You can promise all you want, but you have to get the bank to be willing to pony up the money - but what you're describing can and does happen - leveraged buyouts were common in the past. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leveraged_buyout
You find a company with no debt (say, TLSA) and you believe it is undervalued, so you convince banks to loan you enough money to buy TSLA and pledge TLSA itself as the collateral. If the purchase goes through, you now own TLSA and a TLSA sized debt. If it doesn't, nothing much happens.
I don't have a million dollars, but I can buy a million dollar house. A bank promises to lend me a million dollars contingent on buying the house and then the loan will be collateralized by the house, which I don't own yet.
If it ends up not being profitable, the bank takes back the house (or Twitter, or more likely the TSLA stock Elon put up as collateral)
If you can buy a valuable asset for $1 and have a bank cover $9 and it yields 10% return, you're making $1 from $1 invested (minus interest) compared to someone that bought it outright (making $1 on $10 or 10% return). The bank has no upside. If you invest in something bad though or the rate is too high the math changes and you lose 100% if the asset ends up being worth <= $9. That's leverage
In some states, such as California, a purchase loan is non-recourse, so you could walk away (and many did in the last housing downturn) and the bank can't do anything beyond take the house.
This means if you can weather the downturn you don't get wiped out, you borrowed 80% of the house to buy, put 20% down, it went down 30%, you were underwater, but continued to make payments, and now it's up 20% above where you started.
Margin loans against stocks, etc do not have this, so if you borrowed against $1k worth of stocks you had, and they dropped in value below what the bank wants you to keep as collateral, they can force you to sell at the lower price (or produce more cash/collateral). This means that with leverage you could be right in the long term but wiped out in the short term.
On a related note, I always find the loans where the borrower takes on personal liability are in a completely separate category of risk. Anytime you put yourself in a situation where you could possibly ruin your future prospects or mortgage your future labor to a financial institution is much different than your net worth (and your investors' principal) simply going to zero.
You still have to pay off your debt to the lender according to the plan set out in the loan agreement, where will these come from?
You haven't crossed the finish line by securing the loan, you cross it by transferring the title to your name and repaying the loan (principal + interests) fully.
I wonder what Tesla shareholders think about all this ;-)
> Tesla has a policy in place of letting directors and officers only borrow up to 25% of the value of their stock. And Elon Musk has already pledged about 88 million shares against indebtedness, according to Tesla's 2021 proxy filing. That leaves him with only another 85 million shares to raise debt with.
https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-twitter...
Any sort of hedging strategies we can expect a lot of money to flow into?
A cursory Wikipedia search shows the baseball team owner referenced above put up significant real estate as collateral.
If you are stock-rich and you can buy stuff on the collateral for that: normal people can't really do that. Ordinary people have a much harder time buying more stuff than they have the cash for. Or at least on worse terms when they do take out a loan.
Being rich is cheaper than being poor. Is it really so awful to change that?
Suppose there is a company with 200 shares, half of which you own. The last trade price was $1 per share, meaning you have $100. But you can't necessarily dump your shares for $100 because the $1 was based off the last trade. So on the margin you can sell a share for $1, but you won't necessarily be able to sell all 100 shares for $100.
Imagine you own a home that went from being worth $1 million to $2 million. Did you MAKE $1 million? Should you pay taxes on that delta as soon as the home's value became $2 million? It makes more sense to wait until you sell it and pay taxes on the net you made. Otherwise it's more complicated and you could end up paying taxes on $1 million when you end up selling it for a lot less. You could have a tax credit I guess but you're unlikely to have the IRS cut you a check for the money you paid that turned out to never be actualized.
Most proposals to tax giant piles of wealth in the market look nothing like what you've described. A wealth tax is more like: pay 1% per year on the current market value of your portfolio, if that amount is over $100 million.
Money attracts money. Wealth taxes are an attempt for reverse that effect and force some of that money to trickle down.
That said, any attempt to implement a wealth tax will probably be struck down as unconstitutional because moneyed interests want it to be declared so.
Wealth tax is different and I think it makes more sense compared to unrealized capital gains. But its not true no one is proposing an unrealized capital gains tax
> Biden’s fiscal 2023 budget request released Monday would impose a 20% minimum tax on the unrealized capital gains for households worth at least $100 million.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-28/manchin-p...
