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georgemcbay

Casinos (real ones, anyway, not talking about illegal secret game rooms) don't really beat people up anymore if that's what you're suggesting.

That said, this also won't be a problem for casinos. They have very advanced anti-cheating systems these days.

The corporate casino security teams will know about this before it becomes widely available and will institute policies to lifetime ban anyone they detect using this tech, which they will fairly easily be able to do because of how much automated surveillance there is in any real casino.

In any case, there are way more subtle signaling mechanisms people can use to collaborate that don't involve someone suspiciously silent talking right in front of a dealer.

> There are exceedingly few tech companies with P/S of 6 or less (equivalent to $200-300B valuation with $50B revenue)

But a big part of the reason this has been true is that (mostly-software-based) tech companies haven't historically been spending significant billions of dollars every year in capex.

Re:Mathematics has changed. Let's act like it on Sunday November 01, 2026 @04:58PM (#50330359)
> I never had a chance against Terence Tao. Neither did you.

I'm not a mathematician at all, so yeah I certainly didn't have a chance.

> It was not some great awesome fair thing that math was dominated by some outrageous outliers on the iq spectrum. It's not some great awesome fair thing now either.

I don't see these as equivalent circumstances. For most people if they get beat by someone smarter or someone stronger, it may be disappointing but they can still respect and admire that they were beat by talent/determination/etc.

Getting beat due to access to money just feels slimy, because at some level we all realize money is not distributed on a meritocratic curve at all, at least not if you are measuring values any well-adjusted person would consider positive.

Re:Mathematics has changed. Let's act like it on Sunday November 01, 2026 @03:28PM (#50329454)
> As long as the raw proofs, potentially ai generated, are available a lot of less funded mathematicians can still use them to generate understanding and created new programs to be resolved with new ai aided mathematical experiments.

My assumption (based on perceived human nature) is that the raw proofs will not be made available.

If all of the important credit goes to the person who attached understanding to them, I'd assume those with the money to take the first step will keep the AI proofs secret until they believe they have adequately done the follow-up that will give them the lion's share of any credit.

Re:It wasn't AI that flipped Proton's charge on Sunday November 01, 2026 @03:21PM (#50329385)
> Wow my first exposure to Andy Yen shouldn’t have been this one. I’m seeing a loser here and it’s not the engineer…

Yeah, I have no horse in the race as a non-user of Proton, but even if you completely removed AI from the situation entirely, if I worked for a CEO that ever used the term "loser thinking" non-sarcastically that would be enough to get me looking for another job.

And if I were a customer, get me looking for another provider.

Re:Mathematics has changed. Let's act like it on Sunday November 01, 2026 @02:58PM (#50329138)
Sure, but given the approximate tens of millions of dollars in API costs of solving these major math problems currently, we will also have to acknowledge that getting credit for major mathematical contributions is likely now to be far less about meritocracy and far more about access to capital to kickstart the original proof.

Less capable (but good enough) mathematicians with more capital will have a huge advantage over great mathematicians who are broke.

I'm not a mathematician, but that situation rubs everyone (except those with the most capital) the wrong way.

> This about the risk of getting sued by parties with deep pockets.

They are also probably intentionally trying to create differentiation between their models and open models to strengthen the regulatory capture case of having the government ban open model use.

Re:Malware uses LLMs to rank victims by how much they're worth on Saturday October 31, 2026 @05:29PM (#50320425)
> Ha, finally me being poor pays off!

Unfortunately LLMs still optimize scams/exploits to the point that they'll probably still get to those of us heading into the permanent underclass, just a little slower.

> Surely there are no secrets

Not yet, especially not with all of the incestuous cross-hiring that all the labs do.

But perhaps the various L. Bob Rife variants running these labs are using their advanced unreleased models to work on their own Snow Crashes.

Re:I'm a Proton employee and I'm breaking my silence on Saturday October 31, 2026 @04:45PM (#50320017)
> I cannot relate to being emotionally invested in my employer to the extent that “feeling the need to break my silence” crosses my mind.

It seems likely to me that this is also true for the Proton employees. (Though FWIW, I've had a few employers that I would absolutely proactively defend, but they are not surprisingly the same set of employers I don't think would ever need such a defense, and none of them were large companies).

I haven't been paying attention to any of this drama because I don't use Proton mail and thus don't care, but one of the screenshots on the linked reddit post that they seem to believe is exonerating the company has what appears to be the CEO of the company (I assume "Andy" is Andy Yen based on the name and profile picture) telling an employee to get on reddit with their personal account and "set the record straight".

After seeing that, I don't know how anyone is supposed to assume that anything any Proton employee says in public is anything other than PR spin originating directly from the CEO, so I don't know what kind of value any of us is supposed to get from reading any such testimony.

> Reading tea leaves, the market believes that whomever is first to AGI will reap all the benefits, leaving nothing to the runners-up.

