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Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bserge on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:19AM (#28017108)
I literally can't find a job in any kind of engineering. Applied for dozens of cleaning and production positions and couldn't get a job.

You know what the media has become? A cesspool of bullshit unworthy of any trust. No wonder so many people mistrust actual experts, it's hard to even tell who they are.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by benou on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:34AM (#28017183)
I'm sorry to hear that but keep in mind the job market is very different from one location to another and from one sector to another.

The BBC is talking about truck drivers in the UK and it is hardly a surprise: UK used to rely heavily on eastern Europe workers in that area, and they vote (Brexit) to prevent exactly that. They got what they asked for.

If anything, we can complain that the BBC article title is too general and not precise enough, but your particular experience does not necessarily match the experience elsewhere

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bko on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:41AM (#28017590)
In a market economy there is no such thing as a "shortage" of workers. You just don't want to meet the market price of the workers with that skill set. You could imagine a widget factory whose economics rely on paying employees < X. And if the market rate for those workers is > X, it doesn't mean there's a "shortage" of workers, but the workers demand a wage that makes your work unprofitable.

The fact is a lot of people are paid not to work through generous covid-related safety net measures. That are supply of workers has been restricted through immigration policies. But it's not a shortage.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by jen20 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:05AM (#28017776)
> In a market economy there is no such thing as a "shortage" of workers

You need a license to drive a truck in the UK (the actual subject of the article). It takes a minimum of two months acquire [1]. Even paying a thousand dollars an hour does not magic more qualified candidates into existence at short notice as you appear to propose. The reason for the shortage is the trivially foreseeable effects of idiotic hard-line immigration policies, not market economics or “generous” safety nets.

[1]: https://www.get-licensed.co.uk/licence/hgv

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by rapind on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:29AM (#28017959)
I doubt it. If the pay was high enough and the term was long enough, you'd see interest from retired licensed drivers and licensed driver's who'd changed jobs. Then you have 2 months to train up and license new drivers.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by op00to on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:14AM (#28018296)
Plus you can outbid others who are contracting owned and operator drivers.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by jansommer on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:20AM (#28017891)
If the pay is good, demand is high and all you need is to go on a two month course, I'd bet a lot of unemployed people would be eager to do that. The "shortage" is indeed because of Brexit, but paying a thousand dollars an hour will most certainly magically summon workers en mass in a few months.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dd36 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:34AM (#28018000)
Unless people see through it as a short term gimmick in an unstable industry.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by varjag on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:10PM (#28019888)
Given the example of last two years, what are the chances people see through anything.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dazc on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:31AM (#28019009)
There are currently many more licensed UK drivers not working in the industry than there are vacancies.

Maybe ask why so many people have chosen to do other things such as amazon delivery or other such jobs that pay better, have better conditions and don't require regular medicals and certification, etc paid from one's own pocket?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by aix1 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:30PM (#28019551)
> There are currently many more licensed UK drivers not working in the industry than there are vacancies.

Do you have data to back this up (specifically for HGV-licensed drivers, which is what the post you replied to was talking about)?

I briefly looked for stats around valid HGV licences out there, but couldn't find any recent figures.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dazc on Sunday August 01, 2021 @01:30AM (#28024015)
It was from a radio interview I heard the other day, not sure what the actual figure was or the official source. So, take my comment as unproven.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by kd0amg on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:15AM (#28018837)
Raising prices doesn't only move toward equilibrium by increasing the quantity supplied -- it also decreases the quantity demanded.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nradov on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:32AM (#28017978)
There are people with commercial driving licenses who aren't currently working as truck drivers. They could be recruited if employers raised wages.

And a regular truck driver can be trained in a few months. It's not rocket science.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RobertKerans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:47AM (#28019142)
> And a regular truck driver can be trained in a few months. It's not rocket science.

I get why you've said this, but I'm not sure this kind of flippant remark is helpful -- what exactly isn't rocket science? Is it the actual act of training a truck driver? Is it the act of writing down the things needed to get more truck drivers?

Actual process is non-trivial, expensive (you need to persuade people to leave their families), time consuming and involves a chain of other non-trivial time-consuming tasks that currently doesn't really exist (or is at least regionally bottlenecked).

Sure the market will probably eventually sort it out, but that seems neither a quick nor an efficient way of doing things in this case, where this was widely predicted years previous + is now critically required

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by lovich on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:14PM (#28022572)
> Sure the market will probably eventually sort it out, but that seems neither a quick nor an efficient way of doing things in this case, where this was widely predicted years previous + is now critically required

Isn’t the whole idea behind the benefit a free/freeish market provides that it is the most efficient system for allocating resources?

Mind you efficient != resilient

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RobertKerans on Sunday August 01, 2021 @11:11AM (#28026816)
I'm slightly leery of that. But to be fair to the markets here, gov policy + protracted negotiations + lack of concrete information + conflicting guidelines surely made it impossible for a market to actually function properly.

(to be fair to the gov, not sure how they could have operated differently without advising everything the remain side was warning against. Which would have worked I guess, but would have also been bizarre and probably tanked the economy [more])

So based in that, how can it efficiently allocate resources? Given time, sure, maybe in theory. Which is great unless you're a. a business that has actual costs now or b. a real person that needs to eat and pay rent now.

With above in mind, I don't think it's about resilience. Maybe that ultra-simplified answer works! But it seems a pat free market 101 answer -- ignore the context, market will fix it.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by rjsw on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:39AM (#28018039)
> And a regular truck driver can be trained in a few months. It's not rocket science.

They still need to pass the tests, there is a backlog of people waiting to take them.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dragonwriter on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:26PM (#28019528)
> In a market economy there is no such thing as a "shortage" of workers

That's...not true. If you make a bunch of Econ 101-level simplifying assumptions, like that supply and demand curves are continuous, of infinite range, and monotonically increasing and decreasing, respectively, with price, it is a natural conclusion, but those “assume a cow is a perfectly thermoconducting sphere” kind of assumptions don't hold in real market economies.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bombcar on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:09AM (#28017801)
There can be practical shortages - there can just literally not be enough people in the area to do the jobs. Saying “it’s not a shortage because you could buy the Yankees and pay the players $millions to assemble widgets” isn’t very informative.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ipaddr on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:49AM (#28018103)
It is.. it speaks to wages not raising enough to meet the demand. You wouldn't need the Yankees a lot of people would do it for a million, half a million, 100,000 pounds.

There always seems to be a shortage of people willing to work for little never a shortage of people wanting the CEO's jobs

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by treis on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:48PM (#28020199)
>It is.. it speaks to wages not raising enough to meet the demand.

That doesn't really cover the current situation. In the US 7 million or so fewer people are employed than pre-covid. Wages haven't gone down so they can't explain the change.

Something else has changed for these 7 million people.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by username90 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:47AM (#28019144)
There is definitely a shortage of decent CEO's, which is why companies are forced to hire and try to work with the charlatans they have today. That is also why the salaries are increasing, they try to get one of the few good ones.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ipaddr on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:16PM (#28020426)
There is a huge supply of people who want to be CEOS so much in fact most places will not hire you unless you have been a CEO before or have risen through external ranks.

