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Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:16AM (#15704800)
> High housing prices are great for those who already owned houses

Not really. Rising prices (not high prices) are great for people holding houses as investments. But for owner-occupied houses, rising prices are as bad for the owners as they are for everyone else.

my wife and I own a house in Northern California, which we bought during the sub-prime crash. Since then it has nearly doubled in price. It is also too big for us, so we'd like to sell it and move to a smaller house. But we can't. Why? Because by the time you factor in:

1. Capital gains tax

2. Real estate agent fees

3. Higher property taxes (even a smaller house costs much more than the prop-13 basis in our current house)

we can't afford to move!

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:39AM (#15705056)
Fellow Northern California homeowner here. You can sell it and you will net a return. I'm not sure I understand your gripe. It sounds like you're annoyed about the hassle of moving , the associated fees, etc. But the parent's point is valid - the appreciation of value of your house is great for you.

> 1. Capital gains tax

Note - if it's your primary residence you get capital gains relief on the first $500k.

> 2. Real estate agent fees

If you're in the bay area, then you negotiate these down to the minimum (IIRC 2.5%) because the market is so liquid and the agents add very little value (if you're smart). Also, you can negotiate not to pay the commission if you're the buyer. So the only burden is on the sale, which is less impactful since you've already made a profit on it.

> 3. Higher property taxes

Yes, this is a bitch in CA...see next point.

> we can't afford to move!

Clarification - you can't afford to move in the general vicinity, but you could certainly move to Nevada (for example). If you are not viewing your house as an investment, then guess what? You get to live in an area that is high demand! Good for you for timing the market appropriately when you bought.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:57AM (#15705233)
> if it's your primary residence you get capital gains relief on the first $500k.

Yes, I know. But our appreciation is substantially more than that. The higher it goes, the more expensive it becomes to make a move.

> which is less impactful since you've already made a profit on it

Only if we move to a less expensive area. If we make a local move, that "profit" just gets rolled in to the next house. There's no way to cash out without leaving the area.

> Clarification - you can't afford to move in the general vicinity, but you could certainly move to Nevada (for example).

Yes, exactly right. What we really want to do, but can't because it's too expensive, is downsize. This would not be the case if prices were stable.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:34PM (#15705629)
But you don't realize a net loss from moving to a smaller home in the same area. The only hinderance is paying a higher tax % (because of CA), but you'll likely net more positive cash (because of the transaction) + the absolute value of your new taxes will be less.

I'm still not sure why exactly the issue is. You literally can afford to downsize and you'll make a ton of money doing so.

> If we make a local move, that "profit" just gets rolled in to the next house.

Huh? That's not how it works...

2008 - Buy house for $1M

2017 - Sell house for $2M

2017 - Buy new house for $1M (but smaller size)

Congrats you have an asset worth $1M you've just made $1M in cash. Now net out fees and you have a downsized home and are more liquid than you were before, but with slightly less wealth than you had yesterday (due to netting of fees associated with the transaction).

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:48PM (#15707139)
> 2017 - Buy new house for $1M (but smaller size)

Assuming there's anything on the market for $1M. The problems start when there isn't.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:32PM (#15707467)
But if you're downsizing then yes there is a cheaper house. That's how the housing market generally works ($ per square foot * # of square feet).

> The problems start when there isn't.

And the market always opens up when there isn't because it means the demand goes higher and thus creates new sellers. That also "rises the tide" and increase everyone in the area's house prices. So it nets it self out.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:24PM (#15707962)
> But if you're downsizing then yes there is a cheaper house.

Sure. But it might be $1.6 million, not $1 million, in your example...

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @08:06PM (#15709506)
Ok, so what? It's still cheaper than $2M....so they can still afford it....
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @09:18PM (#15709823)
You don't get to keep the whole $2M. That's the point.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @10:07PM (#15709995)
Uh what? If I have a house and I sell it for $2M cash and then I buy a house for $1.6M, I now have $400k in cash and $1.6M in assets.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by romwell on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:14PM (#15710218)
Because of the expenses (moving, taxes, fees, etc) amount to $400K, you've just spent a lot of effort to replace a more expensive property with cheaper and smaller one for no gain.

Real-life numbers will differ, but that's roughly the point.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Thursday November 16, 2017 @10:50AM (#15713616)
Right. See my point here about asset transfer fees and the idea of "gain" or "loss" to wealth: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15708206

But there is a gain, you just turned an illiquid asset into a liquid asset. The fact that this exchange is even possible is why you are even able to say "its worth $2M" in the first place. If you couldn't turn an illiquid asset into a liquid asset it would be worth nothing, so you neither "gain" nor "lose". Would you rather have that scenario?

Lastly - if you see personal value in purchasing a smaller house, wouldn't you expect service providers (agents, movers, etc) to charge you for that value?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Thursday November 16, 2017 @01:15AM (#15710580)
If you sell a house for $2M cash and have to pay capital gains taxes, and then buy a house for $1.6M, you do not have $400k in cash afterward.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Thursday November 16, 2017 @10:52AM (#15713634)
If you sell it after 2 years and it's your principal residence you do actually have $400k in cash...

https://ttlc.intuit.com/questions/3229450-sold-primary-house...

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Thursday November 16, 2017 @03:38PM (#15716385)
No, you do not. If you buy a house for $1M, sell for $2M, you pay taxes on $500k. Those taxes are ~34% if you're in California, so you pay about $150k in taxes. You buy a house for $1.6M, you have $250k left, not $400k.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Thursday November 16, 2017 @09:52PM (#15718551)
This is not correct according to the 2 CA tax accountants I just spoke in the last 2 weeks. I literally am researching this exact situation right now.

https://www.irs.gov/taxtopics/tc701

Where's your source?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Friday November 17, 2017 @01:44AM (#15719631)
I'm looking at the exact same source you are. What part of what I said is not correct, exactly? The capital gains are $1 million. $500k of it is excluded (assuming you're married filing jointly). The rest gets taxed.

If you think that's incorrect, what do _you_ think happens with taxes when selling a home for $2 million that was bought for $1 million?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Friday November 17, 2017 @05:00PM (#15726348)
> I said = 2017 - Sell house for $2M

> I said = 2017 - Buy new house for $1M

> you said = But it might be (for the "buy new house") $1.6 million, not $1 million, in your example...

> I said = so they can still afford it.

> you said = You don't get to keep the whole $2M. That's the point.

So, let's do this again.

1. Sell house for $2M

2. Buy house for $1.6M as you suggested

3. Congrats you now have $1.6M in illiquid assets and $400k in liquid assets (cash)

Note - I recognize that my original example was buy at $1M and sell for $2M, where you are correct you're not taxed on the first $500k and the remaining $500k is taxed at capital gains. I also recognize that this whole scenario is purely illustrative and doesn't take into acount all of the transation fees.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by ttul on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:00PM (#15705276)
Awww poor baby. You’ve made more than $500K, much of which will be untaxed, simply by owning a house. Jesus fucking Christ. Cry me a river. Most people would trade their arm in for that kind of leveraged gain.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by sctb on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:22PM (#15708439)
It doesn't matter what you're responding to; the guidelines ask us not to post like this.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by yawz on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:27PM (#15705546)
> You’ve made more than $500K

Nope! This is all speculative until you need to "sell & move". If you want to move to another place in the same area, guess what, you've probably made nothing. With all the taxes and fees that you have to pay on the sale price you can't buy the equivalent of your house. You can only capitalize on that appreciation if you move somewhere considerably cheaper.

