To me it seems like griefer [0] behavior. The goal is to just duck with Twitter and derive joy from others pain.
Musk is a gamer and I’ve played a lot of games. It’s pretty common to see people who are bored or max level or whatever who just mess with other players like a cat does with a mouse. They expel more of their own energy to cause discomfort to their target. An example may be spending 10 gold pieces to make the target lose 1 gold piece.
It “doesn’t make sense” rationally until you take into account the value of the confusion, pain, negative experiences for the target as a sort of currency.
So it seems perfectly common for me to see Musk spend a few billion in fines or whatever to make life worse for Twitter.
One theory I’ve seen to explain why Musk wants to buy Twitter is to shut it down. If that’s the goal then it’s actually much cheaper not to pay $40B to acquire it and shut it down, but to do this sort of thing that seeds uncertainty so when he pulls out the stock price plummets and Twitter dies from an acceleration from it’s likely path.
Musk has lots of followers and was marketing snakeoil perfectly well before Twitter and will be fine after Twitter. I think Musk’s Twitter count is based on his activity, not the other way around. He’s not rich because of Twitter.
But it’s just a theory and there could be other reasons.
Could be that Twitter just had bad management and by cutting lots of staff and establishing a clear ToS they can plaster ads everywhere and let trump back on to drum up activity.
Who knows? It’s kind of boring to me and I try not to follow it, but it leaks into my feeds. I just noticed the behavior and it reminds me of encountering griefers in games I’ve played.
I think this Griefer theory explains a lot of the antisocial behavior we see out of executives and politicians who have beaten the game of life. We structure the game to make "Sociopath" the character class most likely to reach level 99 and win the game, and then we wonder why there are so many sociopaths using game-winning wealth to grief everyone else.
Whether or not that was the purpose is speculation but being held up as a champion of free speech (as if) I’m sure did great things for his ego too.
It will be interesting to see if conservative car types decide to give electric cars a go. Keeping a close eye on a famous YouTube mechanic.
You'd have to live very far away from any so-called "conservative car types" to believe this.
Currently, the conservative base is much more prone to thinking that electric cars are going to be _forced_ on them by a cabal who want to erase fossil fuels use from the earth.
Not saying they're correct, but your theory is just as baseless as theirs is.
Musk is not fully trusted by either side. He says a lot of things that traditional conservatives (especially those who don’t buy into climate change) oppose.
The left ideology is the dominant force in pop culture, and those views are in vogue. He’s speaking out against some of those things and that’s getting him a lot of attention.
…maybe they’ll change the law one day and he can run against Schwarzenegger.
Meanwhile, Elon could not run against Arnold for governor of California: Elon is not a citizen of California and Arnold has been disqualified from running again since 2011 due to term limits.
It can get tricky and people (or states) can argue/sue about it because it can make a big difference in taxes. Elon became a citizen of Texas before he made all the money that resulted in his 11 billion dollar federal tax bill last year and in doing so probably saved himself 5 to 7 billion dollars that otherwise would have gone to California.
Generally, this is far too complicated and involved to be any kind of effective scheme. He has professional managers and lawyers who could have easily come up with dozens of ways to sell tsla stock without this public legal morass.
The situation most likely is as it seems: He wanted to buy twitter for personal reasons and is in the process of doing so.
*** He wanted to buy twitter for personal readons [reasons] and is in the process of doing so. ***
I suppose that he wanted to buy Twitter. Perhaps it was for personal and business reasons. I simply don't know.
Also, at this point it seems like he might have decided not to purchase Twitter.
Nonetheless, the following comment which you successfully refuted...
*** Am I the only one who thinks it's obvious he was pretending to buy Twitter to try cover his cashing out of massive amounts of tesla? ***
was ridiculous.
Due to the market drop the dollar figure is now more expensive relatively speaking. I would not be surprised if some lawsuits fly back and forth and the deal winds up going through at a valuation that is similar in relative terms to the offer when it was made but different numerically.
I have no idea what that means. You think they negotiate to 53.69/share so Musk can save some face?
So they could agree to a new lower price and Twitter shareholders would still make the same money relative to the recent value of the stock and Musk would take a similar ding relative to his net worth.
It's like if you agree with someone's heirs to buy something after the current owners croaks but the current owner takes long enough to croak that the market for that thing changes. The typical path forward is to re-adjust so the deal is just as fair for both parties as it used to be and get on with it. But because of the dollar figures involved here the parties will sue each other instead of exchanging emails/texts like normal people looking to buy and sell stuff do.
