mopsi
> Which is exactly what needs to happen. /---/ I don't see a problem with this.
Representatives of the US government do not share this sentiment and throw temper tantrums all the time. One example of many: BRUSSELS — U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau on Wednesday slammed European NATO allies for prioritizing their own defense industry over American arms suppliers, according to three NATO diplomats. /---/ Landau, a longtime NATO skeptic who spoke first at the closed-door meeting, told ministers not to “bully” his country’s defense firms out of participating in Europe’s rearmament.
https://www.politico.eu/article/christopher-landau-top-us-of...The expectations seems to have been that elevated military spending would flow to US arms manufacturers. Instead, it is flowing to European manufacturers, making them more competitive and reducing the influence that the US government had through export controls, which essentially gave the US veto power over the foreign and defence policies of other countries. That influence is now rapidly waning.
> That sounds like performative politics.
Certainly not. This was an European country preparing for an attack by a NATO ally. The forces on Greenland were issued live ammo and explosives to sabotage airports to prevent US airborne attacks from establishing bridgeheads, and ordered to engage the invading force without further instructions from the high command. Nothing about this is performative, especially given that it was not revealed to the public at the time.This was the moment when trust was broken beyond repair. No amount of flowers or apologies will restore the trust that was before. It is perhaps one of the most important events of the past decade in US-EU relations and a fundamental shift in the understanding that had stood since 1949 when NATO was established.
> We don't need the US industrial base ramping up for the Ukraine war. We need it ramping up for the war with China.
And how's it going? 400 Patriot missiles were manufactured in 2022. After years of "ramping up production", 620 were manufactured in 2025. The US inventory at the start of 2026 was 2300 missiles, 1700 of which were pointlessly wasted on Iran. It will take years to restore even the fairly small inventory (judging by how many were consumed in the war) that was at the start of the year, let alone anything needed for a major war. The picture with dumb munitions like 155mm artillery shells isn't much better. > The point of a diplomat is not to go and insult the people you're communicating with, it's to achieve results through diplomatic means.
A fair bit of latitude separates insulting someone from publicly licking their asshole and going, "Yum! So tasty!"There's a reason why the US government has not achieved any meaningful concessions from Russia since the 2021 ultimatum. The endless talks with Witkoff serve only as a humiliation ritual. Putin even got to walk down a red carpet on US soil while US officers saluted him, all without giving anything in return. Allegedly, that embarrassing Alaska summit happened because Witkoff misunderstood what Russians meant by "withdrawal from Zaporizhzhia and Kherson". He mistook Russian demand for Ukraine to withdraw from Zaporizhzhia and Kherson for an offer by Russia to withdraw its own forces. This led Trump to immediately annouce the summit in Alaska that produced flashy photos for Russian newspapers, but nothing else. My God, what a bunch of retards. They don't even understand what's being told to them, and you're trying to condescendingly convince me that they're playing clever reverse psychology on Europe. It's time to face the reality.
> Exactly, and our allies aren't going away.
NATO allies are already pivoting away from the US, and the French nuclear deterrence initiative, which is gaining steam, is a good example of that: https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/frances-nuclear-forces-brin... The current military stack that heavily depends on the US is being slowly and methodically replaced with purely European solutions. This means that Washington will have less and less say in how and when it is used.Anything US-related is increasingly seen as a liability. Take the HIMARS, for example. An increasing number of countries that recently bought HIMARS are favouring South Korean Chunmoo for their next purchases. Chunmoo comes with technology transfer that allows customers to maintain the launchers and manufacture the ammunition themselves, whereas HIMARS is micromanaged from Washington, and poorly so.
> Maybe you'll notice that we haven't actually invaded Greenland or Canada.
The threat to Greenland got real enough that Denmark moved special forces to Greenland, rigged airport runways with explosives to disrupt US airborne assaults, and stocked up on blood to treat casualties. Only then did the rhetoric from Washington change. That burned through most of the goodwill Denmark (and many of its supporters) had towards the US. > The reality is that the US remains the only superpower
Doubtful if the US deserves to be called a superpower anymore. Instead of supporting Ukraine to the fullest extent possible and setting an example that America's partners are not to be messed with, the US government has consistently shown weakness by falling for Putin's bluffs and humiliating itself in the process. Witkoff calling Putin a "humanist" is a good recent example. Pathetic beyond words.The US is losing credibility as a security guarantor, because it has failed to impose its will even on countries such as Iran. From failing to adopt modern anti-drone warfare, and using very expensive interceptor missiles instead, and then running out of them, we can all see that the US military and industrial might is a postcard from the past.