If you take what unemployment defines are qualification.. many able body people could perform those tasks if all CEOs decided to move to other careers.

Salaries increase because qualifications increase creating scarcity which benefit the people who create scarcity. If the hiring guidelines say only CEOs can be CEO prices goes up for CEOs, VPs and anyone in charge of making the rules.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by MattGaiser on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:16AM (#28017847)
You could say the same thing about unemployment. There is no such thing as an unemployment problem in an economy, just workers who want too much and think too highly of their skills.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nradov on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:34AM (#28018003)
That's one of the problems with minimum wage laws: they prevent the labor market from clearing. Some people want to work but due to lack of skills their labor is worth less than the minimum and thus no employer will hire them.

I understand that people can't live on less than the minimum wage. But the solution to that is a proper social safety net, not imposing arbitrary minimum wage limits.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by tsimionescu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:40AM (#28018047)
The problem with this idea is that, beneath some wage floor, workers lose money by working, and would be better off growing food somewhere. The minimum wage is often below this floor, actually - people working minimum wage are often overall paying to work.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nradov on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:41AM (#28018530)
Growing food where? Someone owns all the productive farmland and they aren't giving it away. But people who are willing to work hard and get dirty can certainly find jobs in agriculture.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by tsimionescu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:55PM (#28019779)
Maybe growing food is a bad example, especially since you may be homeless, though if you do own a house, you can do subsistence farming in almlst any soil, raise a few chicken etc.

A better example could be that rather than working below minimum age in NYC you would be better off moving to a rural area and working there.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ipaddr on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:54AM (#28018139)
Minimum wage limits is one of the best tools we have to act as a safety net. What would you replace it with 1 dollar an hour workers with a bigger food stamp budget?

If you can't afford to pay someone the minimum prices you can't afford your business. A minimum wage creates a floor. Allowing low wages means pushing the burden to everyone else not that business.. raise your prices or move to a lower cost country.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dragonwriter on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:18AM (#28018333)
> Minimum wage limits is one of the best tools we have to act as a safety net

Minimum wage isn't a safety net at all. Minimum wage is a mitigation of the problem of low bargaining power of unskilled labor; it basically raises but narrows the tightrope above the safety net.

> If you can't afford to pay someone the minimum prices you can't afford your business. A minimum wage creates a floor.

Yes, it creates a floor for the value of labor you must be able to provide before you can be sustainably employed. (It also, simultaneously, sets a floor for what businesses will offer for labor even in conditions of labor oversupply; set at the right level, this makes it a net win even given the safety net problems it can exacerbate, but it is not the same as and does not remove the need for a safety net.)

> Allowing low wages means pushing the burden to everyone else not that business.

Only for the employees in fields affected by labor oversupply that would be employed in any case, and which are employed at lower wages.

Conversely, it also means lifting some of the burden off everyone else for the people who would not be employed with a minimum wage but who are employed without one.

> raise your prices or move to a lower cost country.

Unless you take the workers with you, “move to a lower cost country” means more people unemployed that are fully reliant on social support in the country that squeezed you out. Which is why minimum wage isn't a safety net.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by sokoloff on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:16AM (#28018317)
Our local pizza places have raised prices dramatically in the last 6 months (16” pizza went from ~$10 to ~$15).

Based on observation during the far fewer times I visit them, they appear dramatically less busy than they used to be. It’s not clear that “just raise your prices and pay workers more” is going to work out for them.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ipaddr on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:06PM (#28020336)
Covid has shifted demand. Covid in some areas means limited seating and increased prep costs. Pizza is more popular in the winter. 10 to 15 sounds like a Covid related increase. This is the summer of the gauge where everyone is making back the profits they lost.

If think it's because minimum wage workers are making $50.00 more a week then this would only apply if the shop was selling less than 10 pizzas a day and had about 10 employees which sounds overstaffed and in an area with no demand.

A pizza shop with 1 - 3 employees working making 80 pizzas a day would only need to raise prices by pennies.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RobertKerans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:57AM (#28019258)
Is this a joke comment? I'm starting to lose the ability to see sarcasm I think. Why would you have expected them to have been busy in the last six months?
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:07PM (#28019335)
Maybe I’m misunderstanding your comment, but why does the expectation of growth in a pizza parlor come across as absurd? Dominoes had 13-14% Q1 same store sales growth over 2020 numbers.

https://ir.dominos.com/news-releases/news-release-details/do...

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RobertKerans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:13PM (#28019385)
sorry, it just seemed a bizarre comment: you said it was less busy when you visited it, at a point in time when everywhere was less busy, nothing to do with overall sales

Edit: sorry not OP

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:16PM (#28019424)
I’m not the original poster, but I would expect sales to correlate with “busy-ness”. To your point though, I guess if everyone was doing takeout, sales could still go up and the place could be empty. Where I’m located though, it seems like businesses have been open for dine in for months and people are filling the dining rooms
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RobertKerans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:20PM (#28019466)
Yeah, fair as does depend on country (and region)
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by sokoloff on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:11PM (#28019366)
They were busier (for pickup) this winter than this summer. I checked my own order history at our previously favorite pizza place. We ordered about 5x/month from Nov ‘20-Mar ‘21 when large cheeses were $9+tax and there was often a line for pickup. We now order around 1x/month (at $13+tax) and walk directly to the counter.

If anything, CV19 is much less a safety concern now than before.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RobertKerans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:20PM (#28019457)
sorry, it just seemed a bizarre thing to comment on: yes the sales may have been higher, and anecdotally you may have seen longer pickup lines (at what times?), but you gotta understand why it reads as a joke, because regardless of above, in-person business is almost universally likely to have been lower, restricted to pickups clustered at specific times
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by f0xytr0xy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:07PM (#28019861)
As a VP does that $4 difference really mean anything to you?
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by sokoloff on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:10PM (#28019886)
We've switched many of our family's Friday night pizza nights to "make pizza at home". Can I afford $4 more? Of course. Do I see the same level of value in a ~50% more expensive pizza? Of course not.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by veltas on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:54AM (#28019214)
What you actually need to do is keep your prices the same while everyone else raises their prices and collect all their business, then you can afford to pay your workers more. But the end effect is the same, less work for people.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:46AM (#28018092)
>But the solution to that is a proper social safety net

Playing devils advocate with your logic, how is this different from preventing the market from “clearing” non-viable businesses? I.e., don’t many safety net programs essentially subsidize business profits by allowing employers to lower wages?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nradov on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:34AM (#28019031)
It's different because allowing people to work for low wages gives them a chance to improve their skills and move up to higher wage jobs rather than perpetually living off welfare.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:47AM (#28019143)
Or it traps them in a cycle of poverty where there’s never enough time or money to make the skills necessary to advance. When I worked as a dishwasher or landscaper, I wasn’t building valuable skills to progress my career. Maybe your point holds for some careers, but I’m doubtful it’s relevant to most low-wage (especially non-skilled) labor. I think the point is also diluted when considering there’s almost always more people at the lower end of these jobs than the higher, meaning everybody can’t always be advancing. There will always be more dishwashers than restauranteurs (ignoring automation)
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nradov on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:52PM (#28019758)
For some people the skills they need to develop first are really basic, like showing up on time and sober, and following basic instructions. We're talking about the lowest tier of the workforce here where the concept of a "career" is kind of alien. Many of them have never been formally employed before and need an opportunity to learn really simple things that most of us take for granted. I think most HN users are disconnected from that reality.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:03PM (#28020311)
This comes across as one of those talking points where an employer exploits a worker under the guise they are almost doing them a favor. (See: NCAA athletes or unpaid interns).

