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Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by Upvoter33 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:42AM (#32410955)
Not sure why Fukuyama is taken too seriously - what are the things he's really been right about?

He dismisses rank-choice but mostly because it will take too long to get it everywhere. To me, it seems the best way to allow all sorts of candidates to run, and will likely reduce the chances of the wacko extreme candidates we're getting today.

Finally, he mentions Yang's new Forward Party, which imho likely won't do much good, but has the potential of causing another Ralph Nader-esque impact on a future election. Although we can't tell what would have happened with a Gore presidency, I'm almost sure we would not have invaded Iraq. Let's all hope the Forward Party dies a quick and painless death.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by defrost on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:04AM (#32411227)
He has a particularly weak reebuttal of Ranked Voting:

> Moreover, it is not guaranteed to facilitate viable third parties; this has not happened in Australia, for example, where it is the rule.

Australia has a Conservative colalition of two parties, Liberal and National with similar but unaligned goals, and a nominally Left (for some value of Left but not Copmmunist and not the trade union party it once was) Party in Labor.

That's three majors.

Australia also has (largely thanks to RC) a number of independants and small parties that also have a voice both the upper and lower houses (of the various States, and in the Federal Government).

The need to negotiate with small players to build numbers to pass desired policy is a major factor in avoiding the kind of extreme polarisation seen within the central north american region.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by obelos on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:11AM (#32412265)
That's more due to the proportional representation method (STV) used by Australia's upper legislative body. The lower body uses single-seat IRV and for most of the past century has been strongly dominated by two parties. This isn't surprising because IRV (aka RCV) suffers from center squeeze, meaning that it tends to eliminate consensus candidates when there are three or more real contender candidates.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by snake_plissken on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:51AM (#32412980)
I don't think he was necessarily wrong with The End Of History, (un)-ironically historical events weren't on his side. What would have replaced "The War On Terror" if 9/11 doesn't happen? What does China look like if someone less hard-liner than Xi Jinping replaced Hu Jintao? What if Russia's second war in Chechnya lasted a hard 10 years and Putin is pushed out? We could make a huge list of counterfactuals like these.

That being said, the problem with Fukuyama is that for all intents and purposes, forecasting the future in terms of grand narratives is impossible to do accurately.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by AnimalMuppet on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @12:36PM (#32414786)
If you need history to happen differently to get to "the end of history", then you're not at the end of history.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:03PM (#32417635)
China would likely also had a much different situation in Xinjiang if not for 9/11.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:01PM (#32417606)
Rank Choice is a bad idea. Its unnecessarily complex and that complexity actually doesn't mean its better, its actually significantly worse then alternative methods.

Range (Score or Star) voting are significantly better.

https://www.equal.vote/star_vs_rcv

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jeffdn on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:37AM (#32412724)
I don't think anyone can possibly take the guy seriously after he wrote _The End of History_. What an absolute joke of a hot take that was. Did he truly believe that just because the Soviet Union and its satellites had a governmental collapse that the entire planet was going to turn into a liberal democracy?
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by nh23423fefe on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @02:23PM (#32416369)
That's not the thesis of end of history, you are repeating bad headlines as a quick take.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jeffdn on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @02:52PM (#32416774)
I've read the book, albeit 15 years ago. That may not be the entire thesis, but it is the primary component of it. From Wikipedia[0]:

> Fukuyama argues that history should be viewed as an evolutionary process, and that the end of history, in this sense, means that liberal democracy is the final form of government for all nations. According to Fukuyama, since the French Revolution, liberal democracy has repeatedly proven to be a fundamentally better system (ethically, politically, economically) than any of the alternatives, and so there can be no progression from it to an alternative system. Fukuyama claims not that events will stop occurring in the future, but rather that all that will happen in the future (even if totalitarianism returns) is that democracy will become more and more prevalent in the long term.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_End_of_History_and_the_Las...

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by nh23423fefe on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @03:14PM (#32417041)
I didn't realize I replied to you in 2 different threads lol.

I'm going by his articulation on a recent podcast with Chris Hayes. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zY9yBZm_57w

He would say that its not that liberal democracy is some teleological final state. But more like a local optimum that we can't hill climb out of. There simply aren't different ideas about how to organize states "beyond" democracy.

I think the shift is subtle but important. It implies a lack of ideas as opposed to a "prediction" about the consequences of 1991.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by Zigurd on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @12:09PM (#32414337)
Watching Andrew Yang post Forward Party pabulum and getting ratioed on Twitter is a guilty pleasure.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by finikytou on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:46AM (#32411002)
being right is not important or even a goal. look at rich people like soros that put money into their ideas so that they can say they were right.

having ideas and sharing them is of more value.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by overthemoon on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:13AM (#32411352)
"Polarization" is not, in fact, the "the single greatest weakness of the United States as a country today." I am so sick to death of this sentiment. Fukuyama and guys like him love systems, they love tinkering, they love efficiency, they love "getting stuff done". Never mind the unspoken ideology of the middle, never mind what we're actually trying to achieve has a distinct ideological identity, we're political engineers, here! We're just trying to fix the system! It's almost like they're optimizing for bill passage rate.

I reject the idea that technical moderates are the default, that they're non-ideological, and that a watery combination of left and right ideas is best because it appeals to the most people, if only because we've been doing exactly that since the 80s and it's gotten us here.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by D13Fd on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @12:56PM (#32415112)
> "Polarization" is not, in fact, the "the single greatest weakness of the United States as a country today."

Ok, what are bigger weaknesses than the current polarization?

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by random314 on Thursday August 11, 2022 @12:31AM (#32421610)
Health insurance, student loans and high home prices.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by drewcoo on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @12:03PM (#32414242)
> "Polarization" is not, in fact, the "the single greatest weakness of the United States as a country today."