Not only that, the owner faces higher (in some cases much higher) property taxes due to increasing house prices, which is totally out of their control.

I'm not suggesting that they're in a bad spot. It's just not the "jackpot" that your post is suggesting.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:50PM (#15705821)
> With all the taxes and fees that you have to pay on the sale price you can't buy the equivalent of your house.

So why on earth would someone want to sell their house and buy an equivalent house in the same area...?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by nitrogen on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:03PM (#15705989)
Switch schools or districts, change neighbors, move closer to work, change floorplans, move closer to family, etc.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by sliverstorm on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:35PM (#15706407)
In short, what is important to people in their residence changes.

Friend of mine bought a house he and his wife loved. Five years later he came to understand what owning a Dr Horton house means, and they wanted a better-built house.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:29PM (#15707446)
Totally, but if you are wanting something of more value than yes there is a price to pay for that.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by ghaff on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:03PM (#15705987)
In all fairness, I can see wanting to, say, downsize and move to a more walkable community relatively nearby. (Or, for that matter, move out of an expensive urban condo and move somewhere with more room--although that will harder in the Bay area specifically.) To the degree that market value of the two is similar, the financial hit will be substantial.

But a lot of this is true with moving generally when you're living somewhere that's OK but isn't really optimal for you any longer.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:25PM (#15705528)
I'm not asking anyone to feel sorry for us. I'm just pointing out that rising prices are not a panacea for owner-occupied primary residences. The result is bad for everyone because people like us end up staying in houses that are too big. That takes housing stock off the market and drives prices up even further. That's good for investors, but bad for everyone who wants to buy a house to live in.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by stevehawk on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:10PM (#15706073)
Let's say the house didn't go up in value.. where would that leave you? Would you be any more capable to sell? (Serious question, not a rhetorical or sarcastic one.. just seems to me you'd still be in a hole, just a different hole)
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:47PM (#15706565)
> Would you be any more capable to sell?

Quite possibly, yes.

Let's plug in some plausible numbers. Say someone buys a 3-bedroom house for $300k (they have kids). At the same time, 1-bedroom houses sell for $200k.

Time passes, the kids grow up and move out. Say house prices didn't change at all. You sell for $300k, buy for $200k, pay some agent fees, have $85k or so left over.

Now say prices went up and the 3-bedroom house is $1,500,000. You sell, have a $1.2e6 capital gain. $500k is deductible, you pay taxes on the remaining $700k. That's taxed at 20% federal plus the ACA 3.8% investment income tax (because your income is way over that boundary) plus state capital gains taxes. In California, capital gains are taxed the same as other income, at first glance; let's be charitable and assume you avoid the higher tax brackets (12.3%) and get taxed at an effective 10% here. That's 33.8% tax. So your after-tax sale proceeds are $500k + 0.662*$700k = $963k.

Note that your house went up in price by 5x. If the smaller one did too, it costs $1 million and you can't pay for it anymore. If it went up by more than that (e.g. if the primary inflation was in land prices, which it often is) you might be even more in the hole.

Things are even worse if you're trying to sell and buy something equivalent instead of downsizing.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by simonbarker87 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:05PM (#15708294)
I’m amazed that the US charge capital gains on primary residence sales - in the UK we have Private Residence Relief which means you pay no capital gains from the sale of your primary residence, so long as you meet some requirements that are very easy to meet and I would say 99% of owner occupiers meet.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mercutio2 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @07:38PM (#15709359)
99% of American home owners also qualify for full capital gains relief.

Gains greater than 500k are extremely rare outside of certain overly restrictively zoned areas.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by simonbarker87 on Thursday November 16, 2017 @01:20AM (#15710595)
Ah, ok
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by rapala on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:15PM (#15707880)
You'r missing 300k from your after tax sale proceeds. You could still afford the smaller house with 263k left over. You would make a 37k loss yes, but you could buy the new house. An important distinction in my opinion.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:21PM (#15707935)
Yes, you're absolutely right, good catch!

Of course all that assumes that you're not leveraged at all (paid-off morgage). If you're leveraged, price increases are generally a win even in the face of capital gains taxes on the increase.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by jblow on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:29PM (#15706345)
The hole would be smaller, thus more likely to be affordable with wages / savings / etc.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by el_benhameen on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:11PM (#15705371)
You arguably have a point (so does the parent), but this isn’t the way to express it in a respectful discussion.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Danihan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:30PM (#15705579)
I dislike the notion that discourse needs to be respectful at all times.

Discourse shouldn't be baselessly disrespectful, sure.

But the robotic, tsk tsk, shaming attitude that gets thrown around on forums whenever someone expresses any negative emotion gets old too.

In any case, complaining about having to pay capital gains tax on gains OVER $500k really is the ultimate first world, privileged problem.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by davidw on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:58PM (#15705932)
It's not about a "negative emotion", it's about saying something that you probably wouldn't say to someone's face.

If I were talking to lisper over a beer, I'd probably smile and say that that problem is one that 99% of the world's population would love to have, or something to that effect. Or maybe without the smile and straight to the point "complaining about profits so high that you're getting taxed on them when there are people who are homeless is not a great look".

OTOH, I don't think he's really complaining, just pointing out that the system is pretty screwy even for someone who is in no uncertain terms doing pretty well.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by darawk on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:08PM (#15706061)
> In any case, complaining about having to pay capital gains tax on gains OVER $500k really is the ultimate first world, privileged problem.

Almost every complaint levied on this forum is a first world problem. Complaining about the ergonomics of a programming language is a first world problem. And secondly, he wasn't complaining, he was describing the economics of his choices. What is infinitely more toxic than 'complaining' about first world problems, is people jumping on explanations like the above as 'complaints' that need to be silenced.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Danihan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:21PM (#15706221)
>What is infinitely more toxic than 'complaining' about first world problems

That's just like, your opinion man.

>Complaining about the ergonomics

Look, complaining about work is a typical first world problem, sure. And of course we're all lucky to do the work we do and not live in [wherever.]

Complaining about 20% taxes on $200k of a ~$700k windfall is truly more like a .00001% issue and is pretty obtuse by any measure.

You wouldn't raise an eyebrow, or have any negative reaction to someone making $400k / year bitterly complaining that they have to pay taxes on it? I don't know anyone who wouldn't think that was obnoxious.

>he was describing the economics of his choices.

Sort of, in a fairly facile and borderline deceptive manner.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by darawk on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:01PM (#15706716)
> You wouldn't raise an eyebrow, or have any negative reaction to someone making $400k / year bitterly complaining that they have to pay taxes on it? I don't know anyone who wouldn't think that was obnoxious.

