> Announcement 2022-11-10: trading may be halted on FTX US in a few days. Please close down any positions you want to close down. Withdrawals are and will remain open. We will give updates as we have them.
> This was about FTX International. FTX US, the US based exchange that accepts Americans, was not financially impacted by this shitshow.
Was he in denial? Lying? Clueless? I have no idea at this point.
He seemed earnest and genuine, but everything he’s saying is the exact opposite of reality.
Maybe he was having an anxiety attack. I had one once, and it completely sucks. It ruins your ability to form logical thoughts.
(It’s rare to see someone so powerful be so confidently mistaken. The confidence is the part I’m struggling to figure out. There doesn’t seem to be much benefit for him to knowingly lie about FTX US not being impacted, so it seemed like something else was going on.)
It seems like there was negative benefit: not only did it accomplish nothing in practice, but it couldn’t have helped even theoretically.
So when someone does something like that, I can’t help but speculate.
I struggle to see how this could be true after 4 years of President Trump and Elon Musk's various undelivered promises. It's not rare, it seems to be extremely commonplace.
It is very common
I don't think Joe Biden has ever said that.
https://www.nationalreview.com/news/fbi-officials-told-agent...
Con man is short for “confidence” man for a reason. What they’re good at is gaining the unmerited confidence of others. You got played by his charisma. Remember this for next time.
Here's another...SBF has stepped down, and his replacement is John J. Ray III, a famous bankruptcy lawyer who helped clean up Enron...yes, that Enron.
I suppose the writers could mine[0] this for inspiration.
[0] Pun intended.
The weirdest part is that all 23 tweets were posted simultaneously at 8:13am. So he had the opportunity to say nothing; he could’ve clicked “save draft” instead of “tweet all”.
"Here is a bunch of information about the ongoing potentially criminal collapse of my company - oh by the way I'm a bad dev so some of what I said above might be wrong, don't act on this information."
> FTX Trading Ltd. (d.b.a. FTX.com), announced today that it, West Realm Shires Services Inc. (d.b.a. FTX US), Alameda Research Ltd. and approximately 130 additional affiliated companies (together, the "FTX Group"'), have commenced voluntary proceedings under Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code in the District of Delaware in order to begin an orderly process to review and monetize assets for the benefit of all global stakeholders.
Excluded are:
> The following subsidiaries are not included in the Chapter 11 proceedings: LedgerX LIC, FTX Digital Markets Ltd., FTX Australia Pty Ltd. and FTX Express Pay Ltd.
Seeing how stupid/greedy SBF was, it makes me wonder if people like him are smart enough to truly understand the need for such structure without having experts in place.
This is how you blow the ballon...
In the Sequoia article, SBF gained his initial funding for FTX from executing trades from the US to Japan, where BTC was overpriced because no one bothered to arbitrage it because of the setup difficulty. The way he did this was by contacting a friend to open a bank account in Japan and manage the funding over there while he managed the account US side.
I am sure some of it is normal corporate shell game but I'd imagine at least 50% of this setup was for regulatory purposes. Even small fintechs will have "shell game like" company structure to please regulatory forces that require having certain things be independent from the consumer platform even if the two companies are working towards the same goal.
So SBF having been in finance before (Jane Street), he knew where the footsteps were and how to do it vs a fly-by night crypto investor with no finance background.
When that “arbitrage” turned out to be really lucrative one of the founders of Skype (Talinn something) gave SBF a $50 million loan. SBF and that Talinn guy knew each other also from that Effective Altruism sect-like thing.
All this info was part of a Sequoia congratulatory piece on SBF, they of course had also given him money. The article has since been taken down, it’s still reachable through Web Archive.
I've skimmed through it, and by god, I was surprised Sequoia wasn't crediting the sun rising each morning to SBF.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-25/sam-bankm...
)
> Matt: (27:13) > I think of myself as like a fairly cynical person. And that was so much more cynical than how I would've described farming. You're just like, well, I'm in the Ponzi business and it's pretty good.
