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Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by lordfrito on Friday February 16, 2024 @07:40AM (#39396158)
If you believe the western media, the west no longer believes in or upholds its values, and watches while Russia pushes westward while China builds up a military and eyes Taiwan, both more than happy to destabilize the middle east in pursuit of their goals.

The west needs to wake up, we're slowly sliding towards a world conflict. This is going to get worse before it gets better.

Edit: Russia is pushing westward not eastward!

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by kemotep on Friday February 16, 2024 @07:53AM (#39396296)
How do you propose the west avoids conflict with Russia and China?

Is there any examples in history of appeasement leading to less bloodshed?

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by lordfrito on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:01AM (#39396377)
I'm not sure we can avoid conflict now, I think we're past the point where that was possible (last 10-15 years were critical). I think both Russia and China understand that, and are planning accordingly.

I'm proposing we wake up and start doing the same, planning and drawing "do not cross" lines in the sand to hopefully limit the total/final scope of the conflict.

Yes this will force an earlier confrontation -- but WWII would have been a lot less bloody if Europe had stood up to Hitler earlier -- problem was everyone thought that appeasing him would make things better.

It's clear both Russia and China can't be appeased at this point. Both need to be checked.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:16PM (#39402387)
>planning and drawing "do not cross" lines in the sand to hopefully limit the total/final scope of the conflict.

The irony here is unreal. Yes, drawing red lines is a good way to avoid runaway escalation, if only world powers are willing to honor them.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by eastbound on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:01PM (#39402911)
No, Europe’s problem was that we were pacifists. France still prides itself for inventing the Congés Payés (paid leave) in 1936 while the Germans were building their military might. The price in lieu of our “acquis sociaux” was getting occupied, point blank.

Europe still prides itself for having female ministers of defense in every major country (who remembers them? We give the job to women when we just need to maintain things; Men traditionally seize the head-of-war position by force when someone wants to get things done, the position of Minister of Defense is figurative and should not exist) and feminist warfare (=give priority to women in war). Europe also prides itself for its glorious occupation by … ahem… by the thing I’m not allowed to talk about because we’re under occupation. Our kids get smashed at school, that’s for sure, under the eye if teachers who forbid them from responding with force.

If I were Russia, I’d pay all the leaflets and papers on which the “Vivrensemble with enemey people” posters are printed. We’re vegans, we’re trans, we’re using non-violent communication, we’re in discord on our soil, we destroy every trait of masculinity during education: We’re incapable of war, and we’re incapable of being a threat to Russia.

For as long as I’ve been hearing Macron’s minister say we’re “doing a total economic war” with Russia (literal words), for as long as I hear the West is winning and Russia is on its knees, I see that every battle is one step closer inside Europe.

We’re losing.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by derpitron on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:30PM (#39405760)
> Europe also prides itself for its glorious occupation by … ahem… by the thing I’m not allowed to talk about because we’re under occupation.

> We’re vegans, we’re trans, we’re using non-violent communication, we’re in discord on our soil, we destroy every trait of masculinity during education

Remind me what exactly do these have to do with Russian aggression again?

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by dkjaudyeqooe on Sunday February 18, 2024 @05:18AM (#39417842)
> We’re vegans, we’re trans, we’re using non-violent communication, we’re in discord on our soil, we destroy every trait of masculinity during education: We’re incapable of war, and we’re incapable of being a threat to Russia.

Going by your post, French men are so masculine that their masculinity feels threatened by pretty much everything.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by funcDropShadow on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:02AM (#39396393)
GP wasn't talking about appeasement. The west has to make sure, that it is not a winning option to attack it.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neom on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:07AM (#39396434)
Fan fiction, but: Civil wars might do it, the Russians need to overthrow Putin, Xi in China, and we need to elect peace hawks in places that have democracy. People would have to really really really really not want a word war. On the history part, I have no clue, but I do know that today the citizenry is more connected and able to strategize for ourselfs than at any point in history before.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wombat-man on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:14AM (#39396520)
Putin's old, but he isn't that old. Plus I assume there are similar people waiting in the wings to takeover. Idk how to fix the situation but it would make me nervous for them to have a civil war in a nuclear power.

Xi might go, but that party isn't going anywhere.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neom on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:21AM (#39396619)
It's a damn shame everything going on, really gets me down sometimes. My mum said the other day one of the reasons my folks had us when they did was the Cold War was ending(Gorbachev came in), there would never be war in Europe again, and the world was happy and healthy for the future.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by eric_cc on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:57PM (#39400561)
> there would never be war in Europe again

Lol

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by m0llusk on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:32AM (#39396762)
> Xi might go, but that party isn't going anywhere.

Geographically probably not, but politically the Chinese Communist party already covers a very broad spectrum with Xi and others currently at the top being the most insular, paranoid, and economically impractical of all the various factions. A "fix" to the situation is unlikely, but changes that yield improvements are all but inevitable at this point.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neom on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:38AM (#39396820)
This is interesting to me, I naively think of the CCP as being highly unified as they paint such a great picture of that, I always thought there would be some decenters but for the most part complete unification. I should probably learn more about this and would gladly accept any resources on digging into the modern CCP more.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by ninjin on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:41AM (#39397645)
You can start here and work outwards:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_clique

I am not a historian, but I have always found diversity of thought inside large political bodies: Communist Party of the Soviet Union, Jimintou, etc. Surely if you have a large political party where you are from, you have also seen that they have factions as well?

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by alisonatwork on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:26AM (#39397432)
There is loads written about this. Wikipedia has a category page for it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Factions_of_the_Chine...

Painting a great picture of party unity - and national unity - is a key propaganda goal of the CCP, so if that's what you see then they are succeeding. In practice, the party has almost 100 million members so naturally it is composed of people with many different points of view, although those differences are rarely expressed openly and they're all still shaped by the overall political and educational environment of the PRC.