Where are these bitter complaints? He commented to say that rising housing prices weren't good for him. He explained why. That isn't a complaint. He didn't say "I deserve this money from my rising house price!". He didn't say "the world is so unfair to me". He just explained why this thing that people thought would be helpful to someone like him, was in fact, not helpful.

> Sort of, in a fairly facile and borderline deceptive manner.

What was facile or deceptive about what he said? He's absolutely correct.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Danihan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:13PM (#15708346)
>What was facile or deceptive about what he said? He's absolutely correct.

First, he withheld the amount of capital gains, so everyone who initially responded naturally assumed it was under $500k, which is true of 99.9% of transactions. That was very misleading information to omit.

Secondly, he complained about broker fees, but it isn't required to sell a house using a broker by any stretch. Just do FSBO if you think the 3% cut (probably less) isn't worth it. And 3% isn't much at all when your already expensive house just went up over 100% in value. Facile and disingenuous.

>Where are these bitter complaints?

Pretending that he and his wife are "trapped" in his house and "can't afford to sell" makes it sound like a horrific and dire situation. Which is completely misleading, he and his wife are quite wealthy and could do anything they wanted. They are pretty much the opposite of "trapped."

>we can't afford to move!

Lies. They could easily afford to move.

They bought their house for something like $600k and now it's probably worth $1.3M. They pay 20% taxes on the $200k, so $40k and they lose 3% if they use a broker. That's another $40k, so $80k total. Let's make it an even $100k. So they have $1.2M to throw around, subtract $500k to pay off the existing mortgage, that's $700k free and clear.

$700k is a hell of a down-payment, even in the ritziest areas of Marin. Buy whatever you want.

I own a restaurant in norcal and have an employee whose room share / rental house burned in the recent fires. He goes to SRJC, doesn't have any family in the area, had no rental insurance, makes $12 an hour and no savings.

THAT's a dire situation, and considering I know people in situations like that, OP's framing of his (extremely cushy) situation as "I can't afford X!" is pretty disgusting to me.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by darawk on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @01:49AM (#15746161)
> First, he withheld the amount of capital gains, so everyone who initially responded naturally assumed it was under $500k, which is true of 99.9% of transactions. That was very misleading information to omit. Secondly, he complained about broker fees, but it isn't required to sell a house using a broker by any stretch. Just do FSBO if you think the 3% cut (probably less) isn't worth it. And 3% isn't much at all when your already expensive house just went up over 100% in value. Facile and disingenuous.

There's nothing misleading about that. He didn't mislead you. You misled you.

> Pretending that he and his wife are "trapped" in his house and "can't afford to sell" makes it sound like a horrific and dire situation. Which is completely misleading, he and his wife are quite wealthy and could do anything they wanted. They are pretty much the opposite of "trapped."

You don't really understand money, it seems like. The fact that you have equity in the home you live in doesn't mean you can "do anything you want". I already explained why this is so.

> They bought their house for something like $600k and now it's probably worth $1.3M. They pay 20% taxes on the $200k, so $40k and they lose 3% if they use a broker. That's another $40k, so $80k total. Let's make it an even $100k. So they have $1.2M to throw around, subtract $500k to pay off the existing mortgage, that's $700k free and clear. $700k is a hell of a down-payment, even in the ritziest areas of Marin. Buy whatever you want.

700k is indeed a great down payment. But you have no idea what their income stream is like. If they aren't making a large income, they won't be able to afford their mortgage payments if they need to buy a house in an expensive area like SF. What he means by 'trapped' is that they have theoretically made all this money, but the money is of no actual use to them. And he is completely correct.

> I own a restaurant in norcal and have an employee whose room share / rental house burned in the recent fires. He goes to SRJC, doesn't have any family in the area, had no rental insurance, makes $12 an hour and no savings. THAT's a dire situation, and considering I know people in situations like that, OP's framing of his (extremely cushy) situation as "I can't afford X!" is pretty disgusting to me.

Gee, it does indeed sound dire. Maybe you should pay your employees more rather than yelling at people on the internet for being insensitive about money? Seems you're in a position to actually do something about that situation. But you won't. And there's a very good reason you won't: because it's bad business. The economics don't make sense for you to do that. Just like the economics of the OP's situation don't make him wealthy. Absolute values are irrelevant, it's the equilibrium that matters.

And secondly, making silly statements like "THATS NOT DIRE THIS IS DIRE" is absurd. Almost everyone posting here lives in a first world country. There are infinitely 'more dire' situations out there than any of us are in, and playing this childish 'no true scotsman' game is a waste of time.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by styrophone on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:53PM (#15707169)
It seems your comment is characterizing the OP as a complaint mostly in search of sympathy. That doesn’t strike me to be the purpose of the post at all.

The OP is using him or herself as an example of a real behavior in response to real economic incentives, no matter how unsympathetic you find their circumstance. The fact that this situation discourages moves that most other markets encourage is a worthwhile point to bring up. Among other things, it reduces supply which has a profound effect on new buyers.

Incentives influence actions much more than personal criticism does. The OP’s relatively fortunate outcome does not mean that they don’t have something relevant to share. In contrast, targeting them with pejorative shaming is totally unhelpful.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Danihan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:32PM (#15708538)
Please tell me where my math is off here.

They bought their house for something like $600k and now it's probably worth $1.3M. They pay 20% capital gains taxes on $200k, so $40k, and they lose 3% if they use a broker. That's another $40k, so $80k total. Let's make it an even $100k. So they have $1.2M to throw around after the sale. Subtract $500k to pay off the existing mortgage, that's $700k free and clear.

$700k is a hell of a down-payment, even in the ritziest areas of Marin. They can buy whatever they want.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by chaostheory on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:53PM (#15705858)
Maybe if the comment added to the conversation somehow it'd be more tolerable. However, all the comment does is insult someone without adding anything interesting. It's a waste of space and time for everyone else reading it. It doesn't belong in HN.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Danihan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:11PM (#15706112)
Expressing incredulity and frustration at the obtuseness of someone's complaint doesn't seem especially useless to me.

Why is expressing emotional reactions pointless, in your mind? Doing so gives everyone more information about the reactions they might expect to their concerns... it enforces social norms, etc.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by chaostheory on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:25PM (#15706279)
> Why is expressing emotional reactions pointless, in your mind? Doing so gives everyone more information about the reactions they might expect to their concerns

The problem is that the comment provides nothing else. You can do the same thing in a more civil and constructive way. Just look at your comments. You are providing logic and rationale for your argument. I don't agree with you, but you're adding to the discussion. Now compare that to "I'm sick of you people. Stop whining about other people's comments you big baby". Someone can correct me, but that doesn't belong here and that rule has been around since the beginning of HN. It's been written and clear along with the reasons why. It's the way things have been done here. If someone doesn't like it, they can post on reddit instead.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

"Be civil. Don't say things you wouldn't say face-to-face. Don't be snarky. Comments should get more civil and substantive, not less, as a topic gets more divisive.

When disagreeing, please reply to the argument instead of calling names. 'That is idiotic; 1 + 1 is 2, not 3' can be shortened to '1 + 1 is 2, not 3.'"

