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Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by bbreier on Friday November 11, 2022 @11:39PM (#33570001)
> Remote work

> Anticipate more mid-size and smaller companies will go back more fully into the office as times get tougher. This will not be one size fits all, but will be an increasing trend.

Up to this point in the article, whether you agree or disagree with the points, the author offers some arguments and reasoning supporting each. Here, they simply assert that small and mid-size companies will go into the office, with no supporting argument. Why? Won't many small and mid-size companies have come up under covid and not have an office lease in the liabilities column? Why would they pay (insert large city) rents to save money? How does it help?

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by chrisbolt on Friday November 11, 2022 @11:43PM (#33570028)
> Won't many small and mid-size companies have come up under covid and not have an office lease in the liabilities column?

Were they started during Covid? Office leases are typically at least 5 years, so most existing companies will still have them, hence return.

Edit: removed assertion assertion

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Schnitz on Friday November 11, 2022 @11:57PM (#33570106)
There’s a lot of 50-100 person offices used by 5-10 people a day right now because the friendly nudges and incentives to bring people back to the office are falling flat.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by eropple on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:26AM (#33570243)
The incentives are mostly bad ones.

Companies that understand remote work have done a really good job of netting talent that is not in the Bay or New York, and I'm very happy to be working for one.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by justahuman74 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:18AM (#33570871)
If there's only 5-10 people a day, they should be getting nice offices rather than the typical open plan. That might actually entice others to come in.

In lots of tv shows the high-social-value characters have very nice offices (ie, it has a door and a couch). I'd go in-person for one of those.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by llampx on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:14PM (#33574968)
Hahaha, no way that is happening. Open plan stays, and people are actually coming to the office and attending most meetings on Zoom sitting at their desk.

I am no fan of that. If I come to the office I want to see real people.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by mmcgaha on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:15AM (#33570179)
Indeed and many are in long term leases that can be 10 or 20 years and these companies leased (or even built) for growth. They have also invested in building rooms, buying equipment, power and networking. To these guys it is feeling like they wasted a lot of money and of course they are going to think about this investment and want folks to come back to the office.

As the job market is changing, I am worried about my work-from-home status despite having started over a year before the pandemic. I just think there is going to be a mass get your butt in the office email that will include everyone.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by bbreier on Friday November 11, 2022 @11:46PM (#33570046)
This is a minor nitpick, but it was a question, not an assertion.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by chrisbolt on Friday November 11, 2022 @11:56PM (#33570099)
You’re right, my apologies. I shouldn’t write comments after a scotch on a long day :)
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by bbreier on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:21AM (#33570211)
No biggy my dude, it was clear from the jump that you didn't intend anything combative. Enjoy your scotch
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by chrisbolt on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:06AM (#33571421)
Cheers!
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by UncleOxidant on Friday November 11, 2022 @11:58PM (#33570107)
He seems to be writing for CEOs. Reading further he seems to figure that CEOs will be able to reassert control of employees by forcing them back to the office since employees are not going to be able to easily jump ship for another job.

As CEO now is your opportunity to rethink remote work. You may decide you want to continue as is, or you may want to make changes. You have an opportunity to act.

Not that returning to the office will necessarily result in better results, but many CEOs will tend to believe that things will go better with everyone back in the office.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by TexanFeller on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:05AM (#33570141)
> but many CEOs will tend to believe that things will go better with everyone back in the office

Many of us SWEs believe the same!

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Clent on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:28AM (#33570252)
Many or a few?

Most software engineers find themselves most effective in work from home. This breaks in favor at 3:4 or higher.

The software engineers that want to work in office are the odd-balls.

I am interested in the break down when one factors in whatever concept of '10x developers' -- which do the most productive of us prefer?

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Skunkleton on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:37AM (#33570302)
Nit: Many can still be a minority.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by rendaw on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:55AM (#33570389)
It can also be understood as the majority, per wiktionary

> the generality; the common herd

GP was countering the possibility that GGP meant the above.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by jmt_ on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:47AM (#33570348)
I just want to be able to choose which I want on a day-by-day basis. Some days I am much more productive in the office because I need to, say, communicate with a bunch of people or there's some sort of back and forth that needs to occur. Or I just need to get out of the house for a bit. Other days, I just want to stay home and spend the time focusing on something in particular without being bothered. But I need both to have both to do my job effectively. However, I work at a small company and am the primary software engineer which changes the dynamic a bit.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by jjav on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:31AM (#33570607)
> Some days I am much more productive in the office because I need to, say, communicate with a bunch of people

But on that day all of those people might've chosen to work from home so you sit all alone in the office.

