RSI means recursive self improvement, essentially when AI models are capable of doing all the work an AI lab does to improve the general capabilities of the AI models they develop entirely autonomously.

What makes this important as a "step change" beyond the current rate of AI progress is that, if the process of data engineering, pre and post-training, inference engineering and deployment of the models can be done without any human intervention, then the output of that process, (the next generation of smarter models) becomes the new input to this process, leading to a closed loop where the models get smarter and smarter rapidly, all they would need is to be fed electricity and more computer chips (which they could design themselves).

At this point AI companies and many researchers believe AI models will quickly exceed human intelligence across all domains, leading to a complete AI takeover via various means (mass cyber warfare, mass manipulation/persuasion, control of autonomous robotic systems).

Many predict that the rate of AI progress indicates that the threshold for RSI will be reached next year by OpenAI, Anthropic or Google.

Do you believe that such a threshold will be reached in the near future? If so, what do you think will happen?