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Danihan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:40PM (#15706479)
I don't disagree that the comment is probably against the rules.

I just believe the rules tend to stifle people from expressing how they truly feel about topics, and are therefore information limiting and generally a net loss.

It's a fine line. Some people's feelings are toxic all the time and wrong-headed and truly add nothing of value. Other people, when they have a negative emotional reaction there is probably a lot of accumulated wisdom behind it and you should really listen instead of censoring or rambling on about civility. Very subjective though.

Also, in my opinion, the constant suppression of any negative speech is exactly what gets someone like Trump elected. "Finally, someone on TV is saying what I FEEL and no one can stop him!"

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by chaostheory on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @07:24PM (#15709285)
To stay on point, my argument is that the rules are clear and they make sense. There are emotional comments on HN that are fine. However they are different. The particular comment we're referring is toxic and adds nothing to the actual discussion; there's no wisdom to calling someone a 'baby'. The only thing it promotes is a flame war since it personally insults someone. It shuts down discussion because it needlessly attempts to piss off someone. There were plenty of other comments that were both critical, insightful, and civil.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by grzm on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:33PM (#15705607)
I think you have a point. It depends on context. Within the context of HN, you at least have to be civil. Civility and respect are not exactly equivalent, but they're quite close.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by el_benhameen on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:41PM (#15706488)
I agree that we don't need to be robotically respectful. If someone's a real asshole, I have no qualms with responding in kind, even if doing so is debatably effective. I wrote what I wrote because I thought that ttul's comment was baselessly disrespectful. The parent wasn't being a jerk, but ttul responded with out of place ad hominem attacks instead of addressing the argument.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by dalacv on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:24PM (#15705513)
But does ttul really get his point across at how he really feels without the colorful words?
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by grzm on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:37PM (#15705662)
Likely they could. "Colorful words" are often used to elicit an emotional response, and emotion can significantly impair one's ability to self-reflect and remove bias. If the goal is civil, substantive discourse (as is the goal of HN), all parties involved need to keep this in mind when commenting. That does take additional effort, but it's worth it to keep HN one of the better places to engage on the internet.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by rebuilder on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:21PM (#15705481)
That's purely a paper profit. As the parent said, they can't afford to move to a similar apartment, so they're unwilling to sell. That probably goes for a lot of other homeowners in the area, which seems likely to contribute further to higher prices. Seems pretty dysfunctional to me.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by sliverstorm on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:44PM (#15706529)
Suppose they move horizontally to a similar house. I don't know, they want one story instead of two.

Since a rising tide lifts all boats, the new purchase is about even with the old sale- but they also owe taxes. So within this window, they are objectively worse off than your average Joe who can move across town without owning those taxes.

Anyone trading up is also impacted as well. Suppose you bought a condo at 100k, and SFH was 200k. In five years you want to trade up, but the market went up 100%. Your condo sells for 200k, but the SFH costs 400k. Despite the lovely appreciation on your condo, you'd probably prefer if the market hadn't moved.

Sure, there's people who have it worse. Owning any home at all puts them in better shape than most of the world. But it's still not enviable to be unable to move within your community.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by astura on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:36PM (#15705648)
Except you can really only "cash out" in a meaningful way if you sell and relocate to a cheaper area/somewhere without a housing bubble, which is extremely disruptive to your life.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:50PM (#15705826)
There are financial instruments that will allow you to cash out if you own property while continuing to live in it for as long as you want to e.g.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reverse_mortgage

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by astura on Thursday November 16, 2017 @08:04PM (#15718181)
I said "in a meaningful way."
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by losteverything on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:26PM (#15706937)
These comments are helpful because this is how people think.

When a suit or Talbots customer argues over a price at Wal-Mart you should hear the similar type of tone the cashier takes after they leave. Especially if they argue for a buck or two.

This is real world

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by BatFastard on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:01PM (#15705963)
I am the only one not seeing "reply" links on some of these posts? I see others of the same depth with reply links... Edit: Actually it's just the one from davidw
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by astura on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:04PM (#15706009)
HN has rate limiting on replies. Reply button should appear after a few minutes.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by patrickg_zill on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:11PM (#15707326)
My understanding was that you can avoid all capital gains taxes via "1031 like kind exchange": you sell your house, buy one elsewhere for about the same amount, and pay no capital gains taxes?
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mercutio2 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @07:53PM (#15709433)
1031 is only for business property. Specifically doesn’t apply to primary residence.

But CA Prop 60 allows Californians over 55 to downsize their house and maintain the same tax basis they had before the exchange, which very well might apply here, although IIRC it has weird county by county restrictions.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by secabeen on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @07:44PM (#15709386)
That only works for business property.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by ng12 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:44PM (#15707101)
I feel like you're really making your own problem here -- you want to downsize while keeping a large portion of your equity.

The ratio of profit you make moving from a $2m house to a $1m house is the same as moving from a $200k house to a $100k house in a "stable" area.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:17PM (#15707360)
This has nothing to do with equity (except insofar as equity is part of your net worth). This has to do with the actual cost of a move, that is, the difference in your net worth at the end of the day once all the dust settles. The higher prices go, the higher that cost goes. It's easiest to see that when considering a purely lateral move, but the cost of a move doesn't really depend on the cost of what you buy with the proceeds of the sale, it just makes the math easier if the prices are the same.

We put a certain positive intrinsic value on a local move (and a very high negative intrinsic value on a remote move), because we like the area but the house we're in is not ideal. If the cost of a local move is less than this intrinsic value, we'll move, otherwise we won't. The higher prices go, the higher the actual cost of moving goes, and the less likely we are to move.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:46PM (#15707578)
> The higher prices go, the higher the actual cost of moving goes

Sans CA taxes, this is relative to the increase of wealth you've accumulated. So yes in the absolute it's higher, but relatively speaking you've still are earning more money in liquidity during the transaction.

> This has to do with the actual cost of a move, that is, the difference in your net worth at the end of the day once all the dust settles.

I think I finally understand your position now. The cost isn't prohibitive, it's the negative impact on your wealth. Which is true. The reason I and others are reacting strongly to your position is because your conflating transactional costs (expenses, fees, etc) with wealth (accumulation of assets). Two very different things that use a common medium to interact (i.e. currency).

Here's the predicament. Your implying that you can transfer assets (wealth) without any transactional costs. This is just not how the market for any asset transfer works (stocks, cash, etc), because someone or some system has to be setup to broker the transaction. What your essentially complaining about is why you have to pay fees to complete an asset transfer. I know very few markets were transferring assets doesn't incur a fee. I don't know what to tell you other than this is basically economics 101.

CA taxes on the other hand - that's something to complain about. CA taxes inadvertently nudge people to hold on to property longer, reducing supply and thus driving overall prices up.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:03PM (#15707752)
> you've still are earning more money in liquidity during the transaction.

So? How does that benefit us in any way? We don't need to sell to have liquidity. We have a HELOC so we can turn our equity into cash on demand.

> your conflating transactional costs (expenses, fees, etc) with wealth

No, I'm not. I'm just saying that transactional costs decrease your wealth, which is simply a fact.

