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Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by mbesto on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @01:49PM (#28855224)
> The main problem here is that if Williams Sonoma was not advertising on that search term, Lodge and Food52 etc etc would, and then those companies would be above the Williams Sonoma organic placements.

This is what is known as "on brand" Search ads. I like to call these effectively the "Google Tax" because publishers/retailers are forced to pay Google for the traffic they would have already received had the ad not been there.

I've seen way too many companies look at their analytics and say "see we get 20x ROAS on on brand! why would we turn it off?!?". Because silly, people are already going to go to your site without you paying for the traffic. I wouldn't be surprised if 25% of Google's ad search revenues come from this.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by worker767424 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:17PM (#28858327)
It's not a tax, it's a protection racket. You wouldn't like it if someone looking for Williams Sonoma saw results for Sur La Table, would you? Pay up.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by usrusr on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:48PM (#28858931)
Put some money on the altar, who knows what might happen if you don't. The Algorithm is only impartial until it isn't. You surely don't want to go to irrelevancy?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by vkou on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:44PM (#28858510)
An ad directing shoppers to your competitors who pay them is not a protection racket, no more than a travel agency directing travelers to businesses that they have a relationship with.

It's the entire business model of aggregators and intermediaries and middle men, which compose roughly half the world's working population.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:20PM (#28858749)
You tell a cab driver to take you to Morton's Meats and instead they take you to Shelly's Steaks (who pays them a kickback each time they do this), and then charge you for that detour to earn their kickback when you demand they take you to Morton's like you asked in the first place.

Is this appropriate behavior by the taxi driver?

Would a regular person consider this deserving of punishment?

Is Google's search results advertising bidding system ethically equivalent to this?

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by worker767424 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:12PM (#28860132)
The abuse is worse on the merchant's side, but on the consumers, it's more like getting a cab to go to Morton's Meats, instead they take you to Shelly's Steaks (because they got a kickback), then say they'll take you to Morton's for no extra charge, but tell you how great Shelly's is, and you're already at Shelly's, so is it worth the extra effort?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:41PM (#28860275)
So they're allowed to waste my time and earn a kickback, as long as they give me a free cab ride from their kickback to where I wanted to go in the first place?

That sounds like it only works if my time that they wasted for selfish gain is valued at $0, which is obviously true as far as they are concerned, but certainly isn't true to me.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by hirako2000 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @04:27AM (#28861784)
I don't defend dark patterns, it obviously is one there, but your time is worth zero when you pay zero. The analogy would be free taxi drivers taking your to their kicking back spots first. If your time is worth X, spend X. It may prove a bit difficult since the paid search engine marketplace isn't thriving. How much would you be willing to pay for a search engine that only displays organic results? There are actually free solutions easy to set up to get that from Google results, but I'm wondering since you mention value of time.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Thursday October 14, 2021 @12:59PM (#28866842)
That's a very spot-on question. How much would people pay for advertising-free results? I suspect the answer is disillusioning :(

(Also, I did not intend to imply you were supporting or defending dark patterns — my apologies.)

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by GeneralMayhem on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:01PM (#28860078)
Eh... that's not a great analogy. The equivalent of your story would be if you clicked a link for Morton's on the Google SERP and it actually redirected you to Shelly's.

What Google is doing is more like taking your destination, then asking "hey, you might like this other steakhouse more, want to give that a try instead?" before driving. Potentially annoying if the answer is always no, but... the answer isn't always no.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tshaddox on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:59PM (#28860372)
I think the analogy is pretty spot on. The whole point is that your query expresses your intent to Google. Assuming their algorithm can figure out what your intent is (it certainly can in this case) then they are intentionally acting counter to your expressed intent.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by winternett on Thursday October 14, 2021 @06:59AM (#28862701)
A point to add though that highlights the issue is that for many many years prior, Google had gotten users used to the ideal that search results were fair and not influenced by payments under the table though. The injustice is turning a free and fair situation into one of deception and payola that will likely get much worse because rising consumer cost is the end result.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by GeneralMayhem on Friday October 15, 2021 @12:29AM (#28874307)
Search isn't influenced by payments, ads are. It's not that hard to understand. If the idea of ads offends you that much, the organic results are a couple inches down.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:40PM (#28860269)
Especially annoying if they ask four or five times, as shown in that cast-iron pans screenshot.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by ianlevesque on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:34PM (#28858835)
It's a poor analogy. Google isn't taking you to the wrong website, they are showing you the alternatives at the same time as the search result you wanted.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by usui on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:47PM (#28858926)
Wait. Is thst true though? I'm a technical person, with a lot of very specific searches. Around 70% of the time, I don't actually get the results that answer what I'm looking for, no matter how many quotation marks I surround my strings and no matter if I use site:x.com, and various other Google hacks I've had to come up with to try and find my relevant results.

