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Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by nikanj on Thursday May 06, 2021 @02:41AM (#27059890)
If everyone has a job except you, unemployment is a lonely and depressing endeavour. If the majority of your friend circle is unemployed, it becomes something different.

In Canada with CERB ($400/week), it's been like being a school kid on summer break all over again. You have very little money, but can spend endless days reconnecting with your friends, hiking, playing games, learning music, et cetera.

Not many people want to get a job - as it's just as fun as being the only kid in your group who got a job at 17. You might be making money, but everyone else is making out at the midnight bonfire

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by Archio on Thursday May 06, 2021 @02:46AM (#27059914)
>You have very little money, but can spend endless days reconnecting with your friends, hiking, playing games, learning music, et cetera.

The horror! Sounds like these employers need to raise wages to do better than the absolute minimum. If higher paying jobs are available, people will work. And some people still won't, but those people weren't going to work much anyway.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by nikanj on Thursday May 06, 2021 @02:58AM (#27059966)
I wasn't saying it's horrible, I was trying to explain why people choose to remain unemployed.

Setting the right level for benefits is hard: Either the basic income is high enough to provide for a good life (why would I get a job), or it's not high enough to pay for food, shelter, bills (why do we treat our unemployed people this badly).

Rising the wages across the board raises prices sooner or later. That probably moves the unemployment money from the former category to the latter via inflation, which does motivate people to get a job, but screws the people who can't get a job.

I have no solutions to offer. This is a gnarly problem, featured for example in the Grasshopper and the Ant, first recorded in Aesop's fables from ~600BC. Enjoying life is wonderful, but if everyone enjoys life, we'll all starve.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by antihero on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:40AM (#27061755)
There's also another factor which I think is important. If working was simple enough to be a bit dull but not horrendously unpleasant due to companies that wish to work people to the bone, patronise them, and forcing them to submit to nasty management, it might be a more attractive concept.

If people are desperate for work, they are vulnerable to the absolutely disgusting way they are treated and exploited by employers.

I find that in tech that employers treat me fantastically because I have more of a value proposition and am thus bargaining from a stronger perspective.

If working is so bad that it's actively damaging to my mental and physical health, I would be doing everything I can to avoid it.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by 52-6F-62 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:02AM (#27062562)
The unfortunate side is that the people voting on and installing policies that don’t help workers but tend to punish them have never seen that side of life—one where they’ve had to operate at the mercy of a cruel employer out of desperation and just plain survival.

We can surely do better than that, but it takes empathy. For that reason, my hopes are tempered.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by aspaviento on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:09AM (#27060027)
> Enjoying life is wonderful, but if everyone enjoys life, we'll all starve.

Maybe the solution is in the middle: make work time as little as possible so people who work can also enjoy life and pay them according to that time.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by harpiaharpyja on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:05AM (#27063383)
I have to agree, I suspect the culture of mandatory 8 hours a day 5 days a week leads to a massive amount of wasted work hours put in just to fill the time (when considered across everyone in society who works under such conditions). It's a net loss for society as a whole.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by mistrial9 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:15AM (#27063545)
oh how wrong you are -- according to Jack Ma in China:

Jack Ma endorses China’s controversial (996) 12 hours a day, 6 days a week work culture

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by namelessoracle on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:46PM (#27068241)
Is it any suprise that a chinese elite would advocate a "work makes free" policy?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by taurath on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:19AM (#27060093)
Basic income would allow for people to focus on their own health and take work when they want to do something.

Part of technological and societal progress is that we don’t use the threat of starvation for people to better for themselves. We have enough money to bring up the bottom economic class and still let the top have their private cruise ships.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:22AM (#27061589)
If you doubled federal individual income taxes for everyone in the US, you could pay each adult US citizen around $750/mo in UBI with that increase.

If you doubled ALL federal income taxes in the US, you could pay each adult US citizen ~$1500/mo in UBI.

The math is daunting because the number of people is so high.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by vetinari on Thursday May 06, 2021 @01:01PM (#27066157)
Taxes do not work linearly like you seem to think.

If you double the tax rate, you won't double the tax revenue. There's a big chance that the revenue would go down.

Another thing is, that money is not the wealth; productivity is. So if you want to pay UBI to everyone and want to keep the same purchase power of the dollar, you have to preserve productivity at the national level (GDP is a measure; but you need that specific physical output as products and services, not money). Which you won't, if a part of population would stop working.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by maxerickson on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:11AM (#27062677)
A small UBI would end up being net zero for lots and lots of people. No burden, no benefit (except the knowledge it would still come in if their circumstances changed).
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jl2718 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:15AM (#27062065)
No. Because nobody would work, and corporations would invest all revenues offshore. The country would be destroyed, and you’d get nothing. Income taxation is one of the most economically destructive and violent ways to generate revenues.

