What makes me even more curious is the following
> Model dependencies: This model is not a modification or a fine-tune of a prior model
So did they start from scratch with this one?
My hunch is that, aside from "safety" reasons, the Google Books lawsuit left some copyright wounds that Google did not want to reopen.
As of a couple weeks ago (the last time I checked) if you are signed in to multiple Google accounts and you cannot accept the non-commercial terms for one of them for AI Studio, the site is horribly broken (the text showing which account they’re asking you to agree to the terms for is blurred, and you can’t switch accounts without agreeing first).
In Google’s very slight defense, Anthropic hasn’t even tried to make a proper sign in system.
Like, kind of unreasonably good. You’d expect some perfunctory Electronic app that just barely wraps the website. But no, you get something that feels incredibly polished…more so than a lot of recent apps from Apple…and has powerful integrations into other apps, including text editors and terminals.
Gemini 1.0 was strictly worse than GPT-3.5 and was unusable due to "safety" features.
Google followed that up with 1.5 which was still worse than GPT-3.5 and unbelievably far behind GPT-4. At this same time Google had their "black nazi" scandals.
With Gemini 2.0 finally had a model that was at least useful for OCR and with their fash series a model that, while not up to par in capabilities, was sufficiently inexpensive that it found uses.
Only with Gemini-2.5 did Google catch up with SoTA. It was within "spitting distance" of the leading models.
Google did indeed drop the ball, very, very badly.
I suspect that Sergey coming back helped immensely, somehow. I suspect that he was able to tame some of the more dysfunctional elements of Google, at least for a time.
Unfortunate typo.
To be fair, for my use case (apart from GitHub copilot stuff with Claude 4.5 sonnet) I've never noticed too big of a difference between the actual models, and am more inclined to judge them by their ancillary services and speed, which google excells in.
Anyone with money can trivially catch up to a state of the art model from six months ago.
And as others have said, late is really a function of spigot, guardrails, branding, and ux, as much as it is being a laggard under the hood.
How come apple is struggling then?
To be fair to Apple, so far the only mass market LLM use case so far is just a simple chatbot, and they don't seem to be interested in that. It remains to be seen if what Apple wants to do ("private" LLMs with access to your personal context acting as intimate personal assistants) is even possible to do reliably. It sounds useful, and I do believe it will eventually be possible, but no one is there yet.
They did botch the launch by announcing the Apple Intelligence features before they are ready though.
The may want to use 3rd party or just wait for AI to be more stable to see how people actually use it instead of adding slop in the core of their product.
Announcing a load of AI features on stage and then failing to deliver them doesn't feel very strategic.
Enter late, enter great.
Their major version number bumps are a new pre-trained model. Minor bumps are changes/improvements to post-training on the same foundation.
The biggest strides in the last 6-8 months have been in generative AIs, specifically for animation.
On Terminal-Bench 2 for example, the leader is currently "Codex CLI (GPT-5.1-Codex)" at 57.8%, beating this new release.
This chart (comparing base models to base models) probably gives a better idea of the total strength of each model.
I can't wait to try 3.0, hopefully it continues this trend. Raw numbers in a table don't mean much, you can only get a true feeling once you use it on existing code, in existing projects. Anyway, the top labs keeping eachother honest is great for us, the consumers.
What do you mean? These coding leaderboards were at single digits about a year ago and are now in the seventies. These frontier models are arguably already better at the benchmark that any single human - it's unlikely that any particular human dev is knowledgeable to tackle the full range of diverse tasks even in the smaller SWE-Bench Verified within a reasonable time frame; to the best of my knowledge, no one has tried that.
Why should we expect this to be the limit? Once the frontier labs figure out how to train these fully with self-play (which shouldn't be that hard in this domain), I don't see any clear limit to the level they can reach.
Whether an individual human could do well across all tasks in a benchmark is probably not the right question to be asking a benchmark to measure. It's quite easy to construct benchmark tasks a human can't do well in that you don't even need AI to do better.
