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Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by flashman on Monday January 06, 2020 @07:55PM (#21975523)
To know if the universe is expanding, we need to know the following: how far away things are, and whether they're moving away from us. In an accelerating universe, there's evidence that things were moving away from us slower in the past.

The evidence that things are moving away from us is that as the universe expands, the wavelength of any light travelling through it also expands, shifting it towards the red end of the spectrum: redshift. (Think of the wavelength of a wavy line drawn on a piece of rubber that's then stretched out.) We've known for nearly 100 years that the universe is expanding. (Edit: not just that the objects in it are moving apart but that space itself is expanding.)

The evidence of accelerating expansion is that based on the redshift of nearby objects, we would expect distant objects to have a higher redshift than they actually do. That means they were moving away from us slower in the past, so something must be accelerating them.

We use the brightness of Type Ia supernovae to measure distance. Even though supernovae aren't identically bright, their brightness follows a curve which lets us calculate their peak brightness (they are standardizable).

This paper argues that the calculations cosmologists use to standardize supernovae brightness fail to take into account the age of the progenitor stars, as far as I can tell. If true, this means our distance measurements are inaccurate and these stars are actually closer than we thought, enough to restore to linear relationship between distance and redshift that one would expect in a universe expanding at a constant rate.

In other words, their redshift is lower not because the expansion rate of space was lower in the past, but because they're not as far away as we thought they were.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bananabreakfast on Monday January 06, 2020 @09:41PM (#21976270)
Speaking from the pov as a former astrophysicist, that definition of redshift is not quite accurate.

While we have observed the universe expanding since Edwin Hubble published his findings 90 years ago, it was in fact the Friedmann equations produced 10 years earlier that established how it would work within the context of general relativity.

The Universe is expanding at every known point at the same time at the same rate. However, this is only an observable effect over > 10 Mpc of distance (e.g. extra-galactic distances). This is far too large to effect a point particle like a photon no matter how far it travels so I'm afraid your analogy of a rubber sheet is incorrect.

The lengthening of said photon's wavelength comes instead from doppler expansion due to the nature of differing relativistic reference frames.

According to our local reference frame, doppler effects of nearby stars and galaxies are only due to local motion such as Andromeda being blue shifted as it approaches us for our eventual merger. However, as you go further and further out from our galaxy the metric expansion of spacetime begins to dominate the relative motion of all bodies, leading to observing progressively redder and redder light curves. A galaxy billions of light years away is perceived to be moving away from our reference frame at a significant percentage of the speed of light!

However, if you were to change our relativistic reference frame to match a distance galaxy's you would not see its photons "stretched out" but in fact they would look completely unshifted despite having traversed nearly all of spacetime, expanding as it went.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by dieppe on Monday January 06, 2020 @10:33PM (#21976564)
> The Universe is expanding at > every known point at the same > time at the same rate

This part I don't get (I am in no way versed in astrophysics).

If I am in a box, and that the box grows 10%, but that at the same time I grow 10%, what has changed?

I mean, if every point in the universe expands at the same rate at the same time, what does it change? Relatively speaking, everything is the same size before and after expanding right?

It feels a bit like expanding a 1 meter line and expanding the meter standard the same rate as the line.

If anyone has an explanation and is willing to spend some time writing it down, I would be most grateful :)

This itches my brain ^^

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by roywiggins on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:27PM (#21976831)
So, imagine the box is filled with hydrogen gas. The space inside the box gets bigger. But protons don't, they're little packets of quarks that hold each other very powerfully. You'd have to expand space very, very, very fast to rip those quarks apart from each other, and once you did, you would have a bunch of bare quarks, not hydrogen. The quarks aren't getting bigger, since they appear to be indivisible and essentially pointlike, and even if they were made of something smaller, those things will hold tight to each other, too. A nice gentle expansion will just expand the space in between the protons.

This scales up to forces in between atoms, molecules, and bits of matter. It's only at the very large scales (larger than galaxies) that all the forces that are holding the stuff together starts getting overwhelmed by the expansion of space and it starts to pull things apart. The expansion is so gentle that even relatively weak gravity can hold galaxy clusters together even as space grows.

In other words: space gets bigger, but matter doesn't. It more or less stays the same size.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by dieppe on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @10:05PM (#21987883)
Thanks for this reply. I guess I now understand what people mean by "space is expanding".

If I understand correctly, space is what supports matter? Like a table supports dishes for instance (well, except that space is also "inside" particules) — and so if the table grows, the dishes don't.

I never actually even thought of what "space" means before. I thought that when we talked about space, matter was included in that (in the sense that quarks or whatever is the smallest — known? — particle take some "space" ; they're not points that can't be measured — or are they? ^^').

Anyway, it sparkled back an old interest of mine for astrophysics (well, I read one book from Hubert Reeves when I was a kid — and loved it).

Thanks again :)

(oh, as an added bonus: I guess we have no idea _why_ space is expanding, right? Because, I mean, it's a bit mind boggling...)

Edit: to be a bit clearer; I thought space was just void that "always" existed and extended indefinitely. Like, there was nothing except a small point with all the energy in the universe ; "everywhere" else a bit nothingness. Then, bim, the big bang, and matter was just booming away and making stars and planets and then galaxies and all that was just floating in this void/nothingness that was always there, never changing, still extending indefinitely. And that was why we were saying the universe was expanding — because galaxies were still speeding away from each others due to the big bang ; like an explosion with no friction perpetuing indefinitely. Now I guess I'm really confused about what "space" is...

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by roywiggins on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @11:22PM (#21988308)
Quarks and electrons act like they're actually points. Nobody can be totally sure, but the standard math says they are, and nobody has managed to smash them apart into something smaller or measure them as anything other than "smaller than anything we can measure." They might be small loops of energy instead (this is part of string theory), but if they are, they'd be so small it would be beyond known science to prove it. It's easier to prove something has a size (by measuring it) than to prove the opposite. Every instrument has some margin of error, so you'd never be able to exclude there being some size.

