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Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by greatpostman on Sunday April 24, 2022 @05:46PM (#31148643)
Really hard to imagine the richest and most accomplished dude on the planet not being able to secure funding. Somehow people still think he’s just a showman. At some point in time, accomplishments can’t be explained away
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by matthewdgreen on Sunday April 24, 2022 @06:40PM (#31148955)
He’s not just a showman, but he is a showman. And it’s not like you have to dig back into ancient history to find instances where he invented a bid like this, he basically made up a bid for Tesla a few years ago and lied about having secured financing.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by samuelstros on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:44PM (#31149319)
Internal chat between Musk and the Saudi investors just popped up on my twitter feed https://twitter.com/TechEmails/status/1518353213283442688

Doesn't seem like the funding secured thing was an outright lie.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by _fizz_buzz_ on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:59AM (#31152442)
Sounds to me like it was a lie. August 10th is two days after Musk tweeted out "funding secured". And all they agree to saying is: "Therefore, as discussed, we would like our teams to start working together in a confidential manner to explore a potential transaction".
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by gamblor956 on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:08PM (#31149475)
Nowhere in the emails do the Saudi investors pledge funding. At best, they say they might be interested in investing.

Therefore, "funding secured" was absolutely an outright lie, unless words don't have meaning anymore.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by matthewdgreen on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:12PM (#31149495)
It’s much worse than that. I had previously assumed Musk knew what he was doing and was fooling around on Twitter in an effort to (unethically) crush short sellers. Now it appears like he’s an utterly inept businessman who took the first verbal sign of interest, rushed it to Twitter as though the deal was complete, and then blew up the deal in a hissy fit.

I still think what he’s done at SpaceX and Tesla is admirable, but after reading those emails I’m definitely a few percent less confident that there will still be a Tesla to service my Model 3 in the future.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hackerfromthefu on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:53AM (#31151641)
The chutzpah of your armchair analysis!

You just called the most successful businessman in the world an 'utterly inept businessman'.

Literally the wealthiest person in the world and all achieved through business success!

Defined and successfully delivering on multiple new markets, with a string of serial successes.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:58AM (#31151681)
Which new markets, after paypal? Cars? Rockets that go into space? Solar on roofs? Things carrying people through tunnels?

And in all the successful cases he had massive contributions by others. He provided the money, which is huge in itself. The actual work eas done by others, and the fact the Musk fails to properly say so, and that his fanboys believe every single of his claims, truely makes him the Steve Jobs of 2020s we deserve.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by tomp on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:40AM (#31151914)
> The actual work eas done by others,

Boeing probably has more and better engineers than SpaceX. Same with Toyota/Volkswagen compared to Tesla. Yet these companies simply cannot innovate. Talent (ability to do good work) is pointless without good leadership.

> the fact the Musk fails to properly say so

This is a lie.

https://mobile.twitter.com/elonmusk/status/15170727534756003...

> The failures are mine, the successes belong to others

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:10AM (#31152102)
Toyota pioneered hybrid vehicles, Boeing got us the first composite fuselage for commercial airliners. I call that innovation. VW is pushing heavily towards EVs, and those actually are in the price range Tesla fails to achieve for its Model 3.

It is a different kind of innovation so, only considering "disruptuon" as innovation is quite short sighted so. Espiecially since Christensen himself differentiates between disruptive and sustaining (?) innovation.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by EricE on Monday April 25, 2022 @12:31PM (#31157191)
Is Boeing in space with SpaceX? Would VW even care about EVs without Tesla? Would they lie about them like they did their diesel emissions? lol - holding up VW as something to emulate!

GM had a pretty good EV in the 80’s - then killed it. Literally - never sold them, only leased them and forced owners to cough them back up and destroyed them.

I have zero interest in owning a Tesla - their stance on right to repair and their customer service sucks, but without them there wouldn’t be near the activity around EVs as there is now. Like him or not, Elon pretty much single handedly embarrassed the rest of the auto industry to have to take EVs seriously by proving that yes, EVs can be not only useful but cool.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:08PM (#31159292)
SpaceX isn't the only company shooting stuff into orbit. And VW isn't the only manufacturer pushing into EVss. I used those two because the were braught by OP.

And VW and others would care about EVs because of the general awareness about climate change.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by raspberry1337 on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:33AM (#31151864)
>Which new markets, after paypal? Cars? Rockets that go into space?

Yes and yes

>The actual work eas done by others, and the fact the Musk fails to properly say so,

Give me one instance where Musk denies the work of his friends and colleagues at SpaceX and Tesla please, because this post reek of bad sentiment and an awful take.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:17AM (#31152156)
I never said he denies it, did I? I sadi, quote, "and the fact the Musk fails to properly say so". To elaborate, Musk takes all the line light in the public for himself, he gets all the hype. Shotwell gets a little bit of it, and that's it then.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by EricE on Monday April 25, 2022 @12:34PM (#31157227)
Have you actually ever watched an interview with him or just hot takes from Reddit?

Because if you had ever watched a full, unedited interview with him you’d be too embarrassed to post what you just did. He’s a pretty humble guy.

One of the best interviews with him was the one he did with the Babylon Bee - you should watch it; it’s up on Youtube.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by shafyy on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:27AM (#31151837)
> The actual work eas done by others, and the fact the Musk fails to properly say so

This is not true. He often mentions and emphasizes that the success is the work of his great teams. He also publicly acknowledged that he failed to do so in the past, but he is certainly doing it now.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by McLaren_Ferrari on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:53AM (#31152810)
> You just called the most successful businessman in the world an 'utterly inept businessman'.

Success is measured using market share not market cap or net worth of the CEO.

Tesla accounted for 1.3% of all cars sold in the world during 2021.

Stock price, net worth and number of synchopants getting on their knees are like a voting machine, market share is a weighting machine.

When you use the right metric it becomes crystal clear who are te guys setting records at the weighting machine.

It's the usual quiet ones: Buffett, Gates, Brin&Page, Tim Cook.

Not to mention the GOAT. Rockefeller left Standard Oil at #1 in market share and here we are in 2022 the companies which were under the umbrella of Standard Oil are still at #1.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hackerfromthefu on Monday April 25, 2022 @10:13AM (#31155075)
No you can't blithely choose which measure of success - it actually doesn't have a single measure.

Your measure of market share is a reasonable one, as are the two I proposed being profit and creating and succeeding in entirely new markets.

They are new markets too, it's not rockets, it's reusable rockets at incredibly lower cost to orbit and new capacities to previous ones, it's space based communication networks that are again a serious generational leap ahead of whatever was before, it's the emergence of a serious replacement for ICE vehicles. In all these markets, his companies are the only market share! He owns these markets, because he created them, and is multiple years ahead of the rest of the world's highly motivated competitors.

I'm not detracting from the successes of the other guys you mentioned. But Musk can very reasonably be called the world's most successful businessman at the moment on multiple metrics.

It might be a competition between Musk and others, but it's the opposite utterly inept, which was the point - trying to give the benefit of the doubt to the OP per HN guidelines, while also keeping the discussion grounded in rational sanity.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by McLaren_Ferrari on Monday April 25, 2022 @10:41AM (#31155530)
OP is right.