The hybrid solution only really works well if the office days are the same for everyone.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by justahuman74 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:02AM (#33570783)
Forced-hybrid is just using a sledgehammer on the calendar rather than providing the flexibility that is actually liked by optional-attendance-office.

If the staff actually find this face-to-face time valuable, they'll organize and go into the office themselves, personally I've had zero requests from anyone to do that outside of explicit team-building activities.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by closeparen on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:26AM (#33571536)
In the before times, "Is there a Zoom for this?" was a live question. Zoom fatigue, such as it was, did not dominate working life. Savvy collaborators anticipated when a conversation would demand more than Zoom, and they made judicious use of the public transit between our offices to keep things smooth.

My enthusiasm for RTO is not about changing the venue from which we take our Zoom calls, but about changing our relationship with Zoom to something like its pre-pandemic state. To have some conversations naturally again. But there's no getting around that the WFHers would have to either show up or be excluded from them.

I personally find Zoom excruciating, and I blame the transition to remote meetings for all communication for turning a once optimistic and joyful career experience into a miserable slog.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by theshrike79 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:02AM (#33571099)
We have a weekly slack poll every Friday for office days the next week. Works pretty well.

We used to have so that every Thursday was "come to the office if you can" -day, but switched to the poll system.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ianbutler on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:49AM (#33570360)
Uhhhhh want to back that up?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by georgemcbay on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:13AM (#33570493)
For me it would be more of a toss-up if software engineers generally actually worked in real individual "offices" (like we used to, as a 49 year old I still remember the before-times).

But when compared to the modern nearly-universal open office plan... yeah there's no doubt I'd much rather work from home as often as possible, and based on my experience in both environments I'll be far more productive doing the job from home. Everyone's mileage may vary.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by jjav on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:29AM (#33570592)
> But when compared to the modern nearly-universal open office plan...

Indeed. Give me a proper office with a door, like I had for the first 18 years of my career, and I'll happily go to the office every day.

But open office? Nope, nope, nope. Work from home or nothing.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by irrational on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:57AM (#33570754)
Not just open office. My company doesn’t even have fixed seating. Basically you show up and wander around until you find an open desk. You have to take all your stuff with you if you need to go to a meeting or to lunch. It is ridiculous.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by irrational on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:55AM (#33570731)
I haven’t met any SWE that want to go back to the office. Heck, even my managers manager has said she never wants to go back, and she is a complete extrovert. These developers online that claim they want to go back must be as rare as hen’s teeth.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by robin_reala on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:17AM (#33570867)
About 30-40% of my engineering team prefer spending 2-3 days a week in the office, if we’re doing anecdata.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by nostrademons on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:25AM (#33570913)
My team seems to have roughly 40% prefer full-remote, 40% prefer hybrid, 20% prefer full office.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by thfuran on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:49AM (#33571024)
I recently switched teams from one where all but one other person (who was hired when the office was closed down and would have an inconveniently long commute) works from the office most days to one where I'm the only person who doesn't. So that's about 80% at least partly in office.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by mvdwoord on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:04AM (#33571411)
There are dozens of us! DOZENS!!
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by rightbyte on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:32AM (#33571561)
Is there a big commute? Since I moved to a 15 000 pop town and work here my view on remote as the best thing ever has changed. Also we have private offices. So I don't know if it is the commute or offices that makes it so much better.

We have a remote of you want policy and the only two guys who use it also live in the nieghboring towns.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by luminouslow on Saturday November 12, 2022 @11:36AM (#33574639)
Another anecdote: I love WFH but i still want to spend about 20% of the time in the office, just to see and talk to people face2face.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Kiro on Saturday November 12, 2022 @05:49AM (#33571935)
You're conflating productivity with the wish to WFH. I like working from home because it's easier to slack off and pretend to work. I know a lot of people are the same, whether they admit it or not.

I also claim that I'm more productive but it's obviously a lie in order to continue WFH.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ProZsolt on Saturday November 12, 2022 @08:16AM (#33572745)
I'm currently working for a fully remote company with colleagues in multiple timezones. I still would be happy to go to an office to work besides my colleagues but only if it would be 20 minutes from my house on foot or by bike and had team sized room with 4–8 desk in it (no open office BS). I enjoy being surrounded with likeminded people, and during lunches talking about project they are working on outside work or activities they did just to broaden my views. But this is a very little upside compared to a typical office work.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by hakfoo on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:27PM (#33575617)
The one thing I can see (as a SWE) is if you want to be able to fully box-off your work-life balance.

