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Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by lisper on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:40PM (#15705705)
Suppose I bought my house for $1M and prices are stable. I can sell my $1M house and buy a different $1M house and the net cost to me is 6% agent fees.

But if prices have doubled now the net cost to me is much higher. The agent fees are double what they were, and I have to pay cap gains on $500k. All that is money I have to come up with somehow in order to complete the transaction. I either have to write a check, or take on more debt. The higher prices go, the more expensive a lateral move becomes.

Yes, I have more home equity if prices go up, but that only helps me if I cash out and move out of the area.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by gamblor956 on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:02PM (#15705980)
Not understanding your complaint. You would have to sell your house for more than $1.5M to have any taxable capital gains. You would have to sell your house for more than $2.5m to have an effective tax rate of more than 10% on the sale. (For example, if you sold your house for $2m, your effective tax rate on the sale would be 5%, ignoring AMT and assuming no other significant sources of income.) Boo hoo.

On the second point: the only cash you need to come up with is the down payment for the new house, which you would get out of the proceeds from selling your old house. If you sold your house for 2x the purchase price, you have more than enough cash to pay the down payment. Boo hoo.

Complaints like yours are why people outside of the Bay Area really hate Silicon Valley.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @03:02PM (#15707240)
> For example, if you sold your house for $2m, your effective tax rate on the sale would be 5%

The tax on capital gains in this case would be 20% federal, ~10% state (in California), 3.8% ACA investment tax. That's an ~34% rate, not the 20% you seem to think applies.

> the only cash you need to come up with is the down payment for the new house

Let's take the simple case where the old house was paid off, no mortgage. Are you suggesting that it's unreasonable to want to downsize and still not have a mortgage?

If you do have a significant mortgage, and are hence highly leveraged, an increase in property prices is pretty good. If your mortgage is more or less paid off, you can in fact end up in a situation where you can't buy any house at all in the same general market after selling your existing one and paying the property taxes. See a worked-out example at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15706565

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by gamblor956 on Thursday November 16, 2017 @07:46PM (#15718103)
The 3.8% net investment income tax doesn't apply to real property, it applies to investment property. The NIIT specifically excludes gains from the sale of primary residences. The IRS provides a helpful FAQ on this: https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/net-investment-income-tax-faqs.

Second, the 25% rate is an approximate rate that combines the federal and state rates while taking into account the deduction for state and local taxes. 25% is a nice round number. I'm not going to prepare a detailed tax model for an anonymous internet comment.

My point stands either way: he's whining about having to pay an effective tax rate of 10-15% on his profits from selling his million dollar house while people in other parts of the country are struggling to even afford rent. He's acting like an entitled child and quivering about the exact tax rate he pays doesn't change that.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by bzbarsky on Friday November 17, 2017 @01:42AM (#15719614)
> The 3.8% net investment income tax doesn't apply to real property

Ah, I didn't realize that, thank you!

> he's whining about having to pay an effective tax rate of 10-15% on his profits

No, the key part of the complaint is that the combination of price rise and tax structure mean that a lateral move requires liquidity he does not have.

It's a first-world problem for sure, but it's still a problem caused by the fact that we have various fairly dumb tax policies.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by graedus on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @01:15PM (#15706149)
It only becomes remotely intelligible if you include these extra constraints:

- Assume all other houses in the area also appreciated the same amount as the poster's house (say 2x).

- Assume the poster will only consider a move within the same area.

Now if they want to make a "lateral" move, they are looking at $2m houses, not $1m houses, since all other houses they would consider - local to their area - also increased in value.

I feel like they should just get a $1m house (yes, a "downgrade") if that's the case and have fun with their near-$1m profits, but what do I know.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by secabeen on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @07:52PM (#15709428)
I don't think there are $1m houses in their area. My guess is that the value of a $2m house in that area is land $1.5m, structure $500k. Even if they downsize the house cost by half, and buy in a smaller lot, the minimum house cost is still $1.5m.

I think the one element that the OP is missing is that after the transaction, he is better off by about $130k in tax due to the increase in basis of his home. If he eventually sells and doesn't buy another home in that area, he will realize an additional $130k in profits on the second home that would be lost to tax if he had not sold the first house.

Re:The Shock of Sweden's Housing Market Is Hitting the Count... by opportune on Wednesday November 15, 2017 @12:54PM (#15705866)
Aren't agent fees and capital gains only applicable after the sale of the house?

I think I'm beginning to see your problem, which is that a lateral move is expensive. But the lateral move is only more relative to your initial buying price. A lateral move (in terms of value of your house and in the same area) would in your example cost about ~$135,000. I see why that would cause a liquidity problem but your actual equity is still higher than before.