It's generally accepted that Xi Jinping has used his anti-corruption drive to wipe out rival factions, and one unlikely conspiracy theory is that he somehow orchestrated Bo Xilai's fall from grace in 2012 so he could take control of the party. The whole thing could provide material for stacks of palace intrigue thrillers... and in fact it did, which resulted in the Causeway Bay Books disappearances of 2015. Gotta control that narrative, after all.

If you're interested in the propaganda side, I recommend reading China Media Project: https://chinamediaproject.org/ If you just want to know about the party maneuvering, all the usual thinktanks (CSIS, Brookings, CFR etc) publish a ton of English language content.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:58AM (#39397883)
"the Russians need to overthrow Putin, Xi in China, and we need to elect peace hawks in places that have democracy."

We overthrew communists in 1991, USSR crumbled, in 1992 Pentagon declared that America's "first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival" [0] and 17 years later NATO, after multiple rounds of expansion, announced that it would expand into Georgia and the Ukraine [1] despite all the promises given by Western leaders [2].

The trust between Russia and the collective West will not be rebuild for a very long time.

[0] https://www.nytimes.com/1992/03/08/world/excerpts-from-penta...

[1] https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/official_texts_8443.htm

[2] https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2017...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:50AM (#39398573)
> despite all the promises given by Western leaders

This gets repeated a lot, but who on the Russian side has ever confirmed it? Many people from that time are still around. Both the USSR's last minister of foreign affairs (1985-1990) and the first Russian minister of foreign affairs (1990-1996) have called that bullshit, with the latter adding in a recent interview that people believing this are "chumps and useful idiots"[1].

[1] https://newlinesmag.com/reportage/russias-ex-foreign-ministe...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @11:53AM (#39399606)
"This gets repeated a lot"

I gave a link to the documents, not to hersay.

"who on the Russian side has ever confirmed it"

You mean apart from 'nationalists', 'hardliners' and 'communists'?

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:01PM (#39399718)
> I gave the link to the documents, not to hersay.

It's a speculation that has been categorically refuted by the very persons it mentions.

> You mean apart from 'nationalists', 'hardliners' and 'communists'?

Apart from people like Putin, who at the time was nowhere near the foreign policy circles, but served as an enforcer for St Petersburg's mayor, collecting protection money and bribes from businesses.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:05PM (#39399773)
How can a document be refuted?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:09PM (#39399831)
The Soviet minister of foreign affairs has explained that references to "NATO expansion" have been mischaracterized, and that their discussions were limited to placement of US forces in East Germany after reunification, and that no wider discussion about the future of Eastern Europe in NATO ever took place, let alone reached any agreement, because at the time they couldn't have imagined that the USSR would cease to exist in a few years. Both he and his successor find nothing wrong with the fact that most of Central and Eastern Europe eventually joined NATO and see no reason to whine about betrayal like Putin. If anything, they regret that the Europeans and Americans didn't engage more with Russia and didn't pressure it enough towards becoming a civilized country:

  While the West failed to seize the opportunity and some diplomatic mistakes were made on both sides, the United States and NATO were on the right side of history by admitting new democracies to the Alliance and being willing to find an accommodation with Russia. It was Moscow that returned to its antagonism toward NATO, which has been intensifying ever since. Yeltsin’s chosen successor president, Vladimir Putin, tried to hinder the West with a charm offensive in the early years of the 21 century and even hinted that Russia might join NATO. In the meantime, domestic anti-American and anti-NATO propaganda has continued to gain momentum. Today the Kremlin has left little doubt about its attitude toward the Alliance in words and in deeds.

  NATO remains the main power to safeguard the liberal world order. It is under attack from autocratic, populist and extremist forces who claim that the organization is outdated. The Kremlin’s champs and chumps in the West portray NATO as a bloc promoting American hegemony, expanding to the East and cornering Russia. It is reassuring however, that the U.S. Congress continues to display firm bipartisan support for NATO.

  The prospects of a new opening in Russian–NATO relations will depend on the resilience and firmness of the Alliance and on deep changes in Moscow’s domestic and foreign policy. I believe that sooner or later the Russian people will follow the suit of other European nations in finding their national interest in democratic reforms and cooperation with NATO and other Western institutions.
https://transatlanticrelations.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/0...
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @01:56PM (#39401411)
I suggest you study the link I gave. For example, document #30 [0] that gives an answer to the question "who on the Russian side has ever confirmed it?"

"On July 1, the delegationhad a meeting with M. Woerner—NATO Secretary General. ... Woerner stressed that the NATO Council and he are against the expansionof NATO (13 out of 16 NATO members support this point of view). In the near future, at his meeting with L. Walesa and the Romanian leader A. Iliescu, he will oppose Poland and Romania joining NATO, and earlier this was stated to Hungary and Czechoslovakia. We should not allow, stated M. Woerner, the isolation of the USSR from the European community."

"didn't pressure it enough towards becoming a civilized country"

That was rich.

[0] https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/16144-document-30-memoran...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Friday February 16, 2024 @02:46PM (#39402013)
> I suggest you study the link I gave. For example, document #30 [0] that gives an answer to the question "who on the Russian side has ever confirmed it?"

There is nothing in the document confirming an eternal commitment to not accept new members into NATO.

Until late-1990s, the position of most NATO countries was indeed that Eastern Europe was too underdeveloped and unstable for membership, and the document accurately reflects that. This undermines the narrative of how NATO has always wanted to surround Russia.

By the time new members were accepted into NATO almost a decade later, Wörner was long dead, the USSR was long gone, Russia had started its descent into a totalitarian dictatorship, and all 13 opposing countries had changed their position.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:40PM (#39402654)
You see, now you are inventing strawmen like "eternal commitment" and "the narrative of how NATO has always wanted to surround Russia". I don't think I can continue this conversation if you are not talking in good faith.

