldn't know which one is the original is transformative?

Re: by MacsHeadroom on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:27PM (#44252904)
The still is not transformative but the model reproducing it is obviously transformative. Other general purpose tools can be used to infringe and yet are non-infringing as well.
Re: by antihipocrat on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:10PM (#44253468)
If I watch a movie, then draw a near perfect likeness of the main character from my very good memory, put it on a tshirt and sell the t-shirt. That is grounds for violation of copyright if the source isn't yet in the public domain (not guaranteed but open to a lawsuit).

If I download all content from a website that has a use policy stating that all content is owned by that website and can't be resold. Then allow my users to query this downloaded data and receive a detailed summary of all related content, and sell that product. Perhaps this is a violation of the use policy.

All of this hasn't been properly tested in the courts yet.. large payments have already been made to Reddit to avoid this, likely because Reddit has the means to fight this in court.. my little blog though, fair game because I can't afford to engage.

Re: by yencabulator on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @10:02PM (#44253659)
For sure, it's rich people playing rules for thee not for me. What's interesting is we'll discover on which side of the can-afford-to-enforce-its-copyright boundary the likes of NYTimes fall.
Re: by JimDabell on Thursday June 12, 2025 @03:10AM (#44254931)
That’s not “data laundering and hiding evidence of infringement” though.

You’re talking about overt infringement, the GP was talking about covert infringement. It’s difficult to see how something could be covert yet not transformative.

Re: by quantified on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:26PM (#44250908)
Stolen doesn't imply anything is for sale, does it? Most things that are stolen are not for sale.
Re: by GuinansEyebrows on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:24PM (#44251420)
> It implies the content was for sale and was taken without payment

that's literally what happened in innumerable individual cases, though.

Re: by strangattractor on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:49PM (#44252193)
I think there is case to be made that AI companies are taking the content - providing people with a modified version of that content and not necessarily providing references to the original material.

Much of the content that is created by people is done so to generate revenue. They are denied that revenue when people don't go to their site. One might interpret that as theft. In the case of GRRM's books - I would assumed they were purchased and the author received the revenue from the sale.

Re: by skywhopper on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:28PM (#44252509)
Yes, there are ethical differences to an individual doing things by hand, and a corporation funded by billions of investor dollars doing an automated version of that thing at many orders of magnitude in scale.

Also, LLMs don’t just imitate style, they can be made to reproduce certain content near-verbatim in a way that would be a copyright violation if done by a human being.

You can excuse it away if you want with reduction ad absurdum arguments, but the impact is distinctly different, and calls for different parameters.

Re: by michael1999 on Thursday June 12, 2025 @01:10PM (#44260129)
I think you are missing some context. They were using Anna's Archive! They paid for nothing, downloaded in violation of copyright, and processed it. They violated US copyright law even before they actually ingested it!
Re: by baggy_trough on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:07PM (#44249617)
What is this massive environmental harm? That sounds like hyperbole.
Re: by gknoy on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:24PM (#44249791)
Training AI models uses a large amount of energy (according to what I've read / headlines I've seen /etc), and increases water usage. [0] I don't have a lot to offer as proof, merely that this is an idea that I have encountered enough that I was suprised you hadn't heard of it. I did a very cursory bit of googling, so the quality + dodginess distribution is a bit wild, but there appear to be indiustry reports [2, page 20] that support this:

""" [G]lobal data centre electricity use reached 415 TWh in 2024, or 1.5 per cent of global electricity consumption.... While these figures include all types of data centres, the growing subset of data centres focused on AI are particularly energy intensive. AI-focused data centres can consume as much electricity as aluminium smelters but are more geographically concentrated. The rapid expansion of AI is driving a significant surge in global electricity demand, posing new challenges for sustainability. Data centre electricity consumption has been growing at 12 per cent per year since 2017, outpacing total electricity consumption by a factor of four. """

The numbers are about data center power use in total, but AI seems to be one of the bigger driving forces behind that growth, so it seems plausible that there is some harm.

