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Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:47AM (#34912038)
The idea that owners of homes should be able to make it (almost) illegal to build more homes in an area with some of the highest housing costs in the country is grossly immoral. It enriches homeowners at the expense of other's misery. Grandkids grow up without knowing their grandparents, careers are stunted, and lives are wasted on horrendous commutes (or, considering the safety of driving, ended entirely).

When a building is proposed, the benefactors are diffuse - any of the people looking for a home will benefit from its existence. But the people who oppose it are concentrated - anyone who lives near the new building. For too long our planning system has only considered the latter, and nobody has spoken for the person who will be seeking a home in the future (though groups like SFBARF come to mind).

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by pkdpic on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:53AM (#34912120)
The grandparents point is excellent. I never thought of it that way but it was / is certainly true for me.

Definitely feels true for kids growing up without siblings too. I know we would have had more than one probably if housing wasn't such an enormous consideration.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by montagg on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:04AM (#34912280)
Yeah, the family planning changes that result from housing costs literally have generational effects. Even if you think of it just from a housing and economy perspective, the tax base and workforce of the future is smaller because of high housing costs. Value that could be better for everyone (more jobs can be done, more tax can be spent on everyone, more economic activity can occur for businesses) taken out of the future and brought into present home values.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by loeg on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:05AM (#34912293)
Not just grandparents -- often kids cannot afford to live near their parents. My parents bought their house for $490,000 (2023 dollars) and Redfin estimates it would cost $1,300,000 today.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ido on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:21AM (#34912500)
That was the point though, right? Your kids won't know your parents (their grandparents) if you're forced to live really far away.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by dclowd9901 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:40AM (#34912802)
With some exceptions, I plan on moving wherever my kids live. Not sure why this is unthinkable.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by steveklabnik on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:46AM (#34912893)
My mother could not afford to move reasonably close to where I live (Austin, not CA though). Certainly not in walking distance, maybe in a suburb, but that's even assuming she could find work.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by dpkirchner on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:54AM (#34913008)
This won't scale all that well -- like if you have more than one kid.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by QuercusMax on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:10PM (#34913274)
Yeah, my parents at one point had their 5 adult kids living in Ohio, Oregon, California, North Carolina, and Brazil. Really doesn't scale.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by randomdata on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:26AM (#34912569)
Surely housing your kids elsewhere would be more expensive than keeping them under your roof?

Early settler homes were typically a single room and not much bigger than a modern living room, and they had many kids living there. Space is a wonderful luxury, but hardly a necessity.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jxramos on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:39AM (#34912790)
it's always a good point to look to prior human challenges in history to tease out essentials from simple hardships as hard as they could be. People survived those ordeals in spite of the limitations.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by notch898a on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:28AM (#34912608)
It is a 'necessity'. Building and/or zoning codes require often 1200 sq ft minimum and then it's illegal to rent out beyond a certain occupancy.

You may be able to get away with it with just adults. Kids talk, sooner or later some 'well meaning' individual reports them to CPS for 'inadequate shelter' and the whole thing destruct.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jxramos on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:40AM (#34912795)
I'd think they'd say that was a self imposed constraint not tied to any absolute survival needs of the human body.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by myko on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:53AM (#34912992)
We could also live in caves but folks wouldn't recommend that. A family living in a single room the size of a modern living room would soon get child protection agencies called on them–what was normal in pioneer days (pro-creating in the same room as your children, for example) would certainly be a serious issue today!
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by randomdata on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:11PM (#34913304)
But pushing your kids far away to live without parents wouldn't be a serious issue?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by LeifCarrotson on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:32PM (#34913649)
GP was saying that 27-42yo millenials are not likely to be able to afford to live near their boomer/Gen X parents, so the grandparents of the millennials' 0-18yo children are not close to those grandkids.

I feel very fortunate to live in a Midwestern small city, to have bought in 2014, and to have the skills and tools to fix up a foreclosure with lots of problems, so that I can live within 5 miles of my parents (so that my son can grow up within 5 miles of his grandparents). That 5 miles, though, is a car trip, because their house was $145k in 1995 and is now worth some $700k. There's no way as the sole breadwinner that I could buy a house within walking distance my 6-year-old's grandparents (my parents).

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by randomdata on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:50PM (#34913904)
> GP was saying that 27-42yo millenials are not likely to be able to afford to live near their boomer/Gen X parents

While you are right that perspective was taken from that of a millennial, the parents you speak of were the grandparents in the discussion. The kids are the children of the millennials. While it is true that some millennials do have adult children now, it is not common. Most millennials with children have children who are not yet adults and there is a general expectation that said children will live under the same roof as their parents.

And yes, that is most likely what the GP meant, despite the earlier discussion which already setup the context. Which is why we’re joking about it.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by myko on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:23PM (#34913502)
To be clear, I'm for higher density housing and new builds in the Bay and outlying areas, which would make it easier for families to stay closer together.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:26PM (#34913557)
Adult children. And as much as I love my folks I'd rather live in a separate building. So would they, since they're divorced.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mistrial9 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:29PM (#34913589)
humans are primates and respond to what the other primates are doing, right now.. there is a reason that price extraction and gate-keeping were so massively inflated.. it worked.

side-note: one of the convicted defendants in the USC pay-to-play scandal paid a couple of hundred thousand dollars for their two kids to get placement in a prestigious college. His job title? Director of a property title clearing house in San Diego county. hundreds of thousands of dollars in "envelope" money.. get the idea of how profitable it has been to do this real estate market stuff ?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mschuster91 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:23AM (#34912521)
> often kids cannot afford to live near their parents.

That's one point, but another is that the careers of many young people force them to migrate across the country or even across continents. Academia and IT are particularly known for this, but also other industries like moviemaking have their world-wide-known centers.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by thatfrenchguy on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:16PM (#34913401)
> The grandparents point is excellent. I never thought of it that way but it was / is certainly true for me.

Eh, I mean, for a lot of homeowners in the bay area, because they so little amount of housing compared to market price, they usually can (and do for some communities) front large down payements for their kids' houses. That's how you see so many people in their late 20s affording houses you have two have two or three of: two good incomes, frugal mindset, good RSUs / IPOs, or parental help.

Obviously it sucks for people who do not have upper middle class parents, and that's why we need to fix this stupid housing crisis.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by davidw on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:24PM (#34913516)
Yes, having a 'landed gentry' is not ideal in a lot of ways. Especially in an area that really has seen some amazing success from fairly 'average background' sorts of people.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:25PM (#34913538)
We had a second kid in part because we moved to a house big enough for one (3 bedrooms!)
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mavelikara on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:28PM (#34913573)
> The grandparents point is excellent. I never thought of it that way but it was / is certainly true for me.

But do the grandparents want to know the kids? If they did, they would not oppose new housing near theirs.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by googlryas on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:38AM (#34912779)
It's not owners of homes, it is whoever occupies it. If I live in Washington and rent out a home I own in SF, the renter gets to vote in SF, not me.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by asveikau on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:48AM (#34912909)
A lot of housing policy happens at the state level, so the fact that a large part of the SF voting population are renters can get cancelled out by the fact that home ownership rates are higher outside the city, at least in state issues.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by pcthrowaway on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:50AM (#34912948)
Yes, but the political system is often more likely to represent the interests of the donors rather than the voters, and the homeowners are the wealthy class who can afford to buy votes and hold political sway.

It often doesn't matter who the renting class votes for, and politicians who represent their interests are less likely to collect campaign donations, which affects their likelihood of holding office

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by googlryas on Thursday February 23, 2023 @03:25PM (#34915982)
If votes can be bought, it's because people selling their vote don't really care about the issue.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by titzer on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:10AM (#34912355)
Well, before we get into the moral/immoral dimension, the fact is that these areas are growing from net migration in, rather than internal population increase. So in some sense the huge influx of these new residents (typically with high-paying tech jobs) are pushing out the parents and grandparents (and not bringing their own extended families anyhow). So the atomization of intra-family bonds that seems so immoral to you is actually caused by the migration, driven by underlying economic opportunities and not some NIMBY anti-growth mindset.

> It enriches homeowners at the expense of other's misery.

This is a profoundly subjective view, because homeowners could turn around and accuse new residents of enriching themselves at the expense of homeowners; adding traffic, pollution, destroying nature, maybe bringing crime, increasing population which increases distance and reduces oversight of schools and politics, requiring more police. So a lot of people who want to keep their town small and close knit would disagree with the premise at the outset. Do communities have rights too?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by guardiangod on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:27AM (#34912600)
>So in some sense the huge influx of these new residents (typically with high-paying tech jobs) are pushing out the parents and grandparents

No one is forcing grandpa to sell his house by rezoning the land (the property tax won't go up due to pro 13). If your argument is that the house will appreciate in value and that grandpa is "forced" to sell his house because he likes money, well I have no argument.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by runsWphotons on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:37AM (#34912767)
eh these developments often ruin neighborhoods. a few people sell and then a development comes in that ruins the street etc.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by kspacewalk2 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:40AM (#34912801)
"Ruins" in what way?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by bagels on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:10PM (#34913272)
Crime, traffic, noise, blight.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by kspacewalk2 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:55PM (#34914773)
Hire more cops[0], build sane public transit, invest in acoustic insulation and adjust your notions of what 'blight' is, to focus on blight-by-design of cookie-cutter suburbia.

