News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Upload Your RAM by thih9 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:29AM (#50403599)
Centralization is nonironically my biggest problem with AI. It feels like a step back towards mainframe era.

Will we go back to PCs? As in: are we going to get cheap local hackable frontier AIs at some point? I hope so.

Re:Upload Your RAM by Bengalilol on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:40AM (#50403668)
Yes we will and we all know it. All those are raw materials.
Re:Upload Your RAM by pmlnr on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:41AM (#50403676)
> It feels like a step back towards mainframe era.

:insert Will Smith presenting meme:

The Cloud

Re:Upload Your RAM by 7952 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:48AM (#50403721)
It was the same with cloud and software as a service. We underuse the power of our local machines and pay high cost for modest resources that are bandwidth constrained for most users.
Re:Upload Your RAM by Jolter on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:58AM (#50403775)
People long ago stopped buying computers and started using Saas on their mobile devices instead. Ask HP.
Re:Upload Your RAM by andyferris on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:33AM (#50404012)
HP was making shit laptops that barely worked a decade before SaaS was a known acronym.
Re:Upload Your RAM by Jolter on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:35AM (#50404021)
Sure but businesses bought them and people bought them. Their quality is beside the point.
Re:Upload Your RAM by jonathanstrange on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:58AM (#50404179)
People keep saying that but I have never met anyone who doesn't own a PC or laptop.
Re:Upload Your RAM by presbyterian on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:07AM (#50404244)
Do you work in tech by chance? I work in an entirely non-technical field (to the point we barely use email), and I have several coworkers whose only “computer” is their phone or a tablet.
Re:Upload Your RAM by jonathanstrange on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:38AM (#50405886)
I guess the answer is Yes now but I used to work as a philosopher at university until recently. I literally never met a person, both inside and outside of professional settings, who owns a smart phone but doesn't own a computer. (There were, of course, plenty of people in the 1990s who owned neither a mobile phone nor a computer.)

Maybe it's a regional thing? I live in Europe.

Re:Upload Your RAM by teirce on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:21AM (#50404351)
A smartphone is the main / only 'computer' for a lot more people than you think.
Re:Upload Your RAM by KellyCriterion on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:44AM (#50405486)
I know youngsters who dont even have an email address. Though, this may change if they have to enter the workforce.

Lot of people using their office-notebooks at home, even if its not allowed. Most people out of tech do not have big hardware at home anymore.

Re:Upload Your RAM by makeitdouble on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:24AM (#50404368)
One consequence has been lower power requirement for local machines. This is partly why a 2015 MacBook is still perfectly serviceable for basic use in this day and age.

The AI boom first reversed the trend, to now try to get back to that cycle.

Re:Upload Your RAM by shevy-java on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:50AM (#50403731)
I never left the PC era, but the RAM prices kind of hurt me. I don't know when I would want to buy a new PC - it seems to be 3x the cost for barely any real benefits over the status quo.
Re:Upload Your RAM by palata on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:21AM (#50403925)
Which is not a bad thing per se: most of use could use our devices a little longer than we usually do.
Re:Upload Your RAM by saidnooneever on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:03AM (#50404219)
most games which require that big PC are poorly optimised and often times they arent even fun. these companies focus on visual fidelity and give all their engineers insane machines to build the games on. that has beenn destroying PC gaming way before AI/LLMs came into the picture.

I am using AI now to make a game engine that will run and make 'nice enough' graphics on simpler machines. things like laptops with iGPU and 4gb of ram.

U can still get quite ok graphics, and make very complex and rich gameplay systems using such a machine. It just needs to be the target machine while developing so the right tradeoffs are made.

Re:Upload Your RAM by r0ckarong on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:52AM (#50403747)
You know what that era has in common with fossil fuel? It takes a very specialized infrastructure and supply chain that you can limit with lobbying efforts and gatekeeping so that all the money only flows to you and your cronies.
Re:Upload Your RAM by alansaber on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:01AM (#50403793)
There has been a relatively strong local model community since the days of llama-3. IMO, the number of non-technical people interested in qlora, adapters, parameter fine tuning etc is remarkable.
Re:Upload Your RAM by htsh on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:23AM (#50404361)
that was when RAM and GPUs were cheap. Now that is dying, too.
Re:Upload Your RAM by cykros on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:05AM (#50404642)
Only people who have no concerns about privacy would give up on it entirely.

But yes, it has been a test of just how few tokens you can get by on.