"By the time new members were accepted into NATO ... Russia had started its descent into a totalitarian dictatorship"

The decision to expand NATO was made in 1997 [0]

And by the way, here is a passage from wikipedia on that first round of NATO enlargement [1]:

"That year, Russian leaders like Foreign Minister Andrei Kozyrev indicated their country's opposition to NATO enlargement. While Russian President Boris Yeltsin did sign an agreement with NATO in May 1997 that included text referring to new membership, he clearly described NATO expansion as "unacceptable" and a threat to Russian security in his December 1997 National Security Blueprint."

And a bit from "What Eltsin heard" [2]:

"On December 1, Foreign Minister Kozyrev unexpectedly refused to sign up for the Partnership of Peace; and on December 5, Yeltsin lashed out about NATO at the Budapest summit of the CSCE, in front of a surprised Clinton: “Why are you sowing the seeds of mistrust? ... Europe is in danger of plunging into a cold peace …. History demonstrates that it is a dangerous illusion to suppose that the destinies of continents and of the world community in general can somehow be managed from one single capital.” "

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Madrid_summit

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enlargement_of_NATO#Visegr%C3%...

[2] https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2018...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:05PM (#39402956)
> You see, now you are inventing strawmen like "eternal commitment" and "the narrative of how NATO has always wanted to surround Russia". I don't think I can continue this conversation if you are not talking in good faith.

I am not inventing anything. I have not seen a single source that would indicate a commitment not to accept new members into NATO until the present day. Nor have you cited any high-ranking Soviet or Russian officials from those times saying that they had a firm commitment. The constant unmet Russian demands that you cite also point that way.

> The decision to expand NATO was made in 1997 [0]

By that time, liberals had lost influential posititions in Russia and hardliners had been consolidating power for several years. Putin had risen from St Petersburg's mayor's errand boy to presidential staff in the Kremlin, to become the head of Russian security service (FSB) a year later.

The first Chechen War started in 1994 and Russian atrocities committed there were a key turning point in taking Central and Eastern European security concerns seriously:

  The First Battle of Grozny was the Russian Army's invasion and subsequent conquest of the Chechen capital, Grozny, during the early months of the First Chechen War. /---/ The battle caused enormous destruction and casualties amongst the civilian population and saw the heaviest bombing campaign in Europe since the end of World War II.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Grozny_(1994%E2%80%9...

> "On December 1, Foreign Minister Kozyrev unexpectedly refused to sign up for the Partnership of Peace; and on December 5, Yeltsin lashed out about NATO at the Budapest summit of the CSCE, in front of a surprised Clinton: “Why are you sowing the seeds of mistrust? ... Europe is in danger of plunging into a cold peace …. History demonstrates that it is a dangerous illusion to suppose that the destinies of continents and of the world community in general can somehow be managed from one single capital.” "

Kozyrev is who wrote the three paragraphs I cited previously. In the PDF I linked to, he gives a description of NATO-Russia relations during his tenure (1990-1996). In the end, he concludes that Russians were on the wrong side of history and Americans and Europeans were on the right side of history. The outcome - peace and prosperity in Europe, death and destruction in Russia and everywhere they go - certainly supports his view.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:10PM (#39403020)
"I am not inventing anything. I have not seen a single source that would indicate a commitment not to accept new members into NATO until the present day."

You are inventing a strawman again. 1997 isn't present day. Bye.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:29PM (#39403217)
You have not presented a case for any year.

In fact, western governments can't give such informal guarantees further than their election term even if they wanted to, because unlike in Russia, governments change every 4-5 years and the current president, prime minister or cabinet ministers can't promise what their successors will or won't do, because the successors are often completely different people from different political parties with vastly different political platforms. That's why we have written treaties. Soviet and Russian diplomats are without any doubt educated enough to know that.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by lpcvoid on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:35PM (#39402601)
Even if you where right, all of this doesn't matter if sovereign nations decide they don't want to deal with russian threats, oligarchy/corruption and oppression anymore by joining NATO. I am happy they did and I think Europe's future is brighter if we stand together against the darkness that is russia.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mlindner on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:01PM (#39404191)
There's never been promises to not expand NATO, let alone any signed agreements.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by walteweiss on Saturday February 17, 2024 @03:06AM (#39407451)
If you ever read ‘NATO Expanded’ it’s a Russian narrative. NATO never expanded, its members ask to join NATO because they don’t want their sovereign states to be occupied by barbarians as it happened with Ukraine’s east. Or they don’t want to be just bombed, as it happened with basically every place in Ukraine.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mschuster91 on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:02AM (#39397111)
> How do you propose the west avoids conflict with Russia and China?

There's a lot of things the West can do without throwing nukes at the problem:

- arming ourselves and our allies (especially Taiwan) to the teeth

- supporting exiled and in-country opposition

- intervening against hostile operations (such as "police stations") on our own soil

- strengthen links with "global south" countries to minimize Chinese/Russian influence on them, support local rebels against regimes that have already fallen towards Russia/China.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by justsomehnguy on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:57AM (#39397862)
But if we change Russia/China and West places here you would scream bloody murder and terrorists not even finishing your own list.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mschuster91 on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:05AM (#39397978)
Of course I would. We're at least a bunch of democracies, neither Russia nor China are.

I believe that we should have done much more, and much earlier, to foster democracies and to stop dictatorships and bullies. Instead, we let them fester (unfortunately, even amongst our own like Hungary and Turkey), and now the cancer has grown so massive that it will be very hard to kill it.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by krmboya on Sunday February 18, 2024 @09:02PM (#39425506)
Of course, pouring more dollars to forment more war and suffering by non-americans while the Americans are fully sheltered.

These games played by global powers hurt a lot of the smaller countries. Lot's of Ukrainian civilians have needlessly lost their lives

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by DyslexicAtheist on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:54AM (#39398642)
it is only possible to reduce not to avoid bloodshed.

Russia does not honor the rules of law so we should not negotiate with them in good faith. They are a terrorist state.

  UN Charter
  Budapest Memorandum
  INF Treaty
  Minsk 2 / Minsk 1
  ...