What field are you in where you feel that there might not have been any growth in capabilities at all?
EDIT: Typo
I hope it's isn't such a sycophant like the current gemini 2.5 models, it makes me doubt its output, which is maybe a good thing now that I think about it.
What's with the hyperbole? It'll tighten the screws, but saying that it's "over for the other labs' might be a tad premature.
Its not over and never will be for 2 decade old accounting software, it is definitely will not be over for other AI labs.
The new Gemini is not THAT far of a jump to switch your org to a new model if you already invested in e.g. OpenAI.
The difference must be night and day to call it "its over".
Right they all are marginally different. Today google fine tuned their model to be better, tomorrow it will be new Kimi, after that DeepSeek.
I feel like many will be pretty disappointed by their self created expectations for this model when they end up actually using it and it turns out to be fairly similar to other frontier models.
Personally I'm very interested in how they end up pricing it.
Because it seems to lead by a decent margin on the former and trails behind on the latter
However, going above 75%, it is likely about the same. The remaining instances are likely underspecified despite the effort of the authors that made the benchmark "verified". From what I have seen, these are often cases where the problem statement says implement X for Y, but the agent has to simply guess whether to implement the same for other case Y' - which leads to losing or winning an instance.
LCB Pro are leet code style questions and SWE bench verified is heavily benchmaxxed very old python tasks.
Models have begun to fairly thoroughly saturate "knowledge" and such, but there are still considerable bumps there
But the _big news_, and the demonstration of their achievement here, are the incredible scores they've racked up here for what's necessary for agentic AI to become widely deployable. t2-bench. Visual comprehension. Computer use. Vending-Bench. The sorts of things that are necessary for AI to move beyond an auto-researching tool, and into the realm where it can actually handle complex tasks in the way that businesses need in order to reap rewards from deploying AI tech.
Will be very interesting to see what papers are published as a result of this, as they have _clearly_ tapped into some new avenues for training models.
And here I was, all wowed, after playing with Grok 4.1 for the past few hours! xD
While the private questions don't seem to be included in the performance results, HLE will presumably flag any LLM that appears to have gamed its scores based on the differential performance on the private questions. Since they haven't yet, I think the scores are relatively trustworthy.
This was the primary bottleneck preventing models from tackling novel scientific problems they haven't seen before.
If Gemini 3 Pro has transcended "reading the internet" (knowledge saturation), and made huge progress in "thinking about the internet" (reasoning scaling), then this is a really big deal.
Benchmark | Gemini 3 Pro | Gemini 2.5 Pro | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | GPT-5.1 | GPT-5.1 Thinking
---------------------------|--------------|----------------|-------------------|---------|------------------
Humanity's Last Exam | 37.5% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 26.5% | 52%
ARC-AGI-2 | 31.1% | 4.9% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 28%
GPQA Diamond | 91.9% | 86.4% | 83.4% | 88.1% | 61%
AIM 2025 | 95.0% | 88.0% | 87.0% | 94.0% | 48%
MathArena Apex | 23.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 82%
MMMU-Pro | 81.0% | 68.0% | 68.0% | 80.8% | 76%
ScreenSpot-Pro | 72.7% | 11.4% | 36.2% | 3.5% | 55%
CharXiv Reasoning | 81.4% | 69.6% | 68.5% | 69.5% | N/A
OmniDocBench 1.5 | 0.115 | 0.145 | 0.145 | 0.147 | N/A
Video-MMMU | 87.6% | 83.6% | 77.8% | 80.4% | N/A
LiveCodeBench Pro | 2,439 | 1,775 | 1,418 | 2,243 | N/A
Terminal-Bench 2.0 | 54.2% | 32.6% | 42.8% | 47.6% | N/A
SWE-Bench Verified | 76.2% | 59.6% | 77.2% | 76.3% | N/A
t2-bench | 85.4% | 54.9% | 84.7% | 80.2% | N/A
Vending-Bench 2 | $5,478.16 | $573.64 | $3,838.74 | $1,473.43| N/A
FACTS Benchmark Suite | 70.5% | 63.4% | 50.4% | 50.8% | N/A
SimpleQA Verified | 72.1% | 54.5% | 29.3% | 34.9% | N/A
MMLU | 91.8% | 89.5% | 89.1% | 91.0% | N/A
Global PIQA | 93.4% | 91.5% | 90.1% | 90.9% | N/A
MRCR v2 (8-needle) | 77.0% | 58.0% | 47.1% | 61.6% | N/A
Argh it doesn't come out write in HN
The 17.6% is for 5.1 Thinking High.