All the stuff you mentioned brings zero benefits to the consumer. The consumer wants a steady improvement in their quality of life in the next 3 months or less, and then you go from there hopefully adding one more bit in the next 3 months and so on.

There is a reason why Musk BS doesn't find fertile ground in NYC and his cult is largely based in California. Quartely (4 * 3 = 12) reports were adopted because people want to have a clear understanding of how a public company is improving the American consumer's quality of life, and they want it every 3 months.

Tesla accounted for 1.3% of all cars sold in the world in 2021, these are rich people toys we are talking about. 1.3% in 20 years.

> He owns these markets, because he created them

Cars are cars, EV, hybrid, gasoline, diesel...whatever. If you are in the business of making cars the relevance of your company should be judged based on what's you market share in car manufacturing compared against everybody who are also in the business of making cars.

Mr. Musk took 20 years to get to 1.3%. That's 80 Quarters. 1.3% / 80 = 0.01625% per quarter. What are we even talking about...

By this time around the govt. was already threatning Gates and Rockefeller to put them in jail because they had 95% market share of Operative Systems and oil respectively.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by bigmealbigmeal on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:54AM (#31152814)
I am genuinely interested to hear your reasoning for how someone can be an "utterly inept businessman" and also become the richest man in the world. How is that possible?
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:40PM (#31149649)
He's not an inept businessman. He's someone with aspergers who takes someone at face value at all times. If someone says something is the case he believes them. He doesn't handle being deceived well nor does he know when it's happening.

And actually he's not a "businessman" at all. He's an engineer at heart. "Businessman" would require strong social skills, not something someone with aspergers has good ability at.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hnbad on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:52AM (#31152391)
> He's someone with aspergers who takes someone at face value at all times. He doesn't handle being deceived well nor does he know when it's happening.

> "Businessman" would require strong social skills, not something someone with aspergers has good ability at.

This exact nonsense is why the autistic community was so displeased when he made a big show of having "asperger's" (which in the US under DSM-V is just autism, btw). Can we please stop justifying toxic and reckless behavior with "oh but they're autistic" as if we're talking about naive children not grown adults?

Autistics tend to struggle with ambiguity and social cues, yes, but many of us are even more sensitive to social cues than allistics because we literally had to learn to pick up on this shit to survive. A lot of autistics report actually being hyper-empathetic to the point where it can be debilitating because it's hard to filter out the noise and determine which cues you're supposed to pick up on and which ones you're supposed to ignore.

Elon Musk is a dickhead AND autistic. He's not a dickhead because he's autistic. He's naive because he got extremely lucky (like all billionaires do, even if it's only winning the lottery of being born into wealthy families with ample of business opportunities) and overestimates his own intelligence (which isn't helped by his massive fanbase thinking he's the best thing since sliced bread because he bought and funded some companies developing tech he thought was cool), not because he's autistic.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:06AM (#31152493)
> This exact nonsense is why the autistic community was so displeased when he made a big show of having "asperger's" (which in the US under DSM-V is just autism, btw). Can we please stop justifying toxic and reckless behavior with "oh but they're autistic" as if we're talking about naive children not grown adults?

There's no such thing as "the autistic community" (though I won't deny some people may self-proclaim themselves as part of some non-existent community) and I'm not justifying anything by what I said. It's just how he thinks.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hnbad on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:24AM (#31152607)
> It's just how he thinks.

And I, as an autist, am telling you that this is a farcical caricature that is routinely used to excuse shitty behavior and at the same time deny us autonomy.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Wednesday April 27, 2022 @08:50PM (#31187637)
I don't see how my opinion of the reasons someone else's behavior denies you autonomy in any way. Also I probably have aspergers (at least a lot of other people including family members have told me I seem like I have it but I've never been diagnosed) and his behavior is very understandable from my point of view.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by lozenge on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:29AM (#31151521)
Sounds like you're agreeing disagreeably. He's inept as a businessman.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by fxtentacle on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:19AM (#31151461)
Very interesting theory. But do you have a source?
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hoseja on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:47AM (#31151960)
Watch any of his speeches.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by ohgodplsno on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:32AM (#31151535)
>He's an engineer at heart.

He has not built anything.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by andruby on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:01AM (#31152052)
He did code on Zip2 and sold that startup successfully.

Also, his official title at SpaceX is "Chief Engineer" [0]

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elon_Musk

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hnbad on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:15AM (#31152548)
> He did code on Zip2 and sold that startup successfully.

Selling a startup is not an engineering achievment but a business achievment.

> Also, his official title at SpaceX is "Chief Engineer"

Owning a company means you can give yourself whatever titles you want.

So your entire argument seems to boil down to "he wrote code for Zip2", which happened a quarter of a century ago.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:29AM (#31152640)
Oh, I know some of those self-appoined chief engineers (cool title, I get it, one should earn it so). They almost drove the comoany into the ground. And they never shipped anything in their whole lives neither.

EDIT: And they think they are Musk as well. Without the same ability to raise money that's incredible dangerous so.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by andruby on Monday April 25, 2022 @10:04AM (#31154918)
I'm not really trying to make a strong case. I'm just a little disappointed when people say "He has not built anything".

Isn't that a little mean, and elitist?

No person is perfect. And Elon Musk certainly has flaws. But saying he's not built anything about someone playing a crucial role in 3+ huge companies just feels wrong.

If we compare him to the CEO's of the other Fortune 50 companies, he seems like one of the most engineering-minded.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hnbad on Tuesday April 26, 2022 @04:57AM (#31165354)
I'm not sure "elitist" is the right word for criticizing the wealthiest man on Earth's habit of portraying himself as a genius rocket surgeon.

I'm not saying he's never written a line of code. I'm saying he's vastly exaggerating his contributions to the technologies he is known for and his only "engineering" credentials are unspecified contributions to a dot com boom software company that repurposed an existing navigation database for its USP while essentially selling web listings to companies.

When people hear Musk is an "engineer" I doubt they're thinking of someone probably just writing some HTML2.0 pages and CGI Perl scripts, if that. It's also important to keep in mind that the history of Zip2 is scantly documented beyond "the brothers Musk founded it and then sold it for millions some years later" so we don't even know if Elon wrote even a single line of code or whether he meaningfully contributed to the software at all.

Even if we're exceptionally credulous and believe he wrote all of Zip2 himself, that makes him a programmer, not an engineer in the sense it is implied when talking about his involvement in Tesla or SpaceX. Knowing how to build physical machines is very different from knowing how to write software, and I say that as a seasoned software dev.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by ohgodplsno on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:59AM (#31153843)
Being a software developer doesn't make you an engineer, despite what half of SV would like you to believe.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:45PM (#31149672)
Do we know this is all communication that ever happened? I don't think so.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by vba616 on Monday April 25, 2022 @12:56AM (#31150865)
What I've read is that they did not discuss numbers. People start from the assumption that rich people can get away with any kind of BS, but usually that doesn't apply amongst themselves. As the richest person in the world, perhaps Musk feels like he's a class unto himself, but others disagree.