> The cost isn't prohibitive, it's the negative impact on your wealth

What exactly is the difference between "cost" and "negative impact on your wealth"? Those two seem like the same thing to me.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by ng12 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:09PM (#15707825)
I think the core contention here is that, at the end of the day, you are better off because of rising housing prices. You're complaining about transnational prices on your massive amount of equity while brushing aside the fact that you have such a massive amount of equity because of the real estate market.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:51PM (#15708193)
I don't deny that. But right now I'm worse off relative to my goals at the moment than I would be if house prices were more stable. I'm not saying that rising prices are not good for some home owners, only that they are not good for all home owners in all circumstances.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by ng12 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:04PM (#15708282)
So you want prices to rise while you're comfortable building equity, and then level off when you've decided you have enough money? Your viewpoint is incredibly confusing to me.

Do you really feel like you'd be better off if your house sold for exactly what you bought it for?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:53PM (#15708206)
> We have a HELOC so we can turn our equity into cash on demand.

But that HELOC has financing terms associated with it. Getting cash out from your HELOC does impact your overall "wealth" because you have to pay a fee (financing terms) to actual turn that credit line into cash. You could in turn take that cash that you borrowed at 3% interest and put it into assets that net you 4% return and effectively increase your wealth. You may take a short term hit to your income (the 3% interest fee) but you net out in the end.

> I'm just saying that transactional costs decrease your wealth, which is simply a fact.

That's not true in real terms. Your talking about a decrease of your perceived wealth. If the only asset I own is $1,000 in public traded stocks (i.e. I look at the stock market this second and they're worth $1,000), you could say your wealth is $1,000, but only for that second. However in practice your real wealth is the amount someone is willing to pay for your assets (when you put a sell order out) minus the transaction fees associated with making the transaction. That's the actual process ("in real terms") you would go through to realize your wealth.

This is effectively what people say when someone is "paper rich" E.g. a startup founder who has 30% of a business that is worth $300M, now has wealth valued at $90M...if he/she were actually liquidate to a seller at $300M, his/her wealth would probably be more like $40M-ish after taxes, transaction fees, etc.

> What exactly is the difference between "cost" and "negative impact on your wealth"? Those two seem like the same thing to me.

I should have probably said income instead instead of "cost". From wikipedia:[0]

Economic terminology distinguishes between wealth and income. Wealth or savings is a stock variable, that is, measurable at a date in time, for example the value of an orchard on December 31 minus debt owed on the orchard. For a given amount of wealth, say at the beginning of the year, income from that wealth, as measurable over say a year is a flow variable. What marks the income as a flow is its measurement per unit of time, such as the value of apples yielded from the orchard per year.

In other words, your wealth is measurable at a moment in time and can't realize a true negative impact on it unless it actually gets liquidated. Otherwise the measurement of it today is simply theoretical.

[0] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by thescriptkiddie on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:11PM (#15707321)
>> 3. Higher property taxes

>Yes, this is a bitch in CA...see next point.

Property taxes in CA are extremely low.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_13_(197...

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:28PM (#15707431)
That's not the parent's point. If I buy a $1M home in CA 10 years ago and I pay 1% in taxes then and the house is worth $2M 10 years later, I don't get charged 1% of $2M after 10 years. I get charged a marginal increase ever year and this increase isn't based on market norms (I forget what the actual # is, but it would be like paying 1% of $1.25M). This means, if I sell my $2M house after 10 years), and buy another $2M house next door, my taxes are way higher in my second home due to prop 13.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by shostack on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:48PM (#15708711)
Depending on your age, you may be able to not get dinged with the new home's taxed value.[1]

[1] http://www.boe.ca.gov/proptaxes/faqs/propositions60_90.htm

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by pimmen on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:23PM (#15705507)
And this is the problem with Sweden; we got rid of the property tax, but we kept the capital gains tax meaning people are less incentivized to sell since the prices are rising anyway, meaning fewer houses end up on the market, meaning the prices rise.

This is one of the many contributors to this crisis; high capital gains taxes for people selling their house, no property tax for people keeping it. Add to that our tax deductions on interest rates and local government monopoly on what types of houses gets built (obviously not affordable housing projects, they pay terrible taxes compared to the nice people who would move into luxury condos) and you have a recipe for disaster. There's many, many other reasons too but those things are what the government could and should work on.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by grouseway on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:31PM (#15705583)
Canada has no capital gains tax on housing and it has similar housing inflation to Sweden.

I would say people are frantic to buy a home in Canada because it's tax free and the alternative (stocks/bonds/etc..) isn't.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by stuxnet79 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:06PM (#15706771)
Is this really true?? I think if you are selling a home that is not your primary residence then there is some sort of tax but I'm not 100% sure of the details.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by grouseway on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:56PM (#15708772)
It's true for the primary residence.

For secondary properties most people are just going to move in for 2 years to meet the requirement.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by dmode on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:03PM (#15705299)
I am very confused on your reasons not being able to downsize. Capital gains should have no impact, since first 500K is exempt. So you will have at least 500K in cash. Real estate agent fees are everywhere and can be negotiated to 2%. Property taxes are not really high. I live in Union City, and pay 1.2%.

I guess you cannot downsize because a smaller home costs a lot of money these days. Which is fair enough, but you can book your profits, invest that cash in other assets and rent for a few years till the market comes down.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:20PM (#15705464)
That's true, we could do that. But then we'd have to move twice, and at this point in our lives (we're both >50) moving is a non-trivial hassle. It's also not a given that prices will come down, so this strategy carries some risk that we end up stuck in a rental.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Retric on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:22AM (#15704867)
#3 is real, but more a sign of California's disfunction than an inherent problem with high property values.

PS: #1 only consumes a percentage of profits, so it can't make a sale unprofitable.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:31AM (#15704956)
> #1 only consumes a percentage of profits, sit it can't make a sale unprofitable.

Yes, that's true, but it makes a move less efficient. If we sell our house and buy another one of equal value, the higher the price, the more we lose in capital gain tax in the transition. If our house had not appreciated, we would pay zero cap gains. The higher prices go, the more expensive it becomes to move locally.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by dmode on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:12PM (#15705376)
If your house didn't appreciate you would not have any profits either. Very confused on what the issue is.

Let's say your house is 1mn and stays 1mn. You have zero gains and pay zero taxes. Net cash in your bank = ZERO

Now your house becomes 2mn. So you have 1mn profit, first 500K is exempt. And you pay 25% on your next 500k. Net cash = 750K.

Are you suggesting that you would rather have zero dollars in your bank account than 750 K?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by taysic on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @10:01PM (#15709977)
I think the issue is that if housing prices hadn't gone up, they could buy a house of equal price without triggering capital gains.

So if your house is 1m and 10 years later stays at 1m, then you can swap for any other house in the neighborhood.