Re:Upload Your RAM by amelius on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:16AM (#50403885)
The only way this may happen is when the internet were to be somehow destroyed.

Which would not be all too bad. It would also mean the end of stupid SaaS subscription services, and mass surveillance, adtech. And shitty propaganda.

And your local AI could emulate the good parts of the internet.

Re:Upload Your RAM by palata on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:20AM (#50403919)
> And your local AI could emulate the good parts of the internet.

Like talking to people?

Re:Upload Your RAM by amelius on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:22AM (#50403929)
People did not live in social isolation before the internet existed.

In fact, it was closer to the opposite.

Re:Upload Your RAM by palata on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:39AM (#50404047)
Why are you here, instead of having your AI emulate HN locally?
Re:Upload Your RAM by eastbound on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:27AM (#50403966)
Trump and AI-power security research are both doing a good job of promoting installable software!
Re:Upload Your RAM by cowlevel on Sunday November 08, 2026 @01:23AM (#50410900)
Propaganda would still propagate through more closed networks. There's propaganda on TV. And at the bus stop.
Re:Upload Your RAM by orlp on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:19AM (#50403910)
> Will we go back to PCs? As in: are we going to get cheap local hackable frontier AIs at some point?

Forget about AI, the entire PC market is getting killed over this.

As an avid gamer I'm unsure if in 5 years I can even buy a gaming PC anymore. Not even because of cost, but it's unclear if anyone will still make the components anymore.

Re:Upload Your RAM by moffkalast on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:27AM (#50403970)
At least you'll be able to get a Pi 5 for $700.
Re:Upload Your RAM by snitch182 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:41AM (#50404062)
Pi6 might get very close to buisiness usage but i guess microsoft will use just more cpu/gpu for windows to stop that from happening.
Re:Upload Your RAM by 72deluxe on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:02AM (#50405142)
What's the rumours on the Pi6?
Re:Upload Your RAM by ZigaoWang on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:38AM (#50405449)
its gonna be at around early 2028
Re:Upload Your RAM by moffkalast on Sunday November 08, 2026 @04:14AM (#50411617)
Year or price? /s
Re:Upload Your RAM by TobiasJacob on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:30AM (#50403989)
I'm still hoping some future LLM is good and small enough for people to run local AI for everyday life.
Re:Upload Your RAM by trollbridge on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:55AM (#50404559)
Already here. 3.8-27b is good enough.

5 years ago it would have been science fiction

Re:Upload Your RAM by criley2 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:08AM (#50404661)
For me, qwen 3.8 27b on my m5 max is so slow and dumb that I can't think of a single use for it. Haiku, Luna, or data center scale open models are ten times faster and ten times smarter (and inference so cheap that it's essentially free). It was a nifty toy to brag to friends about but why would I waste my time goofing with something so slow and dumb?
Re:Upload Your RAM by jrm4 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:51AM (#50405046)
For roughly the same reason you might slow down and read a book on how to do something as opposed to speedrunning 20 youtube videos?
Re:Upload Your RAM by criley2 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @12:23PM (#50406262)
Are you insinuating that your agents are more effective at 20 tok/s than 200 tok/s?

I don't even understand your analogy. I'm not watching the youtube video or reading the book. The model is. And, unlike me, a big computer can watch 20 youtube videos faster than a small computer can watch 1, and do a far better job understanding (bigger model at data center scale is both smarter and faster than smaller model at local scale).

Re:Upload Your RAM by liuliu on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:56AM (#50405607)
Try DeepSeek 4.1 Flash 1017, feels much better: https://github.com/drawthingsai/local-code-community
Re:Upload Your RAM by LeBit on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:47AM (#50405949)
On my Mac Mini M4 Pro with 48G I find Qwen 3.8 27B perfectly usable, useful and fast enough.

Are you trying to one shot create the Linux kernel?

Re:Upload Your RAM by 72deluxe on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:01AM (#50405137)
Do you find it intelligent enough? What hardware are you using?
Re:Upload Your RAM by jrm4 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:51AM (#50405041)
It's interesting trying to be an AI "moderate," which as the owner of a 16gb card I definitely am. Still working on the balance, but it really does feel like I'm going to land on something like "use external AI services to build a few tools, but use my local rig to actually handle everything personal once those tools are built."
Re:Upload Your RAM by ctrlaltdileep on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:38AM (#50404038)
Its interesting because I was at Costco the other day and they weren't even selling PCs unless they were gaming ones. It seems most consumer electronics have switched over to laptops.