The reason this happens is because the Google result shows my words in the excerpt, but when I click in, there's zero percent of the content to be found. That feels like a bait-and-switch akin to the taxi analogy.

My relevant results now either don't exist, or is in an absolute sea of mind-bogglingly bad results that it wears me out such that I would rather have had no results to begin with.

In this sense, I feel like Google is absolutely purposefully showing me results that I didn't want to go to.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by kbenson on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:18PM (#28859136)
It is. If you want a more accurate analogy, it's like getting into a cab and asking to go to Morton's Meats and the cab driver saying "are you sure? I know this really great place called Shelley's Steaks that's better and cheaper! What do you say?" and then you get to make a call as to whether to trust the cab driver (google) has your best interests at heart or not, and whether to go where you originally wanted or to where you were recommended.

This happens in real life all the time. Cab drivers get kick backs from specific places they have relationships with if they deliver people there, so you have to wonder whether they're actually recommending a better place for you or a better place for them, just like you do with Google.

And yes, I've been referred to a place by a cab driver when asking for a recommendation and found it didn't actually serve my needs at all, and in retrospect it was obvious from the conversation I was steered there without care for what I really wanted.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by diffeomorphism on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:56AM (#28861291)
Your analogy is much more transparent about it.

Google is more like the following.

"Hi, I would like to go to Morton's meats"

"Sure, I can take you to Shelly's"

"No, I said Morton's"

"Oh, the steak house downtown. Sure, I can take you to Billy's"

"What? No! Morton, you hear me"

"Ah, yeah, Morton, here you go.... by the way, the other places paid for ads"

Much less transparent, much more obnoxious.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by winternett on Thursday October 14, 2021 @07:05AM (#28862739)
And then Billy's and Shelly's actually make terrible steaks with all kinds of hidden costs and cheap side dishes because they cut corners in order to make up for the loss on their annual advertising spend.... Google helping business... Yeah. :L
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by mbg721 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @07:42AM (#28862992)
"Yep, headed to Moron's Meats, it's really popular...(mumbles) let me know if you really meant to go to Morton's Meats..."
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Thursday October 14, 2021 @06:01PM (#28870771)
Don't forget the real-time bidding market. If you're wearing an expensive watch, Shelly's will give the driver a 10% bonus, or if you have a nice pocket square, then Morton's will offer you a window table.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by fiddlerwoaroof on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @09:46PM (#28859674)
> The reason this happens is because the Google result shows my words in the excerpt, but when I click in, there's zero percent of the content to be found.

I’ve seen this too, but I’ve always assumed it has to do with meta tags or something.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:43PM (#28860286)
No, it's due to illegal SEO practices where they serve Googlebot a plate of GPT3 meets keyword spam, and then serve you a page full of advertising and phishing links.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by usui on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:26AM (#28861123)
I've been wondering for a long time what's been going on. This makes a lot of sense!

So if the User Agent is Google, the website produces relevant-sounding content with no JavaScript spam? I never realized GPT-3 could be used for this. The next time I see a bait-and-switch website in my search, I'll try changing my User Agent to Google.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Thursday October 14, 2021 @07:59AM (#28863121)
GPT3-alike, not GPT3 specifically. Google’s bot can’t detect when it’s being fed plausible gibberish, or worse, stolen content with random keywords injected. I’m very curious if your Googlebot surfing comes up with any interesting outcomes!
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by fiddlerwoaroof on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:45AM (#28861229)
I wonder if Google indexes with browser user agents sometimes: unless the site used source IP tricks, it’d let Google detect this sort of thing.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by IX-103 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:12AM (#28864489)
Supposedly the Chrome safe browsing service crawls the web looking for malware. Since that's focused on finding malware they likely make it look like a normal user in terms of user agent and IP address, so it can probably detect these pages.

I believe the signals from the safe browsing service are used to affect search result ranking, but I have no idea if they look for different content being served to the Google crawler.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by pydry on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:30PM (#28859209)
Reminds me of the tuk tuk drivers in Thailand who will show you alternative destinations like a tailor who gives them kickbacks before dropping you off at your destination.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:44PM (#28860289)
Yes, exactly. Is this accepted as normal by locals too, or is it socially proper only with tourists?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by IX-103 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @08:21AM (#28863298)
You ask the waiter for a Coke, they ask you if you want Pepsi instead (because they get kickbacks to sell Pepsi). Is that appropriate behavior for a restaurant?