You can just compare the current situation.

This time, he got letters from people with money saying he can have it, and on what basis. Now that we see it, isn't it obvious that is what "funding secured" means, even if we don't all know exactly how high finance works?

"Funding secured" wasn't a half-truth, it was an outright lie that sounded a little like a half truth. Very Trumpian.

Also, it's recently been reported that a judge declared the question of whether "funding secured" was a knowing lie closed, in the sense that the jury in related ongoing litigation will be told that it's not up to them to decide that point.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Sunday April 24, 2022 @06:52PM (#31149025)
Yeah that's why there is such a long history of showman starting successful rocket company and other successful high capital businesses.

Musk has never admired to having made up the funding. He settled the dispute because it lead to problems with Tesla credit rating, banks didn't want an outstanding dispute with SEC.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by AlchemistCamp on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:29PM (#31149245)
> lied about having secured financing.

He says he did have funding secured. He elaborated on the details in the recent TED talk.

Do you have any privileged information about the incident or are you just casually calling someone a liar based on third-hand news you read online?

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by vba616 on Monday April 25, 2022 @01:04AM (#31150899)
A judge recently said he was a liar and it was so far beyond dispute that a jury would not be allowed to decide for themselves, as they might be influenced by Musk's ongoing public BSing such as with the TED talk.

So, no, informed people are not "casually" calling him a liar.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by AlchemistCamp on Monday April 25, 2022 @01:26AM (#31150971)
> A judge recently said he was a liar

I sincerely doubt that. Judges don’t tend to talk that way, regardless of the case at hand.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by Toboe on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:50AM (#31151629)
>> A judge recently said he was a liar

>I sincerely doubt that. Judges don’t tend to talk that way, regardless of the case at hand.

GP is probably refering to this (in which case you are right, judge didn't use words like liar)

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/04/judge-in-musk-tr...

"Judge in Musk trial will tell jury that “Funding secured” tweets were false"

and

"[T]hough 'jury instructions are often an ineffective remedy,' the Court finds that unlikely to be true for the instant case where the jury will be told that the Court has already found that the August 2018 tweets were false and made with the requisite scienter [knowledge of wrongdoing]," Chen wrote.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dwighttk on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:39AM (#31152700)
>false and made with the requisite scienter

Those are words like liar.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by skinnymuch on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:33AM (#31153526)
So the judge said he’s a liar. Just without using the exact word lie or liar
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by vba616 on Wednesday April 27, 2022 @08:56PM (#31187677)
True, and that is why I didn't write 'A judge recently called him a "liar"'.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:16PM (#31149521)
He's never been a showman. It's a ridiculous internet myth that thinks that he is. Anyone who says he's a showman really has no understanding of the guy and hasn't looked at what he's said outside of the stuff he's put on twitter. Listen to his speeches, and not the one where it's some bland interviewer that constantly interrupts him.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by skulk on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:52PM (#31149712)
Here's Musk being a pure showman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQcfi8HK1i8

Even though there's a bunch of people (including Carmack) that claim that he's a great engineer, it's really hard to believe when he's put out stuff like this. Like, did he use up all of his thinking fuel on designing rockets that he didn't understand why the boring company's mission was a total non-starter?

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:54PM (#31149722)
A CNN 2 minute video chopping up what he says to make it sound more grand is not him being a "showman". It's called video editing. You can tell the video has been HIGHLY edited because it's not how he talks.

> it's really hard to believe when he's put out stuff like this.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t705r8ICkRw?t=122

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SA8ZBJWo73E

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Zlnbs-NBUI

This is how Musk actually talks.

> Like, did he use up all of his thinking fuel on designing rockets that he didn't understand why the boring company's mission was a total non-starter?

He doesn't spend a lot of time working on the boring company to be frank. It's a small side project. He's doing it to see if it's possible.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by skulk on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:58PM (#31149743)
The point is, building tunnels underground for personal transport vehicles as a "solution" to traffic is a terrible idea, and something only a showman can sell. Even if he has an awkward 2 hour speech about it, he succeeded as a showman because Vegas funded this terrible idea (just look how it ended up).
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by xorcist on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:33AM (#31152654)
It's not intended as a solution to traffic congestion. It is intended to give local politicians new talking points to delay any large scale investments in public transportation.

Who knows how we'll solve transport in the future? Maybe we'll all be in personal cars underground and any massive investments in rail will be for nothing?

It's a variant of the general idea of pushing things like elevated monorails that you know are so expensive they won't be built in the near future. Or, indeed, very low pressure tube transportation systems.

Car companies have done this type of lobbying work since forever. Just as the oil companies when they push for more production, but since all oil will be biofuel in the future, in the end it will be a net positive for the environment.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @09:09PM (#31149817)
> The point is, building tunnels underground for personal transport vehicles as a "solution" to traffic is a terrible idea, and something only a showman can sell.

The fundamental point of boring company is to reduce the cost of underground boring. Shoving cars through tunnels is a means to an end of reducing the cost of underground boring. It's about finding a path to make some kind, any kind, of money off of boring in order to make the product development costs self-feeding. This is why the idea of cars driving through the tunnels was done rather than the original idea of putting cars on platforms through the tunnels. Cheaper and faster to market.

Musk started boring company with the idea that transportation needs to be 3 dimensional, and not just adding another single layer of transport under the ground (trains/subways), but having a whole ton of layers going deeper and deeper into the ground. Now they've done their first iteration of tunnel, which is quite bad, rinse and repeat until it gets cheaper.

BTW, Musk has never come out against subways, his point was just that in the US, people drive into cities in cars, so if they're using cars, then the transport system in the city needs to handle cars in a three dimensional way.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by bombcar on Sunday April 24, 2022 @11:00PM (#31150382)
Even if nothing else, a boring tunnel could be used for “remote parking garages” and if the tunnel robot takes your car ten miles away to store it what would you care as long as it was available when needed?
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @02:45AM (#31151306)
So, like subways? Or every single road and train tunnel anywhere on the planet so far?

Moving transportation underground is such revolutionary idea that it exists for a century by now.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by fakethenews2022 on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:13AM (#31151434)
There are differences. I don't know if the idea will actually work but here is what I understand of it. Use an analogy of cities as computer chips/networks.

1. He wants to move roads to 3d just like computer chips are 3d. This should increase bandwidth.

2. He wants to packet switch the system instead of batch. This should lower latency.

3. For the first two to work, you need to greatly reduce the cost/speed to construct them. Think Moore's law.

4. One way to do this is to speed up the boring machines.

5. Another way is to lower the additional necessary equipment. Tunnels carrying internal combustion cars need air circulation lest people die from carbon monoxide poisoning/ lack of oxygen. EVs don't need that.

6. Smaller tunnels are much faster to construct so constructing one for a subway would be much slower than one for EVs.

Arguments against this can either attack the premise that cities are necessary (remote work), that bigger cities are necessary (why not have smaller cities), that existing or other transportation can handle it better, or one or more of the above chains of thought are flawed.

