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Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tikkun on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:10PM (#35818774)
The part of the post that resonates for me is that working with the open source community may allow a model to improve faster. And, whichever model improves faster, will win - if it can continue that pace of improvement.

The author talks about Koala but notes that ChatGPT is better. GPT-4 is then significantly better than GPT-3.5. If you've used all the models and can afford to spend money, you'd be insane to not use GPT-4 over all the other models.

Midjourney is more popular (from what I'm seeing) than Stable Diffusion at the moment because it's better at the moment. Midjourney is closed-source.

The point I'm wanting to make is that users will go to whoever has the best model. So, the winning strategy is whatever strategy allows your model to compound in quality faster and to continue to compound that growth in quality for longer.

Open source doesn't always win in producing better quality products.

Linux won in servers and supercomputing, but not in end user computing.

Open-source databases mostly won.

Chromium sorta won, but really Chrome.

Then in most other areas, closed-source has won.

So one takeaway might be that open-source will win in areas where the users are often software developers that can make improvements to the product they're using, and closed-source will win in other areas.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by hospitalJail on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:25PM (#35819021)
>Midjourney is more popular (from what I'm seeing) than Stable Diffusion at the moment because it's better at the moment. Midjourney is closed-source.

Midjourney is easier, its not better. The low barrier to entry has it popular, but it isnt as realistic, doesnt follow the prompt as well, and has almost no customization.

SD is the holy grail of AI art, if you can afford a computer or server to run SD + have the ability to figure out how to install python, clone Automatic1111 from git, and run the installer, its the best. Those 3 steps are too much for most people, so they default to something more like an app. Maybe it is too soon, but it seems SD has already won. MJ is like using MS paint, where SD is like photoshop.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by HelloMcFly on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:38PM (#35819237)
> Midjourney is easier, its not better

Does being easier not influence whether it's better? I mean this in that for many of the ways AI art would be used, MJ already seems to be "good enough" at a lot of it.

Secondarily: doesn't Midjourney's increased user base and increased ratings they get from users help it refine its model, thus meaning that "ease of use" creates a feedback loop with "quality of output" because more users are engaged?

I'm asking real questions, not making a statement I believe in and just adding a question mark.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by hospitalJail on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:44PM (#35819331)
>Does being easier not influence whether it's better?

As mentioned, what is better, MS Paint or photoshop? If MJ ignores your prompt and spits out a half related picture, are you going to continue using it?

If anything MJ is a stepping stone to SD. You get a taste of AI art, but want to do something specific that MJ cannot do. You learn about control-net, alternative models, inpainting, etc... and you decide you need to move on from MS Paint to Photoshop.

I personally used free AI art(cant remember which), it was super cool, but quickly I wanted to use different models and generate thousands of pictures at a time. I wanted to make gifs, img2img, etc... and the only people doing that were on SD.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by fastball on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:15PM (#35819783)
I think you actually have that backwards, because your conception of "easier" is a bit skewed.

The question is not "which is easier?", but rather "which is easier to use to produce high-quality output". In your analogy, I'd argue the answer to that question is actually Photoshop. Likewise the answer in the MJ/SD case is MJ.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by HelloMcFly on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:48PM (#35820277)
> As mentioned, what is better, MS Paint or photoshop?

Metaphor is useful, but this feels overly-reductive. The gap between the amount of effort it takes to make something great or approaching the vision you had is massive between MS Paint and Photoshop. Not so for SD and MJ.

However, I am appreciating that SD seems to be clearly better if you need something more specific / precise. I don't think I'm convinced (yet) that because it can get more precise inherently makes it a better tool.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by syntheweave on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:48PM (#35821131)
It's the old consumer/professional distinction at play: "If it's a professional tool, it's a job to know how to use it."

There are definitely some professionalized paradigms emerging in the use of SD: one video tutorial I saw this morning covering basic photobash + img2img and use of controlnet had a commenter saying that they preferred using the lineart function in controlnet to get more control and leverage their drawing skills.

When you see that kind of thing it's a huge signal for professionalization, because someone suggesting the optimal first step is "learn how to draw" deviates so completely from the original context of prompt-based image generation: "just type some words and the image magically appears".

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Spivak on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:46PM (#35819355)
> Does being easier not influence whether it's better

Midjourney let's you type in a thing and get a result that will look great, which is no small accomplishment. If you want "incidental art" like blog post heros there is no competition. But it's really hard to use if you want to get exactly what you want.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ModernMech on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:50PM (#35819432)
> But it's really hard to use if you want to get exactly what you want.

Alternatively, if you don't know what you want, it's really good for inspiration.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Spivak on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:55PM (#35819500)
Very true, I've fleshed out RPG scenes/characters with it.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by JoeScylla on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @08:11AM (#35873133)
> Does being easier not influence whether it's better? I mean this in that for many of the ways AI art would be used, MJ already seems to be "good enough" at a lot of it. > ... > I'm asking real questions, not making a statement I believe in and just adding a question mark.

In my opinion, it is tedious to discuss whether Midjourney or Stable Diffusion is better.

Both are tools with their own strengths and weaknesses.

Midjourney

- Comparable to a ready-made consumer product.

- Easy to use and you get excellent results quickly.

- The feature set is limited. So you can't influence so well how the result should look like.

- Restrictions on what you can generate with it (gore, nudes).

- Fee required.

Stable Diffusion

- Comparable to a development kit. Technical, Difficult to use, different tools that you have to configure and use correctly.

- For excellent results you have to invest much more time.

- Extensive feature set (inpaining, outpaining, upscaling, ControlNet, many different models, LORAs, textual inversions). You can much better define how the result should look like.

- No restrictions on what you can generate.

- Free if you install it locally.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ketzo on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:33PM (#35819162)
Do you have a link to a decent tutorial for someone to do what you're describing in the last paragraph?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by xhrpost on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:40PM (#35819270)
It took me a little hunting, but thanks to Reddit I eventually found a cloud-gpu host that provides a working Stable Diffusion image. So you basically don't have to do anything that GP said. Everything is installed and you just rent the hardware.

https://www.runpod.io/console/templates

Look for "RunPod Stable Diffusion". I spent a whole $0.35/hr playing around with my own SD instance that I had running in minutes.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ZephyrBlu on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:45PM (#35820234)
35c/hr seems crazy expensive compared to Midjourney. Midjourney gives you set fast hours (Immediate GPU) and unlimited relaxed hours (Delayed GPU). It also has a lot of built-in parameters you can use to easily tweak images. I'd rather pay for MJ than run my own SD.

The main upside of running your own SD is that you can completely automate it, but I'm not sure how useful that really is.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by dragonwriter on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:51PM (#35820318)
> The main upside of running your own SD is that you can completely automate it

No, the main upside of running your own SD web UI is that you can select and deploy your own checkpoints (not just using the base SD models), LoRas, embeddings, upscaling models, and UI plugins supporting additional services/models/features like multidiffusion (bigger gens and controls of which areas within the image different prompts apply to), ControlNet and associated models, video synthesis, combinatorial prompts, prompt shifting during generation to do blending effects, and, well, a million other things.

Also, you can completely automate it.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ImprobableTruth on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:55PM (#35821930)
The midjourney price would be equivalent to ~100 hours cloud time. How is that crazy expensive?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jamilton on Thursday May 04, 2023 @06:01PM (#35822710)
You can do the same thing on vast.ai too.

It's a little inconvenient to use non-base models and plugins this way (you pay extra for more storage), but it's definitely an easy way to use the full power of SD.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by hospitalJail on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:38PM (#35819247)
Do you need additional detail that cannot be found here?

https://github.com/AUTOMATIC1111/stable-diffusion-webui

Or are you looking for the cutting edge stuff like control net?

If you want to use colab instead, I used this a month or two ago.

https://colab.research.google.com/github/TheLastBen/fast-sta...

I hope other people can give you further reading.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by erichocean on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:39PM (#35819261)
There are dozens on YouTube. My kids did it, and they don't even program and had never touched Python in their life.

