oblio

They should talk to a orthopedist, in that case.

> That doesn’t require continent-scale anything.

Wha???

There are 13 companies in <<total>>, on the <<entire planet>>, that make more than that: https://companiesmarketcap.com/largest-companies-by-revenue/

Most of those needed decades to reach this point.

Anthropic has a near-clone in OpenAI (and vice versa). There are multiple smaller competitors, several much cheaper (especially the Chinese models).

Anthropic obviously needs continent-scale balance sheets, I would argue "multiple continent-scale balance sheets", since Google & co make their money by selling everywhere except for China.

Anthropic and OpenAI are never entering China on a massive scale. US relations with Europe are deteriorating and LLMs are <<massive> risks in an adversarial relation so it's not inconceivable Europe at some point starts marginalizing US tech companies, at least LLM labs. I imagine India will want to do something similar at some point.

Where exactly is Anthropic going to make all that steady revenue from, if it can't break out of coding and cybersecurity? Even worse, both those markets are super tech savvy so those cheap rivals are even more dangerous. One slip up the next 5+ years and Anthropic is history.

Ah, ok, so basically advanced pattern matching. I wonder if they train models on each other's weights?

Maybe I'm missing something, but isn't training an LLM very well documented? Why wouldn't an LLM be able to read those docs just like it would read Java Spring docs?

> pubic-facing remote monitoring jollies

Those freezers seem to be having lots of fun :-)

For commercial uses some kind of global monitoring is not super crazy. Regular retail freezers being on the internet, that's the crazy talk.

Modern cosmetics are 90% harmful garbage.

There are valid uses for silicone, for example high quality silicone gaskets for leak proof containers are a very solid use case. We should just not use it for everything that's remotely applicable.

LLMs will likely greatly increase the cost of ignoring security, which is the most powerful tool to increase security ticket prioritization.

I wouldn't be shocked if in 1-2 years non-security vetted software released into the wild will be hacked on arrival, like Windows XP without service packs used to be.

If you want an attack angle into parchment paper, look up a) silicone curing types and b) loose siloxanes.

> If you can't put that into a metric, why bother cleaning your house? We clean it anyway, because of a certain je ne sais quoi.

That "je ne sais quoi" is called hygiene and it's hard to measure but when you stop cleaning, generally bad things happen.

> Blatantly false. Name one industry where a huge chunk of experts spend their time doing volunteer work, because that's what open source is (Linux, GCC, etc.). Have you ever seen a baker just giving out free bread on weekends and calling it a hobby? I haven't.

Programmers do that because distribution is free, production has a fixed cost that's relatively limited compared to actual industrial equipment and the output directly benefits THEM.

If they would really be as altruistic as you say, software made by companies started by devs would be AGPL or even freer.

> The expectation that everyone could just vibe through life and be perfectly happy is unrealistic. There will always be winners and losers, there will always be inherent unfairness, deal with that to your best ability.

Q.e.d.

This assumes that a teacher that's paid 1/5th of a dev is "vibing".

Politicians are lacking in EQ, not IQ. Higher IQs would make things slightly better while higher EQ leads to much better outcomes. Ideally, yeah, both are needed.

Silicon Valley is worse than average because they're mostly techies and techies are people that on average love things more than people and have low empathy. They also lean isolationist/libertarian and are the perfect victims for "bootstraps" mentality.

Google owns Google Books and a myriad other data sub businesses beside the index of the entire web.

For most of those Google is much better positioned.

> There is no understanding with AI-generated applications, full stop.

Full slop, you mean.

SREs will be de-materialized and converted to a Docker image that will be run on Kubernetes, in the prod env.

The entire story sounds very weird.

Frankly, I've been dreaming since 2005 of having better single player AI than whatever garbage we've been building since at least 1995.

Actually, not even single player, I'd want to play Dota 2 with bots that are at the average human skill levels but don't give up easily and have, you know, manners...

Nobody learns to use an editor - or for that matter, learns anything - by figuring out a history lecture first.

People that do that are weirdos, and yes, I'm one. But I don't expect regular people to learn that way.

> Its only reason for existing is GPL freedumb nonsense that was popular back in the day.

These days we need more GPL, not less. We need AGPL and apparently, soon, AntiLLM-GPL.

In my experience routine trumps almost everything. And considering language learning, religion, accents, etc, routine probably trumps everything, period.

I've seen enough parents carting bored kids through supermarkets, while walking sullenly and silently, to know that some people aren't even trying.

> I also haven't gone grocery shopping since 2020.

Do you have regular groceries delivered?

Do whatever it takes to handle things, but for this:

> My wife and I BARELY have time to go grocery shopping

If you can, take them grocery shopping with you. One parent stays at home doing stuff, the other goes grocery shopping with at least one kid.

In my experience kids at least 12-18 months old LOVE grocery shopping.

Get a big shopping cart, put them in that special seat facing you. Keep it concise, don't shop for more than 1 hour per round. Talk to them, explain what you're doing, give them harmless things to play with (a carrot, a celery bulb, a bag of rice, whatever). Have a little fun with the produce, they will love random things, for example that weird looking tomato.

It becomes even easier as they grow a bit.

I'd argue that OP is directionally right and:

1. only some specific circumstances for regular kids

2. special needs kids

should warrant exceptions.

People still don't see where this is going.

TV had both 15-20 minute of ad breaks every hour AND product placement during actual content.

That's where we're going in about 10-15 years.

Businesses.

> Gemini is also IMO excellent for everything that is not coding. It's really rare that I use Anthropic models (which I pay a subscription for) for anything else than coding.

I use Gemini Pro for every day stuff and Opus is much better than it. A lot more features and everything works better, especially in the websites. Gemini is just... dumber overall. I had a project/gem (now replaced by a skill) and sometimes I'd start with them and then veer of course along the way. Gemini would religiously follow the initial context, stupidly, while Opus realized that a good chunk if it wasn't needed anymore after my last prompt and did the right thing.

Considering the accelerating rate of installation and the ever decreasing costs of manufacturing, both problems should be alleviated in 10 years. Instead of 25 minutes, most likely 4-6 hours. Instead of extremely uneven distribution, likely all the major population centers will have at least some non zero coverage.

China can't hate coal (yet). In case of an armed conflict with the West, they will be cut off completely from oil and gas. Renewables don't cover all their energy needs. So they are building a lot of coal plants as backup.

That documentation is extremely sparse. Can I run that 24/7 and access it anywhere around the world? Is it secure?