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Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by georgeburdell on Thursday August 24, 2023 @11:03PM (#37257496)
Software salaries have to fall a lot more to keep semiconductor experts from doing lateral moves. I have an EE PhD, concentration semiconductors, and worked in the industry for a while, and a decade out my entire group of semiconductor PhD friends has now moved onto data science, ML, firmware, etc.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by voidfunc on Thursday August 24, 2023 @11:07PM (#37257522)
Or semiconductor salaries need to rise...
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by doctorwho42 on Thursday August 24, 2023 @11:35PM (#37257717)
You guys keep focusing on the wrong thing, salaries are a first order solution. What needs to happen is that the average salary can provide a citizen with a comfortable and simple life (housing/shelter, food, clothing, etc.).

Jacking up salaries without bringing the standard of living for the rest of your society will only lead to a continued breakdown of the social fabric that we have been seeing steadily happening over the past 30-40 years.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jacoblambda on Thursday August 24, 2023 @11:52PM (#37257828)
Yeah and that can happen by paying everybody more.

Salaries have largely stayed the same while prices have risen and that excess has gone to profits. If workers demand more pay and they force the issue, the economy eventually will reach equilibrium.

The issue currently is that those workers can't really do that because the US government has shown time and again that they don't really care that much if a company violates organised labor laws or labor laws in general (you get a fine and a slap on the wrist) but they will bring down god's wrath if workers/a union has an "illegal strike" after the employer ignores their demands.

There is a reason why ever since Reagan took a hardline anti-union stance and disbanded the PATCO union for having the audacity to strike in the 1980s that the number of major strikes per year has steadily declined.

https://www.bls.gov/web/wkstp/annual-listing.htm

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by johnnyanmac on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:12AM (#37257960)
if you pay everyone 10% more, the difference between a $30k worker barely scaping by and a $100k worker that is cofortable simply increases by $7k.

I'm not saying everyone can't get a pay raise, but we can't think linearly here. Semiconductor workers aren't exactly applying for food stamps.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Dylan16807 on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:15AM (#37258992)
> if you pay everyone 10% more, the difference between a $30k worker barely scaping by and a $100k worker that is cofortable simply increases by $7k.

As long as more of the gross profit goes to workers, that's a step in the right direction.

Though I would say the linear solution is paying everyone $6k more, which is much better!

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by johnnyanmac on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:04AM (#37260743)
>As long as more of the gross profit goes to workers, that's a step in the right direction.

That's now how the lesser paid workers will see it, unfortunately.

>Though I would say the linear solution is paying everyone $6k more, which is much better!

That would be flat (Y = 6000 vs Y = 1.X%). Perhaps better, but I'm not sure if that's been done outside of stimulus checks.

I think what the person up chain was alluding to was to increase minimum wage or similar initiatives. Doesn't help the higher end of the working class but helps out the lower end immensely, and indirectly helps out the middle as well.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by ms4720 on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:17AM (#37260832)
Minimum wage raises encourage two things in business:

- automation, ie order at a kiosk at McDonald's - not hiring for the job because it is not profitable to do.

This is what happens to low skill workers when we make low skill jobs too expensive.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by wildrhythms on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:31AM (#37260951)
Not sure if you've noticed but all those things have happened (self checkout, ordering kiosks) while wages haven't grown to meet inflation.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by johnnyanmac on Friday August 25, 2023 @11:41AM (#37262978)
Sure, and that's not a bad thing by itself. It moves the needle up.

I don't think corporate has ever said "we have too many people who want to work". There will be more jobs out there that can't be automated, at least until we hit Terminator levels of sentience. But by then our robot overlords will solve capitalism for us.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:24AM (#37259375)
True, you also need to cap house and land prices.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by orangepurple on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:49AM (#37259852)
While we're at it the government should set fixed prices for everything and for maximum efficiency they should also control the rate of production. We can call our nation the Democratic People's Republic of Soviet States.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:57AM (#37260259)
A nation that went from middle ages to the space age in 50 years, and where the standard of living went up immensely?

Sounds better than the current situation where the trends are reversed.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by ms4720 on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:18AM (#37260841)
Gulags are good?
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by reisse on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:49AM (#37262358)
Given the US incarceration rate now, it'd be not far from truth to say that US is having its own Gulag moment. Just without other Soviet benefits.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dh2022 on Friday August 25, 2023 @01:35PM (#37264584)
You really should emigrate to North Korea. (Of course you will not do that, everyone is a hero on the internet.)
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:09PM (#37266430)
I'm not sure how bad north korea really is. Because, despite what you may think, we do get propaganda. See how every single time a ransomware hits a company it's always russia/iran/north korea sending it? Do you really think there are no criminals in the rest of the world trying to make some quick money?

Or, notice how ukraine went from "nazi shithole" to "beacon of freedom and democracy" once the war started?

To know how things really are behind the propaganda is basically impossible.

> Of course you will not do that, everyone is a hero on the internet

Well most people don't speak korean…

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by testrun on Saturday August 26, 2023 @06:38AM (#37271513)
> Well most people don't speak korean…

Start and learn Korean, and then emigrate. Tell us in 30 years time how it went.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dh2022 on Thursday September 07, 2023 @06:47PM (#37426698)
After he gets to North Korea you will not hear from him again.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:06PM (#37266403)
You advocate for a society without jails?

I mean it'd be great but is it really feasible?

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dwallin on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:51AM (#37262371)
No, you just need a properly set land value tax to discourage simple rent seeking behavior from driving up the price of land / housing.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dh2022 on Friday August 25, 2023 @01:40PM (#37264654)
There are taxes on land - at least in Seattle they are part of the property taxes (according to the stub King County sends me every year). But I guess it is not properly enough for you... I am guessing is too low for your probably....
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by qwytw on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:27AM (#37258731)
> Salaries have largely stayed the same

Salaries for the top 10% or so have increased significantly over the years. Of course it still pales in comparison to how much the incomes of the top 1% increased over the same period (meaning there is enough money/productivity to pay everyone more)

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by infogulch on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:30AM (#37258746)
A big part of the problem is the fed that literally pursues a monetary policy that intends to suppress real wage growth. This is why wages are flat for 30 years.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by rightbyte on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:26AM (#37259058)
And now they also want people to be laid off.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by probelm on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:19AM (#37259351)
They’ve always wanted that: https://www.nytimes.com/1997/02/27/business/job-insecurity-o...