Do you seriously think it’s a good idea to point guns at people doing the work and tell them to give you 80-100% of their pay because you think you deserve it for doing nothing?

Only a violent sociopath would do that, right? Please tell me how your proposal is different.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:19AM (#27062100)
Sorry if it wasn’t clear (and I can see how I left it slightly unclear).

I don’t see any viable path to paying UBI at those relatively low levels because the tax burden on people and companies is too high. (And frankly, $750/mo isn’t enough to accomplish what the UBI advocates want to promise which is to make work literally optional.)

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jhauris on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:22AM (#27062809)
I'm not at all convinced of UBI, but does your math include removing all the tax that pays for benefits that would no longer be needed such as unemployment, social security, etc.? It seems removing those benefits would reduce the tax burden significantly.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by NovemberWhiskey on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:06AM (#27063391)
That's a nice theory at steady-state, but how do you get there?

If UBI is less generous than Social Security, then you have a problem.

You have lots of retirees (15% of the population) who have been promised Social Security and have retired on that basis. You also have lots of people that are relatively near retirement that will be in the streets with pitchforks if you threaten their benefits: Social Security is the original third rail of American politics - touch it and you die.

You basically need to allow people to choose whether to get UBI or stay in Social Security. This creates a gigantic fiscal bulge because you end up funding Social Security for everyone for whom it represents a better deal.

If UBI is more generous than Social Security, then you also have a problem. You are effectively exchanging it like-for-like and there's no extra tax take to spread around.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:37AM (#27062995)
It does not, but I also don't see any way that a $750/mo provides a viable path to remove a $1500/mo average (and 150+% of that for many) Social Security payment for people who contributed to FICA over their entire working lives and properly planned on that money as part of their retirement finances.

Morally and politically, I can’t see how to make UBI replace social security. You might be able to make reduced UBI payments to seniors, but at some point you have to ask “what does the U in UBI stand for?”

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by dragonwriter on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:44PM (#27065918)
> but does your math include removing all the tax that pays for benefits that would no longer be needed such as unemployment, social security, etc.?

Earned benefits like unemployment, disability, and social security are usually not targeted for replacement by UBI, and it is dubious that it makes them unnecessary (especially UI/DI, given benefit levels) unless it is at a very high level.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by UncleMeat on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:07AM (#27064323)
Even ignoring the ridiculous 80-100% here, people who don't work aren't "doing nothing". There is more to the human endeavor than buying and selling.

Why do you take weekends? Or go home in the evening? Why aren't you using your evenings to be a "productive member of society"?

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by josephcsible on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:11AM (#27064396)
There's a difference between "I don't spend literally all of my time productively contributing to society" and "I never productively contribute to society".
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by UncleMeat on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:22AM (#27064598)
Why is a job synonymous with "productively contributing to society"? I can think of a lot of jobs that appear to make society worse and a lot of activities that aren't jobs that make society much much better.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by Mediterraneo10 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:30AM (#27064748)
It is a mistake to assume that those living on UBI and not working in formal employment would be "never productively contributing to society". Sure, a portion of UBI recipients might be entirely idle, but others would contribute to things that are seen as a social positive even if they don’t neatly fit into profit-generating, paid-salary-position-creating activities.

For example, if I didn’t have to work myself, I could finally do some of the more ambitious contributions to OpenStreetMap that I have been dreaming of: adding all the missing house numbers for my county, for instance. Then society as a whole benefit from that libre resource even if I as a contributor was not paid a salary for it. By the same token, some of the most active Wikipedia editors are able to dedicate such enormous time and effort because, for whatever reason, they do not work. Yet all of us here benefit day in and day out from what they do.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by josephcsible on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:36AM (#27064845)
I expect that in practice, you'd get way more entirely idle people than you would people who worked on things like OpenStreetMap and Wikipedia.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by Daishiman on Thursday May 06, 2021 @01:57PM (#27066920)
So?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by axiosgunnar on Friday May 07, 2021 @03:49PM (#27080146)
It‘s fine that you want to have a fun pastime, just don't force me to pay for it (via taxes).
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by lazyasciiart on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:29PM (#27068019)
And where in that false dichotomy do you put raising children?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by josephcsible on Thursday May 06, 2021 @06:28PM (#27069780)
How is what I said a false dichotomy? I'm not saying those are the only two possibilities. I'm just saying they're not one and the same, which my parent comment implied they were.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jl2718 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:37PM (#27065813)
I don’t care about that. All I care about is that people realize that taking from others is only achievable through violence and/or deception.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by wing-_-nuts on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:51AM (#27063182)
80-100%? Holy hyperbole batman.