Why does China even need to fight or even directly confront the US when it can simply bribe its government into halting military aid to Taiwan, pressuring Taiwan to surrender, and pressuring others to drop their sanctions? Putin offered Lukoil to Trump's buddies, and today's WSJ top story says that Trump is pressuring Europe to resume buying Russian gas so that his friends can use intermediaries like Lukoil to skim their share of the revenue and enrich themselves. China can offer TSMC to Trump's buddies, too. That would send decades of US wargaming down the toilet, just as Trump's actions have done regarding Iran and Russia.
After years of mocking the sovereignty of allies like Canada and Denmark, are they more or less likely to support the US in the event of a war with China? Less likely, and the same applies to most other countries, too.
A similar thing happened between him and Merkel, when Trump didn't understand that the EU was a unified trading bloc with a common market and that making separate trade agreements with Germany was not possible. Trump allegedly asked Merkel more than 10 times why he could not do that.
I don't think Americans still understand what a laughing stock their president is to the rest of the world. This goes beyond personal sympathies and antipathies; he is objectively a very unintelligent person and his exceptionally poor manners make things only worse.
A little unpolished because it was bolted on by fans and not the original game developers, but otherwise very impressive.
> AI slop isn't copyrightable, but there can be copyrightable elements in an AI-generated image. The most obvious element is the prompt. So long as your prompt contains some quantum of creativity (e.g. "Make me a beautiful flower whose loveliness is reminiscent of a newborn baby", but not "make me a beautiful flower"), that prompt is copyrightable. That means you can use copyright to challenge others' rights to present the same prompt to a chatbot. But while the prompt can be copyrighted, the image it gives rise to isn't. So you can spend a month iteratively refining your prompt, consuming all your town's water along with 200,000 gallons of diesel and that prompt will be yours for your life plus 70 years, but the image it generates is in the public domain, and anyone can copy it, sell it or give it away
I don't find this line of thought very convincing. The more detailed the prompt is, the more control the author exercises over the result. A sufficiently detailed prompt may become indistingushable from source code, because it specifies the desired result so precisely that it acts like source code for a compiler. Compilers, too, are not necessarily deterministic. Compilers may have a lot of freedom in how they translate the source code into machine instructions, but this does not break the connection with the original human intellectual effort and the result remains copyrightable.There should be a difference between asking AI to "draw a funny picture of a donkey", and spending a month iteratively refining your prompt.
> Facts remains facts, whoever spins a propaganda out of it.
Indeed. And the fact remains that Yanukovych became a political corpse overnight and the entire political establishment of Ukraine - including his own party - voted against him. He was a dead man like Richard Nixon after the Watergate tapes, when even senior Republicans told Nixon that they refuse to support him any further. > Yeah, when facts don't suit you, it is ofcourse fake or "misinterpretation" or even irrelevant because of the "source" along with snide subtle remarks that imply how you alone are superior in intellect, and everyone else who doesn't agree with you is automatically dumb.
You can ask a Hebrew speaker about the mistranslations, if you don't trust me. The overall matter is well known: foreign governments initially did everything they could to force Ukraine into any kind of deal with Russians, but that position became untenable after the Bucha massacre was discovered. They stopped pressuring Ukraine further and instead increased military aid like Ukraine had desperately requested. This was one of the central topics in spring 2022 and massively covered in the press.This can come as a surprise only if you've read prepackaged narratives from Russian propagandists instead of following the news and forming your own opinion.
> Again with the pedantic gaslighting. It is public knowledge that is even cited in a book. If you had any real interest to verify it, you can easily do so online.
You said that "Putin had publicly said that if Ukraine joins NATO, Ukraine would do so without Crimea and the Eastern regions." There is no such public statement from him. No press release, no transcript of a speech, nor anything else of that kind. > You aren't dumb. I have even cited the exact line from it. Read it again.
Here is a scan of the original copy of the declaration of independence in Ukrainian: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/18/Declarat...Here is the English translation of the document: https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Act_of_Declaration_of_Indepen...
It makes no mention of neutrality.