[0] https://thecrimereport.org/2022/09/14/the-u-s-is-under-polic...

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by bagels on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:12PM (#34920673)
The insulation might help when I'm in the house, but not trying to, for instance, read a book in the back yard.

Does anyone not think that broken down cars growing literal trees in them, broken glass, and garbage in people's yards are not blight? That's what I find just a mile from here where there are duplexes and apartment buildings.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @03:36PM (#34916134)
Two of those are caused by cars, not people.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by bagels on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:09PM (#34920654)
More density, more cars. The people bring the cars with them. It's not like the cars are autonomous... yet.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Friday February 24, 2023 @02:07AM (#34921773)
People can live without cars. It's easier in denser places.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by LgWoodenBadger on Thursday February 23, 2023 @02:06PM (#34914908)
I lived on a quiet street that became an optimized shortcut (no stop lights, fewest stop signs) for all the new-construction dwellers, most of whom had zero regard for speed limits.

It's not all sunshine and rainbows, but the benefits likely outweigh the drawbacks.

FWIW, the most the township would do is setup a radar trailer (zero enforcement) and new stop signs were not allowed for traffic control purposes. I never got them to add one for safety purposes either, even though a speeder clobbered a mailbox one house up from the school bus stop.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @03:35PM (#34916122)
This is a great illustration of how we can address this by adding people but removing cars. Make the street narrower, remove parking, add transit, add bike infra, etc.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CydeWeys on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:42AM (#34912830)
It doesn't ruin neighborhoods, it creates housing for a lot more people to live in, bringing down housing costs citywide, and it makes the neighborhood better and more vibrant with more people.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ghaff on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:55AM (#34913026)
More people may make a neighborhood more "vibrant." It can also increase traffic, congestion more broadly, make goods and services more expensive, etc.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:32PM (#34913652)
So add people and remove cars.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ghaff on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:51PM (#34913918)
There would be very little point in living in the Bay Area for me if I didn't have convenient access to nature, which requires a car.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by titzer on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:17PM (#34914294)
I lived in Munich 7 years and could take a train to Garmisch in less than 90 minutes, then literally walk from the train station to any of dozens of hiking trails that cover several mountains, or to several Gondolas.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @03:34PM (#34916111)
Are you suggesting we should prevent other people from living in the bay area so you can have more convenient motoring?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ghaff on Thursday February 23, 2023 @05:14PM (#34917357)
I don't live in the Bay Area. But I certainly wouldn't consider doing so to if "removing cars" were a requirement for doing so.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by xenadu02 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:55AM (#34913024)
Whether it's Manhattan, Brooklyn, or even Paris... none of them would exist as we know them if we cared about "developments often ruin neighborhoods".

Neighborhoods change. What was once farm land and a few houses becomes suburban. What was once suburban becomes medium density. What was once medium density becomes dense city core. That's how cities have always worked. As the value of the land changes existing owners cash out and developers infill or rebuild. As density grows the justification (and budget) for city services like subways and parks grows.

Excessively restrictive zoning cuts off that natural process after the farmland-to-suburb step.

In free market terms if you cared so much about what your neighbor does with their own property you should have bought an interest in that property. Who are you to tell someone else they can't build a bigger building on property they own?

In reality there are few true free markets and externalities exist but in property rights terms zoning is a rather large government imposition to benefit other landowners often without any compensation to the owners who want to build. In an ideal world people who want to keep single family zoning should be paying land value fees to their neighbors who want to build density to compensate for the restriction. You couldn't possibly make such a scheme work in the real world though.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by titzer on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:14PM (#34914261)
> In reality there are few true free markets

Because it turns out there are pesky uncontrollable externalities that keep popping up. Like, you can't buy some random lot in suburbia and turn it into a nuclear waste dump or a trash incinerator site, no matter what you pay the neighbors, because of regulations like zoning.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by notch898a on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:36AM (#34912753)
Grandpa's groceries, medical care, and everything else go up due to increased cost of labor associated with cost of living.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by spcebar on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:45AM (#34912869)
Grandpa gets forced out because of a combination of the following:

1. Massively increased rent, if he is renting 2. Massively increased cost of local goods and services and change in who those services cater to 3. Predatory tactics by real estate developers targeting lower income individuals in the community, if he owns the property 4. Loss of friends/community due to cohort being forced to leave by 1-3

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by guardiangod on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:59AM (#34913098)
So you are arguing that residential densification and a increase in housing supply will lead to

1. Rent increase

2. Consumption price increase

3. Big real estate will use thugs and trickery to force people to sell

4. More people in the community leads to less friends

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by nottaRealname on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:00PM (#34913111)
Grandpa gets forced out by increased rent, yes.

Increased housing supply almost universally decreased housing prices.

If you don't want renter Grandpa to be forced out, build more

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by medler on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:27AM (#34912592)
> new residents (typically with high-paying tech jobs) are pushing out the parents and grandparents It is the refusal to build housing that pushed up prices and pushes out parents and grandparents. It’s not the migrants’ fault. Would you rather the migrants simply stay poor where they are rather than seek a better life for themselves and their families. I believe freedom of movement is a fundamental human right.

> This is a profoundly subjective view, because homeowners could turn around and accuse new residents of enriching themselves at the expense of homeowners

Nothing is happening “at the expense of the homeowners.” The homeowners are the ones getting rich.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by dixie_land on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:35AM (#34912723)
> The homeowners are the ones getting rich.

If it's not an investment property then homeowners don't get any benefits from higher home value other than a larger tax bill.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by kspacewalk2 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:41AM (#34912812)
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by philsnow on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:42AM (#34912825)
Except in California where Prop 13 makes property tax grow slower than inflation (capped at 2% per year). The (in inflation-adjusted dollars) tax on any given parcel literally goes down year over year.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:31PM (#34913621)
Prop 13 is slowly dying out as of January, though.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:37AM (#34912770)
How do I buy a house that's not an investment?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jonathanlb on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:51AM (#34912968)
Be poor. At least in California, Habitat for Humanity as well as several counties offer BMR (Below Market Rate) housing for people and families just scraping by. The way it works is you purchase the house a certain percentage below market rate, and when you sell, it also has to be a certain percentage below market rate.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by recursive on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:24PM (#34913520)
If you sell for the same percentage BMR that you bought, the investment attributes remain unchanged. It's all proportional.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by km3r on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:35PM (#34914537)
Different places may do it differently, but SF bases it off of a cap for the monthly payment for the mortgage. As interest rates went up this forced the price lower and some people had to sell at a loss.

Roughly its monthly payment => a third of 90-110% of AMI.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jnwatson on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:02PM (#34913142)
Buy a house in Japan. Housing shouldn’t be a nest egg.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by derefr on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:50AM (#34912947)
Just because you buy a place for you and your family to live in, rather than "for investment", doesn't mean you won't still reap a massive profit if you downsize to a one-bedroom 20 years later when your kids are out of the house.

(Or if you retire to a country with a lower cost-of-living and no housing bubble, buying a similarly-sized house there for lower than the original purchase-price of your home in the US. Which is exactly how every retiree you see in e.g. Thailand lives like they do: they're not living off a pension; they're living off the "nest egg" they naturally accumulated by holding a house in the West for 20+ years before selling it to move there.)

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by Tiktaalik on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:09PM (#34913256)
Even if you never sell you can borrow against your massive home equity wealth, invest and make more money that way.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by km3r on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:14PM (#34913360)
If they don't want the higher tax bill, keep housing prices down by allowing homes to be built. I really couldn't care less about the person who pushes up prices by blocking development having a higher tax bill.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by triceratops on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:29PM (#34913594)
> homeowners don't get any benefits from higher home value

You've never heard of a HELOC?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ghaff on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:51PM (#34914722)
Although it would probably have paid off between 2010 and 2020, taking additional money out of a house with a HELOC in order to invest or spend it probably isn't a great strategy under a lot of circumstances.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:36AM (#34912743)
I never understood why the person who owns a $1.8M asset is poor and the person who is obligated to pay a $1.8M mortgage is rich in these conversations
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by titzer on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:55AM (#34913021)
It has more to do with income and running expenses. That $1.8M that was bought in the 1960s for a few tens of thousands has appreciated, sure. But houses require maintenance, upgrades, and taxes that are in today's prices. Someone that old that has retired and is living on fixed income maybe can't afford those anymore and opt to move to a lower cost of living area. Thus they are forced out by the general demand for everything--basically being outbid by the influx of new residents. Relative to the person earning a lot and paying a mortgage, yes, they are poor.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by cma on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:27PM (#34913568)
California capped the tax increase to far below inflation.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jeffbee on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:11PM (#34913312)
Retired Americans are the only Americans who are categorically never on a fixed income.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by titzer on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:05PM (#34914125)
I mean technically Social Security benefits are tied to cost-of-living and thus inflation and are not "fixed income". But that's just technically. My mother's retired and her SS is not a lot. There are a lot of very low income older people in America that fall in this category.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by PaulDavisThe1st on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:08PM (#34913239)
You need to differentiate between liquid and illiquid assets, because they represent different kinds of wealth.