Even trained their own models using a cloud GPU.

The SD ecosystem is wild.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by enlyth on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:47PM (#35819380)
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by dragonwriter on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:42PM (#35819303)
> SD is the holy grail of AI art, if you can afford a computer or server to run SD + have the ability to figure out how to install python, clone Automatic1111 from git, and run the installer, its the best.

If you can afford Colab (which is free if you don’t want to use it too much), you can just click one of the existing A1111 colabs and run that, you don’t need to figure out python, git, or A1111 installs.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by kyleyeats on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:01PM (#35819574)
Google is cracking down on this recently.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by flangola7 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:17PM (#35822203)
Cracking down on what exactly?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by kyleyeats on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:20PM (#35823871)
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by LordDragonfang on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:55PM (#35819498)
Free Colabs have started blocking any SD web-ui it detects (presumably because it's meant as a community service for ML researchers, not for people who want to play hentai gacha, and they're running out of server time)
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by lrem on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:50PM (#35819421)
Are you sure about this? For the couple things I tried, a colleague with Midjourney managed to outperform my attempts with SD by leaps and bounds.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jamilton on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:54PM (#35822620)
There's a higher "skill ceiling" with SD. You can install different models for different styles or subjects, use ControlNet for composition, and use plugins to do things you can't easily do with MJ.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tysam_and on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:53PM (#35819472)
Midjourney is higher quality by a fair bit, from my personal experience and from being near a few of the top early AI artists for a good little while.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Workaccount2 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:21PM (#35819899)
Is midjourneys model actually better?

I was under the impression that midjourney was just running a form of SD and it's real secret sauce are the peripheral prompts it injects on the backend along with your prompts.

I could be totally off the mark here.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by og_kalu on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:18PM (#35822211)
The model is obviously massively better. and they haven't been using SD in any form since the test mode of v3. the models are trained from scratch.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by sixothree on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:22PM (#35819904)
Is midjourney still using discord as its primary user interface? That really turned me off.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:46PM (#35820255)
Yes-- a classmate uses it. They do @everyone announces in their server every day, and while you can mute actual notifications, it still adds one to your badge count. My attention is too valuable-- that would get me to cancel my subscription.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by sixothree on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:11PM (#35821420)
When I used it, it didn't feel like a product. It felt like a demo. If I have to rely on some bot in a public forum, I'm not sure I like this product.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Sohcahtoa82 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @06:01PM (#35822717)
I've operated on the assumption that MidJourney is deliberately knee-capping their growth by making it only work on Discord to ensure they don't grow faster than they can add hardware.

I could be entirely wrong, though. Maybe the person making that decision is just an idiot.

I have an IRC bot that has triggers for DALL-E, GPT3, and ChatGPT. I really want to make one for MidJourney, and I would happily pay MJ for the privilege. But I can't. Not without breaking some rules.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tysam_and on Thursday May 04, 2023 @07:07PM (#35823303)
They have a <10 person team IIRC, using Discord as an interface saves a TON of money/effort/maintenance/risk, etc, as best as I understand, and lets them focus on the technical product. Remember, Discord is giving them free content legal protection by proxy, even if that's not necessarily the original intended effect I think. There's a lot to gain by riding alongside Discord as a primary interface vehicle, I personally believe.

They're good enough technically at what they do that their audience is okay with the interface that they have to use, I'd reckon (I've heard similar beefs about the UI stuff though, so it sorta makes sense).

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by aix1 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @11:52PM (#35825026)
> Discord is giving them free content legal protection by proxy

Would you mind explaining what you mean by that? Thanks!

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by anticensor on Friday May 05, 2023 @08:17AM (#35828273)
Discord does not have its own data centres, It would be hard for them to provide such a guarantee.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tysam_and on Friday May 05, 2023 @09:51PM (#35837211)
Discord hosts a substantial number of images among other things.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by throwaway675309 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @09:22PM (#35824239)
Even if you turn all permissions on for your bot including the ability to use slash commands it won't be able to send commands to the Discord mid journey bot. (And there is no publicly exposed API)

The only way to do it right now would be to create a separate dedicated discord account linked to midjourney, and then have your bot control that user account and that's a good way not only to get your MJ access revoked but also to have your discord account banned.

As far as kneecaping their growth, they have one of the largest discord channels in history and they frequently run up against compute limits, so if this was one of their ostensible goals they failed at it pretty spectacularly.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Sohcahtoa82 on Friday May 05, 2023 @01:42AM (#35825588)
> Even if you turn all permissions on for your bot including the ability to use slash commands

AFAIK, this isn't possible.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by lukebitts on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:34PM (#35820938)
MJ edits your prompts, you can achieve the same level of quality if you use the same prompts they do (which can be found on the internet)
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @07:43AM (#35827987)
They edit your prompt ... how?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by lukebitts on Friday May 05, 2023 @08:20AM (#35828293)
By adding keywords to the prompt and to the negative prompt
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @10:01AM (#35829300)
Can you give me an example? What are those keywords? This sounds a bit like Dall-E 2, where OpenAI appears to manipulate certain queries involving women to make them black.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by lukebitts on Friday May 05, 2023 @10:46AM (#35829907)
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @11:36AM (#35830629)
Okay, though this seems to be someone who tries to imitate Midjourney using Stable Diffusion, so it is still not quite clear how Midjourney does it. Though it seems plausible that they would "cheat" in this matter in order to get something more artsy looking. (But what if you don't want something artsy, or not artsy in their style?)
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by lukebitts on Saturday May 06, 2023 @04:07PM (#35844931)
Thats the value proposition of MJ I guess. Its easier to get something good out of a simple prompt, but you end up with a recognizable MJ look
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by mdorazio on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:13PM (#35819760)
> Midjourney is easier, its not better.

By what measure? Midjourney v5 is massively better with every prompt topic I've thrown at it than SD. It's not even close. SD, however, is much better if you want an actual customizable toolchain or to do things like train it on your own face/character.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ZephyrBlu on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:11PM (#35820614)
They also just released v5.1, which seems to be quite a bit better than v5.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @07:32AM (#35827901)
Is there a comparison? It is interesting that there do not seem to be any Midjourney benchmarks. E.g.

https://paperswithcode.com/sota/text-to-image-generation-on-...

Parti and Imagen are still on top, followed by Dall-E 2.

If their model is so great, why are they afraid of benchmarks?

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by gallabytes on Friday May 05, 2023 @11:29AM (#35830514)
I literally just don't feel like running them tbh, and see no reason to publish them either way. Mostly prefer to let the outputs speak for themselves.

For a while I was using an FID variant for evaluation during training, but didn't find it very helpful vs just looking at output images.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Saturday May 06, 2023 @03:01PM (#35844345)
Okay. That's probably the difference between a commercial and a research project.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by fumar on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:11PM (#35821421)
Agreed. I pay for MJ and have several SD versions running on my PC. I like the ability to fine tune the SD models and my Pc with a 4090 is plenty fast, but I can't match MJ's output on artistic quality. SD allows for 4k sized outputs which is great but I can't use the art like I would like. FWIW the SD NSFW community is large but that is not where I invest my time with AI art.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by throwaway675309 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @06:03PM (#35822744)
Generate the following picture in mid journey: "A school of dolphins spanking a mermaid with their flukes."

A 1000 V-rolls won't get you there. For something like this control net combined with inpainting is indispensable. Not to mention the excessively heavy handed censorship in MJ.

Midjourney excels in overall quality, but it completely falls down if you have an actual complex vision.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @07:21AM (#35827813)
It seems Midjourney is great at generating non-pornographic pictures.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by throwaway675309 on Friday May 05, 2023 @06:57PM (#35836123)
Uhh... Spanking isn't inherently pornographic - that particular image was supposed to be a Gary Larson parody style comic.

Here have another prompt: "Rapunzel has let her hair all the way down a tower. The hero has been tied up by the witch, and annoyed at Rapunzel's continual attempts to escape, the witch throws the bottom of her hair into a paper shredder at the base of the tower."