For my first few years of WFH, my office was my bedroom, so I just threw a KVM between my home PC and the work laptop and shared monitors and input devices. I eventually set up a standalone office.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by anotherrandom on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:24AM (#33570224)
What makes you think this?

I haven't observed any advantages to an office beyond overexposing the company to real estate (not really an advantage) - there is nothing I could do in person that I haven't been able to do faster in MS Teams (and better - now I have a written record and recording of everything). Another advantage of remote is that nobody ruins my train of thought by tapping me on the shoulder and asking stupid questions like "hey did you get that email." Best of all, no stupid pressure to go to lunch with anyone

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ch33zer on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:30AM (#33570270)
I think the reality is some people do better remote, some better in office. There's no one size fits all solution. I hated my time working from home, but it sounds like you enjoy it. There's no perfect solution for companies here except to cater to individual preferences, or mandate one at the risk of angering some employees
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ajmurmann on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:32AM (#33570610)
There is one an individual might find works better for them. Another tractor is cost add employee market. I have a much bigger talent pool to choose from when hiring remote and I can recruite from much cheaper locations.

Of course teams work better in person. So many factors that impact that though.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by dtech on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:06AM (#33571423)
Very little people are advocating that WFH doesn't work better for focus work of clear and specced tasks.

However, in my experience that is maybe 30-90% of software engineering, depending on environment, role and seniority. There are lots of relevant activities that are more challenging remotely, such as 1-on-1 mentoring, pairing for debugging or programming, or designing and collaborating a project or interface across-teams. Maybe you are "lucky" enough to never have to bother with that.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ProZsolt on Saturday November 12, 2022 @07:45AM (#33572523)
> 1-on-1 mentoring, pairing for debugging or programming

I find these quite easy or even better remote. I just fire up a screen share or even better a Visual Studio Live Share and both of us can see the same thing while we have our own developer environment.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by sokoloff on Saturday November 12, 2022 @05:00AM (#33571707)
I think brainstorming, discovery, and discussion type of tasks work much better in-person, maybe 5-10x better (driven in part by a small percentage that are thousands of times better).

Delivery works great remotely, probably better for me and many.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ProZsolt on Saturday November 12, 2022 @08:01AM (#33572627)
If you want to mimic the in–office fast paced decision making then yes in–person works better.

If you adopt a written RFC based slower decision making where people have time to fully articulate their thoughts and have time to respond to those comments then it not worst, just different.

If the house is burning and we need to come up with a solution now the first works way better. There is a reason why the military have war rooms. But for long term changes the second can be as good if not better.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by throwaway5959 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:27PM (#33575118)
Take this from someone who works effectively fully remote except for a couple days a month that I go into the office: Believe it or not, some people like their coworkers and want to eat lunch with them. Humans have been hanging out with each other since (checks math) the beginning.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by kcplate on Sunday November 13, 2022 @10:21PM (#33589894)
I love WFH (and probably will not ever go back to the office), my team would all also say the same thing. Individually we will all tell you we are more productive. However, I know for a fact that my team as a whole is less productive now than pre-pandemic when we were 90%+ in office.

I also know other teams in our organization in the same boat. Sooner or later leadership is going to realize it and the gravy train will end.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by lytedev on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:20AM (#33570208)
Everyone in the office? Really? All the time?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by klyrs on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:07AM (#33570454)
No, only when you're not stuck in traffic
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by harryVic on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:11AM (#33570480)
SWEs that want to force everyone back to office have no life or a personality outside of their job.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ThunderSizzle on Saturday November 12, 2022 @07:08AM (#33572323)
For real. Make some friends outside of work. Or enjoy time with your family. Or take time to make a family.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by llampx on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:10PM (#33574941)
We are still talking about working during work, right? Or are you playing with your kids and having beers with your friends while you work?

It is a strawman argument to claim that people who want to go to the office have no social life. It is in fact easier to claim that "only antisocial people want to hide at home like a hermit with their webcam shut off."

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ThunderSizzle on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:01PM (#33576459)
When work and social life are the same, you never need to leave work.

I've seen too many buy into that just to lose their entire social lives over a job change, and also have horrible life satisfaction over the long term.