The weird thing about the Big Bang is that it's really all of space that banged, and to a first approximation, space and time as we know it didn't exist before a singularity at the beginning of the expansion. It's very possible that's wrong (there may have been a "parent universe" or a "big bounce") but to a first approximation it seems to be that there may not have been a "before" the Big Bang.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expansion_of_the_universe

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by naruhodo on Wednesday January 08, 2020 @01:42AM (#21988956)
Space is filled with virtual particles that are constantly popping into and out of existence. As space expands, do these particles keep appearing in a given volume at the same rate? Or is the density of virtual particles declining as the volume of space increases?
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by galaxyLogic on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:14AM (#21978613)
Well so in other words "space" is NOT expanding. It's particles of matter that are moving away from each other. Right?

So fine, but then why would we say that space is expanding, that would seem to imply we know there is some edge of space which is moving away from us, but what evidence do we have that space has such an edge?

Saying that "space is expanding" seems to hold the assumption that space has a (limited) width and height.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:29AM (#21978681)
No space really is expanding. Think of it this way: You have a rubber band and you pull it apart, if you place two beads on the rubber band the distance between the beads will increase (even though they don't move relative to the rubber). But if you connect the two beads by a strong spring, then their distance will stay the same, despite space expanding. The force of the spring makes them move (relative to the rubber), counteracting the expansion of space between them.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Koshkin on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:26AM (#21979290)
> relative to the rubber

This makes me uneasy about your analogy. It’s like saying “relative to space” which is nonsense. Also, why would space limit itself to only expanding outside a physical body?

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bananabreakfast on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:45PM (#21982377)
It does not. It expands at every point in spacetime. This effect is quite literally negligible on all length scales smaller than far extra-galactic distances.

It is equivalent to asking why a car driving towards me does not turn blue due to doppler shifting. Except even more negligible than that.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @10:34AM (#21980878)
I never said it is only expanding outside. Also moving relative to space is not nonsense. Motion is not just relative to other objects in space. This what Newton's bucket thought experiment showed.

Edit: the pearl is made from around bound by electric forces, so you can repeat the same argument for inside the pearl. You can repeat it all the way down until you have to admit that the approximations inherent in the concepts useful to describe the world at distances from nano meters to mega parsec eventually break down.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by SAI_Peregrinus on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:49PM (#21982435)
> Also, why would space limit itself to only expanding outside a physical body?

It doesn't, it's just that the forces within the body (the spring in the analogy) are stronger than the expansion.

The "relative to space" bit is the nonsense part of their analogy, but I'm not sure of a clearer way to describe things than what they did. It's not my field.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:11PM (#21983477)
Maybe a better way to phrase it would have been moving over the rubber/space? Or through the rubber/space? It really is motion relative to the underlying manifold though. Let's say there was such a thing as a gravitational soliton, that is, a stable ripple in spacetime, then if you are on the same spot as this wrinkle as expansion starts you will move away from it. You move relative to a structure made from spacetime. This was my field for many years. :-)

The mathematically precise statement is that you are not moving on a geodesic. You are therefore experiencing acceleration (the objects that are not bound and have increasing distance are on geodesics and do not experience acceleration).

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by roywiggins on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @09:25AM (#21980137)
You can't make an electron bigger, so it can't be stretched out. Other point particles are the same. The forces that hold physical stuff together are much more powerful than the gentle expansion of space, so we don't see people and planets dissolving.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Koshkin on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @11:43AM (#21981617)
Indeed you can, if you realize that the place occupied by the "point particle" is described by its wavefunction.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by roywiggins on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:36PM (#21982249)
I know! But when you poke it, it still acts like a particle and the wavefunction localizes again, right? It doesn't exactly "puff up" like a billiard ball. Electrons don't really get bigger when they are put into states where their position is less localized.

But the expansion of space does "stretch" light- or at least, the wavelength gets longer, so it's not not happening.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:14AM (#21979223)
Such counteract action will make lot of side effects, which can be measured. For example, trajectories of separating or oscillating bodies will be slightly curved. Do you have any experimental support for this theory?
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by DavidSJ on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:24AM (#21979273)
This isn’t Certhas’s personal theory. It’s part of standard cosmology, called the metric expansion of space. That term should get you pointed in the right direction if you want to learn more about the evidence for it.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:56AM (#21979473)
It's too complex to explain, I will not understand it. Right?
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @11:33AM (#21981498)
It's not, but it might take more work than reading a few HN comments.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @11:32AM (#21981491)
The effect of the expansion of the universe on bound systems is far to small to be observed. Two objects 1 meter apart would move at a speed of 10^-17 m/s. Utterly unobservable. But we know space is expanding by looking at things that are super far away from us and that are not bound.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by antman on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:58PM (#21982572)
Any objects? So it's independent of mass?
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by roywiggins on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:50PM (#21986044)
It's independent of mass because it's just a little extra space being created everywhere all the time. It's not exactly a force. First, there was 1 meter between them. Now there's 1 meter and a tiny bit more. The amount of space being created is, in theory, the same everywhere. It's not a repulsive force- space is just being created.

It can actually end up making things very far away appear to move faster than light away from us, since there's a lot of space in between.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:41PM (#21983103)
Yes, any two bound objects will do so, irrespective of their mass or anything else.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:51PM (#21982477)
We can directly measure distance to stars which are near us, using trigonometry and waiting half of year for Earth to make half of distance around Sun. Distance to thousands of stars is already measured with ±5% precision.[0] Yes, it's true that at least some stars, which are near to us, are moving away from us. However, it can be explained in number of ways, without inventing of Bing Bang or other epic events.

We cannot measure distance to super far away stars directly. Period.

10^-17 m/s is very high speed. Distance to Moon is 0.385E15 mm, and it can be measured at sub-millimeter accuracy, so this effect can be spotted. However, it will violate Conservation of Energy principle: no force applied, but job is done.

0: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6GhsYrU5WQ

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:58PM (#21983319)
What's your point? Do you want me to explain the basics of GR and Cosmology, including the vast amounts of evidence we have for everything in HN comments? Do you think you are pointing out subtle errors in reasoning that none of the tens of thousands of physics students since the early twentieth century spotted?