You could v-roll until the heat death of the universe without even getting close.

Midjourney is great if all you're capable of conceiving is 90s Mad Magazine templatized mad Libs, banal crap like "Darth Vader as a French pantomime street artist".

Unfortunately that also describes the majority of midjourney users.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Saturday May 06, 2023 @10:26AM (#35841684)
Yeah, prompts which basically just list properties (Darth Vader, French, pantomime, street artist) seem to work well, but relations are mostly too hard for these models. Even "a monk playing chess against a clown" or "a blue book on top of a yellow book" is out of reach for Bing's Dall-E ~3, and Midjourney probably isn't much better here.

https://www.bing.com/images/create/a-monk-playing-chess-agai...

https://www.bing.com/images/create/a-blue-book-on-top-of-a-y...

Simple (prompt only) use of generative models is quite good at creating simple artistic pictures you might actually hang on a wall. Trying to create a complex scene with just a prompt seems still a few years off though.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by BoorishBears on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:15PM (#35819786)
I have SD up on a machine with a 3090 and it can't produce output half as good as MJ without a ton of work.

I use SD to augment MJ, like fixing hands with specific LORAs for example, so I definitely appreciate that it exists. But for actually creating a full image in one shot, they're not even comparable.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:18PM (#35820718)
That seems to depend on your use case. Frankly, I don't have much use for either of them but Midjourney was much closer.

I've twice spent a couple of hours unsuccessfully trying to generate a simple background image that would be blurred out when rendering 3D models. SD out-of-the-box was far worse, but Midjourney still was not up to the task. It's incredible how well they can generate images of nearly any subject/object and make some changes to the style and placement, but trying to precisely achieve critical broad-stroke things like like perspective, sizing, lighting direction/amount/temperature, etc. was far too cumbersome. Prompt refining is just like having a program with a bunch of nebulous undocumented menu entries that you just have to click on to see what they do rather than just giving you the tools to make what you need to make. Was that the right entry or the wrong entry? Who knows! Maybe just try it again to see if it works better!

There's a fundamental disconnect between professional-level and consumer-level tools. Consumer tools must be approachable, easy to use, quickly yield appealing results, affordable, and require little maintenance. Professional tools need to be precise, reliable, capable of repeated results with the most demanding tasks, and easily serviceable into perfect working order.

These are consumer-level tools. If you merely need a cool picture of a space ship done in such and such style with such and such guns blah blah blah (that for some reason always looks 10%-50% Thomas Kinkaid,) these tools are great, but they abstract away the controls that really matter in professional work. Novices who get overwhelmed by all of those factors love it because they don't understand, and probably don't care about what they're giving up. For serious work, aside from getting inspo images or maybe generating deliberately weird bits of whatever, they're hit-or-miss at best. Without exception, doing a rough mock-up in a modelling program took FAR less time than trying to wrangle exactly what I needed from one of those generators.

I'm sure they'll get there someday but right now they're miles away from being professional-quality image generation tools.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:31PM (#35820902)
I will say though that low-effort higher-volume professionals (e.g. mobile game mills, Fiverrrr designers) will likely profit from these tools once they can out-compete cheap online assets from stock images/models/etc. but they're so not there yet.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jstarfish on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:48PM (#35821130)
> Without exception, doing a rough mock-up in a modelling program took FAR less time than trying to wrangle exactly what I needed from one of those generators.

I think a lot of people have unrealistic expectations of the tech-- they think they can get exactly what they want if they are articulate enough in describing it with words.

Feed your rough mock-up to img2img (or use inpaint sketch) and you'll land much closer to where you're trying to go.

It's a power tool. It will do tedious manual work (producing art) very quickly. The difference between professionals and consumers in how they use it is that the professional asks the machine to "finish what I started," whereas the consumer tells the machine to "do all of the work for me."

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:39PM (#35821738)
I tried img2img. It will do rough finishing work but it won't take some lighting vectors and match my lighting. It won't shift the viewpoint by 18 degrees. It puts a smooth sheen on rough work with broad stroke needs and that's valuable in some cases, but it is not a general-purpose professional tool.

Canva fits most people's needs but it only fits the needs of a narrow slice of professionals. Trying to use it for professional work takes vastly more time and effort than using a proper professional tool. LaTeX fits academic paper publisher's needs and can pump out formatted and laid-out text far quicker than someone using InDesign but you'd go crazy trying to assemble a modern magazine or high-end book. It doesn't need polish or sheen. It needs something fundamentally structurally different.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jstarfish on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:45PM (#35822520)
Fair enough. Your 3D modeling needs might be a bit advanced for the current state of things. It works pretty well for flat graphic design, stock photo or illustration purposes.

I'm holding out for an instruct-based model that will take explicit instructions, or at least layered prompts. Mutating the original prompt along with the picture (or changing the entire thing to only describe certain parts, a la inpainting) is frustrating to me.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Thursday May 04, 2023 @07:27PM (#35823459)
That's just one specific example of why it fails as a high-level general professional tool. Even for tasks like straight-up photo finishing... might be OK for making some neat thing or adding some generated detail to a phone shot but no way that's going to finish someone's professionally shot photos. It might replace Fiverr graphic design that was probably done with a template but real graphic design has conceptual meaning. Making the actual assets is the easy part.

I think what most developers don't realize is that creating media, even snazzy, captivating images, is a tiny portion of the work commercial artists and designers do beyond Fiverr or the people working at sign shops. We've got bazillions of stock photos, asset stores, etc. etc. etc. available at our fingertips at a pretty low cost... and we use them, just as we'll use AI generated images in our processes... Just not for anything that actually matters. Reducing art and design to what so many people have is nearly akin to reducing coding to how fast someone can generate code regardless of it's suitability for the purpose. I could go into Adobe Illustrator and make most of the vector art you see on the net in a few minutes. Knowing what needs to go on the screen, exactly how it needs to go on the screen, and the effects of putting it there, what it communicates and to whom, etc. etc. etc. are the hard parts. You could have a tool that would instantly translate millions of pretty images from someone's imagination in a matter of milliseconds but that's not going to make them useful for communication or anything else.

So very much of this hype is people simply assuming that they understand something that they don't. And that's why the UIs for most FOSS applications suck yet the project contributors will defend them like their own children.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ChatGTP on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:47PM (#35824038)
I think a lot of people have unrealistic expectations of the tech-- they think they can get exactly what they want if they are articulate enough in describing it with words

Who's fault is this though? The hype is absolutely hysterical.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Thursday May 04, 2023 @09:49PM (#35824399)
Thanks! That's pretty neat. The sample images look a bit overwrought like a lot of other AI images do but I'll bet they're doing that to follow the trend rather than it being a technical limitation.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @07:36AM (#35827928)
Wrong thread?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Friday May 05, 2023 @02:45PM (#35833536)
yep. Really need to stop commenting when I'm waiting on after-hours compiles.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jamilton on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:47PM (#35822557)
ControlNet helps a lot with composition and lighting (https://sandner.art/create-atmospheric-effects-in-stable-dif...). It requires more work than just entering a prompt, but probably less work than doing it manually once you get used to it. I think there's a number of StableDiffusion clients in development that are trying to make this easier.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Friday May 05, 2023 @02:45PM (#35833541)
Ha... I accidentally replied to the wrong comment. Anyway, thanks! That's pretty neat. The sample images look a bit overwrought like a lot of other AI images do but I'll bet they're doing that to follow the trend rather than it being a technical limitation.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @08:10AM (#35828220)
Classical professional tools like Photoshop have a lot less potential though. They are very precise, but (I assume) they have barely advanced in the past decade. Tools based on generative AI will probably improve massively over the next few years. Most such tools seem currently based on Stable Diffusion, and apparently OpenAI/Midjourney/Google have zero interest in supporting such tools. But this could change soon, e.g. when Adobe tries to compete with the SD ecosystem.

We already now see deepfakes (e.g. of Trump or the Pope, recently even videos) that a far beyond what we saw in the years before, indicating that the old professional tools weren't so powerful after all. Now if we extrapolate this a few years into the future...