Stop beating that strawman! He's already dead.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by bzbarsky on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:21AM (#27063660)
If the suggestion were in fact to double "all federal income taxes", what do you think tax rates would end up looking like? Right now the top "all taxes" federal marginal rate is 39.35%. (2.35% Medicare, and 37% individual income tax). Doubling that gets you to 78.7%. And state taxes also exist; in California the top rate would be > 90% overall.

And of course doubling rates will not double revenue, because incentives really are a thing and a change this large would have large incentive-mediated effects, including people ending up with more compensation in non-taxable form (leisure, respect, non-taxable perqs, etc). The only way to double _revenue_ is for rates to rise even more, or more likely to start affecting more people (i.e. the top rate starting to apply at lower income levels).

Now those are marginal, not average, rates. But just to be clear, right now US government (federal, state, local) spending is ~46% of GDP. Federal spending on its own is ~30% of GDP. If we are talking about doubling that second number, overall government spending would be 76% of GDP. Which generally means the _average_ tax burden across all people would be 76% of income (though some of that can get hidden via corporate income taxes and whatnot). There will absolutely have to be people with average tax burdens > 80% to suport that. That's assuming that we don't finance things by borrowing, of course; 1/3 of US government spending right now is not even coming from tax revenue.

It might also be instructive to compare 76% government spending to the table at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_governmen... to see how that measures up against other countries.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by wing-_-nuts on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:43PM (#27068195)
Be real man, no country on earth is taxing their people at 80-100%. I'd happily trade scandi taxes for scandi safety nets and worker protections. I think those max out at ~ 50%?

Regardless, I don't know why I get pulled into debates with people who view taxes as theft instead of the price of a civilized society. Neither of us are ever going to change our world views based on the arguments of another.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by bzbarsky on Friday May 07, 2021 @01:05AM (#27072382)
> Be real man, no country on earth is taxing their people at 80-100%

Sure. Neither is any country providing a $750/month UBI, much less $1500/month, from taxes. (Some countries do provide that sort of thing for citizens from oil revenues or whatnot.)

> I'd happily trade scandi taxes for scandi safety nets and worker protections. I think those max out at ~ 50%?

~50 govt revenue as a fraction of GDP, yes. A lot of that is VAT, not income taxes, of course.

But also, that's not the same as the discussion above about UBI. Yes, a Scandinavian-style safety net can be done at much lower taxation levels than "doubling the US federal revenues", especially people by and large don't abuse the safety net. Spending 1% of GDP on the military, not 3%, also helps a bit.

> people who view taxes as theft instead of the price of a civilized society

I have no idea where you got that from anything I said, and that is most certainly not how I view taxes.

> Neither of us are ever going to change our world views based on the arguments of another.

Honestly, it sounds like you have no idea what my world view even is...

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by bingbong70 on Friday May 07, 2021 @07:58AM (#27074926)
>Sure. Neither is any country providing a $750/month UBI, much less $1500/month, from taxes. (Some countries do provide that sort of thing for citizens from oil revenues or whatnot.)

Kuwait pays ~$10k per citizen, last I checked. A few countries pay citizens for having children too.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jl2718 on Friday May 07, 2021 @11:20AM (#27076874)
Thanks for bringing this up. I just happen to have lived there. You should go check it out and try to find just one Kuwaiti citizen working a non-government or non-executive job. Talk to the people that are working and ask them where they are from, how much they get paid, how they are treated, and what happens if they try to switch jobs or leave the country before their ‘visa debt’ is paid. Also walk around and check out how well they take care of the place, or their own health for that matter. And, yeah, oil money.

So, to recap... the formula for utopia is to destroy the environment by burning all of your natural resources, and enslave foreigners to do all your work. So progressive.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by bzbarsky on Saturday May 08, 2021 @12:33AM (#27083907)
> Kuwait pays ~$10k per citizen, last I checked

That's one of the "from oil revenues" cases I mentioned, indeed. Though are you claiming $10k/month? I'd love a source for that number; the last number I saw was ~$3k/month subsidy if you work in the private sector. Obviously if you work for the government directly you get whatever that salary is, which in Kuwait is pretty nice, but that's ostensibly a job, not a UBI.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jl2718 on Saturday May 08, 2021 @01:10AM (#27084068)
> I’d happily trade

But that’s not your choice. It’s interesting that you indicate disagreement with how the money is spent, but not how it is taken. This seems like the same concern for those they are taking it from. Can you imagine how a society would function if it were based on consent?