How much is Google charging you for your searches? I get them for free. Sure, sometimes it's a pain to scroll down past the ad results when they're not relevant but it only costs me time and attention.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Thursday October 14, 2021 @09:01AM (#28863668)
Most restaurants don’t carry both Coke and Pepsi, which in this analogy would be the taxi driver truthfully saying “Morton’s is closed”. That’s a fine time to offer an alternative, but that’s not what’s being discussed here.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tekknik on Thursday October 14, 2021 @09:17AM (#28863849)
Also free doesn’t not mean zero cost. Your time can be used to do other things that may make money.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by saimiam on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:03AM (#28860693)
They tell you they’re going to make a short detour which will hardly inconvenience you or cost you more than a couple of bucks for extra via Shelly’s Steaks en route to Morton’s meats. They neglect to mention that SS is giving them a kickback.

That’s what the ad does. It adds a bit of cognitive load where you have to view and then ignore the non-William Sonoma ad but ultimately, and without much fuss, let’s you go off to WS.

> ethically equivalent

No. Google ads are fine when seen this way. The can driver’s behavior is more egregious if their decision to take a detour isn’t communicated to you AND runs up your fare by enough to materially affect you, whatever that level may be.

Disclosure - I’m actively trying to un-Google my life so definitely not a fanboy.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by mbesto on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:07AM (#28864399)
> You tell a cab driver to take you to Morton's Meats

If the cab ride was free sure, but you are explicitly paying for a cab to take you to your intended route.

HUGE difference.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by dorfsmay on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @09:32PM (#28859577)
You pay the taxi to take you to an address. You don't pay anything to google, you decided to use their ad funded "search engine", which they don't charge you anything for, and you complain that you get... Ads?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by underwater on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:28PM (#28859908)
Down that road lies the argument that Google should be treated like a public utility. If the only mode of transport available were sponsored taxis, then people would be rightly demanding for the ability to pay for a car or use a government run public transit system.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by chmod600 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:37PM (#28860258)
There are other search engines that work just fine.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tremon on Thursday October 14, 2021 @05:55AM (#28862230)
Do the other search engines work fine because you pay them directly, instead of them being ad-funded? Because that's the argument the GP was using.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:46PM (#28860298)
Okay, assume the taxi rides are free. The taxi driver is now wasting your time taking you all across town just for a selfish kickback. Meanwhile, you value your time, presumably, so you're getting more and more annoyed as they do this. I don't see how removing the cost of taxi somehow makes this scenario acceptable. What am I missing?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by dorfsmay on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:01AM (#28860681)
A selfish kickback? Would you drive a taxi for free?

Nobody forced you in that free taxi, you got in on your own. Use another service if you don't like the cost of "free" (ads).

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by floatingatoll on Thursday October 14, 2021 @08:01AM (#28863145)
Yes, freedom of choice, et cetera. But what do you think? Is this a defensible, ethical behavior by the taxi driver or not? Is it by Google or not?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by _carbyau_ on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:22PM (#28858762)
There is a reason for the saying: "Cut out the middle man."

All too often the middleman is milking both sides.

Google has value due to the search engine capabilities. But people realising they are being milked changes the value proposition.

I think Google is safe for now, though I don't think that is a good thing.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by RugnirViking on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:37PM (#28858865)
"All too often the middleman is milking both sides."

By definition a middleman is milking both sides. Were a middleman not there, it would definitionally be better for both parties. The only case where this is not true is the one where the middleman makes no money

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by kbenson on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:26PM (#28859187)
No, that assumes perfect market information. Middlemen can provide benefit by allowing people to offload research and reputation tracking to a third party that they trust, allowing them to invest time and effort in that one entity instead of a bunch of smaller ones.

For example, do you buy off Amazon or NewEgg, Best Buy, etc or do you just use Craigslist, Ebay, the local paper, or even the local flea/market swap meet for electronics? You can probably find stuff for half as much or even less at some of those locations, but it might cost you a lot in research time or lost money in the end...

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by _carbyau_ on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:18PM (#28859848)
My apologies, my phrase "milking" was meant to imply "overly burdensome resource taking" when compared with their value add. IE cost too much

To rephrase, all too often middlemen are there because of legislative/financial props from government or other incumbent advantages and - as you say - both sides would be better without them.

In this case - as in many middlemen cases - Google provides value - their search services. This "value" is the hook for their place in the transaction.

If Google provided a useless list of random results for every search term then it is obvious they would lose their place.

But where is the crossover point? Where Google doesn't provide enough perceived value compared to their perceived cost such that the market abandons them?

Peoples growing dislike of ads and - from this article - advertisers changing perception of ad value will change the cost vs value equation.