Agreed, but actual problems aren't profitable enough to garner much media attention.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:07PM (#32417671)
Switzerland has a much more distributed system and that certainty does not lead to "optimizing for bill passage rate".

> because we've been doing exactly that since the 80s

One can do the right things badly.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by ajjenkins on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:13AM (#32411360)
I’ve never heard of the author until today, so I don’t have any bias against him, but I think his argument makes a lot of sense.

Personally, my preferred solution to polarization is voting reform (I actually think approval voting would be a better fix than RCV though) but he makes a good point that voting reform is a long term solution to a short term problem. I still think it’s worth pursuing, but there’s no way it will help us with the 2024 presidential election, for example.

The Democratic Party moving to the center could be done much more quickly, and if the strategy was successful in winning elections, might force the Republican Party to similarly adopt more moderate positions.

Another “solution” to polarization in the US is a civil war. This should definitely be avoided at all costs, but would probably eventually reduce polarization when the winning side forces the losing side to adopt their policies (like how the North forced the South to end slavery after the Civil War).

Having a single party dominate politics for a while sounds a little scary, but if they’re democratically elected, I guess that’s what people want, right? And, to me, it’s a much more palatable short-term solution to polarization than Civil War II.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by _bohm on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:33AM (#32411628)
Did the Civil War really facilitate depolarization in the US? The South is arguably still recovering economically from the Civil War, and retains a very strong cultural identity linked to the Confederacy. Walk into the gift shop in the Alabama state capitol, and you can buy Confederate Army uniforms for your kids.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:11PM (#32417731)
The South was economically speaking essentially very, very, very behind until WW2 and its after match. They didn't recover 'just fine'.

And considering that the South was literally turning into traditional aristocracy including changing low codes and so on, now is much closer to what we would consider the center.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rjsw on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:20AM (#32412432)
Are you suggesting that the Democratic Party should move to the left or to the right? Seen from Europe it is currently right of centre.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rayiner on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:35AM (#32413727)
Americans as a whole are right of center on economic issues compared to Europe. But the current tension in America revolves around cultural issues. On that, the Democratic Party is significantly left of center, to the point where they reject political debate on a number of cultural issues where Europeans debate and are willing to compromise.

For example in 2016, the European Court of Human Rights rejected the claim that the “right to marriage” under the EU Convention on Human Rights encompasses same-sex marriage: https://eclj.org/marriage/the-echr-unanimously-confirms-the-.... In Germany, same sex marriage became legal by legislative vote, with Angela Merkel voting against it (putting her to the right of Donald Trump on the issue). There was no political crisis around these votes. While many in Europe support same-sex marriage, most see it as a political issue, not something beyond the reach of the political process.

Contrast the US, where progressives are talking about “packing” the Supreme Court over its rejecting the notion that the Constitution contains a right to abortion so expansive that it would render invalid nearly every abortion law in Europe. That decision made international news, with countries like France criticizing the Supreme Court, even though their own abortion laws were illegal under Roe, and the case in question, Dobbs, upheld a Mississippi law that was basically the same as the law in France.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by tptacek on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @01:40PM (#32415773)
There is no appetite in the Democratic party to pack the Supreme Court; it's a fringe position. Both poles of American politics are full of fringe ideas; on the left, you have things like "impeach Clarence Thomas", and on the right you have things like "defund the FBI and then have prosecutors in every red state secure punitive search warrants for Democratic politicians".

It's true that Roe, especially as originally conceived, put America to "the left" of Europe. We're to the left of Europe on all sorts of things: bankruptcy laws, no-fault divorces, exclusion of illegally obtained evidence, same-sex marriage, the right to wear religious garb in public spaces, the insistence that religious education be kept out of public schooling, no mandatory military service, and, of course, the First Amendment.

But your argument here includes a sleight of hand, because you confining your analysis to Dobbs itself, but ignore the state laws that it enabled, many of which are radically to the right of the European consensus. For instance, Ohio bans abortion at the moment a fetal heartbeat is detected, with no exceptions for rape or incest, so that a 10 year old girl had to be smuggled into a neighboring state within weeks of Dobbs passing.

Your point is that Europe doesn't put these questions outside of the political process. But you've run far past the end zone with that (seemingly correct) argument, by trying, and failing, to characterize the positions of the American political poles. It's a shame, because the real point you have to make here is interesting; you shouldn't crud it up with the partisan stuff.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rayiner on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @02:19PM (#32416317)
> There is no appetite in the Democratic party to pack the Supreme Court; it's a fringe position.

Polls show significant numbers of Democrats support packing: https://www.newsweek.com/new-poll-shows-court-packers-will-f.... It's not a majority, but it's hardly "fringe."

> But your argument here includes a sleight of hand, because you confining your analysis to Dobbs itself, but ignore the state laws that it enabled, many of which are radically to the right of the European consensus.

The European consensus on moral ideology versus politics enables laws (in Ireland until recently, and in Poland still) that are radically to the right of the European consensus on abortion. Nobody in Belgium is showing up to the houses of EHCR Judges over recent decisions rejecting the notion of rights to same-sex marriage and abortion.

The point is that both Ohio and France view abortion as a matter of political line-drawing. People in France manage not to freak out about how people in Poland choose to draw the lines, so long as Polish law doesn't apply to them. In my view that makes Ohio and France more similar to each other than to California and New York, where many folks think that issues like abortion and same-sex marriage should be outside of the political process altogether.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by tptacek on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @03:50PM (#32417482)
They polled immediately after the Dobbs leak; prior to that poll, it got like 25% support. It's a fringe position, and will get fringier. If you polled Democrats on whether we should impeach Clarence Thomas, you'd get substantial support, because Democrats hate Clarence Thomas, just like you'd easily get Republicans to support impeaching Sonia Sotomayor.

