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Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by ckemere on Tuesday August 26, 2025 @11:19PM (#45035120)
I think that the negativity here is unfortunate. The reality is that it’s very hard to see a normal VC level return on the $100M+ Elon and friends have invested here. And don’t let anyone fool you - this is the fundamental reason the BCI field has moved slowly.

If Neuralink proceeds to a scenario where quadriplegic patients can get reliable (ie lifelong) control of their computers for less than $100k that will be a huge win for them for a cost that no one else was willing to pay.

To be clear, at that order of magnitude they might make back their investment, but it won’t be 10x or 100x, and the potential healthy-brain-connected-to-the-AI play is much less rooted in reality than Teslas all becoming taxis.

Worst case scenario is that Elon loses interest and pulls the plug and Mr Arbaugh loses continued tech support a la a google product. I think that’s the one question I wish the author had asked…

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by rc5150 on Tuesday August 26, 2025 @11:39PM (#45035214)
The unfortunate part is that your first thought went to return on investment rather than the humanitarian angle, which I think is the common perspective; optics and money.

Then there's the pessimists, like me, wondering how long it'll take to Neuralink to turn their army of computer connected paraplegics into some Mechanical Turk-esque Grok clean up.

[dead]
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by bluefirebrand on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @12:39AM (#45035519)
Things have costs so we should be ok with a society where the wealthy exploit poor and desperate people?
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by orbital-decay on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:05AM (#45035659)
The supposedly cynical comment above talks about giving quadriplegic people a reliable way to control computers for <$100k, something that was science fiction before. Is this what you call exploitation of the poor and desperate by the wealthy? You have to finance things somehow, or they won't be done at all.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by p_v_doom on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:55AM (#45036269)
There are many ways to finance this without strapping a parasite to leech off of it on top
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by lmm on Thursday August 28, 2025 @12:54AM (#45048518)
Are those many ways to finance it in the room with us right now?
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by SV_BubbleTime on Thursday August 28, 2025 @10:34AM (#45052690)
See “all the right things to do haven’t been tried yet!”.
[dead]
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by orbital-decay on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:31AM (#45035770)
As much as I dislike (current) Musk, the comment I'm responding to clearly wasn't about that. Do you see this work being done by anyone else? I don't. And yes, it has the potential to turn dystopian, sure. Don't let it. I don't know how some people manage to see everything as strictly black and white.

Being called a bot was unexpected, to put it mildly.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by distortionfield on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:55AM (#45035885)
Exploiting? I’m lefty, but this dude volunteered for the procedure and was fully reimbursed. I’m having a really hard time seeing “exploited” on this one.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:33AM (#45036544)
> this dude volunteered for the procedure and was fully reimbursed

And it worked! The animal subjects were exploited. This man was not.

The only way I can square this circle is with the hypothesis that everything a billionaire does must be exploitative of the poor. (Which holds about as much water as its balancing hypothesis on the far right about leftists being good for nothing more than whining.)

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by thinkingemote on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:02AM (#45035931)
According to the left exploitation can occur when people choose and are paid for it.

For example demeaning work. Also much of slavery, indentured servitude in the past was chosen and fully reimbursed. Most classic lefties would say all work is exploitation under capitalism.

It's the idea of individualism mostly seen on the right wing and the modern/American democratic left that says that people make free and rational choices in an amoral economic model. When money sets the rules there is no exploitation. I think the reality isn't so black and white and people can make good and bad decisions.

So while I agree he probably wasn't exploited it doesn't mean that others in the same place doing the same things will not be.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by distortionfield on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:20AM (#45036039)
I’m familiar with those applications of exploitation, too, but they also wouldn’t apply here. This wasn’t demeaning work and wasn’t predicated on necessity, past their disability.

And of course, all work is exploitation under capitalism (from a true lefty point of view) but I didn’t perceive the original comment as referring to that level of exploitation. Just saying that this isn’t the hill to die on if one wants a case for capitalist exploitation.

I do understand the dangers of others being exploited down the line but again, that wasn’t what OP was saying either.