I think this take is a caricature of low wage employees. It’s kinda similar to the talk I occasionally hear about the enlisted ranks in the military. “That’s just for losers and dropouts” or to that effect.

My experience is that those low wage jobs can just as easily be filled with every segment of the spectrum from incredibly smart and competent to those who struggle with basic life tasks. The commonality seems to be they were all disadvantaged in some way. Maybe it was a strained family life or disability or sick relative but the necessity of them taking the job couldn’t be boiled down to something as simple as they couldn’t get their shit together

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nicoffeine on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:01PM (#28020292)
> like showing up on time and sober, and following basic instructions

Poor people are not stupid, or unambitious, and have the same addiction rates as the rich. Of course, rich addicts go to rehab, and poor addicts are imprisoned.

When they try to work their way up at places like Walmart, and get fucked over again and again even when they are taking time off to serve in the military[1], they recognize that the system is rigged and there is no point in pretending otherwise.

There is not a single state where working full time at one minimum wage job is enough to pay for an apartment. [2] That's why more than 5 million people work more than one job. They are trying to beat the system. They want an education and a career. But our society does not provide a realistic path for them to achieve any of those goals.

[1] https://www.militarytimes.com/pay-benefits/2021/01/05/walmar...

[2] http://nlihc.org/sites/default/files/oor/2012-OOR.pdf

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by f0xytr0xy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:09PM (#28019878)
Do you understand that most peoppe on welfare and/or section 8 housing also are required to work shitty jobs in order to receive those “handouts”?

Very few people leave poverty in the usa because of many factors that have nothing to do with welfare.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by chalst on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:39PM (#28020987)
The relationship between minimum wage and employment is profoundly complex and the empirical data is inconsistent with the simple supply and demand model many believe in. There are many documented cases of increases in minimum wage resulting in reduced unemployment.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bottled_poe on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:02AM (#28018206)
Ugh, gross. That’s just slavery with extra steps.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:32AM (#28017980)
>In a market economy there is no such thing as a "shortage" of workers.

Certainly there can be a lag effect though. If there is a shortage of doctors that won’t be remedied overnight by simply increasing incentives because of the amount of time to gain the necessary skills, licensing, etc.

Unless you are willing to lower quality substantially, there absolutely can be worker shortages in a real pragmatic sense

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by x0x0 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:17PM (#28019431)
Except the discussion here is truck drivers (lag: 60 days) and restaurant workers (lag: ~ 0 days).
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:21PM (#28019478)
The comment I replied to didn’t mention truck drivers. They brought up a hypothetical widget factory as an analogy for the economy at large
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ubercow13 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:02PM (#28019285)
Using this logic, in a market economy there can never be a shortage of anything.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by gruez on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:48PM (#28021043)
Yep, no housing shortage, just millennials who "don't want to meet the market price"!

/s

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by honkdaddy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:45AM (#28017619)
What would you call it if we had 5 positions at the widget factory, but only 4 prospective employees looking for work? Wouldn't that constitute a worker shortage, as no matter how high I make my wages as a widget foreman, there are still less workers than there are open positions?

Or is that not something that could really happen outside of a textbook problem?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by cogman10 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:58AM (#28017723)
What are your requirements for the widget employees? Are you willing to train or educate? How effective has your advertisement for the job/wage been?

On a microlevel, a worker shortage is a reflection of lack of wage and too strict requirements. You can't find a worker because your potential workers are happily doing a different jobs. You've not incentivized them enough to come work for you. You might say "But we are offering $15/hour!" and that's fine, but that's what a lot of other companies are now offering. You make balk at the idea of going up further as being "too much" but that just underscores the problem.

Now if it truly is a labor shortage, SOMEONE is going to be left with not enough workers. That'll always be the person that wants "15 years of experience! We pay $30k/year!".

Just do the extreme. Do you think you'd struggle to find someone if the offering was "$200k/year!"? Hell no, you'd have people moving to live in your widget city for that job.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by djbebs on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:00AM (#28017734)
Thats not something that happens in real life, because you will run out of resources to pay the prospective workers with before the total supply of prospective workers is exhausted.

Realistically, you can even hire people to manufacture additional workers, if you have the financial and time resources required.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Retric on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:55AM (#28017690)
Offer people enough money and they will move. Offer even more and they will train specifically to do the job.

Jobs that require lots of training can have short term global shortages of skilled workers. But, that quickly self corrects as long as salaries increase.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by sundaeofshock on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:21AM (#28017903)
That does not necessarily follow. It’s very difficult to put food on the table while going to school in hopes of landing a job in a new field.

Pay living wages and provide paid, on-the-job training. That will get prospective employees through the door.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by x0x0 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:18PM (#28019447)
If it's that important to employers, they'll pay them during the training period.

This used to be standard practice. It's a modern development (80s on) that businesses demanded workers come pre trained.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Retric on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:09PM (#28019357)
It does at a high enough salary. Some people are unable to pay for their own training but you don’t need everyone you simply need enough people. Start offering Doctor money and people will jump through insane hoops, but it scales down so even 20$ an hour will motivate some people to do a specialized training course on their own dime.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by randomdata on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:21AM (#28018350)
The other employees will catch wind of your million dollar per hour offers thrown out in an desperate attempt to find someone, demand that you pay them that much as well, and you'll be bankrupt by Friday. At that point you will have no open positions and everything is corrected for. Or, to avoid bankruptcy, you won't increase your offer and therefore will be removed from the market as a buyer for that position.

A shortage occurs when an external force prevents price from rising. Medical doctors in some jurisdictions, for example, are often legally prevented from accepting higher offers to prioritize patients. Instead their service fees are fixed and they have to accept patients on system that is usually a mix of first come, first serve and needs-based priority. Therefore a doctor shortage, in said jurisdictions, is quite possible. But you generally won't find such restrictions in the general labour pool.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ren_engineer on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:12AM (#28018277)
pay more money or any other incentive that would cause more people to be interested in the job. Why do you think FAANG has hundreds of applications for each job while startups struggle to hire?
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ericd on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:12AM (#28018807)
Paying more is relatively easy to do when your company makes a few million per employee. The vast majority of companies aren’t blessed with pseudo-monopolies that allow them to do that.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by rapind on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:13AM (#28017823)
Not really. You'd have to add some very contrived constraints, like:

1) There's no one currently employed elsewhere that can make widgets who you could poach for enough money.

2) Widget making is so specialized and / or time is so short that you can't train up another worker to fill the role.

If #1 and #2 aren't possible because your margin can't cover it, then you have a failed business, not a labour shortage.

So basically "labour shortage" in a market economy is a myth, usually circulated to suppress wages. Anyone who says "labour shortage" really means "not enough cheap labour".