> I guess even Henry Kissinger was brainwashed by the Russians
He was wrong, like many were, and changed his mind after the Russian invasion of Ukraine: “Before this war, I was opposed to membership of Ukraine in NATO, because I feared that it would start exactly the process that we are seeing now,” Mr. Kissinger said remotely at a session of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. “The idea of a neutral Ukraine under these conditions is no longer meaningful. I believe Ukrainian membership in NATO would be an appropriate outcome.” https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/davos2023/card/kissinger-ba... > If it were not for the political wisdom of the Americans and the Russians, warmongering Europeans would gladly start WW3.
Strange to accuse of warmongering the only party of the three that hasn't started an utterly unjustifiable war (Russia v Ukraine; USA v Iran). > Any political action under violence, and then the threat of violence (whether it be by so called "revolutionaries" or an army) resulting in the opposition capturing power undemocratically is exactly that - a coup ...
There was no-one to threaten, because Yanukovych's support base evaporated overnight after he became responsible for getting a large number of protesters killed. Even his own party broke with him. He had no supporters left. > Again deliberately avoiding the context with selective facts that are irrelevant. /---/ remember the tape leak about the US planning who to install in Ukraine?
The "context" is a standard mishmash of Russian tropes and the phone call you keep bringing up is a perfect example of that. Nobody in the real world cares about Nuland, she's just an insignificant US state department bureaucrat (you can test yourself by trying to name any of her successors). Her phonecall with the US ambassador to Ukraine, discussing whom they'd prefer to see in the next government, is supposed to be a huge smoking-gun evidence of a "coup", when really, it's not. You and I could discuss whom we'd like to see as the next leader of China after Xi, but that does not make us kingmakers nor mean that we're plotting a coup in China.Next week, the US is holding midterm elections. At any given moment, there are probably hundreds of phone calls taking place between all sorts of people discussing whom they'd like to see in the House and Senate. A bunch of Ukrainians are probably discussing among themselves who would be the best for them too. You'd be a fool to characterize that as "planning who to install" in the US. Of all the Ukraine-related talking points, this one is easily one of the laziest.
> Benett has also said that all the negotiations were very carefully coordinated with the US, Germany, France and UK. And once Putin and Zelensky compromised and agreed to a deal and a ceasefire, the West then blocked it because they wanted to "keep striking Russia".
If you're relying on English subtitles, then they're a well-known mistranslation. Bennett meant that he coordinated his peace-mediation visit with Ukraine, the US, France and Germany. Initially the US expressed skepticism about the potential of his visit, while France was supportive. Bennett himself gave a 50/50 chance. The discovery of Bucha massacre made them conclude that the mediation effort was pointless and they stopped (mistranslated as "blocked") pursuing it further.Russian propagandists took this lengthy interview out of context and clipped different parts together to show Bennett saying that "the US, Germany and France BLOCKED Ukraine from signing peace with Russia and FORCED Ukraine to continue fighting". That's an obvious distortion.
Despite all the huffing and puffing about other people falling for propaganda, you're the one who's fallen for a cheap trick here.
> It's all in the public domain, even if you wish to ignore it:
You said that "Putin had publicly said that if Ukraine joins NATO, Ukraine would do so without Crimea and the Eastern regions." There is no such public statement, that's why you can't find a better source than hearsay on a blog. > Sure, if you wish to resort to technicalities and legalspeak, that is partly true. But the delaration of independence, and subsequently the constitution of Ukraine proclaimed that it would not join any military alliance.
The declaration of independence makes no mention of neutrality, nor does the constitution: https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Act_of_Declaration_of_Indepen..., https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Constitution_of_Ukraine,_1996Neutrality was mentioned only once in the earliest declaration of sovereignity (July 1990) as an aspirational goal. It was not included in subsequent legislation like the 1993 law on the main directions of Ukraine's foreign policy or the 1996 constitution, because it was considered an obstacle to cooperation with European regional security frameworks. So contrary to your claim, Ukraine did not make a commitment of neutrality to anyone.
> You had to carefully choose your words to write that sentence, didn't you? Otherwise NATO invasions post 1975 shows how little the Western superpowers have cared about international law or sovereignty ...