Let go of the finance hallucinations and keep logistics going. Let the fiat rich choke themselves out clutching their pearls

Nihilism is not lack of a philosophical framework, it’s awareness but not acting on it

SWEs could halt the fiat economy tomorrow through collective action, but FOMO on the latest in electron state management is too strong for the geniuses lizard brains I guess

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by FirmwareBurner on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:39AM (#37259473)
>SWEs could halt the fiat economy tomorrow through collective action

From my experience SWEs are the workers' category least likely to get involved in any kind of collective action. They're too self centered and individualistic for that.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by probelm on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:51AM (#37259531)
I agree. As an EE by education, I find CS grads and SWEs to be clowns.

“What’s that? You made purpose built counting machines count? You’re welcome.”

The foot fungus eater and the latest DSL dealer can all pound sand.

I laugh at mathematically correct languages like Haskell. If mathematical correctness is a goal, may as well build it into the chip and leave a small programming environment to correct errors and give up on programming all together.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by sofixa on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:57AM (#37259900)
> From my experience, modern SWEs are the workers' category least likely to get involved in any kind of collective action. They're too self centered and individualistic for that.

Not to mention way too well paid, comfortable and with lots to lose. Why risk a very comfortable lifestyle for some noble goal that barely concerns you unless you have tons of empathy?

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by d3vmax on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:32AM (#37259093)
Also, globalization and instant communication has ensured in many field, salaries stagnate due to cheaper labour from elsewhere. Similar to hardware manufacturing jobs.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by meowtimemania on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:38AM (#37259462)
what monetary policy suppresses wage growth? (I know little on this subject and am curious)
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by boppo1 on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:27AM (#37261461)
It'sa little convoluted, but google 'dcf model', 'benchmark rates', and 'open market operations'. It's more than a single post to explain the mechanics, but you can grok it in a few afternoons. I'll attempt anyway:

In order to figure out what activities we ought to allocate resources to, we compare their present values as a sum of future cash flows, each period 'discounted' by a rate. The rate is calculated based on the activities risks + a 'benchmark' or 'risk free' rate. Basically "this activity is risky, how much more should it pay than something totally without risk?"

The closest thing we have to that is US debt. US bonds have a set face value and interest rate, but if you buy above/below the face value, the interest will be a higher or lower return on what you paid, 'yield'. US debt is the most active market in the world, so taking the 'yield' shows what rate the global market[0] is accepting 'risk free' investment.

If the market is nervous, more bonds get bought because everyone wants 'safety'. But this drives up the bond price and lowers yield. Lower yields create an incentive to consider 'hey maybe we do something a little risky after all, it pays better.' Vice versa: if the market is buying risky stuff instead of safe bonds, yields go up and people think 'why do something risky if I can get that return with no risk'?

BUT the Fed interferes in this market. They have unlimited power to buy/sell bonds and therefore establish price ceilings and floors[1]. For most of the past 20 years they created a high price floor, which means low yields. This forces society to allocate resources to risky activity with higher returns.

In particular, when rates go down, cash flows in the future relatively contribute more to present value. With higher rates you look harder at the next 20 years. With lower rates, you look more at years 20+[2].

In practice it made any business that can 'promise the future' an attractive investment. Think Big Tech, VC startups, Tesla, Wework, Theranos. Meanwhile, businesses that are less risky and make goods and services now have to compete with those guys for ROI. If you have little hope of growth, and your business is established you have to raise prices or reduce costs somewhere. You can't control what you pay for raw materials/inputs, but you can control what you pay workers.

To further illustrate: Google burns hundreds of billions on projects that never see daylight or get axed after a couple years. How did market forces decide that was a better use of resources than building (relatively) more hospitals and bridges? Fed yield interference.

I'm not saying high rates are good, or low rates are bad. I'm saying rates that don't match market conditions are bad.

[0] Explainer on the bond market for the uninitiated: Big companies can't safely keep a lot of cash as currency because FDIC insurance is meant for individuals and only covers 250k. Instead you buy something 'safe' and very easily tradeable or 'liquid'. In the past, this might have been gold. Now it's US debt, which works better than gold for this purpose (diff maturities, easier settlement, etc.)

[1] These are decided by a committee of 12 individuals, the FOMC.

[2]To see this for yourself, model out a dcf and then add a column where you divide each discounted cash flow by the present value

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by lkrubner on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:07AM (#37259609)
That's mostly the fault of the Republicans. After the crisis of 2008 we could have bounced back using either fiscal policy or monetary policy. Congress could have spent a few trillion in stimulus to get the economy back on track. By 2010 it was clear that the initial stimulus of $800 billion was not enough, so further stimulus spending should have been a high priority, but the Republicans blocked further fiscal action. That meant that the Fed had to do all the work, using monetary policy. We didn't get the kind of big stimulus spending we needed till 2020, when President Trump finally pushed through several trillion in stimulus spending in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic. But for years after 2008, the Fed had to do too much work, with monetary policy, because Congress was doing too little with fiscal policy. It would have been healthier for the economy if we'd had fiscal stimulus in the real economy rather than monetary stimulus in the financial economy. Wages would have gone up much more with fiscal stimulus.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by peyton on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:31PM (#37266079)
There’s absolutely no way a multi-trillion stimulus bill was passing in 2008–2010. I don’t think it’s fair to place blame on one party or the other.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by paulmd on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:20PM (#37266536)
It certainly wasn’t going to pass when rahm emanuel vetoed the idea right out of the gate
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by slaw on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:33PM (#37266103)
Keep alive too big to die was bad idea. Fed should do nothing especially it shouldn't keep low interest rates for many years.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by rayiner on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:31PM (#37269093)
I'm not an economist, but it seems like the multi-trillion Trump stimulus had the exact effect (high inflation) that people were afraid of in 2008-2010.

I'm even inclined to agree with you: inflation is better and healthier than the financial gimmickry we did in 2008-2010. But the pushback to that seems to be much broader than "Republicans." Biden's approval rating on the economy is at 36%, and it's just 52% among Democrats 18-44. Americans seem to really hate inflation.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by huhtenberg on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:30AM (#37260069)
> This is why wages are flat for 30 years.

Current wages are at the 1993 levels? That's just not true.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by FirmwareBurner on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:38AM (#37260107)
Adjusted to purchasing power?
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by giantg2 on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:57AM (#37260261)
"Real" wages have a specific meaning. I'm sure that is what they meant.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2018/08/07/for-most-...