The person with a $1.8M property holds a very valuable illiquid asset. They cannot convert the value to cash trivially (they could perhaps take out a home equity credit or remortgage the house). Effectively none of the value of asset is available to them to meet any other needs, and will only be fully realized when the house (their home) is sold.

The person who can pay the mortgage on a $1.8M property has substantial income and/or cash reserves, which are liquid assets and thus distinctly different from the property owned by the previously discussed person. They may not have a net worth of $1.8M but they are much more easily able to shift financial resources aound to meet their needs.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:22PM (#34913486)
I would trade a million dollar debt for the inconveniences of getting a HELOC any day. Wouldn't you?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by PaulDavisThe1st on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:36PM (#34913722)
For the most part sure.

But there are situations where the HELOC will either be hard to get. For example, you may own the house outright but have very very low income. Or the bank may not be willing to view the land in the same light as potential developers.

"House rich, cash poor" is generally convertible into "have mortgage, and cash", but it is still a distinct condition from "Income rich, have mortgage", especially for low income folks.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by 2devnull on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:02PM (#34913146)
If they sell their home and leave. Being forced out of your community is a rather perverse definition of “getting rich.” A wealthy refugee is a refugee nonetheless. That’s what getting rich means in this context— replacement.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:31PM (#34913639)
That sounds like they should advocate for more homes so prices don't go up too much!
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by 2devnull on Friday February 24, 2023 @03:23AM (#34922252)
Yes. That’s definitely not a childish idea that seems to be based on the idea that you can will things into being simply by stamping your feet and holding your breath until the adults break down and give you ice cream.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by last_responder on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:07PM (#34913222)
>The homeowners are the ones getting rich.

Im a homeowner and this is just ludicrous. Rich? Please. This kind of added drama makes me discount everything you say.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by nouveaux on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:16AM (#34912427)
This might be true in an area with gentrificiation but this is unlikely to be true in wealthy areas. Cupertino, as an example, is struggling with the last generation not moving out. The end result is a lower population of kids.

https://patch.com/california/cupertino/cupertino-councilmemb...

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by yongjik on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:41AM (#34912806)
This.

Many of those vilified "high-paying tech jobs" are young and have school-age kids. I am one of them (well, except I'm not that young), and almost all my friends in the SV area are the same. I go to work and half of the team have a kid or two.

It's not tech workers pushing out parents: they want to be parents and settle down. It's old grandmas in three bedroom single houses refusing to move out.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by kspacewalk2 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:42AM (#34912828)
To be clear, the grandmas can refuse to move out, and it's their right to refuse. What's not their right is to have veto powers over what is built on adjacent properties they don't own.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jxramos on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:42AM (#34912832)
Wow, this bit was pretty surprising

> The school board had cited declining enrollment, funding issues and voters’ rejection of a parcel tax as reasons for closing the two schools.

I'm very intrigued that the Cupertino voters rejected a parcel tax, I've seen so many of those in my town and they all pass. They typically go something like "shall the City of Cupertino collect a parcel tax at rate XYZ for the next ZZZ years to replace aging air conditioning and plumbing and other aging building facilities?".

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:54AM (#34913011)
It's possibly because of Prop 218. One of Howard Jarvis's more insidious laws which requires that local taxes get 2/3 of votes to pass.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jxramos on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:12PM (#34914234)
that's interesting, I wonder why it never changed. Been on the books since the late 90s it sounds like.

    Ratified November 5, 1996
    Date effective November 6, 1996; 26 years ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1996_California_Proposition_21...
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:29PM (#34914450)
HJTA is extremely powerful in California. Voting demographics skew towards anti tax property owners and they have zero problem crushing everyone else.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by throw8383833jj on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:15AM (#34912412)
and we could solve this problem by creating new cities/towns. Why on earth, can't we do that anymore? for most of human history we were able to do that, now all the sudden everyone needs to be in the same exact geographical area.

People follow the jobs. Give companies a subsidy for starting in a new town/city/village and the people will certainly follow it. And you'll get all the benefits of starting with a clean slate: you could make it walkable, bikable, keep land costs low by not limiting it(enough supply to keep costs low)

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by vineyardmike on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:24AM (#34912545)
People want to live near other people, not in empty towns. Other people start businesses they want to work at, cook at restaurants they want to eat at, and play basic at bars they want to frequent.

Starting an empty town doesn’t do that. Why doesn’t everyone just stay at home with their parents and just commute into a meta verse version of the Bay Area where everyone can have a fake home?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ghaff on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:29AM (#34912621)
You seem to be asking companies to create company towns--probably with company housing and stores.

There's already tons of cheap housing around the US. It's just that a lot of it isn't where many people most want to live.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by cellis on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:23AM (#34912526)
There are rent seeking local “mafias” in every pocket of the globe you would try this. Companies would rather negotiate with the devils they know ( large cities ) than end up dealing with e.g. unknown, possibly corrupt and rent seeking commissioners,protection agencies,judges,sheriffs,mayors,councils,unions,etc.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CountSessine on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:36AM (#34912739)
Give companies a subsidy

So we give existing house owners a subsidy by creating artificial housing scarcity, and then we give companies a subsidy to fix the house owner subsidy by starting new towns?

Who pays for this? Productive young people earning income? Again?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by pas on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:25AM (#34912561)
new cities? where? why? there's plenty of space right there in the bay area, no, not the parks, look up.

negative density tax is the way.

unfortunately new suburbs are an unsustainable addiction in this regard. it incentivizes everyone for optimizing for cars and backyard-driven life-development.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jwagenet on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:30AM (#34912652)
We've been creating new "towns" in the form of subdivisions and planned communities for the better part of a century. They are fine for a generation or two, but the astronomical costs of maintaining their government subsidized services (utilities, sewer, roads, schools, fire, police) stretched thin into a low density area inevitably leads to their decline.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by TimPC on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:13PM (#34913346)
The costs of suburbs aren’t astronomical in the Bay Area. There is a reason Strong Towns and the like always talk about suburbs in Missouri. The suburbs that are unaffordable are the $150K home owned by the household making $40k/year. You can’t charge that person the $8k in property tax you need to upkeep a suburb. Charging $8k on a $2 million home in the Bay Area is a lot more doable. It’s a 0.4% property tax rate which should be achievable. The only barrier to Bay Area suburbs paying for things is California’s neo-feudal property tax laws.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by pkulak on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:36AM (#34912744)
We have run out of flat land along the coasts, and housing everywhere else is already dirt cheap.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:39AM (#34912780)
Fordlandia was already tried
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jxramos on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:28AM (#34912614)
I was contemplating something in this direction once. That this concentration in the bay area could very well be driven by the tastes and desires of the CEOs and other execs who are pleased to live in the comfy parts of the bay area regardless of the outcomes of their employees and how much blood is squeezed out of them by the high cost of living and time sunk on commutes.

I think it was Elon Musk who made me ponder this. Somewhere he blasted the notion that most of the Silicon Valley venture capital gets blown on housing costs. That made me ponder what other alternatives could be found and what other productive uses that money could have been spent on. It's a fascinating train of thought with big directions it could go. That's an interesting idea about encouraging the subsidization of a town, I'd like to see that experiment tried if it hasn't yet.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by triceratops on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:17AM (#34912452)
> Give companies a subsidy

Who's paying for that? And why?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by adamw2k on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:24AM (#34912541)
It's actually common practice in many parts of the country. The practice is called Economic Development. Rarely used for residential purposes, but does finance commercial development and promote hiring. The funding typically comes from the calculated/expected incremental tax revenue to the area (State, Local, etc). Newark, CA in the Bay Area did this for a while (may still?).
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jxramos on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:32AM (#34912679)
I'd be curious the inner workings surrounding the development of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starbase in Boca Chica, TX and what the backstory was around that.

Kind of a different use case with needing distance and dangerous stuff being deployed but still probably a worthy bit of development history and municipal dynamics to be shared there.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by triceratops on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:33AM (#34912688)
Ok but why spend that money at all? Companies are happy to create jobs and hire people in existing cities. And we can build housing at the cost of 0 tax dollars, for all those people, by easing zoning. It'll also cost a lot less to upgrade infrastructure for higher density that to build it wholecloth for new communities.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by marssaxman on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:25AM (#34912558)
> Why on earth, can't we do that anymore?

We used up all the good places.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by prottog on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:19AM (#34912477)
> Give companies a subsidy

Probably very difficult to get this right.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by Clubber on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:22AM (#34912513)
People want to live in this area because it's closer to work, which requires them to be in the office. Take out that variable and our population would start to be more evenly distributed over time.

I personally don't like living in a city, too much traffic, too many assholes and I don't trust modern police, of which cities have an abundance of.

Hopefully, if this remote working sticks and we don't go back to driving to an office everyday, it will be a net positive for a lot of problems we are facing: overcrowding of cities, skyrocketing rents, pollution, unnecessary carbon emissions, etc.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ghaff on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:02PM (#34913134)
I'm not sure how common pure remote is going to be. I see a lot more hybrid, which gives greater flexibility, but still involves being within an hour or two drive of an office.