0: https://news.mit.edu/2025/explained-generative-ai-environmen... 1: https://www.itu.int/en/mediacentre/Pages/PR-2025-06-05-green... 2: (cf. page 20) https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Environment/Pages/Publications/...

Re: by astrange on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:45PM (#44251058)
There's an "AI is using all the water" meme online currently (especially on Bluesky, home of anti-AI scolds), which turns out to come from a study that counted hydroelectric power as using water.
Re: by coryrc on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:56PM (#44250637)
USA uses 21.3 TWh of petroleum per day for transportation. Even if AI was fully responsible for all data center usage (it is not even close) we're quibbling over 20 days of US transportation oil usage, which actually has devastating effects on the environment.

Data centers are already significant users of renewable electricity. They do not contaminate water in any appreciable amount.

Re: by baggy_trough on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:18PM (#44250314)
I agree that there is some incremental electricity usage. I do not think it can be characterized fairly as "massive environmental harm".
Re: by autoexec on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:56PM (#44250641)
As an example, Ren and his colleagues calculated the emissions from training a large language model, or LLM, at the scale of Meta’s Llama-3.1, an advanced open-weight LLM released by the owner of Facebook in July to compete with leading proprietary models like OpenAI's GPT-4. The study found that producing the electricity to train this model produced an air pollution equivalent of more than 10,000 round trips by car between Los Angeles and New York City. (https://news.ucr.edu/articles/2024/12/09/ais-deadly-air-poll...)

see also:

https://www.techrepublic.com/article/news-ai-data-centers-dr...

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-computer-scient...

Re: by ahepp on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:43PM (#44251038)
> The study found that producing the electricity to train this model produced an air pollution equivalent of more than 10,000 round trips by car between Los Angeles and New York City.

I am totally on board with making sure data center energy usage is rational and aligned with climate policy, but "10k trips between LA and NY" doesn't seem like something that is just on its face outrageous to me.

Isn't the goal that these LLMs provide so much utility they're worth the cost? I think it's pretty plausible that efficiency gains from LLMs could add up to 10k cross USA trips worth of air pollution.

Of course this excludes the cost of actually running the model, which I suspect could be far higher

Re: by root_axis on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:42PM (#44251032)
> 10,000 round trips by car between Los Angeles and New York City.

That seems like very low impact, especially considering training only happens once. I have to imagine that the ongoing cost of inference is the real energy sink.

Re: by autoexec on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:57PM (#44251156)
It doesn't happen only once. It happened once, for one version of one model, but every model (and there are others much larger) has its own cost and that cost is repeated with each version as models are continuously being retrained
Re: by ksenzee on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:15PM (#44249689)
They’re restarting coal-fired power plants to run AI datacenters. I don’t know what your personal threshold is for “massive” environmental harm, but that meets mine.
Re: by baggy_trough on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:23PM (#44249787)
What's a specific example of that?
Re: by svnt on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:48PM (#44250033)
It has been widely reported. Here is an example not of a coal-fired but diesel and gas mobile power sources. If you spend time looking you will have no trouble finding sources.

> Last week, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued a rule clarification allowing the use of some mobile gas and diesel power sources for data centers. In a statement accompanying the rule, EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin claimed that the Biden administration's focus on addressing climate change had hampered AI development.

> "The Trump administration is taking action to rectify the previous administration's actions to weaken the reliability of the electricity grid and our ability to maintain our leadership on artificial intelligence," Zeldin said. "This is the first, and certainly not the last step, and I look forward to continue working with artificial intelligence and data center companies and utilities to resolve any outstanding challenges and make the U.S. the AI capital of the world."

https://www.newsweek.com/ai-race-fossil-powered-generators-a...

Re: by baggy_trough on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:50PM (#44250056)
I spent some time and could not find a specific example. You haven't shown one here, either.
Re: by coryrc on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:59PM (#44250673)
trump stooge activities cannot be blamed on data centers. The relevant technical authorities did not want this.
Re: by svnt on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:09PM (#44250765)
What are you talking about? This is literally the only mechanism to allow coal-fired plants to avoid sunsetting on schedule.