The only solution are preemptive strikes against Russian interests.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by logicchains on Friday February 16, 2024 @02:19PM (#39401693)
By rules of law you mean international law? By that logic we should also commit preemptive strikes against Israel to prevent it committing what is recognised by the internal community as genocide.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by myth_drannon on Friday February 16, 2024 @02:33PM (#39401863)
IJC and other international bodies clearly stated there is no genocide. Only Hamas/Iran propaganda bots keep pushing that narrative.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by Gibbon1 on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:06PM (#39403578)
People call what Israel is doing genocide in order to justify what they want to do to Jews.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by CyberDildonics on Monday February 19, 2024 @07:24PM (#39436553)
Or maybe it is because there have been 29,000 deaths and all aid has been cut off along with cement poured in their plumbing so they have no fresh water.

https://time.com/6696507/palestinian-death-toll-gaza-israel-...

1 in 100 people have been killed in gaza since october 7th.

Entire neighborhoods have been leveled by bombs and bulldozed.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/10/07/world/middlee...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by khokhol on Monday February 19, 2024 @07:59PM (#39436800)
This kind of thinking is plainly delusional, and likely harmful to Israel in the long run.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by khokhol on Monday February 19, 2024 @09:01PM (#39437190)
IJC clearly stated there is no genocide.

Paragraphs 54 and 58 of the ruling clearly refute what you're saying.

It sounds like you're naively repeating a description of the ruling that you've heard from somewhere, without stopping to ask yourself whether it had any connection to reality or not.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by ein0p on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:04PM (#39402239)
When are you heading to the front, friend?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by holoduke on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:31PM (#39403241)
Is that the American talking? The aggressor responsible for so much destruction in the world. I believe diplomatic actions are needed in any case. Not violence.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by nonethewiser on Friday February 16, 2024 @01:42PM (#39401192)
> Is there any examples in history of appeasement leading to less bloodshed?

Generally you avoid conflict by being scary, not agreeable.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wolverine876 on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:46PM (#39402731)
> Generally you avoid conflict by being scary, not agreeable.

As a rule of life, that's a pretty bad idea. I don't avoid conflict with family, friends, neighbors, coworkers by being scary.

In international relations, it's by far more effective to be agreeable. Alliances are far more stable than competitive balance between 'scary' countries. Look at the EU; look at Korea - which relationships are more stable, the scary or the agreeable ones? Look at Israel, where by far the most stable relationships are the agreeable ones with Egypt, Jordan, and the US, even now. Look at the US and Canada. The list goes on forever.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by nec4b on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:45PM (#39403392)
>> As a rule of life, that's a pretty bad idea. I don't avoid conflict with family, friends, neighbors, coworkers by being scary.

Are they trying to conquer and kill you? If not, your analogy doesn't hold.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wolverine876 on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:03PM (#39403541)
I'm talking generally, not about Russia. Even then, being 'scary' in particular only escalates things; you want to be strong yet perfectly in control.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by saiya-jin on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:42PM (#39403353)
Your argument falls apart since you deal with mobsters who don't respect any contract if it doesn't suit them. Remember pinky promises that they won't invade Ukraine just before they did it? If you keep stepping back to bullies, soon you are standing with ocean behind your back. And if you don't think russians would love ruling as much Europe as they can grab, you haven't been listening to them a single bit for past 2 decades, their ego is gigantic. We've been there for 40 years not so long ago, but maybe you weren't born yet to recall these times.

Also, this is how russia was defeated - mix of US being simply too strong and one sane russian leader who realized how bad this is (Gorbachev, he is deeply hated by all russian elites who now try to bring good ol' times back).

What you propose is a position of weakness, that leaders of russia see as a sign of weakness and will act accordingly.

I just wish all these naive commenters would spend a decade living in russia to understand what we're actually dealing with and what kind of conflict is inevitably coming to the western Europe.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wolverine876 on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:59PM (#39403508)
You confuse 'agreeable' - admittedly an ambiguous term - with 'walkover'. You can negotiate both with strength and without being a monster yourself.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by LeroyRaz on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:45PM (#39405494)
When agreeable was first used in the chain of comments above it was presented as the counter point to "scary." As in, you defend yourself by appearing scary to take on.

Shrewd tactful negotiation can be valuable, but I think people are mainly emphasizing the need for strength and clear emphatic boundaries, not for being a "monster."

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by falserum on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:21PM (#39403739)
> As a rule of life, that's a pretty bad idea. I don't avoid conflict with family, friends, neighbors, coworkers by being scary.

There is time and place for both.

Some people live in much rougher environment, where you must demonstrate strength, if you dont want to be eaten. (Not in the family, but once you go outside)

Russia is not a guy that you met at a library, Russia is a gangmember that runs a “protection” racket.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neuronic on Friday February 16, 2024 @07:56AM (#39396330)
Listen to internal speeches by Putin or Xi, they are often available on YouTube. We are not slowly sliding towards a world conflict, it has already begun and we are hopeless to stop it. It is arrogant to ignore or dismiss the happenings.

Things were set in motion years ago and they are slowly unraveling. When the West rejected Russia's deeper integration into its structures after the Cold War ended and expanded NATO towards the East this path was set in stone. The late 2000s were the absolute breaking point.

Major Eastern players are asymmetrically breaking US hegemony through proxies and internal conflict. They cannot face the US conventionally but it doesn't mean they cannot face the US. They can, they do and they will continue to do so.

Brexit, MAGA, Mideast conflicts, Ukraine, EU refugee crisis, inflation, energy crisis, recent development in North Korea, social media disinformation etc. etc. etc.

The BRICS countries (and others) are pursuing a multipolar, non-democratic world with heavily reduced US influence over Asia and Europe, who are now discussing defense independence and their own nuclear umbrella after Trump strategically placed some Russian talking points (again).

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:07AM (#39396441)
> Things were set in motion years ago and they are slowly unraveling. When the West rejected Russia's deeper integration into its structures after the Cold War ended and expanded NATO towards the East this path was set in stone. The late 2000s were the absolute breaking point.