Furthermore, for people already living in, say, the Bay Area, they probably have friends and/or family there and it's not like the Bay Area is a hellhole so the default for a lot of people is to stay there, in spite of the high housing prices, rather than move to a cornfield in Iowa.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by philsnow on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:46AM (#34912890)
You know the VC question that they ask founders, "why now?"? For any particular location you might want to create a city, ask "why here?".

Successful towns have historically been built near some natural resource (rivers, deltas, lakes, mines, forests, etc). Jobs / corporate mini-HQs are not a natural resource.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:34PM (#34913676)
We stopped building real cities when people decided it was more important to be able to park everywhere forever for free than to have nice places.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ambrozk on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:33AM (#34912691)
> the atomization of intra-family bonds that seems so immoral to you is actually caused by the migration, driven by underlying economic opportunities and not some NIMBY anti-growth mindset

The point is that we have to make a trade-off between free internal migration and NIMBY. If you mix those two ideas together, you get misery. In deciding which is worth prioritizing, perhaps you should consider that free internal migration is a literal bedrock principle of the American state, dating back prior to the Constitution, enshrined legally in the Constitution, on which huge quantities of American legal and economic life have been built for the last 250 years, whereas NIMBY is an ad-hoc political coalition of wealthy homeowners and crotchety neighborhood activists who'd rather no one new get to live in their city.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rmk on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:31AM (#34912669)
Communities have rights, and they can be overridden by larger communities that include them. Just as a majority can override the wishes of a minority. In this case, the state of CA, a larger community, has overridden the wishes of pricey Bay Area towns. Los Altos Hills, Atherton et. al. are not sovereigns.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by hd95489 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:43AM (#34912833)
The people with the majority in money get majority voice.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jcfrei on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:34AM (#34912709)
> So in some sense the huge influx of these new residents (typically with high-paying tech jobs) are pushing out the parents and grandparents (and not bringing their own extended families anyhow)

Assuming they are renters, how does that happen? Increase in housing will decrease rents, so even if their current apartment / house gets replaced with a bigger one they can just rent something in the same neighborhood? Unless the only reason they can still afford to live in said neighborhood is because of rent control.

Having rent control plus very strict zoning laws is the most asinine housing policy. It basically means that after a new neighborhood has been built you just freeze its state eternally - only allowing new people in when one family dies and their kids or some friends move in. The privilege to live in a neighborhood isn't then determined by wealth but by kinship - a harmful form of socialism that calcifies communities.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by kilgnad on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:21AM (#34912492)
>Well, before we get into the moral/immoral dimension, the fact is that these areas are growing from net migration in, rather than internal population increase. So in some sense the huge influx of these new residents (typically with high-paying tech jobs) are pushing out the parents and grandparents (and not bringing their own extended families anyhow).

How would net migration in push out existing residents? This makes no sense.

>This is a profoundly subjective view, because homeowners could turn around and accuse new residents of enriching themselves at the expense of homeowners; adding traffic, pollution, destroying nature, maybe bringing crime, increasing population which increases distance and reduces oversight of schools and politics, requiring more police. So a lot of people who want to keep their town small and close knit would disagree with the premise at the outset. Do communities have rights too?

This is true. I would say 1% of the population shares your subjective view, while 99% don't. Literally the OVERALL majority wants cheaper houses while 1% are worried about their rich enclaves having crime go up and getting messier.

Yeah as a minority of the population YOU would love to have your imitation-of-the-country-side suburbia stay the same and have good nature and all that but keep in mind it exists because an UNFAIR advantage to a small minority of rich people: YOU.

The overall quality of your living standards must go down if you want to be fair. The luxuries you fight to preserve is a literal crime against humanity. This is the only way. But keep in mind if you own a home it's not like you LOSE any part of your home. It's just your neighborhood becomes more populated, that's the main difference.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CydeWeys on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:44AM (#34912853)
These areas are only growing from net migration in because the housing there is so expensive that the people from there can no longer keep up, and most of their kids have to move away in early adulthood to establish their own household because they can no longer afford it at early career salary levels like their parents once could.

What you are painting as the cause is actually the effect.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ocschwar on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:46AM (#34912894)
I'm one of those people who moved to an urban area for a tech job, and yes, my presence here is a part of the problem that drives working class, local born people either out of the region or on to the streets.

But I did nothing wrong. The people who actively prevent Boston from building more housing are the reason my presence here is at someone else's expense.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by poof131 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:00PM (#34913112)
You miss a big piece. These cities all allow new office spaces and thereby new jobs, since that brings in tax revenue. They just don’t allow new housing, so people pay astronomical prices, commute from far away, or live with entire families sharing spaces designed for single people. For an area that claims to care about the environment and the welfare of immigrants, the lack of building is selfish, greedy, and immoral and one of my biggest disappointments about where I grew up. I’m glad to see this being fixed at the state level and state law superseding local law.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by darth_avocado on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:14PM (#34913353)
From the article:

> Its (Los Altos) zoning prohibits multifamily housing, whether apartments, townhomes or condos, along with commercial stores and shops in the entirety of its city limits.

The asymmetry of how cities/neighborhoods interact with each other is what creates the need for interventions like this. Some cities are more than happy to open up commercial and office spaces without allowing additional housing, eating up all the tax revenue, all the while pushing the burden of housing and other infrastructure on others. Meanwhile cities like Los Altos make any commercial development not possible in their neighborhood but will have its residents happily go to other neighborhoods to fulfill their need of a $7 artisanal coffee. Cities like Oakland will try to push high density housing in areas that don’t really add any value, simply because these are rich neighborhoods and you get election votes for doing it, meanwhile, plenty of medium/low income neighborhoods would benefit more from new high density housing with commercial space and the infrastructure upgrades that come from it. There’s all kinds of selfish interests and there needs to be a check on them.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:11PM (#34913295)
So how moral is the behavior of the companies building/renting offices there, knowing in advance that housing is unaffordable? Only because their investors live nearby?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by syzarian on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:16PM (#34913396)
Instead of talking about morality I think it’s best talk about incentives and try to determine what incentives ought to be in place in order to achieve a desired outcome. For whatever reason, it is the case that building high density housing is not allowed in many locations and the accompanying expense of that is unsustainable. I use “expense” to encompass financial, economic, societal, and environmental costs.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by CalRobert on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:30PM (#34913612)
For what it's worth I grew up in Northern California. Grandparents lived (one still does!) in Vallejo and worked at Mare Island naval base.

My cousins and I grew up in a band from Monterey to Sacramento. Our parents all still live in the homes they had decades ago. But None of our generation live in northern California any more, except for my sister who bought in Sacramento during the recession (she had a state job which made it a lot easier to get a mortgage!)

I think that's bad. I'd like to be able to afford to live in norcal. I moved away from California for multiple reasons but one of them was affordability.

Also, I hate traffic too! It's a good thing I am not a car! Ideally we could build places like culdesac.com or bloommerwede.nl and allow people to live completely car free.

And no, in my view, "communities" do not have rights.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by chelical on Thursday February 23, 2023 @03:12PM (#34915824)
I don't see why "migration, driven by economic opportunities" is a bad thing. Socioeconomic mobility is tied heavily to where you live (proximity to economic centers). I doubt all or even most of the new residents are tech workers. Plenty of working class people come from all around the country move to California or New York. I think the failure to build housing not only disenfranchises those people but also lower / middle income families already living in the area.

I find it odd how people can be pro-immigration and anti-migration. Keeping people out of your community is similar to keeping people out of your country.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ip26 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:32AM (#34912678)
Could this ability be a contributing factor for why this area is so desirable?

No matter what you or I might think about it, people like the suburban single family home.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ahoy on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:43AM (#34912835)
If that were broadly true, then highly urbanized, dense cities would be cheaper. But we see the opposite. Manhattan has some of the highest rents and most expensive real estate in the nation.

People want to live near their jobs, their schools, shops, doctors, all the things they need, and where that kind of density exists, they're willing to pay for it.

The demand is there.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by michaelbuckbee on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:00AM (#34912217)
Housing is an infrastructure resource. It delivers a wide range of collective economic and social benefits which are often stunted by the current zoning laws.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by wyager on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:26AM (#34912570)
It's socially beneficial for people to A) make the place they live reflect their preferences and B) ensure that the ones who capture the positive social externalities of an action are the ones who paid for it.

Being able to make rules about how the area you live is used are a fundamental part of both of those.

Fully externalizing the benefits of an action never has positive social outcomes. No one would bother making their neighborhood nice if they thought that as soon as they did, a million people who had nothing to do with making it nice in the first place would move in and screw it up.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by iamwpj on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:44AM (#34912852)
> a million people who had nothing to do with making it nice in the first place would move in and screw it up

So definitely _not_ socially beneficial.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by dyno12345 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:10PM (#34913279)
Obvoiusly one solution could be an internal passport system, where you would need to apply for a visa or residency permit in order to live somewhere.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by wyager on Friday February 24, 2023 @03:25PM (#34929608)
Certainly, that would work very well, but such a system would almost certainly not be permitted by federal regulators (e.g. HUD) or the courts.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by linuxftw on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:54AM (#34912134)
Maybe people should live literally anywhere else?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by djur on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:00AM (#34912232)
"Literally anywhere else" is going to be facing the same challenges and questions. SF is not the only city with a housing shortage. Why should SF be specially interested in preserving high rents and driving away the children of its residents?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by wyager on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:28AM (#34912604)
> SF is not the only city with a housing shortage.