Also, this reminds me so much of the download more RAM ads back in the day.

Re:Upload Your RAM by weinzierl on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:28AM (#50404392)
Most of it has switched to mobile phones and tablets. It doesn't help that almost everywhere digital classroom means tablet instead of laptop. Sure, the control is convenient for the teacher, but it also means we are raising our children in walled gardens. So much so, that whole generations don't even leave that garden in their spare time.
Re:Upload Your RAM by Silagi on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:47AM (#50405517)
I'm still waiting for the day a mac air style shell exists where I plug my phone in and just get a real desktop experience. The chips in phones these days are plenty powerful. I always thought it would be where we were going, but alas, no major manufacturer seems to want to make it feel like a seamless, premium experience. Samsung got sorta close, but the peripherals involved never felt great or didn't make sense from a cost perspective.

I wonder what it would look like if Apple offered a slimmed down shell from the Neo for ~$300 that required a connected iPhone. Maybe as iOS and MacOS converge we'll get there.

Re:Upload Your RAM by ruszki on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:40AM (#50404055)
I think there is a second order effect of this: it won't be worth making games for PC. At least, large budget games.
Re:Upload Your RAM by saidnooneever on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:00AM (#50404198)
not true. it wont be worth it anymore to implement Path Tracing or Ray tracing which is absolutely not needed for a prime gaming experience. its deterimental even because ull only get into games with a certain type of person who can afford a big machine.

Many games that come out still, and are quite successful, do not require such technologies.

Re:Upload Your RAM by rbits on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:10AM (#50404685)
It also won't be worth it to make games for next gen consoles if the prices end up being what people are saying. So in the end they'll just keep doing what they're doing right now, and not increase the hardware requirements of their games.
Re:Upload Your RAM by nine_k on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:42AM (#50405474)
The extensive use of AI for producing better code (if so instructed) may even decrease the hardware requirements.
Re:Upload Your RAM by olelele on Sunday November 08, 2026 @05:54AM (#50412143)
...AI may do is such a tired trope by now.
Re:Upload Your RAM by the_snooze on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:06AM (#50405174)
AI slop-cloning is killing small indie games too.
Re:Upload Your RAM by jasomill on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:30AM (#50405374)
Is it really? Slop clones of games have been a thing for ages, I’d expext the market to be reasonably resistant by now.
Re:Upload Your RAM by PaulStatezny on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:52AM (#50405570)
Here's how it's been going:

1. Indy developer releases a game or trailer of a game. 2. Within an extremely short time (days to weeks at most) there are clones on the market. 3. These games often outperform the original.

It's absolutely not something that's gone on for ages.

It might be a novel gameplay idea / twist on a genre, and mere days after launch instead of being able to stand on its own and gather attention it's drowning in a pool of lookalikes. It's no longer distinct.

The speed of being able to slop together something like this is less than 1% of what it used to be.

Re:Upload Your RAM by acheron on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:56AM (#50405601)
HN went crazy over 2048, which was a slop clone of Threes, something like 15 years ago.

So yes maybe it happens more often now, but it’s still not new.

Re:Upload Your RAM by birdsongs on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:27AM (#50405817)
> So yes maybe it happens more often now

Yes, that's literally the point of the people you're responding to. Has HN lost reading comprehension, or are you arguing in bad faith?

It used to happen occasionally. Now it happens instantly. That delta is the problem.

Re:Upload Your RAM by MetaWhirledPeas on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:57AM (#50406034)
Clones are not going to be the problem. The slopalanch will be the problem. Take a look at https://www.reddit.com/r/playmygame/. There's a new game every few minutes and pretty much zero of them are getting any attention. And this is only the beginning.

So it's easier than ever to make a game, but it's more difficult than ever to get anyone to try what you've made. I'd say that's just as bad, and in some ways worse, than having your game cloned.

For someone looking to play a new game it will be difficult to sort through all the bad games to find the good ones. And for anyone pouring their soul into a game they will more likely than not have an audience of one.

Our eventual destination is probably going to be a) pick up a device, b) ask your bot to make up a game on the spot, c) play. It sounds so lonely and depressing.