But I still think Google is safe for now.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by lmm on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @09:16PM (#28859486)
Hidden kickbacks are a racket though. Google has very deliberately been making their ads less and less distinct from their top search results, in a frog-boiling way.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by worker767424 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:14PM (#28860151)
Remember when they made a point about how they had a blue background and were on the right rail? Then they got moved above the organic results, then the blue changed to yellow, and every PM working on SERPs shrunk the size of "sponsored" and made the yellow a shade lighter for the next 5 years and got a nice bonus for it.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by betenoire on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:38PM (#28858869)
But they call it a search engine. That would be a fairer point if they called it an ad-lookup engine
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by SilasX on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:54PM (#28860035)
lol yes, from Firefly: "About fifty percent of the human race is middlemen, and they don't take kindly to being eliminated."
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by syrrim on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:24PM (#28859881)
Google is offering a service, namely a way to connect your customers to your website. Arguably, on brand ads are just a way to pay for that service.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by capybara_2020 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:31AM (#28860813)
They also have a responsibility towards the person searching. I know more than a few people that have been conned into thinking an Ad provider is the official site for a service.

Especially with government websites. Lots of shady companies use ads above the actual search results to drive people to their site. Charge people for a service that is free.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by carbine on Thursday October 14, 2021 @11:11AM (#28865394)
Would you prefer a monopoly where only Williams Sonoma can advertise on WS keywords? I’m sure if you wanted to start a little premium homewares brand you’d feel differently. Bidding on competitor keywords allows small and big brands to compete for the same transactions, and allows brands to introduce alternatives to customers who might only have one giant brand top of mind.

Defensive branded search is generally only a fraction of budget anyway. I don’t find this practice the least bit onerous or extractive from Google — they’re just allowing for competition, as they should.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by bostik on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:42AM (#28860860)
Funny. In any other industry hijacking a business's name and trademark for payment would be considered facilitating fraud.

But in marketing, it's somehow fair game?

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tshaddox on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:56PM (#28860353)
A way to pay for that service, as well as generate an extra $40 billion a year.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by joe_the_user on Thursday October 14, 2021 @12:46AM (#28860608)
Sure, most businesses exist to provide a good or service and get some bit extra beyond their costs. This is known as "profit".
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tekknik on Thursday October 14, 2021 @09:13AM (#28863800)
The problem here is it’s not a “bit”, but “a lot”
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by joe_the_user on Thursday October 14, 2021 @03:03PM (#28868524)
I don't think Google has a profit rate massively higher than other similar companies (say, Apple or Facebook). It gets a lot of profit because it is large.

Compare: https://ycharts.com/companies/GOOG/profit_margin https://ycharts.com/companies/AAPL/profit_margin https://ycharts.com/companies/FB/profit_margin

Of course, manufacturing companies have a lot less: https://ycharts.com/companies/GM/profit_margin

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tyingq on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:50PM (#28860325)
"The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users."
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by z3ncyberpunk on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:42PM (#28868215)
That's not a service, that's a racket... As the previous user described
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by Puts on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:34PM (#28855704)
Sometimes I click on Google ads just because I don't like a brand and feel a little bit of joy knowing I just cost them a dollar.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by drevil-v2 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:01PM (#28856924)
Way more than a dollar. If you really want to cost a company a pretty penny, click on the ad after searching for an "intent" to do something rather than the exact brand. Some of those Adwords cost many tens of dollars.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by JacobThreeThree on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:01PM (#28857668)
I haven't seen anyone mention the fact that a big factor that contributes to how the Google Ads "black box" determines how to rank ads is via an Ad Quality measurement.

Each ad is given a quality score, and since your own website will be guaranteed to be the most authoritative source for a keyword search with your own branded keyword(s) in it, by default the quality of your own ads will be much higher than your competition.

This means in practice that the cost for a brand to be shown first on their own branded keywords is much lower than their average CPC, let alone the cost for their competitors to be there.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by titzer on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:31PM (#28857971)
The very fact that you have to bid on clicks for your own damn website by paying Google, because Google has prioritized ads to the point of displaying them higher and making them almost indistinguishable from the "organic" search result proves they have intentionally created a tax on the internet.

It will get worse, to the point where to get auto-completed in the omnibox you'll have to pay. TBH I am not even sure if that isn't already the case!

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by alphabetting on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:30PM (#28858415)
I'd rather ignore some ads which are less intrusive than places like Amazon than pay a subscription fee to use search, gmail and docs which are funded by ads.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by titzer on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:33PM (#28858440)
There are other options. For example, funding a publicly-owned search engine with $1 billion a year in infrastructure and development costs would be 50x cheaper than what the US spends on foodstamps. It'd be 1/10th the NSF's annual budget.

Not that that's the best option, but we could consider some new ideas.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by vkou on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:45PM (#28858522)
A publicly owned search engine, that will absolutely not be used for propaganda purposes by, say, the Department of State, or by a megalomaniac elected representative.

