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Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by VHRanger on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:23PM (#37324402)
Which is why electric SUVs are actually a step backward on a lot of fronts except CO2 emissions.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by googlryas on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:33PM (#37324605)
Looking up comparable ICE cars to a Model Y, google tells me Audi SQ5, BMW X3 M40i, and Mercedes-Benz GLC43.

Their curb weights in lbs are:

Model Y: 4,555

SQ5: 4,288

M40i: 4,392

GLC43: 4,233

So, yes, a model Y is heavier, but only by about 250 lbs. At a 4th power that could be an extra 30% damage compared to an ICE, but even the lightest SUV here is doing something like 3.5x the damage compared to a Honda Civic. So, if you think road damage is a valid concern, electric cars aren't particularly special - SUVs in general should be a bigger worry.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by dingnuts on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:37PM (#37324677)
>even the lightest SUV here is doing something like 3.5x the damage compared to a Honda Civic

this is crazy to consider when you know that parents with three children in car seats cannot find a sedan that can hold three car seats, and wagons disappeared to be replaced by SUVs because of... EPA emissions standards.

So it could be argued that the emission standards are the cause of this extra wear, which is additionally ironic when you consider asphalt is an oil product

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by Zak on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:41PM (#37324774)
> wagons disappeared to be replaced by SUVs because of... EPA emissions standards

I think that's only half-true. In the US, people weren't buying many wagons when they were available. For the majority of people who don't use their SUVs off road, this seems irrational. I've heard a number of people say that the higher seating position makes them feel safer, though that feeling is not reality-based.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by delecti on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:45PM (#37324845)
I think it's a tragedy of the commons situation. Driving an SUV feels safer because there are more other vehicles you can see over to keep appraised of your surroundings, but that also makes it harder for the drivers of those other vehicles.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by redundantly on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:48PM (#37324913)
> I've heard a number of people say that the higher seating position makes them feel safer, though that feeling is not reality-based.

It is based in reality, albeit a kind of self fulfilling prophecy.

As more and more taller cars (large SUVs and pickup trucks) appear on the road the more dangerous it is for smaller cars. The crumple zones on a compact or sedan don't do much good when the front and rear bumpers of SUVs and trucks clear the hoods of smaller cars, effectively putting the bumper at eye level.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by Zak on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:03PM (#37325239)
> * the front and rear bumpers of SUVs and trucks clear the hoods of smaller cars, effectively putting the bumper at eye level*

I expected that to be illegal, but it seems that it is not in the US. A quick look suggests that for typical unmodified SUVs the issue affects repair costs more than occupant injuries. Homebuilt monster trucks are, of course another issue.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jandrewrogers on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:30PM (#37325708)
SUVs aren't made for off-road [0], the functional ones are made for poor road conditions. Subaru has targeted that market segment quite successfully with light, low-cost cars with AWD and high ground clearance. In some parts of the US, especially the western half, an AWD with high ground clearance is often a practical requirement due to the geography and weather risks even if you never go off-road.

[0] The original "sport-utility vehicles" were built for off-road usage and had 4WD but that hasn't been true of almost anything marketed as an SUV for decades.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by Arrath on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:45PM (#37325958)
> In some parts of the US, especially the western half, an AWD with high ground clearance is often a practical requirement due to the geography and weather risks even if you never go off-road.

This is exactly why Subarus are massively popular in Alaska.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by ricardobayes on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @02:13PM (#37326447)
Not sure about that. For a long time, the go-to "dad car" was a wagon, with wooden siding.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by parasense on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @04:01PM (#37328142)
> For the majority of people who don't use their SUVs off road, this seems irrational.

Because that's a kind of regulatory fiction, right there.

So let's cut the crap!

For the majority of the so-called SUV market the "s" in SUV is a long lost myth, and if we're being honest then it's just Utility-Vehicle (UV). But you say they sit higher off the road, perhaps that's technically correct, but actually false when compared to off-road vehicles. But we've already acknowledged SUV's are not really off road vehicles, but rather normal passenger vehicles with normal road tires, normal suspensions, and lower center's of gravity. The Model-y is really just a slightly taller/longer version of the model-3. But how much higher, well if you look at the ground clearance, then it's only ~1 inches higher off the ground. But overall the vehicle is taller, will a larger overhead canopy, and the seats are places over booster blocks to raise the eye-level higher. It's really an illusion, the Model-y is really just a sedan, that technically meets the minimum requirements to say it's an SUV. You can safely consider the modern SUV as the equivalence of old-school station-wagons.

