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Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:07AM (#39396441)
> Things were set in motion years ago and they are slowly unraveling. When the West rejected Russia's deeper integration into its structures after the Cold War ended and expanded NATO towards the East this path was set in stone. The late 2000s were the absolute breaking point.

Your point would have been better made without weaseling in a Mearsheimer apology for authoritarian states. Russia snatching Ukraine has absolutely nothing to do with NATO's expansion. Indeed, had NATO expanded earlier, we wouldn't have found ourselves in this mess, with Ukraine left to fend for itself.

NATO grew because of the desperation of former USSR satellites to shelter themselves from their abuser.

As to the other bit here about rejecting Russian integration as a cause for war: I think that point has been proven quite wrong with Merkel's absurd fantasy that trade with Russia would bring peace.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by empath-nirvana on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:16AM (#39397297)
The West didn't reject Russia's deeper integration -- Russia, and more particularly, Putin did. There was always a plan to add Russia to the EU and even at some point get them to join NATO. Russia abandoned democracy and closed that door.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by dotnet00 on Friday February 16, 2024 @03:29PM (#39402529)
A big example of this that comes to mind to me (as a space nerd) is the ISS and various American rockets developed around that time. The US footed much of the bill for the ISS and offered Russia a ridiculously good deal in offering to launch their modules and setting up the seat exchange with Soyuz. Boeing and Lockheed Martin adopted Russian rocket engines for their rockets despite the national security concerns of having major launchers dependent on a potential adversary. This second decision caused a good bit of harm to domestic rocket engine design in the US.

Of course part of the goal was to give Russian rocket scientists a more peaceful task to work on than spreading out to Iran, North Korea etc, but it was also a great chance for Russia to integrate further with the West and expand their historical prominence in space technology.

Instead, they've done everything to ensure that they never get such a deal again, and have allowed their space industry to atrophy significantly.

There's talk about how if Russia had been allowed into NATO they'd have been able to channel their energy into more constructive pursuits, but they were given an opportunity to do that for space technology and did not do so.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:21PM (#39403137)
>Russia snatching Ukraine has absolutely nothing to do with NATO's expansion.

Absolutely false. We cannot prevent wars if we refuse to engage with reality as it is not as we wish it to be. https://twitter.com/battleforeurope/status/17000929447142730...

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:16PM (#39404327)
You link to a tweet of a deliberately edited speech by Stoltenberg to suit their own agenda. It's the worst kind of propaganda that anyone can see through given five minutes of research. I don't know what's worse, that you presented it as damning evidence or that people take 280 character tweets at face value.

In any case, the full quote with the missing section emphasized in italics is:

> Then lastly on Sweden. First of all, it is historic that now Finland is member of the Alliance. And we have to remember the background. The background was that President Putin declared in the autumn of 2021, and actually sent a draft treaty that they wanted NATO to sign, to promise no more NATO enlargement. That was what he sent us. And was a pre-condition for not invade Ukraine. Of course we didn't sign that.

> The opposite happened. He wanted us to sign that promise, never to enlarge NATO. He wanted us to remove our military infrastructure in all Allies that have joined NATO since 1997, meaning half of NATO, all the Central and Eastern Europe, we should remove NATO from that part of our Alliance, introducing some kind of B, or second class membership. We rejected that.

> So he went to war to prevent NATO, more NATO, close to his borders. He has got the exact opposite. He has got more NATO presence in eastern part of the Alliance and he has also seen that Finland has already joined the Alliance and Sweden will soon be a full member. Because at Vilnius Summit, we agreed a statement where it was clearly expressed how Sweden will do more, follow up the agreement we had in Madrid on fighting terrorism, and also address issues related to export of military equipment, and then Türkiye made it clear that they will ratify as soon as possible.

For those who don't see the problem with removing military infrastructure from every former satellite state that fled the USSR it's this: throwing your allies back to the wolves who hunted you is as about as morally bankrupt as it comes.

And just to really make it clear which countries Russia wanted put back to the wilds, it's Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Albania, Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Finland.