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Friday May 05, 2023 @07:57PM (#35836582)
You assume wrong. What these tools offer is constantly churning. Far faster than ever before and Photoshop has been around for over 30 years. They release updates constantly. Photoshop got AI filters like detail enhancement for zooming a few years ago. Automatic object detection, content-aware delete, etc. etc etc. a few years before that. That's only what I can recall off the top of my head for Photoshop alone, but it's such a giant environment that even most of their own product people probably couldn't tell you off the cuff. In areas like video compositing, tools like Nuke are developing tools with these capabilities even more quickly... and they better when the cheap license costs $3500/yr.

As I mentioned in another comment, so much of this hype is based on developers assuming they understand something that they don't. I've indulged in this hubris as a developer but straddling both sides of this line has been illuminating.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Saturday May 06, 2023 @02:56PM (#35844304)
Well, Adobe at least seems headed to fully embrace the generative AI hype now:

https://www.adobe.com/sensei/generative-ai/firefly.html

This sounds all very similar to the Stable Diffusion tool chain, though probably cloud based and with a more intuitive UI on top.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chefandy on Saturday May 06, 2023 @04:00PM (#35844865)
All of these technologies are being integrated into professional toolkits in ways that make sense when they're polished enough to be professionally useful... and for the foreseeable future, that's how it will stay. Beyond the high-volume low-effort work on places like Fiverr, commercial artists and designers are valuable for their ability to think conceptually and make the artistic decisions about what goes on the screen, where, and why. The how is an implementation detail. Designers dropped balsamiq in favor of sketch in no time flat, and then dropped sketch in favor of figma even more quickly. Adobe XD, capable and included for free in an ecosystem they already use, it's barely in the conversation. These are fields where people readily adopt new technology that suits their needs but the current tools aren't even in the ballpark.

Being able to quickly generate and iterate on assets is great for inspiration but pretty useless for professional output without fine-tuned, predictable, repeatable controls. These tools will simply integrate with existing professional tools until they can do it better.

Imagine the first person to make an electric saw made some automated thing that could cut the wood to make a cool looking flat pack house somewhere in the neighborhood of your specifications in 5 minutes. The caveats: while it would assemble perfectly, the actual angles of the cuts might be unpredictable... Like 40 and 50 degrees rather than 45 and 45, and the layout was never quite what you expect even if it was OK more often than not. Pros knew those were fundamentally deal breakers for professional work, and remained more professionally useful with their hand saws because they had the required precision, control, and predictability. While enthusiasts were gong crazy exploring all of the different kinds of oh-so-slightly wonky structures they could generate and predicting the end of carpentry, the old school saw companies started making circular saws, chop saws, drills, and the like. The market for handyman-built dog houses, sheds and playhouses would immediately be lost to the automated machine but I guarantee you that all consequential work would still be done by carpenters with power tools.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Saturday May 06, 2023 @07:40PM (#35846411)
I agree that for the foreseeable future designers / commerical artists will have to overall decide "what goes on the screen, where, and why", but not anymore for all smaller scale details. Generative AI automates creativity at least to some extent, which is qualitatively different from past developments. The example with the island tortoise on the Adobe website is not a real demo, but it doesn't seem far away.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by contravert on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:55PM (#35821209)
I just want to add my $0.02 currently working at a games studio that is integrating AI generated art into our art pipelines.

Midjourney definitely generates really high quality art based on simple prompts, but the inability to really customize the output basically kills its utility.

We heavily use Stable Diffusion with specific models and ControlNet to get customizable and consistent results. Our artists also need to extensively tweak and post-process the output, and re-run it again in Stable Diffusion.

This entire workflow is definitely beyond a Discord-based interface to say the least.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jononor on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:16PM (#35821479)
If you would give a talk about this, I would watch it - despite being out of the graphics for almost 10 years now. Really want to hear from the trenches about the workflows, benefits and challenges you have.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by pjgalbraith on Thursday May 04, 2023 @07:57PM (#35823704)
Here is a test I did the other day of rough sketch (hand drawn) -> clean line work (AI) -> coloured (AI). This workflow gives 100% control over the output because you can easily adjust the linework in the intermediary step.

https://twitter.com/P_Galbraith/status/1649317290926825473?c...

This is using Stable Diffusion and the Control Net Lineart Model. The coloured version is pretty rough but it was a quick test.

In my opinion Stable Diffusion is vastly superior to Midjourney if you have the skill to provide input to img2img/ControlNet.

I have some other earlier workflow experiments on Youtube if you're interested in this kind of thing https://www.youtube.com/pjgalbraith

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by netdur on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:53PM (#35821903)
use https://github.com/deep-floyd/IF, it uses LLM to generate exact art you need.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jamilton on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:39PM (#35822449)
The image quality of DeepFloyd is much lower than Stable Diffusion 1.5 though, it's a pretty major tradeoff. Can definitely be part of the workflow since it really is good at composition, but right now it's not a replacement.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jelling on Thursday May 04, 2023 @07:21PM (#35823406)
Deep Floyd doesn't allow commercial usage, such as a game studio using it.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by zirgs on Friday May 05, 2023 @04:22AM (#35826644)
They said that they will change the licence for the final version IIRC.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by exodust on Thursday May 04, 2023 @11:18PM (#35824844)
> AI generated art into our art pipelines

I'd be interested to know where the art ends up in the game? Do you mean 2D backgrounds and billboards in-game? Or are we talking cut-scenes and menu screen art?

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tomng on Monday May 08, 2023 @02:46PM (#35865487)
Really curious about the challenges you've been seeing as your art team's been trying to integrate AI generated art into your pipeline.

Excited by the potential for artists to accelerate their creative process with advances like ControlNet, but makes sense there's a lot frustrating about the process today.

Exploring tools that might help. If you might be interested in chatting, email me at [email protected]. Thanks!

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by yieldcrv on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:48PM (#35821841)
Midjourney retrains itself, I have one click installer apps for SD, Midjourney and the live prompt community is very good

None of this stuff is copyrightable so I dont care that its not private

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by coffeebeqn on Thursday May 04, 2023 @07:12PM (#35823335)
Midjourney is more niche. It’s great at photographs, digital art, concept art, game art and everything in that sphere. Because that’s what it was trained on. So it has a specific style. Dall-E in comparison produces kind of garbage looking pictures of many more styles
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by visarga on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:41PM (#35819287)
> users will go to whoever has the best model

Depends. If you want a script that will summarise and read your news feeds in the morning, or your email, you might prefer the slightly less intelligent but private models.

Or if you are batch processing NLP jobs, then you're better off with a fine-tuned small model (<15B). Faster, private, no restrictions.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by mirekrusin on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:42PM (#35819301)
If you think you can use GPT-4 then you don't know what you're talking about.

API access is on waitlist.

UI has limit of 25 messages in 3 hours.

If you think big, known companies can get ahead of the waitlist and use it - short answer is no, they can't because of their IP. Nobody is going to sign off leaking out all internal knowledge to play with something.

ClosedAI seems to have big problem with capacity.

Those poems about your colleague's upcoming birthday do burn a lot of GPU cycles.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by realusername on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:36PM (#35820103)
That's also why I think OpenAI is in a tough spot in the long run. They just threw as much expensive hardware as they could to build this moat. There's basically two things which can happen from now on:

- Some scalability breakthrough will appear, if that's the case their moat disappears pretty much instantly and the cost of LLMs will plunge close to zero being a commodity. That's the future I'm betting on from what's happening now.

- No scalability breakthrough will appear and then it means that they will have a hard time to expand further as seen as the gpt4 limited access.

