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Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by madeofpalk on Sunday July 10, 2022 @05:58PM (#32049512)
As a non-US, non-Chinese citizen, is there something that makes TikTok espionage and Facebook not? Or is it just "china scary"?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Calvin02 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:12PM (#32049638)
Yes. China and Russia are the biggest geopolitical threats to the world.

It is surprisingly that simple.

While the US and the western governments have their issues, they are still largely law abiding. China, however, is not. Additionally, under Xi, it has become more authoritarian and more willing to undo the rules based order that has someone kept the world somewhat sane since WWII.

I don’t know why anyone would be afraid to say this.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fabianhjr on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:27PM (#32049790)
I am from latin america and at least neither China nor Russia have participated in coup d'etat to install a military junta to then torture and massacre anyone slightly left of the US "Democratic" Party.

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_2khAmMTAjI

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by noisy_boy on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:07AM (#32052070)
China has learned from US policies and has instead opted for more insidious and less "noisy" approaches like hard to repay soft-loans, mass buying of agricultural lands, starting vice businesses like casinos etc which also result in societal changes once the businesses started by Chinese start bringing a sizable influx of Chinese to work in them. See northwest Laos for a direct example (this is not an armchair comment - I have relations there and have seen the changes firsthand over the decade during numerous visits).
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fabianhjr on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:04AM (#32052417)
I would much rather have that over the Jakarta Method.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by dirtyid on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:18AM (#32052502)
>insideous

Which is fairly tame in terms of securing geopolitical influence and enables more win-win arrangments. Especially with respect to Laos - a landlocked country with (to be blunt) zero long term development prospects. Laos per capital GDP growth has been on pace with booming Vietnam that has access to outsource manufacturing and maritime trade. Laos should be worse off than Cambodia that has 60% of current Laos per capita GDP. Even their largest export/growth sector - hydropower to Thailand is enabled by PRC (not to sound patronizing). PRC infra projects setup Laos to be the battery of region + rail connectivity for other exports = only real viable of short/medium term growth strategy for a undeveloped landlocked country with poor human development. Go look up gdp per capita trends of ASEAN since 2000 when PRC growth started blowing up, also LATM during same period. You'll be hard pressed to find any country whose per capita GDP increased by 8x like Laos. Many are luck with half that. As for societal changes on border regions that benefits from flow of migrant and economic development, that's what happens when countries get richer - things change. If you think that's a bad deal then I'm curious if you can find a better one, especially for a land locked country with no maritime access.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by noisy_boy on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:41AM (#32053346)
Just repeating "landlocked country" twenty times doesn't paint the clearest picture. They have a lot of untapped mineral resources. It has never been rich but people have had organic means of growth like agriculture. Sure it was never blistering growth but it was steady progress that lifted everyone. Once the PRC money started to flow, they basically bought the agricultural lands and now people who used to own the lands are working as laborers in what used to be their own land. Sure they got that initial money but they never knew how to handle that - so they blew it in the casinos, also operated by the PRC or in drugs (which were always a problem, it being the Golden Triangle area) or other things like tricked-out pickup trucks. Everybody is running after that quick PRC cash and the culture is undergoing rapid changes; signboards are in Mandarin, people prefer to learn Mandarin (even though it is English that connects them to a wider part of the world). Micro level societal changes are more subtle and hard to quantify. The country is basically becoming an extension arm of China

It is easy to look everything through the lens of GDP but it is a poor measure of healthiness of a society from sociological perspective.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by dirtyid on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:50PM (#32058586)
Your comment reflects typical nostalgic time bubble lamentation about culture "decline" due to rapid development change. Lots of older gen Chinese miss Mao's China too and complain about the decadence and corruption caused by new wealth. Meanwhile most of country eager to dig themselves out of subsistence are running after quick growth cash and pickup trucks. It sucks being poor.

> Just repeating "landlocked country" twenty times doesn't paint the clearest picture. ... >untapped mineral resource

Being landlocked is one of the major development traps, it's highly relevant. And the point is Laos is landlocked AND underdevelopped in both infra and human capita. They're not going to be Switzerland without generations of development, if ever. All those untapped resources can't be economically exported relative to sea trade... incidentally why PRC rail development in Laos also game changer. Improves economics of rare metals (gold, Laos other huge export) but less for bulk cargo like agriculture. Laos has zero prospect for being an ag-commodity export power. The most profitable specialty ag trade had export potential of something like 600M. There's simply a ceiling on how much ag can uplift, it's why largest growth sector in last 20 years is industry, which requires capital investments, for a poor country like Laos, it means FDI and period of upheaval caused by new wealth and modes of exploitation.

> never knew how to handle that

Yeah that's what happens to nouvel rich everywhere. That's a sign of development. Laos is not usefully connected to English sphere via geography... again they're landlocked and only large economic connector is PRC. If people want to make money therer it's only prudent to learn Chinese and which will increase integration, especially in border regions. Why would Laos look to rest of world when the fastest growing region is Asia? Learning English is one way street to being brain drained and losing your best.

> GDP but it is a poor measure of healthiness of a society

This is true, ergo why Xi prioritized correcting the excesses of Deng's unbalanced growth that had caused huge problematic culture shifts. Every country that's gone through rapid growth will need manage that transition. Per capita GDP is strongly correlated to Human Development Index for a reason, you need money to make a healthy, educated, productive society. At end of day Laos/PRC relationship enables Laos to have more omney than her geography would otherwise enable. It's not upper income but it's a path out of subsistence if managed properly by Vientiane, which they may absolutely fail at.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwawaymaths on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:52AM (#32052688)
While we're cherry picking examples, there's Sri Lanka, port of gwadar.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by dirtyid on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:42AM (#32052984)
Cherry picking what? The op was about Laos, I talked about Laos. Debt trap meme / lie has been debunked by many academics, it's a myth. PRC refinances / renegotiate. It would be really nice for PRC security posture if they actually siezed these ports to build naval bases to gain foothold in indopac, but so far overriding geopolitical interest has been commercial / economic and for a intiative as large as BROR, some of them do poorly. It's the price of exporting massive infra projects around the world to find new markets for domestic overcapacity.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by aivisol on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:41AM (#32052285)
I am from eastern Europe and right now Russia is invading a democratic country to install its own government, tortures and massacres everyone left and right.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bitlax on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:44PM (#32049928)
Yeah Russia has been totally hands off in Latin America.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Che_Guevara#/media/File:CheinM...

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fabianhjr on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:49PM (#32049972)
Russian Federation != Union of Soviet Socialist Republics

More so: Russian Federation != Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by illuminati1911 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:35PM (#32050361)
USA during Reagan in 1980s != USA today
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fabianhjr on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:27PM (#32050771)
More like "US during British Colonial Times" != "USA Today", for starters USA during Reagan and USA today have the same constitution and the same governmental system even if specific laws and lawmakers have changed
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by brians on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:20AM (#32052159)
This is very true. Whereas the USSR was run by one man who controlled the state security apparatus, and so controlled the country as an autocrat, Russia is run by a man who controls the country as an autocrat, having controlled the state security apparatus.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by random314 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:52PM (#32050504)
However the firm grip on Haiti and Latin America in general is not gone.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Bertrand_Aristide

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by _tik_ on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:29AM (#32052564)
Iraq Invasion is the USA today
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwawaymaths on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:49AM (#32052670)
No? We finally had a president that hasn't started a new war (trump) and we are on track to having a president that hasn't started a new war and has withdrawn troops from one war. Things are changing.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by sph on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:07AM (#32053165)
A little early to state "things are changing." because the US hasn't invaded anyone in half a decade.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by antifa on Monday July 11, 2022 @09:20AM (#32055766)
They're just saving up for next year's big surprise.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by oittaa on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:43AM (#32052993)
Sure, comrade.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwawaymaths on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:45AM (#32052655)
Russia definitely has, just not as much in your backyard. China hasn't, but that's probably because the last time they tried that they got their ass handed to them by a country that had just been savagely attacked by (but also defeated) the us. Also it has been slowly encroaching on India and bhutan territory. China definitely declares it's intent to export it's style of polity around the world. And that does include torturing and disappearing citizens that are supposed to be on their own watch.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by giancarlostoro on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:05PM (#32051037)
China didn't need to, they flock to China and other countries on their own, for example Hugo Chavez with China:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China%E2%80%93Venezuela_relati...

What was once a beautiful nation is now rife with crime, even the military of all things is told not to have cell phones out by stop lights because somebody will swing on by on a motorcycle and hijack the phone. From the darn military! Still surprised they get away with it.

I also remember hearing from a relative that Chavez would basically bring Cuban doctors over from Cuba.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by tsol on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:23PM (#32058969)
To be fair, Cuba is very very good at training doctors
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Sophistifunk on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:55PM (#32051661)
Absolutely nothing about the historical bad behaviour of the US in Central and South America has any bearing on the threat the CCP poses to a billion Chinese and the world today. Nothing.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by trashtester on Monday July 11, 2022 @05:44AM (#32054052)
Not their actions in Latin America, but the USA did parttake in some extreme violence in Asia about 75 years ago that could be blamed for the CCP gaining power in the first place.