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by dragonwriter on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:39PM (#27065832)
> Basic income would allow for people to focus on their own health and take work when they want to do something.

A very mature, robust UBI might, but we’re far from being able to support that. Realistically, a near term UBI increases opportunity and aggregate economic performance by reducing perverse incentives and friction in means-tested welfare programs.

It takes about $7350/year/person (average household size weighted by population is around 3.4, interpolating between poverty line by household size numbers that’s about $24,500 annual household poverty line) to have an on-average poverty-line-level UBI, which costs $2.4 trillion/year.

That’s 11% of GDP (and not all ofnit additional, because many existing poverty support programs would be subsumed), which is enormous but probably not unsustainable with political will—but you aren’t realistically, no matter how much political will there is, be able to maintain enough of a multiple to make work really unnecessary for most people—poverty level income after government transfers isn’t a “living income” level (which is why ”living wage” efforts typically target an income level that starts, as a baseline, about 4× higher for full-time work.)

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by staticassertion on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:37AM (#27061734)
> Rising the wages across the board raises prices sooner or later.

Does it actually have to though? If a company is still profitable it doesn't actually have to raise its prices just because its profits go down.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by nikanj on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:43AM (#27061785)
Typical margins in various unskilled labour jobs are under 10%, and labour is usually one of the big ticket items on the budget. If payroll goes up 30%, prices have to go up - or the business goes bankrupt.

Next up, someone who saw Founder is going to point out that McDonalds makes money from rent, not selling food. Sure, that might be true for McDonalds-the-corporation, but the McDonalds-down-the-street franchise will have to come up with the payroll money somehow.

Your average business is way less profitable than you think.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by staticassertion on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:07AM (#27062618)
For sure, I'd heard that 10% before and it makes sense - also aware of the McDonald's use case. I wasn't trying to imply that this was a simple or universal fix. Still, pulling unemployment to force people back to work feels really gross and I think we need to start to look at where there's room in that 10% (or more for other companies) to help people.

That said, do we need so many McDonald's? If, say, half of them closed, but the people who worked there had better lives and more free time, I'm inclined to believe the world would benefit. So maybe we end up with fewer low-skill jobs, but ultimately was society really benefiting greatly from that labor anyways?

And if the answer is "yes", ok, that's probably a case for the government to start providing or assisting in that service.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sp332 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:07AM (#27062620)
The McDonald's where minimum wage is $15 don't really charge that much more than the places where it's $7.25 though.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by NovemberWhiskey on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:46AM (#27063104)
A Sausage, Egg and Cheese McGriddle meal is $5.99 in Montgomery AL, but $9.19 in New York NY.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by staticassertion on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:57AM (#27063252)
I don't think this proves anything at all, but certainly not about wages. Food in big cities is often 2-3x the cost, which you can attribute to:

a) Customers having higher salaries

b) Property being massively more expensive

c) In the case of NYC, much higher property taxes

d) Yes, perhaps the cost of labor as well

Seems really hard to draw any conclusion given all of that.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by NovemberWhiskey on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:15AM (#27063547)
>I don't think this proves anything at all

It absolutely disproves the statement "McDonald's where minimum wage is $15 don't really charge that much more than the places where it's $7.25"

McDonalds charges >50% more in this comparison of $15 vs. federal minimum wage locales.

I'm not making any claims whatsoever about why the price is higher in NYC. I just want people to stop relying on the canard "McDonalds prices are similar everywhere" during this debate.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by staticassertion on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:51AM (#27065110)
Fair enough. You're right, and my response was attacking a straw man argument that you never made - sorry about that.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sp332 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:03PM (#27065277)
What's your source for those? I checked UberEats and it's $5.06 in Seattle.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by maxerickson on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:46AM (#27063110)
How much of the difference is wage and how much is rent?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by skynet-9000 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:40AM (#27063037)
It's a lot more risky for the business though, which means that more marginal areas will not have a McDonald's if they can't do the volume.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by duckfang on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:53AM (#27061866)
If a company relies on wage slavery and the implicit American threat of 'no work: no housing, no food, no medical', then those companies should die.

Edit: it's funny how I'm modded down, but this is straight up 'Socialism for the rich, and capitalism for the poor'. And it's doubly insulting that the unemployment "insurance" is being pulled en masse, with only regard to the monied elite.

Then again, I'd expect no less coming from a den of VC's and their ilk. They certainly don't care about the human.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by gruez on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:36AM (#27062259)
>If a company is still profitable it doesn't actually have to raise its prices just because its profits go down.