Either way, they are in a tough spot.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Closi on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:30PM (#35820011)
Pretty easy to get API access, I got it within a few days. Aware this is a sample of one, but also can’t believe they fast tracked me.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by rolisz on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:42PM (#35820187)
It took me several weeks to get access. I just got it today.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by dwringer on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:45PM (#35821098)
I've been waiting a little over a month with no update so far, but I don't expect any sort of fast track since I'm not currently a paying customer.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Closi on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:55PM (#35821932)
Are you using the gpt3 api?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by int_19h on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:18PM (#35821509)
Big, known companies are already getting their GPT-4 fix via Azure OpenAI Service, where they can get meaningful guarantees for their data, and even on-prem if they really want it.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by computerex on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:12PM (#35823826)
We have gpt-4 deployed to production being used by fortune 100 labels.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by toyg on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:26PM (#35819039)
> Linux won in servers and supercomputing, but not in end user computing

"End user computing" these days means mobile, and mobile is dominated by Linux (in Apple's case BSD, but we're splitting hair) and Chrome/WebKit - which began as KHTML.

The only area where opensource failed is the desktop, and that's also because of Microsoft's skill in defending their moats.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by kenjackson on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:35PM (#35819197)
The kernel isn't the OS/environment. Distiling iOS to BSD is just not useful in the context of this discussion.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by toyg on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:53PM (#35821901)
The kernel is absolutely the OS, the desktop environment is an interface to it.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by kenjackson on Thursday May 04, 2023 @06:11PM (#35822826)
The kernel is part of it. But it's not all of it. Again, especially in the context of this discussion.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tremon on Thursday May 04, 2023 @06:31PM (#35822992)
Is e.g. libc part of the OS, or the desktop environment?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by wahnfrieden on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:27PM (#35819058)
GPT4 sucks for many use cases because it's SLOW. It will co-exist with ChatGPT variants.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jquery on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:44PM (#35819326)
It's about using the right tool for the right job. GPT-4 is an incredibly versatile generalist tool and a fantastic jack of all trades. However, this comes with some drawbacks. While saying it 'sucks' might be an exaggeration, I generally concur with the point you're making.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by wahnfrieden on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:44PM (#35821075)
It's no exaggeration that it sucks for certain use cases where you would expect and can achieve near-realtime response, and that's fine because it's not built for that use case. I'm responding to someone saying it's always best if you can afford it
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by happycube on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:45PM (#35819349)
And far more expensive than ChatGPT via API, so it makes sense to use ChatGPT3.5, or the locally run equivalents once they get as good, as much as possible.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chaxor on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:04PM (#35819632)
It's quite fast if you use it at ~4 AM in the US. There's definitely a cycle in time. Putting things in a queue to run while you sleep is a good work around.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by yesimahuman on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:38PM (#35820990)
Yea 3.5 is more than good enough for a whole slew of tasks (especially code), and it's ridiculously fast. I rarely find the need to use 4 but certainly if there was a usecase it was significantly better at that mattered to me, I would.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by nabakin on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:45PM (#35819339)
I think the best situation is when a company will perform an expensive but high value task that the open source community can't and then give it back to them for further iterations and development. If the community isn't able to perform a high value task again, a company steps in, does it, and gives it back to the community to restart the process.

In this way, everyone's skills are being leveraged to innovate at a rapid pace.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ilyt on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:45PM (#35819343)
> The point I'm wanting to make is that users will go to whoever has the best model. So, the winning strategy is whatever strategy allows your model to compound in quality faster and to continue to compound that growth in quality for longer.

Best only works till second best is "close enough" and cheaper/free

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by bilbo0s on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:06PM (#35819661)
It's likely they will all be free in time. That's kind of the problem underlying the consternation here.

It's the internet all over again. How do you win the race to the bottom?

Once there

How do you compete effectively with free? Microsoft and Amazon will have billions on billions coming in to float their free offerings for what is effectively eternity in business terms. Probably Google and Meta will as well. What happens to everyone else?

I think you have to be in some niche market where you can charge. Because for everyone else, free is unsustainable.

Porn maybe? But there will be way too many competitors there. So something more like medical. Or semiconductors. Or construction or something.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ilyt on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:00PM (#35821274)
> It's likely they will all be free in time. That's kind of the problem underlying the consternation here.

That what I was getting to. Paid only makes sense if you're willing to provide stuff that OSS lacks, which is either "super specialized things not many people want to OSS" or, well good looking UI... (there seem to be massive lack of any UI/UX people vs developers in near anything OSS).

AI is neither so it will be commoditized and mostly run in few OSS projects, and probably for the best, the only thing worse than anyone having access to "near free copywriter bot that will write about anything you tell it to" is only people with money having access and control over it.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by LordDragonfang on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:51PM (#35819444)
Midjourney is more popular because it takes zero technical know-how compared to SD (even with A1111 it took me nearly an hour to walk my competent-but-layman brother through installing it) and doesn't require a high-end gaming PC to run it. (DALL-E lost because they let MJ eat their lunch)
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by dragonwriter on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:04PM (#35819623)
> Midjourney is more popular because it takes zero technical know-how compared to SD

Both take zero technical knowledge to use the base models via first-party online hosts, but Midjourney is superior there.

SD offers a lot more capacity beyond what is available from the first-party online host, though, while with Midjourney, that’s where it begins and ends, there is nothing more.

> and doesn’t require a high-end gaming PC to run it.

Neither does SD (I use a couple-year-old business laptop with a 4GB Nvidia card; no sane person would call it a “highend gaming PC” to run A1111 locally, and there are options besides running it locally.)

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:41PM (#35822477)
> DALL-E lost because they let MJ eat their lunch

I wonder why nobody is talking about Bing Image Creator

https://www.bing.com/images/create

which uses some much more advanced version of Dall-E 2 in the background (so Dall-E 2.5? 3?), while being completely free to use. It can produce some pretty mind blowing results with quite simple prompts, although apparently not as impressive as Midjourney V5. A few examples:

hyperrealistic https://www.bing.com/images/create/hyperrealistic/644fa0c48f...

an allegory for femininity https://www.bing.com/images/create/an-allegory-for-femininit...

portrait of a strange woman, hyperrealistic https://www.bing.com/images/create/portrait-of-a-strange-wom...

allegory of logic, portrait https://www.bing.com/images/create/allegory-of-logic2c-portr...

her strange bedfellow https://www.bing.com/images/create/her-strange-bedfellow/644...

Mrs fox https://www.bing.com/images/create/mrs-fox/6446e85a32134e649...

inside view https://www.bing.com/images/create/inside-view/6446f1dc573f4...

in the midst of it all https://www.bing.com/images/create/in-the-midst-of-it-all/64...

strange gal https://www.bing.com/images/create/strange-gal/6446e2a2ea7a4...

sighting of a strange entity in an abandoned library https://www.bing.com/images/create/sighting-of-a-strange-ent...

sleeping marble woman next to a wall of strange pictures inside an abandoned museum, close-up https://www.bing.com/images/create/sleeping-marble-woman-nex...

sculpture of a woman posing next to a wall of strange pictures, close-up https://www.bing.com/images/create/sculpture-of-a-woman-posi...

Easter https://www.bing.com/images/create/easter/643ae4968aff432684...

Christmas on board a spaceship, DSLR photograph https://www.bing.com/images/create/christmas-on-board-a-spac...

an angel, dancing to heavy metal https://www.bing.com/images/create/an-angel2c-dancing-to-hea...

Saturday afternoon in the streets of a buzzing cyberpunk city, photo-realistic, DSLR https://www.bing.com/images/create/saturday-afternoon-in-the...

The Dogfather https://www.bing.com/images/create/the-dogfather/6441d18950b...

the unlikely guest https://www.bing.com/images/create/the-unlikely-guest/644446...

Strange pictures in an abandoned museum https://www.bing.com/images/create/strange-pictures-in-an-ab...

strange woman in an abandoned museum, close-up https://www.bing.com/images/create/strange-woman-in-an-aband...

strange woman in an abandoned museum, strange pictures in the background https://www.bing.com/images/create/strange-woman-in-an-aband...

a wall of strange pictures in an abandoned museum in Atlantis, close-up https://www.bing.com/images/create/a-wall-of-strange-picture...

female sculpture in an abandoned museum in Atlantis, close-up https://www.bing.com/images/create/female-sculpture-in-an-ab...

the unlikely guest https://www.bing.com/images/create/the-unlikely-guest/644490...

an unlikely guest of the secret society in the lost city in a country without name, close-up https://www.bing.com/images/create/an-unlikely-guest-of-the-...