So yes and no. Depends on how you define work.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by llampx on Wednesday November 16, 2022 @06:16AM (#33621422)
Yes if you have no life outside of work then it can't be good. However I still don't know if that's a common enough problem to solve for by making everyone work from home.

I think the more common issue would be lack of collaboration and ties to the company and colleagues when working fully remote.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ProZsolt on Sunday November 13, 2022 @12:11PM (#33584988)
No, but I have lunch and coffee break with my girlfriend.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by llampx on Wednesday November 16, 2022 @06:14AM (#33621398)
Hope your wife doesn't mind lmao gottem
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by arpa on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:45AM (#33570670)
yeah, no, dude. Fuck the mandatory office the same way fuck the meetings that could have been an email.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by flippinburgers on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:43AM (#33570995)
Um many? Not me. Not any of the engineers I have talked to, which makes those who want to return the minority.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by randomsearch on Saturday November 12, 2022 @05:02AM (#33571712)
I think on remote it’s worth reframing the argument a little. If you’re totally pro-remote, I’d like to hear your thoughts on this formulation. Consider an early stage startup of six employees.

Working full remote - everyone at home, communicating via slack and zoom, working hours roughly the same.

Vs 9-6 ish hours, some flexibility, where they all come into an office. That office is a small, modern, comfortable office in a workspace. The office has a closed door, and only the team are allowed in the office. The team chat amongst themselves as needed during the day. They take breaks alone or in small groups outside of the office in the kitchen space or on the sofas in the workspace. They chat with folks from other companies. But no one from outside the team ever enters the inner office. It’s their space.

Do you think remote will be more productive for the team as a whole? Do you think the startup will do better with the small office or the remote scenario?

You can add an hour extra at the computer for remote (saved from commuting), but you’ll need to surrender quite a bit of that to interruptions when remote - realistically, delivery men (in the office scenario, deliveries go to a reception), families or pets, a bit of domestic chores, making lunch alone where no work discussions take place.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by TomSwirly on Saturday November 12, 2022 @08:35AM (#33572907)
No, your vaporware office scenario still isn't going to get me to come into the office. :-)

And I find it very hard to believe. When I started working in the 1980s, everybody got a cubicle, we didn't even like cubicles!, but you had walls and it was quieter and people treated it like your personal space.

In my last job, I could've stood up and put my hand on seven different people's shoulders without moving my feet.

So your quiet shielded office doesn't sound like anything an actual company does.

> you’ll need to surrender quite a bit of that to interruptions when remote -

No, you get a lot fewer interruptions when working remotely than in an office. Deliveries do not take an hour a day, particularly when there are two adults who can split the task.

Pet interruptions take basically zero time per day because they aren't actually an interruption: I don't have to stop thinking about my problem for one second, but if I have to answer a single question about some other technical thing, I blow away my whole thought process and have to build it up again.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by luminouslow on Saturday November 12, 2022 @11:54AM (#33574792)
Also consider my situation which is even better:

- no deliveries (i only order to a dropoff or buy in person)

- no pets

- able to exercise and clear my mind during small breaks

- able to have a homecooked meal or go to my favourite places for lunch

- __not__ talking about work on breaks is actually a huge plus for me

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by fbdab103 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @09:45AM (#33573525)
It was not clear to me from your description, but it sounds like all of the developers are crammed into a shared space? For me, that is a huge differentiator of WFH - so many companies have trash working environments. Open office or similar which look pleasant, but are horrible for concentration.

I want a private space where I can close the door and have minimal visual and auditory disruptions. It does not have to be large, enough space for my monitors + chair. If I need to talk to someone else, we can do it in a different location.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by scarface74 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @10:22AM (#33573879)
> Consider an early stage startup of six employees

A small company is then going to have to lose the flexibility of hiring from anywhere in the country and have to compete for local talent. On top of that, one competitive advantage could be over larger better paying companies (especially now that hopefully most people have wises up enough to know that “equity” in a private company is statistically meaningless)

> The office has a closed door, and only the team are allowed in the office. The team chat amongst themselves as needed during the day.

That doesn’t alleviate the chief complaint about in office work - loud open offices - if I still have to listen to other people talk while I’m doing deep work.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Spivak on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:25AM (#33570231)
We're just gonna gloss over, "quick your employees don't have leverage, make changes they won't like" like that isn't indicative of a capitalist hellscape? If shit like this doesn't radicalize you into democracy in the workplace then we're fucked.