Because companies/executives are known to be altruistic?

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by staticassertion on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:06AM (#27062603)
If it sounded like I was implying that companies would do that, that's my mistake - I was only saying that they could do that.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by gumby on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:39AM (#27062295)
> Enjoying life is wonderful, but if everyone enjoys life, we'll all starve.

What a grim, zero-sum view. How about working and enjoying life?

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by mbg721 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:41AM (#27062323)
I think it's more accurate to say "If everyone optimizes for immediate enjoyment all the time, we all starve."
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by UncleMeat on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:09AM (#27064357)
And if everybody optimizes for capital markets all the time, people die without living.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by mbg721 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:41AM (#27064940)
For sure! I would never advocate "maximize other people's money" as a philosophy around which anyone should center their life. The idea is to convince everyone to buy into an economy that works, and then live life around that.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by ABeeSea on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:15AM (#27063540)
Prices are a function of supply and demand, not the cost of labor.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by missedthecue on Thursday May 06, 2021 @04:51PM (#27068899)
But if the equilibrium is below the cost of production, no one will bother producing.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by Barrin92 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:03AM (#27059990)
if you mandate higher wages by making firms compete with welfare all you do is create wage-push inflation, because to fund the higher wages companies will have to raise prices. Your average business where low-paid people work, like services or retail or hairdressers don't have some crazy margins where you can magically conjure up money out of the ether.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by TheOtherHobbes on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:10AM (#27060041)
Big companies can also lower profits.

I know it's a shocking idea, but it is possible.

Sometimes when that happens more money ends up in the local economy and hairdressers etc can charge more and pay more without pricing themselves out of the market.

It's the difference between an optimistic and inclusive economy and a depressive and retentive one which tries to minimise shared opportunity.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by Barrin92 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:21AM (#27060102)
There's not a lot of big, profitable business in Montana (in fact apparently the largest company in the state has about 10k employees). What you're talking about is monopsony power which yes, can depress wages, but as the article points out Montana has an unemployment rate of 3.8 percent and every sector has labour shortages. It's a tight, competitive labour market, not a loose one.

There is no magic here. If everyone charges more and pays more you have, on aggregate, gained nothing. That's the point, if merely raising nominal wages would make everyone better off we'd have a magic button to solve poverty.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by yarcob on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:32AM (#27060170)
> If everyone charges more and pays more you have, on aggregate, gained nothing

You would reduce income inequality. People who earn money from labour would now earn more vs. people who earn money from capital gains. It would also incentivise investing into production companies rather than passive investments like real estate.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by koolba on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:19AM (#27061570)
> It would also incentivise investing into production companies rather than passive investments like real estate.

It would do the opposite. Investments with low to no labor costs would see increased investment as the returns are protected against rising labor costs.

High labor costs also incentivize automation of low level tasks traditional performed by low wage labor. Anybody who’s used a self checkout kiosk knows how that works.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by intended on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:41AM (#27062324)
Automation is coming anyway. A kiosk costs many many magnitudes lower than even an unpaid human. The unpaid human still has to go to the loo.

This is not an argument to keeping people underpaid.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by bluefirebrand on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:59AM (#27063295)
Kiosks break down requiring service calls. They need software teams to keep them updated, and a not-insignificant portion of the population still just refuse to engage with them. That's why almost all of the ones you see around in stores have attendants still.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:25AM (#27061618)
How would reducing the profitability of productive companies incentivize investing in them? If I knew this was coming I’d try to move my own investments (time and money) into activities which didn’t require high-priced inputs (like labor) to things which didn’t (like IP and real estate and maybe even crypto).
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by prepend on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:42AM (#27061766)
Actually it increases income inequality. Raising wages affects the lowest wage workers most, the same who are impacted by raising prices. The wealthy and ultra rich don’t benefit from increased wages, aren’t harmed by raised prices, but they earn an income on increased prices so result in higher income.

Think of it as the owner has a percentage of revenue. So prices go up, they make more even if most of it is given as wages. Obviously, firms want to raise prices but are limited by the market because of competition. If everyone must raise prices then the competition element is removed.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by badpun on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:40AM (#27061748)
How? Higher minimum wages make owning a business less atractive.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by intended on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:48AM (#27062402)
Minimum wages in America are so low, that an increase in minimum wages goes to spending on consumption goods. This drives economic activity.

Eventually inflation catches up and we are back here again.

To be fair the real issue is the wealth gap.

More money in the hands of poorer people means more money circulation and demand.

Money in rich people’s hands means more investment.