I think the quality of most of these pictures is far beyond what is achievable with Dall-E 2. One issue that still exists (though to s lesser extent) is the fact that faces have to cover a fairly large area of the image. Smaller faces look strange, e.g. here:

photograph of the unlikely guests https://www.bing.com/images/create/photograph-of-the-unlikel...

It is as if the model creates a good draft in low resolution, and another model scales it up, but the latter model doesn't know what a face is? (I have no idea how diffusion models actually work.)

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by throw_nbvc1234 on Friday May 05, 2023 @08:03PM (#35836616)
"Use of Creations. Subject to your compliance with this Agreement, the Microsoft Services Agreement, and our Content Policy, you may use Creations outside of the Online Services for any legal personal, non-commercial purpose."

Probably not the only factor but could be one.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Saturday May 06, 2023 @08:04PM (#35846551)
> US law states that intellectual property can be copyrighted only if it was the product of human creativity, and the USCO only acknowledges work authored by humans at present. Machines and generative AI algorithms, therefore, cannot be authors, and their outputs are not copyrightable.

https://www.theregister.com/AMP/2023/03/16/ai_art_copyright_...

So the images can also be used commercially, and this holds as much for Microsoft as for Midjourney. (Though note that Microsoft isn't denying the usage for commercial purposes, though they made it sound as if they did.)

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by seydor on Thursday May 04, 2023 @01:58PM (#35819531)
None of the models will "win" because it is just a foundation. Google won because they leveeraged the linux ecosystem to build a monetizable business with a moat on top of it. The real moat will be some specific application on top of LLMs
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by MetaWhirledPeas on Thursday May 04, 2023 @02:33PM (#35820046)
> Linux won in servers and supercomputing, but not in end user computing.

Pardon the side discussion, but I think this is because of a few things.

1. OS-exclusive "killer apps" (Office, anything that integrates with an iPhone)

2. Games

The killer apps have better alternatives now, and games are starting to work better on Linux. Microsoft's business model no longer requires everyone to use Windows. (Mac is another story.) So I think that, at least for non-Macolytes, Linux end user dominance is certainly on the horizon.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by flerchin on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:30PM (#35820875)
This year is the year of the Linux Desktop!

I kid. I've been primarily a Linux Desktop user for 20 years.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by importantbrian on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:56PM (#35821218)
Linux did kind of win for end user computing. Android is based on a modified linux kernel.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tontomath on Thursday May 04, 2023 @03:31PM (#35820910)
I think that pouring a lot of money in open source, by bounties or crowdfunding can accelerate open source alternatives to closed LLMs. Perhaps a middle way in which software will be declared open source six month from now can give enough compensation to those institutions contributing big money for developing LLM technology. That is a crowdfunding in which the great contributors have a limited time to be compensated, but capping the total prize just like that of chatgpt 3.5 or 4 depending of the model.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by reissbaker on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:03PM (#35821308)
GPT-4 is so much better for complex tasks that I wouldn't use anything else. Trying to get 3.5 to do anything complicated is like pulling teeth, and using something worse than 3.5... Oof.

TBH this feels like cope from Google; Bard is embarrassingly bad and they expected to be able to compete with OpenAI. In my experience, despite their graph in the article that puts them ahead of Vicuna-13B, they're actually behind... And you can't even use Bard as a developer, there's no API!

But GPT-4 is so, so much better. It's not clear to me that individual people doing LoRa at home is going to meaningfully close the gap in terms of generalized capability — at least, not faster than OpenAI itself improves its models. Similarly, StableDiffusion's image quality progress has in my experience stalled out, whereas Midjourney continues to dramatically improve every couple months, and easily beats SD. Open source isn't a magic bullet for quality.

Edit: re: the complaints about Midjourney's UI being Discord — sure, that definitely constrains what you can do with it, but OpenAI's interface isn't Discord, it has an API. And you can fine-tune the GPT-3 models programmatically too, and although they haven't opened that up to GPT-4 yet, IME you can't fine-tune your way to GPT-4 quality anyway with anything.

"There's no moat" and "OpenAI is irrelevant" feel like the cries of the company that's losing to OpenAI and wants to save face on the way out. Getting repeated generational improvements without the dataset size and compute scale of a dedicated, well-capitalized company is going to be very tough. As a somewhat similar data+compute problem, I can't think of an open-source project that effectively dethroned Google Search, for example... At least, not by being better at search (you can argue that maybe LLMs are dethroning Google, but on the other hand, it's not the open source models that are the best at that, it's closed-source GPT-4).

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ineedasername on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:18PM (#35821512)
Yes, I'd readily pay for GPT-4 access, though not the limited 25 requests per 3 hours version. I ponied up $20 for a month of usage to check it out, and it performs head & shoulders above 3.5 in its ability to comprehensively address more complex prompts and provide output that is more nuanced than ChatGPT.

I'll also point out that paid api access to 3.5 (davinci-03) is frequently better than ChatGPT's use of 3.5. You get many fewer restrictions, and none the "awe shucks, I'm just a little 'ol LLM and so I couldn't possibly answer that".

If you're frustrated by having to go to great lengths to prompt engineer and ask ChatGPT to "pretend" then it's worth it to pay for API access. I'm just frustrated that I can't use the GPT-4 API the same way yet (waitlist)

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by reissbaker on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:29PM (#35821635)
I hear ya! I'm out here dying on the GPT-4 API waitlist too. I use gpt-3.5-turbo's API extensively, and occasionally copy my prompts into GPT-4's web UI and watch as it just flawlessly does all the things 3.5 struggles with. Very frustrating since I don't have GPT-4 API access, but also very, very impressive. It's not even remotely close.

I pay the $20 for ChatGPT Plus (aka, GPT-4 web interface access); personally I find it useful enough to be worth paying for, even in its rate-limited state. It already replaces Google for anything complex for me. I wish I could pay for the API too, and use it in my projects.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by moffkalast on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:59PM (#35822682)
GPT 4 really shows how absolutely terrible regular web search is at finding anything these days. Another complete embarrassment for Google.

Often times it can just recite things from memory that Google can't even properly link to, and they've got a proper index to work from for fucks sake.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by Joeri on Friday May 05, 2023 @01:45AM (#35825617)
The last time I tried to find a plumber in my local area through google I realized that the first three pages of results contained zero actual results. It was a mix of ads and seo spam from scammers. I ended up going to ddg and while there was plenty of seo spam there too, I found several good results on the first two pages.

Google has the technology and talent to relaunch themselves in a leadership position, but the current executive team doesn’t seem to have what it takes. They’re custodians / accountants, running the company a bit like Microsoft in the Ballmer era. What google needs to do now is leap ahead, and I don’t see it happening without a leadership change.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chankstein38 on Friday May 05, 2023 @01:07PM (#35832177)
Amen. I have basically stopped using Google at this point because, when I do, the results are all garbage. I ask GPT-4 the same questions and get reliable mostly accurate answers. You do have to be cautious of lies/hallucinations but realistically most of Google's results now adays are sales pages masked as helpful articles that are mostly full of crap anyway.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by tominous on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:30PM (#35823930)
I was dying on the GPT-4 API waitlist too. I built a proof-of-concept with GPT-3.5, got some ada embeddings, played around with some common patterns for a couple of weeks, spent less than $20. I then applied to the waitlist again with a few short sentences about what I'd done, how GPT-4 would make it better, and how it would enable something new and valuable for a particular market. Approved that day.