Re:Upload Your RAM by blauditore on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:53AM (#50404143)
If the AI bubble bursts and prices normalize because demand for AI hardware is reduced, then these companies might pay more attention to other markets like gaming again. But who knows the future anyway.
Re:Upload Your RAM by blueshoe on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:57AM (#50404167)
On the bright side, you’ll be able to play Skyrim-halo-Pokémon-Minecraft as much as you want.
Re:Upload Your RAM by saidnooneever on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:59AM (#50404185)
intel makes gpus :). Maybe games will be finally made again in a way that a PC can run them without needing a 3k GPU in there to get toward half the refreshrate of your monitor.

gaming does not equate to only things like the last of us or cyberpunk which need extreme machines. a lot of visual fidelity can be reached still without having such a monster. Just need to not use certain features which are currently pretty much exclusive to Nvidia...

Re:Upload Your RAM by dmantis on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:17AM (#50404323)
Cyberpunk runs even on steamdeck, it doesn't need an extreme machine.
Re:Upload Your RAM by dlevine on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:33AM (#50404877)
Have you seen the current prices on Steam Deck? Almost $800 for the base model.

And I assume they will only continue to go up. When it came out, purchasing one seemed like an easy decision. But I paid half as much for one with the same CPU/RAM (and upgraded my SSD for cheap).

Re:Upload Your RAM by greenchair on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:10AM (#50404273)
Regarding graphics capabilities, haven't we reached "good enough" like a decade ago? Does anyone actually want to see ultra realistic gore when attacking an enemy? I'd also submit that photorealistic art style is not the most popular one either nowadays except for a handful of special sims like race car driving.
Re:Upload Your RAM by Imustaskforhelp on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:21AM (#50404348)
If not for adults, my opinion is that teenagers/younger generations are gonna be interested within buying ultra-realistic games. Aside from Minecraft, Roblox, GTA 5 as indie games, most players in this age do in my opinion play AAA games or the most solid graphics game that the world has to offer (as much as their laptops allow them to)
Re:Upload Your RAM by nkrisc on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:25AM (#50404379)
There a lots and lots of great games that will run on computers that would be considered low power today. And I’m not even talking about older games.
Re:Upload Your RAM by goodmythical on Saturday November 07, 2026 @12:49PM (#50406465)
I was floored to discover that my i3-1215U with integrated graphics can easily run PS2 games at 60ish FPS. These are triple A games, just a little older.

If I started today and played 10 games I can emulate every single day for the rest of my life restricting myself to purely emulation, I wouldn't run out of new games for...five and a half years. (assuming my rough calculation of ~20k available games).

Drop it to a game a day and I will likely never run out of games given my life expectancy.

Consider that I will find some games I like to play for more than a day and there are easily well more than enough games in emulation alone to entertain me for the rest of my life on existing entry level hardware.

Will I ever play MODERN SHOOTER {CURRENT YEAR} on this device? Certainly not, but I can't see a reason to bemoan lack of access to such a small portion of the available industry.

Like, suppose you're a reader. You might be right that you might enjoy your favorites in their original languages, but you'd be silly to be worried about your future ability to enjoy books just because you'll likely never get to experience reading 三体 as a chinese citizen fluent in the language.

Re:Upload Your RAM by swader999 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:45AM (#50404480)
I'm just sticking with Tetris.
Re:Upload Your RAM by consp on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:49AM (#50404506)
It's also killing the console market. Sharp drops in all console sales after "adjusting" to ram prices.
Re:Upload Your RAM by satirr on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:57AM (#50404575)
Not just the Console and PC's market, the Phone market to. On my country before, IDR 2.000.000, you can have a 8GB phone with G100 Ultimate. How about Now? On that price, you'll just got the 4/128 with Unisoc T7250.
Re:Upload Your RAM by carlosjobim on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:32AM (#50404867)
What is more sensible: Listening to the best music on an average sound system or listening to average music on the best sound system?

There should be a big enough back catalog of great games for you to enjoy without having to buy a new gaming rig.

Re:Upload Your RAM by olelele on Sunday November 08, 2026 @06:00AM (#50412178)
Sound systems are a bad analogy. A decent amp and a pair of speakers can be had for next to nothing and the tech hasn’t changed that much since 1970. If the parts haven’t broken due to age a vintage set can sound very very good and be picked up second hand for less than 100€ or $
Re:Upload Your RAM by carlosjobim on Sunday November 08, 2026 @07:54AM (#50412855)
Isn't it the same for gaming? You never need a new computer to play old games. They can't even take benefit of the improved technology.
Re:Upload Your RAM by MisterTea on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:01AM (#50405138)
Today I opened newegg for the hell of it and figured I'd look at the cost of a 2 TB NVMe ... Fuck man. This is seriously depressing.