If it waddles like a duck... quacks like a duck... you might be dealling with ducks my dude.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by webdood90 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:42PM (#37324791)
or is it having children?
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by asow92 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:54PM (#37325066)
Population replacement rate is at least 2.1 kids per couple. What are you suggesting here, bud?
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by zqfm on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:52PM (#37325018)
nope
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by saiya-jin on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:46PM (#37324855)
This is not true, at least not in Europe. Wagons/sedans didn't disappear, we drive recent BMW 5 series and there are plenty of others (Audi A6, Skoda Superb, VW Passat, Mercedes and so on and on). Its as wide as it gets and you can buy official or unofficial conversion of back seat into 3-same-seat row. You just click a conversion layer into ISOFIX from what I recall.

It doesn't magically make back row wider, so you can't fit comfortably 3 taller adults regardless of seat arrangements, but 3 child seats are easy. It then has exactly same space as usual 3-seaters like Seat Alhambra, its VW equivalent etc. but you drive much better, more powerful and also safer car (ie frontal crumple zones).

If you think about 3 solid wide seats for 3 adults, such a car wouldn't fit in regular parking spot in most EU/Switzerland and struggled on narrower roads, yeah we normally don't do that kind of stuff here since roads and parking spaces are shared among everybody.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by wazoox on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:52PM (#37325002)
"Wagons" are Chrysler Voyager, Renault Scenic, Citroën Picasso, Volkswagen Golf Plus, Toyota Prius+ and those have almost entirely disappeared (Golf Plus and Prius Plus aren't made anymore; Picasso will disappear this year, etc).

BMW series 5, Audi A6 etc are sedans. These are strongly declining too; SUVs make more about 40% of sales of new vehicles in Europe.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by felixfbecker on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:10PM (#37325353)
The Audi A6 comes in both a sedan and wagon (hatch back) variant (named "Avant"), I would assume saiya-jin was referring to the wagon variant. The only wagon variants sold in the US are the "allroad quattro" variant and the RS6 though.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jeroen on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:18PM (#37325487)
Same for the 5-series, the Passat, and others mentioned. Those are available as wagons in Europe and still seem to sell well, based on what I see on the roads.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by sokoloff on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:02PM (#37325222)
The Audi A6 Allroad is definitely a wagon. BMW had a 5-series wagon but stopped selling it in the US a little over a decade ago.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by saiya-jin on Thursday August 31, 2023 @04:23AM (#37334071)
You are a bit lost and clearly no clue what you comment about, I personally have BMW 5 series wagon (F11 model to be precise). VW has Passat wagon, Skoda has Octavia/Superb wagon etc. I see them here in Europe much more often than sedans, if you go for big car you usually also want the maximum trunk space.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by theshrike79 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:48PM (#37324923)
A side note: there are special 3 or 4 seater car seats that are one integrated section and can fit on a normal sedan's back seat.

"Multimac" is the first brand that came up on Google: https://thetravelhack.com/blog/multimac-car-seat-review/

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by betenoire on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:50PM (#37324955)
I'm not sure about this, there are still many wagons out there. They don't have those classic wood panels and tacky colors, and the backwards facing rear seats are gone, but aren't these Outbacks and similarly shaped vehicles wagons?

Regarding car seats, they are just THAT much bigger these days. My family had 3 car seats in a rabbit, in the early 80s.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by xp84 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:58PM (#37325127)
> parents with three children in car seats cannot find a sedan that can hold three car seats,

This is a categorically untrue myth. Lots of car seats are stupidly wide thrones, but there is no reason you have to buy those ridiculous things. Diono makes a full line of car seats which fit 3-across in any midsize car. They're even cheaper than a lot of seats from the biggest brands, starting under $200. [1]

People are buying SUVs because they want them and because we've made it attractive to do so:

* Externalize excess road wear costs onto all taxpayers due to gas tax

* Overall trends contributed to pathetic selection of good sedans

* Finally, Reasonable fears that since "everyone else" is driving 3-ton monstrosities, perhaps they won't be safe in a car 5 feet shorter than the truck that hits them.

