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Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by suture on Monday June 06, 2022 @07:47AM (#31639259)
In the U.S. (don’t know about other countries) the issue got tied to politics and religion. Some peoples’ identities and beliefs are zealously tied to denialism. A refutation of their beliefs in this area is an attack on them personally. So any objective evidence to the contrary is discounted. Often times using conspiratorial thinking. Such is the way for all extremists.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by voisin on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:11AM (#31639461)
A recent HN comment that I think applies:

> This sounds like a typical US thing. Suffering from a solvable problem, while creating the maximum public drama and having the society incapable of reform

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:07AM (#31639953)
If you read their comment, you'll see this doesn't apply for two reasons:

1) This is a global problem that is not specific to the US (even if the US is a huge contributor). No other country has solved the issue.

2) The comment is implying that this isn't a solvable problem (or at least a solution has never been proposed) since all the green tech/policy isn't having an impact.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by xorcist on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:01AM (#31640589)
The reason China, Australia and India gets away with what they are doing without sanctions is because they are pointing at the US and saying "they get away without doing anything so why shouldn't we?". That creates a form of international stalemate because no one can form the necessary coalition required for the agreements to have any sort of economical and political teeth.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by 411111111111111 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:55AM (#31641278)
I think that's just wishful thinking, honestly. There wouldn't be a significant change even if the US got it's act together. They'd just use different excuses
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by xorcist on Monday June 06, 2022 @02:52PM (#31644229)
Obviously, but having US onboard opens up possibilities to create incentives that credible international accords are built on.

Or the other way around, without the US, China and Australia, even if the rest of the world does everything right, global carbon dioxide levels will not only keep increasing, but do so in an accelerating manner.

And before you ask why not China could create credible incentives for the US, the answer is that they do not have the institutions for it, which the US has. At least in theory.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lancesells on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:33AM (#31641779)
The possible solution is for the world to place limits on making, buying, and selling things. Use less, buy less, travel less, mend your own clothes, grow some of your own food (if possible), be able to repair and use your device for 20 years, turn off your devices at night, use mass transit, don't use the AC, buy furniture that lasts for decades, etc.

That won't happen because of an economic collapse and no politician would ever get elected with this thinking (at least in the US). Plus, you've now taken away many freedoms that are inherit in democratic societies.

To me green technologies are better than nothing but there's really a consumption problem. And I'm completely guilty of it as well.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by supertrope on Monday June 06, 2022 @01:55PM (#31643549)
You're right. The average voter considers carbon tax, very high VAT, and scaling back of mass consumer good production indistinguishable from poverty. Airline flights in the US used to cost a month's salary before deregulation.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by cnlevy on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:14AM (#31640762)
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by abirch on Monday June 06, 2022 @07:52AM (#31639306)
One absurdity of this is that Fox News is carbon neutral.

https://digital.hbs.edu/platform-rctom/submission/the-parent...

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by platz on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:37AM (#31640265)
Is it true that in 40 years at the current rate, we'll be at 600 PPM?

What happens to humans at that level?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:23AM (#31640883)
Massive wars, displacement on a scale never seen before, famine. In short: go watch some movie about the apocalypse, then multiply by 10 or so unless they include the earth becoming entire uninhabitable because that likely will not happen. But for the vast majority of our species, and many others besides it will be permanent curtains. And I'm not sure if you could call the survivors lucky.

It's not that the CO2 level itself would be fatal to humans, it is the cascade from large scale agricultural collapse that would do us in.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by arethuza on Monday June 06, 2022 @12:39PM (#31642678)
Also sustained wet bulb temperatures > 35C rendering some areas pretty much uninhabitable for anyone not in an AC building or vehicle. Would anyone want to live somewhere where if your AC or power dies then you die when you can try and migrate somewhere more hospitable?

Edit: And I am acutely aware that I live somewhere that is likely to suffer the least directly consequences from climate change.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @02:31PM (#31643985)
I was in Portugal a while ago in summer and it was hitting 45 Celsius, absolutely unbearable. We sprinted from the car to the nearest AC'd building. No way you can deal with that kind of temperature unassisted for any length of time.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by thecatwentup on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:32AM (#31641000)
There are a lot of alarmist comments here - but the direct effect on humans is minimal up to 10,000ppm[1]. The effect on the environment on the otherhand isn't easy to predict.

[1] https://www.fsis.usda.gov/sites/default/files/media_file/202...

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by shawabawa3 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:41AM (#31641896)
Those statistics are for acute exposure. There are noticeable effects to cognition even under 1000ppm
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:19AM (#31640833)
600PPM outdoors implies mild cognitive impairment.

I’m not expecting 40 years at the current rate. Given the way PV deployments have been growing and how long they last, I expect electricity to be mostly green in the first few years of the 2030s, and most other sectors soon after.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by TomSwirly on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:31AM (#31640989)
Here's a graph of energy consumption by source: https://ourworldindata.org/global-energy-200-years

Renewable sources are growing exponentially but carbon emitting sources continue to grow exponentially as well, simply somewhat slower.

It seems wildly, unreasonably optimistic to look at that graph and imagine most of that majority at the bottom suddenly vanishing within ten years.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:18AM (#31641608)
To me, that looks like a sigmoid that has passed its peak. But, assuming it’s an exponential, it doubled between 1975 and 2015 (i.e. 40 years).

Here’s some graphs for PV: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Growth_of_photovoltaics

PV is doubling every 3 to 3.5 years.

3 doublings of PV at that rate gets us to about 9-10 TW peak. I don’t know the actual average global capacity factor, but I do know the current global electricity usage is only about 3 TW: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electrici...

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:25AM (#31640913)
It's not the direct effect on us that causes problems, it is the runaway greenhouse effect that would wreck high efficiency agriculture. Think mid double digits drops in yield. If you are focusing on the direct effect on humans you are looking at the wrong thing, that is manageable, the other one probably is not.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by swader999 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:35AM (#31641040)
Doesn't yield increase with more CO2? It certainly did in my greenhouse when I put my large rabbit inside.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by zaarn on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:49AM (#31641194)
Yield yes, but not nutritional contents. Most vital nutrients require more than just CO2 to have more production in a plant (notably, Nitrogen is needed).
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:01AM (#31641366)
Nitrogen is 70% of the atmosphere, I don’t see any way for it to run short until the death of the sun (or the use of von Neumann probes) boils off Earth’s atmosphere.

If you’re going to worry about fertilisers, worry about phosphate and potassium… but even then, the problem and solution is unrelated to greenhouse gases.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by zaarn on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:05AM (#31641422)
Nitrogen is 70% of the atmosphere but unlike CO2 it's concentration isn't going up in an appreciable way. So if a plant is constraint in nutrients by Nitrogen, it can't make more of those if CO2 goes up. If CO2 goes up it can only make things that require more Carbon and Oxygen, both of which only form very basic structures the plants can use to build. Not nutrients.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:25AM (#31641677)
That assumes the plants get it directly from the air. Legumes do (hence the invention of crop rotation), but most plants get it from fertilisers, the manufacturers of which get it from the air and can scale up independently of the farms. The manufacturing process currently uses methane… but only because that’s historically been the cheapest source of hydrogen.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by zaarn on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:29AM (#31641737)
That still leaves getting it on the field. Overfertilization is a problem and as mentioned, the plant will require that Nitrogen in proportion to the amount of CO2 to even begin to compensate the lack of Nitrogen. With CO2 being 50% higher that means you'd already have to fertilize 50% more to get the same Nitrogen to CO2 ratio as preindustrial levels. And that number isn't going to get better anytime soon. I don't think that adding 50% fertilizer on top of the current fertilization is a solution, overfertilization already causes way to many problems. I've had to stay of the tap water more than once as a child because a farmer didn't follow the fertilization limits.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @03:04PM (#31644449)
> That still leaves getting it on the field.