BUT! I feel that lost hope could/will turn into a new forms of "min-maxing" or whatever where we will see people focusing on small, efficient software to make the most of what we have to weather the drought. We got spoiled with cheap hardware. Time to make the most of all that cheap hardware we have.

Though of course, replacing this hardware as it breaks down will be expensive. Perhaps we could go back to 1/2/4 GB RAM sticks and 256/512 GB Disks. Then run minimal Linux installs, minimal GUIs, minimal services, minimal software.

Re:Upload Your RAM by QuantumNomad_ on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:19AM (#50405765)
I have an external USB-C 4 TB portable SSD called the Samsung T7 Shield 4TB Black.

I bought it at the middle/end of 2024, and I paid 3790 NOK (~357 USD at the time).

The lowest price online for the same product new online today is 10233 NOK (~1085 USD)!

270% of what it was before, it’s absolutely bonkers.

I was even considering putting it up for sale a few weeks ago. But of course what I would be able to get for it would be no where near $1000 when selling second hand. Instead I might if I am lucky get slightly more than I originally paid which would be nice and all except that if I then regret selling it it’s still expensive to replace, or I have to also buy it second hand from someone else that may have worn theirs out considerably more compared to what I have done to the one I currently have. Mine is very well taken care of since the start, and although it’s nearing capacity now I haven’t written and deleted data over any over on it.

Re:Upload Your RAM by danuker on Sunday November 08, 2026 @02:12AM (#50411094)
Isn't there SMART data that lets you more accurately value it?
Re:Upload Your RAM by 1vuio0pswjnm7 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @01:33PM (#50406812)
"... we will see people focusing on small, efficient software to make the most of what we have..."

Been doing that for myself for the past 15 years

Advances in hardware are only impressive and useful for me when I avoid the so-called "tech" company "engineer" BS

The reason I stop using old computers is never due to software. It's always outdated proprietary cables, failing power adapters, screens, hinges, and so on

Sometimes "minimalism" is simply for _speed and reliability_ (that's what I get, anyway) in contrast with prevailing marketed garbage that is bloated and sluggish by commparison

Other times, claims of "minimalism" might be tryinng to capitalise on some silly trend

Personally I like what the computers I own can do for me and learning to make them do more. I have a brain, I don't do much "guessing" and I don't really need "inference" on a daily basis, certainnly not for such a high cost to the environment

I have all the "convenience" I can handle

Re:Upload Your RAM by vitaflo on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:25AM (#50405804)
If nobody can afford a gaming PC, devs will need to make games that run on older hardware. This isn't a bad thing.
Re:Upload Your RAM by elorant on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:38AM (#50405885)
Sure they will. The same components go into every office PC. As for GPUs, we could always play older games.
Re:Upload Your RAM by orlp on Saturday November 07, 2026 @05:05PM (#50408495)
Office tower PCs aren't a market anymore. It's only laptops or single-board mini PCs connecting to a remote environment.
Re:Upload Your RAM by theptip on Saturday November 07, 2026 @12:17PM (#50406209)
I agree it’s brutal right now.

I have to think, it can’t take much time before the Chinese DUV fabs come online and non-frontier chip prices crater. Sure, you might not be able to get 5090 equivalents, but the 30xx series was DUV and so that should be replicable in a few years.

Whatever quality bar / process node China gets to you know they will scale it out super hard.

(Some quick investigation suggests that the Yuliangsheng DUV machines currently under construction are 28nm, which would map to 2014’s GTX 900. Perhaps I’m being overly bullish but I assume they will recapitulate/clone the tech faster than the rate it was originally discovered.)

Re:Upload Your RAM by trvz on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:39AM (#50404048)
There's a lot of hacking going on right now with small (qwen 3.x and gemma 4 based) and medium (deepseek flash and others) models alike.

Have an agentic enough setup and they'll do anything that the biggest closed models can. They'll also do more, making them the true frontier.

A sensible point of entry is a 2899$ Mac mini.

If you're not partaking that's only on you.

Re:Upload Your RAM by zahlman on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:50AM (#50404118)
Yes, but that's a lot of money if you don't already have the hardware, plus you'll still be paying for electricity costs. (No comment on relative capabilities.)
Re:Upload Your RAM by Paracompact on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:50AM (#50404122)
$3k being a point of entry for a pale imitation of the models being compared to is not very inspiring.
Re:Upload Your RAM by NBJack on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:56AM (#50404160)
> A sensible point of entry is a 2899$ Mac mini.