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by huhtenberg on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:36PM (#37267878)
I don't follow the GP then. What is wrong with adjusted wages being flat? It merely means that the life quality linked to a specific job/profession stayed the same.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by medvezhenok on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:00PM (#37269258)
Quality of life might not have stayed the same; quality of life as reflected by the CPI stayed the same (which is different; CPI includes things like hedonic adjustments - and depending on the value you place on those, the result might be different).

Averages also hide very real disparities: software engineers are much better off today than they would have been 30 years ago; truckers, on the other hand, are much worse off today.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by andrewjl on Saturday August 26, 2023 @02:02AM (#37270272)
Housing, healthcare, and education are the biggest drivers when it comes to cost of living. How does monetary policy drive healthcare and education costs?

When it comes to housing, it's pretty clear how the Fed's monetary policy drove those costs in areas where it is scarce. Luckily counteracting that is simple given political will, at least in principle.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by seanmcdirmid on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:26AM (#37259059)
> Yeah and that can happen by paying everybody more.

How can that be done without either stoking massive inflation or somehow paying someone else less?

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Broken_Hippo on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:11AM (#37259313)
I really don't care if shareholders get less money or if a CEO gets less of a bonus. It's OK to pay some people less.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by cpursley on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:11AM (#37259632)
So it’s okay screwing retired teachers living of funds they’ve paid into their entire working career? Because the type of person who owns stock (not directly).
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Broken_Hippo on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:18AM (#37261379)
Obviously society thinks it is OK. If we didn't, we wouldn't let retirement funds be dependent on how well stocks do - and we only did that after plundering other people's pensions and screwing them over.

They might indirectly own it, but it is other folks getting rich off of their money.

Realistically, no one should have risk when paying into pensions/retirement for later and it should be somewhat promised. The entire system is reprehensible as it stands.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jacoblambda on Friday August 25, 2023 @01:12PM (#37264313)
No of course not. But keep in mind it's a relatively new phenomenon for most people to rely on stocks/401k/IRA for their retirement.

Prior to that retirement funds were primarily handled by pensions where the company or organisation you worked for put away money for you in a fund and for the employee there was little to no risk that this money would disappear or diminish in value. Behind the scenes the company may invest it in various ways but it was generally a "low risk" retirement fund.

The reason why every company and organisation (other than a handful of government orgs) got rid of pensions and switched to investment based retirement funds was because the risk got moved away from the company to the employee and as a result it was cheaper to operate.

And as an added bonus, now any time we want to consider raising wages or improving things for workers at the cost of shareholders profits, companies can turn around and argue "this is hurting retired people".

So no of course not I don't think retired people should be getting fucked out of the funds they've been paying into for their entire careers but they shouldn't be paying into those funds in the first place. Unless they explicitly opt into that risk, they should be getting access to a pension with guaranteed payout by default.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by peteradio on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:57PM (#37265762)
> opt into that risk

This is firmly opt-out at this point. Who offers pensions anymore outside of State/Fed (how reliable do we expect those states to be in the coming decades). You can't demand a company provide a pension so it's on you to invest for your retirement ... into what?

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jacoblambda on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:01PM (#37268928)
Exactly. That's the problem.

Companies don't provide pensions anymore because it is always cheaper for them to provide a 401k or IRA and offload that risk. People only let them do it because we had fairly substantial periods of prosperity where relying on the stock market seemed "guaranteed" even though it is anything but.

What I'm suggesting is that not providing a pension shouldn't be seen as acceptable. I don't know if I'd suggest going as far as mandating it by law but I think workers should be demanding a right to a pension for themselves and all their fellow workers at a given org or in a given industry.

The labor movement is having a bit of a revival at the moment so hopefully unions can start pushing for Qualified Direct Benefit Plans (aka pensions) to be a standard again.

> how reliable do we expect those states to be in the coming decades

The federal government provides guarantees for qualified pensions through the Pension Benefits Guarantee Corporation (https://www.pbgc.gov). Even if the states fuck up, those state employees still get their pensions.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by seanmcdirmid on Friday August 25, 2023 @07:16PM (#37268215)
Pensions have always been invested, even before you were expected to manage the investment yourself.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jacoblambda on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:53PM (#37268873)
Yes however the risks and costs are on the organization, not the individual. Even if the organization goes bankrupt or catastrophically mismanaged the fund used for the pension, the employee still gets their pension regardless of whether this occurs while or after they are working for the org.

That's the important point. The costs and risks are on the org. They can guarantee the pension with low risk investments or dollar equivalents and have effectively no risk or they can try higher risk investments in an effort to save money but at the end of the day the employee/pensioner gets the amounts promised from the beginning.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by seanmcdirmid on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:23PM (#37269051)
Retirement money has to be invested somewhere, otherwise it’s simply not available when people retire. Just because it’s someone else’s responsibility to fulfill a promise doesn’t change that intrinsic fact. You can’t just store production efficiently in a silo, or store money under your bed and expect that work out.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jacoblambda on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:22PM (#37269360)
Sure however:

1. They can allocate measurably portions of it to low risk investments, bonds, etc.

2. A qualified direct benefit plan (which is referred to as a pension) has guarantees attached to it. Even if the company goes completely under and all that money bursts into flames, the PBGC (https://www.pbgc.gov/) will guarantee the payout of the pension to the pensioner and foot the bill.

I'm not trying to suggest that there aren't costs that need to be borne by someone but forcing the worker to bear those costs seems like it's quite obviously the wrong choice (they should be allowed to bear it if they want to though).

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by seanmcdirmid on Saturday August 26, 2023 @01:33AM (#37270189)
Bonds don’t pay out much over inflation, and most retirement plans bank on contributions making much more than inflation to be solvent. A lot of our debt is simply savings for retirement on the other side, it is very necessary for anyone to invest these days (directly or not) if they have any hope of not being destitute when they can’t work anymore. More than that, even if we left it to the government (eg a better funded Social Security), they would have to invest as well, there simply is no way around it given current moribund population growth.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by midoridensha on Monday August 28, 2023 @02:52AM (#37290691)
>The reason why every company and organisation (other than a handful of government orgs) got rid of pensions and switched to investment based retirement funds was because the risk got moved away from the company to the employee and as a result it was cheaper to operate.

The other reason you're forgetting about is that you can't count on that company actually being in business to provide your pension when you retire. Or not declaring bankruptcy to avoid their pension obligations, as I believe GM did back in 2008. With a 401k/IRA, you don't have that worry: you can contribute to it, and if your company goes belly-up, no problem (well, not for your retirement funds): your money is still there; you can get another job somewhere else and keep contributing to your retirement.