The point you said you were making, about who does the line-drawing, is one I agree with. But, as I said, you misled when you implied Dobbs aligned policy with "Europe" (if you had said Dobbs had the ultimate effect of aligning us with Poland, I'd agree, but you didn't say that because we all know Poland is significantly to the right of the European consensus, and it would have harmed the partisan argument you tacked on).

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rayiner on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:09PM (#32417714)
How does Dobbs align is with Poland? Do you think it will result in a national ban on abortion in the US?
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by tptacek on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:48PM (#32421357)
It has already aligned several whole states with Poland on the issue; this isn't an abstraction: the population of US states with bans comparable to Poland exceeds that of Poland.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by kasey_junk on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:23PM (#32420128)
That’s a stated goal of many serving congress people.

If things swing a particular way you might see a national ban bill next year.

I don’t know how likely that is but it’s certainly a position many Republicans take.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rayiner on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:28PM (#32420563)
Many politicians in Europe also take that position—legalized abortion is a delicate compromise in most EU countries. Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who briefly succeeded Merkel as leader of the CDU, also staunchly opposed abortion, as did many in her party. In fact, in Germany’s high court has recognized a right to life under the Basic Law that begins at conception. Abortion is legalized in the country under the theory that the constitutional violation doesn’t necessarily need to be punished.

A national abortion ban can’t get 60 votes in the Senate. We’ll end up with a mix of laws at the state level, just like the EU. Public polling shows that Americans favor similar laws to Europe—abortions being illegal after the first trimester except under various exceptions. https://www.vox.com/2022/7/13/23204957/roe-wade-abortion-dob... (“At least three national surveys have shown majorities of Americans favor banning abortion after 15 weeks, even as those same respondents said they wanted to see Roe upheld.”).

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by kasey_junk on Thursday August 11, 2022 @09:02AM (#32424992)
What the public wants and what the legislature’s provide are fairly far from each other on this issue.

The minute the Dobbs decision came down several states laws changed to dramatically limit abortion. Much more limited than the national polls suggest are the desired outcomes. Indiana of all places had to rush a change on the books to make sure their ban wasn’t too limiting.

In that climate, and the way midterm elections go, I think a national ban is a definite possibility.

Meanwhile, an assault weapons ban is very popular with the public, but is effectively impossible to get passed.

Structurally, this Supreme Court is more activist than the public wants and is misaligned with the majority opinions (though I’ll grant that’s not the courts mandate).

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by pcwalton on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:54PM (#32421007)
> A national abortion ban can’t get 60 votes in the Senate.

David Shor: "Unless we see big structural changes in the Democratic party's coalition, then the modal outcome for 2024 is Donald Trump winning a filibuster-proof trifecta with a minority of the vote." (emphasis his)

(And, of course, the GOP could weaken the filibuster with 51 senators.)

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by UncleMeat on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:50AM (#32411043)
This is classic "I'm right, so political systems should cater to me." I'd love to read this sort of thing from somebody who doesn't seem themselves as between two extremes. It'd be more believable. As written, the argument just feels like Fukuyama feels personally unrepresented by the existing parties and concludes that what would represent him would therefore be best for the nation.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by Zigurd on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @12:15PM (#32414419)
Indeed: There are voting systems that are objectively better at delivering representation and safer from causing perverse outcomes. If he were to stick to that, it would be more honest. Up through George H.W. Bush the Republican party represented me just fine. Now I'm a registered Democrat. I've got differences with both parties. I think the electoral college, partisan gerrymanders, and the Senate are structurally unrepresentative, but, under a first past the post system, supporting a mainstream party is what gets you the best representation.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:08PM (#32417699)
And there is even the idea that people in a democracy can do more then just vote for representatives.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:46AM (#32410997)
> Moreover, it is not guaranteed to facilitate viable third parties; this has not happened in Australia, for example, where it is the rule.

I don't particularly want a viable third party, I want people who appeal strongly to 30% of the vote and are hated by 30% of the vote not to win and all the goodness that flows from that.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by drewcoo on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @12:08PM (#32414324)
And I want a multitude viable parties so that we can represent the people better. We're not just this or that; we have a wide variety of interests and stances.

Not everything should not be like a football game.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @12:29PM (#32414655)
The third parties don't need to be "viable" to have an impact in ranked choice voting, that's kind of the point of it. Just talking about a viable third party is a sign that you're thinking in first-past-the-post, winner-takes-all terms.

You can have the big "we like red things" and the tiny "we like red apples from new zealand" party, and keep the "We like Blue things and hate everything from new Zealand" party out of office because of how voters rank them.

Which then, in strategy meetings, leads to the divisive "We hate everything from New Zealand" policy getting ditched by the "We like blue things" party, because it only appealed to a small minority, who get to vote for a newly created extremist "We really hate NZ" party that reflects their views better anyway.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:22PM (#32417881)
I still don't get why people like ranked choice so much. Anybody that seriously investigates voting methods can see that it is a highly flawed solution. If we are going to the trouble of changing that, why not reach for the best solutions.

Ranked choice leads to very non-intuitive outcomes (including spoiler effects) and already has done so in a actual elections. Its complex to fill out and it forces choice on people that don't want to choice.

https://www.equal.vote/science

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by ZeroGravitas on Thursday August 11, 2022 @04:28AM (#32422988)
Because its so much better than what we have, people who care about the real life outcome, not the academic arguments, realise that any of the sensible choices would be better and so other factors, like name recognition or existing usage, dominate over any minor further improvements.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Thursday August 11, 2022 @07:47AM (#32424270)
Its not an academic argument. Its a why don't we do something that is simpler and easier to understand and has better outcomes.

He you know how you evaluate restaurants, books, and most other things in live? You give things a score. That's how should evaluate politicians as well.