For anyone who is interested, the full speech is available at https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_218172.htm

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:22PM (#39404368)
I don't see how any of the extra context undermines the point that the Ukraine war is primarily in response to NATO expansion. Why is it so hard for people to acknowledge?
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by xdennis on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:18PM (#39405312)
The Ukraine war started in 2014 when the Ukrainians wanted closer ties with the EU. It didn't start because of NATO. Stop trying to rewrite history.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @08:40PM (#39405462)
Not really. In 2014 Ukraine's NATO aspirations were codified into their constitution. Later that year Russia annexed Crimea and began a slow march towards the current war. To say it was about EU ties sans NATO is just gaslighting.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:38PM (#39404513)
The invasion of Ukraine is primarily a desire of conquest. NATO has nothing to do with it. The "request" from Russia is nothing more than a pretense for setting former satellites up for more invasion by their former masters.

We know this is true from a map the dictator of Belarus was seen in front of showing more conquest after Ukraine, specifically of Moldova. We know President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia called the collapse of the Soviet empire “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century.” His desire for a return to the days of empire is obvious from every aggrandizing speech he makes.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by hackinthebochs on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:43PM (#39404561)
It is convenient that your worldview can absorb any contradictory information such that it all just demonstrates what you already take to be true. A truly masterful reality-distortion field.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by Ray20 on Saturday February 17, 2024 @12:25AM (#39406680)
>The invasion of Ukraine is primarily a desire of conquest. No. It is personal desire of Putin to remain in power. Conquest has nothing to do with it either.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by emptysongglass on Saturday February 17, 2024 @02:25AM (#39407225)
I'm not sure how you arrived at that conclusion given the available evidence we have of Putin's many speeches and writings on the matter. And one is not mutually exclusive of the other.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by Ray20 on Saturday February 17, 2024 @03:30PM (#39413260)
Yeah, and he also gave many speeches and writings about how he is fighting Nazism in Ukraine. Are we seriously going to discuss Putin's speeches? This Putin's rhetoric did not exist before the 2014 revolution in Ukraine.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by mopsi on Sunday February 18, 2024 @12:46AM (#39416548)
It did exist. Putin's speech at the Munich Security Conference in 2007 is one of the best-known examples: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Munich_speech_of_Vladimir...

His intentions have been obvious for a very long time for anyone who wants to see them.

The recent Tucker Carlson interview confirmed that Putin has an uncontrollable obsession with a made up version of history, and he gets visibly upset when his long rants about Ukrainian statehood being an anti-Russian conspiracy by the Austrian General Staff and the Pope get interrupted. Nazis running Ukraine is only a small part of that persecution complex.

Putin's speeches deserve as serious consideration as Hitler's. Until tanks started rolling, his speeches were also dismissed as rhetoric.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by holoduke on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:38PM (#39403315)
Also nato grows because of economic greed. Thats one thing many non western countries dont like about the west. This hunger for more and more. And always in the name of democratic values which are often just a tiny shell arround a rotten agenda.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by type0 on Friday February 16, 2024 @06:04PM (#39404208)
> Also nato grows because of economic greed

Fyi, EU is economic union not NATO

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by midasz on Friday February 16, 2024 @05:11PM (#39403639)
nato is a defensive pact
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by CapricornNoble on Saturday February 17, 2024 @08:52PM (#39415367)
What was defensive about NATO's bombing campaign against Libya?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Unified_Protector

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/news_71867.htm?mode=pre...

On Thursday morning at 0600 GMT, NATO took sole command of international air operations over Libya.

Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by godzillabrennus on Friday February 16, 2024 @04:40PM (#39403331)
Spoken like a Putincrat.
Re:Alexei Navalny has died – authorities by neuronic on Monday February 19, 2024 @04:11AM (#39427590)
I am 2 days too late, but will reply nonetheless. I fully agree with your arguments about NATO expansion and am not trying to apologize Russian aggression.

However, it does not change how the Russians perceived NATO expansion which matters in todays conflicts:

> "The final assurance was Clinton’s agreement (despite Russia’s brutal Chechen war and multiple domestic pressures) to come to Moscow in May 1995 for the 50th anniversary celebrations of the victory over Hitler. In Moscow, Yeltsin berated Clinton about NATO expansion, seeing “nothing but humiliation” for Russia: “For me to agree to the borders of NATO expanding towards those of Russia – that would constitute a betrayal on my part of the Russian people."

https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2021...

The Russians see the developments of the early 1990s as humiliating and as the spark of the modern conflict. It became much more serious in the late 2000s under Putin but the developments of the mid-90s already set things on a rotten path regarding the relationship between the West and Russia.