I'm not sure Imperial Japanese rule would be so much better, though.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by tormeh on Monday July 11, 2022 @07:45PM (#32063698)
Imperial Japan was arguably worse than Nazi Germany. Unbelievably bad.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bshepard on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:19AM (#32052150)
Actually, they have a lot to do with each other, as the violence that the United States did to Central and South America was always justified with anticommunist rhetoric, like this. A Peter Kingsley quote, more about spiritual perception, also applies to the political:

"The only possible way to understand is by standing back in the stillness that lies underneath thinking and sees things as they really are. It's like watching hundreds of colors, each of them trying to persuade you it happens to be the most important one-then stepping back and seeing they all form a single rainbow. Thoughts in themselves are always leading to division and separation. But all thoughts, together, are a single whole." (from "Reality")

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by anothernewdude on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:36PM (#32051226)
Russia has put down multiple popular uprisings within its sphere - Belarus, Kazakhstan. Invaded Georgia, and Ukraine to effect regime change. And looks to be behind the Coup in Mali and one in Montenegro.

China has supported violent Juntas in Myanmar, and Sudan. It has essentially performed a coup in Hong Kong. And of course it loves supplying weapons to latin countries via Norinco. And it's doing economic damage and putting more of those countries in debt, just like it took Hambantota International Port from Sri Lanka.

Both are racking up kills elsewhere in Africa too.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bigcat12345678 on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:50PM (#32063168)
> China has supported violent Juntas in Myanmar, and Sudan.

Links please? Saying nothing / neutral Verbal approval Material support All these can be interpreted as supporting military Juntas.

And military Juntas are not necessarily bad. For example, SK was developed effectively through a Military Junta government. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_Republic_of_Korea

> It has essentially performed a coup in Hong Kong.

What is this? HK is part of China right?

> it loves supplying weapons to latin countries via Norinco.

Nothing special, China's aim is the largest weapon exporter.

> And it's doing economic damage and putting more of those countries in debt, just like it took Hambantota International Port from Sri Lanka.

This is shown to be a myth, as some other comments here suggested.

> Both are racking up kills elsewhere in Africa too.

What is this?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by anothernewdude on Wednesday July 13, 2022 @06:38PM (#32089615)
> This is shown to be a myth, as some other comments here suggested.

There have certainly been a bunch of opinion pieces expressing that opinion coming out at the same time. Which is incredibly weird, unless... oh right, opinions can be bought and China has a history of doing that.

Mystery solved I guess.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bigcat12345678 on Wednesday July 13, 2022 @09:07PM (#32090763)
The case is not that such pieces appearing in uniform in short period of time.

The case is that western media is so fixitated on negative coverage on China, so much so that any positive or neutral coverage will be seen as carefully manipulated campaign.

Every thread of China topic, here on HN, will see your type of comments consistently.

The real mystery is not that there is positive or neutral report on China.

The real mystery is why US people seem cannot use their brain on China topics...

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by anothernewdude on Thursday July 14, 2022 @10:10AM (#32096308)
Another mystery is why you think I'm American.

Chinese media is state controlled, and no alternative is possible. If they wanted credible positive reporting, then they have only themselves to blame.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bigcat12345678 on Thursday July 14, 2022 @11:48PM (#32104420)
The mystery is why you think that I think you are American.

> There have certainly been a bunch of opinion pieces expressing that opinion coming out at the same time.

I was talking about English media. That's a reasonable assumption, since you are commenting on the HN comments, which is part of English media, and heavily influenced by mainstream English media, obviously.

You are an american or not is not relevant.

> If they wanted credible positive reporting, then they have only themselves to blame.

Wow.

Let's jail the SoB based on media reports. This is what you suggest, right?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by quetzthecoatl on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:21PM (#32051834)
and all of that combined is like a regular wedensday for US.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by ciroduran on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:31PM (#32049823)
Hi from Venezuela
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fabianhjr on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:33PM (#32049835)
Ah yes, also curiously enough the US is way more prone to completely embargo Cuba and Venezuela but neither Russia nor China. (Due to political-economic reasons and not moral/ethical ones)

Edit: profile I am replying to has the following in their about section: "about: I play music and I code videogames. I live in Brighton, UK." so assuming the "hi from venezuela" was sarcastic.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by ciroduran on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:51PM (#32049985)
I lived there 29 years of my life, I lived the dictatorship, and I still got family and friends. Far from sarcastic.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by rafaelm on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:08PM (#32050144)
I'm currently living the dictatorship in Venezuela. Ask me if you think Ciro's opinion is not valid, for whatever reason. (Don't know him btw. Epale Ciro!)
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fabianhjr on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:29PM (#32050784)
¿Crees que solo hay dictaduras bajo gobiernos anti-capitalistas o es algo en donde por ejemplo Qatar (o Reino Unido) siendo monarquías constitucionales podrían superar en autoritarismo?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fabianhjr on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:53PM (#32050005)
Ah yes, compared to the constitutional monarchy of the United Kingdom.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by judge2020 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:44PM (#32050883)
> (Due to political-economic reasons and not moral/ethical ones)

Has there ever been a lasting trade embargo that was based solely on moral and ethical grounds?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by tsol on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:20PM (#32058926)
That's because Latin America is nowhere near China or Russia. They aren't going to go half way around the world to harass Latin Americans. But if Latin America was in the place of Hong Kong, Laos, or Ukraine they wouldn't enjoy the same peace
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by beebmam on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:37PM (#32050844)
*Yet
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Al-Khwarizmi on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:41PM (#32049904)
You would be surprised if you polled non-US, non-China citizens about what country is the biggest geopolitical threat to the world.

Wait, I don't even need to talk in conditionals. I Googled it and apparently it has indeed been done several times, and the results are what I expected.

https://brilliantmaps.com/threat-to-peace/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/may/05/us-threat-demo...

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by EastSmith on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:10PM (#32050167)
Whole eastern Europe, central Europe and Scandinavia disagrees with you.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by neilsense on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:35AM (#32053322)
A tiny population rarely in control of their own future, and ethnically + culturally acceptable to the US.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by parasti on Monday July 11, 2022 @04:49AM (#32053722)
Let me rephrase your comment: "Eastern European opinion on Russia doesn't matter because they've suffered and continue to suffer from Russian imperialism".
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by neilsense on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:32AM (#32054361)
No, please don't speak for me.

If anything, my point was the same but for people in Asia in regards to China/Russia.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:34PM (#32051539)
Non US, non China citizen: the pool is from 2013, China and Russia got much worst with time

Trust me, Russia and especially China is a much bigger threat to democracy nowadays

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by stackbutterflow on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:53AM (#32053406)
Non-US, non-China citizens don't speak Chinese but they speak English (or their journalists do). US shenanigans are for the whole world to see. You probably can't read Chinese so you have no idea how the Chinese government and their citizen view the rest of the world.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by andruby on Monday July 11, 2022 @04:53AM (#32053742)
That feels like a weak argument. OP is talking geopolitics, not domestic shenanigans. I think internationals news happily picks up Chinese international interventions.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by stackbutterflow on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:01AM (#32054175)
The situation is like highlighting the British empire's horrible actions while downplaying Nazi Germany's because they haven't invaded anyone (yet) and not knowing what Hitler and his friends have in store because of the language barrier.

And that's not a Godwin because the CCP's rhetoric these recent years is extremely racist and aggressive. They are feeding their population with a warped view of non-Han, non-Chinese people.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by sebbu on Monday July 11, 2022 @11:06AM (#32057133)
CCP has always been extremely racist and aggressive, at least according to all the web novels i've been reading (translated into english, as i don't speak chinese).
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Calvin02 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:07PM (#32051388)
Polls from 2017 and 2021.

Do you think that the answer to this question will be the same post Covid and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine?

And, in the same light, China’s increasingly threatening rhetoric against Taiwan?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by anothernewdude on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:10PM (#32051404)
Actually the first poll is from 2013, the post is from 2017. And the second is from 2020, again the post is from 2021.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by trashtester on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:04AM (#32054192)
The second poll is not about world peace, but about democracy. Historically, the US has been promoting democracy worldwide (and this has been a major contributor to their belligerence). With their ongoing schism between MAGA and WOKE, there is a risk they will end up non-democratic themselves, either as some kind of facisit or socialist.

THAT, and the fact that this conflict is being exported to other democratic countries is a threat to democracy, although not so much to World Peace.

2013 was before Russia's first hostilities against Ukraine and also before China started to flex their military muscles. Also, at that time, the Obama administration was involved in several wars as well as the use of drone warfare against their enemies elsewhere. I don't find it surprising that many would feel that the US was the greater threat at that time, even though the threat level overall was much lower at the time.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by konschubert on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:53PM (#32050009)
okay, go poll Ukrainians, Poles, Czechs, ...
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by calsy on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:31PM (#32050333)
Didn't the states just pull out of Afghanistan after 20 years of occupation? Or is that last years news?