It won't be easy to reverse any of this, since the only lever is to replace gas tax with a fair road tax like this Norway one -- the rest of them are functions of the trend. Sadly, anything that raises taxes on a majority of Americans (those who drive big SUV things) would be political suicide.

[1] https://store.diono.com/radian-3r/ (No affiliation with them, though I've purchased 4 of these so far personally.)

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jonhohle on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:18PM (#37325475)
If a gas tax was replaced wholesale with a mileage tax I don't think I'd be too upset, however, how do you deal with out of state use, work vehicles that spend most of their time on job sites as opposed to roads, when and how is it assessed and collected, etc. If a mileage tax was added without repealing the gas tax, I don't think it would go over to well.

Historically gas was a reasonable proxy for road use, but that is going to be increasingly untrue. It's reasonable to see EVs as a tax dodge against road use taxation that can primarily be taken advantage of by the well-off, but in AZ it's $100-$200 a year.

Either give EVs a 1¢/mile use tax or give everyone the tax and remove the gas tax, or drop them both and become more efficient ;-).

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by pests on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @02:22PM (#37326593)
1 cent a mile might be losing money in some areas!

Registration in Michigan for a Model 3 is over $500 a year and used to be closer to $700.

If you assume 12,000 miles a year that's only $720 total since the 3's release at 1 cent a mile.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by giantg2 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:07PM (#37325301)
"Externalize excess road wear costs onto all taxpayers due to gas tax"

This is true for electric or hybrid, but in general, heavier ICE vehicles will have lower economy which means they buy more fuel and pay more fuel taxes. In many states trucks cost more to register too. So it's probably pretty close to proportional.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by hedgehog on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @02:09PM (#37326362)
You're half right about the seats but seats that fit three across in a normal small SUV or sedan are a small share of what's available. I also think it's worth segmenting out SUVs now that everything has become an SUV. The Corolla Cross is an "SUV" but really compact. A RAV4 is an "SUV" and one of the most popular vehicles sold in the US but it's only slightly heavier than a Camry and gets about the same fuel economy (because it's basically a tall hatchback Camry). Even the next size up (Highlander) is about the same weight as a mini van (Sienna). Weight based tax seems like a good idea to me but I don't think "SUVs" are in general really the problem.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by xp84 on Thursday September 07, 2023 @06:18PM (#37426382)
> seats that fit three across in a normal small SUV or sedan are a small share of what's available.

Nobody's forcing anybody to buy the giant ones, though, so a few good choices existing is enough that "car seats" isn't a reason on its own to buy an SUV.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by xp84 on Thursday September 07, 2023 @06:24PM (#37426446)
And fair point that SUVs aren't automatically enormous, nor automatically super harmful, except in how deadly their genre-defining high stance is to pedestrians and children.

It just seems super wasteful to me the number of vehicle-miles that are driven in the suburbs by enormous and medium-sized ("Tall Hatchback Camry") SUVs with a single driver carrying a couple bags of groceries. Most of the time, most commuters and even people with up to 2 small children ought to be perfectly fine driving a 4-door compact, which is substantially more fuel-efficient and lighter than even the midsize SUVs. But the incentives don't exist to make people consider that. They figure, "Oh well, I'll spend $25 extra on gas each month but it's worth it so that I can transport lumber once a year."

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by bombcar on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:00PM (#37325179)
The wagon was replaced by the minivan and the minivan is dying.

https://diono.com/diono-journal/the-original-and-the-best-3-... solves the three car seat problem even in a smallish sedan.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by ghaff on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:09PM (#37325340)
Quite a few of my whitewater paddling friends--who often have to shuttle people--prefer minivans over 3-row SUVs but, as you say, minvans have largely been replaced by SUVs which are IMO not really ideal if you regularly fill up the seats. (Even the best/biggest ones I've been in still require something of a do si do between people in the second and the third row.)
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by bombcar on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:20PM (#37325511)
It’s especially hard to find a nine seat SUV anymore - I don’t know if any offhand with a bench front seat.