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bulletsvshumans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:51AM (#28017659)
Advertise a higher than expected wage, and you will see more people coming out of the woodwork.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by carom on Sunday August 01, 2021 @04:30AM (#28024752)
Companies can't just pay infinity wages. They sell a product for a price, often times the economics start to break down for them. Prices are going to rise and we will probably see a reallocation of workers.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by peoplefromibiza on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:51AM (#28018603)
> In a market economy there is no such thing as a "shortage" of workers

You can't meet the demand by producing more workers per hour in some plant though

If you need X doctors and only have X/2, no matter how much you pay them, they won't be enough.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by f0xytr0xy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:13PM (#28019917)
Sure you can, skills based immigration. Poach from other countries.

In the 1970s the USA had a crippling shortage of nurses and doctors which was filled by relaxing skills based immigration laws and importing trained medical talent from the Phillipines en masse.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by peoplefromibiza on Sunday August 01, 2021 @08:54AM (#28025935)
> Sure you can, skills based immigration. Poach from other countries.

there's no guarantee people will come to your country.

for example: would you go to work on the Iranian nuclear project?

Could you even go?

Would your country let you do that?

You keep counting on the fact that people will come to you instead of everywhere else, like it's the 70s.

But more importantly, the conversation is specifically about the hard stop on immigration that Brexit created.

You can't have your cake and eat it too.

Market can't fix stupidity.

I think it's time some nations, like UK, begin thinking about restructuring their society to adjust to the fact that their relevance has plumbed and will keep going down for the next decade.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by pydry on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:00AM (#28017343)
The BBC has for a long long time been more sensitive to the concerns of employers and investors rather than employees or the unemployed.

This has mostly been as a result of aping the trends followed by the rest of the private media in the UK since the 1970s.

They already had a business section and even rolled out a new capital section a few years ago. No word yet on when theyll get a section dedicated to worker news.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by loopz on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:26AM (#28017487)
Why wouldn't they? Workers are generally not allowed to talk about specifics of work to media.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by switch007 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:09AM (#28018768)
I think that’s a really poor excuse. People can discuss anonymously and about recent prior jobs (being slightly less bound by contractual gagging, or under less threat of being sued)

Journalists can apply for jobs and do an exposé too.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by loopz on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:09PM (#28019354)
The sources will be criticized for being anonymous or ousted. Some journalists cover workplace too. However, corporate tactics optimize away most of what is possible in that regard.

All for a public who can't give a damn (gimme the cheapest).

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bserge on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:39PM (#28021369)
Yeah, I get it, I just keep reading these "there are no workers" articles and scratching my head. Ironically, I work in delivery now heh
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:24AM (#28017135)
Hey, try being over 50.

I just gave up, and retired early. Best decision I ever made. I'm working for free, with NPOs, and it's been a joy.

The worst part, for me, has been the naked contempt and disrespect. I don't expect to be worshipped, but raw insults are beyond the pale. It's -literally- like a hazing ritual. With all the news about "frat boy culture," I think I see where it comes from.

I don't think it's just us older folks. It seems as if the entire industry has gone down the bog. My guess is that younger folks are getting similar treatment, but are more willing to shrug it off, and power through.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by oblio on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:26AM (#28017143)
It will stop, at some point. IT is still growing but we're reaching the point where IT workers are a decent percentage of all workers, so they are starting to become representative of the population at large. Larger and larger cohorts of IT workers are aging and recent graduates will stop being enough even for the top companies.

Also, salaries are lower in general but I get the impression Europe is better in this regard. I see older people in IT, at least in Western Europe (in Eastern Europe the field is too new).

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:36AM (#28017194)
I could probably go to the Web sites of at least a dozen successful IT companies, and go to the "Meet the Team" page.

They are invariably a large group of smiling -young- faces. There may be one or two greyhairs in the picture, but a quick shufti of the "Leadership" page often shows them to be C-suite or Board.

Yeah, I'm a cynic.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by cbushko on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:57AM (#28017704)
When you are old, everyone looks young. =)

I see 35 year olds and think "that guy is just a kid"!

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:00PM (#28019273)
This made me chuckle as it reminded me of an older employee referring to another employee as “one of the good interns”. Except the guy he was talking about was in his late 30s and had been with the company for over 5 years :-)
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by detaro on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:01AM (#28017741)
I wonder if there's a corelation in the sense that the young-biased "startup-y" companies are more likely to even have something like a "meet the team" page. (I.e. you kind of need to be below a certain size, and even then plenty places don't have them)
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by robertlagrant on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:42PM (#28020153)
There's a fairly common ideal of what a team photo should look like, and so the people that contribute to that ideal will be in the photo.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by pydry on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:26AM (#28017938)
This is certainly the case for newer VC funded companies. That isnt all of tech though.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ahartmetz on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:40AM (#28017220)
Yes, being older and working in software doesn't seem to be big problem in Europe. A previous (European) employer of mine with a very geopraphically distributed workforce even employed some older Americans.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Archelaos on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:15AM (#28017420)
With regard to Germany, I have the same impression. Mature companies, at least, seem to have a mature workforce. Have a look at a picture of the SAP big band: https://image.jimcdn.com/app/cms/image/transf/dimension=2060...
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by spaetzleesser on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:41PM (#28021386)
It’s not that much of a problem either in the US outside of Silicon Valley and venture backed companies. Plenty of older guys in the not so cool industries.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by peakaboo on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:13AM (#28017405)
Salaries may be lower but work/life balance seems much higher in Europe.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by hibikir on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:56AM (#28019246)
This is something that is very difficult to see at a distance: Just like in politics, it's very easy to get an unrepresentative picture of the world online.

I am a Spaniard who was fortunate to qualify to a US visa, so I was able to come over. I have many friends who went into CS, but didn't have the chances to come over as I did. As far as Spain goes, what I am able to make in the American Midwest pays for an entire team of developers in my hometown, who don't get more vacations than I do, and often work far longer hours.

And it's not just Spain. A local company here has started a Polish development center, because despite the language barriers, and the time difference, it's hard to pass up a total cost per employee of about 1/4th the equivalent developer in Missouri, and those Missouri developers get a month of vacation, and nobody works more than 40 hours a week.

If the concern is just places with bad work/life balance, we can find them on both sides of the Atlantic. My brother in Spain works 60 hour weeks more often than not, just like some people I know at very large online retailers. Those kind of situations can happen anywhere: But in some cases someone gets to choose it because they like the RSUs that come with it, and in others, it's just that the local market really is that bad.

So if I were you, I'd look in detail, as a generalization on work life balance might be very different than you think once you are on the ground. Take a look at "The trimodal nature of the European software market". There really are very few jobs in the top tier, the second tier is quite a bit worse than the US's second tier, for similar work/life balance, and the third tier is so far from the US, you might as well be comparing working conditions of Software developers with Uber drivers.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by reader_mode on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:14PM (#28019404)
People on this forum say EU - but they mean "rich parts of EU". Reality is EU has way more inequality between member states than the US, ironic given the propaganda.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by info781 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:03AM (#28017758)
If you offer an American a choice between more money or more vacation, they will take the money, for the most part.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by stripline on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:03AM (#28018222)
That's because American's can't afford vacations without more money.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dcolkitt on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:12AM (#28018796)
Americans have far more disposable incomes than Europeans. It's not even close. Average household consumption in the US is 65% higher than Germany.[1]

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_household...