Especially since right now that lack of leverage was literally manufactured on purpose by the fed.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by TexanFeller on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:49AM (#33570362)
> that lack of leverage was literally manufactured on purpose by the fed

As was the leverage. They artificially drove the economy in the other direction in an unsustainable manner for a number of years before that.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by arpa on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:48AM (#33570693)
What starts with U and gives them nightmares? That's right.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by eru on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:38AM (#33570964)
Different employers offer different compensation packages. That package includes salary, but it also includes things like the extent of 'democracy in the workplace'.

To a certain extent, as an employee I'm happy to trade off some 'democracy' for more money in that package.

As an employer, I would be happy to give people more 'democracy' if that's cheaper to provide than more money.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Spivak on Saturday November 12, 2022 @11:52AM (#33574773)
You’re just stating the exact problem just one level up. The fact that employers can choose whether or not to offer democracy is the fucked up thing.

Do you not hear yourself? For the average American, your employer has more control over your individual liberty than your government and we look at like that’s somehow a good thing. Like sure, if you land a cushy office job then you can forget the abuses the rest of the job market has to suffer. The railroad strike that happened this year was fought over fucking sick days and the government almost stepped in to force the workers to accept whatever their owners gave them.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by eru on Sunday November 13, 2022 @08:18PM (#33589188)
I _don't_ want democracy in my workplace. I want to be able to choose a workplace that doesn't offer democracy. Why would you want to remove that choice from me?

I don't want my working life to be governed by what a bunch of other people vote for. I get plenty of that from the real government.

I'd rather have strong and competent management that can make credible commitments. And the mechanism to get there is not ballot boxes, but my ability to walk away from any workplace I don't like. The ability to vote with my feet.

Just like I don't want to eat at a burger place where the other customers get to vote. I just want to be able to eat at Burger King, if I don't like what McDonald's has to offer.

Worker cooperatives are already legal in most countries. Including worker cooperatives that are run on whatever theory of democracy you prefer.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by spamizbad on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:44AM (#33570668)
CEOs are also going to face significant budget scrutiny and will have to really justify signing a 10 year lease (which won't be cheap) instead of investing in things that are proven to drive growth.

Class A office space outside of super expensive cities runs about $35/sqft on average. Employees need about 175 square feet each. So every employee is $6125 more expensive -- but that's only assuming you're renting someplace turnkey, which you probably aren't, so even if you cheap out at an additional $100/sqft ($17,500 per employee) for a custom build-out (one-time cost, but still).

Where is all this money coming from? If your business is perfectly functional remote, with capital costs being what they are, why would you do this?

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by blowski on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:57AM (#33570751)
Your figures sound about right, based on my experience.

In London, the cost per employee I’ve used is £15k pa. That includes office space and maintenance, taxes, plus IT costs, entertainment, HR, etc.

The cost for fully remote employees is £9k pa. That is, the cost of the office is £6K per employee.

There are additional costs for remote employees, like remote support. But these balance against not having to buy office furniture, pay for cleaning, etc.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by bitcharmer on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:30AM (#33570933)
> The cost for fully remote employees is £9k pa

I'm really surprised by such high figure. How was this clalculated?

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by blowski on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:38AM (#33570963)
I didn't personally calculate it, or see exactly how they came to it. But I know it included things that all employees need, whether remote or not, plus a few things specifically needed by remote employees. For example:

* Laptop

* Accounts like email, Slack

* Entertainment (e.g. Christmas party)

* HR (this covered specific HR services like payroll, not the whole thing)

* IT support

* Travel expenses

* Home working budget

* Training

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by lozenge on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:33AM (#33571255)
They did say it includes taxes, maybe they are including a 3% pension contribution or even Employers' NI which can run to 12% of salary.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by blowski on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:13AM (#33571468)
The taxes I mentioned are part of the cost of running an office - especially local government taxes ("rates" in UK parlance).

The £9K figure _doesn't_ include taxes on individuals, such as NI and pension contributions. That comes from a different budget, and is typically an extra 25% on top of salary.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by benj111 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @05:52AM (#33571949)
25%?

Employer NI contributions are ~1/2 that. What other taxes do employers inccur?

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by blowski on Saturday November 12, 2022 @06:13AM (#33572045)
I lumped a few costs onto that, which aren't taxes, but are tied to salary. Pension contributions, life insurance, health insurance, for example - these all come out of the same budget as national insurance contributions.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by nivenkos on Saturday November 12, 2022 @06:07AM (#33572015)
But in London you have to pay those employees more if they're paying to commute (and wasting hours of their day on the packed trains every day), buy food in the city, etc.