Your point would have been better made without weaseling in a Mearsheimer apology for authoritarian states. Russia snatching Ukraine has absolutely nothing to do with NATO's expansion. Indeed, had NATO expanded earlier, we wouldn't have found ourselves in this mess, with Ukraine left to fend for itself.

NATO grew because of the desperation of former USSR satellites to shelter themselves from their abuser.

As to the other bit here about rejecting Russian integration as a cause for war: I think that point has been proven quite wrong with Merkel's absurd fantasy that trade with Russia would bring peace.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by empath-nirvana on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:16AM (#39397297)
The West didn't reject Russia's deeper integration -- Russia, and more particularly, Putin did. There was always a plan to add Russia to the EU and even at some point get them to join NATO. Russia abandoned democracy and closed that door.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by dotnet00 on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:29PM (#39402529)
A big example of this that comes to mind to me (as a space nerd) is the ISS and various American rockets developed around that time. The US footed much of the bill for the ISS and offered Russia a ridiculously good deal in offering to launch their modules and setting up the seat exchange with Soyuz. Boeing and Lockheed Martin adopted Russian rocket engines for their rockets despite the national security concerns of having major launchers dependent on a potential adversary. This second decision caused a good bit of harm to domestic rocket engine design in the US.

Of course part of the goal was to give Russian rocket scientists a more peaceful task to work on than spreading out to Iran, North Korea etc, but it was also a great chance for Russia to integrate further with the West and expand their historical prominence in space technology.

Instead, they've done everything to ensure that they never get such a deal again, and have allowed their space industry to atrophy significantly.

There's talk about how if Russia had been allowed into NATO they'd have been able to channel their energy into more constructive pursuits, but they were given an opportunity to do that for space technology and did not do so.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:21PM (#39403137)
>Russia snatching Ukraine has absolutely nothing to do with NATO's expansion.

Absolutely false. We cannot prevent wars if we refuse to engage with reality as it is not as we wish it to be. https://twitter.com/battleforeurope/status/17000929447142730...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:16PM (#39404327)
You link to a tweet of a deliberately edited speech by Stoltenberg to suit their own agenda. It's the worst kind of propaganda that anyone can see through given five minutes of research. I don't know what's worse, that you presented it as damning evidence or that people take 280 character tweets at face value.

In any case, the full quote with the missing section emphasized in italics is:

> Then lastly on Sweden. First of all, it is historic that now Finland is member of the Alliance. And we have to remember the background. The background was that President Putin declared in the autumn of 2021, and actually sent a draft treaty that they wanted NATO to sign, to promise no more NATO enlargement. That was what he sent us. And was a pre-condition for not invade Ukraine. Of course we didn't sign that.

> The opposite happened. He wanted us to sign that promise, never to enlarge NATO. He wanted us to remove our military infrastructure in all Allies that have joined NATO since 1997, meaning half of NATO, all the Central and Eastern Europe, we should remove NATO from that part of our Alliance, introducing some kind of B, or second class membership. We rejected that.

> So he went to war to prevent NATO, more NATO, close to his borders. He has got the exact opposite. He has got more NATO presence in eastern part of the Alliance and he has also seen that Finland has already joined the Alliance and Sweden will soon be a full member. Because at Vilnius Summit, we agreed a statement where it was clearly expressed how Sweden will do more, follow up the agreement we had in Madrid on fighting terrorism, and also address issues related to export of military equipment, and then Türkiye made it clear that they will ratify as soon as possible.

For those who don't see the problem with removing military infrastructure from every former satellite state that fled the USSR it's this: throwing your allies back to the wolves who hunted you is as about as morally bankrupt as it comes.

And just to really make it clear which countries Russia wanted put back to the wilds, it's Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Albania, Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Finland.

For anyone who is interested, the full speech is available at https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_218172.htm

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:22PM (#39404368)
I don't see how any of the extra context undermines the point that the Ukraine war is primarily in response to NATO expansion. Why is it so hard for people to acknowledge?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by xdennis on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:18PM (#39405312)
The Ukraine war started in 2014 when the Ukrainians wanted closer ties with the EU. It didn't start because of NATO. Stop trying to rewrite history.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:40PM (#39405462)
Not really. In 2014 Ukraine's NATO aspirations were codified into their constitution. Later that year Russia annexed Crimea and began a slow march towards the current war. To say it was about EU ties sans NATO is just gaslighting.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:38PM (#39404513)
The invasion of Ukraine is primarily a desire of conquest. NATO has nothing to do with it. The "request" from Russia is nothing more than a pretense for setting former satellites up for more invasion by their former masters.

We know this is true from a map the dictator of Belarus was seen in front of showing more conquest after Ukraine, specifically of Moldova. We know President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia called the collapse of the Soviet empire “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century.” His desire for a return to the days of empire is obvious from every aggrandizing speech he makes.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:43PM (#39404561)
It is convenient that your worldview can absorb any contradictory information such that it all just demonstrates what you already take to be true. A truly masterful reality-distortion field.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by Ray20 on Saturday February 17, 2024 @12:25AM (#39406680)
>The invasion of Ukraine is primarily a desire of conquest. No. It is personal desire of Putin to remain in power. Conquest has nothing to do with it either.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Saturday February 17, 2024 @02:25AM (#39407225)
I'm not sure how you arrived at that conclusion given the available evidence we have of Putin's many speeches and writings on the matter. And one is not mutually exclusive of the other.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by Ray20 on Saturday February 17, 2024 @03:30PM (#39413260)
Yeah, and he also gave many speeches and writings about how he is fighting Nazism in Ukraine. Are we seriously going to discuss Putin's speeches? This Putin's rhetoric did not exist before the 2014 revolution in Ukraine.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Sunday February 18, 2024 @12:46AM (#39416548)
It did exist. Putin's speech at the Munich Security Conference in 2007 is one of the best-known examples: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Munich_speech_of_Vladimir...