Who are the “relevant technical authorities”?

Re: by coryrc on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:34PM (#44251511)
"DOE issued the emergency order without a request from the plant owner, transmission provider or grid operator"
Re: by svnt on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:07PM (#44252765)
Without getting in to the fact that none of those people operate datacenters, what does that mean to you? You think Trump and Co are doing this as a purely political move to irritate environmentalists?
Re: by yencabulator on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:14PM (#44252413)
Oh yes environmentalism is clearly why the data center owners themselves are running generators 24/7.
Re: by coryrc on Thursday June 12, 2025 @01:36PM (#44260418)
"All of the electricity consumed by Amazon’s operations, including its data centers, was matched with 100% renewable energy in 2023."

https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/sustainability/amazon-renew...

Re: by yencabulator on Thursday June 12, 2025 @01:47PM (#44260557)
AWS is perhaps the most established vendor in this space. They if any should have their architecture sorted out and have great execution on their growth.

Meanwhile,

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/06/elon-musk-xai-memph...

https://www.newsweek.com/ai-race-fossil-powered-generators-a...

https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intell...

Re: by baggy_trough on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:12PM (#44250251)
Sorry, but they simply are not.
Re: by jimstr on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:09PM (#44250764)
Re: by svnt on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:10PM (#44250768)
FTA:

> In another move, DOE on Tuesday said it was offering loan guarantees for coal-fired power plant projects, such as upgrading energy infrastructure to restart operations or operate more efficiently or at a higher output.

Please elaborate.

Re: by kulahan on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:43PM (#44252137)
The silver lining on this very dark cloud is that it seems to have renewed interest in nuclear power, though that was inevitable with the coming climate crisis I suppose.
Re: by yencabulator on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:13PM (#44252404)
At a time when solar & batteries were just getting great, nah.
Re: by kulahan on Thursday June 12, 2025 @10:31PM (#44265251)
Neither is really true, and regardless, that’s 5% of a solution. For big boy energy tasks, we need real solutions.
Re: by jay_kyburz on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @08:41PM (#44253330)
Haha, I would have thought the reckless cuts of DOGE or willingness of the current US administration to rely on AI for decision making would have driven home exactly why governments can't be trusted to manage nuclear.

It's just too dangerous to leave it in the hands of people who don't believe in science, and value money, power, and ideology more than anything else.

Its happening now, and there is nothing to stop it happening again in future.

Re: by kulahan on Thursday June 12, 2025 @10:33PM (#44265258)
Nuclear power plants do not achieve the fission rates required for an explosion, and the system failsafes are designed entirely with an absent crew in mind. Not sure why you think it’s somehow smarter or safer to let them control a hundred gigawatts of solar power but not nuclear power.
Re: by jay_kyburz on Tuesday June 17, 2025 @02:34AM (#44296248)
Hey look. I found this for you.

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2025/06/trump-fires-comm...

"Further, the NRC rejected past attempts to switch to a model based on the "hormesis theory" that Trump seemingly supports—which posits that some radiation exposure can be beneficial. The NRC found there was "insufficient evidence to justify any changes" that could endanger public health, Science reported.

One health researcher at the University of California, Irvine, Stephen Bondy, told Science that his 2023 review on the science of hormesis showed it is "still unsettled." His characterization of the executive order suggests that the NRC embracing that model "clearly places health hazards as of secondary importance relative to economic and business interests.""

Re: by JimDabell on Thursday June 12, 2025 @02:57AM (#44254889)
> Using ChatGPT is not bad for the environment

— https://andymasley.substack.com/p/individual-ai-use-is-not-b...

> What’s the carbon footprint of using ChatGPT?

— https://www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/carbon-footprint-c...