Currently far more is in the hands of rich people so we have incredible amounts of investment dry powder waiting to be deployed, and riskier and less healthy ideas being funded.

Optimum consumption and investment is the ideal way forward, and everyone gets a bigger pie (except the environment)

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by mindslight on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:00PM (#27065238)
> If everyone charges more and pays more you have, on aggregate, gained nothing.

Except for the rampant price inflation in housing, healthcare, education, which has happened over the past few decades. The higher unemployment benefits reflect the actual cost of living. Wages (and service industry prices) rising are unfortunately more of a trailing correction than a leading cause.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by ABeeSea on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:19AM (#27063613)
>It is a tight competitive labor market

So raise wages enough to convince people to move to Montana.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by yarcob on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:24AM (#27060124)
The logic is a bit misleading, because you implicitly assume that goods and services should be as cheap as possible, while rents and real estate prices are rising to all time highs.

If rents were lower, and goods and services were more expensive, then many people would earn more (since many low paying jobs are in retail and personal services). And it would be a lot easier to lower living expenses by just consuming less.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:27AM (#27061638)
How does giving people more money lower rents though? If UBI became likely, I’d expect investments in the low-end of the housing market to do better based on the prospect of a rising rental market and more steady payments of rents owed.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jonnycomputer on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:33AM (#27062954)
I'd guess that if low-end housing were a more profitable segment of the market, then supply would increase, driving down the price.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jonnycomputer on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:31AM (#27062930)
This seems to be just a recipe for defeatism. It essentially argues that there will always be poor, that anything you do to fix it will just make them poorer. I just don't buy it.

And if its true, then tear the damn system down, because its failing us.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jollybean on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:41AM (#27061760)
"all you do is" ... there are are lot of possible side-effects.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by imtringued on Thursday May 06, 2021 @05:15AM (#27060806)
I honestly don't see the problem. Abnormally low inflation is a problem, unless a government cunningly takes advantage of the labor force to get ahead of other nations there is no benefit, it merely indicates that the private sector is not competitive enough and rising asset prices are just an indicator of an increasingly unstable economy.

Just think about it, China gives you free shit, you take advantage of the free shit to make your nation grow faster. Trump says, we don't want your free shit (trade war). Biden says, thanks to your free shit we can grow our economy (infrastructure).

Of course if you do neither, the free shit piles up in your country, prices for everything go down and people are unemployed as a result.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by rednerrus on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:58AM (#27062511)
You’d have to pay a ton of money to get people to give up free time with their friends having fun.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by axiosgunnar on Friday May 07, 2021 @03:44PM (#27080107)
So you appeal to the market forces (just pay more!), but ignore the massive distortion of market forces due to welfare that has increased a lot since the pandemic started?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by smnrchrds on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:59AM (#27063284)
> The horror!

The scary part is the deficit we are incurring to pay for it. It's not sustainable. The benefits cannot be extended indefinitely.

EDIT: In Canada

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by freeone3000 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:12AM (#27063492)
The last time the federal government had a surplus was 2001. If we can manage to sustain a twenty-year deficit for expeditionary wars, but can't to sustain the health and well-being or our own people, our priorities are incredibly inverted.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by smnrchrds on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:51AM (#27064103)
I live in Canada and was talking about Canada, as was the GP. I don't know the fiscal capacity of the US. But here, CERB/CRB are not sustainable with our current fiscal capacity.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by BurningFrog on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:19AM (#27062772)
"If you can't afford what you need, you just have to pay more" is a true statement, but not much of a solution in most cases.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jl2718 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:00AM (#27061937)
I think the bigger problem is that the work environment has turned into political hell.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by yokaze on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:08AM (#27060026)
> Not many people want to get a job

How can one reconcile your hypothesis with the recent employment statistics: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/210409/dq210...

There is a clear uptake from record unemployment.

Having a good work in your life is still more fulfilling than just leisure for most people, on top of that, you can afford more things. Yes, shitty jobs have trouble finding people. I personally see that not as a downside, but rather an upside of the whole thing.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by mercer on Thursday May 06, 2021 @05:24AM (#27060862)
(paid) work or leisure is a false dichotomy. What people want, and what fulfils them, is meaningful activity, not 'work' in itself.

Work can provide meaning in various ways (care for colleagues, creative expression, a 'goal' to work towards, etc.) and the idea of having more money can be somewhat meaningful, of course (especially if you really need it!).

But there are tons of other meaningful and fulfilling things a person can do with their time, and I'm willing to bet that most people would prefer most of those over having to do 'stuff' for a 'boss/manager' in a hierarchical organization that might (in part) not provide much meaning other than making money for them and hopefully enough for yourself.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by dools on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:34AM (#27061707)
Work is what we do for others.