Also, what happens to your retirement funds is strongly controlled by the SEC, unlike company pensions, so there's much less risk for the employee. Of course, the stock market goes up and down a lot, but that can be avoided mostly by directing your funds into safe investments, though your returns won't be that much.

>Unless they explicitly opt into that risk, they should be getting access to a pension with guaranteed payout by default.

That's what government-run pension schemes are for. Government shouldn't be guaranteeing a pension run by a private company.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by 8note on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:17PM (#37267698)
How are you doing the weighing for "typical" ?

I'd imagine the typical stock owner by worth of stock owned not remotely being a retired teacher

But the retired teachers indirect stock was also an attempt to get rid of pensions. Why don't we just support retired teachers as they are, instead of tying their well-being to some rich guys?

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by seanmcdirmid on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:43AM (#37259815)
Every time someone has tried that kind of equal income distribution, everyone has wound up gotten less, no one got more (except the new ruling class).
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Broken_Hippo on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:14AM (#37261340)
We haven't tried it honestly. Most places aren't even putting in a robust safety net that lets the folks with the worst luck live a life that includes adequate food and shelter.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by seanmcdirmid on Friday August 25, 2023 @07:14PM (#37268208)
Honest tries are hard to come by because people are flawed. Even if they start out with good intentions, they inevitably get greedy and it’s just a changing of who is rich and poor more than anything else.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by brailsafe on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:01PM (#37266351)
More money in the system drives inequality if fundamental necessities like shelter supply remain artificially choked by people with even more money as they simply buy up and out-bid as much as possible. If that weren't the case, I'd agree. Even as I a software person gradually make more money when I'm not in a perpetual cycle of working and being laid off, a tiny condo already being out of reach is only going to get dramatically more out of reach if salaries rise while most of an arbitrary city's development rate is beleaguered by boomers, arduous bureaucracy, investors, and people with their boomer parent's money willing to spend it, knowing it'll always increase.

Not that people shouldn't fight to be paid more, just that it has limited effect unless you happen to get paid significantly more than everyone else compared to what things cost now, and hope that continues forever.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by deburo on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:14AM (#37257985)
I guess you can keep cheerleading UBI then.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Clent on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:15AM (#37257988)
No one is trying to solve the world's economic problems here.

That would do nothing to solve the knowledge worker shorter with this chip factories.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by thatfrenchguy on Friday August 25, 2023 @01:09AM (#37258302)
> Jacking up salaries without bringing the standard of living for the rest of your society will only lead to a continued breakdown of the social fabric that we have been seeing steadily happening over the past 30-40 years.

Eh, I don't know, if you follow the example of the bay area, jacking up salaries in tech means everyone else paid more money (earning 3k a month means you're upper middle class in France and poor in the bay area). Now if we could fix our housing problem...

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by qwytw on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:28AM (#37258737)
> earning 3k a month means you're upper middle class in France

Maybe in a poor rural area.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by wnc3141 on Friday August 25, 2023 @01:43AM (#37258504)
You are correct, however a more practical read is: In the short run, precluding net growth and change in supply, a rise in salary implies a redistribution from capital (shareholders) to labor.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Aerroon on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:34AM (#37258777)
Money might move from capital to labor, but you aren't getting any extra production of goods. The stuff labor wants to buy still has the same amount of scarcity. Ie you will get inflation.

You need to encourage more (efficient) production to make labor better off.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by oblio on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:09AM (#37258965)
Productivity has risen a ton since the 1970s.

Wages are practically flat.

Software and the internet haven't helped, quite the opposite.

The profits are captured at the top.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gottorf on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:41AM (#37262257)
https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/

1970s, of course, is when the dollar started being backed by nothing more than "full faith and credit".

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by oblio on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:25PM (#37263565)
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Aerroon on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:31AM (#37258750)
>What needs to happen is that the average salary can provide a citizen with a comfortable and simple life (housing/shelter, food, clothing, etc.).

This is a moving target that can never be met. We can already provide all of that for very cheap if people are willing to accept standards from some decades ago. But they aren't. They want the expensive stuff.

When I was growing up the main part of the meal was potatoes/rice/pasta. Meat was a few times a week (too rarely) and there were no fancy sauces/condiments on it. Why? Because it was cheap.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by janalsncm on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:47AM (#37258845)
> We can already provide all of that for very cheap if people are willing to accept standards from some decades ago. But they aren't. They want the expensive stuff.

The three main things which have skyrocketed in price since the 70s are higher education, healthcare, and housing. On top of that, over-credentialized jobs now require bachelor’s degrees for things which used to require high school diplomas. This fact alone has meant that young people today start their careers significantly poorer than their parents did.

Point is, it’s not just about the prices of sneakers and pasta. For all of the most important costs in life, things have gotten much more expensive.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by TexanFeller on Friday August 25, 2023 @07:32AM (#37260519)
> over-credentialized jobs now require bachelor’s degrees for things which used to require high school diplomas

High schools do not maintain any sort of reasonable standards for granting a degree anymore, so it's no wonder businesses require a college degree. We decided everyone needed a HS degree, so we started lowering the standards for it, "teaching to the test", and only focusing on improving the worst quartile students to minimum tested standards. Now the same thing is happening with colleges.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by janalsncm on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:06PM (#37265856)
Sure, but that means that students today aren’t getting bachelor’s degrees (the “expensive stuff”) by choice, but by necessity. That’s tens of thousands poorer (and ~4 years older) because of a shifting job market.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by midoridensha on Monday August 28, 2023 @03:32AM (#37290965)
Right, but the root of the problem is that secondary education in the US is abysmally bad in many places, so a diploma from a US high school is mostly worthless. Requiring additional catch-up education is just a band-aid, and now with that being watered down, employers will want to see graduate degrees. That's even more money, and more time: employees will be almost 30 by the time they're ready to work.

The solution is to fix secondary education, but there's no political will to do that.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:34AM (#37259433)
You sound like the stereotypical boomer saying "people don't want to work anymore", not understanding that nowadays it is impossible to own a home unless you inherit one.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gottorf on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:37AM (#37262226)
> not understanding that nowadays it is impossible to own a home unless you inherit one.