This line of thinking is also found in his latest factories where the line is just a line of cars moved by carriers that aren't physically anchored to the floor). He makes an analogy of factories as computer chips.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:21AM (#31151474)
You lost me with comparing transportation infrastructure to micro processors and apllyin Moore's law to infrastructure work.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by benibela on Monday April 25, 2022 @07:14AM (#31152938)
And chips are not even 3d, are they?

At most there are memory chips with just a few layers

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dwighttk on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:45AM (#31152746)
>Tunnels carrying internal combustion cars need air circulation lest people die from carbon monoxide poisoning/ lack of oxygen. EVs don't need that.

Maybe not as much, but you’re still gonna need air circulation

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by raspberry1337 on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:38AM (#31151892)
>Moving transportation underground is such revolutionary idea that it exists for a century by now.

You ignored the essential part of his well written and detailed explanation - its not about the fact that its underground, but the cost of creating underground pathways, for cars or whatever. It saddens me that bad posts like yours infect HN.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:06AM (#31152085)
It saddens me tgat at HN people start to blindly believe certain people's claims without checking precendce. In Musks case based on, IMHO, pure hype and his celebrity status. So I guess, same?
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by raspberry1337 on Tuesday April 26, 2022 @07:37AM (#31166202)
> In Musks case based on, IMHO, pure hype and his celebrity status

Or his proven track record of creating groundbreaking companies such as SpaceX and Tesla, which has made him the worlds richest man and why we are talking about him right now? Jeez

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @02:43AM (#31151294)
So Musk moved the Monorail underground... Isn't Mars' atmosphere already a hyperloop?
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by isitmadeofglass on Monday April 25, 2022 @02:05AM (#31151141)
> Really hard to imagine the richest and most accomplished dude on the planet not being able to secure funding.

You don’t have to imagine. It literally already happened once when he claimed he had funding secured to take Tesla private. As such, if you can’t imagine him not having funding secured this time, you’re severely lacking in imagination.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by shafyy on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:25AM (#31151824)
In his latest TED interview [0], Musk said that he had the funding secured for that Tesla private offering. He said that he needed to settle with the SEC so that they wouldn't freeze Tesla's bank accounts, and as part of the settlement he needed to publicly say that he hadn't secured funding.

I don't think he's lying.

0: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cdZZpaB2kDM

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by _fizz_buzz_ on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:40AM (#31152296)
That sounds super dubious, the SEC forced him to publicly lie in a settlement? Sorry, I am not buying it. You would have to put at least a dozen SEC lawyers on suicide watch after such a deal. And not only did they force him to lie in a settlement, now he suddenly breaks what he agreed to in that settlement without any consequences, so what was that settlement worth to begin with.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by cloutchaser on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:20AM (#31152592)
Yes, it sounds plausible, because if Tesla is threatened by certain SEC sanctions or legal troubles, banks could withdraw funding or raise interest rates on Tesla's debt, which would bankrupt the company. Or insurance companies could raise premiums or refuse to insure the company which again - could lead to catastrophe.

This is what Elon is saying and it sounds like a perfectly plausible scenario, under which you'd rather avoid the conflict and just shut up and sign and pay the fine.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by _fizz_buzz_ on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:36AM (#31152680)
It sounds plausible to you that SEC lawyers drew up a settlement that forced Musk to lie publicly about the funding situation of taking TSLA private? This would open up that lawyer for all sorts of criminal and private lawsuits and that poor guy doesn't even have anything personally to gain from forcing Musk to lie. Sorry, those are ludicrous allegations.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:12AM (#31153379)
This discussion shows how far Musk's anti-SEC propaganda had taken effect. As far as I know (I could be mistaken, and too lazy to investigate that further), but the SEC doesn't have the power to block bank accounts of companies over illegal things shareholders or officers of the company did.

That's how this discussion started: The SEC blackmailed Musk into signing a settlement or otherwise the SEC would block Tesla's accounts. Well, it's either that or Musk, in fact, did lie about the funding to take Tesla private. reasonable people believe the latter, other prefer option one. And then people still wonder were Tesla's evaluation comes from.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by cloutchaser on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:58AM (#31153817)
How did bank accounts come into this? There was never any discussion about bank accounts.

It's about financing of Tesla's debt. That's something that banks do, and banks could deny funding (even of a bank overdraft) for almost any reason really, like an SEC lawsuit.

No-one ever talked about any bank account being blocked. But in a world of debt, where debt is provided by institutions, if you can control who gets loans, you can control a lot.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @09:08AM (#31153973)
>> In his latest TED interview [0], Musk said that he had the funding secured for that Tesla private offering. He said that he needed to settle with the SEC so that they wouldn't freeze Tesla's bank accounts, and as part of the settlement he needed to publicly say that he hadn't secured funding.

Citing from like three levels of comment up-stream.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by cloutchaser on Monday April 25, 2022 @07:35AM (#31153099)
The SEC isn't forcing anything, as such, but public information about being investigated for something like this, in a public company, might well affect the market's willingness to lend to you.

Musk has also said he is going to launch legal action on this. Because that's almost exactly what happened, and it is unfair. So you are correct, and this saga probably still has more to go.

What's funny is almost anyone on the planet couldn't go up against someone like the SEC, which is why they can get away with this. Good on Musk for doing it.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by toomim on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:32PM (#31160938)
No, the banks forced him to settle. It wasn't the SEC. Watch the video.

The banks didn't want a liability. The SEC disagreement was going to take too much time to resolve legitimately. If he didn't please the banks they wouldn't give him funding.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by barnabee on Monday April 25, 2022 @07:46AM (#31153182)
And the alternative is what? The SEC is an altruistic, diligent protector of consumers and investors? lol

It is hard to look at the SEC’s most public actions in the last few years and not believe Musk here.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:03AM (#31152067)
Why would the SEC block Tesla accounts? The SEC is imposing fines. I call Musks statement a lie.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by shafyy on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:13AM (#31152123)
I probably didn't get the wording right (just paraphrased from memory). But watch the TED interview I linked to get more info.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by jokethrowaway on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:02AM (#31151382)
Yes, relying on the word of Saudi Arabia without a written agreement was pretty dumb. Especially for 70B.

This time the plan seems to have better foundations.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by xorcist on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:18AM (#31152579)
Especially considering Saudi Arabia is well known for cannabis jokes.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:13AM (#31153384)
That, and human rights.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by imgabe on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:25AM (#31151826)
He literally has like 5x the market cap of Twitter in net worth. Yeah, that makes it pretty hard to imagine that he couldn't secure funding. Not really the same as the Tesla tweet.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by WatchDog on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:31AM (#31151531)
Elon claims that in that case the funding was indeed secured.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by FinNerd on Sunday April 24, 2022 @05:59PM (#31148722)
It’s largely cope. Love him or hate him, insanely talented, hard-working, and intelligent.

Calling him a showman and conman is great way to posture superiority over the guy shooting rockets into space and hiring 100k+ people

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by edmundsauto on Sunday April 24, 2022 @06:46PM (#31148988)
It is also a simplification to highlight his achievements without also acknowledging that he doesn’t seem to be a very moral or stable person. Some of the criticism of his behavior is clearly sour grapes that he doesn’t act “properly” for a billionaire, but there are also many examples of him being a bad person a la Steve Jobs.