You don't have the decency to try to learn the basics but presume to lecture me/expect explanations? Take a course. Show a little humility. Even reading Wikipedia thoroughly would have informed you that it's galaxies, not stars that confirm the expansion of the universe. The expansion (not the acceleration of the expansion) is beyond doubt. Conservation of Energy is not a priory defined for the question at hand because in GR you can not just add the energy at different points in space.

Measuring the perturbation to the moon's trajectory from expansion would require knowing all parameters that enter the trajectory to this accuracy, not just the average distance.

This is all basic if you want to learn, but you seem to have a different agenda...

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:41PM (#21983882)
I'm trying to point out, that current evidence can be explained in different way: by kind of Tired Light Theory. TLT plays well with Pilot Wave Theory and it doesn't need epic events in the past just few galactic hours ago. I'm familiar with evidence used by expanding Universe theories and with problems in them.

TLT predicts that value of "Speed of expanse" will be different when measured using different methods or frequencies, and it is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubble%27s_law#Measured_values... .

TLT predicts that there is much more stars, but we cannot see them yet because they are too dim, but more powerful telescopes will be able to pickup them. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tolman_surface_brightness_test https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/hubble-reveals-obs...

TTL predicts stars and galaxies older than BB (because of no BB), and they are found: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_most_distant_astro...

TTL predicts that Cosmic Background Radiation is just radiation of distant objects with Z=1000 .

And so on.

In short, mainstream theories doesn't hold against new data.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shuspect on Wednesday January 08, 2020 @08:58AM (#21991440)
Number of red dwarfs is really astonishing: https://youtu.be/LOJ1XmbSKhM?t=1125

Tolman surface brightness test now looks much brighter. ;-)

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @03:30PM (#21984448)
So yeah, your agenda is not to learn or discuss but to push falsified fringe theories, that were exhaustively discussed until the eighties, when better data ruled them out...
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @03:53PM (#21984691)
Yep. I was too young in eighties to participate in these discussions, so I can read about them only, and watch some lectures, which is not satisfying enough for my curiosity.

Can we discuss something easier?

Why you think that photon is immortal? Why we have rule of right hand in EM? Why we see star formations older than BB? WTF is "physical vacuum"? What is waved by gravitational waves? What is happen in linear Sagnac interferometer? How photon is formed (it requires FTL to form)? What happens in double slit experiment? And so on.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Certhas on Wednesday January 08, 2020 @03:15AM (#21989414)
Have you tried reading the papers from the period? for the rest, enroll in a physics course and try to not fall into the conceptual traps that even many that have studied and taught physics have fallen into.

Nothing is hidden, but it does take time and persistence.

Photons are not "immortal" they can decay if they have enough energy. Rule of right hand is a convention, could be left hand if you define the sign of charge differently. We don't see star formation older than BB but early universe physics is not easy to understand and there are lots of model uncertainties. Physical vacuum is what remains when no excitations are present. Gravitational waves are ripples in space itself. I don't understand what you mean by photons being formed.

You can not expect the concepts and intuitions that you formed by interacting with the macroscopic world to serve you well when thinking about the microscopic and fundamental. People used to think that you need some type of material aether that carries the waves of light. But that turned out not to be concepts that map well to reality. It took decades to learn to unthink these concepts, there is no shortcut to doing so yourself.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by ses1984 on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:22AM (#21979644)
If things were moving away from each other, there would have to be something that set them in motion away from each other. What made all far apart galaxies appear to move away from each other?

Expanding space doesn't necessarily imply edge of space. What if your universe isn't flat, what if it's a torus? It could hypothetically have a finite volume but no edge.

There's also no reason an infinite universe couldn't have local expansion everywhere.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by lmilcin on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:39AM (#21979776)
Space is expanding but gravitational attraction and other forces are many orders of magnitude stronger on short distance. While the space within the box expands the forces that attract molecules of the box are such that it will not change its shape until the expansion gets much, much stronger.

Think of the changing pressure. If the box is tight and rigid and the pressure outside the box increases, the box will roughly stay the box until the pressure overcomes the the forces between the molecules that build the walls.

Same with space. If you could measure, the increase in the volume of space would put a constant pressure on every molecule to try to rip it from other molecules. The fact that the rate of change of space and the distances between molecules are so small means that it is not evident that it will ever be possible to devise an experiment to show this on very short distances.

We can only see this on very long timescales and between objects that are very far from each other because all other forces on those scales have diminished so much that only then the increase of volume of space can dominate.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by jjgreen on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:43AM (#21978748)
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by roywiggins on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @09:23AM (#21980109)
Every cosmologist since Hubble who has held that space is expanding, no, they don't assume the universe is finite. The opposite, in fact.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:24AM (#21978659)
Specific volume is increasing. If space was finite (but still without boundary - think eg surface of a sphere), so would total volume.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Hendrikto on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:10PM (#21976753)
Your interpretation of the expansion is incorrect. Basically, it looks like all points are moving away from each other over large distances.

It is easier to understand in 2D: Imagine a deflated balloon with two dots drawn on it. When you inflate the balloon, its 2D surface increases, which results in the two points "moving away" from each other, without either of them actually moving. It‘s just that the surface on which they lie grows. This is also the reason why distant galaxies are getting more distant faster than the speed of light: They are not actually moving, but the space in between us and them grows.

Notice that the farther two points on the surface of the balloon are apart, the faster they will appear to be moving away from each other, which is why the effect is unnoticeable over small (in astronomical terms) distances. Gravity pulls things together much faster than space expansion pulls them apart.

Bringing this back to your example: Imagine "blowing up" the box. Things inside it are growing a little bit (but gravity pulls them back together), but everything seems to be moving away from everything else.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by JackFr on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:35PM (#21976862)
What's still not clear is how I know the other point on the surface of the ballon is moving away from me? I measure it as 9 tick marks away. After inflation it's still nine tick marks.

That is to say, what is my ruler that is untethered to the surface of the balloon?