If your house was 1m but in 10 years becomes 2m, and all the other houses in the neighborhood are now 2m... you would hypothetically not be able to swap for another home. You now have 1.75m to buy with. A good problem to have, no doubt.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by wott on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:37PM (#15705666)
He does not want to fill his bank account and be homeless. He wants a house. To be bought with the same money. That does not go into the bank account but into the new house.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Retric on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:20PM (#15706893)
You can use that 750,000$ to buy anywhere else that's not inflated. If you want to buy a house in an inflated area you end up in the same situation as anyone else that wants to buy a house in an inflated area.

AKA, if a prison opened up next to their current house keeping property values the same then they would be strictly worse off.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by megy on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @08:01PM (#15709466)
He has the original $1m to buy a house.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Retric on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:57AM (#15705231)
The first 500,000$ of capital gains are excluded when selling a primary residence jointly. So, if your net profit > 500,000$ yes it costs money, but if your actually downsizing then you will very likely come out ahead. Further, your new home is also worth more money in the event you move out of the area.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:00PM (#15705270)
> if your net profit > 500,000$

It is.

> yes it costs money but assuming you want to down size that should hardly be an issue.

Why? A loss is a loss. What difference does it make if it comes out of your checking account or your home equity?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Marazan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:21PM (#15705479)
You home equity is only realised when you sell.

There is no loss. There is only the money you get net after the sale.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Retric on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:06PM (#15706770)
You also save that 500,000$ of appreciation when selling the second house. AKA, if house 1 gained 2 million and house 2 gained 2 million your better off than if house 1 gained 4 million.

Now, you can get into cash flow issues etc. But, with home interest being tax deductible and long term capital gains being below normal taxes your almost always better off over time to sell after a bubble than before.

PS: If your investment makes 4% and your mortgage is 5% then you have a net savings after taxes.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:29PM (#15706972)
> if house 1 gained 2 million and house 2 gained 2 million your better off than if house 1 gained 4 million.

No, that's not true because the $500k cap gains exemption is per-transaction.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Retric on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:00PM (#15707713)
> cap gains exemption is per transaction.

Reread what I said?

That's why 2 houses with 2 mill gains is better than 1 house with a 4 million gain.

Selling 1 house with a 4 million gain is one transaction with a 500k cap so you pay taxes on 3.5 million. But selling one house with a 2 million gain then another house with another 2 million gain is 2 transactions so you pay capital gains on 3 million and get an extra 500k tax free.

Remember, until you sell the second house it's value is meaningless but when do sell it's purchase price and value become important.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:48PM (#15708165)
You're right, sorry, I misread it. I'm losing the battle of trying to keep up with all the branches of this thread.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bernawil on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:59AM (#15705256)
> Rising prices (not high prices) are great for people holding houses as investments

This is right. Part of the problem is that we don't refer to this by what it is: Inflation in housing prices.

The thing about housing is that you can't choose not to consume it. You can't anticipate your consumption to beat inflation either.

The only way to win with housing inflation is by exploting some subsidy like cheap leverage and the like.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by conanbatt on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:15PM (#15705406)
> Inflation in housing prices.

Self-defeating definition. Inflation is generalized prices increases. It stops being generalized if you pick an asset type.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by opportune on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:24PM (#15705517)
Capital gains is only applicable when you sell the house and it's not your primary residence, or if you made a ton of money on it. And it's only a tax on the appreciation of the house, not its market value.

Real estate agent fees are only applicable on x% of the value of the house you sell.

Higher property taxes do stink but are not applicable after you sell the house.

I'm not sure why you can't afford to move. Have you talked to a tax specialist or a financial advisor? If you bought a house at X and sold it at 2x, even if you haven't paid any of the principal of your mortgage(if you have one), you would likely pay a maximum of ~25% of X between capital gains (if you own multiple homes) and real estate agent fees. So you still made 75% of X from appreciation. I don't really understand what you think your problem is.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:40PM (#15705705)
Suppose I bought my house for $1M and prices are stable. I can sell my $1M house and buy a different $1M house and the net cost to me is 6% agent fees.

But if prices have doubled now the net cost to me is much higher. The agent fees are double what they were, and I have to pay cap gains on $500k. All that is money I have to come up with somehow in order to complete the transaction. I either have to write a check, or take on more debt. The higher prices go, the more expensive a lateral move becomes.

Yes, I have more home equity if prices go up, but that only helps me if I cash out and move out of the area.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by gamblor956 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:02PM (#15705980)
Not understanding your complaint. You would have to sell your house for more than $1.5M to have any taxable capital gains. You would have to sell your house for more than $2.5m to have an effective tax rate of more than 10% on the sale. (For example, if you sold your house for $2m, your effective tax rate on the sale would be 5%, ignoring AMT and assuming no other significant sources of income.) Boo hoo.

On the second point: the only cash you need to come up with is the down payment for the new house, which you would get out of the proceeds from selling your old house. If you sold your house for 2x the purchase price, you have more than enough cash to pay the down payment. Boo hoo.

Complaints like yours are why people outside of the Bay Area really hate Silicon Valley.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:02PM (#15707240)
> For example, if you sold your house for $2m, your effective tax rate on the sale would be 5%

The tax on capital gains in this case would be 20% federal, ~10% state (in California), 3.8% ACA investment tax. That's an ~34% rate, not the 20% you seem to think applies.

> the only cash you need to come up with is the down payment for the new house

Let's take the simple case where the old house was paid off, no mortgage. Are you suggesting that it's unreasonable to want to downsize and still not have a mortgage?

If you do have a significant mortgage, and are hence highly leveraged, an increase in property prices is pretty good. If your mortgage is more or less paid off, you can in fact end up in a situation where you can't buy any house at all in the same general market after selling your existing one and paying the property taxes. See a worked-out example at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15706565

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by gamblor956 on Thursday November 16, 2017 @07:46PM (#15718103)
The 3.8% net investment income tax doesn't apply to real property, it applies to investment property. The NIIT specifically excludes gains from the sale of primary residences. The IRS provides a helpful FAQ on this: https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/net-investment-income-tax-faqs.

Second, the 25% rate is an approximate rate that combines the federal and state rates while taking into account the deduction for state and local taxes. 25% is a nice round number. I'm not going to prepare a detailed tax model for an anonymous internet comment.

My point stands either way: he's whining about having to pay an effective tax rate of 10-15% on his profits from selling his million dollar house while people in other parts of the country are struggling to even afford rent. He's acting like an entitled child and quivering about the exact tax rate he pays doesn't change that.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Friday November 17, 2017 @01:42AM (#15719614)
> The 3.8% net investment income tax doesn't apply to real property

Ah, I didn't realize that, thank you!

> he's whining about having to pay an effective tax rate of 10-15% on his profits

No, the key part of the complaint is that the combination of price rise and tax structure mean that a lateral move requires liquidity he does not have.

It's a first-world problem for sure, but it's still a problem caused by the fact that we have various fairly dumb tax policies.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by graedus on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:15PM (#15706149)
It only becomes remotely intelligible if you include these extra constraints:

- Assume all other houses in the area also appreciated the same amount as the poster's house (say 2x).

- Assume the poster will only consider a move within the same area.

Now if they want to make a "lateral" move, they are looking at $2m houses, not $1m houses, since all other houses they would consider - local to their area - also increased in value.