The Kia Carnival seats 11 in Asia …

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by ghaff on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:28PM (#37325677)
I suspect that, in the US, there's a pretty strong bias to maximizing the comfort for the first and second person rather than being able to squeeze one more passenger in.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by bombcar on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:35PM (#37325800)
Exactly this. All vehicles are sold to people who buy new vehicles and that cohort is more alike than they’d like to admit.

Commercial vehicles still have some variation because the purchaser is not the driver.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by otikik on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:03PM (#37325242)
> replaced by SUVs because of... EPA emissions standards.

That's the first time I hear this argument. I thought that SUVs replaced them because car makers found that they can justify a bigger price on a bigger, heavier vehicles. Intuitively an SUV should emit more (heavier vehicle, more wind resistance).

I know that John Deere used EPA emissions standards as a smoke screen for them of their unwilling to allow third-party repairs on their tractors. Perhaps they are using the same maneuver here?

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by rurounijones on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:16PM (#37325443)
> That's the first time I hear this argument.

SUVs and the like exploit a loophole in various standards like fuel efficiency requirements because they are not "cars" but "Light trucks" and therefore those standards don't apply to them; which makes them cheaper to design and build for automotive companies.

The "Light trucks" category was supposed to be used for light commercial vehicles, not personal vehicles but then the law of unintended consequences had a love-child with profit seeking corporations and their linguistic games.

Literally the only reason SUVs and trucks became popular is because the automotive manufacturers could make more money doing it that way and convinced the consumers to buy them. NotJustBikes did a good intro video on the subject.

* https://www.wired.com/story/the-us-wants-to-close-the-suv-lo...

* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jN7mSXMruEo

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by deadbunny on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:21PM (#37325551)
They do have more emissions, they are however no longer classed as cars but "light trucks" which have different emission standards (much higher than cars).
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jonhohle on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:05PM (#37325269)
That's only true for triplet infants that require bassinet-style seats and even that might not be the case if you look hard enough. I had twins and a 3-year old in the back seat of an 1990 Infiniti G20. There are slim car seats specifically made for three in the back. It's tight, but it works.

I agree about wagons though. Subaru still makes them. The Lexus CT200h is pretty much a wagon. It would be nice to see more "crossovers" that took more from the sedan side, however, none of the modern ones have jump seats except (maybe ironically) the Tesla Model 3.

We've graduated to four kids which eliminates the vast majority of vehicles from our set of options. Kia, Hyundai, Toyota, and GM all make ≥6 passenger vehicles that are not-minivans, but the options are very limited and put you into the SUV category.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by piperswe on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @07:19PM (#37330398)
Lexus discontinued the CT in the US several years ago (globally last year), and it's a hatchback (not a wagon).
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by chociej on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:37PM (#37324693)
Notably, you've chosen 3 luxury ICE models, and luxury cars are another heavier-than-average group.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by gxs on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:47PM (#37324883)
Exactly.

Yeah, not to mention, the SUVs he's comparing are especially large.

Comparing passenger cars illustrates the point as the model S weighs almost the same as the Model Y.

Mercedes E-class weighs 3,700 lbs compared to a model S which..still weighs 4500 lbs.

And no, I would not compare a model S to an s-class.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by MetaWhirledPeas on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:52PM (#37325013)
True. A better consideration is the Nissan Rogue at ~3500 lbs. That's a 1000 lb. difference, which is more. But the GP didn't bother to mention the road-wear differences between, for example, the Ford Edge and Ford Escape, which also have a 1000 lb. difference between them. So it sounds disingenuous to single out EVs here.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by sokoloff on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:04PM (#37325258)
I don't think the typical Tesla Model Y buyer is likely cross-shopping against a Rogue.

Unless they're dead-set on an EV, they're much more likely cross-shopping the Model Y ($48K base MSRP) against a luxury ($57K base, $62K base, $67K base) SUV than an economy ($27K base MSRP) SUV. If they are dead-set on an EV, they might cross-shop against the Ariya ($43K base, but also 4323 lbs).

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by ajmurmann on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:42PM (#37324803)
Meanwhile the Rivian SUV clocks in at 7,068lb!

Edit: 7klbs is also the magical number where the tax write-off goes up by ~$10k. So there is incentive to keep it above that weight. Public pays multiple times: reduced tax revenue, higher energy usage/emissions and higher road deg. Complete insanity!