Really, if this is exploitative it’s only an indictment of profit incentives in healthcare, which are abhorrent.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by jodrellblank on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @07:13AM (#45038029)
> "much of slavery was chosen"

Have you ever thought of "choosing slavery" for yourself and your children? No, because given a choice, nobody would choose to be a slave. The fact that people "choose" to be slaves is evidence that they had Hobson's choice. Probably because the wealthy and powerful arranged the system and laws to give people no choice because they wanted slaves.

> "When money sets the rules there is no exploitation

People didn't freely choose to migrate from their ancestral homeland, farming and hunting and grazing animals on common ground, to go and "find their fortune" in the slums and workhouses of the growing urban areas; the land was taken by force, the laws were set by the wealthy to kick the commoners off, to make wild grazing and hunting illegal, to shift the taxes away from land and onto trade, and the commoners were forced into it or "choose" starvation. William the 'Conqueror' in 1066 in Britain started it and set the model for the British colonies and British Empire which pushed it out around the world. From[1]:

"the Anglo-Saxon period as the system of law know as ‘folkland’, whereby land was held in allodial title by the group or regional community .. 1066-7 Norman invasion displaces Anglo-Saxon commons/land ownership model. William the Bastard declares that all land, animals and people in the country belong to him personally. .. We go from a country in which >90% of people owned land, to a country of landless serfs, themselves owned by foreign lords. .. The intended effect was precisely the result: the dispossession of the ‘common folk’ (i.e. anyone who wasn’t a Latin speaking Norman aristocrat) of their ancestral lands and rights."

"Commons Act 1236 allowed Lords to enclose common land .. Statutes of Westminster 1275/85/90 restrict subtenure/sale of parcels of land other than to the direct heirs of the landlord. These restrictions gave rise to .. the retention and control by the nobility of land, money, soldiers and servants via salaries, land sales and rent. In-effect, this was the start of modern wage-slavery"

"1536 to 1541 Dissolution of the Monasteries by Henry VIII, who privatises church lands (then 1/5th of the country). As these lands were often used by commoners, for grazing – this dispossesses people further from essential access to the land and generates yet more landless people who are wholly dependent upon the emerging model of selling their labour to survive i.e. wage-slavery. 1671 Game Act made it illegal to hunt wild animals, considered a common right since time immemorial. 1700-1850 Parliamentary Enclosures, now no longer held back by the sections of the Church, nor by the power of the (heavily indebted) nobility and Monarchy, land enclosures increase exponentially in both speed and size, and the new urban slums grew correspondingly"

"By 1700 half all arable lands are enclosed, and by 1815 nearly all farm land was enclosed; hunting, grazing, pannage, foraging, wood collection and gleaning rights, are all but lost. From 1750 to 1820 desperate poachers were ‘hanged en-mass’. 1800-1850 the Highland Clearances led to the displacement of up to 500,000 Highlanders and crofters, tens of thousands of which died in the early-mid 19th century, their settlements and economies replaced by Sheep. An esteemed member of the ‘British’ aristocracy noted: ‘It is time to make way for the grand-improvement of mutton over man.’. 1790-1830 a third of the rural population migrates to urban slums. Where they are put to work in early forms of factories, workhouses"

[1] https://tlio.org.uk/a-short-angry-history-of-land-in-britain...

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by itake on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:35AM (#45036561)
The problem here is what is the best use of our resources? Neurolink has raised a total of $1.29B USD.

Is funding a high risk project the right allocation of $1.29B that supports a tiny fraction of humanity or would $1.29B be better spent on cancer research, addressing childhood food insecurities (free school lunches), etc?

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by andriesm on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @05:12AM (#45037150)
Do we know? Is this answerable in advance? Probably not.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by lmm on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @12:55AM (#45035595)
Far too often I see someone stepping in to stop some "exploitation" and thereby making the poor/desperate people they were supposedly helping worse off.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by CalRobert on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:12AM (#45036391)
Pretending scarcities don't exist is one of the biggest problems with current policy.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by TheDong on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:00AM (#45035629)
This is the forum for a VC-funded startup accelerator, so yes, the implicit belief you hold if you're posting here is supposed to be "VCs deserve money, i.e. the wealthy deserve more wealth, and I will help them get there".