His intentions have been obvious for a very long time for anyone who wants to see them.

The recent Tucker Carlson interview confirmed that Putin has an uncontrollable obsession with a made up version of history, and he gets visibly upset when his long rants about Ukrainian statehood being an anti-Russian conspiracy by the Austrian General Staff and the Pope get interrupted. Nazis running Ukraine is only a small part of that persecution complex.

Putin's speeches deserve as serious consideration as Hitler's. Until tanks started rolling, his speeches were also dismissed as rhetoric.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by holoduke on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:38PM (#39403315)
Also nato grows because of economic greed. Thats one thing many non western countries dont like about the west. This hunger for more and more. And always in the name of democratic values which are often just a tiny shell arround a rotten agenda.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by type0 on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:04PM (#39404208)
> Also nato grows because of economic greed

Fyi, EU is economic union not NATO

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by midasz on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:11PM (#39403639)
nato is a defensive pact
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by CapricornNoble on Saturday February 17, 2024 @08:52PM (#39415367)
What was defensive about NATO's bombing campaign against Libya?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Unified_Protector

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/news_71867.htm?mode=pre...

On Thursday morning at 0600 GMT, NATO took sole command of international air operations over Libya.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by godzillabrennus on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:40PM (#39403331)
Spoken like a Putincrat.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neuronic on Monday February 19, 2024 @04:11AM (#39427590)
I am 2 days too late, but will reply nonetheless. I fully agree with your arguments about NATO expansion and am not trying to apologize Russian aggression.

However, it does not change how the Russians perceived NATO expansion which matters in todays conflicts:

> "The final assurance was Clinton’s agreement (despite Russia’s brutal Chechen war and multiple domestic pressures) to come to Moscow in May 1995 for the 50th anniversary celebrations of the victory over Hitler. In Moscow, Yeltsin berated Clinton about NATO expansion, seeing “nothing but humiliation” for Russia: “For me to agree to the borders of NATO expanding towards those of Russia – that would constitute a betrayal on my part of the Russian people."

https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2021...

The Russians see the developments of the early 1990s as humiliating and as the spark of the modern conflict. It became much more serious in the late 2000s under Putin but the developments of the mid-90s already set things on a rotten path regarding the relationship between the West and Russia.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by actionfromafar on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:03AM (#39396396)
What deeper integration would that have been? Geniunely curious, I don't see what could have worked once the oligarchs were minted. They only care about selling simple low-effort stuff, easily corrupted, like oil.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by lr1970 on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:34AM (#39396774)
> What deeper integration would that have been?

Boris Yeltsyn was proposing to Bill Clinton to admit Russia into NATO. This way Russian ambitions would be tamed and channeled into something more constructive.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by actionfromafar on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:11AM (#39397210)
Of course, we can't know what a Russian NATO membership could have lead to.

But a few red flags - Russia just barely held together at that time and had its own civil war. Also, there's the risk of Russia joining just to walk away with the keys to the kingdom at any later point. If the CFE inspections (1) were anything to go by, Russia didn't exactly play fair.

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_on_Conventional_Armed_F...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:20AM (#39398197)
That's comical that you mention CFE.

Your own link says: "The treaty proposed equal limits for the two "groups of states-parties", the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Warsaw Pact" and later "most former non-USSR Warsaw Treaty members subsequently joined NATO, followed later by the Baltic states and the states of the former Yugoslavia".

"CFE-II took into account the different geopolitical situation of the post-Cold War era by setting national instead of bloc-based limits on conventional armed forces. NATO members refused however to ratify the treaty..." [0] What a surprise.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_on_Conventional_Armed_F...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by actionfromafar on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:23AM (#39398231)
I'm not saying there wasn't mistrust from all sides. I'm saying Russia may have had ulterior motives to join NATO.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:25AM (#39398270)
"Ulterior motives" like what?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by actionfromafar on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:30AM (#39398336)
Having a veto on who gets in the alliance, gathering intelligence, who knows? Not me.

I just don't think Russia joining NATO is an apparent slam dunk success. Maybe it would have been great, we can never know for sure, but I can understand the suspicion.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:34AM (#39398385)
"Having a veto on who gets in the alliance, gathering intelligence"

With what goal?

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by actionfromafar on Friday February 16, 2024 @11:00AM (#39398733)
Attack Ukraine? But on the other hand, joining NATO could have changed the course of history for the better, so such plans may never have come into motion. This is all counterfactual. There was deep mistrust on all sides and it didn't happen.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @11:26AM (#39399132)
Attack Ukraine why?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by actionfromafar on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:13PM (#39399888)
Read Putins "scholarly article".
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:32PM (#39400176)
I haven't read it. What do you mean specifically?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by Qwertious on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:38PM (#39402634)
Not the parent commenter, but IIRC in that document Putin expresses an ideological belief that Ukraine is inherently a part of Russia and must be returned.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:03PM (#39402939)
And how do you imagine it? Being in the same security alliance as Ukraine and having free trade agreement and having good relations with the West, he would attack the Ukraine to get a piece of land?

Nobody in Russia would've supported such an unthinkable war.

It took a coup in Kiev in 2014, burning people alive in Odessa, all the slogans 'Hang the Russians', dozens of streets named after Nazi collaborators, the war of the new Ukrainian government on the separatists in the East and eight years for people in Russia to start thinking that not all Ukrainians are brothers.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by falserum on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:59PM (#39404164)
Reminder: to start 2014 events, you need a president who rejects europe at the last second and sells ukraine to russia.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:20PM (#39404352)
"Europe is partly to blame for the crisis in Ukraine although this is no excuse for Russian behavior towards the former Soviet republic, German Chancellor Angela Merkel's deputy said on Wednesday.

The tone struck by Vice Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel, head of the Social Democrats (SPD), contrasts with that of conservative Merkel who has pinned responsibility on Russia for exacerbating the crisis, which has soured ties between Russia and the West.