The words of the Helsinki Final Act were very carefully chosen by Russians, who initiated the security conference with their Budapest Appeal of 1969. "Inviolability of frontiers" (borders) was their central focus. The Helsinki Final Act is enormously important, because it was consensus-based: it took years to negotiate the final text, which all European governments agreed to in every single word. And as I've said twice already, no country besides Russia has claimed another country's territory as its own, so this "everyone's the same" narrative doesn't hold water. > Ofcourse, those who support the "revolution" obviously don't like when it is labelled a coup
A legislature voting to hold early elections is not a coup by any common definition. > The medals, the manufactured controversy over the dates are all irrelevant
No, they're not. The official campaign medal says that the invasion of Crimea began on 20 February 2014. The first Russian troop movements (810th marine brigade) were observed on the same date. That's the difficult thing with lying: you have to have a really good memory to cover all the ways that the truth can slip out. > Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett has publicly stated in an interview that he took a message from Putin to Zelensky that Russia would not invade Ukraine if he publicly committed to not join NATO.
This is another factually incorrect statement. Benett met Putin on 5 March 2022, nine days after the invasion had started, so this claim is anachronistic and could not have happened the way you describe it. All these Russian narratives depend on the listener being lazy and not checking basic facts like the order of events. > Zelensky was willing. But all subsequent negotiations (before and during the war) failed because the western superpowers always dissuaded him from signing and committing to "permanent neutrality" - the original condition on which the USSR had granted independence to the Ukrainians
Ukraine was not "granted" independence by anyone, but USSR's central institutions imploded and Ukrainian SSR's parliament declared Ukrainian SSR independent from the USSR, prepared legislation for handing power over to a new state with new institutions, and held a referendum to gain a mandate for that. Ukrainian SSR did not sign any treaties that placed an obligation of neutrality as a precondition for independence. > Nearly 2+ decades back, Putin had publicly said that if Ukraine joins NATO, Ukraine would do so without Crimea and the Eastern regions.
He made no such public statement. The statement alone would've been a severe violation of Ukraine's sovereignty. > And ofcourse, this is again something to be seen in isolation, and we should all ignore the development of the cold war, right? Selective picking of a political event without the underlying context is easy to twist to fit some narrative. Post WW2, as Russia supported the independence of western colonies, and communist revolutions everywhere, the western superpowers again turned hostile towards USSR.
There's nothing to twist. The governments of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania did everything the Russians asked of them, for which Russians thanked them with tremendous suffering over the following 50 years. WWII had not yet ended and the Cold War had not yet begun, when Russians were already carrying out mass deportations of civilians to Siberian labour camps. The first major action was in 1941. The goal was to exterminate the professional class (managers, merchants, politicians, doctors, teachers, etc) who were authority figures in the society and could pose a challenge to the communist dictatorship that Russians had set up.The Cold War was triggered by the same Russian suppression of independence of other European nations during the final phase of WWII and in its immediate aftermath.
> In other words, Russia as a superpower is not doing anything different to what western superpowers do (or have done).
As I said, this is false. Since the Helsinki Final Act of 1975, Russia is the only country to have invaded another European country by force and declared its territory to be its own. > The west was more successful here as the western backed coup managed to overthrow the democratically elected Russian friendly
There was no coup in Ukraine. Coup is commonly defined as an illegal takeover of power by a small group of people. In Ukraine, the national parliament voted to hold early elections and the next president was elected by 18 million voters soon thereafer. This does not fit anny > Russia recognized the coup for what it was - a foreign backed coup - and so immediately annexed Crimea (to protect its own military interests).
Can't be true. The Russian military campaign medal "For the Return of Crimea" issued to the participants inscribes the start of the campaign as 20 February 2014. The public tender for manufacturing them was issued 17 December 2013. That was months before the "coup". Photo: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/34/Medal_Fo... > Zelensky was elected on a platform to unite the people /---/ He in fact exacerbated the issue by using violence against East Ukrainians, triggering a civil war.
I honestly don't know what "civil war" you are talking about. By the time Zelensky was voted into office in 2019, the fighting in Eastern Ukraine between Ukrainian and Russian forces had virtually ceased and did not restart until the full-scale invasion in February 2022. > All that said, a major reason for Russians dropping the advance towards Kiev, and later tactically withdrawing,, was because of request for urgent negotiations by the west and Ukraine.
Sour grapes. > As is any media outlet, funded by the government, like the BBC, NPR, DW or PressTV.