It's not exactly the same as "so we should exploit the poor and desperate", but that is one of the pitches VCs like the most.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by salawat on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:39PM (#45042598)
I want to say the answer to this is "not all lurkers/posters", because at this point I'm more treating this place as an early warning system for how the hellhole dystopia will come about.

The amount of self-censoring I've ramped up to to keep anything useful from amoral VC's though does appear to prove your point though.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by wordofx on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:43AM (#45036180)
Things are only created out expanded if there is a return. Its that simple.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by notarobot123 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:21AM (#45036455)
It does kinda feel like there's an accidental attempt to LARP the plot of Kurt Vonnegut's The Sirens of Titan (if you squint hard enough) - richest man in the world, brain control, Mars colony, attempted coup on Earth... all the plot points are there!
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by herculity275 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:24AM (#45037663)
Once Elon gets a robotic arm, steel teeth and prosthetic eyes that's when we know we're in real trouble.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:31AM (#45036527)
> unfortunate part is that your first thought went to return on investment rather than the humanitarian angle

It’s just a pragmatic take on sustainability of innovation. If nobody—no person or government or non-profit—would find value in the future of the work, it merits questioning why do it versus something else.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by regularfry on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @04:48AM (#45037004)
There's a spectrum here, though. There's a difference between "nobody would find value in the work" and "nobody can figure out how to get VC-level returns from the work on VC timescales."
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @05:20AM (#45037201)
> a difference between "nobody would find value in the work" and "nobody can figure out how to get VC-level returns from the work on VC timescales”

In theory, yes. But other than maybe rare-disease research, I’m struggling to think of an example in medical research.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by h0h0h0h0111 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:51AM (#45036672)
I don't think it's unfortunate - in principle, return on investment today can achieve greater humanitarian impact tomorrow vs humanitarian impact today.

Of course, this creates a perverse situation where choosing humanitarian impact today over investment is always irrational, but this is the fundamental tension in charity vs investment, and aside from relying on governments and guilt, I'm not sure we have discovered a great model to solve it

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by moomin on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @04:45AM (#45036984)
Problem is, when people start to analyse things like this, even apart from falling into utilitarian traps, they don’t apply regular business reasoning.

There’s a bunch of effects to consider 1) improving lives right now may well improve subsequent generations lives directly 2) your future project may have a higher failure rate than your current one 3) the problems you are trying to solve may no longer be relevant in the future 4) you could be very wrong about future population growth.

All of this boils down to: you should be risk-discounting future benefits just the same way as you do future cash flows.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by autoexec on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:21AM (#45037641)
It's the people thinking about the bottom line who will push for the gradual enshittification of the product until it's beaming ads into people's brain, preventing them from saying anything bad about elon, forcing them to sing his praises against their will, or charging them a monthly fee for "continued autonomous breathing as a service".

Taking a good thing and fucking people over with it in every way possible is "regular business reasoning"

At a certain point it's smart to say "We have the technology to do something good, let's be extremely cautious about concerns over what's profitable and focus on doing what's right with it"

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by est31 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:30PM (#45043227)
I really loved the "Common People" episode from Black Mirror. IMO it's the best episode of the whole series. It shows the enshittification cycle of technology really well applied to technology connected to your brain.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by herculity275 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:28AM (#45037703)
> how long it'll take to Neuralink to turn their army of computer connected paraplegics into some Mechanical Turk-esque Grok clean up

It's really hard for me to imagine that making more logistic sense than the current state of affairs - which is hiring armies of poor able-bodied people in developing countries.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by probably_wrong on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:33AM (#45037750)
It's not that difficult, really.

"By using this implant I agree to the collection and sharing of analysis data with Neuralink and its trusted third parties".

[ ] Agree

[ ] Ask me later

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by notnullorvoid on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @12:25PM (#45041762)
The point is the scale of poor people vastly outweighs the scale of Neuralink users. It's not worth both the setup cost, nor the backlash to convert the relatively small number of Neuralink users into forced labour. Especially since they would still need the poor workforce as well.