And guess what, the outcomes will be mostly intuitive rather then confusing as often happens with ranked choice.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by winReInstall on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:39AM (#32410917)
The polarization is wanted and created to prevent actual change away from a festering oligarchy. Even if one totalitarian wing would win, a new split would appear within, to prevent action.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by pydry on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:28AM (#32410781)
Im not sure if the guy who declared "the end of history" in the 90s is really best poised to comment on this. The deep, societal rot that set this polarization in motion essentially kicked off shortly before he famously declared western civilization to be akin to perfection.

It seems pretty clear from this essay that he thinks that polarization is a surface level issue best dealt with by tweaking "how we talk to each other" across the political divide rather than addressing the underlying structural issues that indirectly trigger a deep level of anger and resentment like staggering wealth inequality.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by tokai on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:40AM (#32410940)
He's such a hack, and the End of History was dumb even back in 92. Guess what he is saying resonates with some people, cause he keeps getting attention despite his work being neo-liberal fanfiction.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by vehemenz on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:48AM (#32411864)
You make it sound like there's a large roster of public intellectuals worth listening to. Why lump him in with the Tucker Carlsons of the world?
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by tokai on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:02AM (#32412104)
Excuse me but what is the point of your comment? Anything general about intellectuals in my comment is all in your own head. And what does some American pundit has to do with anything?
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by vehemenz on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:19AM (#32412410)
Uncharitable metacomment aside, I can't clarify much more.

You said he's a "hack," I'm saying it's relative. If Fukuyama is a hack, then that doesn't leave many public intellectuals left.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by tokai on Thursday August 11, 2022 @05:54AM (#32423529)
You did not add anything of value to the discussion, and it has nothing to do with my comment. You not even bringing a real argument for anything to the table. An absolute preposterous idea that Fuku being an idiot says anything about other public intellectuals. Don't make me, or anyone else, the target of your own internal discussion. Especially such nonsense.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by pydry on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:15AM (#32413373)
There's Chomsky.

Anybody really worth listening to is probably not going to be as corporate friendly as Fukuyama so they probably wont get much of an airing on the mainstream media.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rayiner on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @01:40PM (#32415769)
I like Chomsky, but your criticism makes no sense. You can’t be a serious intellectual unless you hate corporations? Have you looked around lately? People love corporations and the products corporations make. And there is no better system than corporate neoliberalism, that we have figured out, for giving people the material things they want in large quantities. I just got back from Disneyland. It’s neoliberal paradise and people love it. People in my third world home country want to come to America and buy a house in Texas with four bedrooms and a pool and take their kids to Disneyland.

There’s lots of good criticisms to be made of the system. But there’s also a serious intellectual case for why systems that facilitate people getting the material things they want is a good thing. To write that off completely is intellectual laziness; a desire to wish away the difficult parts of your own position.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:25PM (#32417915)
Chomsky who loves to downplay genocide if done by a leftist party and the political system he advocates is so hilariously unproven and basically can not actually work. But sure he is really worth listing too.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by unethical_ban on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:19AM (#32412402)
The Origins of Political Order was a good book. I felt it had a reasonable way of structuring the understanding of how different societies came about and how a different mix of rule of law, accountability to the people, and the existence of a state.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by mc32 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:42AM (#32410962)
Despite wealth inequality you can have societies which aren’t at each other’s throats. Not to say we want that society, but that is not directly related.

I also think that while the suggestion is facile on the surface, there is something more psychologically substantive —I’m not sure it’s sufficient but it certainly would help.

The root of our issues in the US is the selling out the lower classes’s potential by the government and industry to offshoring, thus reducing their economic power and outlook.

Of course if we hadn’t pursued globalization we’d be less advanced and things would be more expensive —imagine a kind of Switzerland, but while the potential is less open ended the lower classes and the middle classes would be less diverged from themselves as well as from the wealthy. So an executive to staff disparity might be 10x instead of 100x.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by southerntofu on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:00AM (#32411180)
> Despite wealth inequality you can have societies which aren’t at each other’s throats.

Can you name just one civilization with staggering inequalities which has not been subject to social conflict?

> The root of our issues in the US is the selling out the lower classes’s potential by the government and industry to offshoring, thus reducing their economic power.

I don't think this argument holds. The US was the theatre or major class struggle long before the neoliberal offshoring waves. Popular riots and massacres by the local authorities is nothing new, see for example the battle of Blair Mountain in 1921: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Blair_Mountain

More to the point, the GDP/capita in the USA has kept growing over the years despite offshoring. The fact that some parts of the population struggle to feed themselves is due to conscious wealth-capturing schemes from the rich and government-friendly corporations. Or as Warren Buffet once put it, "Actually, there’s been class warfare going on for the last 20 years, and my class has won".

When the people realize how duped they've been with empty promises and scapegoats, they are bound to loose their shit and be at someone's throat.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by mc32 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:11AM (#32411334)
50 years ago a high school graduate could get a decent job, buy a house and raise a family without too much sweat. Even HS dropouts had a fighting chance. That ain’t happenin no more.

As Buffett alludes to, this is recent. In the last 30 years -as a consequence of offshoring. Cobbling shoes and pickin up garbage ain’t glamorous but they're a living. All the mills closing shop in the south affected working class black employment, in the northeast it affected working class white employment. But add up all the industries affected.

Now we’re beginning to offshore food. The laborers who used to cross the border for jobs now have jobs in their own countries which may be better may be worse…

It’s all done by a greedy gov and greedy industrialists who turned to globalism and away from supporting local economies to the detriment of the lower and middle classes.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by ginko on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:42AM (#32412808)
>Can you name just one civilization with staggering inequalities which has not been subject to social conflict?

Sweden has rather high level of wealth inequality (about the same level as the US) while being quite stable politically and socially.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_wealth_in...

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by southerntofu on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:53AM (#32413006)
> Sweden (...) quite stable politically and socially.

There are riots in Sweden too [0], and what some consider to be terrorist activities from the far left to the far right [1].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Riots_and_civil_disor...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terrorism_in_Sweden

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by mc32 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:59AM (#32413135)
Barbados, Singapore, New Zealand...