I seriously cannot understand how after this interview Sam still had any kind of support from VCs and so on.
I hope the late 2010s-early 2020s will be remembered as the dot-com era of extremely dumb money...
Because they thought they could make money by finding a bigger fool, or by finding someone who thought they could find an even bigger fool.
$10B "somehow" "gone" is QED that someone did find their marks.
More interesting is how none of these guys are seeing the inside of a jail and doing the jailhouse orgies. I wonder if 'defenestration' will become a meme in crypto world too.
yes you do - because they're at best amoral and know their position and connections means they can make money out of shit like this by ensuring there's a series of bigger fools waiting to buy them out.
:)
I'm just reacting to the idea that you'd need to see the SBF corporations laid out on a diagram to reach the conclusion. When Carrell's character says "they aren't confessing, they're bragging", he's talking about an allusion. The Ponzi schemes here are not allusive. SBF literally bragged about them.
"SBF/Matt Levine said it" does not automatically make it true.
Instead of debating semantics, enlighten us with how/why they are using it incorrectly and what you mean by this being a pump and dump and not a Ponzi. To me it definitely looks like a Ponzi: money from new entrants in the system go to pay off earlier entrants, a pump and dump from what I know would require SBF/FTX pumping up FTT to then dump it all leaving bag holders in the wake of the crash.
Ponzi scheme: Taking later entrants' investments to pay earlier investors on the false pretense that the venture's activity generated the returns.
pump-and-dump: Duping others into thinking an asset has value so that it can be resold above its legit worth.
The original description given clearly fits pump-and-dump better[1], since it's based on making an asset seem valuable:
>>laid the Ponzi scheme straight out: scammers make boxes that pay fake coins when you store your money in them, they put so much money into the boxes that the fake coins seem valuable, then they rug pull everyone and move on to the next one.
For tptacek's part, he could have defended his claim by presenting a substantive understanding of the distinction and justified the label in his own words. Or, somehow indicated this was a point of contention at all. Or done anything whatsoever beyond arguing, in effect, "the perp used the label, therefore it must be accurate". That does not advance the discussion, or indicate a prompt for the kind of contribution in the first half of this comment.
It fits perfectly
(Does the IKEA org chart have the little figures from the assembly instructions, and an Allen key?)
Word on the street is that ikea is technically a charity.
It’s a situation with many interesting parallels in the crypto industry. Not only does history rhyme, but sometimes it really does repeat.
Anyone working in the CPG space would be 50+.
Binance does the same but even more extreme — they don’t even tell where their HQ is actually located.
Money launderers and tax evaders have long used these tricks. Those people don’t normally get VC capital at $34 billion valuations though. The crypto implosion ought to be a massive lesson to the industry.
What are the liabilities and who are they to?
If you don't send any of those coins out, there are no profits for the exchange operator, either. Look at how Coinbase does everything more-or-less by the book, and barely makes money. Trading fees just don't cut it.
Yet, some fly-by-night exchange incorporated in the Bahamas is offering wild signup bonuses and lower fees and yield that would make Scrooge McDuck blush.
it looks like the usual nonsense of "here's some bank account balances", with no explanation of what liabilities they hold, or how much related party loan crime they have on their books.
Binance’s US subsidiary is just as safe as FTX.US was, despite their claims otherwise. It will fall along with the other dominos.
>> This was about FTX International. FTX US, the US based exchange that accepts Americans, was not financially impacted by this shitshow. >https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1590709195892195329
So, SBF seems likely to have flat-out lied, right up to the last moment. At this point, why would you choose to trust any crypto company that wasn't perfectly transparent in how it holds assets, backs coins, what it's borrowing on, etc?
Do we blame individuals or the technology that enabled them? I don't know. I do think we need to get back to building useful tools that people need.
Don't do this on HN please.
People get all antsy in their pantsy and can't read nuance.
If the guy is dipping into supposedly segregated client accounts to run his prop trading, and lying about it.. why would he not do the same with FTX US money.