We tolerate the characteristics because of the perceived value, but it would also be nice to highlight genuinely good people with significant accomplishments for being successful as well as kind.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:00PM (#31149080)
How is he 'unstable' exactly? He has been leading successful companies for 30 years and pretty much every company he has been involved in has been highly successful. He has never been unstable, just opinionated. And people don't like that so they call him psychologically unstable instead.

What he has done that is bad and why people hate him:

- Called somebody something bad on twitter once.

- Twits dumb memes with dumb humor sometimes

- Twitted about cryptocurrencies. People claim this is market manipulation to enrich himself without any evidence.

- Twitter 'Funding secured'. People believe this is made up, however it was conclusively settled. And even if it was not fully secured, there is little question he could have found the money. So not sure why people are so angry about that.

That seems to be most of the criticism I read. If that is the worst thing, I don't know what people are so worked up about.

Some leftists are angry he doesn't support unions, but of course almost no rich person (and many non rich people don't either).

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mdoms on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:48PM (#31149344)
> Called somebody something bad on twitter once

I assume you're talking about the time he called a diver (and actual hero) a pedophile. It went a bit further than that - he hired a private investigator who tried (and failed) to dig up dirt on the man.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:43PM (#31149657)
The diver was not a hero. He was an somebody that himself did little, and pushed himself into the media where he actually started insulting Musk and his team.

He created a false narrative about what Musk and his team of engineers (literal rocket engineers) were doing. Musk and his engineers had coordinated with the actual rescue team and the Mini-Sub they build was according to specification from the diving team who suggested they were not sure if the youngest and smallest child could be rescued with the conventional method they were planning.

The media of course presented this as Musk comes in and advocates for his own method of saving everybody and the 'hero' was a guy who pushed himself into the cheap sensationalist media by attacking Musk. The sensationalist media of course simply ran with that and were just to happy to publish anything negative about Musk.

That was of course during a time when Tesla was having challenges scaling and the 'Musk is a total idiot' storyline was getting lots of clicks.

In all, sure, Musk did something stupid but he didn't start it. He had never said anything bad about either this guy or the diving team. He had in fact done the opposite and expressed that it was good that their alternative solution in the end wasn't required.

But I guess anybody who pushes himself into the media who to insult Musk must be a hero.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mdoms on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:52PM (#31149710)
Both of you guys who have responded to my comment have been rampaging through this thread with aggressive defenses of Musk. This is not normal behaviour.

If you don't want to consider a man who was instrumental in saving the lives of 12 boys a hero that's fine, there are lots of other adjectives that I'm sure you can find and they're all far more flattering than the one Musk made of himself in that saga.

Take a step back and think about what you're defending here. It's not a good look.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Sunday April 24, 2022 @09:05PM (#31149789)
You call it aggressive, I just responding with happened rather then what the cheap clickbait media outlets who provided form this crisis wanted to claim happened.

> instrumental

There was a professional diving team that saved the children he was not himself doing it.

And even if he was pushing yourself into the media and making headlines by insulting somebody who tried to help is not really a good look. Specially because it was not constitutive (or respectful) critism. It was simply a guy who wanted attention and got it.

> Take a step back and think about what you're defending here. It's not a good look.

I'm not defending what Musk said. It was clearly a stupid thing to say.

But if the main critism of a guy who lead 2 important technology companies for decades is 'he got too angry at somebody who insulted him in the media' then that is a pretty lame reason to hate him so much.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by lozenge on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:37AM (#31151553)
Calling somebody a pedo because they insulted your work on TV is unstable behaviour. So is repeating the claim to journalists and saying explicitly you really literally meant it, throwing more insults in, settling the libel case and then repeating the claims again. Actually, unstable is one of the nicest adjectives you could use about this abhorrent behaviour.

Your defences and explanations are all irrelevant and rely on minimising it as "saying something bad" and "on Twitter". That isn't adding anything to the conversation.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by raspberry1337 on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:42AM (#31151929)
>If you don't want to consider a man who was instrumental in saving the lives of 12 boys a hero that's fine,

It's his job as a diver, is it not?

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:35AM (#31152673)
I coyld provide a long list of blockbuster movies about live saving heros. All of which just did their jobs, under dangerous conditions. Yes, you can be a hero if just do your job. And yes, we all accept that.

That being said, it was never Elons job to help, nor was it his job to develop a non-working submarine for the task. Or to be insulted when someone stated so. He did it for the PR and the fame, when he got neither was pissed and started insulting and harassing people.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by heavenlyblue on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:25AM (#31152611)
> It's his job as a diver, is it not?

Divers dive, saving people is something a (probably very small) subset of divers do.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by heavenlyblue on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:24AM (#31152606)
> He was an somebody that himself did little, and pushed himself into the media where he actually started insulting Musk and his team.

This is exactly what Musk himself had said, can you please provide any sources for many paragraphs of unsubstantiated claims you just made? :)

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:29PM (#31149592)
The people calling the diver a "hero" are just as odd. Since when do we go around calling people "heroes" in this day and age? The only people who should be using that term are those who were personally saved by someone. Further the guy didn't actually take part in the rescue himself. He was a hobbyist diver who lived in the area who was an advisor. The "heroes", if there are any, are the actual rescuers who are almost forgotten to history now because everyone remembers the guy Musk called a name more than the people who did the actual rescuing.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by psyc on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:50AM (#31151625)
He makes everyone playing at performative ‘seriuz buzniss’ look unserious by juxtaposition, especially since he got the highest $core in their main game.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:27PM (#31149580)
> Some of the criticism of his behavior is clearly sour grapes that he doesn’t act “properly” for a billionaire, but there are also many examples of him being a bad person a la Steve Jobs.

If we can get a massively successful revolutionary business like SpaceX without someone like Steve Jobs I'd love it. But so far the sample size is small and there aren't any countering examples. History has thus far shown that you need people with strong personality and drive with some amount of lack of empathy in order to create massive shifts in the course of humanity.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @02:48AM (#31151319)
SpaceX is impressive, no doubt about that. But all we got from it so far is, maybe, cheaper orbital launches. Even without SpaceX we would get stuff into space, we did before already so.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:08AM (#31152508)
It's also galvanized an entire industry that was basically completely stagnant before SpaceX. The number of space-related and space-adjacent startups is skyrocketing. People figured out, because of SpaceX, that you can actually make a profitable business out of space that isn't just government contracts.

Also, SpaceX isn't done.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:25AM (#31153466)
People figured out that, if you manage to pull of a Musk impression, investors are willing to part with shit tons of money for space start ups. Whether any of those will work out or not is still not answered. Nor is the question if there is enough actual demand for all those small payload launches, SpaceX is launching their own Starlink satellites (and may well dump that business on retail investors) and if the other businesses currently paying for those small payload launches are themselves profitable isn't sure neither.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Wednesday April 27, 2022 @04:55AM (#31177801)
I'm not talking about launch companies. I'm talking about all the other space companies, many of which you probably haven't heard of. SpaceX has enabled an entire new generation of startups that are making use of cheaper launch costs.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by influx on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:05PM (#31149447)
"We love immigrants, especially those who start innovative businesses"

"We love green businesses, wouldn't it be great if we had more electric cars and could kill oil?"