Wealth is closely correlated enough to power that it's worth encouraging people to turn those on-paper gains into liquid forms - even if only to avoid "losing" if the stock then slides back from 100 -> 50. Especially since he can leverage it to spend in other ways!
To me, taxing wealth and only wealth seems like the most straightforward route to a truly progressive tax system. That’s not to say it’s simple or straightforward in an absolute sense, but neither is taxing income, is it?
At a high level, taxing wealth instead of income or transactions ensures that rich people are paying their share, while maximizing upward mobility so that people can become rich more easily. Think about how much easier it would be to become wealthy without income taxes, sales taxes, property taxes, taxes on corporate profits, etc. etc.
This is what we should optimize for imho: making it as easy as possible to become wealthy. Sure, there details to figure out, as with any approach, and maybe some rich people will face some difficult choices or be forced to sell assets; I’m ok with that and it seems well worth the tradeoff.
Pair it with a hefty pigeuvian carbon tax and you could probably do away with income taxes entirely.
(A nondistortionary VAT to replace sales taxes and corporate income taxes would be nice as well.)
Nobody disputes that it’s a nice idea to make life easier for the poor. The mechanics of how you actually do it are the hard part.
The funny thing is that hoards of people will come to defend a rich dude who really doesn't need it while poor people constantly get fucked over and could use a little bit of defending.
One improvement could be to just have a higher tax bracket (like the US had decades ago) and build more stuff for the common good. What doesn't help is that from my side of the big pond, the US sounds like a third world country if you are below middle-class. Can't judge if that is true for myself, but hey.
I don’t know if that’s a fair characterization generally, but it’s not the case with me and it’s actually a frustration/lament I have when discussing this topic.
I’m not particularly a fan of Musk or any of the current crop of billionaires or their companies. But I care about the principles and the practicalities.
There’s this tendency to say “There are terrible problems in the world. We need to fix them with money. Where can we get money from? Billionaires!”
But when you do the maths, i.e., total up all the wealth that billionaires have and divide it by all the people/causes in the world who “need more money”, you end up with basically nothing.
And that’s before you consider what the billionaires’ companies are doing - which in many cases involves things like making phones/goods/software/knowledge cheaper/free, which benefits everyone including poor people, making electric cars affordable and ubiquitous, which will benefit all humanity and the environment long into the future if it leads to climate change abatement, and creating millions of jobs including many for low-skilled people, and also that these companies do generate vast amounts of tax in the form of sales taxes, income/payroll taxes, and capital gains taxes when shareholders liquidate their shares, and you find that it’s not necessarily true that taking money away from these companies/owners would be net beneficial for society anyway; it could easily make the problems worse.
And now for the obligatory disclaimer - yes I know there are plenty of valid concerns about the merits and ethics of what companies do, and worker pay/conditions and externalities and other issues; but these are matters for regulators and consumers to consider and are separate from the principle of how billionaires should be taxed or how beneficial it would be for billionaires to be taxed more.
I’m also not in the U.S., and I see plenty of dysfunction in that country as well as many others - though we also see many people, including some of the world’s poorest people desperate to move there for a better life.
For what it’s worth I devote a large number of my brain cycles to contemplating how life could be better for the worst-off; I’ve spent much of my adult life dealing with health challenges that caused great difficulty in achieving steady employment and financial security, which I’ve now largely overcome, and do I think a lot about how the principles that helped me could be applied more broadly, including for people far worse off that I ever was. At this stage I find myself thinking there are certain things that could work, but a lot of it is just really really hard.
I imagine there’s a reason people feel more comfortable lending to Elon than to people with a smaller amount of assets, and that it’s not “lol fuck poor people”.
High level, it closes a financial engineering loophole (buy, borrow, die [1]). The taxable event is when you get liquid, and a loan is liquidity. The tax code requires a patch, that’s all.
I agree buy, borrow, die is a problem but the “weird” feature of tax law that makes that possible is the step up in basis. (Getting rid of that has its own challenges I’m sure.)
My issue with the whole "Elon has to pay taxes" thing is that there are loads of people (fans?) fighting over why he shouldn't have to. It's the richest dude in the world, he really doesn't need defending for everyday people.
I also like the cool stuff he does, don't like the non-cool stuff he does, as I do with a lot of people really
When those bits of stock bits are then transferred to ordinary people, they would be entitled to a bit of the dividends of eventually all companies.