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by elil17 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:47PM (#37324887)
As much as I hate SUVs of all types, road damage is not an issue for them. The axle weight of a fully-loaded 18-wheeler is like 8 times greater than that for an SUV, meaning they are dealing 4,096 times more damage to the road.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by the_mitsuhiko on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:58PM (#37325143)
> So, if you think road damage is a valid concern, electric cars aren't particularly special - SUVs in general should be a bigger worry.

If you look into people's buying choices I think EVs actually do make it worse quite a bit. For instance we are going to soon trade our minivan (1.7t, 3,700lb) to an ID.Buzz (2.5t, 5,000lb). And even officially that car is the replacement for the car we currently have. If you go from a VW Golf (1.3t, 2,800lb) to an ID.3 (1.9t, 4.100lb) you can see that it's not helped by picking a smaller EV.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by davewritescode on Thursday August 31, 2023 @08:34AM (#37336198)
It's not exactly fair to compare a bloated luxury model with what's fairly described as a minimalist car. Compare a BMW 330i with a an i4 and you'll get a much better idea of the battery penalty involved, it's closer to half a ton.

I do agree with you that large SUVs are the problem but EV SUVs are really worrying. Rivian's trucks are over 3 tons and the new Hummer EV is nearly 5 tons!

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by baron816 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:32PM (#37324586)
I think there is an high likelihood that weights will come down as batteries become more energy dense, which is probably necessary for full market penetration.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by kwhitefoot on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:46PM (#37324873)
> which is probably necessary for full market penetration.

It's one possible way of getting full market penetration.

The other way is to subsidise EV's heavily until the market takes off. That's what was done here in Norway, now 80% of new cars sold are pure battery EVs [1]. The best selling model of car in Norway now is the Tesla Model Y.

The subsidies are gradually being phased out.

[1] https://elbil.no/om-elbil/elbilstatistikk/elbilsalg/

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by theshrike79 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:50PM (#37324961)
That and forcing people to build destination chargers when building parking spaces is a good way to break the chicken and egg problem of EVs
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jeffbee on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:26PM (#37324479)
Direct, operating CO2 only. In terms of embodied CO2 from manufacturing, and indirect impacts from increased demand for parking, demand for larger parking spaces, demand for charging infrastructure, and induced travel leading to sprawling urban forms, electric SUVs are a regression.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by slashdev on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:29PM (#37324508)
> embodied CO2 from manufacturing, indirect impacts from increased demand for parking, demand for larger parking spaces

Why would electric cars be any worse than combustion cars for these?

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by baq on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:33PM (#37324609)
Batteries, mostly. Copper and lithium mining. Sprinkle with rare ears for magnets etc.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jeffbee on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:38PM (#37324723)
It doesn't really have much to do with the mining. The embodied carbon of the battery comes mostly from the fact that it has to be baked to dehydrate the materials. Carbon, because there is not enough renewable energy in the places where these batteries are made. As time goes on the carbon embodiment will decrease.

The overwhelming problem with giant electric SUVs is the opportunity cost. Given limited capacity for battery making, and considering that we are using the last bit of our emissions budget to make them, it is obviously better to make them as small as possible. Slapping a 180kWh battery pack in a Rivian is ridiculous. With the same materials you could make 500 electric bicycles.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by slashdev on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:03PM (#37325243)
Bicycles are not a replacement for cars in all situations, uses, or weather. You could make lighter vehicles, but that’s equally true for combustion vehicles.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jackmott42 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:45PM (#37324850)
you mine for battery materials once. with an ICE engine you mine for oil over and over and over again, and you burn more fossil fuels to refine it, and burn more to transport it to you, over and over and over again.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by slashdev on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:01PM (#37325203)
How’s that worse than continuous fossil fuel extraction, refining, and combustion over the lifetime of the vehicle?
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by bell-cot on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:33PM (#37324610)
Guess: The "with a charger" aspect increases the total physical footprint of a parking space. (Ditto cost, infrastructure, etc.)
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by throwaway894345 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:43PM (#37324813)
Obviously you can park an electric SUV in a parking space without a charger, just like you can park an ICE SUV in a parking space without a gasoline/diesel pump.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by bell-cot on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:56PM (#37326144)
I know of zero parking lots/structures, however new or trendy, which feature fuel pumps.