> If you're not partaking that's only on you.

There's honestly nothing sensible about that for a lot of developer budgets across the globe. Don't assume most folks have $3k to burn.

Re:Upload Your RAM by moffkalast on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:09AM (#50404677)
Yes but then you'd have to give closed-ecosystem-ass Apple money, which is worse than giving it to Nvidia who at least support linux properly.
Re:Upload Your RAM by lgl on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:53AM (#50406001)
Surely this is a joke or sarcastic comment?

They absolutely can't do what, or more of what the biggest models can do. There's nothing frontier about small local Qwen or Gemma models.

2899$ gets you a machine that is just good enough to run some small models, slowly, with terrible context, requires a ton of tinkering and fine tuning, managing and constantly downloading a bunch of huge file blobs, etc.

Partaking those $2899 in most of the large cloud models would bring you much more productivity, much less boilerplate and time spent in setup, etc.

So.. just weird accusing people here of "not partaking" in AI when you're just essentially toying around if you're actually comparing local Qwen and Gemma's with frontier models.

Re:Upload Your RAM by atlasduo on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:10AM (#50404272)
Yes, we will. Eventually, specialized AI hardware (ASICs) will emerge that will be good for AI, but not much anything else. PCs are general purpose computers that are good at many things, but excel at few. There are quite a few startups working on it already.
Re:Upload Your RAM by kllrnohj on Saturday November 07, 2026 @12:15PM (#50406193)
There's also major not-startups working on it, such as Broadcomm: https://www.broadcom.com/info/ai/3point5d
Re:Upload Your RAM by ngomezdev on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:11AM (#50404280)
Yupppp. My current conspiracy theory, with all of the increasing hardware costs and how easy decompilation projects are, is that there is going to be a major push to eradicate consumer hardware and keep all software in the cloud.

Everybody will have a mini PC for the sole purpose of streaming content, with no storage to keep anything on it.

Re:Upload Your RAM by teirce on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:18AM (#50404326)
I don't know how much of a conspiracy that is. If the current trend of hardware costs keep rising to the point of pricing people out of having any real compute locally, and chip makers actively de-prioritizing consumer-grade memory, GPUs, etc, companies will (more) heavily push thin clients and streaming for everything.
Re:Upload Your RAM by charlieyu1 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:10AM (#50404687)
I really don’t see it happening at all, not with current trends, you can barely run Win11 on 8GB ram anymore
Re:Upload Your RAM by teirce on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:44AM (#50404978)
This kind of makes my point. Consumers won't be able to run things locally, so you end up with Win11 in the cloud and your device is just a glorified browser because that's all you can afford.
Re:Upload Your RAM by notabotiswear on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:39AM (#50404452)
I would have laughed at the thought a few years ago, but now I am slowly starting to adopt some of the viewpoints of American second amendment hardliners.

It's just unfortunate that producing a half decent computing platform is significantly more difficult than a rifle (and that in the case of said hardliners, the capital is backing them, here it's working against us).

Re:Upload Your RAM by jasomill on Saturday November 07, 2026 @01:32PM (#50406805)
Why would component vendors allow shortages to continue indefinitely for the benefit of hyperscalers and AI companies, especially given what may be years of pent-up demand in other markets?
Re:Upload Your RAM by quaintdev on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:51AM (#50404520)
It's worse than centralization. These AI models have gobbled up all the world knowledge. If for some reason the Internet dies we will have no option but to be dependent on these proprietary, for profit, AI models for any information we need.

You might say that this is impossible but look at current trends. A lot of information today is getting shared in the walled gardens of Internet. You have to login to social media to view posts. The Twitter, Reddit threads that were accessible freely now require you to log in. Similar thing is happening across other networks. People are no longer asking questions on Stackoverflow. All those queries are gonig to AI. If someone chooses to not use AI, their options will be limited in future.

The free sharing of information on Internet is I think coming to an end.

Re:Upload Your RAM by the_af on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:53AM (#50404544)
Not only if the internet dies. If the country or countries managing the AI decide they don't like your country and ban you from using their (major) AI providers, in a world where most knowledge and work tanks will require access, you're screwed.