And? There are dozens of cities that don't have a housing shortage. Living in the city of your choice isn't a human right.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ocschwar on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:48AM (#34912916)
Freezing your city in amber isn't a human right either.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by wyager on Friday February 24, 2023 @03:24PM (#34929598)
It literally is your right to do what you want with your property, subject to whatever covenants were in place when you acquired it.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by linuxftw on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:23AM (#34912529)
IMO, the bay area is well beyond carrying capacity. The last time I stayed in a hotel there, the water out of the shower was a bare mist.

How many people should we try to pack into that area? Double the current housing? Triple it? Where do you stop?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by myko on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:01PM (#34913130)
The only reason it is beyond capacity is because the ability to expand capacity has been blocked. The bay is nowhere near maximum possible density.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by km3r on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:23PM (#34913501)
"The hotel had bad water pressure so the Bay is full".

I very much doubt SF is limited in expanded by water pipe capacity. Total water use, sure, but people use less water in a city then the suburbs anyways so it will be a net savings of water.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by linuxftw on Thursday February 23, 2023 @02:09PM (#34914936)
Traffic, transit, and the water and sewer systems disagree.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by thebradbain on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:39PM (#34913751)
The Bay Area has a whole is nowhere near carrying capacity, what?

We "stop" where it is natural to, like any other place in human history: lack of resources, lack of space*, there's better places to move to, etc. And if the only thing holding back the Bay Area's development is artificial zoning laws -- we are certainly not at its "natural" equilibrium.

While CA has had its generational water supply issues, only 10% of it is used for residential purposes; 90% of it is used for agriculture. Adding more people in SF, or Palo Alto or Berkeley, does not put special strain on CA versus anywhere else. Not to mention, single family homes often consume _much_ more water per family than those in apartments or condos (yards, many bathrooms, etc).

*Lack of space, for what is a _city_, is not "it's too populated here for me to have a backyard without paying a ton of money"

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ajmurmann on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:21AM (#34912501)
This comes at a huge opportunity cost for all of us. People earn more in places like SF because the value of their labor is higher there. Making them mover elsewhere rather than creating more room in the place where they generate the most value costs everyone substantial loss of economic growth. I think it was Jenny Schuetz in Fixer Upper (not 100% certain) who mentioned estimates that we've lost out on 30% GDP growth by not building enough.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by Manuel_D on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:03AM (#34912262)
This is what I say to anyone in the Bay Are who suggests people live somewhere else because of high housing costs: lead by example.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by linuxftw on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:30AM (#34912642)
I don't live in the Bay Area, but I could. I choose not to.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by spacemadness on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:06AM (#34912294)
Sure, then everyone can complain about the Californians pushing up prices and destroying their town. It doesn’t solve anything.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shuckles on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:00AM (#34912219)
Yes I agree the people who cannot stand anything besides detached density controlled development should move to less productive and jobs rich regions of the country.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by chrisfosterelli on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:04AM (#34912271)
Why do you get to say where they live?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by koolba on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:10AM (#34912344)
Nobody has an inherent right to live anywhere. It doesn't matter if your parents live there. Your grandparents. Your friends. You don't have any inherent right to be their neighbor. You don't have a right to buy across the street or even across town. It's a free market and if 100 other people want to live in the same place and are willing to pay more than you, then you're not going to live their either.

After this zoning change goes through and new houses are built, I'd wager those new houses will still be still priced out of reach of people that want to live in a given area. I'm not saying it's not going to help, but it's not going to magically create 10x the housing density in a given area and bring housing prices down to the point where a low income worker can afford a home. That's a pipe dream.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by yamtaddle on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:16AM (#34912437)
Why's it got to be about rights? It's possible to decide it's nicer if people can live near their parents and grandparents and friends, than not, and change systems and policies such that that's a more-accessible way of living, without it being a right.

[EDIT] And that's putting aside that "right" just means "thing we like a bunch", anyway.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by triceratops on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:16AM (#34912438)
Nobody has an inherent right to live anywhere but people have the right to control their neighbors' property through zoning?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by californical on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:49AM (#34912930)
You could make this argument about other laws too. Do you have a right to control your neighbors ability to cook meth? It’s bad for the rest of us if they do, so we ban it.

Society creates laws that affect each other and zoning is no different.

If I live in a cute little community and my neighbors all agree that we like it how it is, we can collectively agree to keep it like that.

If that little neighborhood had a dense block of apartment buildings, many of the people who originally lived there wouldn’t want to stay.

Now, all that in mind, I generally agree that we need to fix zoning. I’m not a homeowner and want to buy property in places that are currently too expensive for me..

But I completely understand that people would be upset to build a community somewhere, then gradually be pushed away because a few of their neighbors sold to a big company, and their neighborhood doesn’t fit their needs anymore.

Even if the majority want to stay, they get forced away by a few using their land in ways that are bad for the rest of the group.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by triceratops on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:19PM (#34913448)
If the majority want to keep their community unchanged, they can buy out their neighbors who want to sell.

Builder's remedy or state-imposed zoning has no power if no one ever sells to a developer, right?

Plus you're comparing living in a more dense neighborhood to cooking meth. I can't take you seriously at all.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by californical on Thursday February 23, 2023 @04:34PM (#34916818)
I was using the cooking meth as an example of something that negatively impacts a community even if it seem to only impact the individual at first glance. Maybe a little too extreme of a comparison, but I was just trying to make a point that it’s not unprecedented to make laws that limit other people’s ability to do things with their property.

And I do prefer dense walkable neighborhoods personally, but I just also understand the frustration of a community living somewhere because of some quality of that neighborhood, then having that quality ripped away just because a small number of previous inhabitants left.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by triceratops on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:54PM (#34920565)
There are no guarantees in life. You could allow hyper-local zoning and still have some terrible neighbors that don't pick up dog shit and have loud parties all night. People trying to "keep property values up" has also led to some terribly discriminatory behavior in the past - we should be glad that such kinds of exclusion are no longer legal.

If "quality of neighborhood" is so important then said neighborhood should, as I stated above, put their money where their mouth is. Maintain a common fund, and commit to match any offer for any house going up for sale in the community. Stop using everyone else's taxpayer dollars to have cities pass and enforce laws to do it.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by TimPC on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:22PM (#34913487)
I think it is pretty clear from an ethical perspective that whatever rights people have to housing are stronger than whatever rights people have to block housing in their neighborhood. It takes a weird sort of mental gymnastics to simultaneously argue that no one has a right to housing but also that people have a right to using zoning laws to block housing.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by chrisfosterelli on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:22AM (#34912515)
I agree with you on that. I never said they have a right to live there.

I asked OP why the people who don't own that property, and have no ties to it (other than potentially living near it), should be able to decide that others _can't_ live there through restrictive zoning.

If it's actually a free market, and people have interest and money to afford to live in an area, and a property owner has property and interest to build housing they can afford, why should people with no interest in the property get to decide they should live elsewhere?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by cptcobalt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:28AM (#34912603)
Mild disagree — not everything has to be about über-capitalism and the free market. Sometimes we should just make it easy to live in places (within reason) just for the sake of being human. We all share this earth, together.

We don't need a housing market where buying a small fixer upper costs millions. That's unjust.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by squeaky-clean on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:44AM (#34912855)
> Nobody has an inherent right to live anywhere

But you have an inherent right to deny someone to live somewhere?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by reidjs on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:57AM (#34912172)
I’d like to live where I grew up though.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by BobbyJo on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:07AM (#34912305)
The counter argument is: it wouldn't be where you grew up anymore.

It seems like you're defining "where you grew up" with long/lag proximity, while attaching lots of unrelated personal concepts to it. How much can an area change before you've, for all practical purposes, moved somewhere else.

I'm fine with communities deciding for themselves how they grow and change. I really only take issue when they decide to grow office space and not housing, or when employers take office space meant for 100 workers and cram 300 into it.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by pizzaknife on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:33AM (#34912701)
Can confirm. I am almost 10years out from my "home town" (more or less, socially speaking) and it took me some time to reflect and realize, that "home town" is (for me) a romanticized, emotional concept and "what I experienced" can literally never occur again in that specific geographical location (at least not in 2 lifetimes) due to change.

That being said - I do wish my children were able to see their extended family more than once a year (travel costs/calendar coordination/ etc... being the impediments)

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by sumtechguy on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:22AM (#34912511)
Places change. Where I grew up there was a nice mall. It is still there. But 0 of the stores in that mall are the same. The map from the early 80s does not match with the current one in any way. It was a mall with at least 200 stores. The buildings that surrounded that mall are all different/gone/rebuilt. The parks in that city are dumpy junk now, weeds everywhere. The places I remember from a kid are gone. The buildings are there but what made it 'my city' is gone. Replaced ship theseus style with something else. Is it better? Some ways yes. Is it worse? Some ways yes.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ajmurmann on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:24AM (#34912533)
Having the option for the people who want to stay there and retain more of your community is a huge value and maybe the main value.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by cameldrv on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:24AM (#34912546)
It won’t be where he grew up in any case, because it won’t have the same mix of people in it. It will only be older people and wealthy professionals.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by femiagbabiaka on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:24AM (#34912536)
Well here’s the funny thing: communities are changing anyways. When short sighted communities don’t build, it doesn’t stop people elsewhere from moving in if they have enough money. Even during redlining this was the case. It just pushes out the poorer segments of the existing community. NIMBY-ism is the thing that destroys neighborhood character, because a neighborhood is its people and culture, not its architecture.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by BobbyJo on Thursday February 23, 2023 @03:38PM (#34916158)
I think the place will change either way. Either because renters have been pushed out, or because the population has increased with a ton of new people, requiring functional changes (the neighborhood market has become a whole foods, etc.), or both.