Agreeing to data collection and sharing of your brain activity while concerning for it's own reasons, is not the same as forcing them to complete Mechanical Turk like tasks.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by Almondsetat on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @08:46AM (#45038903)
If something cannot stand on its own two legs, then it can be the most awesome stuff in the world but it will die nonetheless. Being self-sustainable (i.e. profitable) greatly helps with keeping the show going. The alternative is either becoming publicly owned (i.e. paid with your taxes whether you want it or not) or to fail miserably and have all your technology and talent scattered.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by butterandguns on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @10:04AM (#45039881)
Unfortunate phrasing about inability to stand on its own two legs or it dies here.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by DoesntMatter22 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:21PM (#45042396)
To me that's the greatest part. Probably everyone working on this is interested in the humanitarian angle, and they know this can benefit potentially millions. But ROI is partly what's required to make it sustainable long term. And that's a great thing to me. It motivates business people to put money into it.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by maxlin on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:06AM (#45035665)
Companies like this going under is a horror story for the patients I've seen playing out a few times. But I honestly can't see something as public and well-funded having the same fate. "Elon Musk losing interest" isn't really something I see likely as he doesn't function in the money-oriented ways pretty much almost all other billionaire-types do. He loves the tech and the ideals, and Neuralink is past the point of ever being potentially a dud
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by ValentinPearce on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:57AM (#45036292)
> he doesn't function in the money-oriented ways pretty much almost all other billionaire-types do

I'm pretty sure he does, his actions in government and his lobbying were specifically so he made more money. He does love the tech, though I'm not as optimistic about his love of the ideals (but that might be the socialist in me talking).

I'm am wary about how brain implants could be abused further down the line, but for now it's not the main thing I'm looking at with Neuralink. It seems to be a positive change for the patient, and if costs can be reduced to make it affordable to the masses, it can be a great thing.a

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by maxlin on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @10:49PM (#45047800)
Recent things with the government could sell an image of political games. But then again, he has laid out a quite high effort reasoning behind his candidate's support outside any business relation, and has kept consistency on those beliefs. Don't see any real comparison to acting like this; Jensen & Co sure as hell would rather be strategically ambiguous or a weather vane than state controversial beliefs on podcasts "just for political games".

Also, no people of the class we're alluding to would found SpaceX knowing its very likely going to fail and will be an absolute waste of money and potentially risk their whole luxurious welfare.

Or do that twice, with Tesla having teetered as badly too. With him sleeping on the couches in the plants. And not just during crises, as he seemingly visits his operations every week if you see how much he makes good use of his jet.

He's an alien compared to the lot.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by LunaSea on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @04:28AM (#45036882)
> isn't really something I see likely as he doesn't function in the money-oriented ways pretty much almost all other billionaire-types do

Is that why he sued to obtain his $29B package from Tesla shareholders?

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by sokoloff on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @05:58AM (#45037476)
I’m not the biggest Elon fan, but “man sues to receive the thing he earned over several years of accomplishment that made a lot of people a lot more money than they originally agreed to pay him” is something a lot of people are understandably sympathetic to.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by LunaSea on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @08:48AM (#45038928)
> man sues to receive the thing he earned over several years of accomplishment that made a lot of people a lot more money than they originally agreed to pay him

Do you have a source for this?

As far as I understand, the bonus package represents a large part of revenue of all Teslas sold since the beginning.

> is something a lot of people are understandably sympathetic to.

Does he also need to pay back stocks when he does a nazi salute, thus tarnishing the brand's image and stock value?

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by sokoloff on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @12:34PM (#45041884)
> Do you have a source for this?

At the time of the original pay package award (3/21/2018), with primary performance conditions being the growth of Tesla market cap (making money for Tesla shareholders), Tesla had a market cap of $53.5B.

At the time the lawsuit against Musk set aside that pay package in January 2024, Tesla's market cap had expanded under Musk's leadership to around $600B.