Re: by nagonago on Thursday June 12, 2025 @09:41PM (#44264989)
The problem is not so much the carbon footprint of just using LLMs, but the impact from building and running massive data centers needed to train the models. Check out this report from the ITU:

https://www.itu.int/en/mediacentre/Pages/PR-2025-06-05-green...

> According to the latest edition of the report, electricity consumption by data centers — which power AI development and deployment, among other uses — increased by 12 per cent each year from 2017 to 2023, four times faster than global electricity growth.

> Four leading AI-focused companies alone saw their operational emissions increase in the reporting period by 150 per cent on average since 2020. This rise in energy that is either produced or purchased – known as Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions – underscores the urgent need to manage AI's environmental impact.

> In total, the amount of greenhouse gas emissions reported by the 166 digital companies covered by the report contributed 0.8 per cent of all global energy-related emissions in 2023.

It's worth noting that it's not all gloom and doom. As the report optimistically notes:

> Renewable energy adoption: 23 companies operated on 100 per cent renewable energy in 2023, up from 16 in 2022.

> Dedicated climate reporting: 49 companies released standalone climate reports, signaling greater transparency.

> Scope 3 consideration: The number of companies publishing targets on indirect emissions from supply chains and product use rose from 73 to 110, showing increasing awareness of industry impacts.

So the environmental impact is alarming, but at least companies seem to be growing more conscientious about it. We must continue to hold tech companies accountable for their environmental impact, and keep pushing for renewable energy.

Re: by crazygringo on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @01:15PM (#44249690)
> The amount of money it's burned on this is giant

It's big, but it's honestly not that big. Most importantly, costs will quickly come down as we realize the limits of the models, the algorithms are optimized and even more-dedicated hardware is built. There's no reason to think it isn't sustainable, it will add up just fine.

But yes, it will attract a ton of advertising, the same curve every service goes through, like Google Search, YouTube, Amazon, etc. Still, just like Google and Amazon (subtly) label sponsored results, I expect LLM's to do the same. I don't think ads will be built into the main replies, because people will quickly lose trust in the results. Rather they'll be fed into a separate prompt that runs alongside the main text, or interrupts it, the way ads currently do, and with little labels indicating paid content. But the ads will likely be LLM-generated.

Re: by exceptione on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:01PM (#44250685)

  > I don't think ads will be built into the main replies, 
  > because people will quickly lose trust in the results. 

The 'best' ads will be those the public doesn't recognize. Surf the internet without an ad blocker and you will die from a heart attack. This is a matter of conditioning users. It will take some time. Case in point: people already give up on privacy because "Google knows about everything already", which reflects a normalization of abuse, as we started from trust and norms ("don't be evil").

So, can they? yes. Will they? yes.

Re: by ToucanLoucan on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:19PM (#44250329)
> the same curve every service goes through

This is honestly why I struggle to get excited for anything in our industry anymore. Whatever it is it just becomes yet another fucking vector for ad people to shove yet more disposable shit in front of me and jingle it like car keys to see if I'll pull out a credit card.

The exception being the Steam Deck, though one could argue it's just a massive loss-leader for Steam itself and thus game sales (though I don't think that would hold up to scrutiny, it's pretty costly and it's not like Valve was hurting for business but anyway) but yeah. LLMs will absolutely do the exact same, and Google's now fully given up on making search even decent, replacing it with shit AI nobody asked for that will do product placements any day now, I would bet a LOT of money on it.

Re: by yencabulator on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:57PM (#44253117)
Product placement in movies and such has been a thing for a long time now. At best you can hope that your prompts will be classified as factual-vs-entertainment, and the product placement will only happen in the entertainment ones.
Re: by Ferret7446 on Thursday June 12, 2025 @04:07AM (#44255190)
Actually, I feel like most of the money will come from enterprises. Every company will need an LLM subscription to stay competitive. I think it's possible that consumers will get a free ride with a small amount of quota without ads.
Re: by babypuncher on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @02:36PM (#44250489)
We went through this with all the Silicon Valley "disruptors" in the '00s and '10s. It's fun while they're focused solely on burning VC money to build a massive userbase, but as soon as they decide it's time to start actually making money the deal gets a lot less sweet. Only by that time, most of the competitors are gone and you don't have much choice.
Re: by adverbly on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @03:39PM (#44251008)
> The idea is that we will all spend more money on AI that we spend on phones

AI is not a consumer product.