Not thought this all the way through and I'm very much not an economist, so there are lots of impracticalities.
In a way, it's the opposite of 'cease the means of production': distribute the 'means' of capitalism.
What you are talking about is reputation and it will always be a part of the dynamic. It happens at the poverty level too. In any poor community there are people you trust and people you don't.
They do it with homes all of the time, what are you talking about?
Of course, this tax increase could be offset by also allowing unrealized losses to act as a tax deduction.
Should the 1st tweet NFT be taxed at its last sale price? The recent failed bid price?
Did you only read the first line of my comment? I specifically said that unrealized losses should also be a tax deduction.
1- Saudi company borrows $7B from Turkish banks to buy 55% of Turkey's largest internet and telephone provider.
2- Drive the provider into $4B debt (it was debt free when bought)
3- Pay the new holding company $9B in dividends
4- Don't pay the initial money borrowed to purchase the company.
5- Somehow borrow another $4B from Turkish banks to pay the new debt, and pocket that money as well.
6- Government creates a consortium of banks to bail the provider because its too big to fail.
Outcome: Provider is in debt, banks lost all the money, banks needs to spend unknown amount to get the provider back into a functioning state.
a) $21 billion of Elon's ("Reporting Person"; see item #1) own money
b) $12.5 billion in margin loans arranged by Morgan Stanley
c) $13 billion in debt from Morgan Stanley
You can get approved for a margin account at TD Ameritrade right now, and then later decide to margin some shares for whatever reason. The bank doesn't need to check your collateral because it knows how much it is worth at any given moment when the market is open.
Mortgage loans are not nearly as formalized, and the bank will send out an appraiser to verify that the property is worth an amount that they're willing to loan against.
And once you get past that, it becomes very hand-wavy; banks making loans to governments, non-profits, private companies, etc will all have their internal departments that make decisions about how much the risk is and what premium they'd need to charge.
The major feature of a margin loan versus other types of loans collateralized by assets is that the value of the underlying security (collateral) is tracked and depending on the terms of the margin loan, the lender has the right to issue a "margin call" demanding additional collateral or cash if the underlying securities have declined in value. These rules, called "house requirements," vary from lender to lender.
If you're MS, why would you want to treat stock as "normal" collateral instead of using a margin loan? Is that Elon only feels comfortable using so much of his stock for a margin loan, and wants to use the rest as "normal" collateral (but is then getting less favorable terms for it)?
It's also possible that Elon is getting a lower rate for the non-margin loan, but at a much worse multiple (putting up far more shares as collateral).
But that's all making stuff up.
Musk is putting up some of his Tesla stock as collateral on the loans. The effect of this is pretty similar to if Musk had sold his Tesla stock and used the money to buy Twitter, but avoids some of the tax and regulatory consequences of doing that.
Thank you.
As a preliminary matter, as investment vehicles publicly traded stock is a liquid asset, whereas real estate is an illiquid asset. Generally one invests in liquid investments so that they can be readily converted into cash when needed.
From the tax perspective a building/building owner would at all times be subject to continue paying property taxes. If there were some equivalent wealth tax for stock holders then at least society wouldn’t lose out entirely on this kind of tax avoidance scheme designed for the rich, but I’d still probably prefer these billions in bank loans go to qualified home buyers before lending it to the world’s richest man to circumvent a taxable event.
It could change rapidly and people can get wiped out quite quickly when it does.
On the flip side, selling the assets would have no strings attached to the cash.
Further, it is definitely not guaranteed as you assert.
So if you don't sell the stock and thus have no applicable capital gains tax, then you can be loaned NaN dollars?
Most of the ultra-wealthy live on debt. Here's the basic scheme:
- Let's say I own $10B in startup.com stock, but haven't sold it. My income tax burden is $0.
- If I sell the stock, and taxes are 40% in my country, I get $6B, and the government gets $4B.
- If I keep the stock, and borrow against it, I pay no taxes, but I do pay finance fees (e.g. interest). The finance fees work out to less than taxes.
The trick is to never realize gains or income. Debt lets you do that.
One more trick is that a lot of purchases are "investments." If I buy a mansion, yacht, and Picasso on debt I can use them. When I'm bored of them, I sell them, and pay off that debt. I've probably made money on the mansion and Picasso, and lost money on the yacht.