$600B - $55B = $545 billion in market cap increase (making money for shareholders), which dwarfs both the $29B he agreed to take as well as the larger amount he would have been due under the 2018 agreement.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by maxlin on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:42PM (#45046232)
Imagine people going around you and waiting to take photo of you calling a taxi a bit wonkily then using that as a proof to try to make your employer sue you for all you're worth. Everyone who even alludes to it as a salute is quite far deranged, especially if still talking about it
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by ryoshoe on Thursday August 28, 2025 @11:49AM (#45053694)
This wasn't an ill timed photo. There's a video of him making the gesture, twice
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by AtlasBarfed on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @08:52AM (#45038970)
Is that why he has a non-functioning board of lackeys friends and family members?

That's not how public companies are supposed to work. And no, he didn't earn $29 billion.

Elon musk is a Nazi. He should not be running these companies.

He's simply in a position by undermining what normally is in public company governance to siphon money away from the company.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by maxlin on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:43PM (#45046236)
>AtlasBarfed is a Nazi. He should not be commenting on Hacker News

see, I can make up stupid shit too.

People really claiming Elon is somehow a hinderance to the thing he created from scratch and where almost all shareholders are on his side is just hilarious...

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by plqbfbv on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @09:34AM (#45039472)
> Is that why he sued to obtain his $29B package from Tesla shareholders?

I think you're confused on two sort-of-related things: one is the $56B package agreed to and approved in 2018 that a judge decided to revoke, for that he's suing.

The other one is the relatively recent (July/August) $29B package that was created by two indipendent board advisors to give him a "salary" (he did not participate or vote on the creation of this package), since apparently he received nothing from Tesla for the past 6-7 years. This comes as a result of him expressing that if he wants more control over the company, or he's going to build things (AI, robotics) outside of it. Part of the deal is that he's to forfeit this if the ruling on the 2018 package is in his favor.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_lawsuits_involving_Tes...

https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulat...

https://techcrunch.com/2025/08/04/tesla-hands-29b-comp-packa...

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by maxlin on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:37PM (#45046195)
What a crazy disinforming way to spin that story.

I was one of those shareholders who voted FOR that pay package with power of six figures worth of stock. He didn't "sue the shareholders"

Shareholders are strongly on Elon's side here, as they have always have been. The only reason there is a lawsuit is because some bent judge is trying to take the shareholder's power away from them and not grant the pay package. Absolute corruption.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by peterfirefly on Thursday August 28, 2025 @02:52AM (#45049218)
Ostensibly for the benefit of a man who had 9 shares. And then that man's lawyers demanded billions from Tesla for their trouble.

Same judge who forced him to overpay for Twitter.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by enslavedrobot on Thursday August 28, 2025 @02:28PM (#45055372)
Let's make a deal. You invest $100 in my company. I won't take a salary unless I at least double your money. Everytime I double your money you owe me 1% of your gains. Is this a fair deal?

That's the deal we voted for and Tesla grew 2000%. Very pleased with the outcome and would vote for any pay package at any company that was similarly structured.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by vasco on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @04:53AM (#45037031)
Ah yes he just became a billionnaire because he isn't money motivated and just loves tech. If only we all loved tech as much as Elon and money as little as Elon does.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by maxlin on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:34PM (#45046175)
If you stop and think for a second, SpaceX was the dumbest ticket to buy to win a lottery. Everyone else had failed. He says it himself; he's not a businessman. How his companies work with hype both for hiring and selling product should point out they aren't "normal".
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by SilverBirch on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:06AM (#45037534)
Sorry what? You couldn't have picked a better example of someone who is going get bored, walk off and leave customers screwed. Tesla customers bought a full self-driving car about a decade ago. Where is it? Oh yes, that's right. Elon Musk lost interest and now he's over at neuralink sticking electrodes in this guys head. This guy better hope that Elon doesn't get bored again.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by positron26 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:20AM (#45035718)
Probably a decent reason that all such augmentations need to be built on open technologies. If no provider can guarantee future support, only open strategies are even viable for users.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:36AM (#45036562)
> decent reason that all such augmentations need to be built on open technologies

Open is a red herring. Mandate documentation and bonding for long-term support. If the cheapest way to provide those are through an open-source platform, great. If not, that’s also fine. Patient outcomes outweigh ideological preferences.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by tolani_somoye on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:06AM (#45037531)
exactly!
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by lynx97 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:22AM (#45036049)
Open Source Accessibility isn't sustainable right now. How on earth do you imagine open medical hardware to ever reach a level where it is generally useful to people with disabilities?

