Furthermore, this "simple" car will not last very long. People have forgotten that nowadays, but in the old times of "simple" mechanical cars, cars used to break down much more often and require much more skilled maintenance.
Most people would not know how to use it. Do you think people will be able to handle an unassisted wheel? You know, actually use their muscles to turn the wheel when parking? How about unassisted brakes? You get into a dangerous situation, you slam on the brakes and then it turns out that you have to use your muscles to actually apply sufficient force. How about even getting into the car without a radio key fob. I very much doubt the majority of people will even know how to lock or unlock their rear doors without a central lock/unlock key. They will probably just leave their car unlocked.
But most importantly, it wouldn't sell. Cars nowadays sell based on electronic features. You can see that from the commercials. Even fairly advanced features like navigation and parking sensors are considered a must have now.
If you watch Sandy Munro's videos, he mentions often how his visits with Chinese car manufacturers go, when they discuss architecture options. Customers hold up a cell phone and ask "How can we make it more like this?". The cell phone got rid of separate components a long time ago. Everything's on one PCB, plus the display. And many things that used to be on the PCB but consisted of many chips, are now integrated to a single chip. The car consisting of a lot of OEM boxes connected with wires seems so outdated.
And each box having a separate computer makes it in essence stranded. Instead, if the control is centralized, then it's possible to take the complexity to software and keep managing it much better, features are easier to develop and can be sent to existing cars over the air etc.
The reason cars have lots of computers is for price - its cheaper to use a power and CAN data bus rather than have individual wires going from a central computer to each device.
For example, a door module can control the locks, windows and mirrors with just a 2 power wires and 2 thin wires for CAN bus.
Contrast this to old cars which had thick bundles of wires to power the mirror, doorlock and window motors from outside the door.
This might not be a huge concern for the HN demographic, but it is for developing countries operating whatever vehicles the EU deems too dangerous or polluting for their roads. There are no PCBs making their way to Central Asia.
The problem with black boxes is that they work until they don't. In some cases like fuel injection, they're a significant reliability improvement. In others they're a ticking time bomb that can make the entire vehicle unusable.
This a problem in the motorcycle world. You now have bikes that are dead because of computer issues. Small pebbles if you're near a dealership, possibly deadly if you use adventure bikes for their intended purpose.
The main board on an iphone is taking a really small part of the whole nowadays. https://guide-images.cdn.ifixit.com/igi/JtBACGbyZcYSdBfL.hug... Besides maybe some machine vision things, the computing in a car seems to have very low performance requirements.
Sensors, actuators and controllers etc are another thing then, but they're different.
Yeah, but “skilled maintenance “ was an easy skill. There could only be a handful of things wrong if it didn’t start: e.g. no spark, no fuel. In the case of no spark, you check the plug, see if it’s dirty, change it if so; check the distributor, maybe the points are bad; check the coil or condenser… yeah there were things to check, but you could actually fix it once you learned about it. And yes, you could do this on the side of the road—there were “tool rolls” you could have for such purposes.
Now, you get a check engine light and the code reader says, in so many words: “bring to dealer and pay up”
Modern cars need an inspection every 30k km and hardly ever break down. When they do, they are usually toast so (at least financially). Older cars are financially toast as well, if you cannot do the work yourself so.
That's funny, because my OBDII reader tells me exactly which sensor logged a fault and what the fault is such as reading too high/low. Sure you can have oddball errors where a bus wire has its insulation melted and is sending noise over the CAN bus or something, but you also had bizarre issues on old engines with weird vacuum leaks in pipes and dashpots and all the other analogue junk that electronics have replaced.
People look at old cars through rose coloured glasses and forget having to clean distributors and adjust timing and fix tuning drift with carburettors.
"If it's got compression, and it's got fuel, and it's got a spark, then it's got to go".
He was right.
> cars used to break down much more often and require much more skilled maintenance.
My '78 John Deere 4640 (not a car I give you that) if it breaks down, I can fix it. If I cannot I can order the part. If I cannot, I can have the part made within a week.
None of that is possible with a 2021 6145M. If it breaks, I have to sit and wait for JD to bless me with their part.
I have less problems with non-electronic equipment than with the electronics enhanced ones.
I venture it is very much the same with personal cars.
Also, comparing tractors with cars is an extremely dubious proposition; these are different vehicles with different engineering constraints, uses, and consumer expectations. How many OEMs for cars still make parts for the 1978 vehicles? Hell, what percentage of Americans have the space, knowledge, and interest to build up a garage to service their own vehicles?
This situation is exactly the same as the tractor example above. You’re taking a similar but different object built for different use cases and different financial and engineering constraints, and declaring that the outcome of one is predictive of another.
Like putting touch screens on the steering wheel!
That's great, but I don't own a garage, and if my car breaks, it goes to the mechanic. The mechanic needs to eat, and pay the mortgage on her garage, so she will charge $XYZW for repairs.
For all the maintenance and repair work I and my father have had done on our cars, 'Some microchip somewhere crapped out' has never made the list. All the failures have been purely mechanical. Your 70s car proposal solves a problem that few people have, and introduces a lot of new ones.