It's not exactly a shortcut, and maybe it was just luck, but I suspect the key is just to start building with what you have and show a trajectory. The best part is that coding with ChatGPT-4 as a "colleague" has made the whole thing super fun.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by reissbaker on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:34PM (#35823963)
Sadly I did the same, but am still waitlisted. I do enjoy GPT-4 as a colleague though.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by reissbaker on Sunday May 07, 2023 @06:16AM (#35849913)
Wow, two days after I posted this I got off the waitlist. :D
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by irthomasthomas on Friday May 05, 2023 @09:14AM (#35828810)
I just got access. If you want, you can email me some prompts to test, ^ @gmail.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ineedasername on Friday May 05, 2023 @08:04PM (#35836623)
Thanks you for the offer, but I’m extremely conscious of avoiding a direct link from my comments here to who I am.

Maybe it’s a bit too paranoid, I don’t know, but I’ve also been open here about my workplace experiences, if someone who knew my irl connection to them and decided to comb through my comments, in a way that my HR dept among others might not quite appreciate. Maybe I should setup a separate HN account connected to me Professionally for that sort of thing.

Also my use case for GPT-4 is data analysis. Using the paid “plus” version shows a lot of promise for quickly bootstrapping data exploration and consumption as a jumping off point for more detailed digging. Via the chat interface it can ingest very small aggregate datasets and spit out observations that only myself and my boss have the domain name expertise to produce in my organization. but the Chat interface is highly limited and often truncates even small (faked but plausible) data, so I really want API access, because it involves sensitive info I couldn’t put into the chat site or responsibly share with someone outside my org.

But really, thanks for the offer. What are you working on with it?

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by obiefernandez on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:49PM (#35821858)
If you're technical just get yourself OpenAI API access which is super cheap and hook it up to your own self-hosted ChatGPT clone like https://github.com/magma-labs/magma-chat

The wait for GPT-4 is not as long as it used to be, and when you're using the API directly there's no censorship.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ineedasername on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:46PM (#35822537)
Yep, I use the paid API, and it’s a lot more flexible than ChatGPT. I’d didn’t know about the self-hosted interface though: that will be my project for tomorrow morning, thanks!

I’ve been on the GPT-4 waitlist for about 6 weeks, but I’m not sure what the typical wait is.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by DesiLurker on Thursday May 04, 2023 @06:22PM (#35822902)
.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by rcpt on Thursday May 04, 2023 @07:37PM (#35823556)
> when you're using the API directly there's no censorship.

Wait seriously?

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ineedasername on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:16PM (#35823847)
There’s a bit. When I used the openai playground I have received warnings about response potentially being bad, but using the API directly I don’t even get warnings like that.

Testing things out, it will produce vile and hateful content on demand. However it won’t say anything. If I specifically tell it to use some words I get the same type of content warning but also an extra note about those words, and that I have to contact openai support if my use case truly requires their use.

There’s also the fact that using or distributing such content is against TOS, so I suppose could simply ban you

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by reissbaker on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:19PM (#35823862)
Not exactly. The "censorship" is the RLHF tuning in the chat models as far as I understand it; the API for the chat models is the same AFAIK. The base models don't have censorship, but there are no base models available for API access for GPT-4, only a chat model. You can use the GPT-3-era base models, but, well, they're not as good as GPT-4.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @06:08AM (#35827249)
Or you go to Microsoft Azure and use the GPT-3.5 base model: code-davinci-002.

Though they could still use "observational" censorship there, i.e. analyze your prompt with a different model. OpenAI does that, not sure about Microsoft.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ineedasername on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:19PM (#35823868)
Magma wants me to use my google credentials to login. I’ll pass on that, it shouldn’t be required in anything self hosted which makes me distrust it a bit right off the bat.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by chillfox on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:34PM (#35823959)
"just get yourself OpenAI API access"

Could you please describe how one "just" do that? I have been on the GPT-4 API waitlist since it was announced and I still don't have access to the GPT-4 API.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by taf2 on Friday May 05, 2023 @05:12AM (#35826930)
Try again it’s very likely you will have better results if you try to ask more then once…
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by QkPrsMizkYvt on Friday May 05, 2023 @03:47AM (#35826421)
Did you come across some other self-hosted ChatGPT clones that you can recommend?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by artdigital on Thursday May 04, 2023 @10:47PM (#35824691)
> I'll also point out that paid api access to 3.5 (davinci-03) is frequently better than ChatGPT's use of 3.5. You get many fewer restrictions, and none the "awe shucks, I'm just a little 'ol LLM and so I couldn't possibly answer that".

Little correction - 3.5 is not davinci. davinci is 3.0, 3.5-turbo (chatgpt) is a davinci variant that has been tuned and adjusted for chatting and conversation, including all those restrictions. It is much faster than davinci, way cheaper but as you know, results are… ok

davinci (3.0) is more untuned, slower, more expensive to use, not conversational, but can yield much better quality

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by user_named on Friday May 05, 2023 @12:43AM (#35825304)
Turbo and davinci should be equally non-conversational. When you use GhatGPT it also has InstructGPT on top of turbo which is what makes it conversational, together with RLHF.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @06:04AM (#35827209)
No, see neighboring comment.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cubefox on Friday May 05, 2023 @06:03AM (#35827198)
> Little correction - 3.5 is not davinci. davinci is 3.0, 3.5-turbo (chatgpt) is a davinci variant that has been tuned and adjusted for chatting and conversation, including all those restrictions.

Little correction of the correction. The base models are:

davinci = GPT-3

code-davinci-002 = GPT-3.5

They do only text completion and do not natively answer to instructions. There are also instruction tuned versions of the latter, e.g. text-davinci-003 and gpt-3.5-turbo-0301 (used in ChatGPT). See

https://platform.openai.com/docs/model-index-for-researchers

Note that code-davinci-002 is no longer available via the OpenAI API, but it is still on Azure. The GPT-4 base model is generally unavailable. Too powerful perhaps.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by irthomasthomas on Friday May 05, 2023 @09:11AM (#35828779)
I have access. If you want to collaborate, or just test a few prompt ideas, you can email me @gmail
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by ineedasername on Saturday May 06, 2023 @03:10AM (#35838937)
I’m pasting my response to someone else who made the same kind offer:

Thanks you for the offer, but I’m extremely conscious of avoiding a direct link from my comments here to who I am. Maybe it’s a bit too paranoid, I don’t know, but I’ve also been open here about my workplace experiences, if someone who knew my irl connection to them and decided to comb through my comments, in a way that my HR dept among others might not quite appreciate. Maybe I should setup a separate HN account connected to me Professionally for that sort of thing. Also my use case for GPT-4 is data analysis. Using the paid “plus” version shows a lot of promise for quickly bootstrapping data exploration and consumption as a jumping off point for more detailed digging. Via the chat interface it can ingest very small aggregate datasets and spit out observations that only myself and my boss have the domain name expertise to produce in my organization. but the Chat interface is highly limited and often truncates even small (faked but plausible) data, so I really want API access, because it involves sensitive info I couldn’t put into the chat site or responsibly share with someone outside my org. But really, thanks for the offer. What are you working on with it?

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by karmasimida on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:07PM (#35821376)
GPT-4 is a must if tool using is your goal.

GPT-3.5, I think it is mostly suitable for:

1. Quick documentation lookup for non-essential facts

2. Lightweight documents writing and rewriting

3. Translation

Other use cases should go straightly to GPT-4

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by biesnecker on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:25PM (#35821582)
I use GPT-3.5 for a lot of terminology lookup, and it's generally pretty great.

"In the context of [field I'm ramping up in], what does X mean, and how is it different than Y" -- it's not as good as GPT4 but it emits so much quicker and it normally gets me where I needed to go.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by feanaro on Sunday May 07, 2023 @07:04PM (#35856434)
Ah, "tool using", the best of goals.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by joshbert on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:18PM (#35821502)
I don't feel sorry for Google, nor the big amounts of PR nonsense they're putting out there in order to try to spin their being too slow to move LLM tech to the side of the consumer. Get better or get out.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by spyckie2 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @10:10PM (#35824515)
The question is how long will it take for open source to become just as good as GPT 4? If it is 3 years, then yes, this is copium. But if it is 1 year or less, then how much is google really missing out on?