In general, I find the negativity in this whole thread very sad. If I were in the situation were I was looking forward for technology like this, and I'd read the comments here, they would make me very sad. Because in essence, I would learn that politics is more important to some SV people than actual progress.

Frankly, if Elon ended up creating a technology that helps people, I wouldn't care about his politics at all. I'd be damn grateful for someone investing in something that ended up helping me. But obviously, politics trumps empathy here, which is very very sad.

I am still a magnitude off regarding 100k for assistive technologies, but sufficiently large braille displays cost 10k$ to 15k$ in Europe. That is a plain display of 80!!! characters in a single line. No 1080p, mind you. This has been the case since I am alive. The costs are mostly driven by redistriibutors, who usually add around 70% when importing from the US. Do I feel exploited? No, I am glad the technology exists. And frankly, if you have any empathy left, you should as well.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by positron26 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:40AM (#45036155)
By commercializing open source technology development so that the paying non-programmer and the ecosystem dependent SME's and Fortune 500's can meaningfully drive development of what they need.

You can see my gloriously broken prototype at PrizeForge. Currently between iterations and still not quite viable enough to properly operate.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by lynx97 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:51AM (#45036244)
Well, Sun Accessibility Office already did great work from roughly 2003 to 2008. Then came 2008. And Sun AND IBM terminated their Accessibility work. From then on, Orca was basically kept alive by a single developer for roughly a decade. I am not 100% sure if she has given up by now, but I'd be surprised if she didn'.t

So, giving this job to Fortune500 companies is demonstratably not sustainable. A single higher up can terminate such projects with the wink of an eye.

I was more hopeful 20 years ago. Then I watched how all the good work on GNOME2 was basically trashed because of DBus transition, GTK3, and now Wayland. Fact is, hoping for the corporate world to do the work is no guarantee they will continue. And for "scratch your own itch"-philosophy to work, there are not enough disabled OSS devs. Maybe after WWIII there will be a surge in Open Source Accessibility.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by positron26 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @03:28AM (#45036514)
You read my comment, but you are missing that I'm building to tools to bundle the work together, which is the way to make a strong enough open foundation that things like open accessibility technologies can have more ground to stand on.

Scratching our own itch works better when coordination means we can bundle together a whole lot of itch. There is no such thing as individual incentive to cooperate without a means of coordination. Anything else is just the volunteer's dilemma, and so only small itches get scratched.

Not everything can be handled using death by a thousand cuts. In the Rust in 2021 blog [1], the importance of depth versus breadth was pointed out. Depth comes from dedicated, full-time, paid work.

[1]: https://matklad.github.io/2020/09/12/rust-in-2021.html]

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by wolvesechoes on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @04:00AM (#45036739)
> If Neuralink proceeds to a scenario where quadriplegic patients can get reliable (ie lifelong) control of their computers for less than $100k that will be a huge win for them for a cost that no one else was willing to pay.

Until subscription price is increased.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by nzrf on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @05:11AM (#45037140)
That’s last point reminds me of the Second Sight situation where they abonan their tech. Previously discussed https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30349871
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by thinkingtoilet on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @07:26AM (#45038149)
After nearly two decades of flat out lying about Tesla's capabilities and then the last year of insane lies, I literally don't believe anything that comes out of any of his companies. Perhaps you do.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by MrResearcher on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @11:20AM (#45040931)
It's not really a lie, it's so-called "make-belief", which entrepreneurs exude in order to justify their own time and money investment, as well as spreading it to the army of employees. This sort of delusion is necessary for the inaugural period of concept development, until you prove whether the concept is viable or not. Some people call it vision. It is an entirely fictional concept, of course. Sometimes you stumble onto something working that gets traction. Then this lie turns into reality, and the entrepreneur is raised to the rank of prophets.