20 Years!

Edit: Downvotes, whats the best way to deal with colossal failure... pretend like it never happened. Afghanistan, huh? what are you talking about.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by judge2020 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:49PM (#32050912)
Afghanistan is quite infamous for being the most difficult region to take over; the Brits and the Soviets tried before long the US did

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasions_of_Afghanistan

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by calsy on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:16PM (#32051442)
Well maybe those in power should have read up on their history before trying to 'take over' Afghanistan. Might have been a good idea for a country half a world a way, separated by a large ocean.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by yunohn on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:25PM (#32051851)
I’m confused if your point is that the USA didn’t end up completely ruling over Afghanistan, so their military occupation and genocide is excusable?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by random314 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:54PM (#32050536)
And latin America and Afghanistan and Iraq and cuba and Vietnam and Palestine and Yemen
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwawaymaths on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:57AM (#32052710)
The us occupied Palestine? I better review my history.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bakuninsbart on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:35PM (#32059120)
There's a lot of very nasty, bad-faith arguments in this thread, and you seem to be involved in almost all of them. It is time to take a step back and consider what this kind of derailing does to the quality of discussion overall.

The point is obvious to anyone even tangentially following the israel-palestine conflict: Israel is a close ally to the us and heavily supported by them in their brutal occupation of Palestine.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwawaymaths on Monday July 11, 2022 @05:28PM (#32062121)
> It is time to take a step back and consider what this kind of derailing does to the quality of discussion overall.

Yes sir! Will do sir! Thank you for improving the quality of discourse sir!! Where would we be without your guidance sir!

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwaway743 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:18PM (#32051817)
iirc, Somalia, Congo, and Iran as well
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwaway743 on Tuesday July 12, 2022 @12:01AM (#32065457)
Lol okay downvote but it's relevant and true.

CIA helped in getting Lumumba and wanted to put a halt to his movement. They along with Belgian officers even tried killing him by poisoning his toothpaste.

CIA overthrew Mosaddegh in Iran which lead to where they are today in terms of an oppresive theocratic government.

And US military and CIA are acting as world police in Somalia.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Al-Khwarizmi on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:19PM (#32050223)
Yeah, because polling your closest friends is the best way to get an unbiased opinion.

By the way, those are countries near another warmonging superpower... What if you poll South America?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwaway6734 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:09PM (#32050153)
>The single biggest cited threat to democracy is economic inequality (64%).

These are the results of people that have lived under a unipolar world and have forgotten the horrors of pre pax americana.

[dead]
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Al-Khwarizmi on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:53PM (#32050516)
You call the overwhelming majority of the world population unwashed savages whose opinion must be disregarded, and then sit there in disbelief that most people might dislike see your country (of which, sadly, that attitude is quite representative) as a threat.

It would be good parody if it weren't real.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwaway_4ever on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:51PM (#32050924)
This is wild. GP is correct. That poll is from 2013. In the 10 years since, which country has been "The Greatest Threat to World Peace?" It's Russia. Let's see how many got that right...

Only Poland.

History has actually shown how little popular opinion is accurate on this. Meanwhile, there's a swarm of sibling comments in opposition to GP? Do better HN.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by sudosysgen on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:01PM (#32051706)
The US and it's cronies have invaded more countries than Russia has since 2013. Not to excuse Russia, they'd be worse also if they could, but it's far from having been disproven - Libya is in a worse state right now than Ukraine thanks to the France, the UK, and the US (Libya in 2014, Syria continued after, then there was the sabre rattling in Iran, etc...). And of course Afghanistan, and the saga with Iraq where the US threatened military force if they were kicked out. And there's also the war in Yemen in which the US is a belligerent in all but name. And then there are also military actions in subsaharan Africa. Not to forget ongoing regime change initiatives. By all metrics the US has been more deleterious to peace than Russia in the past 10 years. Not out of inherent evil or any moral consideration of course, but mostly because of greater scope of action - which is of course an element in the magnitude of a threat.

Since 2013 US-backed wars have indeed led to more deaths and have broken the peace in more numerous countries with a higher population than Russia.

So no, you are incorrect in saying that they were wrong - they were definitely right. However, your media bias has led you to focus more on one event than on multiple others and from a different viewpoint.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by paulryanrogers on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:43PM (#32051940)
> Since 2013 US-backed wars have indeed led to more deaths and have broken the peace in more numerous countries with a higher population than Russia.

Can you link to some sources here? I'm especially curious to see who initiated many of these conflicts. Because once in a while the US tries to back existing movements toward more democratic governance.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by AussieWog93 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:35PM (#32051222)
Don't take it personally. They do the same thing to locals who disagree with their opinions too.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by edejong on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:08PM (#32050648)
> What people think is a threat and what is a threat are completely 2 different things.

Meaningless. A threat is by definition subjective and context dependent.

> First of all average people's opinions outside of western democracies are meaningless because those people don't have access to education or information to form any real opinions.

Get off your high horse. Most of the world have a terrible opinion of the US just for the arrogance you just showed. The US education system is in shambles, the divide between can and can't do is the one of the highest in its GDP class. Poverty is just a broken leg away.

> Second of all at least the first research is more or less a complete lie. In Finland people have throughout the history without a doubt kept Russia as the biggest threat.

Russia is seen as a big threat by the Fins. However, in the next conflict: who will supply the arms? Who will benefit the most? Who is likely to incite?

> 3rd, even if we assume that it isn't would be pretty fun to ask those same people the same question again. Finland, Sweden, Australia and Ukraine are begging for the help of US now that the curtains have opened and Russia and China have either started a war already or are threatening to start one.

Fun?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by tenpies on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:42PM (#32050421)
It's exactly 1 and 2 why the world largely considers the US such a threat.

Any disagreement is discounted as "you're just ignorant and don't have a real opinion" followed by "you need to trust The Experts, but only the ones that agree with us".

It has been a hoot to watch the US Democrats and all their useful idiots turn these arguments against the rest of the US over the last 6 years.

Probably ends as well as Afghanistan, Vietnam, Iraq, Syria, etc.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwaway743 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:13PM (#32051784)
It's both parties. They're both awful, condescending in their own "flavor", and don't give two shits about you and me.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:33AM (#32052587)
China has also invaded Vietnam

Russia has also invaded Afghanistan

FYI

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by trashtester on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:16AM (#32054261)
The difference is that we don't have Hollywood movies about those.

The real reasons why people hate America so much is not US military actions (though that has contributed in some cases), but American culture.

Nationalists worldwide absolutely hate it when young people in their countries drink Coke, eat at McDonalds, wear Levi's, consume US Music, Movies and video games, social media, etc. US culture has been displacing other cultures gradually for about 100 years.

If you are a westerner, consider the impact of Tik-Tok, and multiply it by 100x, then you may even empathize with them.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by calsy on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:25PM (#32050749)
Yeah westerners have so much access to information. I mean look at all those informed opinions about WMDs in Iraq. The US begged countries like Finland, Sweden and Australia to join them in their middle east occupation.

Australia has assisted US in most all major conflicts they have been involved in since WW2. Being a small democratic nation, the US is our most powerful ally and we have invested in that relationship for close to a century. We didn't just come knocking on the door yesterday 'begging' for help.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by grapeskin on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:37PM (#32051238)
Yeah. Look up death totals from external conflicts from the past two decades and you’ll see one country is an absolutely colossal threat.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by galactus on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:29AM (#32052565)
“ First of all average people's opinions outside of western democracies are meaningless because those people don't have access to education or information to form any real opinions.”

This is insane. Your arrogance and total ignorance about the rest of the world is just crazy.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by judge2020 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:47PM (#32050903)
Threats depend on who the attacker is in relationship to the victim. The United States is quite a big threat to PRC and the persons who claim sole citizenship there.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by yunohn on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:20PM (#32051822)
> all average people's opinions outside of western democracies are meaningless because those people don't have access to education or information to form any real opinions.

Please do better. This is incredibly naive and insulting.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by jeanlou on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:09AM (#32053177)
A treat to what world? A treat to the western dominated world, with rules that only favour them.

Not abiding to whose law? Those international laws that even the US and its allies would not respect when it's not convinient to their agenda and narrative.

This has led to the destruction of Irak, Libya, the killing of Lumumba, and scores of other exemples across all continents.

The western world has been responsible for destructions and destabilisations all in the name of ensuring the economical and political future of their countries.

The West would happily support and never critise authoritarian regimes such as Rwanda just because it's convinient to them, and in the same sentence accuse China and Russia. I've never seen calls for democracy in place of the Kagame's regime for example.

You are failing to see the forrest for the trees, and at the same time overlooking so many details just to prove a point.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lmm on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:36PM (#32049865)
> While the US and the western governments have their issues, they are still a largely law abiding.

Perhaps on an internal level. But for those of us in third countries what matters is how they act outside their borders, and the US is doing considerably more dronestriking of their political enemies than China is.

(And even if you just look at domestic aspects, the relevant area is one of the exceptions. The NSA seems to be decoupled from any oversight - its leaders lie to congress with impunity, any attempts to hold them to account via the courts are dismissed...)

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by option on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:50PM (#32049983)
you conveniently left Russia out of your “acting outside of their borders” discussion… In case you haven’t noticed they started a bloody war in Ukraine this year.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pastacacioepepe on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:09PM (#32050150)
The USA have ~800 military bases over 85 different countries. Russia has 21, all in neighbouring countries. China has only 1 foreign base in Djibouti.