Also, with regard to Sweden, they have been a destination for poor refugees who on average integrate less than ideally into their society, given social, economic, political and spiritual differences between host country and new arrivals.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:31PM (#32417988)
I challenge you to go to Sweden, travel threw it for 4 weeks and then honestly say its a society that is at each other throat.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by southerntofu on Saturday August 13, 2022 @06:16AM (#32448439)
I challenge you to go to anywhere that's not obviously a civil war and say that they're at each other's throats.

That argument makes no sense: a lot of people have very exotic tourism in Paris, New York, or in Guadeloupe. Yet for those who look beyond the surface the situation is shocking and on the right day of BLM / gilets jaunes protests you may believe the entire society has lost their shit (when in fact it's just the logical conclusion of a tiny minority of officials/businesses exploiting the entire population).

See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_syndrome

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Tuesday August 16, 2022 @10:40AM (#32483364)
What a actual metric then would you use to suggest a country is 'at each other throat'. How do you measure that?
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by barry-cotter on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:35AM (#32411650)
> Can you name just one civilization with staggering inequalities which has not been subject to social conflict?

There are no societies, especially unequal or not, without social conflict. If there are no external enemies internal ones will swiftly be found.

“Only the dead are safe; only the dead have seen the end of war.” George Santayana

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by panick21_ on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @04:29PM (#32417973)
People want to find these grand narratives. But if you actually look into the data, the real cost are actually mostly related to health care, car ownership and housing police (or city/town planning).

If the US fixed its city planning, stopped pushing every family to have many cars and managed its health care system with even minimal efficiency the data would look much different.

Offshoring is a bad argument, because that has happened in many places to a large extent and the results are not that American.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by pydry on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:55AM (#32411103)
I think it's only theoretically possible, in practical terms it is not. With enormous wealth inequality you get an oligarchy class who will use their wealth/power to chip away at the societal stabilizers that would keep the worst excesses of wealth inequality in check like the social safety net, strong labor rights, etc.

In any case, I agree that selling out the lower classes for is pretty much guaranteed to make them angry, resentful and susceptible to the charms of right wing populists wanting to ascend to power upon a platform of blaming one or more convenient minority scapegoats.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jhbadger on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:52AM (#32411063)
You can disagree with what Fukuyama wrote in "The End of History" but what he wrote isn't what most people (who haven't read it) think he wrote. The strawman version that most people think he wrote is "Yay! The Cold War is over! Everyone will instantly become democratic and capitalistic!". What he actually wrote is that democracy and capitalism is the eventual end state of human society, even if it may take centuries to get there for everyone. I think history shows that dictatorships and economic systems that deny market forces are ultimately short lived. Yes, right now democracy and capitalism have a lot of detractors, and it may be that these will temporarily fail even in some Western countries. But even if they do, I doubt these new regimes will last long and eventually people will have to go back to what works.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by ren_engineer on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:15AM (#32412330)
> I think history shows that dictatorships and economic systems that deny market forces are ultimately short lived

like 99% of history is monarchies and dictatorships, democracy is a blip on the radar

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jhbadger on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:24AM (#32413516)
I'm not sure it makes sense counting societies prior to the industrial revolution because most issues in society before then depended just on the control of arable land. The industrial revolution changed the entire dynamic. Dictatorships, whether communistic or fascistic haven't lasted long in this era, and nearly all surviving monarchies turned into meaningless shows of pageantry (and those that survived as actual rulers like some in the Middle East, did so because they were oil states and are unlikely to last long as the world moves away from reliance on fossil fuels).
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by shlurpy on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:13AM (#32411357)
It's an embarrassingly bad take. "The sociopolitical system that I am benefiting from also happens to be the inevitable final and best one" is something that so many people have claimed over the years, and has failed each time. And that's not to mention the fundamental contradictions between democracy and capitalism, the existential threat capitalism has posed to the entire world via climate change, the fragility of pseudodemocratic institutions past and present, and dozens of other problems. But sure, the system we have had for less then a tenth of the duration of many ancient empires is final and complete, and everyone should just give up on finding solutions to its many problems that might inconvence those currently in power.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jhbadger on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:31AM (#32411596)
When people say things like "the existential threat capitalism has posed to the entire world via climate change" one has to wonder if they know about the horrendous pollution (often far worse than in the West) that existed in the Soviet Union and related countries. The issue isn't about "capitalism" but industrial society in general. If you want to get rid of that, fine, but I don't think you'll find many people willing to go back to an agrarian or hunter-gatherer society.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by shlurpy on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:47AM (#32411842)
It's not about pollution, it's about actively spending billions to prevent any solutions once we knew it was a problem.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by pydry on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:14AM (#32411373)
He said that now fascism and communism had been "defeated" that there will be no more competition for liberal democracy.

Yet he's arguing both here and elsewhere about how to defeat liberal democracy's new domestic and foreign opponents.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rob74 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:00AM (#32412065)
> resistance to RCV is strong in the two existing parties that do not want to see their duopoly weakened.

Of course that's true of all other proposals to reduce polarization too. Is it bad for the current duopoly? Well then it can't be allowed to happen, can it?

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by moistly on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @06:49PM (#32419418)
https://electionscience.org/

A variant: just check off the candidates you prefer, leave the others blank. No need to rank, just approve or disapprove.

By far the easiest way to do the task, and far better than what we do now. It is, at the very least, a significant step forward.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by asciiresort on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:40AM (#32410924)
> This weakness is well understood by enemies like Russia’s Vladimir Putin, who has done everything he can to widen those divisions and has acted geopolitically at a moment when he thought the U.S. was too weak and self-preoccupied to respond effectively.

Not a fan of Putin, and I think the polarization is real, but then this should already be obvious to anyone whose not been asleep for the past few years.