"Certainly, the European Union has also made mistakes, although this does not justify Russia's behavior," Gabriel told the German daily Rheinische Post.

"It was certainly not smart to create the impression in Ukraine that it had to decide between Russia and the EU," the Economy Minister added." [0]

[0] https://www.newsweek.com/german-official-says-it-was-wrong-m...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by type0 on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:41PM (#39404542)
> Nobody in Russia would've supported such an unthinkable war.

Nobody would be against, in the same way there isn't anyone against this unthinkable war now. Why are you on HN. Maybe you should go and try to denazify some other website instead?

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neom on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:12AM (#39396497)
We talk a lot about economic integration but we rarely talk about cultural integration. imo part of what will keep us safe in the future is cultural integration. We have multiple generations of families established across many borders now. With enough of that, the appetite for world war in theory might be decreased. I don't know the answer here, but I do feel we don't think about cultural integration as a national security asset often, and it probably could be.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by krisoft on Friday February 16, 2024 @11:02AM (#39398760)
> We have multiple generations of families established across many borders now. With enough of that, the appetite for world war in theory might be decreased.

Like the multi-generational families some of their members living in Ukraine, some in Russia? Didn't seem to stop the war sadly.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neom on Friday February 16, 2024 @11:12AM (#39398912)
You're totally correct, to be clear I don't know if this is a good prognosis for regional conflict, I was more alluding to something like WW3.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by danmaz74 on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:13AM (#39397251)
Putin has pushing this lie that he tried to get closer to NATO and was rebuffed for a long time, but it's simply not true. His ideology has always been completely against being junior partner in a US led alliance.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by riehwvfbk on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:16AM (#39397304)
It might be difficult to believe, but in the 1990s the people of Russia truly wanted to be in Europe (kind of like Ukrainians do now). That sentiment is now gone, and it's not (just) due to propaganda. The common people believe that Ukrainians will just be used to achieve some goal in the US vs. Russia power struggle and then abandoned.

https://www.politico.eu/article/how-the-us-broke-kosovo-and-...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by andrepd on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:27PM (#39402510)
Doesn't help, the whole history of the US (and USSR) using regional proxy conflicts to advance their purposes, and then discarding their "allies".
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by holoduke on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:41PM (#39403341)
Where do you got that info. Most Russians want to be part of Europe. Its not that Russian people dont have a way to think freely. They all watch youtube and other social media. And they all love to ski in Austria or to visit Italy for a holiday. I don't know one russian person who is not pro Europe. Even Putin himself is pro europe.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by jnsaff2 on Saturday February 17, 2024 @12:59AM (#39406845)
Why does this "pro" manifest itself in trying to murder one part of europe and trying to freeze the rest?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by thriftwy on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:17AM (#39397308)
For starters, pre-2014 Russians would be glad to have a visa waiver with the EU. But they never got that. Then 2014 and Crimea affair came and EU didn't have that lever to pull.

Things like student exchanges, etc, were also severily limited in scope. Russians only ever saw EU as tourists, not as neighbours. And tourists can sure swap one destination for the another. Russians knew that they live in Europe, but did not feel the neighbourly presense of the EU.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by rcatcher on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:58AM (#39397876)
> Russians knew that they live in Europe

This is not accurate. In the USSR and after its collapse, Russians generally don't consider themselves European. I also think this aligns more or less with how the rest of the world sees Russia if you consider the standards of living and the freedoms citizens have in Russia (e.g., no freedom of speech; not being able to freely travel to most of the world). On top of that, don't forget that geographically, most of Russia is in Asia.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by omrigan on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:43PM (#39400342)
Russia is a 100% European country.

> standards of living

Comparable and exceeding some countries in EU (e.g. Bulgaria)

> freedoms citizens have in Russia (e.g., no freedom of speech)

Some freedoms are there, some are not. Before 2022 it was similar to some parts of Europe.

Also, freedom is not synonymous to Europe.

> able to freely travel to most of the world

It is not that bad. 127 visa-free countries, more than e. g. Montenegro, Moldova, Albaina - all of which are 100% European.

> geographically, most of Russia is in Asia

This is a meaningless argument. Britan was 90% not in Europe in the year 1912. But no one would say it was not European.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wojciii on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:11PM (#39403025)
Russia is not an European country. It requires running water and indoor toilets for this. Also not being run by mafia.

The current conflict is going to break it up into smaller chunks sooner or later. I'm going to enjoy watching it burn.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by type0 on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:57PM (#39404651)
European Russia is limited to Saint Petersburg and some parts of Moscow, otherwise it's mostly mongolian by culture since the times of Golden Horde
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @10:07AM (#39398010)
Like this (2010):

No more tariffs. No more visas. Vastly more economic cooperation between Russia and the European Union. That's the vision presented by Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in an editorial contribution to the German daily Süddeutsche Zeitung on Thursday.

"We propose the creation of a harmonious economic community stretching from Lisbon to Vladivostok," Putin writes. "In the future, we could even consider a free trade zone or even more advanced forms of economic integration. The result would be a unified continental market with a capacity worth trillions of euros." [0]

[0] https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/from-lisbon-to-v...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK on Friday February 16, 2024 @01:26PM (#39400991)
Yeah, I believe visas issue is what actually broke the camel's back. Putin and the Russians felt humiliated when Ukrainians got visa free travel and they didn't. Humiliation is a very powerful emotion.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by protomolecule on Friday February 16, 2024 @02:14PM (#39401632)
I don't know. I'm Russian and I didn't feel humiliated. I don't even remember when it happened.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by nonethewiser on Friday February 16, 2024 @01:46PM (#39401250)
Sadly I think you’re right about NATO expansion. I think a hot war with Russia was always on the table with NATO expansion. You either have to be willing to fight it to defend the expansion or you’re going to cede something to Russia when they push back.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by dralley on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:41PM (#39403339)
Hot war was absolutely on the table without expansion, just look at Moldova, or Georgia. Or even Ukraine. Ukraine was already ineligible for NATO prior to 2014 as a result of the multi-decade lease of Sevastopol to the Russian Navy.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by za3faran on Friday February 16, 2024 @02:40PM (#39401945)
> both more than happy to destabilize the middle east in pursuit of their goals

As if the west hasn't already destabilized the middle east for many decades now.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by ovi256 on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:16PM (#39403078)
So that's a reason to do more of the bad thing ?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wolverine876 on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:51PM (#39402791)
> If you believe the western media, the west no longer believes in or upholds its values, and watches while Russia pushes westward while China builds up a military and eyes Taiwan, both more than happy to destabilize the middle east in pursuit of their goals.