Who's acting outside of their borders again?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by another_story on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:23PM (#32050739)
I don't care about the US in this instance, but how many of those bases are wanted by the countries they are in? In most cases it seems US citizens are subsidizing the defense of many other countries.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Schroedingersat on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:21PM (#32051827)
Define wanted? In Australia's case they're 'wanted' by the government insofar as the PM that tried to get rid of them was unlawfully ejected from parliament. Tye populace are at best indifferent, and this is after decades of pro US propaganda.

Most of these 'wanted' bases are wanted in the same way the subjects of any other protection racket want their opressor.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by josephcsible on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:32PM (#32051885)
In a protection racket, isn't the victim paying the oppressor money for "protection"? But when the US maintains foreign military bases, isn't the US footing the bill?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lmm on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:31AM (#32052221)
The relationship is complex and contingent, but generally the host country will be making a range of concessions to the US (e.g. ceding land, giving US troops a range of indemnities, agreeing to purchase weapons systems from the US).

It may not be profitable for "the US" as an abstract whole, but the US is not a unitary entity; it's very profitable for the largest lobbying organisations in the US (Lockheed etc.).

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by josephcsible on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:36AM (#32052257)
I believe it's profitable for Lockheed, etc., but isn't that at the expense of the American taxpayers? And doesn't the foreign location usually make money from the base being there?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lmm on Monday July 11, 2022 @08:00AM (#32054977)
> I believe it's profitable for Lockheed, etc., but isn't that at the expense of the American taxpayers?

It's generally both - they're getting both American and foreign taxpayers to pay for their stuff.

> And doesn't the foreign location usually make money from the base being there?

If you're only looking at the direct impact of the base, sure, it tends to mean there are a bunch of young American men with money to burn around (though they also tend to be a not entirely positive influence in terms of e.g. sexual assaults). But the full package of obligations that goes with it tends to add up to something that's costly for both sides, and the people with the supply contracts are the only real winners.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Schroedingersat on Monday July 11, 2022 @09:33AM (#32055910)
The entity making decisions and benefiting does not heed and does not work to benefit the american taxpayers. The US from the point of view of the rest of the world is the military industrial complex, a network of corruption/compromise of varipus governments and one sided trade treaties, and the interests of american oligarchs.

The american taxpayer only benefits insofar as they are goven crumbs so they do not revolt or use what little democratic control they have to reign in the beast.

From the point of view of the rest of the world, there is nothing really to distinguish the US from the CCP other than the CCP are slightly more forward thinking in some of their projects in terms of long term benefit to themselves and are (momentarily) more brutally authoritarian. On the US side the main downsides aee they're currently dominant and there is a real danger of the US being taken over by a literal apocalypse cult that seeks climate change as an end to seek rather than merely something to be ignored where possible as the current incumbents do.

Other than that, one imperialist is the same as another -- to some degree even for the other countries in the imperial core.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by josephcsible on Monday July 11, 2022 @10:03AM (#32056280)
I can't take anyone seriously who says there's nothing to distinguish the US from the country that's commiting genocide against the Uyghurs and imprisons innocent foreign civilians because their country had Chinese criminals in prison.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Schroedingersat on Monday July 11, 2022 @08:34PM (#32064099)
Ah yes, because the ongoing state sanctioned systematic murder and enslavement of native and black americans is completely different from the ongoing enslavement and state sanctioned murder of Uyghurs.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Affric on Monday July 11, 2022 @05:58PM (#32062553)
Ah yes... so the loss of sovereignty is no price for Australia to pay at all.

The USA extracts more benefit from having a base in Australia than they pay for it.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pastacacioepepe on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:27AM (#32054331)
Except any country hosting US military bases basically loses their sovereignty. Once you have these bases, you can not discuss removing them. You can not debate the alliance with the US. You can not say no when they ask you to fuck up your entire economy to slightly damage Russia, even tho Russia poses no threat to you nor ever had.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:38AM (#32052613)
oh yeah China is engaging (though not declaring) economic war with Australia but ok keep pretending Australia doesn’t want US protection
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pastacacioepepe on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:46AM (#32054434)
Since when do you need military bases to defend against economic war?

Furthermore, the US is waging economic war on half the world since I have memory of it, isn't it time the rest of the world starts to protect themselves?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by macmuras on Monday July 11, 2022 @08:16AM (#32055125)
All types of wars are tied together. Military intervention can be a next step when you are not getting things done any other way.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pastacacioepepe on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:21AM (#32054301)
No. Read more history and you'll understand how the US came to have so many foreign bases. Spoiler, they are not the world's saviors.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by another_story on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:13PM (#32062731)
Yah, never said they were and I understand the history just fine. The question was how many want the bases there.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by option on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:36PM (#32050832)
ask Ukrainians whether they want US bases and whether they want to be part of Nato
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pastacacioepepe on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:20AM (#32054292)
> ask Ukrainians whether they want US bases and whether they want to be part of Nato

That doesn't make it right. Ukrainians are scared right now, that's not the right mental state to take decisions that will trap you for decades or more into a state of subjection to the US.

Also I don't care wether they want or not, the US must not expand further or we're basically asking for them to rule the world even more then they're currently doing. Plus I know by experience Ukraine will be better off without US bases.

My country has several US bases and this makes us a target for any US enemy and at the same time makes us a puppet state, lacking any sovereignty especially when it comes to foreign politics. Ask most people in my country, they'll tell you the bases can burn to hell.

Those bases are not there to defend us, their role is that of an offensive platform. We have many nuclear weapons ready to launch in case Biden decides it's time to fuck up some population.

I feel my safety and wellbeing are actively compromised by having foreign military bases on our soil.

Plus the American soldiers hosted in our country committed violence and rape several times and this is all documented and confirmed by our courts. Those yankees can definitely and quickly go home.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by macmuras on Monday July 11, 2022 @08:21AM (#32055168)
This exactly the moment that Ukrainians would like to make quick decision given information at hand. Other countries are making sam choice (e.g. Sweden, Finland).

I am from Eastern Europe and closer ties with US, although have a price, are the preferred option.

Soldiers should be judged accordingly, but it’s an incident and not US supported norm.

I think you don’t get sentiment from this part of the world.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lmm on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:18PM (#32050217)
WTF does Russia have to do with TikTok?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by starfallg on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:57PM (#32050049)
Or CCP troops engaging in bloody border skirmishes with shovels.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bigcat12345678 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:24PM (#32050741)
What is this?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bpye on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:14PM (#32051096)
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lenkite on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:26AM (#32052198)
5x more folks die in shootings per day in the USA than in that border conflict. Please note that neither Chinese soldiers nor Indian soldiers escalated to using firearms - despite carrying them - in order to stick to a mutual agreement!
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwawaymaths on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:06AM (#32052755)
I'm all about criticizing the us for the drone striking it's doing (and how our media underreported it -- try getting stats of how many strikes Obama delivered, you can only get straight answers about individual regions, not a totalled number).

I think the reason the US gets a pass in the international political zeitgeist is that it's motives serve a greater peace. In the past imperial powers have largely used their militaries to enrich their own mercantilist motives; the us has been the opposite, it has used trade and greed to bolster a security stance that has been positive for a lot of people (if you look at trade figures the beneficiaries of us-led trade globalization has mostly been other countries, ironically, mostly china, < 10% of us GDP is foreign trade).

Not to diminish the suffering of Latin American nations under us meddling, the pax Americana has directly brought peace to Europe which has basically been infighting since the beginning of time -- that's 450 million people that are not at each other's throats. Is that worth a Pinochet or two (Allende was no saint either), and bombing a few thousand innocent pashtuns, destabilizing iraq? I can't say, but at least I understand why people give the US a pass.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pastacacioepepe on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:49AM (#32054457)
> I think the reason the US gets a pass in the international political zeitgeist is that it's motives serve a greater peace

lol, PLEASE

The US Has Been at war 225 out of 243 years since 1776

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by throwawaymaths on Monday July 11, 2022 @08:00AM (#32054969)
You didn't read the whole thing. The point is: Europe has not since WWII. That is definitely machinations of the us at work. Whatever shitty motives the us had pre-wwii, like fighting wars on behalf of dole, something has changed, and if you don't understand that and take the lazy mindset that "history never changes" you're gravely mistaken, and in fact you won't be served well in general.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Barrin92 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:03PM (#32050097)
>Yes. China and Russia are the biggest geopolitical threats to the world. It is surprisingly that simple.