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Tenemo on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:41PM (#21976905)
Your ruler is absolute distances, like the speed of light. You can inflate or deflate the balloon and the number of marks on its surface won't change. But the time required for the light to travel between them will.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by zaroth on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:18AM (#21977136)
Stupid question - How do you know for certain it isn’t just that light is slowing down?

Relativity probably doesn’t work this way at all, but if light did actually slow down, would it be perceived by us as light moving at the same speed across a greater distance?

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by mdturnerphys on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:12AM (#21977405)
I asked Ann Nelson (look her up) this when I audited her cosmology class in grad school, thinking I'd come up with a great new idea. She said yes, it's equivalent to the speed of light changing, and then moved on.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by simonh on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:12AM (#21977406)
Bear in mind that time is not universal. For the speed of light to change over time, it would change at different rates for observers in different reference frames, and this difference would be measurable.

As to the previous question about relative size. If the universe doubled in size, the objects within it such as atoms don’t also double in size. Gravity and the atomic forces don’t change, so eg the size of stable electron orbits or planetary orbits don’t double in size.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bananabreakfast on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:53PM (#21982494)
Not exactly. Remember, we're not timing the light's transit. We're observing a redshift of it's frequency which could not be caused by c simply decreasing over time.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by pedrosorio on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:16AM (#21977754)
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bananabreakfast on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:56PM (#21982543)
It's incorrect to think with this analogy. There is no ruler reaching across the universe, growing with it.

It is not the meter that is growing, that's impossible. Instead you must see it as it is, which is that there are more meters continuously appearing in all of space.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by allovernow on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:44PM (#21976930)
I think physical forces (electromagnetism, gravity, strong/weak nuclear) probably become weaker even though your metric (9 ticks) stays the same. I'm just guessing here, that's the only consequence I can think of.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by galaxyLogic on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:20AM (#21978640)
> looks like all points are moving away from each other ...

Do you mean all particles are moving away from each other? I think the question here was what would it mean for "points" to move? What are points anyway?

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by hibbelig on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @11:02AM (#21981187)
The analogy was dots on a balloon, and the next sentence used "points" instead of "dots" but meant the same analogy.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Koshkin on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @11:48AM (#21981677)
A point (in space) is something that could be occupied by an object.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by 317070 on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @10:52AM (#21981087)
It boils down to this: You take a bowling ball, and put it 1 meter stick away from you at zero velocity compared to you. Assume that at this distance, no forces are exchanged between you and the ball. You wait a billion billion gazillion years, take your meter stick again and measure the distance between you and the ball, and notice it is now 2 meters away. It is the distance between you and the ball that has grown.

Note that the ball has not grown twice its size. The sizes of atoms and molecules have not changed (as they have mechanisms to keep them exactly the size they are, despite space growing). It is only when there are no mechanisms or forces to keep distances between objects fixed, they seem to drift apart very slowly. The question the article addresses, is whether that growth is accelerating or not.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cjonas on Monday January 06, 2020 @10:48PM (#21976646)
My (limited) understanding is that only space is expanding. Iow there is more space but the space that matter takes up stays constant.

Maybe I'm also confused though

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by simcop2387 on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:09PM (#21976743)
That's basically my lay-person's understanding also. It's because the expansion isn't significant at small scales, so gravity and electromagnetism overpower it. This causes existing objects and clouds to effectively remain the same size [I have to assume that there's an effect, stealing potential energy at very small scales].
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:01PM (#21982610)
Gravity and EM are holding our galaxy, our Laniakea, our Universe. See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rENyyRwxpHo .
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by adrianN on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:14AM (#21977093)
As I understand it, the forces that keep matter together are strong enough to counteract any expansion.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by Koshkin on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:35AM (#21979341)
Unlikely, because expansion of space is equivalent to the slowing of light, as other commenters have mentioned.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:45AM (#21979405)
Such heuristic explanations are distractions: Locally, gravitational effects (including spatial expansion) manifest as pseudo-forces and hence can be counteracted.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by wolfram74 on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @06:57AM (#21979132)
Think about drawing two circles on a balloon, one with radius 1cm, and the other with radius 2cm. the distance between the two perimeters is 1cm, but if we inflate the balloon so that the surfaces double, now the inner circle has a radius of 2, and the outer circle a radius of 4, the distance between the perimeters has grown along side the rest of all the lengths. That's my best understanding of the situation, I mostly do non-linear classical mechanics.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:19AM (#21979251)
Who pumping the balloon? Where is source of this energy? Can we use this source of energy for our own needs?
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by orestarod on Friday January 17, 2020 @10:38AM (#22075515)
We do not know why the balloon is inflating. I think "dark energy" is a form of energy assigned for being responsible for it, but other than the name I don't think we have reached conclusions as to what it actually is.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by blechinger on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @03:41PM (#21984564)
I am not a physicist.

My understanding is that the fundamental forces are strong enough to resist the local expansion of space.

So the box gets bigger but particles do not get ripped apart or themselves expand. Space is expanding. Not matter. The particles occupy the same space and the fundamental forces keep them together. Space just keeps moving and expanding around them.

This (coupled with the fact that, at least currently, the expansion is happening very slowly) is why the expansion isn't observable unless you're looking at a very large scale.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by mcv on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:06AM (#21978560)
This makes me wonder whether we would be able to tell the difference between the universe getting larger and matter in the universe getting smaller.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by gus_massa on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:33AM (#21978709)
Someone has published that idea a few year ago https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19588996

I think it's more a mathematical trick than something deep about the universe. If you tweak the change of the universal "constants" correctly in a universe that doesn't expand, it is equivalent to a universe that expands where the "constants" don't change.

Note that there is some research about the change of the universal constant, but in most models they don't have just the rights values to make the universe look like expanding. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time-variation_of_fundamental_...

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by igravious on Monday January 06, 2020 @10:26PM (#21976526)
One thing I've never understood is this.

How do we tell the difference between the expansion of space and the dilation of time?

Given that space and time are crudely specking intertwined (spacetime) how do we know that the effect we see -- redshifting -- is due to the spatial expansion at every known "point" and not the temporal expansion (contraction?) at every known moment? Could not the spatial size of the universe be constant and its "clock" be being distorted?