Need to build consent for a war with <Country>? Give me access to the search index, and a few weeks, and it'll be done.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tehjoker on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:47PM (#28859316)
Lol if you think that isn't happening right now. Google made a change to its algorithms sometime in the past 5 years to surface "authoritative" sources, meaning sources that toe the state department line. For example, the World Socialist Web Site, which has a consistent anti-war line reported being demoted.

"Google blocked every one of the WSWS’s 45 top search terms" (8/2017)

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2017/08/04/goog-a04.html

"Google admits to censoring the World Socialist Web Site" (11/2020)

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2020/11/04/goog-n04.html

"In a statement before a Senate hearing on October 28, Sundar Pichai, the CEO of Google’s parent company Alphabet, admitted that the dominant online search company has censored the World Socialist Web Site.

At the Senate Commerce Committee hearing, when asked by Republican Senator Mike Lee of Utah to provide the name of one left-wing “high profile person or entity” that has been censored by Google, Pichai named the WSWS."

"Google refines its search results to curb fake news" (4/2017)

https://www.engadget.com/2017-04-25-google-tweaks-search-to-...

(the comments below this article are funny because it's full of liberal-aligned comments on the disproven Trump-Russia conspiracy theory that is still given life in mainstream outlets)

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by smsm42 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:36PM (#28860248)
There may be an air gap between Google and the government, but there's certainly zero air gap between Google and the Democratic Party.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tehjoker on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:44PM (#28867481)
Google is a revolving door. It might be biased dem, but I really doubt they don't try to hire people like former generals or intelligence people.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by smsm42 on Friday October 15, 2021 @01:41AM (#28874688)
Sure, but there are no shortage of top level generals and intelligence people that identify with Democrat agenda, now that democrats finally gave up on things like freedom of speech, privacy, individual liberty and such.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by titzer on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:49PM (#28858553)
I didn't say it was the best option. But wow, you just trust a billion lines of closed source written to satisfy ad optimization criteria with zero transparency? I mean, we can subject things to public oversight.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by vkou on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:08PM (#28858685)
> But wow, you just trust a billion lines of closed source written to satisfy ad optimization criteria with zero transparency?

I trust that a multi-national serving multiple markets is going to give me less nationally biased information than the government of a superpower (with political ambitions that span the globe.)

It's why I generally don't turn to the Voice of America for news.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by titzer on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:11PM (#28859092)
> a multi-national serving multiple markets

You think Google search doesn't adjust its search results based on your geography? It absolutely does, and that's just one of hundreds of inputs into its completely inscrutable machine-learning driven tangle of a ranking algorithm. Your trust is very badly misplaced if you think that Google can't be/isn't already corrupted by the corrupt governments it must deal with to do daily business.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by alphabetting on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:53PM (#28858580)
Google is pretty big with open sourcing. Open sourcing search would ruin it though. Spammers would game the system.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by zaphirplane on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:58AM (#28860947)
A government owned search engine is 100% bad idea, it will cost a ton, it will cost more than equivalent business developed one, it will be abused by governments and law enforcement, your traffic will be combined with government data to make a last century dictatorship police state weep for joy be a money maker for people you very much don’t admire

most of all there is no public value for it when the government can legislate operators

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by dorgo on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:32PM (#28858430)
>Ad Quality measurement

It's called Quality score (soon to be discontinued) and has 3 components. Only one of which is landing page related. And nothing prevents competitors from building "more relevant" landing pages than the original brand.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by arkh on Thursday October 14, 2021 @06:05AM (#28862309)
Or maybe ads could go back to where they were: on some yellow background and on the side. Not looking like the first search results.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by peanut_worm on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:20PM (#28858346)
You’re kidding! A single click costs more than a dollar?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by sam0x17 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:41PM (#28858489)
Back in the early 00s clicks on Mesothelioma were something like $24 a click because anyone who could spell it probably has it and is looking to sue.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by jameshush on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:07AM (#28860711)
“Mesothelioma Lawyer” was still one of the highest cost clicks when I was working in ad tech about 2 years ago. IIRC the cost was north of $50
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by sam0x17 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @04:38AM (#28861848)
As a script kiddie I made a pretty penny keyword stuffing that on my network of ad-infected web proxies.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by edmundsauto on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:48AM (#28860893)
Before Google banned much of the advertising on the category, some addiction treatment keywords cost north of $300 per click. “Drug rehab Las Vegas” was my favorite, because if they didn’t use a tight keyword match, they would get charged for people trying to find the Rehab pool party.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by twp on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:41PM (#28858490)
Yes. As an experiment, I tried running a Google Ads campaign for my https://chezmoi.io open source project bidding on "dotfile manager". Twenty clicks cost me $20. I terminated the experiment quickly.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by dorgo on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:40PM (#28858482)
Google keyword planner tool shows cpc (cost per click) for keywords. For an online gambling keyword it shows me 14.97€ (for one click). There are other industries with cpc's of 80€ and more.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by ajsnigrutin on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:38PM (#28858874)
Is it enough just to click on the link?