I've paid a little bit of interest and a little bit of tax, but much less than I would have otherwise.
Another is that, should the need arise, stock can be sold at the drop of a hat. It is liquid and fungible so a stock-collateralized loan is seen by banks to be a very safe investment. Houses are not.
In this case explicitly I suspect it has more to do with the uncertainty of the deal going through AND not wanting to incur the tax penalty ALONG with the share penalty (liquidating $30 billion in TSLA would affect its price for sure). If you sold the shares to raise the cash, paid the tax, and then the deal didn't go through and bought the shares back, you'd be out the tax (with a stepped-up cost basis to be sure).
I'm not following the whole lifecycle. You borrow against your stock, spend that money, and then repay the loan using stock? Without having technically sold the stock?
Let's say you have 10 million in stock.
A typical margin account allows you to borrow up to, say, 40% of that. That's 4 million dollars.
Let's say you borrow $1 million and spend it. Currently interest rate on a margin loan is under %2. So every year the amount you need to repay grows by $20k (2% of $1 million, for simplicity I don't count compounding).
So in 10 years that would be $1.2 million to repay. But you're authorized for $4 million.
If in those 10 years the value of stock doubles to $20 million, then you're authorized to borrow $8 million - the amount you can borrow grows faster than the amount you need to repay.
To be clear: eventually you have to repay it but in the corner case it could be done when you die.
There are of course caveats. If interest rate increases dramatically, then the amount to repay will grow much faster etc. but you can see how e.g. if you have $10 million then you could borrow and spend $100k to live a good life and never have to sell your stock to fund your life (especially if stocks keep going up faster than interest rate, inflation and your spending habits)
I guess the risk here would be that the stock goes to 0, you get margin called AND you are now on the hook to pay taxes.
I know Ken Lay did that exact chain of events a lot to cash money out of Enron before it's bankruptcy.
Aligned self interest is the engine of capitalism.
You don't care if society would be better of if you donate your time and skill to company X for free. You care that company Y will pay your for your time and skill and that's why you work company Y.
The good of society doesn't enter your calculus. Only the good of throwawaycities
Similarly the banks don't care what is optimal way to allocate capital for the good of society (apparently as decided by you).
They care about their self interest. Their business is providing loans so they provide loans to people most likely to repay those loans.
From the perspective of the bank, margin loans are the safest loans they can give because the collateral is fully liquid and under the control of the bank i.e. the moment the borrower crosses margin loan threshold, he gets margin call and the bank sells his stock to ensure the loan gets repaid.
Study the wildly successful economies of communist countries to see what happens when people think they know better that free market what should or should not be allowed in the economy.
So far good intentions have vastly inferior economical results than lightly regulated free market where, for example, participants decide what kind of loans they want to make.
"The rich have all of the money and pay none of the taxes. The middle class pay all of the taxes and have none of the money. The poor are there just to scare the shit out of the middle class so they keep going to those jobs."
—George Carlin, 1937-2008
UPDATE:
As some replies have pointed out mortgage interest on a primary residence is permitted in some form in six countries: The Netherlands, Switzerland, the United States, Belgium, Denmark, and Ireland. If you live in one of these six countries, my comment does not apply to you. If you live in any of the nearly 200 other countries in the world, it does.
YMMV: "Your Mortgage-interest-deductiblity May Vary."
What a strange example to pick. That's, like, THE major write-off that most people have. It just gets obfuscated by the fact that most people don't go over the standard deduction.
Up here, home mortgage interest is only deductible if the home is used to generate income, so it does not apply to people who use a home as their primary residence. But what if you have a home office? What if you use it as an AirBnB some of the time?
If you ask a tax accountant whether Canadian home mortage interest is deductible, they will answer "a definite maybe." But it's actually "no" for most people who don't structure their home ownership around qualifying for a deduction.
My mortgage interest became "worthless" for that when the standard deduction was raised. I'm still better off than before, but that particular part of the benefit is gone.
Since California by many measures is large enough to equate to a "country", It would be fair to add it to the list of places where primary residence (and a second home too) mortgage interest is largely deductible.
This is demonstrably false. But then again, you don't expect factual accuracy from a comedian.
> As some replies have pointed out mortgage interest on a primary residence is permitted in some form in six countries: The Netherlands, Switzerland, the United States, Belgium, Denmark, and Ireland.