If "the market" believes this, I'd love for "the market" to explain to me how they think this works in practice.

Like if Anthropic hits AGI on Monday, what stops Google or OpenAI from hitting AGI on Tuesday?

There is no substantial difference in capabilities between any of these models, they are all doing the tiniest little leapfrogs over each other from release to release.

Even if the market thinks this leads to AGI, there is no reason to believe any secret magic exists that makes one of them reach AGI without the rest hitting AGI nearly immediately after.

Re:Linode Security Incident on Friday October 30, 2026 @07:01PM (#50311236)
daily sticky post...

Ask HN: Who didn't get hacked today.

Re:Product Managers aren't safe either on Friday October 30, 2026 @05:31PM (#50310414)
> Hopefully all these unpredictable side effects include bringing down the cost of living.

Hopefully, but I think it is going to be difficult for that to happen in a positive way because AI is likely to suppress wages for most (for the reasons you mentioned) but our entire current economic system is engineered to never be deflationary.

So it is hard to imagine a situation in which AI causes us to all earn less but still be equally or better off without some pretty fundamental changes to our economic system that will be hard to get consensus on in our current political environment.

Re:Product Managers aren't safe either on Friday October 30, 2026 @05:00PM (#50310076)
IMO anyone who feels safe from what is going to happen (already happening, really) in the labor market over the next decade is ignorant or is heavily in denial.

I'm not saying we're surely all doomed here, but there are going to be a lot of changes that none of us can imagine every aspect of, and they are going to happen at a surprising speed, and there are a vast number of cascading impacts that people aren't thinking much about.

eg. if you're in the trades, yes you're safer than a knowledge worker for now, but if all the knowledge workers get wiped out you're both going to have vastly decreased demand for your work (far less individuals will have the disposable income to hire you, companies will have less need for facilities to house employees, so you'll also see a retrenchment on the corporate side) and you'll start getting a labor supply glut as the knowledge workers all desperately attempt to retrain for the 'safe' jobs. And this is just the short term problem, without getting into the robotics threat.

If we don't get ahead of this problem politically (spoiler alert: we won't, at least in the US, it is unclear if we even have a functioning democracy), things are going to get very messy for virtually everyone who relies on labor income.

Re: on Friday October 30, 2026 @04:03PM (#50309407)
> The need for reverse splits seems like a purely technical limitation? If we allowed stock prices to trade in fractions of a cent, then there'd be no real need for a price floor would there?

It is a perception management issue, not a technical limitation.

Nasdaq doesn't want to be seen as a place where people trade literal penny stocks.

Technically the major exchanges already support stock prices in a fraction of a cent (though they only unlock this for stock prices that are below $1 due to SEC Rule 612).

> And who will be the Amazon and grow 2500x over the next 30 years?

Almost certainly nobody if you're tracking post-IPO growth.

And not because there won't be survivors/winners when the next crash comes (there probably will be) but because of the market changes (in the wake of legislation like the JOBS act) that result in these companies having their significant growth periods prior to IPO instead of after it.

IPOs used to be a launch pad to growth, now they are just a way for private investors to finally cash out when the company is already close to peak valuation.

Re:US tech stocks see sharp falls over AI cost fears on Friday October 30, 2026 @01:08PM (#50306899)
> Google's AI search is abysmal and is almost always, at least, 30% wrong

Different experience for me, IMO AI mode saved Google search. The classic search became pretty much worthless due to decades of SEO winning over good results. But AI mode made Google search far more useful for me and gives me what I'm looking for 99.9% of the time.

I do understand some people (website operators who used to rely on SEO or google stockholders after the recent earnings report) being upset about AI mode, but as a search user I find it much more effective than where search was just prior to AI mode.

> This is more likely to be climate change related. It’s climate denial to try blaming it on El Niño.

It is entirely related to both and I'm pretty sure Gizmodo isn't trying to project blame away from climate change here.

Climate change is making unusually adverse weather events more common in general. El Niño is a cyclical event that results in an increase in adverse weather events from whatever the current baseline is.

As climate change worsens things on average, it'll worsen things even more when combined with amplification events like El Niño.

Re:Binance-hacker-1029 – $5.6B stolen from Binance on Thursday October 29, 2026 @07:52PM (#50297925)
> At least someone is going to have nice xmas!

Their kid is definitely getting at least 30 dolls and 250 pencils.

Re:Scattered thoughts on how doing math feels these days on Thursday October 29, 2026 @07:33PM (#50297762)
> Reading comments like this is so depressing because it was extremely obvious that better results were a matter of time/hardware. It evokes the seem feeling as that trump quote about "who knew healthcare could be so complicated".

I honestly don't see how this has anything to do with my reply to the original comment.

Even if you were absolutely sure LLMs were going to get as good as they are today 2 years ago, that didn't make them any more of a practical solution to the issues you were trying to solve 2 years ago.