OpenAI spent 600m to improve GPT and made 200m from it and if costs dramatically fall for model development, it might be OpenAI that is shooting itself in the foot.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by p1esk on Friday May 05, 2023 @07:41AM (#35827971)
OpenAI spent 600m to improve GPT and made 200m from it

How do you know?

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by cornel_io on Friday May 05, 2023 @01:23AM (#35825496)
> And you can't even use Bard as a developer, there's no API!

There is an API for the underlying model, it's just in alpha/beta/whatever they call limited invite-only release and you have to ask your devrel team to get access. I'm guessing we'll see better models very soon.

Google is, as usual, playing catch-up, but I have no doubt once the machine gets cranking they'll be fully competitive, at least similar to how GCP is now a totally viable AWS alternative. They never lead the pack because they can't (lawyers, regulation, monopoly, etc), but they know how to commit and execute.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by SanderNL on Friday May 05, 2023 @02:24AM (#35825822)
SD and its configurability is miles and miles ahead of MJ. Sure if you want a fancy picture now it’s OK. How are you going to generate that same picture in another pose? Inpainting, outpainting.. I don’t even know where to begin. MJ is a toy compared to SD’s ecosystem.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by whywhywhywhy on Friday May 05, 2023 @10:45AM (#35829892)
>Similarly, StableDiffusion's image quality progress has in my experience stalled out, whereas Midjourney continues to dramatically improve every couple months, and easily beats SD. Open source isn't a magic bullet for quality.

MJ only does one style, and you can emulate that just fine in SD if thats what you want.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by randomdata on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:04PM (#35821316)
> Linux won in servers and supercomputing, but not in end user computing.

It seems just about every computing appliance in my home runs Linux. Then you have Android, ChromeOS, etc. which are also quite popular with end users, the first one especially. It may not have won, but I think it is safe to say that it is dominating.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by jononor on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:24PM (#35821570)
Appliances are not end user computing, but embedded computing - the OS is incidental and under full control of the manufacturer. Some might argue that even mobile phones are not sufficiently under the control of end users to qualify.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by randomdata on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:55PM (#35821937)
> Appliances are not end user computing

They are when the end user is using them. Think things like TVs or even thermostats.

> the OS is incidental and under full control of the manufacturer.

For all intents and purposes Linux has won where those conditions aren’t met.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by quijoteuniv on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:09PM (#35821397)
This is what happened with kubernetes no? Open source was about to take over so google release the code not to loose out.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by rektide on Thursday May 04, 2023 @08:31PM (#35823934)
Worthy to note, it seems like there were some incredibly dedicated hardworking engineers that drove extremely hard for a really long time to make this happen.

They did manage to get large buy in from the company after quite a significant journey. But it seems so much like a kind of outside event, something begat & pushed for not because it was a smart top down move, but because a couple super driven engineers made it their cause.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by asadotzler on Thursday May 04, 2023 @11:10PM (#35824796)
I see this often. We didn't document our efforts well at creating the OSS ecosystem that youngsters take for granted today. They attribute the efforts of some thousands of advocates that made all this happen to "market forces" or some other nonsense. OSS exists because some really dedicated hackers and their allies spent years of mostly unrewarded effort making it happen.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by kashkhan on Thursday May 04, 2023 @04:26PM (#35821600)
aren't androids linux? thats the biggest by far end user platform.

of course google doesnt want to acknowledge it too much.

https://source.android.com/

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by amon22 on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:34PM (#35822395)
> users will go to whoever has the best model

Not me, I refuse to use OpenAI products but I do sometimes use vicuna 13b when I'm coding C. It's pretty good and I'm happy to see the rapid advancement of open source LLMs. It gives me hope for the future.

> Linux won in servers and supercomputing, but not in end user computing.

I use linux on all of my computers and I love it, many of us do (obviously). I'm aware that I'm a small minority even among other developers but I think looking at just statistics misses the point. Even if the majority will just use the most approachable tool (and there is nothing wrong with that), it's important to have an alternative. For me this is the point of open software, not market domination or whatever.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by alfor on Thursday May 04, 2023 @05:44PM (#35822514)
How can a company keep up with the speed of what is happening in the open?

Open AI had years of advanced that almost vanished in a few months.

And we will see the rise of specialized models, smaller but targeted, working in team, delegating (Hugging GPT)

I would use a small and fast model that only speak english, is expert at coding an science and not much more. Then you fire up an question to another model if yours is out of it’s area.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by goatlover on Thursday May 04, 2023 @11:34PM (#35824918)
Will the average use know or want to use different models when they can just go to ChatGPT?
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by usrbinbash on Friday May 05, 2023 @10:20AM (#35829574)
The average user won't have to care when these models run as part of whatever app he is using on his device, or on the server his app uses as a backend.

Look at the first uses of StableDiffusion. It was either "you know python or you use Dall-E". Now we have one-click installers setting everything up, and nice user interfaces on top of it.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by mesh on Thursday May 04, 2023 @06:28PM (#35822961)
>The point I'm wanting to make is that users will go to whoever has the best model.

Best isn't defined just by quality though. In some instances for some groups, things like whether the model is trained on licensed content (with permission) and / or is safe for commercial use is more important.

This is one reason why Adobe's Firefly has been received relatively well. (I work for Adobe).

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by zirgs on Friday May 05, 2023 @07:23AM (#35827828)
Adobe Firefly can't be run locally and Adobe knows everything that their users generate. I can't train my own LoRAs or checkpoints. Adobe also has proven that they can't keep the data of their users secure. Which is why it's better to use something else.
Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by wokwokwok on Thursday May 04, 2023 @10:24PM (#35824590)
What?

No, what the article said was:

> At that pace, it doesn’t take long before the cumulative effect of all of these fine-tunings overcomes starting off at a size disadvantage.

>Indeed, in terms of engineer-hours, the pace of improvement from these models vastly outstrips what we can do with our largest variants, and

> the best are already largely indistinguishable from ChatGPT.

^ The author did not note chat gpt is better, the author claims that the 7B koala model is 'largely indistinguishable from ChatGPT'.

and:

> While ChatGPT still holds a slight edge, more than 50% of the time users either prefer Koala or have no preference.

Which is highly misleading.

The koala authors rated their model by passing it to 100 people using the mechanical turk, noting:

> To mitigate possible test-set leakage, we filtered out queries that have a BLEU score greater than 20% with any example from our training set. Additionally, we removed non-English and coding-related prompts, since responses to these queries cannot be reliably reviewed by our pool of raters (crowd workers).

So.

What you have is a model that performs pretty well for some trivial conversational prompting tasks.

What you DO NOT have, is something that is: "largely indistinguishable from ChatGPT".

Anyway, regardless of the creative interpretation of the authors writing, the point that I'm making is that your point:

> So, the winning strategy is whatever strategy allows your model to compound in quality faster and to continue to compound that growth in quality for longer.

Is founded on the assumption from the post that:

> While the individual fine tunings are low rank, their sum need not be, allowing full-rank updates to the model to accumulate over time.

ie. If you fine tune it enough, it'll get better and better in an unlimited fashion.

Which is provably false.

If I have a 10-parameter model, there is no possible way that the accumulation of low rank fine tunings will make it the equivalent of a 7B, 13B of 135B model.

It is simply not complex enough to do some tasks.

Similarly, smaller models like 3B or 7B model, appear to have an upper bound on what is possible to achieve with them regardless of the number of fine tunings applied to them, for the direct and obvious same reason.

There is an upper bound on what is possible, based on the model size.

The 'best' size for a model hasn't really been figured out, but... I'm getting pretty sick of people saying these 7B models are as good as 'ChatGPT'.

They. Are. Not.

People will go to the best models, with the best licenses, but... those models are, it seems, unlikely to be fine tuned smallish models.

Re:Google “We Have No Moat, and Neither Does OpenAI” by aws_ls on Friday May 05, 2023 @09:16AM (#35828836)
> Linux won in servers and supercomputing, but not in end user computing

Android is based on Linux.