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by username90 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:56AM (#28019247)
That measure is wrong, it was designed to make USA look better. Read this part about the measure, it misses government subsidised healthcare etc:

> Household final consumption expenditure (HFCE) is not an exhaustive measure of the goods and services consumed by households. The general government and non-profit institutions serving households (NPISH) often provide goods and services to households for their individual consumption free of charge or at reduced prices. Examples are health services provided by governments or reimbursed by a social security fund, education services, the part of service provided by public museums, concert halls, operas, swimming pools that is not financed by entrance fees, aid for social housing etc. By adding the general government's and NPISHs' individual consumption expenditure to household final consumption expenditure one receives the actual final consumption of households.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_final_consumption_ex...

Edit: Also another way to interpret that value is that is how much households has to spend to uphold decent way of life in that country. So it is really expensive to live in America so people have to work hard to survive. Of course you can't say for sure what is true, but if an American has to spend 50% more to live the same quality of life as a German person then of course he will be less willing to take vacation instead of the money.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by robocat on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:59PM (#28021513)
Hard to know where those figures come from, and the article itself says they divide household by capita, which is extremely weird.

If we look at median wealth (don't use average because highly distorted by wealthy tail), the US comes below a lot of other countries:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_wealth_...

i.e. cherry picking and using invalid metrics can tell whatever story you wish.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by spaetzleesser on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:45PM (#28021409)
A lot of Americans I know seem to associate vacation with super luxury trips. They don’t seem to understand the concept of just taking off and relax but instead want to do trips that go to five star hotels and spend 100 dollars on dinners. No wonder they can’t afford vacation. When I compare myself to colleagues I can often do a one week trip for what they are spending per day.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by refurb on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:29AM (#28018428)
Money is typically not the issue with most US jobs compared to Europe.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by the-dude on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:27AM (#28017499)
> work/life balance seems much higher

That doesn't sound too great. You probably mean better.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by peakaboo on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:27AM (#28017504)
Indeed. :)
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by GekkePrutser on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:29AM (#28017960)
It definitely is depending on the country!
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by paganel on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:29AM (#28017513)
> The worst part, for me, has been the naked contempt and disrespect.

If you don’t mind and if it’s not sensitive do you mind to share some examples? I’ve just gone past the 40 year threshold myself and I think I’m starting to see/notice some of the same things you noticed, i.e. less “camaraderie” (for lack of a better word) and more “getting on top of the other”, a feeling I didn’t have when I entered this industry 15 years ago.

Just yesterday I happened to sit in a coffee shop close to a table where an IT lead (or something like that) was interviewing (I think it was an interview) a younger potential hire (it was a woman, if it counts), and I found his tone and remarks and general demeanor quite off-putting, I was one step way of telling the guy “why the heck are you spewing such bullshit?”, but then again I didn’t want to ruin said young lady’s job interview.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:19AM (#28017881)
I will not give specific examples. Here, there be dragonnes...

But I have been told "You know, because you're older, you'll need to ask for less" by recruiters (recruiters are the worst).

I've had testers (silly tests), be quite disrespectful, and use tone and engagement (or lack, thereof), to make it clear that this is an annoyance for them, and I should just "get it over with," so they can do something "more important," I guess.

I've had numerous recruiters suddenly develop "connection problems" on the phone, moments after I've made it clear that I'm older. They promise to get back to me, and I never hear from them again (I believe that kids, these days, call that "ghosting").

I've had initial screeners (I assume HR), do the same thing.

One pleasant experience was actually Facebook. They have been polite, respectful, and cheerful. I have not felt discriminated by them. I don't think that I want to work there, but I feel as if they would be approachable. I have had other FAANG companies that were shockingly rude, and that surprised and disappointed me.

Probably, the worst thing, for me, is the unwillingness to check my portfolio. It’s friggin huge. Many years in the making, with lots of shipping products.

I’ve actually been told that “I probably faked it,” and given a stupid binary tree test.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ipnon on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:45PM (#28020172)
Working at startups has been my solution to this wide problem. No startup will turn away a domain expert in a field they need help with. A corporation over a certain size seems to glean all they need to know about me as soon as they see my bald head. Any social organization over a certain size seems to be allergic to people with much experience, I think because they cannot mold them into drones.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:14PM (#28020409)
> No startup will turn away a domain expert in a field they need help with.

This has not been my experience. Part of it may be that I don't really do the whole "self-promotion" thing so well.

I'm pretty good at what I do. I have worked with many, many people that are much better than I am, so I don't let it get to my head.

But whenever I mention what I'm good at, it's met with snorts of disbelief. That's crazy. I am not claiming to be Superman.

I have a massive portfolio that proves what I claim. It has 30 or more (complete, documented, tested, and supported) repos, with over a decade of checkin history, and full source for a whole boatload of [mostly deprecated] shipping applications. Don't believe me? Clone the repo, and hit "Build." I have dozens of blog entries, articles, teaching series, etc.; all linked from my SO story. I even have the PDF manual for my very first engineering project, in 1987.

What I can (and can't) do is not a matter for debate. Like I said, I have worked with many folks that make me look like a piker.

Here's an example:

About a month and a half ago, I responded to an article, where the author claimed we "never finished" anything. This was what I posted:

>> I dare you to list three finished software projects.

> I can probably list 30, and point to the repos.

It's 100% true. You don't need to take my word for it. Simply look at my SO story. I link to it in my HN handle.

Someone that obviously did not bother to do exactly that, posted a challenge, basically calling me a liar. I responded by throwing the seed into the nest, and posting a link to my SO story[0]. They never responded, after that.

Like I said, I know that I'm pretty good at what I do, but I spent my entire career around folks that made me look like a beginner.

It's really, really sad that people seem to consider that kind of stuff to be a lie.

[0] https://stackoverflow.com/story/chrismarshall

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by jason0597 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:20PM (#28022612)
I believe that such a long history of experience is seen with awe and respected much much more and compensate much better in traditional engineering fields (chemical etc.) rather than in tech. I could be wrong though.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by peakaboo on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:35AM (#28017547)
I think tech attracts a certain type of person... People with high iq but very low scores in compassion and care.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by FooBarBizBazz on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:53AM (#28018135)
I dunno. I get the same vibe from medicine. MDs in particular. Less so the further down the food chain you go. (Part of that is culture. The bottom is composed of immigrants who still act like normal human beings.) I think it's something that's more broadly acculturated among the highly educated and high-achieving. Or just selected for whenever competition is fierce.

I also did not get this feeling from other technology industries that weren't "Tech". Places full of PhDs, but disconnected from the SV culture. And frankly, less motivated by money and more by lifestyle.

Maybe it all boils down to money. There's too much money in Tech. It attracts the worst, and brings out the worst.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:29PM (#28020041)
> There's too much money in Tech. It attracts the worst, and brings out the worst.

That is my thesis.

In New York, we have the finance industry, which is just as bad (if not worse).