In other words, he doesn't do it out of malice. These are the rules of the game.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by 542354234235 on Thursday August 28, 2025 @10:44AM (#45052824)
I have to disagree. The differnce in in degree. salemanship and fraud are two different things. Painting a rosy picture of something is difference than lying about specific capabilities. Giving your production capacity using the most ambitious numbers is different than saying you can produce numbers you factually can't in any scenario. Having a future roadmap that is a goal and may not be achieved is different than promising a capability in the near future, as if it is almost ready, when there is no capability coming is lying. That's like saying a Ponzi scheme is just another investment.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by latexr on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @07:38AM (#45038255)
> Worst case scenario is that Elon loses interest and pulls the plug and Mr Arbaugh loses continued tech support a la a google product.

That’s not even close to the worst case scenario. There are many worse outcomes than the product becoming inoperative, such as it malfunctioning in a way that significantly worsens the person’s quality of life, or its creator deliberately holding functionality hostage. Musk is known for being incredibly petty and thin skinned, I wonder how he’d react to Neuralink users doing or saying things he doesn‘t agree with.

I am genuinely glad this participant and presumably others have a new chance at quality of life, but it would be better if the one in control of the technology weren’t a private individual with such a history, and that the process to reach this milestone had been handled more responsibly and respectfully.

https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-pcrm-neuralink-monkey-...

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by Cthulhu_ on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @07:45AM (#45038321)
From a capitalist point of view, Neuralink will only become profitable and valuable if they go full sci-fi and offer a brain/computer interface that anyone can use, AND that there's systems and applications that use it, AND that it becomes popular and "better" than e.g. smartphones.

But that last one is the kicker. AR never became mainstream. Unless a brain interface is faster and more intuitive than e.g. a physical keyboard, it will never become mainstream either.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by kaliqt on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @07:56AM (#45038415)
AR will become mainstream with time. It's a question of UX which has very heavy investment behind it.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by freedomben on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @11:01AM (#45040657)
Exactly. AR is still extremely early days, limited by hardware and software. I have no doubt that it has a future, there are just some impediments that have yet to be remedied (but I have no doubt that they will)
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by xyst on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @07:53AM (#45038387)
> The reality is that it’s very hard to see a normal VC level return on the $100M+

Nobody gives a shit about the iNvEsToR rEtUrN on iNveStMeNt. This is a humanitarian project which should be owned by the people, not a select few billionaires or investors to license out and dangle yet another expense, subscription, or ad model.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by freedomben on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @11:02AM (#45040668)
Why aren't any humanitarian organizations doing it currently?
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by AngryData on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @11:12PM (#45047939)
Maybe because so much of our capital is tied up in the hands of a handful of billionaires.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by DoesntMatter22 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @01:44PM (#45042661)
Nothing is stopping them from doing it. You sound mad that he's actually out there making it happen because some theoretical humanitarian project should. Why not be happy he's actually out there solving this for people and the fact that real people are materially benefitting?
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by CrimsonRain on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @06:13PM (#45045994)
WHo iS SToPPiNg YoU?

Typical communist attitude.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by chakintosh on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @08:37AM (#45038811)
The endgame for Neuralink here, and most other competitors in the field is to use these transplants on healthy people as well to "enhance" human function.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by hnthrowawayacct on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @10:19AM (#45040093)
One of the biggest unsolved issues with BCI and neural implants is the immune response to implanted electrodes. The tissue buildup and fluid that encapsulates the probe or stimulator drastically increases the impedance of the device and causes all sorts of hard to solve problems for longevity of the implant and whatever therapy or recording it's trying to accomplish.
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by torginus on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:22PM (#45043135)
VCs don't actually like risk, and can't distinguish snake-oil from groundbreaking inventions - more news at 11
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by g42gregory on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @02:29PM (#45043220)
Don’t forget, we are currently running “Elon is bad” narrative.

Apparently, many people listen.

Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by multjoy on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @04:31PM (#45044807)
Did you somehow sleep through the whole doge debacle?
Re:Neuralink 'Participant 1' Noland Arbaugh says his whole l... by Xss3 on Wednesday August 27, 2025 @05:21PM (#45045445)
He objectively is a bad person and a notorious liar.