p1esk
Re:William Nordhaus has died
on Saturday October 31, 2026 @04:55PM (#50320132)
Why did he believe what he claimed? Did he have any arguments to back it up?
Re:Cerebras Deploys Trillion-Parameter AI Models
on Sunday October 25, 2026 @11:19AM (#50232509)
what might be useful to you (e.g. coding) might be completely useless to 99% of the people
how are you going to afford a house when you're competing against $3.00 hr labor?
You rent a couple of robots who will build it for you for $3/hr.
Re:Dust: Pretraining Transformers Without Backpropagation
on Tuesday October 06, 2026 @05:28AM (#49976160)
And yet the best learning algorithm we have is derivative-free!
Re:AI 'godfather' LeCun has 'zero concerns' about human extinction
on Monday October 05, 2026 @02:03AM (#49961190)
It must have had shifted already by 96-97. I remember how I used it in AI discussions back then and it meant “the opposite of narrow AI”, which makes it very similar to how we use “AGI” term today. Consciousness was considered to be a potentially emergent phenomenon, not a required property.
Re:AI 'godfather' LeCun has 'zero concerns' about human extinction
on Sunday October 04, 2026 @03:40PM (#49957104)
We called it “strong AI” in the 90s
Re:Samsung is expected to more than double output of its HBM4 and HBM4...
on Sunday September 20, 2026 @04:44PM (#49779893)
People want to produce hbm because it’s more expensive and more profitable than regular memory.
Re:AI recursive self-improvement might not come so quickly after all (...
on Sunday September 13, 2026 @07:00PM (#49689631)
theres very little danger of anyone letting it go without a purpose
We literally just saw how OpenAI’s model got out and hacked HuggingFace
Re:We Must Pace the Frontier
on Saturday September 12, 2026 @03:23PM (#49676180)
We have nuclear reactors, helicopters, and self driving cars already. And we finally have powerful AI that we could only dream about just 5 years ago.
We now have everything we need to scale up humanoid robot training: algorithms, hardware, and money to buy a lot of training data/compute. Fierce competition and strong economic motivation will force rapid progress in this field.
Re:We Must Pace the Frontier
on Saturday September 12, 2026 @11:22AM (#49673249)
Meanwhile in the real world hundreds of billions are being invested into humanoid robot development. In 2-3 years my Optimus 4 will do all the gardening and plumbing I need.
Re:Cognition's SWE-2 achieves 92.8 on Terminal-Bench 2.1
on Thursday September 10, 2026 @05:06PM (#49650179)
It’s very far from Fable on benchmarks that matter, like TB4.
Re:Cognition launches new SWE-2 model, Rivaling Fable 5.1 and GPT-Astra
on Thursday September 10, 2026 @03:46PM (#49649253)
Astra is 58%. The current title says it's "rivaling Astra"
Re:On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
on Wednesday September 09, 2026 @01:41AM (#49621583)
I’ve never played against a grandmaster, but I have a feeling that he/she would play very different compared to me and would never make mistakes I could notice. Though admittedly I’m not very good at chess.
Re:On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
on Wednesday September 09, 2026 @01:37AM (#49621550)
They said they will automate AI researchers by March 2028. I personally think it will happen by March 2027.
Re:On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
on Wednesday September 09, 2026 @12:41AM (#49621090)
Could you tell the difference between a grandmaster and stockfish if playing them online? If not, why would you care which one you are playing against?
Re:Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI
on Sunday September 06, 2026 @11:33PM (#49593584)
I've hired many AI research interns (and was one many years ago), and I agree with them - frontier models are currently at the level of an "average" AI research intern.
Re:Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI
on Sunday September 06, 2026 @11:13PM (#49593453)
I'm currently running two 24/7 semi-autonomous AI research projects using Fable 5.1. It's on track to burn through my weekly quota in about 3 days. I check progress in the morning and in the evening, and provide some light steering.
Re:Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI
on Sunday September 06, 2026 @11:08PM (#49593417)
What has all this token burn done for them, actually?
They have been consistently pushing AI frontier. What other impact do you want to see? A year ago they said that in a year they will have a level of capabilities of an AI research intern - I believe they have achieved it, even before Astra.
Re:OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3
on Friday September 04, 2026 @10:22PM (#49572494)
Interesting, you think a random educated person would beat Astra on Vending-Bench 2? Honestly I would not make that bet, I think it would be 50/50.
Re:OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3
on Thursday September 03, 2026 @09:48PM (#49559543)
Ok, but a random educated person will not perform well on vast majority of specialized tasks where professionals operate. A model like Astra probably will beat random educated person performance on majority of specialized tasks. It’s getting close to the level of professionals in many domains, and to genius level on some (e.g. math).
I’m just trying to understand the implications of the current frontier model capabilities.
Re:OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3
on Thursday September 03, 2026 @07:26PM (#49558534)
Sorry, I don’t know what this means when applied to intelligence
Re:OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3
on Thursday September 03, 2026 @07:14PM (#49558439)
capability to match or surpass human intelligence across all conceivable cognitive tasks
What human intelligence do you mean? Genius? Professional? Educated? Random person? “Dumb” person?
Re:Mom Gets 6-Mo Suspended Sentence for Letting 5-Year-Old Walk to the...
on Thursday September 03, 2026 @04:00PM (#49555981)
Because it's their job to enforce rules. Don't like the rule? Go vote for someone who will change it.
Re:Mom Gets 6-Mo Suspended Sentence for Letting 5-Year-Old Walk to the...
on Thursday September 03, 2026 @03:33PM (#49555496)
I have no idea what "free society" means. Honestly.
Re:Mom Gets 6-Mo Suspended Sentence for Letting 5-Year-Old Walk to the...
on Thursday September 03, 2026 @10:27AM (#49550368)
The main lesson here is: don’t be confrontational with cops.
Re:Aging Brains Blend Memories Together Instead of Just Forgetting Them
on Wednesday September 02, 2026 @03:39PM (#49541317)
Our brain consists of approximately 86 billions quantum computers [2] controlling tens-of-thousands chemical neural networks with at least 10 coefficients
By that logic, a Blackwell GPU contains 208 billion quantum computers.
Each transistor is a quantum mechanical system and takes hundreds of model parameters to describe. So apparently a GPU is a 208-billion-node quantum supercomputer.
Re:How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
on Tuesday September 01, 2026 @10:32PM (#49531055)
Kurzweil predicted in the late 90s that we will have AGI by 2029. And ASI by 2045. Seems very likely to me.
Re:Path to Astra: critical capabilities and frontier safeguards
on Tuesday September 01, 2026 @06:53PM (#49529389)
Meanwhile Google still hasn't released Gemini Pro 3.5
Re:No Country for Mediocre Mathematicians
on Monday August 31, 2026 @09:52PM (#49517033)
Who’s saying that?
Re:No Country for Mediocre Mathematicians
on Monday August 31, 2026 @04:26PM (#49514473)
As a professional mathematician, if you’re not advancing your subfield of research consistently you are mediocre.