"We love science, especially rocket scientists!"

"Twitter can ban anyone they like, 1st amendment only applies to government, get your own Twitter if you don't like it!"

Waaaaait, not like thaaaaat!

Stop the hypocrisy.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dehrmann on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:10AM (#31151419)
The problem with lending to him is most of his assets are TSLA shares. It's arguably absurdly overvalued as an automaker, and any effort to liquidate his position would be expensive since it would drive the price down. Someone did it, but I'm sure some people passed.

As someone else pointed out, TWTR isn't a great purchase, either. Its ad revenue isn't great, so if he defaults on the loan, the lender is stuck with an asset they don't want.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by logifail on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:59AM (#31151687)
> any effort to liquidate his position would be expensive since it would drive the price down

Didn't he sell quite a lot of stock last year? Bear in mind he just keeps getting more of it as part of his compensation...

"Elon Musk unleashed a torrent of stock sales, options exercises, tax payment sales and gifted shares last year totaling nearly $22 billion.

Yet even after unloading so much Tesla stock, he still owns a larger share of the company than when he started, thanks to his compensation package.

Musk owns 172.6 million Tesla shares, or a 17% stake, which makes him its single largest individual shareholder."[0]

[0] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/15/elon-musk-unloaded-billions-...

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by HWR_14 on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:13AM (#31151433)
They did it at a 5x multiple. They can cover the loan as long as Tesla stays above 203.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dehrmann on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:42AM (#31151580)
That would be a bit lower than Toyota's value. Toyota sold 10.5M vehicles last year. Tesla sold 930k. Yes, Tesla's growth is solid, but the valuation is because of the true believers. I avoid investing in anything Elon touches because valuations get weird.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by logifail on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:05AM (#31151715)
> Tesla's growth is solid, but the valuation is because of the true believers

I'm really not what you'd call a believer in Tesla - although had my first ever ride in a one (a model 3) recently, quite an eye-opening experience.

It's not as thought Tesla is the only company where the current valuation doesn't appear to make much sense looking at the numbers...

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by EtienneK on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:15AM (#31152547)
> eye-opening experience

How so? I've had rides in Model S's before and it was totally... fine? What made the Model 3 experience so much better than a conventional car?

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by logifail on Monday April 25, 2022 @12:16PM (#31156962)
> I've had rides in Model S's before and it was totally... fine? What made the Model 3 experience so much better than a conventional car?

I didn't actually say "better", but it was certainly a novel experience since I'd never been in an EV of any kind! The lack of engine noise coupled with the acceleration, somewhat mind-blowing.

I'm not convinced that any current EV - never mind any Tesla - is yet a good fit for a family such as ours, but I look forward to the day when there is such a choice of vehicle.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:34AM (#31151540)
Was a similar loan among the reasons why a Tesla "bankrupcy" a couple of years ago wasn't that unlikely? It seems that the 203 $ are a reasonable valuation.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by paganel on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:37AM (#31151890)
Tesla is a strategic asset for the US and for the West more generally speaking, even more so than SpaceX at this point, I personally don’t think it will be allowed to tank/go under.

I do agree that the stock is way over-valued when looking only at the economic fundamentals, but when one balances out the “the Chinese have all this battery thing all figured out!” vs “we only have Tesla on our side!” then things are different (and, yes, I know that the “Tesla batteries” are not 100% made by Tesla right now).

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by lm28469 on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:21AM (#31152178)
> Tesla is a strategic asset for the US and for the West more generally speaking

How so ? It's a car company, there are dozen of them making equally good, if not better, cars. Autopilot is useless and electric cars are already there. You can credit them for the democratisation of EV but that's about it

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by paganel on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:39AM (#31152283)
It’s not a car company, it’s a battery+software company with some wheels (literally) attached, hence part of the high valuation. It took me a while to realize this, had I put my money on this back then I would have had more money right now (10x times, I’d say).

The likes of Mercedes and VW are orders of magnitude behind, both when it comes to batteries and especially when it comes to software

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:26AM (#31152616)
Batteries are coming from Panasonic. Other OEMs have working EVs as well. And Tesla is way to small in terms of economic foot print that its disappearance would make a dent. Economics, not on the stock market.

Nothing about Tesla is strategic. SpaceX is different, sure. But with the exception of a yet-to-come lunar mission and astronaut trabsportation to the ISS the "West" got needed stuff into orbit just fine.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by paganel on Monday April 25, 2022 @07:27AM (#31153048)
No other major car-maker has been able to come close to Tesla when it comes to the sleekness of their software and (especially that) when it comes to the cars' autonomy, Tesla is in a class of its own. And it's not for lack of trying, the Germans have already poured tens of billions of euros (at least) into the EV market.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @07:46AM (#31153180)
Autonomous driving is totally unrelated to EVs, an ICE powered car can be as (non-)autonomous as an EV one. There was a nice thread recently about Mercedes liability regarding "autonomous" driving.

Well, that the "sleakness2 of software is a thing now when it comes to cars might make an Apple car difficult, the "sleek software" crowd is covered already. And there I was build quality, ride comfort and maintenance costs were also important when it comes to cars... Stupid me. But then I'm German, not sure if me driving French and old British cars offsets my ingrained sense of superiority of German car brands.

But yes, I agree Tesla is on its own in tremendously over selling its self driving tech.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by lm28469 on Monday April 25, 2022 @12:57PM (#31157615)
> No other major car-maker has been able to come close to Tesla when it comes to the sleekness of their software and (especially that) when it comes to the cars' autonomy

Nobody cares about the software besides HN type people and the average user puts something like 40 miles per day on their car.

A far cry from "strategic asset" for the west, but you sure can program the car to make fart noises when you honk...

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by recuter on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:40AM (#31152710)
This is a very strong narrative making the rounds. Unfortunately it is not quite so. The batteries Tesla uses are a commodity - they are partnered with Panasonic and more recently the Chinese CATL (these guys do actual battery research, you know, with chemicals and lab coats).

Certainly packaging Panasonic rolls into 2170s gives them a nice edge but it isn't exactly rocket science.

The Giga press is made by the Italian Idra Group. They have bought them out at the moment but anybody can start nabbing them for themselves if they got a spare $30m laying around.

Tesla is certainly "good at engineering", but their advantage is not really in original IP so much as organizational agility. Perhaps the incumbents are too bureaucratic to adapt but I wouldn't count them out just yet.

As for software, give me a break.

P.S. - I am actually a fan just not a fanboy.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by paganel on Monday April 25, 2022 @07:25AM (#31153035)
Not a fanboy by any stretch, as I'm totally anti-EV (I find the regressive taxes supporting this industry quite repulsive, to be honest), I've written down just what I thought was happening/what the reality on the ground was.