This is a solved problem since the invention of the bucket and pointy stick, when “fertiliser” meant “manure”.

> With CO2 being 50% higher that means you'd already have to fertilize 50% more to get the same Nitrogen to CO2 ratio as preindustrial levels.

Why do you want to match the air rather than the plant’s actual growth? Plants are limited by a lot of different factors, so while CO2 helps a bit, doubling it doesn’t double the nitrogen use all by itself.

> a farmer didn't follow the fertilization limits

While this is a real issue, there are many solutions, and worrying about CO2 altering crop yields isn’t one of them.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by zaarn on Monday June 06, 2022 @03:59PM (#31645364)
Overfertilization is a major issue, there is only so much fertilizer you can put on the field without making next years harvest impossible due to oversalting or damaging root systems. And you can bet farmers are already maxing that out as much as they can on an industrial scale.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @05:33PM (#31646581)
> Overfertilization is a major issue

An unrelated issue. That’s important. I have no reason to expect it to get worse. What runs off the fields is necessarily not used by crops.

> And you can bet farmers are already maxing that out as much as they can on an industrial scale.

I doubt that.

All industries, agriculture included, are incentivised to maximise profits. Optimising profit sure isn’t environmentally friendly, but it also doesn’t mean treating fertiliser as a magic potion.

A productivity optimised farm looks like this: https://farmingaquaponics.com/aeroponics-vs-hydroponics/

That’s pointlessly expensive right now for most crops, so those are fairly limited. Likewise, the economically optimal quantity of fertiliser used by farms is different from the optimal quantity for the health of people living down-river — but that’s just as true regardless of if CO2 is higher or lower than we consider desirable for the general global climate.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @03:24PM (#31644813)
Not directly, no. But crop yields vary wildly with temperature and temperature is changing on account of CO2.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @05:35PM (#31646607)
Absolutely. Thanks for your other comment, I shared a belief with @swader999 that the world was greening, it’s useful that you suggested an alternative hypothesis.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31643970

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @12:32PM (#31642577)
Yes, but not faster than the total mass of crops drops due to the increase in heat. Crop yield per plant in a controlled environment where only CO2 is increased != total crop yield given all of the circumstances involved in climate change.

CO2 as a heat trap is the problem, not so much CO2 in the atmosphere as an input to plant and animal life.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by swader999 on Monday June 06, 2022 @12:43PM (#31642727)
Why is the planet becoming more green over the past three decades (per NASA observations) if there's a net loss?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @02:29PM (#31643970)
You are well into 'just asking questions'[1] territory, something that really ticks me off because all of these are a google search away, but just for the record:

Replanting and more (and more intense) agriculture is what is making our planet greener. For the moment. But there are pretty clear upper limits to what the planet can deal with temperature wise, at some point it will get so hot that plants will not be able to retain their moisture. Already there are territories that were arable in the recent past that today are not or are subject to extreme droughts almost every summer.

For Europe the estimates are that Portugal (and Spain) are going to be the first to be hit really hard, and in a way that is already underway:

https://portuguese-american-journal.com/wildfires-severe-cli...

[1] https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Just_asking_questions

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by xavieralexandre on Tuesday June 07, 2022 @02:33AM (#31650566)
Also the planet could well become greener with global warming but the issue is the rate of change. Even if the new growing conditions were great for some crops, evolving our entire agriculture and food regimen to them in a few decades is a huge ordeal.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ben_w on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:49AM (#31641198)
By the time you get to CO2 levels that are toxic to plants, animal life (including humans) is all long-dead.

Normally when I have to remind people that humans are not plants it’s right after they state (accurately) that plants do better with somewhat more CO2 than is in the natural atmosphere.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by vixen99 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:05AM (#31641420)
> 600PPM outdoors implies mild cognitive impairment

Reference?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @03:32PM (#31644953)
That's in the atmosphere around you, effect on organism, not the effect on the climate due to the greenhouse effect.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by alar44 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:16AM (#31641569)
Just Google it, I've seen this number many times.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by FooBarBizBazz on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:42AM (#31641118)
> 600PPM outdoors implies mild cognitive impairment.

How long before we start putting adsorption scrubbers on our HVAC systems' intakes?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by LBJsPNS on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:47AM (#31640397)
We're fucked.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @04:41PM (#31645953)
Crudely put but no less true for that.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by refurb on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:50AM (#31640444)
As a non-American who lived in the US, I've noticed that Americans tend to do a lot of navel gazing about the state of America - without knowing much about how other countries deal with it. A lot of blame is on the media which tend to exaggerate and sensationalize news and the US outlets are experts at it.

If you spend time outside the US, you'd realize the problems the US deal with are pretty similar to the problems other countries deal with.

But Americans with little knowledge of the world outside the US catastrophize what's going on the in the US - "the Republic is falling!", "it's never been this bad!", "Americans are so ignorant!" and "nobody has ever had this problem, ever!".

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by suture on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:00AM (#31640580)
I’ve lived in Germany for a while and grew up in Central America (though in an American colony). From my perspective the U.S is in a state of imperial decline. The republic is indeed failing. In fact, I think it’s dead but most people just don’t realize this. I can list a number of reasons for this belief and I could be completely wrong.

However, reasons for my beliefs are not due to a lack of knowledge of the world outside the U.S. Empires die eventually and change happens. The major power and structural problems in the U.S. are not sustainable and will eventually have to change. Whether that change comes peacefully or violently I can’t say.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by wing-_-nuts on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:28AM (#31640953)
The empire might be failing, but it is possible for the US to peacefully step back, like the UK did after WWII.

One thing I wonder is, who steps up? China, for sure, though it's grappling with population decline as an existential crisis. The EU? The EU has never 'stepped up' for anything. The US sat patiently by and tried to let Europe deal with Milosevich. That utterly failed. The EU was also almost ripped apart by the greek debt crisis, so it too is having real issues.

A post US hegimon world is going to be a very different world, and not necessarily a better one.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by guerrilla on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:41AM (#31641105)
> The US sat patiently by and tried to let Europe deal with Milosevich

What do you mean? NATO bombed the shit out of what became Serbia, they withdrew from Kosovo and he was arrested two years later...

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by wing-_-nuts on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:51AM (#31641226)
NATO, lead by the US after we waited ages for the European community to sort things out. Europe really dropped the ball there, and proved themselves almost wholly incapable of dealing with an internal security problem.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by guerrilla on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:53AM (#31641250)
Hmmm, I guess and maybe you remember better than I do but how is that not the same thing as NATO and the UN dropping the ball? Is it not the case that everyone waited a year to do anything?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by wing-_-nuts on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:55AM (#31642095)
The UN will never solve anything because it requires unanimous support from russia and china on the security council. nato is a defensive alliance that only really comes into effect when a member is attacked. I'm not even sure what pretext allowed nato to get involved here, but Europe basically twiddled their thumbs while genocide happened on the european continent. This only really changed when the US got involved to keep things from spiraling out of control like 1914.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by refurb on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:16AM (#31640799)
I assume you get most of your news from mass media and their "BREAKING" headlines? If so, I'm not surprised you hold that view.