Benchmark..................Description...................Gemini 3 Pro....GPT-5.1 (Thinking)....Notes
Humanity's Last Exam.......Academic reasoning.............37.5%..........52%....................GPT-5.1 shows 7% gain over GPT-5's 45%
ARC-AGI-2...................Visual abstraction.............31.1%..........28%....................GPT-5.1 multimodal improves grid reasoning
GPQA Diamond................PhD-tier Q&A...................91.9%..........61%....................GPT-5.1 strong in physics (72%)
AIME 2025....................Olympiad math..................95.0%..........48%....................GPT-5.1 solves 7/15 proofs correctly
MathArena Apex..............Competition math...............23.4%..........82%....................GPT-5.1 handles 90% advanced calculus
MMMU-Pro....................Multimodal reasoning...........81.0%..........76%....................GPT-5.1 excels visual math (85%)
ScreenSpot-Pro..............UI understanding...............72.7%..........55%....................Element detection 70%, navigation 40%
CharXiv Reasoning...........Chart analysis.................81.4%..........69.5%.................N/A
That's a scandal, IMO.
Given that Gemini-3 seems to do "fine" against the thinking versions why didn't they post those results? I get that PMs like to make a splash but that's shockingly dishonest.
> For Claude Sonnet 4.5, and GPT-5.1 we default to reporting high reasoning results, but when reported results are not available we use best available reasoning results.
https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/gemini/gemini_...
I'll wait for the official blog with benchmark results.
I suspect that our ability to benchmark models is waning. Much more investment required in this area, but what is the play out?
Not sure 360 days is enough of a sample really but it's an interesting take on AI benchmarks.
Are there any other interesting benchmarks to look at?
What does this model do that others can't already.
When ChatGPT-3 exploded, OpenAI had at least double the benchmark scores of any other model, open or closed. Gemini 3 Pro (not the model they actually serve) outperforms the best open model ... wait it does not uniformly beat the best open model anymore. Not even close.
Kimi-k2 beats Gemini 3 pro on several benchmarks. On average it scores just under 10% better then the best open model, currently Kimi-K2.
Gemini-3 pro is in fact only the best in about half the benchmarks tested there. In fact ... this could be another llama4 moment. The reason Gemini-3 pro is the best model is a very high score on a single benchmark ("Humanity's last exam"), if you take that benchmark out GPT-5.1 remains the best model available. The other big improvement is "SciCode", and if you take that out too the best open model, Kimi K2, beats Gemini 3 pro.
https://artificialanalysis.ai/models
And then, there's the pricing:
Kimi K2 on OpenRouter: $0.50 / M input tokens, $2.40 / M output tokens
Gemini 3 Pro: For contexts ≤ 200,000 tokens: US$ 2.00 per 1 M input tokens, Output tokens: US$ 12.00 per 1 M tokens For contexts > 200,000 tokens (long context tier): US$ 4.00 per 1 M input tokens , US$ 18.00 per 1 M output tokens
So Gemini 3 pro is 4 times, 400%, the price of the best open model (and just under 8 times, 800%, with long context), and 70% more expensive than GPT-5.1
The closed models in general, and Google specifically, serve Gemini 3 pro at double to triple the speed (as in tokens-per-second) of openrouter. Although even here it is not the best, that's openrouter with gpt-oss-120b.
EDIT: formatting, hopefully a bit more mobile friendly