This Wikipedia sourced list is obviously not exhaustive. And interest deduction is allowed in the US which is the relevant case here.
And China[1]. And India[2]. (Although I don't know either country's housing market and therefore don't know how to interpret upper limits).
Between the US, China and India, it seems like most people and the biggest economies do that.
[1] https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201812/23/WS5c1e2dc0a3107d4c... [2] https://www.bankbazaar.com/tax/mortgage-tax.html
> The Netherlands, Switzerland, the United States, Belgium, Denmark, and Ireland allow some form of the deduction.
That's six out of roughly 195 countries in the world. Perhaps you live in one of them, but billions don't.
On top of that there will probably be “imaginary money” where a bank will give him money to buy Twitter with Twitter as collateral, but not the whole thing, just part. I.e. loans against his personal capital will provide a kind of down payment for loans against the value of Twitter.
In this scale it’s called leverage, banks loaning you a multiple of assets you’re willing to risk.
It is quite common for people with extreme net worth to take loans out against assets instead of selling them.
Especially when selling those assets would require paying capital gains taxes.
We know that no companies pay tax (ignore the billions paid in tax), and no rich people pay tax (ignore the billions paid in tax), so therefor all taxes must be paid by me personally.
Or so the arguments go.
Once you upgrade your brokerage account to include margin loans you're allowed to borrow up to, say, 40% of the value of your stock (I simplify, the exact rate is dynamic).
Say you have $1 million in stock.
You're allowed to borrow up to $400k. You have a line of credit of $400k.
Say you borrow $100k. And in this context "borrowing" is simply transferring money from your brokerage account to your bank account. There's no additional paperwork as in most loans.
Let's say over 5 years you accumulate $10k interest (interest rates are really low, can be below 2% right now).
You don't have to "repay" that $10k or the principal. You now owe $110k which is well below $400k limit.
It's a line of credit, you can still borrow additional $290k.
In the limit that line of credit would only have to be settled when you die.
If the interest paid is tax deductible, then the selling of the stock won't result in a tax needing to be paid.
Reed Hastings would currently being losing a lot under this scheme.
But I think now I've been able to work it out. There's actually two different types of loans but we treat them equally. The first is the nice type, the 'I built a factory, used that factory to pay back the loan with interest', that loan is a positive sum loan, the company wins, the bank wins, and the community wins. The second are loans for land, loans for stock, and other similar loans - these are zero-sum loans. The company can win, the bank can win, but someone is losing, and as is the community.
And so the real problem with this if you track how the money flows - a possible scenario is that a company might take out a bond, use the money for that bond to buy its own stock. The people who sold that stock and got that money might then go out and buy a house, the people who sold that house - you betcha, put that stock into an index fund, which includes a larger and larger share of the companies buying their own shares. Now that their share price is raised, they have more equity, and can once again take out another bond to do it again. It's a positive feedback loop. Each cycle is inflating the bubble. Valuations end up not being based on actual productivity, but on assumptions as to how money will flow through the markets.
We're at a stage now that the stock market flows of funds is only positive because of the stock buybacks. Companies that aren't buying back their stocks are going out of business. The Russel 5000 is getting punished despite the s&p recovering. We're at a stage now where north of 40% of all money is being held behind passive flows. We're now seeing the consequences of that with things like Netflix - when the stock does drop, it drops quickly and massively. Average volatility might be down considerably, but peak volatility is up massively.
Why is that?
A proposal to correct this is to require that when you use an asset as collateral for a loan you have to reassess its value and pay capital gains taxes on the increased basis between when you acquired it and took out the loan.
Basically there needs to be friction and taxation with equity transactions like these loans.
The vast majority of money is "imaginary" in the sense that it's just liabilities on some bank's balance sheet, AKA bank deposits.
> Why can't anyone do this? I'll promise you a bunch of debt and equity, too.
Anyone can do this. Nothing is stopping you from writing me a note for $1,000,000 and me writing you a note for $1,000,000. This leaves us both a million richer in assets and a million poorer in liabilities. At that point even hinkier stuff can happen like me using your note as collateral on a loan to further expand my balance sheet. The tricky part is getting third parties to accept our IOUs. US Banks have no such trouble thanks to their membership in the Federal Reserve system. This is one major reason why a banking license is such a huge deal.
I'm taking a broad definition of "trust" that includes "we can sue you and recover the money."