Not even talking dictatotship scenarios here. The USA might simply decide it doesn't like your country. Or maybe heavily cripple the models you can use, or censor them, for whatever reason.

I guess this is an argument for local AI. Probably not feasible for the less technically savvy.

Re:Upload Your RAM by trollbridge on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:55AM (#50404552)
We currently have politicians in the U.S. talking about “stopping” AI.

So it’s plausible they’ll block me from accessing Mistral since they host DeepSeek models.

Re:Upload Your RAM by I-M-S on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:14AM (#50404721)
They're already censored
Re:Upload Your RAM by the_af on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:21AM (#50404778)
Yes, I know. I meant additional censorship that blocks whatever you're trying to do with them. In other words, that you are not in control.
Re:Upload Your RAM by bornfreddy on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:37AM (#50405431)
I have high hopes for AMD Halo / NVidia Spark or sth. similar - relatively open computers (unlike Apple) with unified memory. Now if those prices just came down a bit... :-/
Re:Upload Your RAM by c22 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:27AM (#50404839)
Don't think of it as a step back, it's just a point in a familiar cycle:

New application of computing requires a lot of compute -> compute centralizes -> compute improves, smaller, faster, cheaper -> compute decentralizes -> new application of compute is found -> (return to beginning of cycle)

Re:Upload Your RAM by kennywinker on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:36AM (#50405429)
Can you think of examples of this cycle? I know this is roughly what happened with mainframes, but I struggle to think of other times it went like that.

Maybe arcade games?

Re:Upload Your RAM by c22 on Saturday November 07, 2026 @11:21AM (#50405784)
The first one was code breaking. The most recent was "cloud". If you look you will probably find others.
Re:Upload Your RAM by kennywinker on Saturday November 07, 2026 @03:05PM (#50407557)
cloud? I feel like that's an example of things going the other way. It used to be every company would have either on on-prem or a colocated server at the nearest network hub - a fairly de-centralized system, and then everything went centralized with cloud platforms.
Re:Upload Your RAM by kllrnohj on Saturday November 07, 2026 @12:11PM (#50406151)
CGI rendering. To do Pixar quality animations you used to need racks and racks of servers and it still took months. Now anyone can do it, and we saw tons of slick animations on YouTube from indie studios as a result (before the AI slop cloning started I mean)
Re:Upload Your RAM by joshspankit on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:40AM (#50404944)
Some things will always be true:

- Large centralized compute is more powerful than portable compute

- Wired is better than wireless

- The public wants new things

- The tech industry grows to use/“use” the available processing power

As long as you’re not continuously comparing to AI in large centralized compute, what you’re really looking for is “when does portable compute become powerful enough to run AI models that are capable of meaningful work” and I’d say we’re already there and it’s getting better.

Re:Upload Your RAM by jasomill on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:32AM (#50405389)
Also:

- local latency is lower than network latency

- latency is important for action games

Re:Upload Your RAM by xnx on Saturday November 07, 2026 @08:58PM (#50409839)
- Full time professionals do a better job of maintaining a reliable and secure service than end users
Re:Upload Your RAM by vrighter on Saturday November 07, 2026 @09:54AM (#50405070)
back to the mainframe era came with the insane proliferation of cloud everything, not with ai
Re:Upload Your RAM by tescreal on Saturday November 07, 2026 @10:54AM (#50405587)
This began with cloud. When software began running as a front-end in a browser, people began complaining about centralization.

But then it became normal.

The monopolization of knowledge and expertise is the next step. I don't mean as if it were intended, but it is the logical progress given the technological evolution. The cause is inventive structures: the tech is neutral (in my opinion), but the way in which it is used and deployed is subject to and disciplined by capital.

Re:Upload Your RAM by theptip on Saturday November 07, 2026 @12:21PM (#50406243)
I don’t see frontier AI ever happening in local machines. For the same reason that supercomputers don’t fit in your pocket/desktop.

But, the “good enough for most lay people” intelligence bar will for sure miniaturize, especially as inference ASICs get more specialized.

Re:Upload Your RAM by Junk_Collector on Saturday November 07, 2026 @12:28PM (#50406303)
Supercomputer do fit in your desktop though. Most supercomputing challenges of the 80s or 90s fit comfortably on a modern home pc.
Re:Upload Your RAM by theptip on Saturday November 07, 2026 @03:37PM (#50407820)
That’s not a supercomputer today.

But yes, we both agree that what was the frontier many years ago will fit on your desktop.