It is likely that the SpaceX Starship will eventually be a reliable rocket platform. That doesn't mean that given the chance I would hop on the next flight.

Re:Scattered thoughts on how doing math feels these days on Thursday October 29, 2026 @05:05PM (#50295967)
IMO they weren't exactly wrong... 2 years ago.

2 years ago LLMs were a great tech demo but were mostly awful for actual practical purposes and hallucinated almost as much as they got right.

They'd be wrong today, but that's a different thing.

Re:Patrick Stewart has died on Thursday October 29, 2026 @04:41PM (#50295589)
> i love how this is top news here because of what, star trek?

Yes, mostly.

Star Trek (particularly, but not only, TNG) was seminal sci-fi entertainment in the childhood, teen or young adult eras for many now-40+ nerds who went on to work in tech.

Patrick Stewart has done a lot of other great work as well, and should be remembered for that, but his role as Picard in Star Trek: TNG makes him highly relevant to this site.

Re:Patrick Stewart has died on Thursday October 29, 2026 @04:15PM (#50295175)
> Progressive neurological diseases suck.

Absolutely.

> I would like to understand though since Stewart was filming up until this year? What was the time frame like, was it a more sudden onset or was he able to manage somewhat while continuing to film and work?

AFAIK, his last role as a film actor was in Doomsday, which comes out in December 2026 but filmed late last year. The timeline does seem incredibly quick for a natural death from Alzheimer's disease and Lewy body dementia if he wasn't somehow secretly and very effectively hiding it for the past near-decade.

I suspect (but obviously don't know) that he may have checked out on his own terms rather than literally dying due to the disease progression. I understand why people don't like to talk about it, especially given legal issues faced by anyone who may have assisted in many jurisdictions.

In California it can be legal to assist but technically only if a doctor decides you will live less than 6 months, which IMO is an awfully narrow requirement. I wish people could be more open about it (and that the laws weren't so fucking stupid).

In any case, shocking and sad news. I never would have guessed we'd lose Patrick Stewart before William Shatner or Ian McKellen. 86 isn't exactly young or anything, but he seemed to be still incredibly vibrant in very recent productions.

Re:Valve Responds to Developers Fearing AI Slop and Clones on Wednesday October 28, 2026 @11:27AM (#50275283)
> not sure if its just me getting older

I think it is mostly temporal filtering (due to rosy retrospection and survivorship bias combined with Sturgeon’s Law) that we all naturally fall into.

Most games 5+ years ago were also bad, but you remember the small set that were good and completely forget all the bad, and this builds an impression that games in the past were so much better. The same applies to movies, music, books, etc.

Of course, in the age of AI, a lot more (in absolute terms) shovelware content is likely to be made than ever before, so it'll probably hyper-accelerate the impact of this phenomenon.

> They can pay them less, treat them worse, then if there are any issues, deport them. It's very gross.

Yeah, it boils down to the same reasons why many corporations want an incredibly broken H-1B system at the higher end: it provides an exploitable pool of workers.

And currently in both cases you can find a lot of consternation from the people who benefitted from how things worked prior to Trump because the administration is making significant changes to the status quo. The business owners loved the rhetoric about fixing immigration, but assumed the broken systems that gave them the benefits of exploiting those worker pools would largely be maintained as they had been.

And to be explicitly clear with my opinion, neither side of this conflict (businesses that want to maintain the broken-but-works-for-us system, or the Trump administration) are the good guys here. The businesses want to keep exploiting migrant workers unimpeded and the administration wants to be maximally racist more than it wants to help businesses keep exploiting.

> Fox News is still I believe the biggest cable channel in the country.

Not only is this true, but most of the legacy media landscape also shifted hard to the right (in large part due to massive corporate consolidation) over the past decade, so Fox isn't even especially unique anymore in terms of being extremely right-partisan.

Re:Nvidia and Micron Make Up 34% of America's Earnings Boom on Tuesday October 27, 2026 @07:52PM (#50267555)
> More like a temporary market fluctuation or maybe bubble.

A bubble that is obscuring that most of the economy is pretty weak.

It increasingly looks like everything is getting K-shaped. Not just the income of labor, but the earnings of corporations.

I'm not the person you replied to, but I assume it was more of an overly broad generalization than an intentional attempt at "myth-building".

A lot (but yes, not all) of that research is publicly funded and then locked away behind corporate paywalls.

Re:Genie 4 on Tuesday October 27, 2026 @04:13PM (#50265132)
Nothing in the original trilogy specified or suggested that humans as a group willingly joined the Matrix to begin with.

One individual human (Cypher) did choose to be plugged back in, though it didn't work out for him.

As soon as you make vague and unsubstantiated claims that people physically gathering to protest against you (or your company) are paid protestors you immediately lose whatever credibility you had in the first place (though you likely had very little already if this is where you are) in the eyes of anyone with a functional brain.

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