The problem with fancy electronics is that only a few people chosen, trained and supplied by the manufacturer can work on them. This effectively gives them a monopoly on maintenance. Your mechanic will be cut out of that deal.
This also creates a risk for the second hand market, not just in first world countries, but wherever they inherit cars that don't pass inspection. Some garage in Georgia (the country) won't be kitted out to fix computer issues and keep the car running. They can't expect help from OEM, nor third party replacement parts. It's a great planned obsolescence strategy.
i've heard the same complaint about basically every part of an audi except the tires.
I don't know if most of these things actually require digital features.
Apples to oranges comparison.
However the computer won't crap out on you, and this is now happening with new bikes. Adventure bikes mind you. I wouldn't want my adventure cut short by a computer problem I can't fix in the field.
They still sell bikes without that crap, and they are absurdly reliable.
Regardless I do appreciate the simplicity of long past inventions.
The engine controle unit plays a major role in emission control and fuel economy.
You don't know that. I'm pretty sure there is a market for simple cars that don't tell you what to do, don't report you to the authorities, don't shut down unexpectedly because you didn't follow the manufacturer's maintenance schedule, etc.
> How about even getting into the car without a radio key fob. I very much doubt the majority of people will even know how to lock or unlock their rear doors without a central lock/unlock key. They will probably just leave their car unlocked.
I can't tell if this is satire or not, but people who can't open a door with a key and a handle maybe shouldn't be allowed to drive.
I also much prefer my phone navigation over the in car system (Android Auto/Apple Carplay would solve this). That said, I wouldn't buy the car GP is suggesting, but I could imagine that if you were price sensitive then you might.
No comment around the older systems, I don't really have the knowledge to agree or disagree there.
But also plenty of IRL people complaining about how, for example, they miss their $10k pickup with no power anything that worked great for anytime they needed to haul material X from location M to N, but now you need to drop a minimum of $50k for a vehicle you might use once per weekend to haul gravel, insulation, cement, lumber, furniture, etc.
Trucks are a particularly big market for this idea. It's a vehicle you use when you're already dirty and sweaty from work/projects and don't care about comfort, and serves a primary purpose: moving heavy and/or large items.
But the big carmakers have opted to cater to the market that doesn't actually use trucks for their actual purpose, but rather the market that buys trucks as commuter vehicles.
They’ll imagine the $10k from memories but forget the vinyl seats, no AC, and manual windows. But they won’t buy that one n
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-19/bigger-pi...
https://www.thedrive.com/news/42523/84-mile-1993-toyota-pick...
But not for 50k
An old Ford Ranger was 175-200 inches long depending on year and model. The new one is 200-210 inches.
Sort this list by class and you'll see a total of two compact trucks in the US market. Both are debuting either this year or the next: Ford Maverick (200") and Hyundai Santa Cruz (195").
I reminisce about 90s sports cars that I used to dream about too. But then I think about the lack of bluetooth, keyless start, the low power output, poor handling, poor safety, poor fuel economy, and I just buy a modern car instead.
[1]: https://abcnews.go.com/US/cars-us-now-required-backup-camera...
"Right behind you."
Basically, the more sophisticated a car is, the higher the risk of failure and thus price to fix the failures. Now, I buy inexpensive cars. Maybe if I go for expensive brands, the risk is less.
So out of your list that leaves..
GPS (already optional on most cars) Ass warmers (already optional on most cars) Telemetry (this could be removed from models that have it, not all cars sold today have telemetry) USB chargers (really don't think USB chargers are causing a production shortage at this moment) Proximity Sensors (already optional on budget cars) Keyless entry (could be removed, I doubt many people would buy a new car without keyless entry tho) Remote climate control (already optional on budget cars)
The models without AC mostly exist so they can produce ads saying “available from less than X“
Modern AC also use variable displacement compressors which adjust load according to temperature, so once the cabin is cool they use a constant small amount of engine power rather than toggling to full power on and off like older designs.
Not that I would be against option to periodically rekey the whole system. Generate new pair of private keys and have the car and key swap them with my approval.
WRT keyless entry, I actually have figured it out. Central wireless lock is cool. It's keyless start that I'm opposed to.
Some people like blind spot monitoring, others are annoyed by it. Some people need to have satellite radio, others never use it. Some people won't buy a car without Apple CarPlay, others would never so much as buy an Apple product. And so on... but for your product to appeal to customers in general, you need all of the features.
Yes, because the only reason a person would be willing to part with one at anywhere near that price was if was a lemon.
You could say that's plausible. In a way it even makes sense, that people buy cars and then drive them for as long as they reasonably last. But if you had to, would you guess that this is how the market operates?
They aren't buying a new car on all these new widgets that might be different between one today and one from yesteryear. I bet for the vast majority of people the primary technological wants of a car are cold AC and blutooth. Everything else, your TPMS, your brake alert system that beeps like a missile is locked on when you inch too close in traffic, no one stood up and asked for any of that stuff. The market just saddled it upon us and the higher per unit cost is passed right along to us with markup.
the manufacturers have no choice, it would be like suggesting they sell cars without seatbelts.