You may want to consult the so called 'global south' on that question who represents the majority of people on the planet and seems to have quite a different impression. Undoing America's 'rule based order' isn't a geopolitical threat to the world, it's a geopolitical threat to the US. Why would billions of people on earth be afraid of living in a world where their countries have actual influence? You may want to get used to the fact that you're not going to get to define what's 'sane' for everyone for much longer.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:51AM (#32052683)
Global south is not the majority of the population

And I am from the global south, I don’t know anyone that thinks the US is a threat

China and Russia on the other hand, yes, very much

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by wruza on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:20AM (#32054289)
May turn out that it’s not a threat in the same way you are not a threat to a homeless man. Until he takes over your job and puts a paid gate in his alley, of course. Then he’s fucked up, lost his goddamn mind and must be dealt with in the name of our freedom.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by crisdux on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:49PM (#32050916)
These days, the United States has proven they mainly follow the rules when it benefits them. So much for rules based international order. It's all unraveling as we return to a multi-polar world. History will probably look back and see the United States' global regime as starting off well. But it quickly engaged in the same brutalilty, lawlessness and arrogance as every other failed empire.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by KMag on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:47AM (#32052314)
There are certainly manifold shameful aspects to US foreign policy. However, it does humanity a disservice to disregard the degree to which the US has tried to promote self-determination in the past 40 years. The US really tried to run free and fair elections in Afghanistan and Iraq. The Taliban and Al-Sadr-aligned parties were allowed to stand in elections. The majority Shia and Kurdish minorities in Iraq now have much more political representation than they had under the Ba'athists. The elections in Afghanistan showed that the US installed government was closer to majority opinion than the Taliban regimes before or after.

The many shameful aspects of US foreign policy absolutely should be brought to light, but that doesn't mean retreating to defeatist nihilism. There can be something new under the sun, and US occupations of the past 40 years have been markedly different from previous empires. It's not enough progress as a society, but it is progress.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bshepard on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:08AM (#32052450)
Invading a country is the opposite of self-determination, and justifying invasion based on an abstracted universalism was also used by the British empire.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by KMag on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:16AM (#32052495)
Maybe I should have used the term "popular self-determinism". If the result is the government better represents the will of the populace at large, then popular self-determinism is improved, even if externally imposed.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bshepard on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:17AM (#32052810)
This pattern goes back to Napoleon: the idea being that the democratic states created by the invading armies were more legitimate/self-determined than the existing monarchal states. However the idea didn't work: monarchal rule returned, and returned in a stronger and more powerful form. There's at least 200 years of experience to suggest that liberal/democratic imperialism is not viable as a strategy, and in fact, provokes more reaction.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by colordrops on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:31PM (#32051199)
The simplistic language if your post reads as blind patriotism or jingoism. To suggest that the US is more law abiding is absurd, considering the countless wars of agression and covert actions. The problem with any debate on this subject is that every evil action by the US is "justified" somehow, and every action by others is the work of madman dictator, and by default wrong. It's impossible to discuss.

Edit: to be clear, I don't condone China's actions. I see both the US and China as very bad actors on the world stage.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Ozzie_osman on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:54PM (#32050953)
> Yes. China and Russia are the biggest geopolitical threats to the world.

> I don’t know why anyone would be afraid to say this.

Probably because it's not that they are afraid, they simply don't agree. For many people around the world, the US and Europe have inflicted far greater problems over the past 0-100 years.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by chii on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:15AM (#32052117)
and by defining their opinion on the past rather than the current geopolitical environment, they would be prone to fall prey to china and russian influence.

If they've got to be under the thumb of some foreign power, they ought to choose the US over china or russia. At least in a democracy, there's ways to change the public opinion.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lenkite on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:30AM (#32052218)
"and by defining their opinion on the past rather than the current geopolitical environment"

Yeah, who cares about the bad stuff 3-5-10-20 years in the past! All those US wars and coups are not applicable since the USA has turned into a bright, shiny fairy now!

"If they've got to be under the thumb of some foreign power, they ought to choose the US over china or russia."

Yeah, the US holding a gun to your head and saying: You are either with us or against us. Many nations want to make their own independent sovereign choice. Your diplomats actually use this language when they feel they can push folks around.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:47AM (#32052663)
Well if you put bad things in the past 3-5 years, China and Russia have a lot on their hands

Russia: uses their natural resources as weapons, invaded Ukraine, supports dictatorship in Syria

China: embargoes anyone that dares to have a relationship with Taiwan or talks bad about the CCP, provokes Taiwan like crazy, likely will invade it in the next 10 years

This is just the recent stuff, China has invaded Vietnam and fought against UN coalition that was protecting South Korea against North Korea aggression

Russia has done so much ** i am going to take too long to write

And these are only what affect other countries, they have done horrible things to their domestic population as well…

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by klibertp on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:45AM (#32053365)
I suspect the US would not be very happy had one of its states unilaterally declared independence and claim they're the real US (of one). China views Taiwan as a separatist, secessionist province that would be long reclaimed if not for support from the foreign powers.

Ukraine views Donetsk/Luhansk People Republics exactly the same.

Why is Ukraine right and China not?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by stackbutterflow on Monday July 11, 2022 @04:41AM (#32053678)
A tiny part of Taiwan was under Chinese rule for barely 2 centuries 400 years ago. Even at that time China never cared about it nor made an effort to develop it. China doesn't have more claim to Taiwan than any other similar colonizers that came and invaded Taiwan throughout the centuries. Japan was the first invader to achieve real control of most of the island.

Eventually, beaten by Mao, Chiang Kai Shek and its army invaded Taiwan and claimed it theirs. The CCP never ruled the island of Taiwan.

Your analogy is wrong and there's no really other country with a similar history in the world. The CCP loves making claims based on dubious (i.e false) historical basis.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by klibertp on Monday July 11, 2022 @04:58AM (#32053770)
Thanks, I took CCP claims at face value. I'll go read more on the topic. I was convinced that the Republic of China govt and army retreated to Taiwan, as in, it was already theirs. I didn't know it was conquest.

Edit:

> barely 2 centuries 400 years ago

Wiki says it was 1683–1895, so 2 centuries but just 130 years ago. It was then ceded to Japan after China defeat in a war, so it had to be Chinese before that (otherwise, how could China cede it?).

Edit:

> [Wiki says:] In September 1945 following Japan's surrender in WWII, ROC forces, assisted by small American teams, prepared an amphibious lift into Taiwan to accept the surrender of the Japanese military forces there

In 1945 the Chinese civil war was still ongoing, but WW2 has already finished, Japan lost, and ~300k Japanese residents of Taiwan were expelled from the island. There was no fighting during the takeover, so I don't think it can be called an invasion.

There are important differences between that situation and Ukraine, but... I don't believe they are enough to invalidate the whole analogy. My understanding is that both PRC and ROC see themselves as continuation of imperial China, which means both have equal claim to Taiwan (and mainland). Taiwan was colonized by Japan for some 50 years, but I don't think that's enough to claim it's inherently Japanese (especially after the deportation of Japanese citizens). If not, then it has to be Chinese.

So: there was a civil war in China, then because of unrelated happenings a part of China that was occupied by Japanese became Chinese again, and then an external power chose one of the warring sides in the civil war and unilaterally gave a part of Chinese territory to that side. Is this about right?

If so - I see enough parallels to current Ukraine situation to say that I don't believe my analogy breaks down, as you said. Following 2014, there was a civil war in Ukraine (honestly, saying it was a "special anti-terrorist action" is as valid as calling Russian invasion "special military operation"). The insurgents did not get a newly reclaimed land to retreat to, so they stayed where they were. Then an external power chose one side of the civil war, and propped it up so that they won't fail. There was next to no fighting during proclamation of secession. A few years later, separatists backed by the external power were recognized unilaterally by that power as independent entities. It was even similar timeline: ROC went to Taiwan in 1945, but the island was officially recognized as not-Japanese in 1952. That's 7 years; in Ukraine it was 8 years (2014-2022).

The more successful/bigger side of the civil war in both case never considered the other side anything other than rebels and terrorists. The less successful sides claim to be freedom-fighters trying to exercise their right to self determination.

The only real difference is that the powers backing ROC didn't, for one reason or other, try to help them retake more of the territory of the more successful side - but they were arming that side for 70 years now.

I really don't think the differences make the two situations incomparable.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by stackbutterflow on Monday July 11, 2022 @05:49AM (#32054080)
Japan did get Taiwan from whoever was ruling China at that time.

My point is not that Taiwan never was under Chinese rule, but a) it never was really integrated to China like most current chinese provinces (China boasts about a 5000 year long history, loosely controlling (5% of) an island for 200 years before losing it at the very end of the their these 5000 years is not a very strong claim), b) never controlled the entirety of the island because Chinese settlers stayed on the coast, the rest of the island was under aboriginal control (which were not a uniform block) c) never cared about it (it was under the rule of a former pirate turned governor - look up Koxinga) and never did anything with it.

Chiang's army retreated to Taiwan but it's a matter of semantic. It was under Japanese occupation until the end of WW2. Chiang raised the question of Taiwan to the Americans who at that time couldn't care less about that tiny island because they had so much on their plate. The Americans were like "sure, whatever, go for it", but nothing was officially signed (iirc) and Chiang and his army invaded the island and went on to subject it to an horrible authoritarian rule for the next decades.

Final words, about the R.O.C claiming China. That's a sad legacy of Chiang's lunacy. And now the CCP says that if the R.O.C dares to say that they're independant (which they are, but can't say it) they will invade. So Taiwan is stuck with this nonsense because of the threats coming from the Chinese government. Also Chiang had a chance to have a seat the UN but refused because he wanted to be the only China. The rest is history.

Most of what I wrote above comes from the book "Forbidden nation" by Jonathan Manthorpe (and other books but that one covers the history of Taiwan since the very beginning.)

Edit: I posted that before you edit (which I haven't read yet).