BBC, NPR and DW are not under the editorial control of their respective governments, as can be witnessed from their coverage, which is often unfavorable, especially NPR of Trump. RT has no such independence. RT's editorial decisions are taken by Alexey Gromov, the first deputy chief of staff of the Putin's administration. Unlike Trump, notice how Putin, Lavrov, et al never complain about the domestic press being unfair, because they are the press. Don't like an article? Pick a phone and the article disappears, sometimes with its author. > Stalin's main concern was always Hitler and Germany, for historical reasons.
Stalin infamously misjudged Hitler's intentions and dismissed mounting warnings that Germany was preparing to attack the USSR, which caused catastrophic losses when Germany did eventually attack. Entire armies vanished into thin air, millions of soldiers were taken prisoner in a few months. Stalin was paralyzed by disbelief and issued a flood of nonsensical orders that made things only worse. Stalin expected the fruitful cooperation to last at least until Germany had defeated the UK. During their alliance, Russians were providing strategic products like oil in huge quantities to Germany. Cargo trains carrying grain were arriving at border stations even on the morning of the German attack. > No one can confidently say that if Poland had acquiesced to Russian terms to provide right of way to the Russian military, and for a stage hold territory, backed by British and the French guarantees of sovereignty, Soviet Russia would not have withdrawn after defeating the Germans.
There is literally a counterexample in the neighboring Lithuania. Lithuanian government accepted all demands, and Russian forces did not leave until 1994, causing enourmous amounts of suffering over 50 years of occupation. This happened all across Europe. Most of Central and Eastern Europe was covered by communist dictatorships under Russian control until the USSR collapsed in 1991, and military forces took further few years to remove, last ones left by 1994. > And ofcourse, you guys have always upheld that, have you? (cough NATO invasions cough). Look up every western action against another country that was done without UN approval - it's all illegal to the rest of the world. Like I said, you guys have no moral standing to preach to the rest ...
The Helsinki peace process and the agreement reached there has little to do with generic anti-American rhetoric. The Helsinki Final Act is rarely mentioned by talking heads on social media, so I'm not surprised how few people have heard of it, but it is one of the foundational documents in international relations. In 1975, representatives from all European countries (except for Albania and Andorra) - east and west, north and south, and some from the middle too - assembed in Helsinki to agree on how to reduce Cold War tensions in Europe in the name of regional security and cooperation. One of the key adopted principles was that no European country may invade another country by force and declare its territory to be its own. Since 1975, Russia has been the only country to violate this principle by declaring four Ukrainian regions integral parts of the Russian Federation.It is such a blatant violation of established norms that even some of Russia's closest allies like Belarus have not recognized it.
I've found it very liberating that I can handle some of the tedious parts of a project to AI. In the end, I spend perhaps the same amount of time on a project, but more of it goes to important work and less gets wasted on plumbing.
I cannot imagine a typical suburban American consumer tolerating a chatbot as blunt and direct as Linus.
> NATO members were already preparing for the proxy war with Russia by sabotaging diplomatic negotiations
The only proxy forces in this war have been the "people's militias" of the fictious and short-lived Luhansk and Donetsk People's Republics, which compromised of unmarked members of Russian armed forces, security services, and people under their direct control. Nothing else comes close. > As for Russia's initial battle loses ... Russia had surrounded Kiev, and the only reason it stopped was because Zelensky and the EU superpowers offered to negotiate with them.
The assault on Kyiv failed because the airborne assault did not manage to establish a usable bridgehead that the ground forces were supposed to link up with. Instead of a rapid advance toward Kyiv, Russian ground forces were met by fierce Ukrainian resistance and ran out of fuel, food and ammunition, because they had brought supplies for only a few days. After resupply efforts failed, Russian forces became sitting ducks and had to withdraw or face wipeout. > Cambodia rejects the use or threats of force and does not side with any of the parties in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Prime Minister Hun Sen has declared. The premier stated that support for any party in what he believed had evolved into a proxy battle between the former USSR and US-led NATO countries would violate the Kingdom’s own policy of non-alignment with military blocs.
He changed his position soon thereafter: Prime Minister Hun Sen has reiterated that Cambodia does not support the forceful occupation of one country by another, in comments that apparently referred to the Russian-Ukraine conflict as an “invasion”. “We don’t support the invasion of one country by another. This is our absolutely firm position,” he said while presiding over the inauguration of National Road 21 connecting Kandal province to the Cambodia-Vietnam border. “This is not a small issue because it creates a bad habit for the world: the stronger nation attacking the weaker one. So, if the stronger nation attacks the weaker one, will they attack us [Cambodia]? Then who will help us? This must be clear-cut. This is why we must have a clear position,” he explained.