Accusations of the US "in decline" were happening back in the 60's and 70's when things were much worse than they are now, like order of magnitude worse.

As I said, navel gazing and lack of perspective tend to dominate news in coverage of the US.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by suture on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:50AM (#31641202)
I don’t watch television news or any television news program or talk show. I don’t listen to radio news or radio talk shows either. I don’t read the news as such. I will read comments that people write on this site and some others but I am not a consumer of news as such.

As I said, I can give reasons for my beliefs and those reasons are not due to ignorance.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by refurb on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:49PM (#31648485)
I will read comments that people write on this site and some others but I am not a consumer of news as such.

The only information source about the US is based on comments on social media?

No wonder your view of the US is so pessimistic.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by wutbrodo on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:34AM (#31641797)
FWIW, I've noticed this with non-Americans too. I did a backpacking trip around the world when I was 25, and the proportion of European women (always women) who felt like it was their duty to lecture or question me about the US's unique evil was absurd.

Unsurprisingly, I was a lot more informed and a _lot_ better at arguing than they were, so it was pretty trivial to completely demolish their points quickly enough that it didn't turn into "an argument", with the attendant social friction of disagreements that drag on.

I no longer spend much time around women in their early 20s, so I'm spared these extremes of ignorance, but I still occasionally come across the same tendency occasionally, albeit with a lot more maturity. The US is still something close to a global hegemon, so it's a target for hyperbolic projection by every simpleton in the world that wants to sound educated on geopolitics. Note that this also includes the best-country-in-the-world jingoists that can't recognize America's exceptional positive qualities without violently dismissing its exceptional negative qualities.

I have an uncle who's convinced that literally every conflict in the Middle East is entirely the US's fault, entirely ignoring a region that's been beset by conflict for millennia, as well as the modern borders drawn in crayon by the British on their way out. The best strategy, on HN and in real life, is to nod & smile & understand that these people have no hope of and no interest in understanding reality.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:03AM (#31639923)
That addresses one side of the comment. The other side of the comment is that the green tech/policies on the other side aren't making an impact.

So what do we do when neither side wants to tank the economy by implementing strict, lifestyle-altering controls?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by Server6 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:51AM (#31640459)
We do nothing and wait for the disaster that will force a tanked economy and life altering changes?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by guerrilla on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:19AM (#31640835)
... and presumably the collapse of this civilization?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by FooBarBizBazz on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:00AM (#31641362)
I for one look forward to the brave spirit of adventure.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by guerrilla on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:02AM (#31641375)
As a gravedigger?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by FooBarBizBazz on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:06AM (#31641437)
I was a little more interested in composting.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by guerrilla on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:11AM (#31641505)
That does make a lot of sense.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by Aerroon on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:58AM (#31640558)
Climate policy is going to be a sledgehammer. If you let your opposition wield it, they will destroy your way of life, because the opposition won't care (or won't realize) about the adverse effects it will cause on you. A vegan making climate policy could pretty easily make eating meat illegal, then respond to any counterarguments with "Do you not care about the climate?!" It's a fight over the sledgehammer. They fight dirty because a lot is at stake.

The above assumes that the proposed policy would actually work too. Some climate policies are clearly not going to have a significant positive effect, but we're doing them anyway (eg banning plastic bags in favor of paper bags@). Other policies could be designed just to keep yourself in power (deny the opposition power).

@ this does have a different reason too - to fight plastic pollution, but climate change is also cited as a reason. Paper bags are heavier and require more resources though, which makes it difficult for them to end up as better than plastic bags when it comes to climate change.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by danans on Monday June 06, 2022 @12:06PM (#31642227)
> If you let your opposition wield it, they will destroy your way of life,

Plenty of things in climate-forward policy actually improve everyone's quality of life, even if the "way of life" changes.

Take EVs for example. As we transition to them, local air quality improves, not just for the EV drivers but also for non EV drivers.

Same for heat pumps replacing fossil burning furnaces - they are so efficient that it still results in a CO2 and emissions reduction if we burn natural gas at a power plant to power them.

And for most people and drives EVs are just a better experience (acceleration, vibration, smoothness), and heat from a heat pump feels better than a gas furnace since it doesn't excessively dry the air, and also has no risk of leaking combustion byproducts into your living space.

But sure, if "way of life" means the "principle" of burning fossil fuels directly for day to day propulsion and space heating, then yes climate policy is a threat to that, but being wedded to a technology for its own sake seems backwards.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by suture on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:06AM (#31640660)
I wasn’t talking about policy. I was referring to the phenomenon of people denying what is obvious and beyond scientific dispute. You are referring to a different group of extremists. And by extremist I mean a person for whom the cause (dogma) is more important than the truth.

Believing nothing should be done about climate change does not make one an extremist. Believing animals should not be eaten does not make one an extremist. Adhering to those beliefs by automatically discounting contravening evidence makes one an extremist.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by native_samples on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:39AM (#31641871)
"I was referring to the phenomenon of people denying what is obvious and beyond scientific dispute."

The problem is that this is the religious position, not the other one. If you go investigate this properly you'll find there's tons of scientific dispute about even very basic things like what the temperature actually was 5 years ago in specific places, let alone more complex topics like what the climate would do in response to an immediate doubling of CO2 levels (so called ECS).

And the impact of global warming itself isn't at all obvious. All the effects so far are so small you can't directly detect them with your own senses, you have to use sensitive monitoring equipment and/or accept a lot of conjecture about chance and probability. In turn that requires you to have absolute confidence in the people doing the measurements and processing the data, but plenty of people don't have that confidence for various legitimate reasons (e.g. the Climategate emails). So it's pretty much by definition not obvious.

"Believing nothing should be done about climate change does not make one an extremist"

Doing nothing is the default position in any debate so arguing for it by definition makes one not an extremist. You can't be a "nothing extremist", that's a contradiction.

Extremism takes the form of positing extreme scenarios like the end of the world, and demanding extreme solutions like massive changes to everyone's ways of life. The people who say "let's not do that" are the ones pushing back on extremism.

This is at the root of a lot of the fighting over climate change: it creates enormous cognitive dissonance in people. Those who decide they want to fight it want to see themselves as rational devotees of science, but find themselves being the guy in the sandwich board yelling "The End Is Nigh" and demanding extreme policies. And just like sandwich board guy they struggle to explain the details of how the world is meant to end. Very few people who have tied their identity to climate extremism can actually handle a debate about the details which is why they instantly retreat into screaming that it's all "settled science" (which is a lie).

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by suture on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:58AM (#31642132)
You did not understand what I wrote. I clearly defined what I meant by “extremist”. The holding of a particular belief is not what makes one an extremist (under my definition).
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by native_samples on Tuesday June 07, 2022 @05:26AM (#31651768)
No, I understood, my reply was meant as a disagreement. You're defining "extremist" as someone who ignores evidence that counters their beliefs, but that isn't what the word means, is it? Or rather I've never seen someone define it that way before. You could use words like "stubborn", "closed minded", "ideological" or whatever to describe such people but "extremist" always means someone whose views or actions depart seriously from the mainstream.