But - at least around me - EV chargers seem to be mandated (for at least for some of the spots) when any large or image-conscious organization builds or renovates parking infrastructure. For the purpose at hand, it doesn't matter whether the mandate is legal, or just "or what will they say about us on social media???".

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by stetrain on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:32PM (#37324568)
Cradle to grave analysis of most EVs puts them ahead on emissions, even including manufacturing, even with poor grid mixes of mostly coal power. Battery materials are also recyclable, so those manufacturing impacts should decrease over time on a per-vehicle basis.

Smaller, more efficient vehicles with smaller batteries are definitely better and should be incentivized.

If you want to compare them yourself, don't forget to include all of the externalities from drilling, transporting, and refining petroleum before it reaches the pump. Tailpipe vs tailpipe certainly doesn't tell the whole story.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by acdha on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @06:41PM (#37330096)
You’re right assuming preferences don’t change but I think it is worth highlighting the research suggesting that large EVs will never break even compared to normal sized ICE vehicles. We can’t afford to allow greenwashing where someone pretends a large SUV is anything but polluting.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by throwaway894345 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:41PM (#37324771)
Nope. Electric SUVs don't induce more demand for parking nor require larger parking spaces than ICE SUVs, and the charging infrastructure doesn't induce more emissions than equivalent ICE infrastructure, nor do they induce more travel than ICE SUVs.

The only correct bit here is that they do require more CO2 to manufacture, but this is made up for by the dramatically reduced operating emissions in the first few thousand miles or so of driving (depending on the source of the energy used to charge it). Further, the grid is getting greener all the time, so operating emissions and the manufacturing emissions are both falling quickly while the operating emissions of fossil fuels remains extremely high (literally and figuratively).

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jeffbee on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:54PM (#37325052)
> first few thousand miles or so of driving

Compared to efficient cars, this crossover point is as late as 50,000km. It does not pay off as rapidly as you are implying. Something like a Kia Niro with a normal-sized battery starts with an embodied CO2 deficit of ~5t. Something absurd like a Rivian is 20t in the hole from the jump and will never be CO2-positive except when compared to something equally wasteful like an ICE Hummer.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by appplication on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:33PM (#37324603)
That’s a big claim, sources needed.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by justrealist on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:32PM (#37324585)
The core problem with the modern environmental movement is the refusal to take a W when one is staring them in the face.

EVs are happening. It's a huge win for the environment and all the environmental orgs that pushed for it. Stop trying to rewrite this revolutionary change as a hidden nefarious L. You're just making yourself sad and the youth jaded.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by infecto on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:37PM (#37324697)
Can we get more of this please?

It’s like people will not be satisfied until we eliminate cars and all other modern inventions.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by globular-toast on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:40PM (#37324755)
W=Win, L=Loss? Why would you randomly abbreviate single 3-4 character words?

EVs are, at best, stagnation. At worst they simply go even further to hide the enormous external costs of everyone using giant, heavy wheelchairs to move around anywhere.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by throwaway894345 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:47PM (#37324893)
EVs emit about half of the co2 per mile (including manufacturing emissions) as ICE cars today, and that figure is falling rapidly as we decarbonize electricity production. In what world is a 50% reduction in emissions "stagnation"?
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jeffbee on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:07PM (#37325308)
If it perpetuates an inefficient form of urban settlement, then it is at best a local optimization. Look at all the people in this subthread who are demanding a cradle-to-grave lifecycle analysis but are for some reason unwilling to expand the scope of that analysis to ponder the question of why the car should exist at all.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by globular-toast on Thursday August 31, 2023 @05:32AM (#37334591)
In a world with more than one single dimension. Have you considered there are other factors in addition to CO2 per mile?

A trivial example is total number of miles driven. If we end up driving twice as much then that's your CO2 gains gone right there. Considering that's exactly what's happened since 1983 does that seem unlikely?

Do EVs do anything to reverse this trend? Do they do anything for pedestrian safety? Do they do anything about the need for parking and huge roads? Do they do anything about noise and particulate pollution of tyres? Do they do anything about road rage? I could go on and on.