Edit 2: I'm not arguing against the parallel with Ukraine which I know nothing about. Just against the analogy with a hypothetical US state leaving the union.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by klibertp on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:01AM (#32054172)
> I'm not arguing against the parallel with Ukraine which I know nothing about. Just against the analogy with a hypothetical US state leaving the union.

Ah, ok. Yeah, I know basically nothing about the US and that analogy was indeed not a great one. I was thinking about Ukraine more, as it's both close by (to me) and happening right now.

In any case, thanks, I learned a bit more about the Taiwan history and will spend some more time reading about it, as it seems quite interesting :)

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lenkite on Monday July 11, 2022 @04:02AM (#32053470)
" supports dictatorship in Syria"

Far better that compared to Obama's "moderate", rapist rebels who evolved into ISIS. All the scenes of jubilation and crying when women were unchained from basements in Aleppo never made it to the US media and were taken down in 15/20 mins on youtube. The mind-boggling thing is that Aleppo was liberated from Al-Nusra by the Syrian Army - the US were providing weapons to folks on their own terrorist list!

"China: embargoes anyone that dares to have a relationship with Taiwan or talks bad about the CCP, provokes Taiwan like crazy, likely will invade it in the next 10 years"

Regarding China and Taiwan, the amount of American ignorance here truly astonishes me. When the United States moved to recognise the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and de-recognise the Republic of China (ROC) in 1979, the United States stated that the government of the People’s Republic of China was “the sole legal Government of China.”

The recent statements by the US president seem to reverse that acknowledgement severely enflaming tensions. Washington is playing with true fire here - China has no interest in invading Taiwan as long as they can moderate Taiwanese policy and as long as Beijing is recognised as the real Chinese government. But Biden is regularly being used as a play-the-dotard puppet by the War-Hawks to inflame tensions, with a nod-and-a-wink later: oh my dear, he didn't really mean it. Until the next inflaming statement comes out of his mouth.

If the US attempts to worsen the state of affairs and keep escalating tensions with statements of support for Taiwanese independence, then YES, there will indeed be an invasion. It will be utterly brutal and Taiwan will be annexed in the end - unless the US is willing to suffer heavy casualties in the hundreds of thousands and transition to a war-economy (which they will not as that would make the donors un-happy. They need to be paid more not less for arms)

Tens of thousands of Taiwanese lives will be lost to American egos and the American military industry who are always looking for the next war to keep their billionaire shareholders fat and happy. More Transfer of Wealth from the American taxpayer to the American elite.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by amit9gupta on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:12PM (#32050180)
The US is law abiding only when it is in their interest. The rest of the time they either flout law or bend it. How many other nations have effected: directly or covertly, the change in another countries leadership only for their own selfish interests? .. . as much as the US?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:50AM (#32052674)
As much as the US none because no country has ever been this strong

But it has happened

China tried with Vietnam but failed

Russia tried with Afghanistan but failed

France under Napoleon could do a lot of stuff in continental Europe

And the list goes on

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by guywatershow on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:27PM (#32049786)
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lenkite on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:55PM (#32052001)
> Yes. China and Russia are the biggest geopolitical threats to the world.

For many parts of the world, the USA is the biggest threat and tyrant in the world causing significant pain, loss and helplessness for hundreds of millions. Usually followed by deep hatred. I know folks who have lost their entire family to the USA. Unlike Ukraine, US acts of civilian violence rarely make the news or if they do, they are glossed over.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by _tik_ on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:27AM (#32052555)
"more willing to undo the rules based order that has someone kept the world somewhat sane since WWII" What rules and order that justified by Invading Iraq
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:29AM (#32052567)
Yeah the US invaded Irak many years ago. Today we have Russia invading Irak and China threatening to invade Taiwan.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by galactus on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:37AM (#32052608)
You have to understand that, for the rest of the world, seeing the US act is if invading another country was the worst thing anyone could do is highly hopocritical
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by isitmadeofglass on Monday July 11, 2022 @11:25AM (#32057366)
> Yes. China and Russia are the biggest geopolitical threats to the world.

If you bring together three people from USA, Russia, China then none of them will have trouble naming the two biggest threats. None of them will agree, but they’ll all name 2 of the same 3 anyone from anywhere in the rest of the world would name.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lenkite on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:08AM (#32052076)
"undo the rules based order that has someone kept the world somewhat sane since WWII."

Only an American/NATO nation citizen can believe this utter nonsense. The only rules being followed were the ones the USA laid out with its military fist, crushing of the opposition and sponsored coups - all in their favour.

Now that they finally have a serious competitor, the US is getting antsy. I am frankly speaking utterly glad for China's ascent. It will keep the USA in check (somewhat).

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:54AM (#32052694)
Yeah great, a xenophobic, homophobic dictatorship will keep the USA in check!

First thing in agenda: invade Taiwan and cause a chip shortage in the world that will cause the greatest economic crisis you will ever see!

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lenkite on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:07AM (#32053163)
The USA is creating a significant oil and energy crisis today by sanctioning the big 3 oil producing nations: Iran, Venezuela and Russia, leading to economic collapse and famine in several nations. But its all cool and great because the US are the "good" guys. Who cares if a few million citizens of the third world die ? They should know their place after all - being crushed under the American boot.

More people are dying in Yemen every-day thanks to US embargoes and US weapons than in Ukraine, but not a whiff about it in Western news. No photos of Yemeni mothers holding dead children. No photos of limbs being blasted off by US supplied bombs. Americans who support their military and state are ignorant, sanctimonious hypocrites of the highest order.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by wangii on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:10AM (#32052460)
when was the last time China invaded another country and killed hundreds of thousands? I really not interested in arguing good vs. evil, China VS US, but your blindness is just amazing!
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:40AM (#32052631)
I think it was Vietnam, after US vs Vietnam

Though the Chinese are everyday provoking Taiwan like crazy nowadays and does a hell lot of economic coercion to other countries

They also had some recent borders disputes with India which did end up with deaths

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by tartuffe78 on Monday July 11, 2022 @09:53AM (#32056137)
Good thing the US doesn't do any of that economic coercion...
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:42AM (#32052991)
Hong Kong, Tibet, maybe Taiwan next?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lmz on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:14AM (#32053206)
HK was returned, freed from colonial rule, not invaded.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Monday July 11, 2022 @11:34AM (#32057489)
> HK was returned, freed from colonial rule, not invaded.

I'm sure that Hong Kongers see it that way ahahaha.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by garmanarnar on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:20PM (#32058166)
The UK treated Hong Kongers as second class citizens. They censored newspapers and history books, only allowing those which agreed with imperialist Britain.

They then suppressed any autonomy in Hong Kong for decades, installing a ruthless puppet government.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:24PM (#32058232)
Whereas China opened up the country by letting Hong Kong citizens vote and thus auto-determine their future in a democratic way?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by garmanarnar on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:27PM (#32058277)
No, they're keeping the two systems in place. Opening up the country would destroy that.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:43PM (#32058493)
> No, they're keeping the two systems in place. Opening up the country would destroy that.

Oh really? The two systems where a CCP chill was placed at the top of the power and where protests were violently repressed?

Talk about being "freed" of colonial rule.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by garmanarnar on Monday July 11, 2022 @04:50PM (#32061643)
They have been freed, they are reunited with China. Hong Kong still has a democracy only now that system is answerable to Beijing. Not hard to grasp.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Tuesday July 12, 2022 @05:55AM (#32067682)
> They have been freed, they are reunited with China.

Without the will of Hong Kong citizens. That's the reverse of freedom.

> Hong Kong still has a democracy

It's not. The CCP simply dictates what happens in Hong Kong.

> Not hard to grasp.

Hong Kong being under the dictatorial boot of China is indeed not very difficult to grasp.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by garmanarnar on Tuesday July 12, 2022 @10:33AM (#32070557)
Hong Kong is still a democracy. It is the will of Hong Kong citizens to be free from British imperialism.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Tuesday July 12, 2022 @01:39PM (#32073334)
> Hong Kong is still a democracy.

Without fair elections? I don't think so.

> It is the will of Hong Kong citizens to be free from British imperialism.

As decided where?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by garmanarnar on Wednesday July 13, 2022 @11:40AM (#32084205)
It's decided in Hong Kong. If you bothered to care about the opinion of Hong Kongers you might know that.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Thursday July 14, 2022 @06:31AM (#32094169)
> It's decided in Hong Kong. If you bothered to care about the opinion of Hong Kongers you might know that.

Show me the referendum voting results then?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by garmanarnar on Thursday July 14, 2022 @09:21PM (#32103509)
They didn't hold a referendum. Honestly if you're this ignorant on Hong Kong politics then I'm wasting my time.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by LunaSea on Friday July 15, 2022 @02:43AM (#32105327)
I know there wasn't a referendum but I asked the question to show you that citizens didn't have their say in the matter.

So it isn't a democracy.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by xwolfi on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:53PM (#32050944)
I am a bit unnerved each time I read an american using this self referential logic that the US are good because the US are good.

We dont all want to live in a theocratic bi-party corporatist paradise, crushed by personal loans to cure grandma s broken leg, to exgaerate a bit. I live in China and while I dislike the communists just as much as the next guy, I'm quite unsure what's so good about the US.