In particular, most people recognize the possibility (at least theoretically) that someone can be both an extremist and also correct. Whereas by your definition that's impossible.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by criddell on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:47AM (#31641176)
> Some climate policies are clearly not going to have a significant positive effect, but we're doing them anyway (eg shutting down nuclear plants).

Are nuclear power plants being shut down for climate policy reasons?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by Aerroon on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:00AM (#31641359)
You're right, they're not. I was thinking at the time of the fear of pollution.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by anonymouse008 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:43AM (#31640333)
The identity goes even deeper than this. You're talking to a country of people that had it so bad wherever they were originally, that they decided to uproot everything they could carry and start a completely new life. Some are first generations of this today, while many are only two to three generations away from that source. Our indigenous people also carry this identity because the ones remaining know the ultimate face of evil and carry on under that load.

These are very, very different psyches of people. The subtleties show up in all elements of the current prevailing culture, and what is truly happening right now is the war between those that remember how bad it was and can be, and those who experienced life with a completely new set of pains outside the horrors of the bottom of hierarchy of needs.

To tie this back to the climate and culture of the US, having gone through two major hurricanes in the gulf region, I can tell you the mindset of everyone is 'so what.' You lose your house, all possessions, and have $500 in your bank account with 4 kids -- but you are not alone, every single person around you, rich or poor is going through some chaos. Every single person is reaching out to help you clear your road, cook food for you, keep the kids together -- (first hand account).

So in these communities, a big scary 'climate change' event is already happening, and they are pulling through just fine. They live in unconscious safety because they have direct evidence that their community has their back - and life continues on happily until someone comes with a shaking finger to say, 'you really need to stop everything you're doing and fight climate change.'

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by cableshaft on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:11AM (#31640734)
While I'm willing to accept that I may lose my home and possessions to a natural disaster or accident (like a fire), I really would rather not if at all possible. Sure I'd survive, but it'd still suck (also survival is not guaranteed either, Hurricane Katrina killed 1833 people back in 2005, for example).

The only real risk around here is tornadoes (and we did have one touch down within 5 miles of us just last year, damaged a couple hundred homes, uprooted some trees, and rendered 20 homes unlivable). From a recent article, some of the people with damaged homes are still dealing with it six months later, and some homes just have tarps where a couple of their walls were, still (it was already hard to hire people even before the tornado struck, also they had issues getting insurance to approve things).

I wouldn't want to willingly move to even more likelihood of problems, like near a beach in the Gulf Coast or Arizona (which is about to have severe water problems soon as Lake Mead upstream is drying up fast).

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by anonymouse008 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:18AM (#31641607)
> Sure I'd survive, but it'd still suck (also survival is not guaranteed either, Hurricane Katrina killed 1833 people back in 2005, for example).

Yep, exactly the point! And look at the adaptive community response to Hurricane Katrina and recent flooding events: the Cajun Navy.

All I'm saying is telling this type of voter to ignore their lives and change their lifestyle, when they adapt in pretty incredible ways - is going to be a hard sell.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by TomSwirly on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:41AM (#31641102)
So let me get this straight.

The climate emergency will devastate crops all over the world, render parts of it simply unlivable, but you believe that Americans, with their "very, very different psyches" and the "culture of the US", will simply band together, "rich or poor", and "live in safety"?

If it weren't the case that people with the same false-to-the-fact beliefs were setting policy through America, your beliefs could simply be ignored by the polite, but as it is, it's simply tragic and rather horrifying.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by anonymouse008 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:59AM (#31641330)
Yes, I'm very much pointing to the reasoning why the logical argument to think and do something about climate change is not heard in these areas, and specifically with the US leadership. Every culture has their myths, so I encourage you to learn about the Cajun Navy (just one of the many from the gulf region).

Making a change requires acknowledging and accepting that many of the US populace will not respond well to the incredulity of their direct lives.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by supertrope on Monday June 06, 2022 @02:01PM (#31643636)
The ongoing pandemic demonstrates that we have neither US Government preparation nor grassroots social organization to be resilient in the face of crisis. At least we have enough military firepower to shoot at a problem. That side of national risk management is well funded.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by enragedcacti on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:20AM (#31640836)
From my perspective this sounds like a great story with very little evidence to back it up. Look to South Texas as a counter example. There is a high percentage of immigrants, a high risk of disastrous impacts from climate change, and massively higher support for government intervention than other parts of the region, some counties even beating out Austin.

Looking at the maps it seems much more likely that the obvious thing is true, this is an issue driven almost entirely by political identity with a side helping of how badly you might actually feel the effects.

I get that a grand narrative of people pulling together feels nice, but if it isn't true its just a waste of time.

https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/visualizations-data/yc...

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by anonymouse008 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:43AM (#31641130)
It sounds like you haven't seen this experience first hand, that's ok. The lack of direct experience doesn't make my first hand accounts of repeated experience a grand narrative that isn't true though.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by enragedcacti on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:23AM (#31641660)
> The lack of direct experience doesn't make my first hand accounts of repeated experience a grand narrative that isn't true though.

Of course not, but anecdotal evidence contradicting empirical evidence without a convincing explanation is usually a pretty good sign.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by anonymouse008 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:29AM (#31641734)
Predictive value: usually a pretty good sign

Willing to wager something meaningful on that? ;D!

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by arethuza on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:54AM (#31640504)
Who pays for the reconstruction costs after these events - isn't there a frequency of events when things simply becomes unsustainable and people migrate (like the Okies and the Dust Bowl)?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by anonymouse008 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:39AM (#31641084)
Many insurance companies have gone under, and those left, have left the region. Natural consequences are taking their toll. So you will see many migrations from this region - but I don't believe any of it will make these people say, "I must stop what I am doing and fight climate change." They will just adapt and endure.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by dundarious on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:38AM (#31641072)
I’m assuming “politics” here is being used in its modern sense, as a synonym for senseless/childish rivalry, instead of “collective and competitive decision-making”. And the type of religious belief you’re discussing is centered around zealotry, presumably deriving from a priori beliefs.

I think these are derivative factors. The primary factor is material, as it almost invariably is. There are massive organizations and affiliated organizations with a material stake in having things be this way, and they have almost zero interest in “societal net benefit” action, or concern for “societal net deficit” harm, so long as “private net benefit” is maintained.

There is no shadowy cabal, but as with other aspects of the system, lack of explicit coordination is why it works so well (think of it as a perverse version of Milton Friedman’s “pencil”).

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by baisq on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:08AM (#31639434)
It's not extremism not to want to change your habits. You could argue that it's wrong, etc. But trying to defend for example your right to have a car and move freely is not "extremism". And it's normal to feel personally attacked when they tell you to give up your car. It's literally a personal attack on your freedom.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by PheonixPharts on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:11AM (#31640001)
> It's literally a personal attack on your freedom.

This is clearly false. It may feel like a personal attack on your freedom but:

1. It's not personal, this is a systemic problem and no one is trying to punish or harm you. The aim is ultimately to prevent harm, not just to you but to your whole community.