Focussing solely on one single metric is extremely foolish, but of course it's exactly what the car manufacturers want because they've found a solution for that one metric.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by throwaway894345 on Thursday August 31, 2023 @10:37AM (#37337812)
> A trivial example is total number of miles driven. If we end up driving twice as much then that's your CO2 gains gone right there. Considering that's exactly what's happened since 1983 does that seem unlikely?

Yes, it seems unlikely that we would double our number of miles driven because this is a factor of time spent driving, population, and speed. There's no indication that speed limits will increase or that people are interested in longer commutes, and population growth is stagnating.

> Do EVs do anything to reverse this trend? Do they do anything for pedestrian safety? Do they do anything about the need for parking and huge roads? Do they do anything about noise and particulate pollution of tyres? Do they do anything about road rage? I could go on and on.

Climate change is a much more significant problem than these. I can live with wide roads and parking lots; it's much harder to live with our global breadbaskets succumbing to increasingly severe droughts and the geopolitical destabilization that entails.

And there's no way we're going to pivot away from ICE cars to public transit quickly enough to meet climate goals even if there was the political will to do so (and there isn't, because lots of people get a lot of value out of cars, and even places with lots of public transit options are seeing a rise in car ownership and usage). There's just no way it's going to happen over the next century.

Moreover, there's tons we could do about pedestrian safety, tire pollution, road noise, etc without eliminating cars, but we lack the political will even to do these things so there's certainly no way we're going to abolish cars and transition to public transit / cycling lifestyles.

> Focussing solely on one single metric is extremely foolish

It's foolish to treat all metrics as equally important. You can't live without food; you can live with car noise.

> of course it's exactly what the car manufacturers want because they've found a solution for that one metric

Yeah, car manufacturers love paying Tesla so they can keep making ICE cars /s. Cars are wildly popular in the west (car adoption is increasing across the board, even among the Dutch); the auto industry doesn't need to do a psyop to convince people to drive--it's just much more convenient than the alternatives even where the alternatives are very well developed/supported.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by Mountain_Skies on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:36PM (#37325805)
The point of progressivism is to be seen always push progress. If you stop after a win, you're now a conservative, which for many is the worst thing possible.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by iso1631 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:29PM (#37324523)
Why would an electric SUV have any more demand for parking than a non-electric SUV?
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by paulmd on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:37PM (#37324682)
Surely you must admit that parking space depends on factors other than the physical size of the vehicle? For example, consider a BMW...
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by sokoloff on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:51PM (#37324998)
I'm pro-EV and happily daily-drive one, but I think it's fair to conclude that the need for 1-hour to 8-hour+ charging means that the "space needed for parking while energy is being dispensed" is higher fleet-wide for EVs than for ICE vehicles.

We don't think of nor call it "parking" at the gas pump, but we do at a charging station. There's a reason that's the case.

Many people will have a dedicated charging space at home (taking up only epsilon extra space for the charger), but all the Tesla super-charger, Chargepoints, EVGo, ElectrifyAmerica, etc en route chargers will require more parking space per EV than the equivalent petrol station per ICE.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jsight on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:40PM (#37325895)
I'm not convinced that those factors would lead to a net increase. Every day I see cars parked at gas stations for 5 minute fillups. Then they go home or to work to normal parking spaces.

EVs eliminate that middle parking spot most of the time. And, tbh, even on road trips, gas cars spend a significant amount of time stopped. They just spend less of that stopped time getting fuel.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by varjag on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:02PM (#37325225)
This is negligible fraction of percent over total parking spaces. Most EV owners charge at home.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by iso1631 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:28PM (#37325674)
Even with a charging station the extra space is minimal compared to the larger size of parking space you need to park an SUV rather than a normal car
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by fbdab103 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @11:54PM (#37332268)
Huge fraction of potential EV owners lack the ability to charge at home.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by varjag on Thursday August 31, 2023 @04:36AM (#37334161)
In the city I live EV ownership is at 37%. Very few charge at public charging spots daily. What happens is places that lack the ability gain the ability pretty quick.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jeffbee on Thursday August 31, 2023 @10:08AM (#37337364)
Not bad! What city is that?

