You’re right assuming preferences don’t change but I think it is worth highlighting the research suggesting that large EVs will never break even compared to normal sized ICE vehicles. We can’t afford to allow greenwashing where someone pretends a large SUV is anything but polluting.
Smaller, more efficient vehicles with smaller batteries are definitely better and should be incentivized.
If you want to compare them yourself, don't forget to include all of the externalities from drilling, transporting, and refining petroleum before it reaches the pump. Tailpipe vs tailpipe certainly doesn't tell the whole story.