Given the domain name includes the word persuasion, such a claim needs more substantiation, elaboration or citation. This feels like a student paper without much strong arguments beyond general hand wavy sentiments on the state of the union.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by unethical_ban on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:27AM (#32412555)
We need electoral reform because that would enable realignment. How many times do we hear people say "I really feel this way, but I support the Democrats because they aren't evil" or "yeah trump is an idiot and policies x,y,z sick, but I support the GOP because they believe in staying out of my business" or a million variations on that?

We need an electoral system that enables the existence and viability of a host of political parties, so that people can go to the ballot box and vote FOR something instead of against the "other" party.

A huge way both parties are able to capture support is through fear mongering. Dems shrewdly see some hope for political tailwinds when the GOP blocks abortion. Fox News rallies moderates and right wingers to the GOP by showing examples of the silliest examples of far left behavior (and by lying constantly).

If

* political parties had to campaign on what THEY would do rather than what their opponent does,

* Political parties could be quickly abandoned for failure to achieve those goals, and

* People could vote positively for what they support rather than against what they don't,

This country would be in a better place.

And friends, electoral reform will likely start local. If you like the idea, write your councilman. Get into municipal code and figure out what it would take to put such a system on city elections.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by 1PlayerOne on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:28AM (#32413601)
Yes, get rid of winner take all...
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jollyllama on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:53AM (#32411089)
"How to depolarize: just stop being so polarized" Not particularly insightful
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by barry-cotter on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:53AM (#32411077)
> [Fukuyama’s] view is that the Republicans are hopeless because they support Donald Trump. But that seems like a solvable problem. Perhaps Mr. Trump will not run in 2024. Perhaps he will lose, in either the primaries or the general election, and then no longer be a factor.

> In fact, I think it is fair to say that Mr. Trump moved the Republican Party closer to the center. He did so in part by rejecting libertarian intellectual ideas on fiscal policy, immigration, and trade. From my perspective, not ideal, as the kids would say.

> Many conservative pundits believe that a Republican Party with Mr. Trump’s position on issues but someone else as the standard-bearer could wallop the Democrats in 2024. But Fukuyama does not think in those terms at all.

> I suspect that Fukuyama simply fears and loathes the social class that forms the core of the contemporary Republican Party. Although he thinks that the Woke progressives on the Democratic side are electorally toxic and substantively misguided, I suspect that his class sympathies lie with them. Let me know if you feel that I am being uncharitable toward Fukuyama.

> I believe that the Republican Party could turn away from the personality cult of Trump while retaining and building on the support that he generated. Fukuyama believes that the Democratic Party could turn away from the Woke progressive movement. In that regard, each of us may be guilty of wishful thinking.

> But I would stop well short of claiming that there would be heaven on earth, or the end of polarization, should a Republican other than Trump lead the party to a decisive victory in 2024. Nor would heaven on earth ensue if Fukuyama’s wish for the Democrats came true.

https://arnoldkling.substack.com/p/francis-fukuyama-has-a-wi...

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by Mezzie on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:01AM (#32412090)
Fukuyama's filter bubble is SO obvious reading this piece.

> "The path out of polarization needs to be a political one, given the nature of our democratic system: that is, a realigning election in which one party decisively wins control of both houses of Congress and the presidency and holds on to power through two or three electoral cycles. "

I can't think of any better way to speedrun the collapse of America than this happening, honestly. This might have been viable back in '12-'16, but now? Hell no. Every major political institution has set its social capital on fire in the past decade, and the only reason a lot of them are standing is because they can point to the 'other side' being obstructionist. A thin veneer of 'my team right or wrong' on the part of the least-informed voters (the least informed CITIZENRY don't vote at all) is the only thing keeping people from being radicalized into 'this entire system is bad and EVERYONE IN IT IS BAD'. (Right now we're radicalizing people into 'the system would work if we got rid of the deplorables/libtards'). Particularly since without the kayfabe of Democrats vs. Republicans, the media is going to have to invent a new thing to get people worked up about: The NYT/WSJ/Guardian/Reason/Daily Wire/terrible FB meme groups aren't going to shut down or say "Now that one party is in charge, we should give up the profits that come with outrage for the sake of our ~country~". Nor is such a situation safe from outside meddling; it's even MORE exploitable in some ways.

> "The problem with RCV is that for it to have a major effect, it would have to be adopted in a large number of states for both party primaries and presidential elections."

Yes. And why I think a successful implementation of RCV in the US would involve multiple states having it on the ballot in the SAME ELECTION (ideally an ODD YEAR election). As Fukuyama identifies, the major obstacle to this is the people in power on both sides, but his idea of politics as being only national down is showing here. Basic tactics suggest you fight a centralized, powerful enemy by spreading out your efforts - make them fight on multiple fronts and set up a situation where you can fail and still make inroads. (If 25 states have it on the ballot and it passes in 12, you still have made significant progress and if those 12 show it's viable, then the next run becomes a lot easier. Especially if you can make the 12 swing states.)

"The lack of RCV then affects the prospects of the second path towards depolarization, emergence of a viable third party."

Likewise, Fukuyama shows his idea of 'politics' is pretty restricted to 'national politics' in this case. My idea of a 'viable third party' would look to the history of them in the US, which would suggest that the most likely way to get a viable third party off the ground is to create a strong state/regional party (a la the Minnesotan Farmer-Labor party). That party then gives another viable route into politics for aspiring politicians, which means that the politicians in the Dem/GOP at the state/local have some ability to push back against national interests (e.g. a popular Minnesotan Dem state senator could say they'll run as F+L if the party doesn't bend on thing X, and if that person is on the shortlist for potential governor/national candidacy, then losing them hurts, tactically).