I really can't see it being worth it in massive, overpriced cities.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by blowski on Saturday November 12, 2022 @06:58AM (#33572266)
Absolutely, there are hidden costs, in both directions.

If you only hire within the pool of people who are willing and able to commute to your office, you'll both need to pay more and have less choice. Workers are more tired as they spend hours commuting every day.

On the other hand, it's harder to develop juniors if all your seniors are working from home. Written communication lacks context that helps difficult conversations move forward. Silos build up as people in different teams never see each other.

In the long-term, I believe the broader benefits to society and the planet mean fully remote working will become almost universal. In the meantime, a hybrid model of mostly remote with broadly-attended meetups is the best combination. But some companies will decide that everybody being in the office all the time is right for them, and they can perhaps leverage some benefits of doing so.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by logical_ferry on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:19PM (#33577199)
> with broadly-attended meetups

How often do you feel is enough?

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by blowski on Sunday November 13, 2022 @02:22AM (#33580830)
It depends too much on the details to give a definitive answer.

Assuming the "typical" company made up mostly of people who've been there for more than a year, and where commuting is easy, maybe every 3 months is enough. New teams (even within such a company) should aim to meet weekly while they're in the forming stage. Small companies made up of very experienced ICs perhaps never need to meet at all.

I guess the best way of working it out is to ask people, and review what works.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by irrational on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:51AM (#33570710)
I’d really like to know what the numbers are for the company I work for. Even if they rent a building in a business park (because there is not enough room on campus for a group), they will completely revamp the building from top to bottom and make it completely bespoke. The last time I worked in one of these buildings, they brought in artists who spent a week stenciling words and artwork over a concrete wall. How much did that cost?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by fbdab103 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @09:37AM (#33573446)
But, don't you feel engaged to come to a place with such inspirational artwork? Truly, a company that cares.

/s

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by llampx on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:05PM (#33574898)
On the other hand, would you feel inspired and happy about going to a workplace with nothing on the walls or better still, the last company's name on them?

If the place feels dingy or like the owners don't care to make it look nice, I doubt it has a positive effect on productivity and employee retention.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by fbdab103 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:55PM (#33575353)
Yes? I am a fairly ascetic person (nothing on my walls at home), so that kind of stuff has never been particularly relevant to me. So long as the place is clean and has bright lights, I do not particularly care about the overall ambiance to the place. Far more relevant is my actual work configuration: privacy, noise, visual distractions, etc.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ecshafer on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:24PM (#33576170)
>On the other hand, would you feel inspired and happy about going to a workplace with nothing on the walls or better still, the last company's name on them?

I wouldn't really care, I have never felt inspired by something on the walls. But I would legitimately laugh and feel better every day if the old companies name was still on the wall.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by brailsafe on Friday November 11, 2022 @11:58PM (#33570109)
The one fully remote company I knew of personally was a small consultancy. Everyone just contracts out to larger ones, so no nead for their own office, but I guess they were onsite with their clients
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by dehrmann on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:00AM (#33570115)
> Why would they pay (insert large city) rents to save money? How does it help?

This is still a bit of an open question. Productivity can be a weird metric because it doesn't capture if you're making the right thing, just that you're making something. WFH productivity was also measured at a pretty weird time, so there wasn't a good control. What you'll see is a lot CEOs pick policies by which model they prefer, and in a poor labor market, they'll have the leverage to do it.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by TexanFeller on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:02AM (#33570126)
Companies will require RTO because it makes employees more productive. I've worked at one small and one large company during the pandemic involuntary WFH. In both cases productivity was noticeably worse, most especially for new employees onboarding remotely. I think WFH a couple days a week makes me more productive due to focus, but I'm unproductive and miserable now when none of my teammates ever come in. We're laughably disconnected and not functioning like a team. Zoom and Slack are just no substitute.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by lostcolony on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:07AM (#33570148)
>> during the pandemic involuntary WFH

There you go. A lot of companies that were forced to WFH -don't actually want it- and so haven't invested in changing their culture to actually be effective at it. Some companies that -have- embraced it...also haven't changed their culture to actually be effective at it. But some want it, and have, and, oddly, I think they're in the majority, since studies keep showing an increase in productivity and employee happiness https://www.apollotechnical.com/working-from-home-productivi... .