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:00AM (#21979507)
Relativistic frequency shifts can be understood as kinematic effects, namely orientation of photon 4-momentum relative to emitter and absorber 4-velocities.

Now, spacetime geometry might be such that there exists space/time decompositions that allow us to attribute the shift to specific physical effects (relative velocity of emitter and absorber in case of special-relativistic Doppler shift, time dilation in case of gravitational shift in Schwarzschild spacetime, spatial expansion in case of cosmological shift in FLRW spacetime), but from the perspective of spacetime geometry, these are just specific instances of a general mechanism that is agnostic to such attributions.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by igravious on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:56PM (#21987120)
Don't take this the wrong way.

If you can't explain what's in your head in plain English in answer to a question that was asked in plain English then there's not much point in answering.

I'm not getting the impression that you've answered my question, I'm getting the impression that you don't know how to answer my question.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Wednesday January 08, 2020 @02:27AM (#21989119)
I'll try again:

General relativity comes with a generic mechanism to compute frequency shifts. We don't need to try to figure out whether or not the effect is due to time dilation or spatial expansion, we can just do the math. But if we're lucky, we can find a way to split up space and time that allow for such intuitive interpretations. However, that's window dressing, so to speak.

All this assumes that the spacetime in question is already known, but that's how it actually happened historically: Friedmann and Lemaitre derived their solutions by imposing certain symmetries on the problem. From that, you can derive observations like redshift (Lemaitre had already done so by 1927, ie two years before Hubble published his paper), which you then compare to observation in order to fix the parameters of your model, or scrap it if it cannot accomodate observation.

As far as I'm aware, at no point in time did a physicist sit down and think "I wonder, what's the best way to incorporate redshift into my model, time dilation or spatial expansion?".

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by igravious on Wednesday January 08, 2020 @06:18PM (#21996850)
Much better!

Now, if there is a failure to understand your answer the reason why lies with me :)

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by fennecfoxen on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:37PM (#21976875)
If this temporal expansion or contraction produces redshift in the exact same way, and you can fit it into Relativity with the appropriate math, well, six of one, half a dozen of the other — until such point as we understand some discrete mechanism underlying the operation of the universe that would be affected by the expansion of one rather than the other: minimum time steps, minimum distances, proceeding from individual bits, increments of information. (Such a thing is theorized, but observing it is on no one's radar today, so good luck.)

(If it doesn't fit, then it's just wrong.)

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by igravious on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:13PM (#21987235)
If this is an accurate conceptual model: https://www.esa.int/Science_Exploration/Space_Science/What_i...

I have this odd notion that the universe has stayed the same "size" (since inception) and that the parameters of the universe and the amount of matter/information has changed over time.

The impression we get (from our perspective) is that of an initial singularity, a period of hyper inflation, and then the expansion we have now.

Probably bollocks but I'd like to know why it's bollocks.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by BoiledCabbage on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @06:53AM (#21979102)
That's the same thing that's always bothered me. That physicists never seem to discuss global time dilation - which also to my layman's eyes seems like a simpler explanation.

Time everywhere is slowing down (speeding up?) Which it's why the expansion of space seems so perfect to neither accelerate nor decelerate.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by igravious on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:02PM (#21987154)
Thank God there's someone else. I mean, to me, the idea is so moronically obvious (I had the idea about 15 years ago) that there must be some obvious answer why space-boffins insist that it's space that's doing the jiggling rather than time -- even though we've been told that since Einstein we ought to view the dimensions we inhabit as the spacetime (time is just another dimension) continuum.

My gut tells me that the layman's model I have of the universe precludes me from having a handle on why the idea is dumb. I console myself with the knowledge that at least I'm not so dumb that I think the idea is l33t and the whole scientific community are morons. Still, it'd be nice to have an answer.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bentona on Monday January 06, 2020 @10:40PM (#21976609)
Seems like a very detailed yet approachable explanation, wondering about your thoughts?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7UNLgPIiWAg

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bananabreakfast on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:04PM (#21983395)
Pretty interesting video. The big takeaway is definitely the end where he talks about the reality of the scientific method.

Unlike math, you can never prove that something is correct and true. You can only prove that reality likely does not fit a given theoretical model to a vanishing probability. The models we have, we only have because they have not been proven to have a vanishingly small likelihood of explaining physical phenomena.

Btw, this is what frustrates everyone about string theory. It's mathematically correct and quite elegant, but extremely difficult to gather any observational data that could prove it unlikely or another theory unlikely compared to it, leaving it in a sort of scientific limbo.

Astrophysics is hard because it is an observational science only. You cannot run your own experiments so you must simply gather as much observational data as possible. It is really, really hard to gather significant data about the universe at the largest scales. The video talked about hundreds of observations, but in a universe with more whole galaxies than grains of sand on earth there are implicitly a huge number of assumptions about how representative any data set is.

The numbers in astrophysics are so mind-meltingly enormous that often unimaginable and unintuitive consequences become regular occurrences.

This new data should obviously not be ignored, but it also shouldn't be interpreted as "disproving" anything. That is journalistic attention grabbing. Rather the results are simply some experimental physicists saying to theoretical ones: "here, look at these interesting new data about important data sources. It reduces our uncertainty about one specific thing. Please incorporate this into your cosmology theories"

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by raattgift on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:04AM (#21977368)
> The Universe is expanding at every known point at the same time at the same rate

No, it's not. The (local) metrics sourced by the Earth, Earth-Moon, Sun, solar system, Milky Way, and the Local Group are not at all like FLRW with or without a cosmological constant, while all those metrics are very much like Kerr or LTB, wherein ordinary matter like gas and dust gradually condenses into a point. Conversely, the metric globally is very much like FLRW with a small positive cosmological constant, and very much unlike a spacetime in which matter condenses into a point.

We can use Israel junctions to knit together "stacks" of regions that are well-approximated by a Kerr or LTB metric, and ultimately knit galaxy cluster sized LTB regions into expanding FLRW, representing the LTB regions as dust particles. This matches observations very well, and is called a "swiss cheese" cosmology, the name arising from how gravitational collapse ultimately creates voids -- holes -- in the otherwise homogeneous diluting dusts.