It has also been like this for most of a century. That does not bode well for Tech improving.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by shrimp_emoji on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:39PM (#28021783)
Web dev, specifically.

That's where ALL the money is, and it's where the worst culture (and worst tech) is, imo. :p

I mean, hell, why else would anyone learn React? $$$$$$

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ipnon on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:02PM (#28020301)
All high achievement types are like this, because high achievement[a] requires selfishness. Compare the law firm partner who works until midnight everyday while his wife and children languish at home, with the priest who volunteers at the food kitchen and adopts orphans. Both add some value to society, arguably, but one of them lives in a mansion and one in subsidized housing. Highly prosocial behavior is not always incentivized in American society[a]. This gives us benefits like iPhones and Amazon Prime, and detriments like homelessness and deaths of despair.

[a] In a material sense, excluding moral and ethical achievements. "Mad Men"-style success, not Buddha-style success.

[b] Although Americans on average are extraordinarily charitable in terms of dollars donated

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:55PM (#28021467)
"High Achievement" is probably in the eye of the beholder.

I've written a fairly massive infrastructure system that is used throughout the world, and has, undoubtedly, saved lives. It will probably continue to do so, in some form or another, long after I take my dirt nap. It has formed the nucleus of an entire Service structure; not just one application.

Did I do it to be considered a "hero"? Did I do it for financial reward?

The answer to both is "No." I have stepped away from the project, and it has taken on a life of its own.

I developed the system over a period of a couple of years, at first, and refined it for a decade, before finding a team willing to take the reins. That required that I step away from the project, and cede total control: technical, IP, legal, etc., to the new team.

Before long, I'll be nothing more than a footnote in the historical record.

Thousands of people, around the world, use the system, every day. During the COVID impact on the users, it was rapidly adapted to serve a very new environment. It has always been completely localizable, and has a simple, powerful semantic interface that allowed all sorts of cool adapters that I only vaguely predicted, in 2008, when I started it.

I never charged a dime for it. In fact, it cost me thousands to maintain and evangelize it.

I'll probably never get credit for most of the work and planning that I did, and I'm fine with that.

I consider that "high achievement." I did a lot of it, because I needed to keep my tech chops up, and saw a need that could be filled. I enjoyed the process of envisioning the project's lifecycle, planning its genesis, and implementing it. It allowed me to do stuff that my employers would not let me do.

It wasn't because I'm some kind of saint, or martyr. In fact, a lot of folks, during its early years, thought that I was a cantankerous, dictatorial, controlling bastard. I needed to keep the project on task, and in focus. That often meant being a real dick (I'm good at that).

When I finally encountered some tech people that were qualified to handle it, and take it to the next level, it was important for me to turn it over completely, and get the hell out of the way. By that time, I was sick of it. I wanted to learn new tech, and work on different stuff. I basically slowed down the car, pushed it out onto the sidewalk, and went screeching off into the distance.

Most of the work that I've done, in the last four years, has been stuff that I wanted to do, for fun. I had a number of theories about developing high-quality software, I wanted to really get down and dirty with Swift, I wanted to develop applications that made me proud, and I wanted to work my ass off. I like working. You won't find me on a golf course. The coroner is gonna have to rub "YTREWQ" off my cheek, because I'll faceplant on my keyboard, when I pop my clogs.

I'm no saint, but I also consider myself to have a very high degree of Integrity. I have absolutely no desire at all to sacrifice that for money.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Dracophoenix on Sunday August 01, 2021 @12:12AM (#28023739)
Your screed reminds me of a scene from Justice League Unlimited[1] in which Luthor is questioned about why he continues to strive for great heights (or, in the view of the Justice League, nadirs) despite, on a conventional scale, having already achieved the high status of being rich and powerful and ,on a cosmic scale, being bound by a relatively meager existence that will eventually pass on as a forgotten footnote.

All said and done, what you describe is another type of high achievement and one that isn't necessarily opposed to massive earnings (at least as a means); that of the skilled artisan. Even if you have helped millions of people in lieu of lucre, the pursuit of high achievement of any kind still required selfishness on your part. You still decided how everything was run and as well as the standards under which it should be run following your departure.

In that sense you're a hero of a sort. Even if you don't see it. It takes heroic effort to scaffold one's integrity, vision, and time into a project with the goal that said project will improve itself years down the line. All of what you've worked on is ,directly or indirectly, a product of your choices.

[1]https://youtube.com/watch?v=K4TC1xMyZDI

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Sunday August 01, 2021 @06:54AM (#28025370)
That was fun. Thanks!

Off to shave my head...

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ipnon on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:13PM (#28021610)
Yes, I included the footnote because I am defining high achievement as dominance of the social hierarchy.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by hncurious on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:37AM (#28019064)
Tech was once not that respected, & mostly full of nerds who were just way into tech. But then tech rose in status & income, & was invaded by top school kids seeking such things, who took over the top slots. These new kids didn’t much respect older tech folks from wrong schools.

https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1421212798881722368

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by FooBarBizBazz on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:01PM (#28020293)
The reduced standing (and compensation) of Finance post-2008 has something to do with it.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bserge on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:42PM (#28021398)
I've observed this and it's just appalling.

It doesn't matter that 50 year olds can do the same work just as well, no, management seems to want freaking Energizer bunnies on their team.

Nevermind that they don't actually get more work done (and more importantly, better), it's just about being "passionate" about doing the same shit every day. Wtf.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:27PM (#28022962)
It's not just better. It's shipping. I've done that, since I was 24 years old. I literally have the manual that I wrote, accompanying the first professional engineering project that I did, after my first promotion to a salaried engineer, from a bench tech.

When I read it, I am impressed, and it was done in 1987. It was an internal tool, that was used to test defense tech. I treated the project as if it was being delivered to the field, and lives depended on it. It was that much of an Honor for me to have the chance to do that work.

I am a high school dropout. I got a GED, and had to fight for everything I got. That means that I valued everything, and never treated it as "my due."

Every job that I have ever had, has been a Signal Honor. It has been a privilege, and a chance to learn more, and push my boundaries. Every team that I ever joined, was composed of people that were better than me, and had something to teach me. It was always an Honor to be admitted to their ranks.

I understood, from my very first assignment, that I needed to ship.

Shipping is what makes money. Shipping is what builds brands. Shipping is what the customer wants and needs.

Everything else is just a low SNR.

That's why I have always treated every single one of my projects as if it were a gift, given to me, and one that needs to be treated with Respect, Honor and Dignity. It needs to be done well, and it needs to be finished. I consider myself to be a craftsman, as well as an engineer. I won't design garbage, and I don’t want my work to be treated as garbage[0] (if I have any say in it -which has not always been the case).

I know that attitude sounds over-dramatic, ridiculous, and anachronistic, but it's the one I have. I'm not looking for work. I don't really have an investment in what people think about that, anymore. The people that matter, know me, and they know my work.

[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5rsZfcz3h1s

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by foobiekr on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:24PM (#28021679)
How do you find NPOs that aren’t ego-driven sweatshops? I’ve been pondering doing this for a few years but the reality of many nonprofits is that they are quite exploitative of their employees and volunteers. I’d happily do net and server admin for a low overhead background task but not for a ceo ego org.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:14PM (#28022892)
I've not encountered them.