There surely are browser extensions that click on every link, just to make the companies pay, and make advertisers look even shitter.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by dodobirdlord on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:54PM (#28860345)
No, it's got to be a real person intentionally clicking the link, and very large teams of skilled people work exclusively on figuring out which clicks fall in this category. Cursor movement patterns, delay time, whether the link was actually rendering on the display when it was clicked, IP address, cookies, signed-in identities, previous click patterns, location, all of these things and more factor in. When people talk about Google hoovering up data, it is in large part for this purpose.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tekknik on Thursday October 14, 2021 @09:32AM (#28864003)
Sounds like a good use of AI, if not one of the best! Let’s train an AI using real humans and have it click these links. Run the client in an P2P network so multiple can contribute to this.

If ads are no longer profitable, then this should sink both the online advertising market as well as Google.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by UncleMeat on Thursday October 14, 2021 @11:21AM (#28865547)
Clickfraud has been around forever and teams detecting clickfraud have also been around forever. Automation that impersonates human users is not a new idea.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tekknik on Tuesday October 19, 2021 @10:07AM (#28918216)
Yes I’m well aware, yet AI hasn’t existed for as long as clickfraud and we both know at some point a program with enough sophistication will look like a human.

Lemme guess, you’re in ads?

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by gamerDude on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:31PM (#28858420)
Sometimes. The "intent" scenarios can be pretty valuable.

"I need a lawyer in ___ right now". That lead can be worth a lot.

"Looking to buy a new car today", etc.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by kbenson on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:29PM (#28859206)
That could be the boycott of the 21st century. Don't like how a company is behaving? Get a social media campaign to have people make intentful searched in different search engines, click through, go to a signup form/add stuff to a cart, and then just leave.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by bckr on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:05PM (#28859770)
If I can do 10 of these, which would take a few minutes, I could cost a company $100. Which means, with the right tools for spoofing my identity, I could cost them $1000 an hour. If I spend a good work day on this, I could probably cost them $10,000.

If I convince 10 people to do this with me for a day, we could cost them $100,000. We might be able to cost them $1M in a week.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by dodobirdlord on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:48PM (#28860311)
> Which means, with the right tools for spoofing my identity, I could cost them $1000 an hour.

Very, very sophisticated systems exist to prevent spoofed identities from counting as ad clicks.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tomjen3 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @09:39AM (#28864058)
Said systems can probably cope with most of the regular stuff, but what about an army of Twitter followers? Most are going to be signed in, they are going to be spread out geographically, they are going to be real people with real browsers with cookies, etc.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by dodobirdlord on Thursday October 14, 2021 @05:47PM (#28870613)
Yes, but those aren’t spoofed identities, they’re actual humans intentionally clicking the link. This is harder for the defender to defend against, but it’s also vastly harder for the attacker to scale. Defenses against this sort of “organic” traffic do exist, because this is something that people committing ad fraud attempt to do using compromised browsers of real people.

Edit: I mostly want to stress that there’s a huge body of (largely proprietary) work on this topic. Thousands of skilled people have been full-time employed for decades thinking about exclusively this topic, on both the offensive and defensive side, in a continuously escalating arms race. Anyone just getting started on this topic has a couple of decades of literature review to catch up on before they should imagine that their proposals are novel. I don’t mean to discourage you if it’s a topic you find interesting, but you should bear in mind that the answer to “But has anyone thought of XYZ?” is “Yes” for basically all values of XYZ. There’s a lot of money at stake if the answer is no.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by lossolo on Thursday October 14, 2021 @07:33PM (#28871676)
It sounds like a really fascinating topic! If someone is interested, where he/she would need to start? any papers that review most/all methods that are up to date?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by titzer on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:26PM (#28857928)
I've done that once in a blue moon, but it doesn't really accomplish anything except transferring that money to Google. Since I used to work for Google, thanks, I guess :-)
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by gumby on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:45PM (#28858516)
Marvelous! I'll do the same. Watch out, Exxon!

I mostly click on ads as chaff (mostly I block them but sometimes unblock them just do do some random clicking in the hope of confounding some profiles being compiled on me)

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by coredog64 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:18PM (#28858748)
I used to do that with mesothelioma law firm ads.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by thomasahle on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:38PM (#28855733)
> I like to call these effectively the "Google Tax" because publishers/retailers are forced to pay Google for the traffic they would have already received had the ad not been there.

Isn't this just the usual problem with advertising? You have to do it because the other players are doing it. If nobody did it, it would still be the same cake to be shared.