I feel like they should just get a $1m house (yes, a "downgrade") if that's the case and have fun with their near-$1m profits, but what do I know.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by secabeen on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @07:52PM (#15709428)
I don't think there are $1m houses in their area. My guess is that the value of a $2m house in that area is land $1.5m, structure $500k. Even if they downsize the house cost by half, and buy in a smaller lot, the minimum house cost is still $1.5m.

I think the one element that the OP is missing is that after the transaction, he is better off by about $130k in tax due to the increase in basis of his home. If he eventually sells and doesn't buy another home in that area, he will realize an additional $130k in profits on the second home that would be lost to tax if he had not sold the first house.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by opportune on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:54PM (#15705866)
Aren't agent fees and capital gains only applicable after the sale of the house?

I think I'm beginning to see your problem, which is that a lateral move is expensive. But the lateral move is only more relative to your initial buying price. A lateral move (in terms of value of your house and in the same area) would in your example cost about ~$135,000. I see why that would cause a liquidity problem but your actual equity is still higher than before.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:52PM (#15707159)
You can actually get screwed more by going from X to 4X than by going from X to 2X _if_ you want to buy your new house in the same market.

In the simplest case, consider that you want to move to a house of the same value (e.g. closer to work). That's a lot easier to do if there was no taxable appreciation in value than if there was.

But even when downsizing you could run into problems; see the example I give elsewhere in this thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15706565

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by ralusek on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:36PM (#15705647)
You're right on 2/3 of those things.

Capital gains is never a "cost" to them, they are by definition only going to be taxed on their gains.

Real estate agent fees, like you said, are based off of the sell value, so unless their commission starts approaching 50% of the value of the house on a 2x gain...they make money. And if their mega-agent charges them 50% of the value of the house, then at least there are no longer any gains to be taxed on :)

The property taxes, however, make sense. Some places lock you in to a certain rate at the purchase price, and they said they bought very low. The argument is that they would be paying more in property taxes for a cheaper house, because they would no longer be locked in to their favorable current rate, which is entire likely given their circumstance.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by opportune on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:43PM (#15705749)
You're right, I thought the parent was complaining about higher property taxes, not that property taxes would increase if they were to move to a similarly valued house.

That does disincentivize moving into an equally valued house, but moving into that house would have the parent paying about ~2% of X each year in property taxes as opposed to ~1% of X. The appreciation of the house still covers the increase in property taxes for the next 75 years.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Danihan on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:28PM (#15705558)
Thank you -- this post did not add up to me either.

Do a FSBO if you're that worried about brokerage fees.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by sigi45 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:26AM (#15704909)
'nearly doubled' is more like gambling than investing. Investemnt would be fine if your money is little above inflation. 1-8% with renting it out.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:34AM (#15704985)
Just to be clear, we didn't buy this house as an investment, we bought it to live in. We're actually hoping for prices to come down so we can downsize without taking a huge financial hit in the process.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by dalore on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:34PM (#15705620)
But you're not taking a hit really. You just think your are. You have made a profit still if you sell your house, tax the hit in capital gains and buy another place. It's not as much profit as without the capital gains but it's a lot more profit then if you took that original house price money and put it in a mattress. Hell that's even more money then just sticking it in the bank and getting a small interest rate.

You're not taking a financial hit, you just feel as you are. You think the capital gains tax is taking out a huge financial hit on something you already made lots of profit from. So you're still making a profit just not the one you imagined you were making.

That's like someone seeing their pay for the first and releasing the difference between gross pay and net pay. They think they are getting X but really they are getting Y. Both amounts of which are > 0 and so they are still making money. Like you still are.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by gohardorgohome on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:51AM (#15705184)
Why not rent this one out and then rent a smaller place yourselves? Anyways, this is a good problem to have. I don't think 1.) and 2.) justify wanting prices to come down since they only affect a % of your appreciation.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:06PM (#15705338)
Because we don't want to be landlords. And yes, it's a nice problem to have, but it's still a problem.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by briandear on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:55PM (#15708226)
You get a property manager. The net cash flow is going to be much higher than the mortgage payment and the tenants pay the mortgage. Or, if it’s paid for, you do the same thing except cash out equity, let the tenants pay the equity loan, use that loan to buy the house you want to live in, take a deduction on the interest and you end up with two houses — both paid for by someone else and with a property manager you don’t have to fix toilets. Since you aren’t selling anything, you have no cap gains AND you can deduct depreciation from the rental income which means you end up paying no taxes on the rental income. With Valley housing in short supply you probably have at most an average on 1 month per year of vacancy — if that.

Then if you ultimately sell both houses, you can do a 1031 exchange and invest all of the proceeds into a new house — and defer the cap gains until you sell that.

These problems aren’t that hard unless you look at them from a single direction.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by coderholic on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:50AM (#15705177)
Won't you only pay a % of the gain in price in tax? In that case you're strictly worse if it goes down in price. You'd pay less tax, yes, but as tax is % of gains you're net worse off. If this really isn't the case can you share some example numbers showing how you can be worse off with a house that's worth more?
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:05PM (#15705326)
Suppose we bought our house for $1M and now it's worth $2M. We have to pay 25% cap gains (federal + state) on $500k so it costs us $125k to move to a house of equal value. If prices were stable, we could move without taking that hit. The higher prices go, the higher the cost of moving.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by tostitos1979 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:16PM (#15705424)
You are better off unless you bought the large house for cash. Otherwise, you made a big gain in leveraged terms.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:28PM (#15705555)
What you say is true, but it misses the point, which is that big gains only help you if you actually cash out. If you're making a lateral move, or downsizing in the same area, it doesn't matter whether you're leveraged or not. A loss is still a loss.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by coderholic on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:02PM (#15705974)
The example is useful, thanks. I see that there's $125k of cap gains to pay for a move to a property of the same price. You're calling that a loss though, and I'm not sure I see it that way. Sure, if house prices hadn't gone up you could have moved from a $1M house to another $1M house and paid nothing. But in your example you're still $875k "in profit", so it's not really a loss, it's just a cost associated with a lateral move in the same area. If you downsize you actually realize some of those gains - of course not all of them because tax must be paid, but there's no avoiding taxes :)
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Dylan16807 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:23AM (#15704878)
That's more because prop-13 is a garbage fire than any other factor.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by astura on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:37AM (#15705031)
Well, if you didn't have prop-13 wouldn't your taxes just go up anyway even if you didn't sell? Around these parts all real property is reassessed every five years. So the tax burden would hit right away rather than when you sell which would be worse.

I have a family friend whose neighborhood became really high end since the 30 years she bought the house. Her taxes are really high now and it's becoming a financial burden on her.

Unless I'm mistaken.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by btilly on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:20PM (#15705462)
A hidden consequence of prop-13 is that every city wants commercial real-estate and none want residential because they get more taxes from businesses. This restricts the supply of housing, and is one of the root causes of high prices and long commutes.