Good of you to mention bullying. He spoke about that too: Cambodia was one of 141 countries to co-sponsor the draft resolution of the UN General Assembly (UNGA) on March 2 condemning Russia’s military offensive in Ukraine. Hun Sen revealed recently that there were countries that allegedly lobbied for Cambodia to abstain on the Russia-Ukraine vote, but did not state which ones.
https://phnompenhpost.com/national/politics/pm-kingdom-again... > This is what the Russian media recently claimed - https://rt-english.com
RT is trash-tier propaganda outlet, on the same level as Breitbart and Infowars. It deserves no attention. > And when you mention that it is only prudent to also mention that Soviet Russia made that pact only because the French and British refused to make a pact with USSR, against Hitler, in the first place.
It's also prudent to mention the reason for refusal. Russia demanded the right to place troops into Poland and expected the French and the British to coerce the Polish government into accepting it, yet again under "security concerns". Poland was naturally opposed to the presence of foreign soldiers on their soil, out of fear that the troops would never leave. History proved them correct. The forces that entered Poland during WWII remained in Poland until 1993 and were instrumental in establishing and sustaining the Russian-controlled communist dictatorship.Stalin was simply shopping around for a way to exploit the looming German-Polish war and gain an opportunity to invade Poland. The French and the British did not agree to pressure the Polish government, so Stalin struck a deal with Hitler who had no such inhibitions.
> It did pre-emptively use the military against many of them when their governments refused to cooperate with it
The governments of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania accepted all demands and in return they were overthrown from the very same military bases on their soil that were supposed to satisfy Russian "security concerns". National governments were replaced with communist dictatorships under Russian control, and the entire countries remained under full military occupation until 1994. During this period, Russians committed genocide against the local populations, through actions such as mass deportations to Siberian labor camps. > USSR never desired to conquer Finland
Facts speak a different story. Immediately at the start of the war, Russians established the Finnish Democratic Republic and its government and signed a treaty with it that subordinated Finland to the USSR. Finnish DR was supposed to take the place of the legitimate Finnish government, much like Russians set up puppet governments in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, which "asked" to be absorbed into the USSR, to add a veneer of legitimacy to the conquest. After the invasion failed, the Finnish DR was quietly disbanded. > Only a moron would believe that Russia has no right to be considered about its "security", or sphere of influence, and thus it is ok to ignore it.
Only morons go around yapping about "Russian security concerns" when Russia itself is the main threat to peace and security in Europe. Russia has severely violated the 1975 Helsinki Final Act, which established guiding principles for security and cooperation in Europe. Among other things, it was agreed in Helsinki that using force to violate territorial integrity and redraw European borders was unacceptable conduct for any European state.It's really strange to see that for so many people "tech" means just a handful of US megacorporations, none of which produce critical products like medical equipment or marine engines or industrial robots or railway signaling systems.
> And without NATO support, it is apparent that Russia would have achieved all its military objectives in Ukraine a long time ago.
Let me guess, in three days?The invasion plan crumbled before Ukraine got any foreign aid worth mentioning. The airborne attack of Hostomel airport was successfully repelled, leading to failure to capture Kyiv, leading to failure to decapitate the military command structure, leading to successful coordinated counterattacks on the overstretched invasion force.
Five years and 1.5 million casualties later, Russia has still not managed to recover where it was a few weeks into the war, because it had no realistic plan B after the surprise attack failed.
> That's just normal wartime propaganda - both sides have claimed that civilians are being deliberately "targeted".
Sure. That's why we need to go beyond claims and investigate facts. Russian terror on Ukrainian civilians is widely documented. Eg, in Kherson, where Russian attacks are known as "human safari". UN: "From July 2024, Russian forces have recurrently killed and injured civilians in an area stretching over more than 100 kilometres along the right bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Province. The drone attacks have been widespread, systematic and conducted as part of a coordinated state policy. /---/ The circumstances of the attacks, the videos, and the explicit threatening text posts demonstrate that Russian armed forces and those supporting them have committed acts or threats of violence for the primary purpose of spreading terror among the civilian population, in violation of international humanitarian law." https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2025/05/un-commissio... > And how many of those from the Global South has offered anything more substantial than words in this war?