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by aledalgrande on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:20AM (#33570207)
I work at a big company that is remote only and productivity is high. Might it be that they actually thought about how to implement it and kept improving the tools and processes needed?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by deltree7 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:28AM (#33570254)
How did you measure productivity?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by aledalgrande on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:33AM (#33570285)
It's a personal view obviously. But teams are shipping way more than some startups I worked at, including things customers really want. We have quarterly meetups and a myriad of events to keep the human connection too. No full-time-open-office-all-in-the-same-room-serendipity I've seen in other companies was actually valuable. It's just that it was the only way people knew to work, until companies were ready to go remote. 10 years ago we didn't have the tools.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by dymk on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:04AM (#33570133)
my remote only company is way more productive than my previous in-person company, so there’s the counter anecdote to your anecdote
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by deltree7 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:28AM (#33570253)
I'll take any IC or low-level employee's productivity claim with a grain of salt.

For a CEO, productivity is at a first order is operating margins. 99% of HNers have no clue how to calculate that (nor have the necessary data).

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by dymk on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:58AM (#33570402)
And what’re your qualifications and citations?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by bitcharmer on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:39AM (#33570970)
> 99% of HNers have no clue how to calculate that

This is just plain wrong. In big organizations it's the front line worker and not the CEO that can confidently gauge productivity changes simply because C level bean counters always try to quantify productivity with flawed metrics likes lines of code when most people know it's nonsensical.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by onethought on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:12AM (#33571152)
I think, being generous to the GP doesn’t matter how “productive” a single person or team works, if the whole thing isn’t working well (usually measured in margin) then it doesn’t matter if the engineers “feel” more productive.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by onethought on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:10AM (#33571144)
I mean being Real, most CEOs seem to not know how to do that either… All the “top companies” are cash fires with VC backing.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by whateveracct on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:37PM (#33576788)
How would a C-level person measure my productivity? Go on GitHub and filter for my PRs and count .. merges/week? commits/week? lines/week? lol
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by kelnos on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:19AM (#33570525)
You can't measure productivity during the pandemic and assume it speaks for work from home in general. There were a lot of things about the pandemic that caused a reduction in productivity that had nothing to do with whether or not workers were in an office.

Also consider that productivity might be best with employees choosing their office schedule. Some might be more productive in the office five days a week, others zero... and the majority will probably be somewhere in between, spending some days at home and some days in the office.

Bottom line, though: the pandemic is not a good time to measure productivity for any reason, and consider it representative of the norm.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ilyt on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:45AM (#33571006)
I worked in companies where remote worked but the whole structure of collaboration was built to support that. Can't imagine company that worked on site transition easily

Currently working for company where we our team gets together once a week and that part works well, but management is mostly stuck in old ways so sometimes it's weird.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by scarface74 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @10:25AM (#33573925)
> In both cases productivity was noticeably worse, most especially for new employees onboarding remotely

Then that means your company doesn’t have a proper onboarding procedure. I was hired at $BigTech in June 2020 and didn’t meet any of my coworkers in person until 9/2021. I had a complete organized onboarding experience including all of the prerequisite indoctrination.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by nprz on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:16AM (#33570183)
I think employers might have a hard time convincing their entire remote workforce to sell their house / break their lease and move to entirely new city.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by pcurve on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:28AM (#33570251)
What happens to people who were hired as fully remote during pandemic?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by jjav on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:34AM (#33570618)
At least at Twitter, sounds like they are in trouble.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by throwaway5959 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:35PM (#33575201)
Yeah, they’re all effectively fired unless they have the flexibility to pack a back and fly to SF or another Twitter office on Monday, at least from what it sounded like on the leaked call (there was mention of special circumstances but that sounds like only for people in emergency situations). Kinda fucked up.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by anothernewdude on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:47AM (#33570345)
It's ridiculous because getting rid of the office entirely is the biggest cost savings going.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by nickstinemates on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:14AM (#33570496)
For our ~200 person company, remote has been more expensive than an office in the financial district, sf, fwiw. Cost of travel for team get togethers/offsites for a distributed team is expensive.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by calineczka on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:47AM (#33570687)
Is it more expensive than keeping an office for entire year, though?
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by nickstinemates on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:08AM (#33570819)
Yes
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by theshrike79 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:09AM (#33571137)
...how fancy are your offsites exactly? :D
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by bitcharmer on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:40AM (#33570978)
This doesn't seem like you're remote at all
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by ilyt on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:46AM (#33571009)
That doesn't sound like being remote
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by scarface74 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @10:31AM (#33573980)
How much more expensive would salaries have to be to convince those same 200 people to work in SFO?