Businesses will pay for AI. They will use it for whatever they are building. We will buy what those businesses build.

The medium term here is that AI is going to become part of the value chain. It's gonna be like stripe or insurance or labor.

Re: by thih9 on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:24PM (#44251421)
Speculation:

AI companies want the cultural shift, i.e. get everyone used to having their data, art, work, etc, turned into models. Plus they want the PR, i.e. AI agents to be seen as helpful, friendly and genuinely useful. They want this to happen fast and before legislators react too. Releasing for free seems safe and efficient.

Re: by ASalazarMX on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:32PM (#44251498)
And this is already happening. I have a few acquaintances that will ask ChatGPT thinks they could readily find on Wikipedia, or use it as a shortcut for mental effort. They've become dependent, even addicted, to this patient butler that can work and think for them; who cares if it makes some mistakes? They'll just ask it more.

Once enough people become like this, they will gladly pay to keep it, they'll consider it a basic necessity.

Re: by spaceguillotine on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @04:59PM (#44251752)
this is a perfect example of the VC churn, they hope to get unattainable and unsustainable results and don't care what happens to anyone that was doing it sustainably before they came around.

The internet has become total garbage now all because a few men wanted to make a bunch of money by making silicon do the thinking for them.

AI is the quickest route to ruin and ending up with humans like in Idiocracy devoid of critical thinking, and the output of LLMs is so bad to read, students are just turning in the worst papers using LLMs and learning nothing.

At first my school banned use of them but then Microsoft tipped their hand because they donate a lot of money and now everyone is allowed to use AI and they got rid of the requirement to use MLA Citations so everything turned into slop.

Re: by strangattractor on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @05:37PM (#44252079)
> As a user it's a great free ride though. Maybe there IS such a thing as a free lunch after all!

I remember when search was a free ride. The articles that I found in searches where relevant and there was no wordy boiler plate AI content specifically designed to get me to see all the advertising on the page. There is no free ride - AI will accelerate the enshittification of the Web by orders of magnitude. Barriers to garbage content generation are rapidly approaching 0.

Re: by Exoristos on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @06:12PM (#44252401)
Doesn't it seem suspect that a product with such massive investment is made available for little or no cost? Either it's garbage (you don't get AutoCAD for free: you get meme generators), and investors are getting soaked; or it's digital gold, and consumers are being lured in for unobvious exploitation.
Re: by snickell on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @07:18PM (#44252842)
What scares me is that the obvious pool of money to fund the deficit in the cost of operating of LLMs comes from the most subtle native advertising imaginable. Can you resist ads where, say, AirBnB pays OpenAI privately to “dope” the o3 hyperspace such that AirBnB is moved imperceptibly closer to tokens like value and authentic??

How much would AirBnB pay for the intelligence everyone gets all their info from having a subtle bias like this? Sliiightly more likely to assume folks will stay in airbnbs vs a hotel when they travel, sliiightly more likely to describe the world in these terms.

How much would companies pay to directly, methodically and indetectably bias “everyone’s most frequent conversant” toward them?

Re: by john-h-k on Wednesday June 11, 2025 @09:08PM (#44253460)
> Can you resist ads where, say, AirBnB pays OpenAI privately to “dope” the o3 hyperspace such that AirBnB is moved imperceptibly closer to tokens like value and authentic??

This would be a very impressive technical feat

Re: by JimDabell on Thursday June 12, 2025 @03:06AM (#44254912)
Anthropic demoed something similar with Golden Gate Claude a year ago:

https://www.anthropic.com/news/golden-gate-claude