It's just as much a giant country blabbering all day long about how we should be their protectorate (I'm French), a lot like China...

But yeah let s not be afraid to say China, Xi in particular, are in an endless dictator trap, covering the crimes of the past with the crimes of the present. I just wouldnt put all my bets on the US evolving better just because God wrote their constitution or whatever else they think make them so virtuous.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by galactus on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:43AM (#32052643)
The extent at which so many americans are absolutely convinced they are “the good guys” of the world is simply amazing. A real testimony of the power of american propaganda.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by fumar on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:55AM (#32052364)
I read this as “everyone is bad, so it is not fair to say China is a danger to the world.”
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by sneak on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:45PM (#32050452)
> While the US and the western governments have their issues, they are still largely law abiding.

This is absolutely untrue. The CIA operates in clear violation of both US and foreign law and flaunts it, and they suffer no consequences whatsoever.

The US is corrupt at the highest levels, with entire governmental organizations totally exempt from the laws that apply to everyone else.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by garmanarnar on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:13PM (#32051783)
Was the US obeying the law when they invaded Iraq leading to the death of 400,000 Iraqi civilians?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by caeril on Monday July 11, 2022 @10:53AM (#32056943)
As a US citizen, I'd rather a foreign power with no jurisdiction here gobble up my data than the local jackboots with a rubberstamp judge who can execute a no-knock raid on my home whenever they feel like, predicated on dubious suspicion elicited by whatever precrime data-mining operation they're running.

China isn't going to shoot my dog at 4am and throw me in a concrete box.

And if I were a Chinese or Russian citizen, I'd be far more wary of domestic apps than US apps for precisely the same reason. Not playing favorites here, it's just a jurisdictional arbitrage question in a world dominated by tyranny.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lm28469 on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:43AM (#32054422)
> Yes. China and Russia are the biggest geopolitical threats to the world.

It's all perspective, China and Russia say the exact same thing about the US.

Can't believe people still fail for that kind of propaganda...

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by dylan604 on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:16AM (#32052805)
I get what you're saying, but...

Why are we letting FB off the hook? Why are we letting any of the platforms that harvest data off the hook? FB tweaked their algos to literally see if they could fuck with people's moods. They know the power they hold, and they constantly refine it to keep people's attention. At some point if FB promoted via algo something that riles up a group of people against another group of people to the point of violence, how is that any less bad? Especially, since that's what has happened?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pedrolucasp on Monday July 11, 2022 @10:32AM (#32056681)
>threats to the world

Essentially threats to folks up north. Down here (in Latin America) and other places such as the entirely of Asian and African countries, US has been a threat since it exists.

US is still moving it's pieces here in Brazil, Venezuela, Colombia, Ecuador. Not to mention espionage on half of the world (thanks WikiLeaks)

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by onelovetwo on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:21PM (#32049713)
If you're looking at it from that perspective, tiktok should be the least of your worries. Currently The U.S. is entirely dependent on this "geopolitical threat" to survive. At least with tiktok its as simple as shutting down the app.

The U.S and China are entangled in ways you cant imagine.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by notyourwork on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:59PM (#32051350)
Why is it surprisingly that simple? You lost me with that claim and I’m a suspicious US citizen.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Calvin02 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:15PM (#32051436)
Well, let me try it this way: if massively popular social networks weren’t a threat, both China and Russia wouldn’t have cared about Twitter, Facebook, or any other “western” internet company operating in their countries.

Clearly, they think that these are important sovereignty issues such that they’ve clamped down or disallowed these services entirely.

The ability to manipulate people via state sponsored algorithmic tweaks to TikTok’s ranking algorithm is a powerful tool.

You don’t need to do much to sour US’s support for Taiwan in the eyes of just a minority. Or you don’t need to do much to tweak the algorithm such that content about politicians friendly to China is ranked higher than others.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lenkite on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:35AM (#32052245)
It's not just Russia and China. Most nations have realised that these large social networks have selective censoring and US tilted "fact-checking". Many, many nations are clamping down, banning, restricting or raising applicable laws to limit the damage of these social-media "services".
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by tigerBL00D on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:05AM (#32052753)
Luckily this kind of unsubstantiated trash comment is rare on this forum. This is really not the place to vent your crazy political theories.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by baby on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:20AM (#32052830)
> China and Russia are the biggest geopolitical threats to the world. It is surprisingly that simple.

And people wonder why we’re so divided

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by alfiedotwtf on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:37PM (#32049872)
> they are still a largely law abiding

Where does one even begin...

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bool3max on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:54PM (#32050018)
You are delusional.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by qwertass on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:09PM (#32050146)
Lol. Look a westerner giving us a lecture on how to behave again. There has not no empire more evil than western imperialism.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by recroad on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:03PM (#32051018)
> I don’t know why anyone would be afraid to say this.

For free of being called xenophobic and racist.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lifeformed on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:41PM (#32051255)
You're the only one in this thread bringing that up.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by shikoba on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:00PM (#32049530)
It is because China is the enemy. When it's Facebook or Google strangely it's never an issue. Moral is always a facade for international economic war. And some people fall for it.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pempem on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:28PM (#32049797)
While most people on HN would agree that they would like more regulation of their data on FB and Google, these are largely still separate actors from the US government. You can even indicate that something like Cambridge Analytica is starting within a party, rather than the actual governing body.

There is too much sharing, IMO, without a doubt. That being said, they are not near synonymous as TikTok is.

Data regulation, privacy, influence through exposure are real issues worldwide. Tiktok has a raised profile due to its closeness with a governing state body.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Al-Khwarizmi on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:35PM (#32049857)
The thing is that "government = bad" is typical American mindset. As another non-US, non-Chinese citizen, the fact that those megacorporations are independent from the government makes it worse, not better.

At least governments respond to their people (especially in the case of democracies, much less so for authoritarian governments, but they still have to worry a minimum to avoid revolution). Corporations respond to profit only, everything else be damned.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bko on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:50PM (#32049976)
When Facebook starts opening concentration camps, I'm likely to agree with you.

> especially in the case of democracies, much less so for authoritarian governments, but they still have to worry a minimum to avoid revolution

What do you think is more likely to still be relevant in 100 years from now, China or Facebook? I think a 'revolution' is more likely to affect Facebook than China

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by formerkrogemp on Monday July 11, 2022 @08:14AM (#32055105)
> When Facebook starts opening concentration camps, I'm likely to agree with you

I wonder. If your product is used to recruit soldiers, spread propaganda, disseminate hate speech, and organize and deploy said concentration camps or their equivalent, are you liable and culpable? If you've known for years and done next to nothing about sectarian violence and genocide, are you still blameless? When moderation could have been hired and trained for an immaterial amount of profit? SEA wages are notoriously low in dollar terms. Poorly implemented machine learning models don't suffice to halt genocide. Greed, ignorance, malevolence, sloth, arrogance. Take your pick.

https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/kill-facebook-fail...

https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/digital-threats/r...

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebo...

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by echaozh on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:26AM (#32052876)
Hmm, you know corporations can run prisons, and they can fight in wars with mercenaries.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by dnissley on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:52PM (#32049998)
If a security hole was found in Google and in the US government, which do you think would respond in a way that would make that less likely to happen in the future?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pempem on Monday July 11, 2022 @05:59PM (#32062557)
I would strongly disagree

It is not that government = bad.

It is that government having data which allows for influence of people == destruction of democracy as the government is supposed to reflect the will of people rather than the other way around. It is an incredibly short path to: autocracy, oligarchies, dictatorships, etc.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:00AM (#32052722)
government is not always bad

However government knowing about your private stuff is

Homophobic governments shouldn’t know about gay peoples privacy

Christian governments shouldn’t know about women’s abortion

The government can help, it shouldn’t get in the way — which is very much what can do under a dictatorship

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Schroedingersat on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:22PM (#32051837)
Just because the chinese oligarchs give themselves government titles and the US oligarchs do not is no reason to believe they're not the ones in control.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pempem on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:12PM (#32062703)
Love this point. So true, and so accurate.

That being said they are also highly disparate with a variety of motivations and are incredibly hard to whip (using this the way its used in congress) into directions that are nuanced. Things like "we wanna make more money" "regulations/unions are bad" ofc oligarchs in the US manage to see eye to eye on, but anything further nuanced - that class discipline - is harder to achieve in the US than China

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by alfiedotwtf on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:42PM (#32049911)
> these are largely still separate actors from the US government

Yes they're separate actors, but programs like PRISM suggest that they're still on a very short leash

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by sneak on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:47PM (#32050463)
Not just PRISM: Apple has actually been (presumably) forced to not publish e2e encryption software that the feds didn't want deployed, an example of prior restraint that is blatantly unconstitutional.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-apple-fbi-icloud-exclusiv...

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pempem on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:10PM (#32062685)
Completely.

So much of this framing however is being pushed/forced/rulings or judgement driven decisions.

You get the sense that TikTok is like "cool, yeah, we'll add that to our roadmap"

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bko on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:47PM (#32049955)
I think there's a difference between a private company having my data and an adversarial government. The company has a clear motive, profit. They're lawful neutral. An adversarial government may be chaotic evil. I don't know why this isn't obvious.