Morocco provided tanks, Cambodia sent military specialists to teach demining, Sudan provided mortar ammunition, etc. The "South-vs-North" dichotomy is artificial and mainly lives as yet another Russian propaganda trope. The territorial integrity of sovereign states is such a fundamental principle that it is understood and valued around the world, perhaps even more so in countries that have themselves suffered foreign invasions and colonization and are still recovering from the long-lasting damage. > I obviously have no idea where you plucked those numbers from as I have never read anything similar
Stated by the Russian MoD, widely circulated by all major Russian news outlets, including the state-owned TASS: https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/28046063Russian war correspondents openly ridicule such statements, as well as comments like yours, according to which everything in Ukraine has already been blown up five times over. Yet the situation on the ground continues to deteriorate. Russian official recruitment target is 34k soldiers per month, of which about 29k gets filled. Losses have been 37k this month, expected to reach 50k by the end. Territorial gains since the start of the summer, the most advantageous time of the year, have been 180 sq km in total, which is a rounding error in a country of 603 000 sq km. The numbers speak for themselves.
> The only reason Finland retains its independence, government and armed forces is because the pragmatic Finnish leaders capitulated to Russian security concerns, agreeing to all their terms.
Not quite so. In the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact of August 1939, Hitler and Stalin agreed how to divide Eastern Europe. Germany was given a free hand to invade Poland, Russians were expected to attack at the same time from east, but stalled and attacked Poland a few weeks later. After German and Russian forces had met in Poland and held a joint victory parade, Russians set their sights on Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, which Germany had left to them with the pact. Map: https://konzervativizmus.sk/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/36990...All four got ultimatums demanding military bases on their soil to satisfy Russian "security concerns". Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania accepted the demands. Those bases were then used as staging areas for overthrowing national governments and installing puppet regimes loyal to Moscow that unleashed widespread terror against the local population to keep them under control. These oppressive puppet governments survived for half a century, until the end of the USSR. Latvia suffered the most. By the end of the 1980s, Latvians were on the verge of becoming a minority in their own country due to resettlement policies of Russians into Latvia.
Finland was the only one that refused the demands and took up arms and gained a victory by remaining independent instead of following the tragedy of its southern neighbors.
This is why Russian "security concerns" is not a phrase anyone can take seriously in North-Eastern Europe. Everyone's already seen what it means. Talking about Russian "security concerns" in a serious tone is like walking around with a giant "IDIOT" painted on your forehead.
> As for Putin's comment on Poland and Hitler, the context was that Poland had helped Hitler and Germany in the division of Czechoslovakia, but when the Poles refused to give up the Danzig corridor, Hitler, who looked down at the Poles, decided to make an example of them and attack them.
Once again you fail to separate artificial pretexts from the truth. In Hitler's own words: "Danzig is not the subject of the dispute at all. It is a question of expanding our living space in the East and of securing our food supplies, of the settlement of the Baltic problems." (23 May 1939 speech to his top military commanders, later used as key evidence at the Nuremberg trials as a proof of premeditated plan for conquest of Poland.)Hitler was ideologically motivated to conquer Europe using North American westward expansion as a model (mixed with German agrarian romanticism), and what Poland did or didn't do had ultimately little importance. Putin, too, has an ideological worldview that was drilled into him at the KGB: the security apparatus mentality of a totalitarian dictatorship, layered on top of a much broader Russian imperialism, which is rooted in centuries of territorial expansion and the subjugation of other peoples. Russia didn't come to span 11 timezones through acts of kindness, you know.
> Ukrainian estimates put their potential there at 20 million soldiers
That is the theoretical maximum potential if you conscript absolutely everyone, every single male, in eg 20-45 age range: https://www.populationpyramid.net/russian-federation/2026/ By that measure, Ukraine has millions of soldiers available, too.That is pratical only in the event of total societal breakdown like Nazi Germany in its final months when there was no economy left and institutions like schools, hospitals, factories and utilities had ceased to work. Everything was thrown to the front while the people in cities were malnourished, had no power nor running water, and died of minor diseases due to lack of medical supplies.