Building more doesn't stop the makeup of a community from changing. If anything it accelerates it.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mc32 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:00AM (#34912229)
I sympathize but it's not people born in the Bay Area who are driving up demand. If there had not been an influx of people from other areas (including other areas of Calif) there would not be such housing crunch --and likely there would have been a pop. reduction without an influx. What's the fertility rate per woman in the Bay Area, I'm pretty sure it's below the 2.1 figure to sustain a pop.

The local native population without an influx would not be in such dire housing situation.

Yes, the area is very attractive and is a magnet but without that influx the population would have plateaued.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by selectodude on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:03AM (#34912266)
Fortunately, we don't have internal passports in the United States
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mc32 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:25AM (#34912562)
Sure, but it does not mean it's the local pop driving the growth, it's the newcomers who are driving growth and causing pain for the locals.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shuckles on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:09AM (#34912334)
You are wrong. San Francisco does not even build enough homes to match natural population growth. Neither do most cities on the Peninsula.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mc32 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:27AM (#34912583)
As I posted below, here are the natural growth rates:

Look at the figures: https://www.newgeography.com/content/007550-total-fertility-....

SF: 1.49

SJ: 1.59

That's not growth, it's decline.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:40AM (#34912803)
Which is flat out insane given the economy
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shuckles on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:43AM (#34912844)
Your link 404s, and fertility rates are not measures of net new natural population growth. If everyone lives longer, you can still have more births than deaths with sub replacement fertility.

In any case, the California Department of Finance gives counts of births and deaths by county, and you are wrong: https://dof.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/Forecasting/Demographi...

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by linuxftw on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:32AM (#34912671)
There's almost no natural population growth in the US. It's all coming from immigrants.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shuckles on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:46AM (#34912896)
There was not a single year in 2010-2019 where California had more deaths than births.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by linuxftw on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:55AM (#34913032)
From [1]:

> A rate of 2.1 children per woman is necessary to maintain a population at its current level (immigration and migration aside). California and the nation had fertility rates near population replacement levels in 2008, but every state falls below those levels today. California has fallen faster than most, dropping from 2.15 to 1.52

Well below replacement rates on births. I imagine a very large portion of the births are immigrant births as well, which would push the rate even lower.

1: https://www.ppic.org/blog/californias-plunging-birth-rates/

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shuckles on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:05PM (#34913199)
Why is everyone trying to infer net new births from fertility rates? We have the exact data: https://dof.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/Forecasting/Demographi...

People can live longer, and natural population increase can persist long after fertility drops below replacement.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by djur on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:03AM (#34912268)
Why does that matter? Unless you're proposing unconstitutional restrictions on internal migration, people are going to want to move to places with jobs, culture, friendly politics, etc. and housing demand will reflect that for locals and new arrivals alike.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mc32 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:19AM (#34912475)
I was replying to poster saying he or she wanted to live (afford a house) where they grew up. I'm saying, it wasn't natural pop growth that caused the situation but rather influx that was not met with commensurate housing development/construction.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shadowgovt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:27AM (#34912586)
TBH, "I have a right to live where my parents did" is flat untrue, and while not a uniquely American pathology, something I observe my fellow countrymen believing without evidence.

I grew up in a town with an economic implosion. Very few people born here during the '70s stayed, and there was not, is not, and should not be a mechanism to bend the economics of the entire country to enable them to do so (if for no other reason than their industry collapsed for a compelling counter-concern: it was killing us. Pollution controls went in and the best companies in town could no longer compete while maintaining air quality standards and shuttered operations. So now people were out of work but the work was also not shortening their lives by a decade).

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by djur on Thursday February 23, 2023 @02:22PM (#34915110)
I think there's a big difference between "I want to be paid to live in an economically collapsed community because I was born here" and "I want to be able to afford to live in an economically thriving community because my friends and family are here". Especially when considering government policy.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shadowgovt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @05:35PM (#34917659)
What is the big difference?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by djur on Friday February 24, 2023 @04:11AM (#34922589)
1) Generally speaking, family and friend communities offer support structures that increase individual success and decrease antisocial behavior. Keeping those communities together is worthwhile both from a social welfare perspective and an economic efficiency one.

2) Reducing obstacles to building is free (in the long term, it's revenue-positive). Propping up a dying town is expensive.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shuckles on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:47AM (#34912903)
Since your data is wrong, I can only imagine you’re going to change your mind right?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jeffbee on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:02AM (#34912257)
This is not really true. Many Bay Area cities have severely underbuilt even their own demographic processes. Berkeley, for example, needed to add 40% more homes just to accommodate its own longevity increases and birth rate since 1970. Casual observers severely underestimate the housing implications of longer old age, and birth rates were well above replacement until quite recently.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by femiagbabiaka on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:08AM (#34912321)
Just completely made up. There is no way a region with great weather year round was ever going to see population reduction. Even if you were to assume SF would, Oakland and the rest of the more diverse bay is filled with the demographics that are driving US population growth as a whole.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mc32 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:24AM (#34912547)
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by guardiangod on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:37AM (#34912756)
The population would only reduce if the parents die immediately after the kid is born. Until the parents die, the population would still grow.

Thank about what the Fertility rate means.

>the TFR is based on the age-specific fertility rates of women in their "child-bearing years", which in conventional international statistical usage is ages 15–44.

>The TFR is, therefore, a measure of the fertility of an imaginary woman who passes through her reproductive life subject to all the age-specific fertility rates for ages 15–49 that were recorded for a given population in a given year. The TFR represents the average number of children a woman would potentially have, were she to fast-forward through all her childbearing years in a single year, under all the age-specific fertility rates for that year. In other words, this rate is the number of children a woman would have if she was subject to prevailing fertility rates at all ages from a single given year and survives throughout all her childbearing years.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mc32 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @02:46PM (#34915463)
Is the assumption that there are no existing 60, 70, 80 and 90-year olds...?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by femiagbabiaka on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:34AM (#34912710)
A measurement of fertility rate with high earning women in tech included in two of the most popular-in-tech cities in the Bay Area is not an argument in favor of the native population being unwilling to have children.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by bee_rider on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:19PM (#34913452)
Ignoring the argument around whether showing up before the population density is high confers some special “native-ness” and ownership (which I think would need to be fleshed out significantly to be really compelling), the math doesn’t really make sense.

Typically people’s lifetimes overlap their kids’ significantly. I mean most people meet their grandparents, so if you have a fertility rate of 1, and an area becomes attractive to early-career people who are just settling down and starting families, and the existing housing become taken up by that group, then I guess the area will have to house the original population, plus their kids, plus their grandkids, so we’ll need housing for 175% of the original population, total.

Of course the area is, by not accepting new immigrants to get back to replacement rate, setting itself up for long-term unpleasantness as the tax base ages into retirement. But hey I guess that’s their right…

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by pirate787 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:52AM (#34912111)
The idea that a state government can seize land-use decision-making power from local communities is anti-democratic and grossly immoral.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by vonwoodson on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:27AM (#34912601)
Having a majority-elected government step in to restrict the property rights of individuals is literally the most democratic thing possible. That is the purpose of the US democracy: to "promote the general Welfare".

You're confusing your ideas of property rights with actual US democratic ideals, which are not equal at all. In fact the idea of property rights is explicitly left out of the Declaration of Independence; where Locke would declare "Life, Liberty, and Property" as inalienable human rights, Jefferson changes "Property" to "Pursuit of Happiness". (Quite a strange distinction for a man who owned slaves!) This is because there was great debate about property and lordship in the New World. Property holders were seen as the tyrants who oppressed the colonists, and prevented the Americans from doing what they needed to do to live, in pursuit of their own profits and investments. So, the idea of a democratic government's eminent domain is absolutely the point: to keep the land available for public good and not for the sole-benefit of the few.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by wyager on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:31AM (#34912670)
> Having a majority-elected government step in to restrict the property rights of individuals is literally the most democratic thing possible.

We need to allow the mob to steal everything - it's the most democratic social process possible!

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by squeaky-clean on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:47AM (#34912905)
> the mob

I mean, what do you think majority vote is if not essentially the largest mob of people?

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ladberg on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:58AM (#34912187)
What gives you the right to decide what your neighbors do with their land? Would it be "democratic and moral" if I got a group of friends together who decided that your house was too big and forced you to downsize?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by Ensorceled on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:13AM (#34912389)
This underscores is the hilariously hypocritical nature of these arguments: "my property rights give me the right to deny others their property rights"

It's very much like the "first speaker" issue with free speech "advocates"; somehow the first homeowner/speaker has greater rights than the newer homeowner/speaker.