> o much as organizational agility

That's why I insisted on the "better software" part, that's where much of their advantage comes from.

Maybe the Germans and the French can also source their batteries from the Chinese but they just haven't been able to put them to good use the way Tesla did (and does). For example right now Renault is selling a 20,000 euro EV (produced in China, of course) [1] which has atrocious autonomy, to say nothing of the fact that it feels very small. And that is supposed to be one of their main vehicles when it comes to targeting the EV mass-market, from one of the biggest car makers in the world. It's a complete joke.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dacia_Spring

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by recuter on Monday April 25, 2022 @07:51AM (#31153226)
Great, so now that we have established that nobody is a fanboy let us objectively take a gander at the current situation.

Here is Doug Demuro reviewing the Volkswagen ID Buzz:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4JraQ6KrVM

tl;dr: It is fine.

Here he is reviewing the Rivian: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CYrunRy8hmw

tl;dr: It is excellent. In fact he says "coolest pickup truck ever made". People who were excited about the cyber truck and know cars would rather get this one.

> Maybe the Germans and the French can also source their batteries from the Chinese but they just haven't been able to put them to good use the way Tesla did (and does).

Well.. I don't know about the French. ;)

But Volkswagen will make you an electrified Golf just fine. And that is the best selling car in Europe. Toyota will make you a Yaris and a boring beige Prius.

The bz4x is out now and getting good reviews: https://www.toyota.co.uk/new-cars/bz4x

It is just fine, and slightly cheaper, and so longer term it is unclear how it will all play out.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dehrmann on Monday April 25, 2022 @12:08PM (#31156845)
The real test for Tesla will be F150 Lightning vs Cyber Truck sales. If Ford can show strong sales, it shows that a focused incumbent can fend off an upstart competitor, despite the upstart's first-mover advantage on the drivetrain. The other sign to look for will be if European carmakers can slow Tesla's growth in the low to mid-end luxury market.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by recuter on Monday April 25, 2022 @12:41PM (#31157369)
The drivetrain is basically a commodity too, a much simpler component than an engine. Unlike with legacy vehicles people will be hard pressed to feel the difference.

Based on teardowns Tesla is innovating here but even if they have an edge it is a tiny one (single digit percentage) because of diminishing returns.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dehrmann on Monday April 25, 2022 @11:48AM (#31156543)
> it’s a battery+software company with some wheels (literally) attached

I remember WeWork being a software company, not a commercial landlord.

That said, I agree that Tesla's software is significantly better than every competitor, but Autopilot is behind the other self-driving players, and I'd rather have dials than a touchscreen, anyway.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dc-programmer on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:16AM (#31153405)
There are definitely influential people who believe social media platforms are also strategic assets. The DOJ did try to expropriate US TikTok that one time
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by paganel on Tuesday April 26, 2022 @12:21PM (#31169412)
WhatsApp’s acquisition was (partly) intermediated by a boutique investment bank which had former CIA-director George Tenet on its board of directors (or something like that). I’m surprised the strategic aspect of a major part of US’s tech industry is not given much thought in here.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by SpikeDad on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:17PM (#31149179)
Accomplished? He's got money and hired some smart people. And tech media is more than happy to ignore all the stupid shit he's done and tried.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by playpause on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:06PM (#31149455)
He’s the chief engineer and product designer at Tesla, and the chief engineer at SpaceX, as well as CEO of both. He led the design and engineering of rockets that land, cutting the cost of space travel by one order of magnitude. Meanwhile he created the most valuable car maker in the world and forced the rest of the industry to bring forward their electric car plans by a decade. And these things weren’t accidents, he often tells the world what his goals are before accomplishing them. And he’s the richest man in the world. He’s many things, but not unaccomplished.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by SpikeDad on Monday April 25, 2022 @10:53PM (#31163477)
He owns the companies. He can call himself whatever he wants - doesn't make it true. He got lucky with Tesla - good timing, a pliant customer base willing to ignore all the things Tesla got wrong but still was willing to spend untold amount of money.

I am entirely skeptical he designed anything and considering the duds he's pretending are revolutionary (Boring, Hyperloop, Mars nonsense, Cybertruck, etc) but instead are failures it seems unlikely he could be so right about one thing and so wrong on others.

Trump is rich also

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dijit on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:53PM (#31149370)
> He's got money and hired some smart people.

Definitely not a fan of his but hiring smart people and enabling them is an accomplishment.

As wealthy as he is, he didn’t inherit all of what he has today. He’s definitely done more than many people who come from wealth.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by native_samples on Monday April 25, 2022 @03:34AM (#31151541)
He didn't inherit any of what he has today, did he? And he didn't come from wealth. He grew up in South Africa.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dijit on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:47AM (#31152354)
Are you implying that there are no wealthy people in South Africa?

Not to sound “attacky” but that seems extremely naive.

Truthfully, he comes from wealth, but not close to the wealth he has today; his father owned half of an emerald mine for example.

He is quoted as saying (about his youth): "We had so much money at times we couldn't even close our safe"

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by stormbrew on Monday April 25, 2022 @02:40PM (#31158945)
No one on the planet at the time was as wealthy as the current crop of ultra-rich, including Musk. Perhaps no one in all of history, really, though that becomes a complicated comparison really fast.

But yes, he absolutely comes from wealth. Just like most of them do.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by dijit on Wednesday April 27, 2022 @02:39PM (#31184028)
John D. Rockefeller was at the peak of his wealth in 1909, with over $900 million (in 1909 dollars). Doesn’t sound like much today—just your run-of-the-mill almost-billionaire. But that fortune represented about 5% of the TOTAL GDP of the U.S. in about 1910. That is obscenely GARGANTUAN.

If we were to translate 5% of the 2020 U.S. GDP today, that would be 5% of $20.807 trillion. Or about $1.404 trillion. So Bezos, with his $182.2 billion and Musk with his $264.6 billion, have A LONG way to go to catch up with Rockefeller.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by sshine on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:27PM (#31149233)
Electric sports cars

Self-landing rockets

Underground tunnel systems

Brain-computer interfaces

OpenAI leading AI research

PayPal

Accomplished? Meh!

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by gamblor956 on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:07PM (#31149461)
All of those things existed before Musk. Is he retroactively giving himself credit for those things like he did with Tesla?

EVs are over a century old. SpaceX was recreating NASA research. Subways have been a thing for over a century; literally millions of people use them every day. Paypal's tech stack used Thiel's startup's technology; they jettisoned everything from Musk's stack and moreover fired him for gross incompetence.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:53PM (#31149717)
> SpaceX was recreating NASA research.

Reading such an absurd and idiotic reductionist take on HN just makes me sad. I mostly speaks to you having absolutely zero knowlage about space technology and rocketry.

> moreover fired him for gross incompetence.

They fired him because he had a 10 year business plan to replace banks and become the main monetary system for all payments. A combination of being a bank, an online payment provider and Apple pay.

The other founders wanted to sell the company and make quick cash.