2. It's not an attack. The goal is not to cause you harm, again it's to prevent harm.

3. I'm not even sure what "freedom" means in this context. Do you feel that your freedom has been infringed upon when you have to stop at a cross walk for a pedestrian? Does not taking a shit in a public pool infringe upon this "freedom"? Freedom, for social organism, cannot mean complete and unrestricted action. The only people who have this view are actual toddlers, and part of them growing up to be elementary school kids is to learn about their role in society and the limits of their own rights in the face of others.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by rmah on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:49AM (#31642003)
I'll start by saying that I believe that we need societal changes to help mitigate climate change.

BUT, 1) it is personal, 2) it is an attack and 3) it is a limitation on personal freedoms.

If we wish to make actual changes to save the planet rather than just preach, we need to recognize these truths. Telling people that their feelings are wrong just makes them dig in their heels all the more. IMO, a better approach is to recognize these sort of objections and think creatively about how to deal with them or mitigate the impact. Remember, the objective isn't to win arguments, it's to heal the Earth.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by 14 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:24AM (#31640123)
Well since it will be the poor who suffer the most one could argue it is a personal attack. If the law was that each individual gets X amount of carbon credits then you are stuck walking it would actually mean something. Instead it will be you get X amount of carbon credit then you buy more. So the rich will continue to pollute without worry and the poor will suffer. We need a system that everyone follows the same. But that will never happen.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by tbihl on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:18AM (#31641599)
>Well since it will be the poor who suffer the most

The poor always suffer most. What do you use your money for, if not to avoid suffering? Immediate, short term, and long term, that's probably how you spend most of your money, plus spending to avoid your children and family suffering.

Now that we've gotten that out of the way: since the environmental improvements of the mid-20th century, urban environments have been the clear winners for living affordably, to say nothing of the accessibility of public services. Poor people may not be able to live in the most expensive zip code of NYC, LA, SF, etc., but then they were hardly going to be living on 100-acre estates when they're living in rural or suburban settings. Car-dominated infrastructure poses enormous personal costs for every single person and miserable additional costs to ferry around non-driver children.

So, enough of your government-subsidized 'freedom'. I want the freedom to safely cross the street to church without a police officers (and half the other cars) accelerating into me in the crosswalk. I want the freedom to bike to work safely. I want the freedom for my children to bike to parks, schools, and libraries, like I could growing up. I want the federal and state governments to stop dumping money on my town to build roads as wide as runways to facilitate firetrucks doing 3 point turns and police flying through neighborhoods like action-movie jackasses.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by zajio1am on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:46AM (#31641174)
> If the law was that each individual gets X amount of carbon credits then you are stuck walking it would actually mean something. Instead it will be you get X amount of carbon credit then you buy more.

Revenue-neutral carbon tax is pretty much equivalent to giving everyone carbon credits and allowing trading them (just with less overhead). If some rich people pay more tax to pollute more, then more money would be distributed back to everybody.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lkbm on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:32AM (#31640218)
> Well since it will be the poor who suffer the most one could argue it is a personal attack.

Is there only one poor person?

Harming a class of people is not a personal attack.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by macinjosh on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:36AM (#31640255)
> 1. It's not personal, this is a systemic problem and no one is trying to punish or harm you. The aim is ultimately to prevent harm, not just to you but to your whole community.

This is the most tone deaf statement. If green policies make it harder for me to provide for my family, live our life as we see fit, or force me to do things I don't want to it is _very_ personal, like incredibly personal. There is no reason for you or anyone else to have any power over my life as a voter or a king, period.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by suture on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:44AM (#31640347)
I think your understanding of what a society means and entails is badly out of whack with reality. Living in a society entails curbs on “freedoms”. People in every society are subjected to the norms, ideals, and views of that society. These things change over time. Sometimes change is forced by external events and sometimes changes occur from within. Lots of people have power over you and power over your life today, right now. You are apparently comfortable with the ways and means of that control over your life and don’t want it to change but please don’t think that no one should have power over you.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by triceratops on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:02AM (#31640610)
> There is no reason for you or anyone else to have any power over my life as a voter

Unless you have your own private air that never touches anyone else's air, we all have a right to control your actions that change our collective air. If you don't agree, go find your own planet and live there.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by LBJsPNS on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:50AM (#31640429)
"force me to do things I don't want to"

Yes, it's terrible. Were it not for that accursed law thar robs us of our liberty, I would murder you on the spot for such an asinine comment.

Understand now partially what a society is about?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by mola on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:31AM (#31640987)
And what if non green policies now will make it harder to provide for your family tomorrow? Those arguing in good faith for green policies are thinking this. They are not out to get you, and take away your freedom. They fear all of our freedoms will be obliterated by the harsh realities of climate change.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by mempko on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:37AM (#31641054)
The only reason you think cars are a good thing and give you freedom and not say, busses and trains, is because cars are available to you and the infrastructure is available to you. Others who have fantastic public transport feel cars are restricting and expensive way to move around.

You are simply a product of an environment you had no say in creating.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:08AM (#31639961)
> trying to defend for example your right to have a car and move freely is not "extremism".

It is if the justification you provide for having this right is that it is "God-given" or a consequence of "natural law" or something like that. Because what that boils down to is that you are claiming the right to ignore the economic externalities of your actions because you are somehow special, despite being unable to provide any evidence for your specialness beyond your own personal beliefs. That is the defining characteristic of extremism. Extremism does not have to be extreme, it just has to be unassailable.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:09AM (#31639982)
Please link to the definition. The dictionaries I consulted do not support you.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:15AM (#31640026)
https://www.wordnik.com/words/extremism

Definition 3 is:

"any political theory favoring immoderate uncompromising policies"

I think that "I have this right because I say so" qualifies even if the right you claim doesn't seem "extreme" at first glance. (And I qualify it in this way because "the right to drive" doesn't seem extreme at first glance, but could in fact result in the destruction of technological civilization if enough people claim it, so whether or not driving is "extreme" depends on your perspective.)

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:40AM (#31640299)
That definition is different than what you are saying. Having the privilege to drive is a moderate position, not an immoderate one. We also place restrictions on it, so it's not uncompromising either.

'I think that "I have this right because I say so" qualifies even if the right you claim doesn't seem "extreme" at first glance.'

Just because someone claims an improper reason, doesn't mean their conclusion is wrong (you could have false premises and a true conclusion - that makes a bad argument but the conclusion can still correct). Often times the people claiming natural rights (or really any of their rights) just don't know the proper reasoning and instead resort to claiming something gave them that right - nature, God, government, etc.

It would be hard to fully explore any argument without getting to the point of someone's subjective reasoning that something is good or bad as perspective can come into play (good for me vs bad for you, why is society more important than individuals, etc).

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:48AM (#31640413)
> Having the privilege to drive is a moderate position

I don't dispute that, but 1) you used the word "privilege" rather than "right" which really changes the tenor of the claim. "Driving is a privilege, not a right" implies that the "privilege" can be revoked while the (putative) right could not. And 2) my claim was about the justification that people offer for their claimed rights, not the rights themselves.

> Just because someone claims an improper reason, doesn't mean their conclusion is wrong

I didn't say it was. Just because someone is an extremist doesn't mean they are necessarily wrong. The problem with extremism is not that it always leads to wrong conclusions or even to bad outcomes. The problem is that it makes it a lot harder to correct errors.