The lack of self-awareness is breathtaking sometimes.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by salawat on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:18AM (#34912466)
>It's very much like the "first speaker" issue with free speech "advocates"; somehow the first homeowner/speaker has greater rights than the newer homeowner/speaker.

Got an example there? Not sure I'm following.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by medler on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:39AM (#34912787)
A lot of self-proclaimed free-speech advocates believe it is illiberal to criticize them.

For example, say I give a speech and people criticize me for it. If I then say “I’m practicing free speech. My critics are against free speech” then it’s like I’m saying that only the first person to speak is allowed free speech; everyone else needs to shut up.

It sounds silly in this example but this is an extremely common rhetorical technique.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by salawat on Friday February 24, 2023 @08:37PM (#34932849)
Indeed.

The rhetorical technique is frustrating, but there is a clear dividing line between exercising free speech, and coordinating with enough people to facilitate a societal ostracization. In one, a party is availing themselves of making a point; adding something to the intellectual crock pot, if you will. The other is essentially working the room to prevent a party in particular from doing so at all.

I do not think anyone can reasonably argue that someone 'gathering up the boys to defenestrate someone with an odious opinion' is merely a good faith "exercising of free speech".

But again, at that point we're starting to argue about something other than free speech, and more representing enforcement of the Overton window, and what everyone is comfortable with counting as reasonable to be an outcome of being found to be outside it.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by Ensorceled on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:31AM (#34912655)
The "first speaker" has free speech, but if you use your free speech to criticize my speech, you're censoring me ("cancel culture") and depriving me of my free speech, so the "second speaker" does not have a right to free speech.

Example: Dave Chappelle makes a joke about trans people, other people criticize Chappelle and vow to boycott Netflix. Those are BOTH free speech but a lot of people think Chappelle's free speech rights should take priority over his critics.

To be clear, I believe Chappelle has the right to make trans jokes and I also believe he has brain worms about the issue and has become distinctly unfunny because of it.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by salawat on Friday February 24, 2023 @07:11PM (#34932138)
Mmmmkay. I see where you're going. But I don't think

> but if you use your free speech to criticize my speech, you're censoring me ("cancel culture") and depriving me of my free speech, so the "second speaker" does not have a right to free speech.

entirely follows; in particular since the hallmark of "cancel culture tends to be communicating with other people to orchestrate action or dissociation of the one of the speakers from society.

It seems much closer to something akin to the practice of industrial blacklisting/secondary striking in employment/labor reltions law. In that you're using speech to command/coordinate a group to force an action or change in circumstance on someone else.

I'm not saying mind, that even those and similar activities don't have a place, but they are examples of "patterns of speech elevated to action", and thereby removed from the arena of "free speech", and firmly plopped in the "freedom of association"/situationally labelled and verboten bucket.

The spirit of free speech is you are free to voice things without the threat of government force gagging you, or compelling you to say otherwise.

Now... Where is the dividing line between the "Government" and "a sufficiently large group of people that there is warranted a stepping in and reminder that "if a government employee eould be specifically restricted from keeping you from saying this then mayhaps as a very large group of citizens it warrants the same consideration of restraint; as we've all got a vested interest in not windi g up on the wrong side of a snowball network effect"... That's an entirely different kettle of fish.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by voakbasda on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:12AM (#34912372)
Zoning is based on the principle that it's not your land. You are merely its steward for the short time that you are on this planet, and then someone else will become its steward. Know that time will come eventually, the rules prevent someone from causing damage that society does not want to be forced to clean up.

But yeah, these rules are draconian and surpass their intended spirit, creating regulatory capture for the construction industry and preventing perfectly acceptable possibilities that the community would want.

For example, I want to create a summer camp for kids here on my farm, but zoning and other over-regulation actively prevents me from building any of the needed dorms, classrooms, or kitchen/bathing facilities. Countless possibilities like this are being crushed every day. I personally have given up trying.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by BobbyJo on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:09AM (#34912339)
Is this a counter argument? It seems supportive of the point if anything. "Less invested but larger group of people telling a smaller group what to do".
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ladberg on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:53AM (#34912994)
Yeah sorry my argument might not have been exactly clear, I'm not trying to argue either way on how local/global governance should be. I'm trying to say that less governance over property rights is better.

It happens in this case that the state is in favor of less governance over property than local governments so I'm in support of the state here, but that doesn't always hold true and I'd be pro-local if the situation was reversed.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mantas on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:35AM (#34912724)
For example - insolation. If somebody builds a massive apartment building in place of a detached house, its neighbors would get much more shade.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by repsilat on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:16PM (#34913402)
It's a coordination mechanism in the prisoners dilemma. Building is defecting, zoning is legislating cooperation.

In this scenario you and folks who want more building are the justice system: you want defection, you want building. You say, "how is it moral for prisoners to constrain each other's actions?" but they voted for it freely because mutual cooperation is better than mutual defection, even if they personally would defect given the choice.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by gumby on Friday February 24, 2023 @02:59AM (#34922122)
> What gives you the right to decide what your neighbors do with their land?

Seems like there's a spectrum (even if the dividing line is in the wrong place on that spectrum right now).

Many suburbs prohibit owning roosters (they wake your neighbors at dawn) though female chickens are OK. I think it's OK if you can't open a slaughterhouse next door in an urban or other dense area. It's also reasonable to require that new construction be up to code, as your close-by building not to fire code could threaten my home.

At the other extreme are restrictions on how you paint your house or operating a slaughterhouse in a low density agricultural area is none of your (distant) neighbors' business, assuming the roads are up to the new traffic.

Increasing infill density doesn't seem bad to me, but even then, you need adequate utility and road capacity, and it's easy for NIMBYs in town to prevent that from being upgraded.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by johngladtj on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:00AM (#34912226)
The idea that a local government can seize land-use decision-making power from the landowner is anti-democratic and grossly immoral.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by BobbyJo on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:13AM (#34912384)
"We live in a society." Realistically, your neighbors have a lot more invested in your land/home/whatever than the state government.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by kelnos on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:19AM (#34912474)
Realistically, the state government is less influenced by local corruption and broken local incentives than your neighbors are.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by BobbyJo on Thursday February 23, 2023 @03:40PM (#34916184)
And have completely different incentives and corruption. I don't see how that's better...
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by goodpoint on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:24AM (#34912535)
The people denied housing due to NIMBY have way more skin in the game.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by sowbug on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:07AM (#34912308)
Most of the US Constitution and Bill of Rights are dedicated to curtailing the abuses inherent in a pure democracy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tyranny_of_the_majority

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by notch898a on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:20AM (#34912483)
Most of the abuses against the bill of rights I'd argue are also democratically unpopular. So how'd we get here with such prevailing winds of acts that are both unconstitutional and democratically unpopular?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by tfgg on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:56AM (#34912159)
Why? At what level do you define "local" - country, state, city, neighbourhood, street, literally next door, just my house?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by cptskippy on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:01AM (#34912244)
Isn't that how the US government is designed to work? When a lower authority fails to meet it's mandate, it's escalated up the chain. That's certainly how the courts work.

The local government has been deemed a failure. They have repeatedly been told they need to fix zoning, and each time the local government fails differently. Now their authority has been revoked.

This is very reminiscent of the political distracting and gerrymandering cases currently in flight.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by micromacrofoot on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:59AM (#34912208)
it cuts both ways... it's also anti-democratic to leave zoning decisions up to a small pool of the top earners (i.e., land owners) who consistently make decisions that prevent other people from living there and participating

there's a balance to be struck, and at the moment it seems the scale has been heavily tilted towards wealthy home-owners deciding what their neighbors can do on their own property

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ejb999 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:15AM (#34912420)
but it is not left up to a 'small pool of top earners', it is left to voters - if people don't vote, thats the problem that needs to be fixed.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by HDThoreaun on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:19AM (#34912481)
But these communities have defined themselves so that all the voters are massively wealthy landowners. The average income in los altos hills is $400,000. That's why the state, made up of normal people needs to step in and fix the zoning situation.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by micromacrofoot on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:43AM (#34912850)
a lot of times it's not even a vote — abutters and nearby busybodies will complain until they get a project shot down... people who want to live there but can't afford to have no voice

zoning should be flexible and applied equally within a region (rules as determined by the voting population) but in expensive cities this is not the situation

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by sangnoir on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:49AM (#34912934)
Most political candidates in local politics are from the same small pool of top earners. Look up the biographies of your councilors.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by stalfosknight on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:58AM (#34912188)
States are unitary governments so they're not "seizing" anything. They already have the authority to override counties and municipalities.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by jeffbee on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:05AM (#34912289)
Right, another mistake that casual commenters make. The relationship between the city and the state is not analogous to the relationship between the state and the nation. Cities have no powers other than those granted by the state, they exist to serve the purposes of the state and to further state policies, and the state has the unilateral ability to end a city for any or no reason. If a city fails to advance state policy it has no reason to continue existing.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by sremani on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:11AM (#34912371)
It is about Local-ism. You make stupid rules at city level, you feel the consequences and people who want to advocate their position can travel few blocks for them to be at least heard. Try that at State level esp. in a massive state like CA, TX, FL and NY.