If I'm not getting paid, I can vote with my feet.

If I take a job, and take money, then I am bound by Integrity and Personal Honor, to do all in my power to complete the contracted tasks; and to do so, well.

If I am working on a volunteer basis, then, if they become douches, I pack my bags and leave. I don't give a rat's ass about prestige and todger-measuring contests. I do the work, because I find it personally fulfilling. I don't act like a prima donna, but I also don't brook nonsense. They figure that out, fairly quickly.

But that hasn't happened. The sheer value of the Quality of the work I do -I am not exaggerating- is something most Fortune 500 companies don't get. I think that this gets past the egos.

I've found that I'm actually treated with Respect, and I don't have to arm-wrestle insecure managers for every damn thing.

Also, I have been working with NPOs for 40 years. It's only been the last 4, that it has been full-time.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bottled_poe on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:04AM (#28018230)
That doesn’t sound liveable. How do you pay for rent?
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:25PM (#28020007)
I worked for over 30 years, lived frugally, avoided debt, and saved a significant chunk of my salary.

As a result, I reached the point, where I don't need to work, if I don't want to.

I want to work. I love what I do. I don't need to make money at it. I also like to help people, so I found people that want to help people, and can't afford much.

It really is a shame. I have a fairly significant set of skills and experience. Pretty much what a startup would need, to make a new product a reality. I know how to make very high-quality software that ships. I did it for my entire career. I also do quite well on teams, and have been a problem-solver, all my life.

The folks I'm working with now, pinch themselves, every day.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by DantesKite on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:45PM (#28020177)
Have you thought about building small projects that could earn you a little bit of income on the side?

Doesn't necessarily have to be an overwhelming product, but just a way of practicing and exploring work.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ChrisMarshallNY on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:32PM (#28020541)
I prefer doing them for free.

Most of the work I do, is self-education. I love to learn, and I have been maintaining my competency in shipping work for decades (Which often means that I am not right at the "bleeding edge." Shipping is usually a couple of steps back from that).

If you check out my SO Story[0], you'll see a whole boatload of published modules. They are -each and every one- totally "ship-ready." I produce them as if they are to be commercial-grade products, with the appearance of a major-league brand -even the experimental projects.

There are also complete source code bases for a number of published (and many, since, deprecated) apps on the Apple App Store. I've been shipping apps continuously, since 2012. I've provided full source code for all of them.

I don't promote them at all. I don't really care. I have no idea if anyone uses them. I have a few stars, and a couple of forks, but I've not seen my stuff appear anywhere (It's MIT, so I assume I'd be noted in the README -HAH!).

Many of these are 1-source-file development utilities, with dozens of files of testing code, wrapped around them.

I like Quality.

I'm my own best customer. I tend to be pretty skeptical of most of the available dependencies, out there, so I like to write my own.

The project I'm working on now, is non-trivial. It's the kind of thing that normally takes a team of at least five engineers, running 24/7 on Red Bull, to do. I do well at these kinds of things. It's coming along nicely, and will be ready in a few months. I also wrote two of the servers I use.

It is not (currently) open-source, but I may, sometimes, spin an open-source module out of it. I just did one, a couple of weeks ago (LGV_Cleantime).

[0] https://stackoverflow.com/story/chrismarshall

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by WJW on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:00AM (#28017340)
> any kind of engineering

> Applied for dozens of cleaning (...) positions

Is this a common thing to do when applying for engineering jobs? What kind of qualifications do you even get where you

1. Are not specialized in a specific type of engineering (chemical, electrical, software, etc)? All these fields needs massive amounts of technical knowledge and I'm pretty sure I shouldn't be hired as a chemical engineer even though I know a lot about electronics design and software.

2. Want to get in as a cleaner rather than (say) a junior engineer? How much extra on-the-job experience that would be relevant to engineering do you hope to get from a position as a cleaner?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by atrettel on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:48AM (#28017642)
I'm a mechanical engineer and I believe I can answer your first question. My take is that many engineering employers value the ability of entry-level employees to learn new things rather than what they know (their expertise). They want blank slates many times, to be honest, to be molded into the kind of employee that they need at the moment. As long as you have the most basic relevant engineering knowledge and a degree you are good enough. For example, my first engineering job was actually in chemical engineering largely (chemical kinetics), and I got it despite knowing very little about chemical engineering.

This is both good and bad for the employees in my view. It is good in the sense that you could (potentially) change subject matter easily, but it is bad in the sense that you are very much replaceable. That said, many employers do want and need specialized knowledge and experience even for entry-level engineering positions (not just for experienced positions), and any entry-level candidates with that specialized knowledge and experience will do better in the hiring process (as far as I know!).

That said, my recent experience in the job market actually matches bserge's experience. There are far too few open positions in my observations, and I too had to apply to way too many jobs, and it took far too long to hear back [1]. That is of course just another anecdote but it has been my experience as an engineer. I'm gonna be fine and will start a new position soon, but I think the narrative that there is an employee shortage only applies to low wage and unskilled workers and not to engineering professionals.

[1] I recently started collecting data on this from my own job applications. For example, the median number of days to a final decision for me was 55 days. The mean was 112 days. This appears to follow an exponential distribution. I only started looking into this data recently when I questioned why it took 4 months for an employer to request an interview with me.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by cwbrandsma on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:43PM (#28019678)
I've been hiring a lot lately (software development), two senior level positions (5 years or more experience) and one mid, three hires so far, two more roles to fill. These are all remote positions in a full remote team. Just be living the continental USA.

For the senior level positions we had maybe 10 applicants. Only two met the requirements (5 years experience with Asp.Net and C#, and be able to legally work in the USA). We hired both of them. Both had multiple offers within a week or two.

For the mid level position (2-3 years, had done web development, we prefer .Net but will take Java, Rube, Node, etc) we had 150 applicants. 140 of them were fresh grad school grad with no work experience, all needed visa help. OK, threw those out, now down to 10, found 1 of those with decent web development. Hired.

Really, I don't think I'm being crazy with the requirements, but we just are not seeing applicants.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Off on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:29PM (#28020924)
>For the mid level position (2-3 years, had done web development, we prefer .Net but will take Java, Rube, Node, etc) we had 150 applicants. 140 of them were fresh grad school grad with no work experience, all needed visa help. OK, threw those out, now down to 10, found 1 of those with decent web development. Hired.

Mind sharing the reasons why you refuse applicants who need visa help? I live a in third world country (It's been the worst, especially with Covid) and I'm 30 now and I'm planning to grind interviews to land a a job in tech in the US, so i was curious why is it so hard to get a work visa.

Thanks!

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by atrettel on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:44PM (#28021014)
Thank you for giving an employer's perspective here. I can see how finding qualified applicants can be difficult, and I hope you find qualified people for your other open positions. Nonetheless, I think the hiring process you describe could be improved. As I had stated in my previous comment, it might be helpful to consider whether an applicant can do the work rather than just whether they have done the work before. I admit that is difficult to gauge, but that perspective may help you see more potential applicants.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bserge on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:57PM (#28021491)
I'm an electronics engineer by education. Sadly I've not worked in the domain (lol), but I have years of experience in electrical design and maintenance, digital marketing and sales, electronics repairs and maintenance, and construction.