This is particularly relevant in the case of climate change. When the Taliban chops people's heads off it produces an immediate visceral reaction in most people, which helps motivate them to act. Our collective decisions to keep driving today don't have the same effect on our psyches, even if a lot more people are going to end up dead in the future as a result.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:06AM (#31641432)
Generally people call things rights even if they are technically privileges. People do that all the time with "right to drive" and others. Even rights can be taken away by the government. It seems that driving as it is treated now is consistent with other many rights when it comes to restrictions and removal of those rights/privileges. There's really no distinction necessary in the context of this discussion given that the function similarly.

"2) my claim was about the justification that people offer for their claimed rights, not the rights themselves."

The definition that you provided says nothing about justification being a part of something being extreme.

"Our collective decisions to keep driving today don't have the same effect on our psyches"

That's because driving is not extreme. It's considered a moderate position and people accept compromises on it. Even the people that say it's a right accept some level of restrictions such as traffic laws, at least from a standpoint of not wanting to be punished.

Simply wanting the freedom to move about by driving is not an extreme position.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by zajio1am on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:09AM (#31640709)
> any political theory favoring immoderate uncompromising policies

There is a compromise position - accepting that driving a car is right, but also accepting that everyone must pay for its externalities, w.r.t. CO_2 by uniform revenue-neutral carbon tax, like any other fossil CO_2 emission.

Revenue-neutral carbon tax is an approach proposed by many economists, but governments are hesitant to use that and instead go with selective bans and subsidies.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:44AM (#31641146)
> driving a car is right, but also accepting that everyone must pay for its externalities

Sure, but what most people mean when they say they have a "right" to something is that they are entitled to that thing without strings attached.

Also, there are factual disagreements about what the externalities of driving actually are. For example, should you have to pay for the people who suffer respiratory illnesses because of vehicle emissions? The cost of accidents? By what mechanism should these costs be assessed and payment made? How should the costs be distributed? If I drive 5000 miles a year should I pay the same as someone who drives 10,000? And how exactly do you assess the cost of moving the needle on an existential threat by a teeny tiny bit?

And just look at people's reaction to the recent increases in the cost of gas! They are indignant, outraged, because they think that they are entitled to cheap gas. It's their right.

"Pay for the externalities" is a fine principle, but very hard to put into practice.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:52AM (#31641234)
And it's likely that the diesel trucks contribute the most die to fuel type, miles driven, etc. So cost to individual personal vehicles would likely be low, while the price of goods shipped via trucks would increase to offset those taxes.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by gruez on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:51AM (#31640461)
>"any political theory favoring immoderate uncompromising policies"

>I think that "I have this right because I say so" qualifies

I (and pretty sure a sizeable portion of HN) want precisely zero on-device CSAM scanning and encryption backdoors. I'm not willing to compromise on this (eg. "okay we'll backdoor encryption but only for terrorists"). Does that make me an extremist? Based on your definition it certainly sounds like it.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:56AM (#31640528)
> Does that make me an extremist?

That depends on the justification that you offer. If your justification is (say) that you have a God-given right to sexually exploit children with impunity, then yes, I'd say that qualifies you as an extremist. If your justification is that CSAM scanning does more harm than good, and you can back that up with actual facts, then no.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:53AM (#31641258)
The definition given has nothing to do with justification. It only concerns itself with immoderate or uncompromising positions.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:11AM (#31641511)
If you hold your position because you believe it is grounded in the Word of God, then no evidence or argument is going to dissuade you. That is what "uncompromising" means.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by gruez on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:13AM (#31640760)
> If your justification is (say) that you have a God-given right to sexually exploit children with impunity, then yes, I'd say that qualifies you as an extremist.

It's easy to call pedophiles "extremists", but what if my argument is

"I have a God-given right to not have my on-device data searched"?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:35AM (#31641029)
The part that makes that position extremist in my view is the "God-given" bit, not anything that comes after. Because anyone can say "I have a God-given right to X" for any X and there is no way to challenge that. It is the built-in immunity to challenge that makes such a position extremist.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:55AM (#31641287)
There's nothing in the definition you gave earlier to support this interpretation. All that is required is that it be an immoderate or uncompromising position.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by lisper on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:12AM (#31641524)
But justification is part of one's position. If you hold your position because you believe it is grounded in the Word of God, then no evidence or argument is going to dissuade you.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by giantg2 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:31AM (#31641763)
A new interpretation of the word of God could. Cognitive dissonance is an equally large issue in my opinion.

Justification isn't really part of the position, it's how you arrived at it.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:46AM (#31639763)
> And it's normal to feel personally attacked when they tell you to give up your car. It's literally a personal attack on your freedom.

It's a really interesting comment which I wish we could explore deeper.

I get the same feelings but about different things. So I know you are sincere. But also, it's cultural and quite superficial. In psychology it's called "identification". An attack on a thing you identify with feels like an attack on you personally.

So for example, for me, attacks on free software, or my "right" to program in a language I choose, or to run a server, feel like actual attacks on my fundamental "freedom" as you say.

In reality though, if the world took those things away, within a couple of months or years I'd have forgotten and moved along with the flow. I know this from the experience of being half a century old :)

Now, if I took away your car, I can promise you'd feel the same in no time at all. Why? I don't own a car, and haven't for about 30 years. I git rid of my car when I moved to London, because private cars are a liability there. One or twice it's been a minor inconvenience. But apart from that I feel as free as ever - I go where I like, when I like, with who I like.... just rarely by car.

Even though I'm a fairly conservative person in some ways, I think we must recognise that many things we cling to as "essential freedoms" are actually just in our minds.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by Loughla on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:50AM (#31639814)
I don't understand what you're getting at. Freedom of movement is absolutely a freedom for humans. In places like London, or even New York for a US example, you may be able to achieve this without a car.

Are you arguing that all it takes is the saturation of public transportation for the entire US? Or are you arguing that people should just all move to mega-cities? I'm genuinely confused about what you're trying to explain to OP.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by shlant on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:57AM (#31639863)
yea the "well I can do it so you can to" approach is pretty weak. I'm not sure how good faith the original comment is being anyways, but I don't think this response is very effective regardless. It should at least be caveated with "if you are in a similar location to London" or "your car will be replaced by effective public transit".

"You'll adapt just like I did" is not very convincing for the majority of people.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:19AM (#31640077)
> "You'll adapt just like I did" is not very convincing for the majority of people.

That's not my assertion, nor the point of my comment. The point is that identification (and misplaced sense of ownership) makes us very reluctant to be convinced [1]. A point which you agreeing with.

Nonetheless, people adapt when change comes. Another example, only just in my living memory was "decimalisation" (and for other Europeans when the currency switched to Euro). My grandmother swore blind the world would end if they brought in decimal currency. Within weeks she was the strongest supporter.

In 1752 people in England rioted because the calendars changed from Julian to Gregorian. People thought they were being robbed of 11 days. When the day arrived everybody awoke, got on with their lives as usual and in no time completely forgot it ever happened.