I could also see some major progress happening if a party arose and focused solely on local, officially non-partisan races. A "viable third party" doesn't just mean "a party that immediately has a substantial footprint in national Congress or can win the presidency". What an odd definition.

> "These approaches—changes in institutional rules, third parties, and grassroots organization—are all important components that could contribute to depolarization. Many political reform proposals face a chicken-and-egg problem, however: you can’t enact legislation to reduce polarization until you’ve reduced the level of polarization. The path to a long-term solution is blocked in the short run. The only way to resolve this conundrum is through the democratic process itself: that is, through a decisive electoral victory by one party that seeks to promote serious change, and is able to enact it."

What.

Seriously, how does the second half of this paragraph follow from the first? "We tried nothing and we're all out of ideas!"

He needs to justify this: "The only way to resolve this conundrum is through the democratic process itself." To say it's the ONLY way is making a very strong statement. For instance, reducing the size of the country until it was manageable (Balkanization) could solve that conundrum, it just has a really high price. So what Fukuyama is actually saying here is "the only way to solve this conundrum that doesn't have costs I consider too high is". That's a massive hidden assumption there. Somehow I doubt that Francis Fukuyama and I agree on how much suffering is acceptable to solve this problem and (more importantly) who can suffer for it.

> "Of the two parties, it would for better or worse have to be the Democrats."

Again, complete understanding of politics only on the national level. I'd say the best odds for a realignment type election would come from moderate conservatives in the Rust Belt or Plains States. Unlike those in the South, those communities are less religious (which makes cross-party appeal easier), have some policy positions that cross over with/are popular with liberals (e.g. being more pro-environment), and have a way to talk to some issues uniting a lot of Americans (e.g. being told what to do by people who don't understand how you live/being treated as flyover country or unimportant by coastal states + places like Texas). There are substantial logistical barriers to the Dems pulling it off. First of all, their bench is pathetic: The modern Democratic party is a gerontocracy and accepts far less internal division than the Republicans. Where are these new Dems supposed to come from?

> "But the Republican takeover by Trump and his MAGA movement has been much more thoroughgoing than anything that has happened on the Democratic side, and represents a much more toxic form of politics."

Tell me you don't talk to normal people who are conservative without telling me you don't talk to normal people who are conservative. I'm from a purple state, in a purple district, from a bipartisan family, and there are far fewer crazy Trump people here than people who are sighing and voting for the lesser evil. On the other hand, you sure do see a lot of crazy Trump people in the neoliberal filter bubble. Twitter =/= average Dem voter and Parler =/= average GOP voter. Sorry.

He even talks about this later but doesn't put together that Trump's MAGA takeover is way less stable than Fukuyama thinks, and is already working on being dismantled. Now, the people who are more competent than Trump but took notes, that's concerning. But it also hasn't happened yet.

> " The contemporary Republican Party will therefore never incubate a broadly appealing centrist vision, at least not until it begins to consistently lose elections."

As opposed to the Democrats, who didn't start incubating such a vision even when they started losing elections?

Fukuyama seems to think the illness of the Democratic party is limited to the cultural craziness of the last few years and ignores its ossification + the spending of their social capital until the bank is empty. Toning down on the culture wars would probably help them - temporarily. The wokeness is a signal of simmering tension and pressure, and it's going to break out somehow. Instead of co-opting the party/process, we'd probably see movements to OPEN hostility from both extremists instead. He seems to be under the odd delusion that both sides will just shrug if they find out what they believe isn't popular, and that all the perverse incentives for companies and politicians to fan the flames will just disappear if some elections go the way he wants.

In short: LOL

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jeffdn on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:58AM (#32413110)
The Democratic Party has completely lost its bearings. It transformed from being a pro-union, center-left party in the middle of the 20th century into a "third way" neoliberal party that is much more well known for its social stances than for any semblance of a cohesive economic policy.

The article denigrates Bernie Sanders and "the Squad" as being extremely out of touch with mainstream American political views, but on average 40% of eligible voters do not vote in presidential elections, not to mention midterm elections with their even worse turnout. American adults are disillusioned, and feel that no matter who wins elections, nothing will change -- and to a large extent, this is true! The biggest economic proposals of any candidate in recent memory were the "Medicare for all" proposal from Sanders, and Obama's healthcare reform.

Imagine a world in which Obama had leveraged the 60 seats the Democrats had in the Senate to propose a single-payer healthcare system, rather than Romneycare. Of course the Republicans were going to throw a fit, stomp their feet, and call it socialism -- they've been doing that for decades. Starting from single-payer healthcare would've given the Republicans room to negotiate the bill into something actually bipartisan, but by starting with the furthest-right possible position, all they could do was say no. The desire to pass a bipartisan bill meant only that the Republicans were allowed to criticize the Affordable Care Act as socialism, despite the fact that they themselves had proposed an almost identical measure in the '90s under Gingrich, and Romney had implemented the same in Massachusetts.

Imagine a world in which Obama had leveraged the 60 seats the Democrats had in the Senate to propose a New New Deal, rather than the anemic $800 billion that ended up being spent on the Recovery Act. There was so much room for far-reaching infrastructure and green energy spending that just didn't get to happen.

The Republican party thrives on the government implementing half measures. It is worse to have an underfunded and thereby ineffective government program than it is to have no program at all -- look at the NHS in the U.K., which is a perfect example. The Conservative party removed a huge amount of funding from the NHS, and it began struggling. Wait times have increased, and quality of care has decreased. Now the Conservatives get to use the NHS as an example of an ineffective, inefficient, and failing government program, and are proposing private options to "bolster" it. If they just increased the funding and actually hired people and paid them well, this would be a non-issue.