But I won't complain about cleaning floors, working in a warehouse or as a delivery driver. It's a last resort type of job, but work is work.

My CV must be confusing as hell tbh, I just never understood why I should stay in one place for more than a few years. There's just nothing more to learn. But the real world disagrees.

Then again, one apparently needs years of education to set up a CCTV system or Wifi network in an office building in the real world, and you also have to be a smug asshole about it, an art that I have yet to master.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by White_Wolf on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:47AM (#28017634)
"Any kind of engineering" is a bit broad. Loation matters a lot with available jobs. Take a look at London and a 30 mile radius around it(or so). You can't find enough skilled (not talking about diplomas here) electricians, PLC/automation controller programmers, Security system engineers, Maintenance engineers and I could go on with the list.

I would suggest going straight to companies(managers and such) with your CV. Most(if not all) recruitment agencies have staff that are not exactly qualified to assess skill sets. If it's not a 1:1 match on at least 50-75% of the requirements for the role they won't put you forward.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by wildrhythms on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:46PM (#28019710)
I work at a massive, well-known tech company, nearly 5 year tenure, and I apply to jobs on LinkedIn, directly through the company website, to government jobs (via USAJOBS), about 5 per week. I live in a major U.S. city. I'm willing to relocate anywhere, or work remote. Full-stack developer. I never get contacted back. Am I just not good enough?

I know the discourse is around London, but I think this is an issue happening in many places, and seeing the "where are the workers?" articles is really troubling for me.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by White_Wolf on Friday August 06, 2021 @09:39AM (#28086983)
Maybe you need to rework your CV/profile a bit. It's about keywords these days and only after keyworks comes the real deal.

As a side-note: My current boss told me straight up he hired me because my cv was shit but he looked at my hobbies. THat is what made him give me a call to get a feel for the "dumb ass" that is that bad at selling himself.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dehrmann on Saturday July 31, 2021 @06:58PM (#28022193)
There's something weird about this. You should be getting recruiters on Linkedin reaching out.

What's your job title at the well-known tech company? I assume it's more like FAANG than a consulting firm? How many years of experience do you have? Have you reached out to people you've worked with in the past to see if their current employer is hiring? Are you in a major tech city or a major city with no tech presence?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by stevewodil on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:38AM (#28017567)
In having a similarly hard time finding something. It seems like every job I apply to has 50-100 other candidates that also applied. I'm not sure how many of them are actually qualified, but based on how many times I've been passed up, some of them clearly are. This is also compounded by the fact that a lot of the jobs are remote now, so anyone across the country can apply.

My friend who is a recruiter says it's a talent driven market right now. So, I'm not sure what to make of any of it. It certainly depends on the specific type of work you're looking for.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by mercy_dude on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:31AM (#28017525)
> You know what the media has become? A cesspool of bullshit unworthy of any trust.

I wouldn’t label all media outlets under the same but mainstream media (think of what we grew up watching - CNN, NYT, BBC etc) is increasingly becoming what you described, opinion driven activism fueled journalism rather than reporting facts. It’s a sad state of affairs but across the world it is the same norm, journalists have turned into crowd pleasing (many have their own tweeter world where they are not shy to be an ideologue) click rate seeking media professional rather. My sense is that this type of journalism and their wide coverage under libel protection for example in US only polarizes further the people and as you mentioned make people mistrust _all_ experts. Which is not a good place to be for a society.

Good news is more and more independent journalism (ones not behind under mainstream umbrella or with brands of their own) are doing works in real journalism. People such as Glenn Greenwald are using platforms such as substack which is far better imo than any news you read these days to cover and report a nuanced topic.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bserge on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:04PM (#28021544)
Sorry, I'm pretty emotional these days on account of not getting any help from a healthcare system I'm paying into. My medication is right there on the shelves, alas there are no doctors available to prescribe it. Even though I am literally forced to pay for it.

Would anyone be interested in me documenting this, btw? It just seems like there's a whole lot of people that are ignored or shafted by universal healthcare and yet everyone seems to be singing praises about it.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by DethNinja on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:32AM (#28018463)
Mechanical Engineering is a very saturated field and it is very hard to open your own company. If you want to become self employed in that field then you need good connections more than talent. I would recommend switching to software engineering. Not that software engineering is much better but at least self employment will be a bit easier.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by lightning19 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:57PM (#28021103)
Agreed, I'm a mech engineer by education. Saw the writing on the wall half way through my degree and learnt how to code in my spare time. I'm an SWE now, it has literally changed the course of my life, had I stuck with engineering my household would not have an income worthy enough to pay for basic needs + internet. Some of my friends from university are still unemployed, it's so bad that I know someone with a MSc in Engineering working in a mall as a salesman.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ianai on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:30AM (#28017162)
I think the shortage is in positions companies don’t want to pay much. At least anecdotally, I’ve seen and heard a lot about restaurants having cook shortages. This doesn’t negate your point. I’d say it just bolsters your point.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by randomdata on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:01AM (#28018200)
Someone who isn’t willing to pay enough does not qualify as demand, thus is not considered a participant in the market, and therefore would not impact a shortage situation. A shortage occurs when an external mechanism prevents price from rising. Choosing to not pay more is internal.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by release-object on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:41AM (#28017232)
Really sorry to hear that.

My personal experience, of hiring software engineers in London, aligns with this article. We have seen a drop in supply this year.

If you are looking in the South of England I would recommend finding a specialist tech recruitment agency.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by mattlondon on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:54AM (#28017303)
As a counter point in London, I've found supply to be pretty good.

Multiple actually good and talented candidates to basically pick the best from, and not just dregs with "this person will do I guess - 50% is better than nothing" type sentiment.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dbetteridge on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:24AM (#28017479)
Supply in London is fine, companies just need to raise their salaries tbh.

I personally moved companies during covid and got a more flexible role and a 90% increase.

Recruiters are going nuts on LinkedIn atm for anyone with skills and the salaries are rising from there.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by gifnamething on Sunday August 01, 2021 @12:00PM (#28027238)
I've turned down job offers in London because I can get the same salary with a 33% reduction in cost of living elsewhere or work in London for 200% of the salary doing software engineering for finance.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by rossmohax on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:36PM (#28021350)
With IR35 reform in full swing, I'd expect quality supply to incease as contractors start to seek full time positions.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by yhoneycomb on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:57AM (#28019249)
The worst is when they say "experts say" and then just say whatever their own opinion was.

Sure, you can find "experts" to say anything. I'm more interested in who exactly you're talking about, or what data you're referring to. "Experts say" is just such a lazy and often misleading statement.

I've seen way too more articles that claimed "experts said" something which was NOT at all the consensus opinion.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by golergka on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:50AM (#28017653)
I have just been on remote job hunt this past month, and have ended up with a lot of offers and maybe-offers (refused before getting the final letter, but things have been going this way) from US and Europe. And I'm not a native speaker, live in Eastern Europe and don't even have a degree, just work experience.

Engineering labour market is extremely skewed towards the job seeker right now.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bserge on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:05PM (#28021553)
Yeah, I should probably move back there.