My barber, who neither went to college nor inherited anything, lives on a 10-acre property with his wife (who works as a teacher) and two children. His secret? The home is a mobile home (they're saving up to build a real house), and he's in a low COL area with reasonable home prices, with the only real disadvantage being that the rest of the country thinks it's in a "shithole state".

Your statement, properly amended, is as follows: it's impossible to own a home in a highly desirable, relatively low-density area, with many high income earners and lots of inbound migration both internal and external, unless you inherit one. Which of course makes perfect sense, and there's nothing wrong with that picture.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by harimau777 on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:55AM (#37262425)
I don't think that's a completely fair assessment. Often people don't want to live in "shithole states" because those states discriminate against them.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gottorf on Friday August 25, 2023 @11:40AM (#37262951)
There's really not as much discrimination as people imagine. I'm a visibly nonwhite ethnic minority who moved from a major coastal metropolis to a small city in a Deep South state; so deep and far south that my friends in my old city were shocked that I would voluntarily move there.

It's actually pretty funny. My old neighborhood was one of those with places with Black Lives Matter signs on every other lawn but approximately zero actual black people living there. Here, there are approximately zero Black Lives Matter signs, but a lot more actual diversity on the ground, with people of different races rubbing shoulders as neighbors, friends, and lovers. There's openly gay people. Everyone minds their own business, for the most part.

Of course, every place has its ups and downs, and there are legitimate downsides to living in a place like this. The restaurant scene is definitely not as good, although I'm sure some of that is due to just the size difference of the cities. But that brings me back to my original point, which is that you can't have your cake (big-city amenities, nice climate, majority politics you agree with) and eat it (houses you can afford right out of the gate as a new participant in the economy), too.

It would be worth their while for "kids these days" to examine whether they'd rather be tutted at and get a cold shoulder every now and then[0] for being a lesbian with purple hair or whatever while having the opportunity to buy a home and make an independent life for themselves, versus having their identity "affirmed" in a place where an actual ownership stake in that society is forever out of reach. I'm not saying there's a right answer here; all I'm saying that it's worth everyone asking that question of themselves.

[0]: And in my experience, it's at most every now and then. The difference in the sociopolitical attitudes between, say, Oregon and Mississippi, is basically just 48% one way and 52% the other, just flipped around. The number of people with similarities are much, much greater than the differences.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:05PM (#37266384)
So he lives in a thing that is freezing cold in winter and exceedingly hot in summer?

That's not going to work in several areas of the world. Which is why we normally make houses.

> the rest of the country thinks it's in a "shithole state".

You mean if he's gay or an atheist he will get shot? Perfectly reasonable to ask people to go live there, of course.

> Which of course makes perfect sense, and there's nothing wrong with that picture.

"I got mine, I don't care if you don't get yours".

You should give speeches, we could bring school children to learn what's wrong with humanity.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gottorf on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:05PM (#37267572)
> So he lives in a thing that is freezing cold in winter and exceedingly hot in summer?

> That's not going to work in several areas of the world.

Trust me, this part of the world gets plenty hot in the summer, yet people make do in mobile homes. At least people here are given the choice to suffer through a hot summer in a home they own.

You can set building codes to be arbitrarily high such that nobody will ever suffer the indignity of straying from a 72 degree, 45% relative humidity indoor environment. The only downside to that, of course, is that nobody will able to afford a house.

> You mean if he's gay or an atheist he will get shot?

This is about as accurate as Fox News saying that if you go to San Francisco, roving bands of homeless people will break into your car and take a dump in it, and you'll step on a pile of fentanyl and instantly get addicted.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Saturday August 26, 2023 @01:04AM (#37270090)
> yet people make do in mobile homes.

Unless they don't, of course. Especially considering every year will be hotter than the previous.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Aerroon on Sunday August 27, 2023 @07:59AM (#37281780)
Not at all. I think it's not about work (earning), but rather on spending. Gottorf nailed it with:

>it's impossible to own a home in a highly desirable, relatively low-density area, with many high income earners and lots of inbound migration both internal and external, unless you inherit one

Of course it would be nice if everyone got what they wanted, but when it comes to housing it seems to me that everybody wants to live in the same places. This drives up the prices in those areas because only a limited amount of people can live in a given area.

I don't see how you can fix that with any policy. As long as everyone wants to live in the same place the cost of living is going to be expensive there.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by bombolo on Sunday August 27, 2023 @06:01PM (#37287042)
Well I'd have exponential taxes on homes. So 1 home has reasonable taxes, 20 homes should be so heavily taxed to be not feasible to own.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by harimau777 on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:49AM (#37262352)
I'd be thrilled to own a home built to the standards of a few decades ago in a cosmopolitan city.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by HDThoreaun on Friday August 25, 2023 @11:12AM (#37262619)
You can get 50s era homes in relatively hot parts of chicago for 250k
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by slaw on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:43PM (#37266182)
> Hot parts of Chicago

Do you mean hot as flying lead hot?

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by vasco on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:24AM (#37259051)
To solve the need for super specialized workers you actually need to jack up salaries. Nobody is going through the training and intensity of a semiconductor fab job for the same they could make walking dogs if that's how it worked.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jabradoodle on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:26AM (#37259063)
The world runs on chips, a huge proportion of which comes from a single country which also happens to be under threat of invasion from a country hostile to the West.

Sorting out the supply chain here is a pretty critical issue that makes sense to tackle in isolation.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by roenxi on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:59AM (#37259245)
In context, relative salaries are exactly the right thing to focus on. If software salaries are higher than EE salaries, EEs will move into software. Although occasionally I talk to people who seem to believe changing careers is impossible for some reason so Imagine there probably is some confusion on that point among some readers.

While we do want general welfare to improve that wasn't the topic in the thread.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by Viliam1234 on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:45AM (#37259832)
For some reason, the free-market arguments only apply to the people at the bottom of the pyramid.

If you want to buy bread in a supermarket, but the bread is more expensive than you would like it to be -- hey, that's the market price, deal with it.

If a company wants to hire a specialist, but the specialist is more expensive than the company would like them to be be -- attention people, our society has a serious problem that we need to solve immediately by reforming education and immigration and whatever else might be necessary.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by FirmwareBurner on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:50AM (#37259857)
>If software salaries are higher than EE salaries, EEs will move into software. Although occasionally I talk to people who seem to believe changing careers is impossible for some reason

Maybe because it is impossible in practice?

I'm an EE trying to move from embedded SW to higher level (backend/dev-ops since I had some experience with that and with python), and all I get are rejections ("sorry, thanks for your application but we can't move forward with it since we have so many quality applicants with more experience to choose from").