Hobbies are what we do for ourselves.

We can widen the definition of work to be far more inclusive, and then structure a program to compensate people for doing that work http://www.jobguarantee.org/

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by mercer on Friday May 07, 2021 @05:31AM (#27074038)
My point was that 'work', doing things that are not leisure (although that distinction can be vague) is not limited to what we generally mean when we say 'job' (paid labor). The role of a mother comes to mind, or retirees who spend time volunteering.

Anyways, just clearing that up. I agree that the recipe to happiness probably includes a hefty dose of 'what we do for others'. I don't think I've met a person who was truly happy just slacking off and doing things just for themselves.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by BurningFrog on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:21AM (#27062802)
> Work is what we do for others.

And since others do so much for me, it's only fair that I do something for them.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by machinebun on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:40AM (#27063971)
Labor used to be directly related to our ability to feed ourselves (when everyone was a farmer / hunter gatherer). No work = no eat.

Nowadays, we have more productivity as a species if we do specific labor instead in order to feed ourselves, but the premise is the same. No work = no eat (at least until you have enough savings/investments to afford not to work). At least until theoretically automation takes all of the jobs.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jollybean on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:43AM (#27061782)
'Work' is service to others and the community and is 'meaningful activity' to many people.

When it's about 'creative expression' it's really about oneself.

If you fill up gas in cars all day, your friend lays brick, someone else logs and mills, another frames ... then that's us working together to create warm homes.

So if we can do that without individuals siphoning off the top (or bottom) it works.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by taurath on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:22AM (#27060111)
The solution seems to be to force people back into the shitty jobs by threatening them with starvation rather than improving conditions.

Much has been said about how much of a dead end this jobs are but I’d like to reiterate how incredibly difficult it is when you have no time to improve your lot in life. There’s so many statistics about how poverty and poverty jobs are a trap that most never escape in the US compared to other developed countries.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by lethologica on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:07AM (#27060018)
I'm in a similar situation in Australia with roughly the same monetary benefits from Centrelink. An extended summer break really is what it feels like. Honestly, I don't even miss the money I used to make and my mental health has improved so dramatically that going back to work just to make the same amount (with the jobs that are currently available here) just seems absolutely crazy.

It is very hard though when everyone else around you acts as though being on government assistance makes you some kind of a useless, good for nothing leech who doesn't even deserve to have food or a roof over their head.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by taurath on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:25AM (#27060128)
As opposed to the bigger leaches which are the rich who make money just by having it. Bill gates has tripled his net worth while trying to give it away. If the rich won’t do anything at least improve conditions for people stuck on the bottom.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by thomasahle on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:06AM (#27060014)
> You have very little money, but can spend endless days reconnecting with your friends, hiking, playing games, learning music, et cetera.

Doesn't sound like a bad life to be honest. Good to hear we have a bright future if we ever get AI to take all the jobs.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by asdff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:11AM (#27060047)
But then how will the landlords get paid?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jessaustin on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:11AM (#27061523)
If robots are doing all the work, why would landlords be paid for anything?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:33AM (#27061691)
If the landlords won’t be paid for anything, why would they provide housing for tenants? Then where will the tenants live?

Whatever you think of landlords, people do in general prefer to live indoors and landlords are in the business of offering that service.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by supercheetah on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:52AM (#27061857)
If robots do all the construction and maintenance, then there's probably an AI that owns the building too that just wants the energy to sustain itself, in which case it probably owns the grid too, and probably won't care much about what the humans living in its buildings are doing.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @08:52AM (#27062437)
I loved the Matrix movies too, but we’re not at that place in the timeline yet (at least I think the chicken I’m eating is chicken).
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by chii on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:01AM (#27063316)
so who owns the land on which the building was built? who owns the robots that built the building? Who provided the initial capital to build those robots?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jessaustin on Thursday May 06, 2021 @02:37PM (#27067424)
The hypothetical of this thread is "a bright future if we ever get AI to take all the jobs." That's a much bigger change from our current condition than e.g. a renegotiation between capital and humanity with respect to customary provision of shelter. Such renegotiations already occur with regularity, but the robots have never yet done all the work. If the robots ever do this (and since we're assuming a miraculous future, without simultaneously demanding all the decision-making power) there would no longer be a reason to preserve the privileges previously associated with historical investment in residential construction.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by freeone3000 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:15AM (#27063550)
Why should they get to offer that service merely because they bought the land first? Why does the service of housing people need to be offered by private citizens?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:20AM (#27063637)
What else would buying the land mean? Why do I get to use this laptop, eat this food, wear this shirt, or live in this [owner-occupied] house just because I bought it first?