For most people, it’s the most dangerous thing you will do today. If you are going to kill someone, it’s with your car.
Reading in this thread that it's impossible to even buy a car without it is very surprising to me.
One is that neither one of us have any idea of the electronics BOM breakdown between the various parts of the car, and whether the effect of shortage would be mitigated in a meaningful way if the entertainment stuff was simplified. And you can't legally sell a new car in the US without back-up cameras and tire pressure monitoring.
The second issue is that re-designing that part of the car takes more than a year (probably years, given that you need to collaborate with business and marketing to fit it in the existing lineup and e.g. not have it be associated with down-market products)
- Valve timing - Fuel injection - Oxygen and throttle - Emissions
You still need electronics for
- ABS - ESP - Airbags (- Diagnostics)
Because these are mandated.
Buy a cheap Dacia and there won't be much else except electric windows.
> Buy a cheap Dacia and there won't be much else except electric windows.
As mandated by EU law the latest Dacia models already have most of those, they do have back up cameras, for example.
True, but on average ESP is highly effective. Cars with ESP are correlated with 40-50% less running off the road or roll over crashes.[0] Carrie Underwood may sing about Jesus Taking the Wheel[1], but she really has GM Stabilitrak to thank.
[0] https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/... [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lydBPm2KRaU
> There's a market for budget and privacy oriented customers that all carmakers seem to have ignored for two decades now. Give us a simple car with no GPS navigation, ass warmers, tire pressure sensors, telemetry, backup cameras, USB chargers, proximity detectors, traction control, keyless entry, remote climate control, etc.
I feel like you're vastly overestimating the market size. Most non-tech people don't care about their privacy on their phone, their laptop or their TV. Most people don‘t even know that their car actually has the hardware to track them, why would they care about their privacy in their car?
> I understand the re-engineering is a cost. But when you're simply removing existing features, this should be a fairly negligible one.
I would not expect that to be fairly simple re-engineering. Many assistive technologies are mandatory in new vehicles (at least in some regions like the EU) such as automatic emergency calls, etc. Those are not standalone systems but they have many dependencies on sensors, etc. With the supply chains of traditional automakers, chances are the components necessary to integrate one mandatory system aren't even from the same supplier. This makes cherry picking features extremely hard if not impossible.
> these carmakers have decided to throw up their hands and shut down production or pile up unfinished inventory waiting on chips. It makes precisely zero sense.
I don't think it's coincidental that they decide to shut down a plant in Germany (besides the fact that Opel is originally German). In Germany we have something called "Kurzarbeitergeld" which is a support companies in trouble can receive in certain situations to support their employees. Employees continue to work a fraction of the time (50% Kurzarbeit basically means you only work half of your weekly hours, 100% Kurarbeit means you don't work at all for a certain period). The money the employees receive is largely paid for by the Government (the taxpayer).
Usually Kurarbeit comes with a very strict set of rules, but thanks to covid those rules have been loosened a bit and especially carmakers (VW and BMW) take advantage of it (BMW for example sent many of their workers into Kurzarbeit but decided to pay billions of dividends to the Quandt family). So I suspect it was cheapest to shut down the Germany plant.
But they're not changing their lineups, product design and marketing are expensive and take a long time. I don't think shrine expects the shortage to last that long.
Backup cameras are indeed mandated by law in the US for all new cars and have been since 2018.
For 2017 the Mazda6 used an indirect system: https://www.mazdausa.com/static/manuals/2017/mazda6/contents...
For 2020 it's a direct system with in-tire sensors: https://www.mazdausa.com/static/manuals/2020/mazda6/contents...
The EU estimates that half the fatalities on the road will be prevented with these systems. That's 10.000 lives each year. If that's true, increasing the cost marginally is more than worth it (and it really is marginally, budget cars have not noticably increased in price).
Actually, they did. The new Dacia Logan starts at 8500 euros, back in 2009 you could buy an entry-level one at about 5500-6000 euros, which would be around 6400-7000 euros in today's money. At those entry level prices those extra 1500-2000 euros do count.
Since most cars keys already, from the late 90s, had chips in them, to prevent theft. It was the next step to remove the superfluous metal part.
These are to keep people alive! They aren't luxuries unless you think living is a luxury!
That thing would work long after a massive solar flare and nuclear apocalypse... If it wasn't rusted to shit.
So yeah, better alloy/treatment for the frame :D
A simple, basic car, with the ONLY electronic control being for:
- Valve timing - Fuel injection - Oxygen and throttle - Emissions
There's a market for budget and privacy oriented customers that all carmakers seem to have ignored for two decades now. Give us a simple car with no GPS navigation, ass warmers, tire pressure sensors, telemetry, backup cameras, USB chargers, proximity detectors, traction control, keyless entry, remote climate control, etc.
But instead of addressing this market, these carmakers have decided to throw up their hands and shut down production or pile up unfinished inventory waiting on chips. It makes precisely zero sense.
I understand the re-engineering is a cost. But when you're simply removing existing features, this should be a fairly negligible one.
edit: I wasn't aware any of these luxury features were mandated by governments. Apologies, and disregard.