Kolb and others have a decent overview of how an Einstein-de Sitter-Lemaître-Tolman-Bondi swiss cheese universe works (the paper is in the context of the homogeneous-vs-inhomogeneous+backreacting cosmology debate, which is largely about connecting theory with astrophysical observations of a somewhat lumpy real universe especially in the transition from the matter-dominated era to the dark-energy dominated era) : https://www.osti.gov/biblio/21023997-cosmological-observable... ( PDF https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/files/downloads/0/0/0/3/6/5... ). There's a good textbook treatment in Harwit's _Astrophysical Concepts_ as well (a preview exists at https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=gZfuBwAAQBAJ&pg=PA516&lp... ), and MTW has a (not very easy) overview of Israel-Darmois junctions in §21.13.

Such swiss cheese models match observations so well that it would be surprising (in a cool way) to find that there is any metric expansion at all in our solar system or in any of the galaxies and galaxy clusters we observe on the sky. We don't see that, though. In particular, one should take into account the evidence for accelerated expansion over the past few decades. Given that, one can consider a "fifth-force" (or nth, given Higgs etc.) representable as a field with a density and gradient, rather than the purely geometrical scaling in \Lambda-CDM. (This is at the root of some quintessence projects.) Results usually involve a lot of dynamics to suppress cosmological shear and other "little rip" effects at the margins of clusters with highly-luminous components, and adding several degrees of freedom that lack other physical support seems a lot worse than accepting an Einstein-de Sitter like swiss cheese geometrical model.

> local reference frame

It has nothing to do with reference frames; the metric tensor focuses matter and light one way or another (cf. Raychaudhuri) and within galaxy clusters practically all matter is focused towards a point in the future, whereas globally the same matter, and all other matter, and light, focus towards a point in the past (and the future focus points within galaxy clusters do not themselves focus together in the future). The only requirement is that the manifold is Lorentzian and time-orientable; you can use any system of coordinates that an arbitrary observer carries around with it, and you only need to do that if you care to describe when in the past or future and/or where relative to an observer the focus points lie.

> ... to match a distant galaxy's ...

How do you propose to do that? I think it's worth it for you to think about that a little: does your conception of a frame in which \lambda_{obsv} = \lambda_{emit} (rather than 1 + z = \frac{\lambda_{obsv}}{\lambda_{emit}}) extend into the distant past and distant future? How accelerated is this z-suppressing frame? In this frame what's the expectation for the wavelength of a CMB photon over time, or for galactic and extragalctic H I lines ?

> doppler expansion due to the nature of differing relativistic reference frames

Kinematical interpretations fall apart really spectacularly at high z, and conveniently we have a probe of (6 > z > 1) in the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lyman-alpha_forest which is a challenge for constructing a sensible z-suppressing frame of reference.

(See also MTW §29.2)

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @03:52AM (#21978205)
Kinematical interpretations fall apart really spectacularly

I disagree: Relativistic frequency shifts (doppler shift, gravitational shift, cosmological shift,...) can all be understood kinematically:

The invariant quantity you have to consider is photon 4-momentum, with energies at time of emission and absorption given by the projections onto the 4-velocities of the respective observers, so it's all about the relative orientation of some vectors, ie kinematics.

If spacetime is flat, photon momentum is constant, so all that matters is the relationship between emitter and observer frame. However, in curved spacetimes, there's no distance parallelism, and photon momentum at time of emission and absorption will be related by parallel transport along the photon geodesic.

In principle, you could even view the process of parallel transport as a series of infinitesimal Doppler shifts, though I would argue that puts emphasis on the wrong thing (the arbitrary frames chosen along the geodesic).

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by raattgift on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:47PM (#21983180)
I'm pretty sure we were talking about the ensemble of redshifts across the sky, rather than one particular photon. (Even in the single-photon case there will be lots of uncertainty about the \lambda_{obsv} vs \lambda_{emit} relationship; think in particular about its interaction with ions along the way. We'd want at least an "ensemble" of photons along the lines of a classical beam equipped with a spectrum).

I'm not sure if you are objecting to approaches like the tetrad formalism in your final sentence, or even to gauge freedom itself. There's no reason an observer -- even an always lightlike one -- can't carry around its own system of coordinates. People from ISS astronauts (LVLH vs ECEF/ITRF) to aerobatic pilots (LVLH/LENU to GPS) to pedestrians looking at map apps on their smart phones do that casually all the time, and nobody expects ensembles of objects to move with respect to each other as one swaps sets of coordinates. Setting a new coordinate system every few steps while navigating on foot through a complicated city core is perfectly fine, and so is setting up a new coordinate frame at every infinitesimal step along an affine-parametrized curve traced out by a photon. IMHO that is the core of relativity.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @04:11PM (#21984902)
In arbitrary spacetimes, redshift has to be computed along specific worldlines, ie you tend to treat photons as point particles. I guess in principle, you could solve the Einstein-Maxwell equations (or more likely, the Maxwell equations on a fixed background), but I wouldn't recommend it. There are special cases which are simpler to handle (eg if your spacetime is static and you use adapted coordinates, the time coordinate will be cyclic in the particle Lagrangian, the canonically conjugate energy will be conserved and redshift will be given by the quotient of the roots of the g_{00} components, which formally comes in via normalizing emitter and observer 4-velocities).

I'm not sure if you are objecting to approaches like the tetrad formalism in your final sentence

The final sentence was just a comment on the pedagogy of deriving cosmological redshift via infinitesimal Doppler shifts. There's nothing wrong with it (sections of the frame bundles and all that jazz if you want to get formal), but to me, this feels like putting things on their head: I consider the Doppler shift a special case of the generic relativistic shift, making it circular to then explain the generic case as a series of infinitesimal Doppler shifts integrated along a photon's worldline.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @03:56AM (#21978225)
However, if you were to change our relativistic reference frame to match a distance galaxy's [...]

In general, you can't do that: There's no distance parallelism in curved spacetimes...