To me it seems, the current market doesn't seem to favor career switchers at all. Companies seem to be looking for seniors or at least mid level experienced in their area of work, so switching careers does indeed seem to be impossible now.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by careerswitcher on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:42AM (#37261061)
Now is a bad time. Two years ago I was hired with no experience as a career switcher onto a full-stack web (mostly backend) team. Now the same team is hiring and wants a mid-level with 3 years of experience.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by FirmwareBurner on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:21AM (#37261408)
>Now is a bad time.

Unfortunately for me, now's the best and only time, as I was laid off. I have to do what I can. Looks like it's time to overinflate the resume to stand out.

>Two years ago

Two years ago was a temporary anomaly in many markets, not just employment, that we may never see in the near future.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by sentinalien on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:30AM (#37262137)
Right now is particularly bad though, one of the worst job markets for this field in quite a while, it will pick up at some point
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by FirmwareBurner on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:40AM (#37262242)
Sure, but I can't stay unemployed until the market picks up, since nobody knows when that will be.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by probelm on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:23AM (#37259371)
Nah, you’re wrong too. Tax the rich.

Their actions the last 30 decades and even 40 are easily Googled

They’ve collided with government to expropriate worker wealth, or more accurately, propagated the myth a mathematical minority are the keystone to physical reality itself

They’re only a few mere mortals and their riches are only possible so long as the majority graciously do not kill them

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by cpursley on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:13AM (#37259649)
This is a typical “attack the result” not “address the cause” response that we too often see from well meaning left leaning people. Look, I’m in solidarity with this sentiment - but let’s not throw the baby out with the bath water. We need to attack what causes the disparity, attacking disparity itself is only short term and potentially massively destabilizing.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by probelm on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:20AM (#37259692)
The cause is collusion between political and private entities to insulate a mathematical minority from taxation.

Trying to change the narrative altogether while claiming solidarity is disingenuous bullshit.

“Hey that guy lit the house on fire! I have 4K video and a confession!”

“Yeah I saw him too! But did he really or was it the gas and the lighter? Who knows. We should look into it.”

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by cpursley on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:06AM (#37259944)
You’re half way there - the other half is crony capitalism (regulatory capture).

The solution is dealing with those issues at the source, not the tail end.

I understand the desire to "punish" but that will only lead to terrible things.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dontlaugh on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:30AM (#37259405)
Correct. Lowering prices increases the purchasing power of every worker.

That could be achieved by pursuing production for use, not profit. Municipal collectively ownership works quite well for utilities (like ISPs) and housing. Regional collective/co-op food production can work well too. Nationalised transportation and medicine works in many places. And so on.

It only takes the workers to be sufficiently well organised to obtain the means to produce in this way.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by cpursley on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:17AM (#37259669)
The entire selling point of free markets is that it keeps prices in check due to competition. Every experiment in human history of nationalization of production has failed miserably.

Instead, let’s cut the red tape and remove the barriers in the parts of the economy that are not following the rules of the market. Do that and prices will decrease due.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dontlaugh on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:52AM (#37260208)
Every experiment in human history of deregulation, privatisation and austerity (neoliberalism) has failed miserably to serve the needs of the working class.

Experiments with collectivisation have failed to serve the needs of the capitalist class, for sure. It's why they use union busting, sanctions, coups and invasions to cause such experiments to fail.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gottorf on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:59AM (#37262472)
> pursuing production for use, not profit

Profit is a much-misunderstood concept. Private profit is the best way discovered so far to align incentives for those who produce. As Adam Smith said, "it is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest."

A system that disregards profit and instead relies on some other incentive structure can work in small groups of people for short periods of time; but eventually those other incentives (usually some kind of familial love, a sense of group belonging and solidarity, or similar) run out of steam, and it fails to scale both in size and time.

To paraphrase Churchill, free-market capitalism is the worst system of economics, except for all the others that have been tried.

> Nationalised transportation and medicine works in many places

Only for a certain definition of "works". The Seoul Metro, owned by the city of Seoul, for example, is a huge network of clean, efficient subway lines that millions ride daily to get places. It's really quite nice to use. Under the hood, however, is the fact that they lose a quarter of a billion dollars every year, and is subsidized by taxpayers from around the whole country, most of whom don't even live in Seoul.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by 8note on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:09PM (#37267610)
> Lowering prices increases the purchasing power of every worker.

I think you mean: "lowering prices raises the rents of every worker"

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dontlaugh on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:11PM (#37267634)
Rent is a price too. Collectively owned social housing is far cheaper than paying rent to a landlord.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by markus_zhang on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:05AM (#37259602)
We need a fundamental rehaul of the system which sadly won't happen without major effort and maybe bloodshed because in the least (assuming we still want to keep Capitalism) somehow we will have to 1) Remove the political power groups that benefit from past 40 years' global development, and 2) Remove similar groups in any other sphere that support the people in 1).

Maybe WW3 can bring it and keep it for a couple of decades, if we don't all die in the mushrooms.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by giantg2 on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:54AM (#37260229)
It's also possible that we've already peaked as a society and we can't continue to have infinite higher standard of living. Real wages have declined over the past 50 years. Due to both resource consumption/demand and environmental impact it may not be feasible for the next generation to have the same things as the previous generation. Even shifts like a secondary economy transitioning to a tertiary economy can cut out more people due to the demand for high skill/education. Despite all this, standard of living has gone up, even for the less fortunate if you compare to the past, mostly due to the quality of goods and the advantage of trade with poorer nations. When that might end or reverse is anyone's guess.

But yes, inequality has also gone up as you point out. Raising other people's salaries is probably the best way to deal with this while staying in the current paradigm. Although raising chip worker wages isn't going to change inequality - you'd have to apply this to other jobs like retail, food service, custodial, etc.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by mech765 on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:11AM (#37260803)
Real wages have risen over the last 50 years.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by wildrhythms on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:33AM (#37260971)
It's about purchasing power; not just real wages.

>despite some ups and downs over the past several decades, today’s real average wage (that is, the wage after accounting for inflation) has about the same purchasing power it did 40 years ago. And what wage gains there have been have mostly flowed to the highest-paid tier of workers.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2018/08/07/for-most-...

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gottorf on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:31AM (#37262145)
> It's about purchasing power; not just real wages.