Putin is too afraid to even announce a regular mobilization and resorts to dirty tactics coercion of poor rural ethnic minorities to fill the ranks, because the backlash that would follow a general mobilization would be a major threat to Putin's grip on power. Look up the effect of soldiers' mothers movement during the Chechen wars, or how the forced conscription into the Soviet-Afghan war (620k people over a decade) contributed to the disintegration of the USSR. Educated middle-class people accustomed to European lifestyle won't go to the front to get slaughtered like IQ 80 villagers who are up to their necks in payday loans; they will resist and cause major disruption among the productive urban population that keeps the country running.
These millions of soldiers exist only on paper. The actual situation on the ground is pretty dire. Ukraine hit another all-time record yesterday, killing or disabling 2250 Russians in a single day. The entire month of October is trending to hit a record too, 50k casualties in a single month. Russian recruitment target is 34k per month.
You are using some very poor sources if they have given you the idea that Russia has 20 million soldiers to mobilize. Russia is facing a severe shortage of manpower too, made worse by the fact that they rely on constant costly attacks by small groups of infantry that have very short lifespans, whereas Ukraine is increasingly automating the war and relying on unmanned weapons more and more. For example, Ukraine reached parity in drone strikes in early 2026 and is now carrying out more drone strikes than Russia. It's increasingly rare for Russian soldiers to meet any Ukrainians before they die; about 80% Russians die by drones as drones have become significantly more lethal. In 2024, drones killed about 1/3 of soldiers on impact. Now they kill about 2/3 of them.
Also, the "slow but steady advances" are a complete Pyrrhic victory if you look at the numbers. Russia has gained less than 1000 sq km this year at a cost of at least 100 000 lives. Ukraine is over 600 000 sq km in size. The daily number of casualties hit a new record a few days ago, exceeding 2000, about half of which are deaths. Russia has no hope reaching the territorial control it had 30 days into the war, let alone anything beyond that. It is by all objective measures one of the worst military disasters in the entire Russian history.
> That means that once a peace deal is signed, Ukraine will need to be permanently armed to the teeth, much like South Korea. That would ensure they can defend themselves without NATO membership. If Putin doesn't like that outcome, well he shouldn't have invaded in the first place.
Russia demands heavy restrictions on the size of the Armed Forced of Ukraine, essentially turning it into a small, lightly armed, and easily defeatable infantry force, with a veto on any foreign military assistance to Ukraine if Russia were to attack them again. The goal of this is cartoonishly obvious, and makes a peace deal unrealistic, too.For example:
> The parliament vote to oust Yanukovych for “abandoning [the] presidency” was unconstitutional. It did not follow the impeachment procedures specified in the Ukrainian Constitution, and the tally lacked the required constitutional majority of 338 votes.
This is incorrect, because the Ukrainian parliament did not initiate impeachement procedure at all. Instead, the parliament adopted a resolution to replace the president through early elections. The elections were held three months later and about 18 million people cast their vote. "Coup" is commonly defined as an illegitimate takeover of power by a small group of people, and this was the polar opposite: renewal of mandate from the electorate, set in motion by the the national legislature.Likewise:
> Further, the vote was done under duress, and many of the 328 “yes” votes that were recorded were fabricated. According to the official parliament record, 248 deputies out of 450 were registered at the opening (Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 2014).
This is no proof of fabrication. The session was opened at 10 in the morning and the vote on the resolution took place 7 hours later, at 5 in the evening. It is common for parliamentary attendance to change during a session, with members arriving after the opening registration or leaving before the session ends, especially during such long sessions. The session was broadcast live, so any doubters can do a headcount if they want.Katchanovski is a well-known conspiracy theorist, and it shows. And like most of them, he is lazy and assumes the same of his readers.
It's like those arcane verification checks used by US-based services that ask for utility bills, as if they had any way of verifying an invoice issued by a small utility provider in rural Finland.
> Because "the world", in an act of collective dementia praecox, pretends that history started on February 24, 2022. "The world" even forgot about the "most blatant coup in history", the Maidan massacre and coup d'etat of February 2014, organized by Uncle Sam, to bring to power extremist divisive forces to implement US planning.
This is just a soundbite that's circulating on the social media. If we analyze the events, it's impossible to call an unanimous parliamentary vote of no confidence "a coup", especially if it was followed up by general election. General election and a coup are polar opposites.Russians tried to circulate the narrative for a few months in 2014, then gave up and recognized the newly elected government out of pratical needs. So this talking point expired 12 years ago.