In sum, I think that the Democrats need to show some cohesion and spine for once. They need to come up with a unified economic policy that is well-vetted, and they need to completely ignore Republican criticism, rather than waffling and watering things down. Nothing turns a voter off more than a politician who's views are blown about with the winds of opinion -- a simple, strong message that promises to make individuals lives better can be enough. They also need to stop proposing policies that result in large swathes of the population being immediately turned off -- there are nearly 400 million privately owned firearms in the United States -- it is simply not feasible to ban them at this point. What can be accomplished is regulation around the acquisition of firearms and ammunition: universal background checks, classes with meaningful exams, licensing to be able to buy (but not registration of the firearm itself, which plays right into the "gun grabber" fearmongering).

When Republicans say "this will mean tax raises!", the Democrats should respond "no, this will mean the closing of tax loopholes that allow the wealthiest individuals and corporations to shelter their profits from taxation".

When Republicans say "this is socialism and will take away your freedoms", the Democrats should respond "this is not socialism -- our European friends have policies that go far beyond these, and they are just as free as we are".

This stuff isn't rocket science -- the rest of the developed world has figured out a way for center-left and even left parties to move forward substantive policies that improve the lives of most citizens. The Democrats need to stop cowering and start leading.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by nh23423fefe on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @02:24PM (#32416401)
You imagine 2 arbitrary labels are actors over time. This is just narrative.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by jeffdn on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @02:49PM (#32416730)
They are and they aren't. Both parties have national bodies that vote on a platform which all candidates are ostensibly meant to support. It's not as rigorous as parties in a multi-party parliamentary system, but it's certainly not true that they are only labels.

It may be narrative, but it's also a major component of many people's worldview -- especially of late, as the polarization has increased. The strength of one's bond to that worldview and the number of people who feel strongly both feed back into the party's platform, as those people are the primary voters (or "base").

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by rayiner on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:14AM (#32413339)
I disagree that it’s a political problem with a political solution. In my view what we’re seeing is actually seeing is closer to a religious conflict being caused by dechristianization. Increasingly secular elites are replacing traditional religion with a quasi-religious systems of ideas. The contrast between the tolerant liberalism of the 1990s and the moralistic progressivism of today is hard to explain any other way. Folks are trying to get their arms around the scope of it. Wesley Yang, for example, calls it “successor ideology.” https://www.wsj.com/podcasts/opinion-free-expression/the-suc.... Shadi Hamid, who has done fascinating work addressing democracy in Muslim countries, has similarly noted the new strains of thinking resulting from American dechristianization: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2021/04/america...

Consider immigration, which Fukuyama mentions. Looking at this as a foreigner, I don’t have a hard time understanding MAGA republicans. If Bangladesh, where I am from, were seeing the kind of immigration levels we are seeing in the US today, folks would be reacting in exactly the same way as Trump voters. Nothing about their reaction surprises me.

What does surprise me are folks who dismiss the reaction as “racist” and therefore beyond the scope of political debate. Not the Matt Yglesias types, who favor increased immigration on economic grounds and are willing to engage in persuasion over it. But folks who are so committed to “equality” as an overriding moral principle that precludes distinguishing people on different sides of a border based on cultural or ethnic affinities. That’s a remarkable new idea! Nearly the whole word subscribes to the Westphalian view of a nation state, wherein self governance for distinct ethnic and cultural groups is a human right.

Trump voters can understand the nature of Bangladesh and Japan as Bangladeshis and Japanese themselves understand it. I think for a growing segment of the intellectual elite in the Democratic Party, they really cannot.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by immigrantheart on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:32AM (#32410833)
Seeing how Reddit’s frontpage is becoming more and more left to the point even moderate leftists think it is ridiculous, I don’t have much faith in depolarization.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by uoaei on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @09:46AM (#32411833)
Reddit is a simulacrum of real life, as are Twitter and HN. Best not to use them as bellwethers for public sentiment generally.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by vehemenz on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:07AM (#32412201)
This is demographics in action. Reddit leans heavily under-30 and educated.

More importantly, why is a more left-leaning Reddit front page your exemplar? The social, moral, and intellectual decline of the post-Trump Republican Party seems far more noteworthy.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by immigrantheart on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:38PM (#32420230)
Seems worrying to me if our under 30 and educated population is anti working.

I'm just giving one example, doesn't necessarily mean that I am a Trump supporter and covering up for Trump.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by im3w1l on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:23AM (#32412485)
It's hardly a natural process. It takes a lot of moderation labor to keep reddit as left-wing as it is.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by wiredearp on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:07AM (#32413253)
That's just how just centrism looks on a global scale. People out here find it hard to imagine how Democrats could possibly move further to the right. If the Overton window leads to America, perhaps you should stop chasing it.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by bjt2n3904 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:31AM (#32410815)
> The path out of polarization needs to be a political one

Forgive my guffaw. Politics are the way towards unity? Yeah right, and another drink is the way towards sobriety.

> The only way to resolve this conundrum is through the democratic process itself: that is, through a decisive electoral victory by one party that seeks to promote serious change, and is able to enact it.

Oh my gosh you can't be serious. Just elect a strong party that ramrods change through? That will solve our division?

What a terrifying article.

[dead]
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by bjt2n3904 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:38AM (#32410905)
> Could such a realigning election occur in contemporary America? It could [...]. Of the two parties, it would for better or worse have to be the Democrats. Though I am now a Democrat, [...]

You don't need sarcasm tags, he's quite serious.

"Just give me power and I'll unify the country and bring us into the 21st century with lots of reforms!"

Ok Mao.

Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by pydry on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:37AM (#32410888)
To be fair, it's more liberal elitism than left wing elitism, but yeah, it's clear his sympathies lie more with technocrats than the great unwashed masses.
Re:Francis Fukuyama: Paths to Depolarization by andrewclunn on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @08:44AM (#32410976)
Alternative hypothesis: end technocratic censorship and allow for a more federated local approach to dealing with contentious issues. Oh wait, that would mean a government working for the people it governs and not the political donor class. Silly me, I forgot we're only supposed to pretend like we care about the people.