Wasn't everyone freaking out just a few years ago when Russian government was manipulating people with political groups on Facebook? And that's even with Facebook's earnest effort to prevent these things. With this company, there's a direct tie in with an adversarial government.

Yes, ideally I don't want anyone to have my data, but lets not pretend Zuck and CCP are the same thing

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Ozzie_osman on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:06PM (#32051044)
> Wasn't everyone freaking out just a few years ago when Russian government was manipulating people with political groups on Facebook?

Yes, if by everyone you mean Americans, because their country was the target. There are many countries where media has been manipulated by the CIA, too.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:02AM (#32052734)
If you think Russia has only meddled with American election, you are crazy
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Miner49er on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:00PM (#32050071)
I'm the opposite. I would much rather have the CCP have my data then a US based company like FB. Unless I travel to China, what are the CCP going to do to the average American with their data? Whereas, in the US, the data could be used in the future to prosecute me for my political views or whatever with law changes.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by arroz on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:05AM (#32052747)
The CCP can try to instigate chaos

Can try to instigate hate

Extremism

Cause democracy to fall

Make people feel hopeless in a possible future war, and just give up before trying so they can achieve their goals with ease

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bko on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:21PM (#32050238)
The CCP could be actively trying to get you hate your neighbor and spread disinformation. That could be a byproduct of either group, but it is more likely to be an explicit goal of CCP. Here's a gem from the WHO in January 2020. This was almost certainly known to be a lie to the CCP based on their actions at the time

> Preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel #coronavirus (2019-nCoV) identified in #Wuhan, #China.

https://twitter.com/who/status/1217043229427761152

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Schroedingersat on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:48PM (#32051968)
Yes, private companies like blackwater, shell, bp, dutch east india, coca cola, nestle, amazon, or facebook never participate in fascist propaganda campaigns or organize coups, hire mercenaries to kill unionizing (or just competing) workers, murder, or steal. And facebook didn't promote lies and propaganda during the pandemic at all /s

The CCP is at least very indirectly accountable to their own people and holds their country's long term interests in mind even if they do not care about the people and hold the usual abhorrent views of authoritarians towards minorities. This is extremely evil, but pales in comparison to an unaccountable corporate entity with what little human oversight it has steered by a combination of narcissists, neofuedalists and literal apocalypse cultist theocrats.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by gsatic on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:09PM (#32050147)
Cool pov. Take my upvote. But of course never going to happen. Tribal instincts, schizmogenisis etc
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by pyuser583 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @08:30PM (#32050790)
According to my very old Players Handbook, leaders of tyrannical states are lawful evil.

“Lawful” or “chaotic” relate to whether the character embrace order.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by klibertp on Monday July 11, 2022 @04:26AM (#32053603)
Also people who move based on only their own profit are neutral evil. In other words: just evil.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by DavidSharff on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:19PM (#32050229)
I agree about the contradictions and hypocrisy but the answer can be much more pragmatic:

> As a non-US, non-Chinese citizen, is there something that makes TikTok espionage and Facebook not? Or is it just "china scary"?

There's problems with US big tech and TikTok but the case against TikTok is easier to push through.

There's nothing wrong with patching the first of many holes in your roof and starting with the one easiest to get to.

---------

My primary emotional and ethical driver is to point out my own government (the US) not living up to its marketing material, but it doesn't mean I wouldn't support eliminating a vector for another (openly autocratic) government to meddle with my country as well.

Edit: distinguish my reply to prior comment from my ramblings about my reply.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by phyrex on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:49PM (#32049964)
How are they “The Enemy”? Are they coming and killing Americans or is it just generic xenophobia?
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by jes on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:56PM (#32050559)
I found this[1] report (PDF) from the DEA:

"Currently, China remains the primary source of fentanyl and fentanyl-related substances trafficked through international mail and express consignment operations environment, as well as the main source for all fentanyl-related substances trafficked into the United States. Seizures of fentanyl sourced from China average less than one kilogram in weight, and often test above 90 percent concentration of pure fentanyl."

Presumably, if the CCP wanted to do so, they could put an end to the groups shipping this deadly substance into the United States.

1. https://tinyurl.com/4396s38r

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by burntbridge on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:43PM (#32051262)
>Presumably, if the CCP wanted to do so, they could put an end to the groups shipping this deadly substance into the United States.

Presumably, if the United States wanted to do so, they could put an end to the groups shipping this deadly substance from the China.

Just changed the wording a little to show the bias in this sentence. Why do think China would be more successful than the U.S. in prohibiting illegal drugs?

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by Dylan16807 on Monday July 11, 2022 @01:19AM (#32052508)
Are they being imported by "groups" the same way?

This is assuming manufacturing is being done by large groups... but it usually is. Manufacturing tiny amounts is much much harder than importing tiny amounts.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by lmz on Monday July 11, 2022 @03:17AM (#32053227)
Good. Let the American's own addictions kill them off. Don't forget China's own history with the Opium wars versis the British.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by echaozh on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:56AM (#32053095)
Currently in 2020. Later the primary source becomes India. China actually did put an end to the shipping.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by shikoba on Monday July 11, 2022 @07:51AM (#32054886)
Economically speaking China is the enemy of occident, probably bigger than Russia.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by vinyl7 on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:54PM (#32050023)
Economic enemy
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by sumnole on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:00PM (#32051357)
This just isn't true for anyone but die hard nationalists. The average citizen has no reason to care what country their products and services are coming from. It's better that the world trade and communicate beyond borders. Calls for banning Tik Tok are coming from people afraid of fair international competition.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by EamonnMR on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:22PM (#32049727)
TikTok's format is more successful at micro targeting and influencing people than Facebook. Other future social media networks will probably work in a similar way and be just as concerning. YouTube is another one that's very good at influencing people. I wonder if video is unsafe at any speed, so to speak...

A spooky example of TikTok-the-emergent-system's ability to influence people at scale. This one gave me pause. https://www.wbur.org/endlessthread/2022/06/03/tiktok-tics

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by cruano on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:19PM (#32050225)
Influencing sure, but espionage ? From what I can tell, people mostly consume content there in a similar fashion to YouTube, i.e. you don't really add your real-life friends and you don't post your day-to-day stuff unless you are already a celebrity

Contrary to facebook where people would literally "Follow" their political parties, workplaces, friend groups from school/work/gym/life, etc.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by bastawhiz on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:52PM (#32050507)
Espionage for the sake of espionage isn't useful. But if you're collecting lots and lots of data about what people like and what makes them angry and you have a direct line to feed them whatever information you want, having tens of millions of targets for opinion-influencing content is a very powerful tool for a state actor.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by sidlls on Sunday July 10, 2022 @09:36PM (#32051227)
I like these kinds of replies that minimize the dangers China presents to the world while implying people concerned about the same are just ignorant xenophobes and racists.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by SMVS on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:34AM (#32052241)
As an ex FAANG, nothing could be more true. TikTok is just continuing what Silicon Valley started, only they're better at it. Having seen what US tech companies have done with my data, I'd much rather it was in the hands of the Chinese.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by hnov on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:02AM (#32052733)
What have they done with your data? Also have worked at a few FAANGs and from what I’ve seen (admittedly not working on social or B2C products) data is subject to rules and is generally used in aggregate only.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by zthrowaway on Monday July 11, 2022 @08:45AM (#32055426)
China bot galore. Lol.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by kumarvvr on Monday July 11, 2022 @12:22AM (#32052169)
The ground truth is simple.

In the US, you can intimidate Facebook and Google.

You can't do that to TikTok.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by schrectacular on Sunday July 10, 2022 @11:40PM (#32051920)
There is not. And that's why Facebook was banned in China just as uptake was going exponential.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by ArrayBoundCheck on Sunday July 10, 2022 @10:32PM (#32051527)
Lets take this silly example.

Lets say apple engineers all have kids who use tiktok and some of the kids or engineers do something shady and someone gets blackmailed. As a consequence apple launches 3months later and in the meantime someone from china launches a killer phone with the same or almost as good tech specs. Sure the apple fans may wait it out but that could be a billion dollars of sales to china that would have went to USA

That's one of the point of espionage. To get a competitive or monetary advantage. If facebook did this to other companies within the states, at least the country isn't losing money

The other would be things used to jail innocent people but for the most part I don't think thats how tiktok is being used

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by webmobdev on Monday July 11, 2022 @05:51AM (#32054094)
TikTok is BigTech too. Chinese BigTech rather than US BigTech. That's a problem for some. As someone who is neither Chinese or American, and with no local alternative to any of the BigTech's service, I am screwed either way. With lax privacy laws and regulations in my country, both American and Chinese BigTech freely abuse our naivety and trust to harvest our personal data.
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by justinpowers on Sunday July 10, 2022 @07:54PM (#32050532)
This whole thread is equivalent to two people on opposite sides of the Earth arguing about whether the sun will be rising or setting.

Just go buy some sunscreen already.

Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by option on Sunday July 10, 2022 @06:45PM (#32049938)
under which rule would your rather live Western (US) or China. And no, realistically you do not have “your own” choice
Re:As TikTok grows, so does suspicion by oittaa on Monday July 11, 2022 @02:42AM (#32052988)