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bananabreakfast on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:24PM (#21983642)
Well, curved spacetimes only matter when you're dealing with gravitational redshift, which we aren't in this situation.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by cygx on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:38PM (#21983839)
Why would you think that? FLRW spacetime isn't Minkowski space, thus has nonzero curvature.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by qyv on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:14AM (#21977742)
> However, as you go further and further out from our galaxy the metric expansion of spacetime begins to dominate the relative motion of all bodies, leading to observing progressively redder and redder light curves. A galaxy billions of light years away is perceived to be moving away from our reference frame at a significant percentage of the speed of light!

Is this not because there is simply more space between things that are farther away and therefore more expanding space? So, more space = more magnitude of expansion?

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by scotty79 on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @03:34AM (#21978130)
I think that's exactly the idea. But if space expanded at the same rate everywhere and forever then the relationship would be linear. But it seems that further objects seem to be moving away slower than linear relationship would suggest which might mean that earlier space expanded slower.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by nighthawk648 on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @07:12AM (#21979200)
But that doesn’t make sense. Here space expands n. Go a distance d away and now you have nd! So if we were to integrate the summation of nd!+V (velocity vector) Spaces, wouldn’t the relationship not be linear? You have an infinite amount of points between A and B. Each point expands at v. Each time point pk+1 is created you are introducing a new expansion that will then add as many expansions as are vector / dimensions at play.

I know my maths is not very accurate and maybe you can help correct my understanding. It just seems adding up each point that creates even more expanding points would never be a linear function.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shuspect on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:23PM (#21985758)
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by nighthawk648 on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @06:36PM (#21986491)
I’m literally describing creating more flow lines which would cause an exponential growth in acceleration measured without really exceeding certain values.

Don’t understand the downvoted when I asked for more information and said my maths are probably wrong.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by mannykannot on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @09:24AM (#21980129)
I am confused, as a lot of sources (e.g. [1]) make a distinction between doppler and cosmological redshift. When you say "change our relativistic reference frame to match a distant galaxy's", do you mean as that frame was when the photon was emitted, or as it is when it is detected here? (if that is a well-defined distinction under relativity?)

[1] https://calgary.rasc.ca/redshift.htm

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by bananabreakfast on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @02:23PM (#21983633)
So that source draws a line between cosmological redshift and doppler redshift that is so misleading I'd say it's wrong. They are in fact equivalent [1] and basically just depend on your reference frame.

Check out the wikipedia page on Hubble's Law [2] for more.

[1] https://arxiv.org/abs/0808.1081 [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubble%27s_law

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by peanutz454 on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:05PM (#21976724)
> However, if you were to change our relativistic reference frame to match a distance galaxy's

As a causal science enthusiast I am lost, how does one change our relativistic reference frame?

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by fennecfoxen on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:25PM (#21976825)
Consider yourself. Consider a galaxy N million lightyears away that is moving away from you at high speed...

Or is it really? What if it's staying perfectly still, and YOU'RE the one moving?

... How could you even tell?

The principle of Relativity is that you cannot tell any difference, for the laws of physics are the same whether you are moving or the galaxy is moving. The theory of Special Relativity describes which mathematical transformations you need to go from one description to the other (in the absence of gravity, which is a General Relativity concern). Philosophically, the way of unifying these involves mixing up Space and Time, in which various observers cannot agree on a single version of things like speeds and time and energy levels, into a unified Spacetime, which they all can agree on.

"Changing your reference frame" simply means picking something different that you consider to be at rest.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shuspect on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:24PM (#21985777)
Calculate our speed against CMB. Calculate their speed agains CMB. Compare. It's easy.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by inakarmacoma on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:59AM (#21977341)
... at which point you also get to enjoy your arrival at linguistic metaphysics. If you can identify all material objects that all observers can feasibly see, then you subtract the material objects that one person sees, from the material objects the other person sees in their reference frame, and you end up with... something... that is both a material object, and not a material object at the exact same point in time. So, does that material object actually exist? If so, in what way does that material object exists for the person who cannot feasibly perceive a feasibly perceivable object in any capacity? Kind of like theseus's ship launched into the space-time continuum?
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by fennecfoxen on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:39AM (#21979777)
> If you can identify all material objects that all observers can feasibly see, then you subtract the material objects that one person sees, from the material objects the other person sees in their reference frame...

Generally speaking an event is "observable" if some signal (usually light) could reach you from that event. It is generally uninteresting that different observers can see different sets of events at different points in their world-line. If you are lightyears apart, the signals will take time to reach you. This is what "spacelike separation" is all about.

But if you just sit around in one spot, signals can reach you from billions of light-years away. A certain event in your history might have been separated by space, but a point in your future may be separated from it in a timelike manner. You can't get away from events by simply going fast, either: the velocity addition makes signals impossible to outrun. What you need is to employ acceleration.

Consider a modified Zeno's paradox: you are 1 light year away from a signal, and begin accelerating. By the time it has covered 0.5ly, you are now 0.75 ly away. Unlike the original paradox, the math on this one works out: it is the acceleration equivalent of a black hole. (Most gravity and acceleration effects are interchangeable like that).

We could draw this out with a Minkowski diagrams, and find some line beyond which events become truly unobservable. We could call this line the "event horizon" (which, after all, is what the term is about in other contexts, too.)

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by BoiledCabbage on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @06:47AM (#21979079)
Clearly it exists to them because it can interact with someone they can interact with.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by saagarjha on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @06:00AM (#21978844)
An unseeable material object does not cease to exist, even though it cannot affect us.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by fhars on Monday January 06, 2020 @11:41PM (#21976903)
Big rockets. Or something like that.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by snowwrestler on Monday January 06, 2020 @09:37PM (#21976245)
If I am reading this correctly, in plain English what it seems like they are suggesting is that old Type Ia supernovae worked differently from newer supernovae; e.g. that a Type Ia supernova 5 billion years ago had a different brightness curve than a Type Ia supernova from 50 million years ago.