Ironically enough, I was just at a team meeting in the SFO financial district. They would have to pay me at least $100K more for me to even consider moving to San Francisco - and that’s only because my kids are grown and we could give up our nice big house in the burbs in a much lower cost area.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by onlyrealcuzzo on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:20AM (#33570527)
The cost of office space for tech employees rarely exceeds 5% of pay (for high-paid tech workers).

It's not as expensive as you might first expect.

To the people who actually go into the office, it's probably well worth it.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by heurisko on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:57AM (#33571377)
If employers offered the same working environment as a home office, it would be much more expensive.

Open plan is only cheap on the books. It costs a lot in decimating the focus of people working there.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Andrew_nenakhov on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:16AM (#33571485)
Ymmv, but for me work from office is far more productive than from home. It also allows a very effective context switch so you don't feel like working when you are at home.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by jowdones on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:43AM (#33571620)
My commute to and from the office took 3 hours+ per day.

Now I work from home 2 (two) jobs, one full time that used to be the office and one contract. I make 2x what the single office job pays me and only so I'm close to a decent pay while still below US average for developers (I live in EU).

No ducking way I'm going back to half pay plus wasting half a day in traffic for free.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by Andrew_nenakhov on Saturday November 12, 2022 @05:37AM (#33571878)
Well 3hours commute per day is, of course, not too good. I get to office on foot in 90 seconds, so it certainly affects my POV (on the other hand, it used to be longer, but I just moved close to the office).

On you working 2 jobs: I knew people who were working remotely 2 full-time jobs at the same time. I think their employers wouldn't be thrilled if they somehow found out about it

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by oriolid on Saturday November 12, 2022 @05:30AM (#33571835)
I have the suspicion that your situation is not really representative of software developers in general. It's great if it works for you but don't expect others to help you if they're not getting their share of that 2x.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by scarface74 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @10:33AM (#33574000)
It’s easy for me to context switch. I have a separate office. I only go in there to work.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by pyr0hu on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:52PM (#33575328)
Yeah, but not everyone has the luxury to have a fully separate office room/space for themselves
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by scarface74 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:31PM (#33575649)
If you can work remotely from anywhere you can afford a house in the burbs with space for a separate office - somewhere in the US.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by jjav on Saturday November 12, 2022 @01:25AM (#33570562)
> Won't many small and mid-size companies have come up under covid and not have an office lease in the liabilities column?

There are way more small and medium sized companies which are older than 3 years.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by spaceman_2020 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @03:51AM (#33571345)
imo, this isn't a decision that can be made in isolation; it depends entirely on what your competitors are doing. If your competitors are working from an office and out-producing you, you have no choice but to follow suit.

Like in sales, you're much more likely to close the deal if you meet in-person than over a Zoom call. If your competitors are flying out salespeople to meet clients, but you're still stuck on Zoom, you won't catch a bid.

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by kramerger on Saturday November 12, 2022 @04:16AM (#33571480)
Edit: he has another article with si6nce explanation about CEOs need to directly interact with employees when the company is of certain size

https://blog.eladgil.com/p/back-to-office

But reading between the lines, he seems to consider remote workers being the lowest performers and a danger to the company culture and mission.

If fell he is also deliberately missing the point of remote work even when it hits him in the face, for example

> a few companies anecdotally see more employees going back in NYC offices than SF. This probably has more to do with local work culture

Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by m0llusk on Saturday November 12, 2022 @06:28AM (#33572113)
Remote is cheaper and there is a squeeze happening.
Re:Changing times (or, why is every layoff 10-15%?) by seadan83 on Saturday November 12, 2022 @02:13PM (#33576068)
Seemingly lot of other points are similarly made without the supporting evidence. Eg: wage growth driving inflation - what wage growth? Checking this, the pandemic pushed the US out of a period of low wage growth, it's not extreme and is similar to the 60s thru 80s: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wage-growth

Re: printing money and money drops, that seems to entirely ignore that was happening while unemployment was in the double digits.

Re: drivers on inflation, Karie Porter has some really interesting presentations that input costs are not increasing proportionally to profit increases (regardless what you think of her, the data presented stands on its own). That evidence suggests simple price gauging is a significant factor (citation: https://www.marketplace.org/shows/make-me-smart/corporate-pr...)

Those are just some examples of yet more statements given as assertions, which seem somewhat foundational to the remaining conclusions. These flaws really gives me pause for any of the analysis presented.