Real wage means purchasing power parity, or it should. These two statements cannot be true, if they are using the same definition of inflation:

- Real wages have risen over the past 50 years

- Today's real average wage has about the same purchasing power it did 40 years ago

The methodology must be different.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by UtopiaPunk on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:50PM (#37263953)
I mean, sure, but we gotta start somewhere. If you want my opinion on big, society-wide changes, "What needs to happen is that the average salary can provide a citizen with a comfortable and simple life (housing/shelter, food, clothing, etc)" isn't enough. The capitalist system needs to be destroyed, and we need a new arrangement of society where workers own the means of production and the value is shared with everyone, not a few arbitrary billionaires. Restructure society to benefit everyone (or at least work towards that goal), rather than a society that unequally benefits the capitalist class.

But until that movement is ready to happen, I think it's fine to acknowledge that the "real" cost of living has risen over the past few decades, while most people's "real" wages have remained stagnant. If it's not salaries, then I think the next thing to look at is the exorbitant housing and rent prices.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by randysalami on Friday August 25, 2023 @01:38PM (#37264631)
Or we go back to the old ways where servants make up one chunk of society, indebted and poor, and the rest is made up of petty elites and elites. You can tell from this post how many people want this and are scared they might eventually fall to the former. “No it’s perfect reasonable for me to make 150k. No that doesn’t make me an oppressor. Sorry you make 30k a year, now go fill up my beverage peasant or die”.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by mensetmanusman on Thursday August 24, 2023 @11:36PM (#37257727)
How could we afford to run the software if the transistors were two micro pennies more?
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by zbrozek on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:24AM (#37258048)
If each transistor got 2 micropennies more expensive, that would more than double the price of a midrange CPU.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dontupvoteme on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:08AM (#37258958)
The problem is there are only a few players in the game, so they basically collaborate to keep wages down.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by 4gotunameagain on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:31AM (#37259089)
I know this will be unpopular here, but no, SW wages need to fall. They are incredibly inflated compared to the rest of professions, and not only it is impossible to raise all wages like that, but other, harder and more important professions need to be incentivised more.

A doctor working at a public hospital should be paid much more than us, that are sitting at their computer all day. Yes, doctor wages need to rise, but also SW wages need to fall.

And this is comping from an aerospace engineer with an inflated wage, which, being in Europe, is not nearly as unfairly inflated as in the US.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by hardware2win on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:39AM (#37259471)
Doctors are paid better than SEs, arent they?
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by yomlica8 on Friday August 25, 2023 @07:41AM (#37260582)
I think depends upon the SWE and depends upon the doctor's specialization.

Doctors do have a credential system that sets them up for a longer more stable career path with few ageism concerns. But all things considered more money now for less time investment is more valuable.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by markus_zhang on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:08AM (#37259617)
I think average doctors should get paid more but doctors who work in private places probably need to get the same treatment as high end SWE.

But all in all I think worker's share of wealth shoud raise but that's a bloody question.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dnissley on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:11AM (#37261299)
Do you have any ideas about how to make software cheaper?
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by 4gotunameagain on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:11AM (#37261943)
Yeah, don't pay people that write back end javascript more than firemen. Let's start with that.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gottorf on Friday August 25, 2023 @11:24AM (#37262761)
What gives you such a special insight on what kind of work should be valued and remunerated at precisely what levels?
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dnissley on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:16PM (#37263429)
The only reason people are paid more to write software is that it's valuable + hard and time consuming. If it was easier + faster, software producers wouldn't make as much money. Either that or you can reduce it's value in some way (this seems like a pretty bad way to go though).

The way you're phrasing it now it's like you're imagining that there's some central committee to appeal to in order to change this fact, but I imagine you already know that's not how things work -- so why would you phrase it like that?

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by JuanPosadas on Saturday August 26, 2023 @09:47AM (#37272879)
> SW wages need to fall

lol no. I'm not taking a paycut in a world where CEOs making 400x their bottom paid workers are the ones greedily raising prices across the board.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gregoriol on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:53AM (#37259542)
Or things need to be automated
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jmoak3 on Friday August 25, 2023 @10:37AM (#37262216)
It’ll rise when there are more employers competing for the workers.

Until then they don’t have to try so hard to find people, students can see the bad salaries ahead of time yet they study for a decade for these roles regardless.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by typon on Thursday August 24, 2023 @11:56PM (#37257856)
Same story here. Why should I spend years toiling away in a clean-room for shit pay when I can 3x or 4x my pay doing a much easier job?
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by teaearlgraycold on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:04AM (#37257918)
Supply and demand for labor should fix this. NVidia and friends can clearly afford to pay more for wafers.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by seydor on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:23AM (#37258709)
can never be competitive with overseas suppliers
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by tpmx on Friday August 25, 2023 @02:36AM (#37258787)
For reference: The annual median TSMC salary in Taiwan including bonus was 58k USD in 2021.

(https://old.reddit.com/r/taiwan/comments/sulof6/tsmc_employe...)

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dharmab on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:43AM (#37259162)
Which is more than TSMC offered some of my friends in the US who had industry experience. They're cheapskates.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jameshush on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:52AM (#37259215)
58k/year in Taiwan is also considered crazy good money. The average income in taiwan is about $58k NTD/month (aka $1900ish USD) https://www.statista.com/statistics/319845/taiwan-average-mo...
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by tpmx on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:18AM (#37259348)
Sure, but that doesn't help with making it easier to compete with Taiwan in this field on a global scale.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jabradoodle on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:24AM (#37259049)
Nvidia don't run any fabs. If you want it produced in the USA, your going to have to pay for that security.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by teaearlgraycold on Friday August 25, 2023 @07:46AM (#37260617)
I understand. That’s why I said “pay for wafers”
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jabradoodle on Monday August 28, 2023 @01:53PM (#37297934)
What?

The market has not delivered a resilient supply chain.

If you want it an America, you will need to subsidise it.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by dharmab on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:33AM (#37259105)
I had a number of friends working in chip fabs and all of them left the industry due to terrible pay and benefits. Most went into software, some into other manufacturing industries.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by baz00 on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:36AM (#37259124)
Yeah this. Hasn’t changed then. 25 years ago I finished a few years sitting in front of Virtuoso. I did some days working in the internal fab as well. Left and worked for a web design startup and tripled my salary overnight.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by paganel on Friday August 25, 2023 @03:40AM (#37259141)
> Software salaries have to fall a lot more to keep semiconductor experts from doing lateral moves.