He was once talking to an ambitions entrepreneur about funding a buyout with junk, and the entrepreneur asked, "This is a lot of money. How do you know I'll replay it?"
Milkin says he replied, "Because if you miss even a single payment, I'll call your debt and take not just the company, but every single asset you own."
———
* That would be presidentially pardoned convicted felon Michael Milkin. The rules for "righting injustice through pardons" are very different for the rich than the comfortably well off, much less those living paycheque to paycheque.
Why should it stop? Do you not believe in redemption? Milken has done (and continues to do) a lot of great charity work with his fortune.
Besides, if you look at what Milken was actually convicted of, it's pretty tame, especially by today's standards. And he spent two years in prison for it. What more do you want?
So if we are saying, "Everyone convicted of a felony who serves their time and who then rehabilitates themselves should be pardoned," I'm all for it. And in my jurisdiction (Canada), people can apply for Federal pardons, and many receive them. There is a standard way to do it, a standard procedure to follow, and in theory, everyone is treated equally by the system.
The injustice comes in if there is a special fast-track for a pardon one gets by hob-nobbing with your fellow wealthy oligarchs, one of whom is elected President and gives you a personal pardon. That's a bad look that suggests that all felons are equal, but some felons are more equal than others.
Likewise, I am extremely leery of talking about "doing great charity work." Reputation laundering is my preferred term, and again this is not something available to all citizens. Nobody gives a crap if some felon donates $1,000 to a soup kitchen, but donate $1,000,000 and you get called a "philanthropist."
I'm all for charity and doing good works, but I'm not for giving philanthropists anything special in terms of justice that people who can't afford to be philanthropists get.
IMO, the answer is not to burn Milken's pardon, it's to pardon more convicted felons who do their time and then turn their backs on whatever criminal acts they used to commit.
People are afraid to expose themselves to liability for hiring a felon, even if said felony is ages ago, because if something goes wrong everyone will say "well you shouldn't have hired a felon."
I do not believe in random justice where connected people can be pardoned even if they deserve so when there are literally millions in jail who could be as deserving.
Sadly important today, pardons can be corrupt. Trump several times promised pardons for people willing to go to jail for him. And he delivered on those pardons.
So yes I believe in redemption, but not by executive decree. That belongs in a time when we had kings with real power.
Finally, the prison time is often from a plea bargain (I do not like those either but different story). So the time sentenced to does not always have a meaning.
By that logic though -- if you're a billionaire, could you try to buy every profitable company on borrowed money?
Eventually you'd make the money back and since you don't have to pay anything out of pocket, you effectively have $INFINITY dollars to bargain with.
He has no "infinity" of anything. It's called leverage and it probably maxes out around 60-70% of everything he owns.
Musk has 100 billion of TSLA say.
He mortgages it to buy TWTR. Now he has 100 billion of TSLA, -40 billion loan against it, and 40 billion of TWTR. He could mortgage TWTR and buy something else, but it would have to be smaller, because the banks won't loan 100% of the value of the thing.
Or he'd have to make another $40 billion and pay off the first loan to mortgage it again.
Think of it as trying to use mortgage properties in monopoly to continue buying other properties.
Unless you're on robinhood: https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/robinhood-traders-discover-glitc...
Maybe we'll see a wallstreetbets post "Musk couldn't take TWTR private but I did via robin hood bug"
however, I'm not confident "anyone" could secure the funding, so they can't "do this"
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-04-20/elon-c...
The long and short of it is that the people who would lend him money may not trust him due to his previous (and erratic) statements.
he has a net worth over 200B, why couldnt he raise 40B?
I feel Elon Musk could literally mint NFT of his face and sell them to raise the cash
people are conflating Musk's personal balance sheet with Twitter's. it's not clear to me whether any debt would be recourse to Musk—but in all likelihood, it wouldn't be. "recourse" is a term used to describe what collateralizes the loan. if the loan is recourse to Musk, he'll have to cover the cost if Twitter isn't spitting off enough cash flow to service the debt. if it's non-recourse, then the only collateral available to the creditors is Twitter and its assets (potentially subject to certain carve-outs). most rich people don't do recourse transactions as a risk mitigation measure. however, non-recourse debt is costlier because the universe of collateral available to the lender is slimmer
why can't anyone do this? because Musk has been deemed a better sponsor / steward of capital than your average joe
Those are legit. Banks don't sign notes without some intent. They can back out, but they are not meaningless.
