titzer
Hmm. 16 million cars sold in the US each year. 1.2 million EVs sold each year. "Maturing" at less than 8% market share is not a good sign.
> Litigation on this is still playing out...these to swing back into force with a change of government
Have you not lived in the US, like ever? It will take anywhere from approximately a decade to never to claw back even a fraction of an progressive legislation or regulation.
> We should expect Tesla sales to fall...when [vague new things come out]
Falling sales is sign of market maturity?
Clankers can do things right when they are given clear instructions and good context. They go bad when they are given agency and no oversight. What I have seen repeatedly is that even small amounts of correction to turn a refactoring this way or that way or make a better modularity decision, or to enforce a boundary that wasn't written down, helps a lot. Clankers don't know about your implicit information hiding going on. They don't know you've been working for years to get rid of a bad code smell that spread faster than you could stamp it out, or that you've been working on the same codebase for 10+ years and only now understand how you'd like to structure it.
Some people use the clanker to get something out of nothing. As engineers, we should be using them to engineer the heck out of things that we didn't have human effort available for. Things like refactoring, testing, cleaning up documentation, doing optimizations, simplifying, introducing proper interfaces, removing improper interfaces, etc.
[1] The wide-arithmetic proposal, which added 4 instructions with very well-specified behavior.
People won't do it today because they are both comfortable and too chained to their current jobs. They are increasingly divided by culture war bullshit that is not at all relevant to the important parts of society, like accountability for leadership.
No, the source is enough, because the low-level assembly is translated from the high-level source descriptions (a sound programming language with a complete and consistent specification) via a deterministic algorithmic translation process (a compiler) to a low-level executable that can run on a machine. Today, compilers are complex, but still human understandable. The programs are equivalent, and we're getting better able to actually prove this.
This is why I bristle when people say "post your prompts". Your prompts are not a program and the magic box is not a compiler.
Too many people abandoning everything, either due to laziness, mental overload, or..."skill issues".
I still want to see code. I want write code, check code, optimize and refactor code. I don't want to spend a lot of time debugging, but maybe a little.
The clankers should be accelerating the parts of the process we are bad at, and that takes time we won't spend: long, time-consuming refactors, debugging deep issues, writing crap tons of tests, investigating performance issues, digesting other people's code.
AI should be more like a bicycle than a cruise ship. And I mean the "bicycle for the mind" that Jobs wanted.
That said, a lot of US's immigration problems has been neglect to enforce immigration law, deliberate sabotaging of legislation throughout the years, and multiple broad amnesty decrees that basically broke the system. The system is broken by design and almost tailor-made to foment anti-immigrant sentiment that has sparked this new, ugly phase driven by unaccountable maniacs.
Unapologetically, then tried to frame each of these people as radicals who deserved it. And there is no investigation, no punishment, no accountability.
It is the utter shamelessness and craven dodging of responsibility that is criminal.
And the American media and American populace do not hold their feet to the fire.
There is no line they won't eventually cross, and the slide into the abyss is accelerating.
How long does that take?
The reality that Science is a grind and there are thousands of new results every year discovered by regular humans who use a regular human process to cross-check and review.
Treating every result from the AI like a gift from god is getting tiring.
Oh, they don't need to buy it, they already inherited from their rich parents. The world is just a set of trading cards to them at this point.
Elon Musk's fake money could buy a new $10 million mansion every single day--every single day--for THREE CENTURIES, and he wants more!
Society is delusional. We can't even collectively agree to tax psychotic money-grubbers who cannot even enjoy the fake wealth they have their names on.
Hello, black and white thinking.
Personally I just find it soul-crushingly dystopian that a few people have hundreds of thousands of lifetimes of wealth and we laud their mental illnesses while at the very same time, people die because of lack of health care.
I find it morally reprehensible as a society that we constantly cater to the needs of nepo babies instead of taking away just a fraction of their ungodly wealth to actually help people.
A huge portion of the success of "capitalism" is due to well-funded open science.
When monopolies, crony capitalism, and growthism, these are active detriments to all but those in power. Things become top-heavy, inequality leads to increasing social disconnection, discontent, and, throughout history, violence including revolution.
But now they have the dark crystal hypnotizing us all, who knows what will happen.
Fielding a web index takes a massive amount of compute and storage of a very different kind than what Anthropic is using. AI is extremely heavy on GPU, maybe somewhat on storage but (comparatively) light on CPU. They need CPU to train coding agents, obviously, but scaling to a billion user web search is a whole different thing.
I think the entire supply chain is making sure it has maximum profits extractable by law and any other emergent phenomena you observe is serendipitous and probably temporary, damaged or dropped as soon as the regulatory environment or marketplace changes to allow another dime of profit.