Housing could absolutely be provided by companies or governments. In the US, government has an absolutely horrible track record of providing desirable housing (except perhaps military base officer housing).

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by machinebun on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:44AM (#27064008)
We don't have to have government take over housing, just relax the zoning regulation. The damn real estate owner's association has too much power - if we curb some of it, I will have no problem with privately owned real estate.

Remove the carveouts against money laundering for real estate, the preferential tax treatment / mortgage interest deductibility for investment properties, things like that.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by sokoloff on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:47AM (#27064047)
Business loans are tax-deductible because we have a tax system based on net income.

Why should airlines or manufacturers or other businesses be able to deduct the interest on their loans, while one specific sector cannot?

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by machinebun on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:57AM (#27064190)
> Other business loans are tax-deductible because we have a tax system based on net income.

I want to make a distinction between productive use of capital and rent-seeking. If you're getting a loan in order to buy an existing piece of property and rent it out - that is not productive, it is rent seeking (since you generate cash flow from just holding onto an asset and not doing anything with it).

If you're building a new house or renovating/repairing the existing house with that loan, then the part that goes towards building/renovation is productive and the interest on that part of the loan should be deductible.

The point is that people can make a lot of money by buying up real estate "portfolios" and simply sitting on them to generate cashflow, pricing others who want to buy a home out of the market. This would even out the balance a bit and make holding onto lots of investment assets more expensive but buying your first home [relatively] more affordable.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by antihero on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:32AM (#27061681)
Because they own stuff and see it as their right to make money for doing nothing.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by NovemberWhiskey on Thursday May 06, 2021 @10:28AM (#27063788)
Firstly, fairly obvious you've never been a landlord. Second of all, yes, making money by owning stuff is called capitalism and that is the system we have.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by antihero on Friday May 07, 2021 @07:14PM (#27081881)
Thank you so much for your enlightening comment. Clearly I understood neither of those things and now, I do.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by prepend on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:45AM (#27061798)
They get paid with the state provided unemployment income.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by nikanj on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:50AM (#27060270)
I guess Montana hasn't heard of AI, as they're facing a labour shortage
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by passtheglass on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:53AM (#27061861)
It's hard to even make enough money to buy a house/save for retirement, is there any wonder why people don't want to work, when all it affords them only a marginally less meagre existence, with no leisure time to enjoy it?
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by bluefirebrand on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:43AM (#27063080)
> Not many people want to get a job - as it's just as fun as being the only kid in your group who got a job at 17. You might be making money, but everyone else is making out at the midnight bonfire

This is honestly kind of true. I'm the only person in my friend group who has been working full time the entire pandemic and I've definitely been missing out on fun.

Oh well. Someone has to pay for CERB.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by JeremyNT on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:02PM (#27065258)
This sounds like the world I want to live in!

Shouldn't our miraculous technological advances and enormous wealth enable this lifestyle for anybody who wants it (rather than just the idle oligarch class, which has not only the luxury of not working, but the luxury of actual luxury to go with it?)

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by barbazoo on Thursday May 06, 2021 @11:16AM (#27064490)
You mean before they discontinued it last September? As the name suggests, it was a temporary taxable benefit. Unfortunately we don't have a UBI in Canada yet.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by grecy on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:22PM (#27065562)
Canada transitioned CERB into a more-permissible Employment Insurance (EI). I'm sure the poster you are replying to means they've moved onto that.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by kstenerud on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:05AM (#27060008)
* headsmack * Of course! It all makes sense now! These people are fundamentally lazy and need to get off the public teat. They need a "dad" to kick them in their lazy ass to start contributing something for a change instead of being parasites on society! How silly of me. Thanks for explaining.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by Brian_K_White on Thursday May 06, 2021 @07:29AM (#27061654)
People downvoting... Guys, read it slower or something.
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by rob74 on Thursday May 06, 2021 @03:25AM (#27060129)
Good for you! Now that you finally got it, you'll vote Republican/Conservative/whatever-it's-called-where-you-live next time too, I hope? /s
Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by jmpz on Thursday May 06, 2021 @06:45AM (#27061336)
I think you're forgetting the detail of the very little money you're making from unemployment not being enough to afford things like rent, food, health care, children..

You're privileged bias is showing when you refer to hiking, playing games, learning music rather than trying to buy medication or keep a roof over your head.

Re:Montana to cancel unemployment benefits to address severe... by i_haz_rabies on Thursday May 06, 2021 @09:20AM (#27062778)
You make a fair point.