In Berkeley, California the share of EVs on the road is only about 5% today.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by iso1631 on Friday September 01, 2023 @05:29AM (#37348578)
Norway has a fair number on the road - about 1 in 4 across the country. Quite plausible that some areas are even higher.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by varjag on Saturday September 02, 2023 @06:03AM (#37360058)
Bergen, Norway
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by iso1631 on Thursday August 31, 2023 @07:06AM (#37335343)
if you drive 14,000 miles a year (US average -- twice that of EU average), you need to pull in 4,500 kWh a year.

At a 150kW charger that would be 30 hours of charging, or an average 5 minutes a day.

One charger would thus serve 200 cars in the US, 400 in the EU.

In the UK 2-in-3 cars have private parking space and thus potential for home charging. I expect the US to be a fair higher number as there's more space, but lets stay that figure.

That would make one charger serve 600 cars in the US, 1200 in the EU.

The largest chargers I've seen are half a parking space for two spaces.

Thus to serve 280 million cars you need to provide charging for 100 million, which at 600:1 car:charger ratio would be 160,000 chargers.

There are about 115,000 gas sations in the US. 2 chargers per gas station, using a total of 2.5 parking spaces, would be enough.

Thus moving to 100% EV would save massive amounts of space across the country.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by crote on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @02:21PM (#37326574)
I'm not convinced this is actually the case.

Fast chargers are basically only needed along highways, where they take the place of gas stations. You only need those for long-distance driving, but most driving is short-distance.

On the other hand, a lot of slow/midspeed chargers are basically just regular destination parking spots equipped with a charger. They take up zero additional space. As EVs become more and more common, we'll see an increasing number of parking spots being equipped with chargers. Because this allows EVs to charge where they are parked anyways this means you can essentially get rid of gas stations inside cities - which ends up saving space.

Right now we just happen to be in a bit of an awkward in-between phase. When the majority of cars are EVs, the ecosystem will change to fit them better.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jackmott42 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:30PM (#37324530)
Can you show the total lifecycle math where you worked this all out, or are you just asserting it without evidence?

How much bigger and heavier is an electric SUV vs a regular one? How does a ModelY compare to a Mazda CX-5 for instance?

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by cuu508 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:40PM (#37324758)
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by dgfitz on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:34PM (#37324625)
For that specific example: a model y weighs ~4450 lbs and a cx5 weighs ~3800, leaving a delta of ~3-4 grown adults in terms of weight.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by mormegil on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:35PM (#37324635)
Tesla Y: Max curb weight 2003 kg Mazda CX-5: Max curb weight 1765 kg (according to Wikipedia)
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by kracejic on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:49PM (#37324946)
Mazda CX-5 looks to be smaller than Model Y, so more fair comparison would be to CX-60 which seems to be similar size, where the difference between these two is under 20 kg according to carsized. See:

https://www.carsized.com/en/cars/compare/mazda-cx-5-2012-suv... https://www.carsized.com/en/cars/compare/tesla-model-y-2021-...

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by pfannkuchen on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:43PM (#37324819)
For the manufacturing part, are we including the environmental impact of oil extraction in the comparison? That isn’t part of “building” an ICE car, unlike with EV batteries, but it is still required on an ongoing basis for operation and it is the direct equivalent of the EV batteries.

I find it a little hard to believe that e.g. lithium extraction is fundamentally worse than oil extraction and processing.

Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by throwaway894345 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:34PM (#37324626)
Not really because the difference in road wear between ICE and EV SUVs is marginal precisely because road wear is proportional to axle weight to the fourth power. The axle weight of an SUV (whether EV or ICE) is a fraction of that of an 18 wheeler. The road wear of an 18 wheeler is going to be 2 or 3 orders of magnitude greater than that of an EV or ICE SUV (both of which are in the same order of magnitude).
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by DistractionRect on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:42PM (#37324798)
I think another thing to consider is that with ICE vehicles, you're doing (at least) double duty in road damage because all that fuel has to transported to the stations in another vehicle to begin with.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by theshrike79 on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @12:51PM (#37324991)
Yep, the 18-wheelers bringing up to 12000 gallons of fuel to stations is a fuckton of power of four road wear.
Re:Weight-based motor vehicle tax by jsight on Wednesday August 30, 2023 @01:20PM (#37325517)
OTOH, they take a lot of tanker trucks off the road. Given the way the fourth power rule works here, that might actually make them a net benefit.

Those fuel trucks also have to operate on regular streets more than most semi trucks do, which likely compounds the benefit.