This case is more on the nose, but only because of some fairness assumption that "Williams Sonoma Cast Iron Skillet" _ought_ to be traffic for Williams Sonoma.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by finnh on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:51PM (#28855877)
> Isn't this just the usual problem with advertising?

Not quite: OP's point is about searches that specifically include your brand name. The "usual problem" with advertising in the zero-sum sense you propose is for eyeballs in general (billboards etc). The google tax here is more invidious, being specifically about searches that include your brand.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by majormajor on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:53PM (#28856798)
I think it's the same problem even if it looks more suspect.

I think the important thing here is that companies don't decide to increase total advertising budget just because of the existence of a new channel. They have a budget of X. They have to decide how to break it up. Google, with brand targeting in search, is making a play for money that would've otherwise gone to Fox or ClearChannel or whoever. The brands redirect some budget to this new channel, as it shows its effectiveness.

Many of them still spend some on traditional channels, to get that first appeal and be the "Williams Sonoma" in "Williams Sonoma Cast Iron Skillet." Many of those people aren't just going to click through to Lodge ads instead. But less than they did when traditional channels were the only game in town.

Same dilemma, though:

If nobody advertised in Google Search or non-Google channels, people would just buy whatever skillets they found in whatever stores they found, or what their friends told them about.

If one brand advertised in offline media, more of those people would buy that brand.

So all brands advertise in offline media. And then it comes down to effectiveness of the campaigns + the same criteria that it would've otherwise - availability/placement, word of mouth, etc.

Then, if only one brand advertised in search targeting other brand names too, more of those people would buy that brand.

So all brands advertise on their brand keywords in search.

But ultimately it's the same game in both places. With the same net, Google just captures some spend that what would've gone to non-Google places previously.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by mbesto on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:09PM (#28856117)
Exactly. Big difference between

"Williams Sonoma Cast Iron Skillet"

and

"Cast Iron Skillet"

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by mc32 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:57PM (#28856865)
When people search Pepsi Cola they expect to get a link to Pepsi or information about it. They don’t expect to see Coca Cola or RC Cola, etc. now in this case Pepsi makes sure search isn’t polluted by paying Google good money to always be the top results for that term.

Now, if you searched on the generic ‘cola’ or ‘soda pop’ then yes you expect to see those who bid higher to be at the top and at the bottom those who bid nothing unless organically somehow they ended elsewhere.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by thomasahle on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:03PM (#28857692)
I guess that's more a customer satisfaction problem for Google, than it is a problem for advertisers.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by carlhjerpe on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:53PM (#28858156)
Advertisers are the customers, or am I missing something? To be fair, I don't consume any adblockable ads or TV ads (maybe once a quarter for TV) so I don't know if people click them, how much does purchasing ads affect the normal search score?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by thomasahle on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:01PM (#28858215)
Sorry, I should have written "users".
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by closeparen on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:08PM (#28856111)
For staples, maybe. Advertising also gets people to buy things that they would not otherwise buy.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by jayd16 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:40PM (#28855761)
>pay Google for the traffic they would have already received had the ad not been there.

But this line of reasoning begs the question. If this system wasn't in place, then Google search would not exist as it does and the search traffic would not necessarily exist in the same way, no?

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by mbesto on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:11PM (#28856144)
> Google search would not exist as it does and the search traffic would not necessarily exist in the same way, no

yes and no. Google search didn't have as intrusive and competitive ads as it did before and the search function was effectively the same. Nowadays, if you search "Williams Sonoma Cast Iron Skillet" you get 5~6 ads and 2-3 scrolls to get to the real organic results. 6~8 years it was like 1 ad and you could see the first result.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by bryanrasmussen on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:39PM (#28856577)
At this point I'm actually wondering how much more discussion will be required about "Williams Sonoma Cast Iron Skillet" to get HN among the top search results.

Another reason why ads for "Williams Sonoma Cast Iron Skillet" exist are not just to combat Williams Sonoma competitors but also scummy SEO search engine spam, I mean what if you don't pay to have your stuff in the first results and some hustle comes along that makes fake product review sites off of scraped results and engineers getting their stuff all among the first results, since UX research shows people not finding a relevant hit in the first few results do not go to the next page in results it implies that ads are required to give the correct research for something obvious like this because otherwise you have to take a chance with the present day subpar google results.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by tshaddox on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:09PM (#28856124)
I don't see why the search engine would work differently or be any less popular if Google used its algorithms to determine intent (that's Google's whole thing) and then automatically (or via human moderation) prevent companies from showing ads when there is clear intent to find another company's brand. Google would be somewhat less profitable, perhaps, but the search product would still work fine (arguably even better) for the people searching.
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by aerosmile on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:53PM (#28855922)
I agree with the rant how Google introduced a tax that wouldn't have existed in a world without Google. And, technically speaking, it would have been possible for Google to not charge for that tax (but would you have done that in their shoes? It's not like their market share is suffering).