State bureaucracy is far removed from the people.. you are just a row in an excel sheet, if you are lucky.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shadowgovt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:23AM (#34912528)
You're not conceptually wrong, but structurally, jeffbee is quite correct: the details vary from state to state (for the exact same reason: every state has its own constitution describing how it is organized separate from the federal government) but unless that constitution says otherwise, the governmental structure of the United States is (right there in the name) a union of states, and each state has (federally-constrained) sovereignty in its borders.

If the California constitution says cities have more power, then they do. But I'm pretty sure it says (like every state constitution I'm familiar with) that city power is wholly defined by state authority and if the state wants to explicitly revoke the right to zone, they can do that.

(Whether or not it's a bad idea is independent of the question "Do they have the authority").

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by MichaelZuo on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:25AM (#34912556)
So what?

The constitution of the U.S., and likely of every State, clearly does not endow any independent sovereignty to local municipalities.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by bparsons on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:56AM (#34912152)
The idea that a few angry homeowners can block someone else from having a home is anti democratic.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by gjsman-1000 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:57AM (#34912173)
Frankly, I think zoning and HOA restrictions on what you can do with land you purchased, and own, has gotten too far. Remember, the buyers own this land. And everybody agrees you shouldn't turn it into a sewage dump - but why is it any of your darned business if I want to build a deck? I'm not an idiot, I bought the land, I own the home, stop treating me like one.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shadowgovt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:40AM (#34912804)
> why is it any of your darned business if I want to build a deck?

Hypothetically? Because I live downhill from you, you didn't do any mandated hydrology / runoff study for new construction, and when you moved earth to make room for your deck you turned my nice backyard into a swamp by changing the drainage layout.

This is one of the reasons some new construction requires permitting, for example.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by shuckles on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:01AM (#34912246)
To be fair, within living memory the restrictions went as far as to say what ethnicities could buy the house. The march of progress is slow.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by mattnewton on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:02AM (#34912253)
100%, we have apparently slipped so far down the slope of “well your property’s appearance affects my property value” to the point where some places are effective regulating lawn grass types like the sight of tall grass is literal seeping sewage into neighboring plots.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by tastyfreeze on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:34AM (#34912705)
Grass length, allowed paint colors, and in some cases allowed models of vehicles are some of the worst HOA rules I have read about. Of course these are all backed by fines and administered by a power drunk HOA president. No thanks.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by gjsman-1000 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:53AM (#34912124)
If the local communities are completely incapable of even a modicum of good governance, what choice is there?
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by enriquec on Thursday February 23, 2023 @10:56AM (#34912167)
"incapable of even a modicum of good governance"? really? You can't point to a single way in which these local communities govern better than the State of California? Thats laughable - at best.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by gjsman-1000 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:00AM (#34912224)
Perhaps you should re-read the article, where it shows that >90% of the local communities failed to create zoning plans that comply with state law. That's their fault - they had literally years to prepare, for a >30 year old law, and failed. The latest events are the consequences of their own ineptitude. They thought they could just get away with not zoning for new construction of any significance, which is basically a protection racket.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by throwaway1777 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:52AM (#34912983)
Keep in mind increasing density usually increases land values and also home values… so it’s not exactly gonna hurt homeowners. The issue is the “character of the neighborhood” or the “quality of life”
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by TimPC on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:19PM (#34913444)
If this were actually true it would never be possible to build more to make housing more affordable. Rents in a market are typically a percentage of the capital investment so what you are saying is roughly equivalent to “building more makes rents go up”. It’s actually the opposite. The demand for density raises the value of land, but the supply of density lowers it.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by throwaway1777 on Thursday February 23, 2023 @05:00PM (#34917180)
It’s not a simple equation. Demand can change based on desirability and other factors. You can make more in rent from a 100 unit skyscraper than a single family home… but the value is mostly in sfh is weighted heavily toward the land whereas with the skyscraper it’s not. Sfh can appreciate while rents go down and population goes up.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by rcpt on Thursday February 23, 2023 @11:58AM (#34913067)
In expected value yes. But the variance is high and people with all their wealth in one asset don't want the extra risk. Sitting around doing nothing has provided them more than enough wealth already.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by lr4444lr on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:24PM (#34913509)
> When a building is proposed, the benefactors are diffuse - any of the people looking for a home will benefit from its existence. But the people who oppose it are concentrated - anyone who lives near the new building

This was the precise thesis of Milton and Rose Friedmans' "Tyranny of the Status Quo"

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ren_engineer on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:29PM (#34913595)
did the homeowners ask for SF to become a tech hub? Many of these people bought homes decades ago due to liking the existing area at that time.

It's interesting to me how people argue from a left-leaning angle(think of the children, it's immoral, etc.) about this topic while essentially having a pro-colonialism mindset that the current residents need to just suck it up or leave.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ROTMetro on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:30PM (#34913617)
I was pushed out of the Bay Area by people moving in, which jacked up the prices. Those people who CHOOSE to move to the Bay Area and FORCE people out of the communities that they grew up in are the IMMORAL people (see how nebulous the moral impact your choices have on others can be?). Those people that purchase houses at more that 5% of the homes previous sale price are immoral, driving up the prices of homes with their wealth. So many immoral people in the Bay Area, but the grandmother that moved into a community once filled with cherry and apple orchards that are now clone homes and is just trying to maintain something of the community she put her life savings into living in is not, actually, a monster.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by km3r on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:49PM (#34913891)
People have a right to move wherever they want. You don't have a right for things to not change. Grandma had a choice, make room for newcomers or price out kids and neighbors. Simple as that.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by nottaRealname on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:53PM (#34914743)
Housing prices were jacked up because more people moved in than there were houses to live in. The rich tech yuppies are gonna move where they want regardless, so either build enough housing to accommodate them or they will take over the existing housing. If you build, they won't have to kick anyone out
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by ideamotor on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:31PM (#34913622)
I hate how well this sums things up.
Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by theptip on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:51PM (#34913909)
I agree with the point of diffuse benefits being under-appreciated.

I do think that some parts of the YIMBY side at its worst sometimes downplays the rights of the present land owners though, and I think your “enriches homeowners” comment plays into that. We need to respect and honor both sets of stakeholders. I think most homeowners are not money-grubbers as you suggest, they chose a particular neighborhood vibe because that is where they want to live, and they don’t want to lose that. That is valid! Moving house is incredibly disruptive, particularly considering school districts. (To be clear though, I do agree that YIMBY is directionally appropriate for most neighborhoods).

One angle I don’t see discussed often is “rate of change”. I think some people would like to preserve their neighborhoods character indefinitely, and that is unrealistic clinging. But I don’t think it’s unreasonable to expect that if you buy a house in a quiet suburban neighborhood, that it’ll have that character for, say, a decade or maybe two while your kids grow up or whatever.

I think a lot of infill can happen without changing the character too much, and this middle ground is probably hurt by polarization.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by icambron on Thursday February 23, 2023 @12:58PM (#34914005)
I agree on the morality points. But the interesting thing is that this isn't true:

> It enriches homeowners

Homeowners own the land, not just the building. If your property is worth X dollars when anyone buying is only allowed to (re)build a single family home on it, it must be worth more if they can also build a tall condo complex on it instead. Dense neighborhoods almost always more valuable on a per-unit-land basis than less dense ones, so upzoning is going to increase land value, lining the pockets of incumbent homeowners. This all makes perfect sense but everyone seems to go around pretending the opposite.

Now what does happen is that poorer people will live in these condos and apartment buildings, and send their kids to the same schools as incumbent families, use the same services, etc. I strongly suspect that's why people are so against upzoning, and I think that is an important moral issue in itself.

Re:95% of Bay Area Cities Lost Zoning Authority by godot on Thursday February 23, 2023 @01:01PM (#34914063)
I agree with everything you said in theory. In practice, I don't really know that I agree with the grandkids/grandparents point.

The implication here is that if housing were abundant and more affordable in the bay area, then both grandparents and grandkids can live in the same city and visit each other often, rather than one side living far away in some suburbs. (In some cases, it's the grandparents living in suburbs and parents/kids living in the city for jobs; in other cases, it's grandparents living in the city because they've lived there forever and don't want to move, while parents/kids move to a suburb further away for better life/more space).

The thing is, growth of a city/a region brings along many other issues (in addition to lack of housing driving prices up), including safety, traffic, crowds, decrease in quality of life. Just because housing is affordable doesn't mean that both grandparents and grandkids would still want to live in the city.

Instead of building out even more housing in an already dense area (because jobs are concentrated in that area), I would've liked it if we have a far more diverse set of growing cities across the country where the job markets thrive in all of them, rather than deeply concentrated in a couple of places (SF Bay, NY, etc.).

[Edit] To clarify, I am in the group where the grandparents want to live in SFBA because they've been there forever and don't want to move away. I'm saying, the job market made SFBA grow too much, and building more housing in SFBA to make them cheaper won't necessarily make me want to keep living there because there are other problems that come with more people. Hence, if job markets weren't so deeply concentrated in one area, the country could see more evenly distributed growth across many cities/metropolitan areas, and SFBA/NY wouldn't be so lopsided and ridiculously unaffordable.