EDIT:

[1] In fact people can be so challenged by identification they'll downvote the most polite and reasoned of comments to feel better rather than respond intelligently.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by j2bax on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:45AM (#31640350)
I like and agree with the general sentiment of your comment (people are more adaptive than they may think) but I think the example isn't a great one... What would be your suggestion for people that live in rural areas of the US (we have a lot of them in almost every state)? Public transit would operate at a pretty significant loss in these areas and would be a logistical nightmare. Given enough time, I'm sure some solutions could help make it possible, but there would be significant inconvenience, loss of security/safety in the short term.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by carapace on Monday June 06, 2022 @12:11PM (#31642296)
> What would be your suggestion for people that live in rural areas of the US?

ALCOHOL FUEL! (Forgive me for shouting.)

If they are that spread out, they almost certainly have room to grow some sugar beets or sugar cane or potatoes or something like that, then they can ferment and distill alcohol fuel. This was pretty common for a long time.

> Before the American Civil War many farmers in the United States had an alcohol still to turn crop waste into free lamp oil and stove fuel for the farmers' family use.

> In 1826, Samuel Morey uses alcohol in the first American internal combustion engine prototype.

> By the 1890s, alcohol-fueled engines are starting to be used in farm machinery in Europe, making countries more fuel independent.

> By 1896, horseless carriages (cars) were showing up on roads in Europe and the United States. Because gasoline is so cheap and abundant, and also because ethanol is taxed at a high level, early US automobiles are adapted to gasoline from the beginning. Racing cars, on the other hand, usually used ethanol (and other alcohols) because more power could be developed in a smaller, lighter engine.

> In 1902, the Paris alcohol fuel exposition exhibited alcohol powered cars, farm machinery, lamps, stoves, heaters, laundry irons, hair curlers, coffee roasters, and every conceivable household appliance and agricultural engine powered by alcohol.

&c.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_alcohol_fuel

Alcohol is clean-burning, non-toxic, carbon-neutral, much higher energy density than any battery, cheap and easy to make, feed stocks are everywhere (I knew a guy who had a deal with a donut shop to collect and use their old scrap dough!), and the leftovers are a nutritious and valuable animal feed (yeast are protein.)

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:24AM (#31640891)
> would be your suggestion for people that live in rural areas of the US (we have a lot of them in almost every state)? Public transit would operate at a pretty significant loss in these areas and would be a logistical nightmare. Given enough time, I'm sure some solutions could help make it possible, but there would be significant inconvenience, loss of security/safety in the short term.

I honestly don't think I have any suggestions. Not technical ones. I am neither an expert on transportation nor planning. My comment is about psychology, and to some extent about history.

As you say, given enough time maybe new solutions would make changes possible. But also, maybe not. Given enough time it may be that people living in rural areas accept that the world has changed, and travel far less. Given time, maybe the societal pressures to travel will ease. It may be that in time the main attraction of rural life returns to being its pace and relative isolation. These are not necessarily good or bad things, progressions or regressions, just change.

To the extent that change involves loss as well as gain I do think that change is like the stages of grief. The early stages, before acceptance, involve various mental tricks to try carrying on as before.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by j2bax on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:03AM (#31641398)
Yes, the only reason for my comment was that you gave multiple examples where you and family members and historical groups made a big deal out of something and it turned out it didn't have any significant impact on their lives. There are probably few rural folks who wouldn't experience significant life altering consequences of losing their personal transportation autonomy.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by jacquesm on Monday June 06, 2022 @04:50PM (#31646069)
This is an interesting comment: it makes me wonder if those places that we feel are habitable really are habitable. If humanity needs to inhabit parts of the world that can not be reached unless you have a particular mode of transport then it may turn out that effectively those places are no longer inhabitable. Just like the North Pole isn't habitable. We already give up on some areas of the planet for practical reasons (mountains with too steep a slope, for instance). We'd just add more of those, and the fact that they were habitable in the past probably should not make a difference.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Tuesday June 07, 2022 @04:55AM (#31651554)
Good creative analysis. I think time not distance may be adjustment we will make first. Barring a catastrophic technology collapse I doubt at this stage of human development we'll withdraw so fully from wilderness and remote rural settlement. But perhaps the change we can embrace is just chilling out. Other than firefighters and paramedics, lifestyles where people "need" to be in a city 1000 miles away in a few hours are untenable. Slower transport like rail and airships will likely make something of a comeback in less dense countries.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by TomSwirly on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:47AM (#31641180)
> People thought they were being robbed of 11 days. When the day arrived everybody awoke, got on with their lives as usual and in no time completely forgot it ever happened.

Not accurate.

Isaac Asimov pointed out that people only got paid for 19 days' work, but had to pay a full month's rent, so they were perfectly reasonable to demonstrate.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:56AM (#31639857)
> I'm genuinely confused about what you're trying to explain to OP

That people adapt. That deeply held beliefs about the importance of some things turn out to be skin-deep.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by CyanBird on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:54AM (#31639842)
> . I git rid of my car when I moved to London,

Yes, and if you hadn't moved to London then you would indeed have a car and consider it being part of your transportation "must haves"

In most of North America, and now Latin America and bits of Asia, car dependancy is a serious problem, cities being built, such as in China which are wholly car depending, and designed to punish non-car moving people, it is a bad, bad, bad state of affairs

Hopefully eventually most cities will move to a scheme closer to London's, but if anything, things might be moving the other way

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:04AM (#31639925)
> Yes, and if you hadn't moved to London then you would indeed have a car

I've since moved out of London, and still have no car.

> transportation "must haves"

There are no "must haves" in this world.

> car dependency is a serious problem, cities being built, such as in China which are wholly car depending, and designed to punish non-car moving people, it is a bad, bad, bad state of affairs

Yes, that's tragic. And I don't think those places have a long-term future as they are. Fortunately urban areas can undergo radical redesign. I think the post-pandemic is going to force that on us anyway.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by bluGill on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:06AM (#31640661)
There are many places where you can live without a car. However they are overall a minority. Most people in the US live where living without the car is next to impossible. either there isn't any transit at all, or there is transit that only works for someone working 9-5 downtown, but you are still expected to drive a car for all other errands.

Yes in the core of a few other cities (New York is most obvious) you can reasonably live without a car. Most people don't live close enough to the core though.

The bad transit options is the first thing that needs to change. However nobody actually cares about that. Democrats are more interested in union jobs even though it drives costs up to the point where it isn't cost effective. Republicans don't even realize that it would be possible to have useful transit and so they fight throwing good money after bad.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by helloworld11 on Tuesday June 07, 2022 @02:41AM (#31650620)
The self indulgence of your comment is laughable (aside from the ugliness of a philosophy in which "you'll adapt" is a good reason for being subjected to restrictions, regardless of their deeper merit).

Because you live in one of the densest, oldest and most public transit-packed urban areas in Europe, you think that your easy shift to not having a car is worth a damn to hundreds of millions of people who don't live in London, or another big, dense, highly developed city like it? A Texas farmer or Louisiana fisherman isn't just being a selfish, green-hating ass when he or she says that they NEED their truck or car. They really do, to live, and almost every day. What kinds of mental bubbles do some of the privileged people who comment on this site live in?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Tuesday June 07, 2022 @04:41AM (#31651437)
Thank you, your outraged reaction has entirely proved the point I was making about identification and its effects. Change is coming, whether you like it or not. The greatest obstacles are probably not technical, but psychological. It's coming for reasons of ecological fact, not because anyone wants to subject others to meritless restrictions. (As if one guy on the internet had that power.)