On its face this seems like an extraordinary claim; I can’t think of how to square it with the (fundamental) assumption that the laws of the universe have not changed during its lifetime.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by enkid on Monday January 06, 2020 @09:53PM (#21976332)
You're not reading this correctly. It's questioning the assumption that the Supernova are of the same brightness no matter the age of the star. Because the supernovaing stars are on average older now then they were in the early universe, there's a systemic bias in the data making it seem like there is red shift when there is not. No new physics required outside of a new understanding of how Type Ia supernova work.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by mannykannot on Monday January 06, 2020 @09:54PM (#21976342)
Do the current models of dark energy not have it changing over time? Or at least allow for the possibility?

The idea that fundamentally, physical law does not change over time, is either a metaphysical or methodological assumption (or a bit of both), but it is certainly not an empirically-derived result, and it clearly does not rule out manifestations of those fundamental laws changing over time.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by PopePompus on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:43AM (#21977267)
The issue is much more prosaic than the fundamental laws of physics changing over time. On average, very distant supernovae have a different composition than nearby supernovae. As the universe ages, more light element atoms are fused into heavier element atoms and expelled into space. That material is incorporated into the next generation of stars, so stars begin their lives with less and less hydrogen, as the universe ages. If that influences the light curves of supernovae, then it greatly complicates the use of supernovae as standard candles for distance measurement.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by sanxiyn on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @01:47AM (#21977598)
That's what is weird about this: from the paper, "Unlike population age, we find no significant correlation between host metallicity and Hubble residual". So it correlates with age, but not metallicity!
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by wallace_f on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:09PM (#21975644)
Thanks for the explanation, but I'm stuck on the last sentence of this part:

>evidence of accelerating expansion is that based on the redshift of nearby objects, we would expect distant objects to have a higher redshift than they actually do.

I think what you mean is "than we'd expect them to."

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by ncmncm on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:54PM (#21975927)
Right. They have the red shift we would expect to find in more distant objects than they seem to be, just based on how bright their supernovas are. But if the brightness is off, the anomaly might disappear. Or get bigger, all bets are off.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by mirimir on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:08PM (#21975631)
That's how I understand it.

But maybe there are other standardizable objects. The sense I got from TFA is that there aren't.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by kiliantics on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:23PM (#21975748)
There are actually. There is a class of star in the "tip of the red giant branch" (TRGB) which have also been used to calibrate luminosities of type Ia supernovae[0] to form a "cosmic distance ladder". I believe they have been used to confirm the accelerated expansion results (though less strongly). I am not super well versed in stellar evolution, but I believe that the TRGB should make this calibration method independent of progenitor age? Hopefully someone could chime in on this. I was formerly a cosmologist and would be very interested to know more about this result from any experts that might be reading this.

[0] There is an explanation of this calibration here: https://aasnova.org/2019/07/26/tldr-the-trgb-gives-us-anothe...

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by sanxiyn on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @12:31AM (#21977209)
Nope, the link is proposing TRGB-SNIa as an alternative to Cepheid-SNIa, not TRGB as an alternative to SNIa.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by mirimir on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @09:49AM (#21980367)
Yeah. In my reading, it almost characterized SNIa as fact.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by ncmncm on Monday January 06, 2020 @09:01PM (#21975980)
Of course these could have the same, or a related, problem.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by alex77456 on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @05:59AM (#21978838)
>To know if the universe is expanding, we need to know the following: how far away things are, and whether they're moving away from us

May be a stupid question but wouldn't this apply only if we knew that the universe is uniformly dense? And we only see a tiny portion of it.

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by brylie on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:27PM (#21975771)
I'm not an astronomer, but "tired light" makes more intuitive sense to me to explain the redshift. In effect, we already know that matter can affect light through gravitational interaction. Since light is travelling so fast and far it seems intuitive thst interstellar matter, as fleeting as it is, could act to slow light down over these great spacetime distances.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by knzhou on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:56PM (#21975945)
Tired light is a very natural and intuitive hypothesis, it just doesn't work when you try to make it match up quantitatively.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by CoryG89 on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:41PM (#21975848)
This doesn't make much sense to me. The speed of light is a constant, right? Gravitational interactions may change the directional component, but the speed would remain constant, no?
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by ncmncm on Monday January 06, 2020 @09:14PM (#21976085)
It was expressed clumsily. The idea would be that photons can lose energy over time or space. One problem is that they would all have to lose energy at exactly the same rate as neighboring photons, so be a property of the space they are going through, not the photons themselves.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by 8bitsrule on Monday January 06, 2020 @09:55PM (#21976345)
The speed would remain constant; 'tired light' would shift to longer wavelengths (redden).

Fritz Zwicky proposed the idea in 1929 - didn't work out. In 1933 he 'inferred the existence' of dark matter/energy, after using the averaged speed of a group of galaxies to calculate their mass ... and found they were producing too little light to have that mass. And there it sits a century later. MON Dieu!

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by brylie on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @04:09AM (#21978289)
C is constant, which is the "speed of light in a vacuum." Light can, and does, travel slower than C, e.g. when traveling through gas or other material.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speed_of_light

Scientists have even managed to freeze light for short periods of time.

https://io9.gizmodo.com/scientists-freeze-light-for-an-entir...

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by earthboundkid on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:50PM (#21975906)
Constant in a vacuum. Read about https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherenkov_radiation
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:11AM (#21979580)
No. Gravitational waves are causing fluctuations of speed of light in pure vacuum. (See LIGO/VIRGO experiments). So c is constant in steady physical vacuum only, i.e. it's speed of EM wave in medium. If you will change properties of medium, then c will be changed too.
Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by brylie on Monday January 06, 2020 @08:31PM (#21975794)
According to the Wikipedia article, "tired light" has been discredited due to lack of observational evidence and assumptiins about light scattering:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tired_light

Re:Evidence that the key assumption made in discovery of dar... by shpeak on Tuesday January 07, 2020 @08:07AM (#21979557)
Light scattering assumption is invalid, this is true, so photon losses energy because of an other mechanism.

However, newer telescopes discovers more stars and galaxies than predicted by theories of expanding universe, thus favors Tired Light Theory. Also, discovery of gravitational waves confirmed that (speed of light in pure vacuum) c≠const, so physical vacuum is not an empty space, thus favoring TLT again.