It's important so that the current shareholders and the board know that Musk's bid is legitimate, and not something he's just making up.
In order for the banks and others to back him in this bid, he will have had to provide with with a lot of info.
This could be a big PR move, but Musk will have had to hire very expensive bankers to actually go through this as if it were a real thing.
"Why can't you do this?"
Because Goldman and other Private Equity firms won't back you (well, assuming they won't). And they won't give you a letter to the board of Twitter saying they will.
If it was Buffet then it would be 'almost a foregone conclusion'.
Not with musk.
Musk has gained $10-30M in free publicity thus far. He's made the front pages of the news everywhere in the world.
He can hardly lose here.
And I'm not a Musk fanboy or anything.
In this case Musk is buying using TSLA (and SpaceX?) shares as collateral, not having TSLA buy.
Tesla nor SpaceX would have no reason to buy Twitter, so Musk has to do it himself.
He has Tesla shares, that's kind of a secondary thing.
It's a leveraged buy out - banks and other firms would be going in with him. A bit like you buy a house.
Everyone can do this. Just call your bank and get commitment from them to issue you a $40B loan! Those "commitment letters" are contracts. It's a known bank with known assets saying it's promised to issue a loan in the stated amount for the stated purpose.
It's the same thing that happens when you make an offer on a house. You don't generally come to them with the money "out of pocket", you show them documentation from your bank that details your mortgage contract. But the mortgage doesn't actually exist yet because you don't own the home. It will execute at the same time as the purchase, generally through some kind of escrow process.
Things aren't any different, fundamentally, even five orders of magnitudes higher.
But if you don’t have sufficient collateral your broker will just tell you to get fucked.
Old thread could not be replied to, probably because too many days past.
2. elon uses this money to buy twitter
4. Interest is cheaper than tax Elon would pay if he sold those shares instead of borrowing against them.
By the time he has to pay it he'll also have to pay tax on the accumulated interest.
He'll pay the interest AND the tax on the principal AND the interest.
The dude does own 200B + worth of publicly traded equities.
Then you get a form of a financial standoff where each party checks that they're getting what they want, and you escrow/sign everything.
One of the main reasons is that today's cash is in essence a rave-club bracelet - you need it for every day transacitons but as a store of value it is useless to harmful. The whole idea of today's currencies is for the financially illiterate people to get robbed of their savings. You don't become that wealthy by being that stupid.
Edit: I used billion instead of trillion, apologies
No it isn’t, the financially illiterate don’t tend to have much savings anyway. The point of controlled inflation is to prevent the financially literate from hoarding cash as an appreciating asset and provide tooling to alleviate economic crisis. Considering your quote I’d question just how financially literate you yourself is.
Hint: It doesn't - you just stated a completely separate fact as if it is logically incompatible with the original argument.
Well, nobody contradicted that statement, as that is generally accepted. The contradicted statement is "The whole idea of today's currencies is for the financially illiterate people to get robbed of their savings.", which as (i parse it) is a statement about purpose of such properties of today currencies, so it is contradicted by a different statement about purpose of these properties: "The point of controlled inflation is to prevent the financially literate from hoarding cash as ..."
It's supposed to be safe but if it has zero risk, then it has zero return.
Inflation is a bit like maintaining the pressure in the pipe of the flow of money.
Inflation also has the effect of discounting debt, which means it is good for borrowers, not lenders. Most people are borrowers, in terms of things like house mortgages and other debts. That's a good thing, but you also don't want wages to have to grow too fast with prices.
Your rhetoric is using lies to pull at peoples emotions, it’s the same thing all right-leaning libertarians spout. It has and will continue to be bullshit.
1. https://news.gallup.com/poll/266807/percentage-americans-own...
Watch how fast it falls when people realize how absurd it is for Tesla to be the sixth largest company in the world by market cap, with a trillion dollar valuation. The meme voting era of stocks is coming to a close. The weighing portion of the cycle is coming and it will not be kind.
"A debt commitment letter"
"A separate debt commitment letter"
"An equity commitment letter"
Am I understanding it correctly that effectively $0 is coming out-of-pocket for purchasing Twitter?
Why can't anyone do this? I'll promise you a bunch of debt and equity, too.