And people will adapt to it, because that's what we've been doing for hundreds of thousands of years. That's not ugly, it's beautiful. It's beautiful that humans are adaptable, resilient and inventive.

Well most of us anyway.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by helloworld11 on Tuesday June 07, 2022 @11:59AM (#31656236)
No, not outraged, just derisive. Change is indeed innate to the human experience and to the course of civilization, but the kind of bubble mentality you display with your comment is if anything especially brittle against practical realities. In a genuine catastrophic climate change context, do you really think your privileged urban lifestyle will be better suited for adaptation? Maybe, I can't be sure, but maybe circumstances cause you to rethink your current idea of change being beautiful.

That aside, it really is absurd to dismiss the needs and complaints of hundreds of millions of diverse vehicle-owning non-urban dwellers based on how smugly easy you think it was to not own a car in London of all places. There's nothing psychologically obtuse about pointing out the closed mindedness of your notion. Yet you speak of identification and its effects.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by nonrandomstring on Wednesday June 08, 2022 @11:12AM (#31668542)
> just derisive

Well, you've said it yourself. There's nothing a reasonable person can add to that, or hope to gain by doing so. So, have a lovely day. :)

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by 0xcde4c3db on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:30AM (#31640199)
> But trying to defend for example your right to have a car and move freely is not "extremism". And it's normal to feel personally attacked when they tell you to give up your car. It's literally a personal attack on your freedom.

What most "anti-car" people are advocating for amounts to the option to not drive. As it is now, driving is practically a requirement for full participation in society.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by Ozzie_osman on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:41AM (#31640309)
... In certain societies, like the US. There are many places where public transport makes it not a requirement.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by wing-_-nuts on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:37AM (#31641057)
Have you used public transit outside of NYC in the US? It's a laughable token service. It takes me ~ 15m to drive to work. Taking public transit would extend that to 93m. It would legitimately be faster to bike there. I do not live in a small town. This is in one of the top 10 cities in the US.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by suture on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:28AM (#31639611)
I suggest that your feeling of being attacked is more imagined than real. The questions are:

1. Is the climate being changed by human activity and rapidly so?

2. What should one do with this knowledge if the answer to 1 is yes?

Perhaps you don’t want to do anything about it. That is fine for you to decide this. But one should not answer ‘no’ to question 1 because doing something about it feels personal to you. The answer to 1 should have nothing to do with 2.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by shlant on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:54AM (#31639840)
is someone trying to take away your car or is this some sort of New Green Deal fearmongering? Or do you actually feel personally attacked just by people suggesting you give up your car?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by baisq on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:08AM (#31639968)
No one is going to literally take away anybody's car. They will increase the price of using one so much as to make it impossible for poor people to keep their cars.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by wing-_-nuts on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:43AM (#31641132)
We're only talking about pricing in the externalities that societies already pay for you. I favor a revenue neutral carbon tax. Increase the cost of fossil fuels and give it back as reduced income tax. Let the people find ways to 'dodge' this tax by reduced emissions.

If you properly price an externality, the free market will help you deal with it.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by TurningCanadian on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:39AM (#31640289)
The only fair price of using a car accounts for the price of removing its GHG emissions from the air. If operating a car costs less than that, then we are all indirectly subsidizing the use of cars, and we'd all be better off subsidizing the use of electric cars / public transport / etc. If using a car costs more than that, then we are unfairly targeting cars.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by xorcist on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:11AM (#31640745)
We are not only indirectly subsidizing cars, we are directly subsidizing it in several ways.

It can be in the form of direct support of various activities of the petroleum industry, such as drilling, refinement and pipelines in the name of creating new jobs, but also in giant infrastructure projects reserved for cars, and legal requirements of square meter prices for car parking many orders of magnitude below market cost.

It was the way post-war society was built up and will take a very long time to change. It's so entrenched that once you start seeing it, it is really everywhere.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by triceratops on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:09AM (#31640702)
Do you have so little faith in the free market? Do you really think no one is capable of coming up with a cheap enough car that is climate friendly, if they had to?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by swader999 on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:40AM (#31641093)
E bike comes very close.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by triceratops on Monday June 06, 2022 @10:46AM (#31641169)
Oh yeah e-bikes are amazing. I just wish they were cheaper.
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by swader999 on Monday June 06, 2022 @12:41PM (#31642709)
They are if you build your own using a used bike. Check out ebikes.ca and https://endless-sphere.com/forums/
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by CyanBird on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:00AM (#31639890)
> It's literally a personal attack on your freedom.

Yes, it is, and it is important to grow up and realize that actions have got consequences, heating meats is also unsustainable, flying planes is also unsustainable, the general levels of developed countries consumption rates are also unsustainable

As that rather famous "debater" says, "reality doesn't care about your feelings"

Liberties go partnered with duties and responsibilities, it is widespread commonplace at least in US related discourse to behave in a wholly entitled manner and simply ignore the most important parts of these social system (responsible freedom)

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by helloworld11 on Tuesday June 07, 2022 @02:51AM (#31650700)
Sustainability is almost always subject to circumstances and context in a practical sense. Many people who decry "unsustainable" practices seem to forge this despite all the lessons of history.

250 years ago, it would have been completely unfathomable to imagine feeding 8 billion people with the technologies of the time. I'm not just talking about it being unsustainable but temporarily doable, it would have simply not happened without maybe two thirds of the world rapidly dying of hunger. Yet, here we are today, with the lowest relative proportion of the world in recorded history in danger of famine.

This of course slowly isn't sustainable WITH present technologies being widely used. If those technologies change however, it could indeed become sustainable, just like what we have now is far beyond the capacities of previous centuries. Instead of default leaps to new prohibitions in environmental and climate change discussions, more focus should be made on promoting new developments that let us both live well and in large numbers while harming the world less.

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by richiebful1 on Monday June 06, 2022 @11:11AM (#31641498)
Very few people in our political discourse are asking people to give up their privilege of owning a car. However, some are asking for car owners to pay for the externalities of owning a car. That might lead to some lifestyle changes, like a two-parent household owning one car instead of two like they're used to.

And yes, maybe that restricts a car owner's "freedom", but should those car-based externalities be free?

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by myshpa on Monday June 06, 2022 @08:53AM (#31639828)
> Some peoples’ identities and beliefs are zealously tied to denialism

I think you're talking about cognitive dissonance [0].

Btw, biggest contributor to climate change is meat & dairy eating [1][2].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance#Reduction

[1] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-10464793/Tot...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance#Meat-eati...

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by pc86 on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:03AM (#31639922)
Your sources on meat & dairy being the largest contributors to climate change are a Daily Mail article quoting the CEO of a vegan food company, and a paragraph in wikipedia that doesn't mention climate change?
Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by myshpa on Monday June 06, 2022 @12:24PM (#31642453)
The CEO is one of the authors of the study, a professor emeritus in the department of biochemistry at Stanford University.

Additional sources here:

https://news.stanford.edu/2022/02/01/new-model-explores-link... https://climatehealers.org/the-science/animal-agriculture-po... https://www.hsi.org/issues/climate-change/

Re:Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industri... by ackfoobar on Monday June 06, 2022 @09:14AM (#31640022)
It seems disingenuous to compare carbon emission that comes from a carbon cycle, to that of fossil fuels.