But if you are implying that brands should not invest in on-brand search campaigns, then this is a really bad advice. It's a known fact that targeting your competitors' branded terms is ROI positive, which definitionally means that the affected brand is unable to capture all the customers who were initially searching for it.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by mbesto on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:06PM (#28856081)
> But if you are implying that brands should not invest in on-brand search campaigns, then this is a really bad advice.

I'll be more explicit - you should test the difference. I usually recommend companies do a blackout month where they turn off all programmatic ads and then do a like-for-like comparison.

To further emphasis my point before, I've seen ad ops agencies say "hey you've got an overall 15x ROAS" and then find out that 80% of their ad spend is on-brand (give them 25x or whatever) and the off-brand (which is 20% of the spend) is giving them 5x. So their ROAS is inappropriately distributed to try to reach an overall ROAS goal.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by aerosmile on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:16PM (#28857112)
There are bad actors in every field. I would just be careful in using such anecdotes to distract from the overall message, which as you spelled it out in detail seems sound (with perhaps just a note that a 5X ROAS is not bad for most unbranded campaigns, but I get your point).
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by btown on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:28PM (#28857264)
It’s less the Google tax than the “advertising is now efficient” tax.

Any other medium would theoretically have the same problem: if Ovaltine doesn’t sponsor kids’ radio shows in the 1950s and someone thinks they can deploy capital to grow a competitor, that someone will buy that slot. People couldn’t do this because there were human processes and relationships slowing this marketplace down. The thing that Google did was make it possible to test this at small scale.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by ohyeshedid on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @06:18PM (#28858333)
They weren't bidding on keywords, though, just airtime.

That's an entirely different advertising model and market.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by aesyondu on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:32PM (#28855673)
I purposely click the non-ad link when searching in Google (because I'm too lazy to type the full url). Does that help at all, i.e., prevents unnecessary ad spend from bidding?
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by hn_throwaway_99 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @02:37PM (#28855725)
I do the same, but 99% of people do not, so it's really a drop in the bucket.

I do wish there were some regulation such that if a user is searching for a trademarked or copyrighted term, that the best organic search result for that term should be required to show up first. I'm fine with showing competitor ads, but I don't think they should be able to show up above the trademark owner's ads.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by verve_rat on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:16PM (#28857113)
It feels like it is close (but not really) to a trademark violation. If I search for "A" and get a screen full of results for "B", if I need to scroll to even see mentions of "A", then that feels like it is really close to "passing off". I could see an argument for saying that this "passing off" causes customer confusion that requires trademark enforcement.

I realise that would probably be an impossible argument to win under current law (IANAL), but it _feels_ so very close.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by GeneralMayhem on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:48PM (#28860003)
US case law is extremely clear that bidding on and running ads on trademarked keywords is not a trademark violation, so long as you aren't misrepresenting that the replacement is the trademarked thing; see e.g. https://www.americanbar.org/groups/litigation/committees/bus....
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by figassis on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:21PM (#28856295)
And would be trivial for google, with all their content id tech
Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by account42 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @04:15AM (#28861709)
Why not go a step further and configure your browser so that the ad links are not shown at all? Only takes a couple of clicks.

https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/ublock-origin...

https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/ublock-origin/cjpa...

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by zaphirplane on Thursday October 14, 2021 @02:16AM (#28861059)
Is the premise here I search for “ford electric car” get 3 ad for other makers, and ford in the top 1-2 search results

So I click on the Toyota ad cause it’s on top, and buy a Toyota? Which is taking business from Ford ?

What is the answer, no ads hmm that’s not happening on a free search engine.

Mark the ad as an ad hmm done

Don’t show other results for any brand related keyword search, when all keywords are blocked probably nothing left to show

What should the ideal free search engine show when I search for “intel vs AMD”, should intel complain the first result is for a tech site.

I do genuinely wonder if the conclusion that the brand company lost money is valid, I do wonder if those searches are like ppl putting cnn in a search bar or generic searches

imagine you are driving to a specific restaurant see a billboard ad for another restaurant so change directions and go there, would you dislike the bus/building with the sign

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by ajsnigrutin on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @07:37PM (#28858857)
This sucks for me as a consumer too.

I want a WS skillet, and the first X results are for lodge... I don't need a lodge, I don't want a lodge, i want a WS, and google is not showing me what I want.

Re:What if performance advertising is just an analytics scam? by Marsymars on Tuesday October 19, 2021 @01:48PM (#28921128)
This is a problem on app stores too.

If I search for my bank's app, the top results on Apple's app store are apps for competing banks, which are pretty explicitly not what I want.