Without prop-13 we'd have more housing, more convenient housing options, and lower prices. Yes, long-term residents would have higher taxes. However most of us would save both time and money on our housing costs.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by astura on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:40PM (#15705710)
Thanks for the explanation.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:33AM (#15704969)
The cap gains is also a big factor. Even if prop 13 were not a factor, the higher prices go, the more expensive it becomes to make a lateral move, or even to downsize.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by notyourday on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:46AM (#15705129)
This is pure nonsense.

Lateral move or downsize are two different transactions. Capital gains has no effect on the second one.

People who are complaining about the capital gains taxes pretending that such taxes prevent them from either moving laterally or downsizing are complaining that other properties also appreciated in price. What they would have preferred is that their property appreciated and the properties they wanted to move to did not.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by Shaanie on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:12PM (#15705374)
If I buy a house for 50k and want to immediately move laterally to another house worth 50k then the cost is 0 + overhead. If I buy a house for 50k and want to move laterally when it's worth 100k then the cost is the taxes of the 50k profit + overhead.

This gets even worse if you want to buy a larger house (if appreciation is percentage based).

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by notyourday on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:37PM (#15706431)
That's not correct.

In the second case:

You bought a house for $50k, which in a year appreciated to $100k. You sell the house for $100k, pay the capital gains of X% on the $50k of appreciation which gets you $100k - ($50k * X% ) to play with.

You lateral move would not be to a house worth $100k, it would be to a house worth $100k-($50k * X%) because you d not have $100k, you only have $100 - (50k * X%).

If you wanted to defer capital gains and play with entire 100k, then instead of doing a sale you would do 1031 exchange.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:14PM (#15705390)
> Capital gains has no effect on the second one.

Of course it does. A loss is a loss. It doesn't matter whether it comes out of your checking account or your home equity.

> What they would have preferred is that their property appreciated and the properties they wanted to move to did not.

That's generally not an option if you want to move locally.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by notyourday on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:39PM (#15706470)
if you sell your asset for less than what you paid for it there's no capital gain, and hence there's no tax.

> That's generally not an option if you want to move locally.

You don't get to have your cake ( gain money on a sale of appreciated house) and eat it too ( buy at the price before the appreciation )

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by eT8AZithxooKei6 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:41PM (#15707543)
I believe that lisper is saying that he would prefer not to have his cake.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by robrenaud on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:14PM (#15706140)
It seems like 3. is the real problem? If taxes were a function of current home value rather than at purchase home value, you wouldn't be stuck.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:29PM (#15706337)
Well, it's all of the above really. But does it really matter? The point is that we'd be better off relative to our goals if prices were stable. So we are a counter-example to the claim that rising prices benefit all home owners. They don't.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by r00fus on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:49PM (#15708719)
Rent it and use the rental income to establish finance for the 2nd house.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by astura on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:27AM (#15704915)
Do you have to pay capital gains tax on your primary home? I was under the impression you didn't if you lived in it for X number of years.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:29AM (#15704942)
There's a 500k exemption, but our house has appreciated more than that. The more it goes up, the more we lose if we move.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by mbesto on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:41AM (#15705081)
But you're not "losing" more...you're only losing more in relation to the gain that has appreciated.

Are you inferring to the fact that the rest of the market is appreciating at the same rate, and thus "losing" out when you buy on the downsize?

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:08PM (#15705345)
Yes, exactly. The higher prices go, the more it costs to make a local move. We only "win" if we actually cash out and move to a different, less expensive area, but we don't want to do that. We like it here.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by kgwgk on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @02:39PM (#15707066)
Do you mean “win” compared to the counterfactual where the house has appreciated and you don’t move to a similar one, or compared to the counterfactual where the house didn’t appreciate and you move to another one at the original price?

If there had been no appreciation, your final wealth (cash + home equity) would be lower than in the case where the houses are more expensive, even after paying taxes, so it’s hard to see where is the loss.

But of course if you expect prices to go down it’s a good idea to avoid paying taxes on a gain that may be reduced in the future.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:07PM (#15707282)
> Do you mean “win” compared to the counterfactual where the house has appreciated and you don’t move to a similar one, or compared to the counterfactual where the house didn’t appreciate and you move to another one at the original price?

Either one.

We put a certain intrinsic value on a local lateral move. If the cost of moving is less than that intrinsic value, and we find a house we like, we'll move. If the cost of moving is more than that intrinsic value we'll stay regardless of whether we find a house we like. So the higher prices go, the less likely we are to move. So when prices go up, that removes liquidity from the market, which perversely drives prices up even further and makes the problem worse. So while we're sitting on a pile of equity, we can't actually use it unless we move out of the area, and that has a huge negative intrinsic value for us. We really like it here.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by marvin on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:45PM (#15707577)
I must say I am thoroughly impressed by your patience. You're repeatedly explaining what seems to me like a pretty simple calculation to lots of different people who only gets it after a lengthy explanation.

It's a first-world problem, but as you say, it's still a problem. Unless you're okay with taking the loss, or just moving somewhere far away because the market decided that this area has now become too expensive to allow existing homeowners to downsize.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:06PM (#15707787)
Thank you, I'm glad someone noticed that.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by kgwgk on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:13PM (#15708352)
I understand your point, but saying that "rising prices are as bad for the owners as they are for everyone else" is hard to justify.

In your case, you can a) stay where you are or b) sell the house, pay the tax, and buy a similar house (or a cheaper one elsewhere).

An alternative you that didn't buy that house at that time, and got lower after-tax returns on that money, doesn't have option a) and has less capital available for option b).

Everyone else is in an strictly worse position than owners.

You have an unrealized capital gain and an unrealized tax liablity. Selling the house you'll realize both. You "feel" that you are not realizing the capital gain if you buy a similar house with that money. It's understandable, nobody likes paying taxes. But if you were to sell the new house in the future (maybe to downsize) the transaction would be tax free if prices don't change.

And as I said already, if you think prices may go down it's rational that you avoid realizing the capital gain and the tax liability at the current level if the utility gain from moving to a "similar" house is not larger than the expected savings of realizing (maybe) a lower capital gain in the future and paying less taxes.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @05:24PM (#15708462)
> saying that "rising prices are as bad for the owners as they are for everyone else" is hard to justify.

You're right. I retract that. (Unfortunately, it's too late for me to go back and edit the original comment.)

Let me rephrase: rising prices are not always an unalloyed good even for home owners.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by paulsutter on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:41AM (#15705083)
Consider renting out your current house and buying that smaller house to live in. Talk to your tax person, you may get depreciation and more.

EDIT: person

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by whatyoucantsay on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @11:49AM (#15705161)
Not every reader of HN possesses "a tax guy".
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by and0 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:04PM (#15705312)
An HN reader who doubled their money on a house in California can find a tax guy.
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by rconti on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @04:21PM (#15707938)
More importantly, a person who made money that will be subject to tax unless they find a person to explain to them how to avoid paying tax can DEFINITELY afford a tax person.
[dead]
Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by scarmig on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:41PM (#15705730)
Oh, for Christ's sake. The OP isn't saying that he's being lynched or thrown into a gas chamber. Just that spiraling housing costs aren't an unalloyed good for home owners who want to stay in the area they live in.