It's quite similar to the Baumol effect [1], and I think that's what the CCP and the Chinese authorities more generally had in mind when they cracked down on the likes of Tencent and Alibaba a few years ago, meaning forcing the big Chinese software companies down a peg or two so that Chinese engineers would also go into the hardware industry.

It also helps that while pure software is important for fighting a war, actually making physical stuff is even more important. No-one has ever won a war by employing Tik-Tok against the enemy, while autonomous mass-produced cheap drones have been as close to a game-changer as one could get in this current war in Ukraine (for both sides).

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baumol_effect

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by 317070 on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:06AM (#37259275)
Of me and my friends that finished a master in EE, everyone went into software (well, one in mechatronica instead).

Not for the lack of love, but for the lack of pay. I would love to go back to EE, but I'm making 5x-10x now in ML software.

I don't even understand why the pay in EE is so low. They have healthy profit margins, yet tend to complain about the lack of finding skilled people.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by FirmwareBurner on Friday August 25, 2023 @06:08AM (#37259949)
>I don't even understand why the pay in EE is so low. They have healthy profit margins, yet tend to complain about the lack of finding skilled people.

Because:

1) EE profits are not healthy at all. Ignore Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Intel, QUALCOMM, which are the outliers printing money due to their market dominant position bordering on monopoly. Most other HW companies have super thin margins by comparison because they're in a race to the bottom and R&D costs in HW eat up a lot of that, leaving you almost nothing for wages.

I worked at a German company building super cool X-ray machines for the semiconductor industry and the wages were relatively poor because despite those machines costing as much as an apartment, most of that price is eaten up by components, manufacturing, Q&A and R&D that very little is left for high wages.

2) Much more cheap labor competition from abroad due to offshoring because HW is not user facing so it can be offshored without any drops in UX, as the user facing SW is kept in the west.

Since HW offshoring has been going on for much longer than SW and with far more investments in getting it right, meaning companies have a lot more experience with offshore HW dev on the cheap while maintaining high quality.

SW hasn't (yet) seem the same push.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jpgvm on Friday August 25, 2023 @07:55AM (#37260667)
Pretty much this.

I worked at a HW company and we did our board design, bring-up etc all in Taiwan, board production/population, enclosure, power, final assembly etc all in Shenzhen and firmware/software as global remote but US centric.

It wasn't just that it was cheaper, it was faster, more accurate and more flexible. With collocation of everything you need to build HW (i.e all the inputs, parts etc being made in the same place) it was just so much faster not only to do initial product dev but also to spin revisions/iterate.

It's going to take a long time for similar density to build up somewhere else to enable to same sort of super rapid HW development cycle.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by DoingIsLearning on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:31AM (#37260955)
You are describing the right symptoms but pointing to the wrong cause.

There is nothing abnormal in EE profits _if_compared with any other physical widget manufacturer.

What is abnormal is the zero copy cost of Software, as a product, and the scalability of Software services in an online world with a _world_ of customers.

Nothing in the physical world (other than maybe Financial Products) compares to the margins and scale that you can achieve in Software. This means that for golden geese like AdWords paying 500k to a SWE is just a rounding error.

We all see the problem but that doesn't change the fact that a lot of Engineers from other fields won't rightfully jump on that opportunity and profit from the current imbalance in terms arbitrage of Engineering time.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by FirmwareBurner on Friday August 25, 2023 @09:18AM (#37261373)
>What is abnormal is the zero copy cost of Software, as a product, and the scalability of Software services in an online world with a _world_ of customers.

Not really, abnormal also in the low barrier of regulations in terms of privacy and use of data, compared to traditional engineering jobs, but that is slowly changing, at least in Europe.

>his means that for golden geese like AdWords paying 500k to a SWE is just a rounding error.

Not every SWE in the world works or can work for golden geese. Most SW jobs in the world aren't for global titans but average jobs like any other paid average. The US skews this because it's full of golden geese with global dominance. Europe and other places not so much.

>a lot of Engineers from other fields won't rightfully jump on that opportunity and profit from the current imbalance in terms arbitrage of Engineering time

Won't? I'm currently in the process of trying to jump but aren't' allowed to. 100% rejection rate.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by K0balt on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:40AM (#37259474)
Or, we could just pay semiconductor work for what it is, producing the most advanced technology on the planet.

$250,000 in 2023 dollars is about what my father made as a power lineman in 1970, at $15 an hour.

It was a well paid, union trade. But we need to put this in perspective. People don’t want to work for less than a blue collar job was worth in the 70s.

Housing prices (on average) are not that high, wages are ridiculously low in real terms.

The average home price in 2023 is about 350,000 in the USA, about 44,000 in 1970s dollars. That’s 1.5-3 years wages as a journeyman tradesman in 1970s dollars, if she were paying the cash equivalent of 350k for a house.

Of course housing was both typically smaller and much more cheaply built in 1970, and for 350k today you are getting twice the square footage, and a much higher quality structure.

Since an average home in 1970 would have been around half the size and 1/3 the price in inflation adjusted dollars, I think it’s safe to say that the thing that has changed here is primarily that wages are simply not enough to incentivise workers.

Any skilled job that doesn’t pay at least 250k is simply not worth investing the time and effort to get the skills for.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by jen20 on Friday August 25, 2023 @08:58AM (#37261182)
> Of course housing was both typically smaller and much more cheaply built in 1970

My experience (Texas) is that homes built today might be larger but are FAR worse quality than ones even built in the 90s, let alone the 70s or (heaven forbid) the 20s. In England the same was true but on a much more extreme curve, and without being larger.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by K0balt on Friday August 25, 2023 @12:11PM (#37263372)
Interesting. May be regional I guess. Most of the homes I have been into the bones of in my area that were built in the 1970s were pretty crap.

But then again in my area the 1970s was a big boom time, with a ton of new construction. Mostly 2x4 and 2x6 construction, with cheap sheathing and a bad subfloor.

Anything built here in the 2000s will be 2x10 or 2x12 walls, double insulated sheathing, with triple pane windows and high r value doors, and with a floor you can confidently lay tile on.

Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by resonious on Friday August 25, 2023 @04:51AM (#37259529)
I'm in kind of the opposite situation where I've grown up in web dev, kinda want to get into EE, but the job prospects are really bad so hard to motivate.
Re:America is building chip factories. Now to find the workers by gumballindie on Friday August 25, 2023 @05:35AM (#37259759)
This is just crab mentality.