> Subways have been a thing for over a century;

Yeah such an asshole wanting to improve tunneling technology. Only assholes try to improve technology. We should just shoot anybody in the head who tries to improve on technology that is more then 10 years old.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:30AM (#31153500)
The first rockets landed in the 70s, so yeah the tech existed already long ago. It wasn't used because rockets (e.g. Ariane 5) were developed to carry shuttle crat and nobody believed there were enough launches to make reusable rockets worthwhile. There are no shuttles anymore, and whether or not the launch market is big enough isn't sure yet neither.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:59AM (#31153826)
You are continue to embrace yourself and you are not worth talking to. Bye.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @09:13AM (#31154047)
Do you embarrass myself? Because whom I embrace is hardly your business.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mattcwilson on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:18PM (#31149533)
I’m curious if there is anything that, if shown to be true, you would acknowledge as evidence of his accomplishment?
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by sshine on Sunday April 24, 2022 @09:16PM (#31149860)
> All of those things existed before Musk.

I didn't say Elon Musk invented electric cars.

I'm saying he accomplished something in these fields.

If you want to pull him down among the rest of us, why don't you just point out that he's inhaling and exhaling in exactly the same way as everyone else?

In other news: honeybee tongue hairs repel water

Pssh, oil repelled water way before honey bees, they're not that special!

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:23PM (#31149562)
No they did not.

> EVs are over a century old.

But not an economic success and there was (and still is to be frank) no successful EV industry besides Tesla. A lot of fanfare with little results.

> SpaceX was recreating NASA research.

NASA and competitors dismissed any idea of landing rockets or even reusability in the first place. It was deemed a failed idea. This is why the SLS has been created by NASA as reusability was deemed a failure.

On the other items besides PayPal, they aren't successes yet so I'll reserve judgement.

On the whole "jettisoned" stuff there's a lot of conflicting reports on that and he wasn't fired.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by askonomm on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:14PM (#31149509)
Oh man, if one can only be considered accomplished when inventing completely new things I will never amount to anything :(
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by Natsu on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:02PM (#31149432)
> Accomplished? He's got money and hired some smart people.

Lines like that work better on a site where most of the people don't appreciate just how damned hard it is to build a business.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by fbrncci on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:04PM (#31149442)
He's the richest person I a society which wholesale measures accomplishments by wealth. If he isn't accomplished, then I don't know who is.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by kiba on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:47PM (#31149338)
He can be both accomplished and an asshole.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by capkutay on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:33PM (#31149265)
I guess all people with money have bootstrapped companies that launched mankind into space?
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @08:31AM (#31153514)
Some of those with the necessary petty cash and the interest do: Bezos, Branson, Allen...
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by panick21_ on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:47PM (#31149680)
What a dumb ass comment. As if it was easy to start and lead major technology companies for decades.

Even if you want to go with the idiotic 'he is not an engineer'-storyline to make yourself feel good, as a business man his credentials are literally unassailable.

To downplay business success as 'hired some smart people' is just ridiculous and utterly sad and depressing to read on a page that is hosted on 'ycombinator'. Get a grip and think before you write something.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by ridiculous_leke on Sunday April 24, 2022 @09:54PM (#31150080)
How did he get that much money and how did he end up in a position to hire so many people? These questions are important because majority of people cannot do that.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hackerfromthefu on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:01AM (#31151697)
Well go ahead and start a series of successful category defining companies. We will be waiting to see how easy you make it look!
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hef19898 on Monday April 25, 2022 @06:37AM (#31152690)
Same lazy argument as saying "go live somewhere else if you don't like it here".
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by hackerfromthefu on Monday April 25, 2022 @10:05AM (#31154940)
No, just no.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by inglor_cz on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:26AM (#31152199)
"He's got money and hired some smart people."

Ever tried to count all the failed businesses that did the same?

The attrition rate of technological startups that match your description is insane. How many space startups from the early 2000s do even exist today?

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mlindner on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:20PM (#31149542)
He's one of the most "accomplished" people on this planet that is alive today.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by JaceLightning on Sunday April 24, 2022 @07:25PM (#31149222)
He got money because he is really accomplished...
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by TheRealDunkirk on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:01PM (#31149426)
This smells like the virulent detraction aimed at Trump, which a very large number of people tried to promulgate on social media. Sure, you can quote a bunch of subjective measures and conclude that he’s “stupid,” but he’s successful by every common understanding of the word. Trying to take a dump on him like this just comes off as jealousy.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by CamperBob2 on Sunday April 24, 2022 @08:11PM (#31149490)
Trump's companies failed at selling steaks, booze, and gambling to Americans. (He also failed at launching a coup d'etat, but at least he succeeded at avoiding punishment for it.)

Musk's companies have already revolutionized at least two hard-to-crack industries, aerospace and automotive, and are attempting more.

Your exercise in false equivalence is, well, an exercise in false equivalence.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by fjkal on Monday April 25, 2022 @04:16AM (#31151763)
Yes, Tesla is very good at securing funding:

https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/tesla-s-mai...

"Congratulations, Mr. and Mrs. Heartland America, you have just subsidized a bunch of millionaires living in California's most expensive coastal ZIP codes to the tune of $10,197 per car. I'm sure they are sending you a thank-you card."

It would be hilarious if it turns out that the government is interested in a private Twitter for "enhanced" data collection and analysis.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by mcv on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:02AM (#31152063)
If the government wants to stimulate electric vehicles, those subsidies are incredibly well spent. Tesla popularised them and grew the market for them like nobody else has done.

Mr and Mrs Heartland America should be more concerned about the subsidies for oil companies; what are those meant to accomplish exactly?

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by HPsquared on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:21AM (#31152179)
(2018)
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by bollox on Monday April 25, 2022 @02:30AM (#31151245)
> most accomplished dude on the planet

No, just the most famous braggart. Other people, i.e. actual experts and professionals, did all the actual work that he likes to lay claim to accomplishing.

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by darkteflon on Sunday April 24, 2022 @09:06PM (#31149797)
I thought this[1] was one of the most accurate (and succinct) takes on him I’ve read:

“Elon Musk is a bullshitter who delivers. This breaks a lot of people's pattern-matching, in both directions.”

[1](https://twitter.com/benedictevans/status/1358760338724974594...)

Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by financetechbro on Sunday April 24, 2022 @06:16PM (#31148832)
To be fair - it’s more about twitter than musk. Twitter just isn’t the best social media platform out there in terms of financial performance, and they also don’t have the ability to take too much debt, making the financing even more challenging bc it can be a pretty risky asset. Still tho, the financing is complex. It will be interesting if Musk (read: Morgan Stanley) can actually pull it off.
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by alephnan on Sunday April 24, 2022 @06:55PM (#31149050)
Talk is cheap. Stock market is the place to test convictions. Pretty sure most of those people didn’t have skin in the game, long or short, either ways
Re:Twitter re-examines Elon Musk’s bid, may be more receptiv... by gigatexal on Monday April 25, 2022 @05:21AM (#31152185)
It's still a huge gamble for him and his backers. Twitter while immensely important to the world in terms of reach -- it got Trump elected -- does not make money well... let's see what he does. I've come to terms with him buying it. I'll go elsewhere if it gets shitty.