> The west needs to wake up, we're slowly sliding towards a world conflict. This is going to get worse before it gets better.

I think there's an essential connection there: The West's values and their power, and peace and freedom. The West's power comes from its values, not only because it captures the hearts and minds of others but because the power freedom and universal human rights gives to its own people.

As many in the West disparage or undermine those values, they are doing the work of Putin and Xi (at times, I'm sure, led by their disinformation campaigns).

No more time for games. It's time, as you say, to wake up and stand up for our values.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:18PM (#39403108)
>No more time for games. It's time, as you say, to wake up and stand up for our values.

This makes a nice tweet. But what does it actually mean in practice?

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by tomComb on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:53PM (#39403469)
For starters, support the Ukraine.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by AnimalMuppet on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:13PM (#39404292)
And as a step toward that, stop supporting US politicians who want to play childish political games with aide to Ukraine.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by holoduke on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:35PM (#39403282)
Ah come on. The west is as hypocrite as any other country. Look at what they did in too many places in the world. Human rights my pents. The phone you are holding is probably created by some child hands. If there is one thing what the west could improve is this silly Disney like black and white thinking. There must be a good and a bad. Its nonsense. Bad a good goes hand in hand.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by bobsomers on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:36PM (#39403919)
Everyone makes mistakes, it's about learning from them and what you change to try to make things better in the future.

Generally speaking, the west has been significantly improving the living conditions and human rights protections for its citizens over the last several hundred years, many times in direct response to some horrible mistake that was made and then subsequently learned from (slavery, Vietnam, etc.)

The same cannot be said at all about Russia. All the intelligent, brave people who could see through the propaganda or who had the bravery to do something about it have largely either been killed off or emigrated away at this point. The country has been in a continuous cycle of totalitarian suffering for hundreds of years, with no end in sight.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wolverine876 on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:57PM (#39403496)
> The west is as hypocrite

Everyone and every institution is a hypocrite. If that's going to stop us, we might as well have submitted to the Nazis or Bolsheviks or someone long before that - after all, we were hypocrites then too!

But who am I to say that - I'm a hypocrite. No hypocrites allowed on HN!

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by enlightenedfool on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:30PM (#39403228)
To each his own values. The western values are pretty evident with the way Assange is treated.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by lordfrito on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:23PM (#39403770)
> As many in the West disparage or undermine those values, they are doing the work of Putin and Xi (at times, I'm sure, led by their disinformation campaigns).

I don't have evidence, but my gut says that's not by accident. This slippery slope we've been heading down for the last few decades (no more right and wrong, all values are equal, anyone who says otherwise is a problem/oppressor/colonizer) look to me like a well funded / coordinated / long term political warfare campaign in order to build a country of "appeasers". People who refuse to stand up for anything -- we all know that's how bullies win.

I often wonder how much of what we're doing to ourselves is actually being funded by bad actors, fake patriots, etc.

I don't trust any free news. Someone is paying for a message to be delivered to my eyeballs, and I don't know who that is. Maybe 1% of stories are from bad actors, maybe it's 25%. Who knows? The answer matters -- a lot.

No one trusts anyone anymore. We've lost faith in our government and each other. No better way to conquer a nation than from within.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by AnimalMuppet on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:17PM (#39404334)
> no more right and wrong, all values are equal, anyone who says otherwise is a problem/oppressor/colonizer

But that whole view is self-contradictory. If all values are equal, what's wrong with being an oppressor or colonizer? By calling people oppressors and colonizers, they are saying that some things are wrong. Their position destroys itself.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by wolverine876 on Saturday February 17, 2024 @03:34AM (#39407587)
Or you misunderstand their position. Taking someone's argument to a logical extreme and calling them hypocrites is about a rhetorical game, not about meaning and truth.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by AnimalMuppet on Saturday February 17, 2024 @10:11AM (#39410115)
Strawmanning someone's position is about a rhetorical game. Fairly representing someone's position and pointing out that it is logically contradictory is exactly about truth. Self-contradictory positions cannot be right. (Now, you may be able to remove the contradiction without destroying the whole position. But it has to be flawed.)

You see this in formal philosophy. If the conclusions of an argument disprove the premise, then the premise is wrong.

In this case, we aren't dealing with a formal position. We aren't even dealing with the clearest-spoken advocates of a position. We're dealing with culture warriors whose specialty is yelling, not clear argument. Nevertheless, there are people out there who say that, if you say one culture is better than another, then you are a Nazi. This is not taking their argument to a logical extreme. This is listening to their words. And based on that, you can say that that position shows that they aren't thinking, because it's absurd.

But you're right, you can't go too far with it. The worst, most thoughtless advocates of a position only let you say that those advocates' position is flawed. They don't tell you anything about the steelman version of the position.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by voidfunc on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:36PM (#39403917)
The decline of "The West" (really The US and client states err Europe) is inevitable now that Russia and China have dismantled any social unity we had. Americans all hate each other and that division is not getting reconciled. They will continue to use it to disrupt us. You can basically destroy momentum in the US by bombarding the population with propaganda and forcing political destabilization.

We are screwed in the long run because there is no antidote to this that is compatible with our constitution.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mlindner on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:58PM (#39404154)
Calling Europe “client states” of the US is quite the silly hot take... There's no abrogation of foreign policy to the US.