What? So let's imagine I bought 10000 shares of TWTR in 2018 for $25. And now Musk wants to revise the offer down from 54.20 down to 34.20. Why should I accept a $200k smaller return, just to be more "fair to Elon" in terms of the effect on his net worth?
Or worse, what if I bought 10000 shares close to the peak? Why should I accept a $200k larger loss on the stock?
He made a contract to pay a certain price - it's in no way a wash to shareholders if he wants to pay less. He just made a bad deal. Nobody forced him to sign a contract to acquire Twitter at that price.
It doesn't make Elon look great, but some of the other theories…
- he wants to feed his ego because he doesn't already have enough to feed his ego
- he wants to make money because he doesn't have enough money
- he wants to grief twitter because it's such a good tool for him and he uses it every day
- he wants to get more people to preorder cars since the waiting line is only a year right now
...are just bonkers.
If Twitter had gone through the current tech market drop, without Musk hanging over it, it could easily be down 60-70%, maybe even 80%.
Twitter is a terrible business on paper with the current board. It wouldn't have done well in this tech crash.
Musk must be pretty annoyed that if he had waiting about 30 days he could have gotten twitter for 60% less money.
Consumer law gives you certain protection varying from place to place because it is impossible to verify what you buy online, but a bid on the stock of a public company is not an Amazon purchase and hence does not have the same kind of protections.
And in a way that is Elon's play: to claim that he put that bid in with important information being withheld by the company that would have had a material effect on the bid price. A reasonable person might take the position that Elon should have done his due diligence before making that bid.
WeWork failed at that, and even the slightest increase in intrest rates might doom thosr businesses. We will see so.
Good that you survived so, facing of against 30 million in funding isn't easy, regardless of how stupid that money is.
It's an execution of the contractual terms, not an annulment of the contract.
The whole tech field, including Tesla and Twitter has seen stock prices drop.
Yes Musk can leverage less money, but he also has to spend less to buy Twitter.
Best not even to look at the amounts until your close to retirement and need to adjust your investments.
He could have justified the stock sale in plenty of other ways, including reallocating funds to his other companies, without forcing himself into a $44B deal.
And as much as he trash talks Warren Buffet, I think he was basically following his advice of “buy what you know.” He just got burned by amazingly bad market timing.
Repeated promises and claims which turn out false.
He is extremely arrogant and annoying. For example used "Pedo Guy" as insult at Twitter toward someone who committed crime of disagreeing with him, proceeded to claim that this does not mean "pedophile" in court.
And claimed that this person "married" 12 year old girl (actually, she was 32 years old).
Also, Musk has bunch of annoying fans.
(that is among some legitimate reasons, many hate him BECAUSE he is successful)
> dozen other things that will save humanity
That is really overstating it, and case of annoying fanboyism.
(personally I appreciate some achievements and see his role in that - without giving 100% credit to leader, confused why people praise some projects already, but see no reason to engage in fanboyism or Musk hate)
Because someone asked why some people hate him?
> It was years ago
Falsely accusing people of being pedophile and raping 12 year old is not something where saying "sorry" is sufficient to never bring it up.
> What claims “turned out false”?
Are you really unaware of numerous missed promises, deadlines etc?
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ryanmac/elon-musk-hired...
Doesn't sound like a one off lightly lobbed, 1 in 50000 fluke to me.
Adding to the list of reasons to dislike him, there's him trying to get a lawyer who interviewed him for the SEC fired from his new unrelated job.
Here is a small subset: https://elonsbrokenpromises.com/
> 3 month maybe
THAT is an estimate, but then he continued
> 6 months definitely.
THAT is a promise.
It continues like that.
Also, as CEO of Tesla, and with his Twitter account listed as an official source of information, he cannot just willy-nilly make "estimates“ completely and utterly removed from reality. This is misleading investors and customers, for which he repeatedly got in trouble.
First, that is not at all what he was asked. The question is quoted right on the site you seem to think is so great.
Second, what he said did come true. The two levels of functionality did and do differ significantly, such as with summon and lane changes.
The other quotes on the site are even weaker sauce.
Not original commenter, but, so what if it's a while ago, from appearances it's not like his character has changed that much from being a major dickhead. He dismissed Covid as nothing because it would've been bad for his factories' output (he didn't say this but let's draw conclusions). Oh that's 2 years ago, also old news?
https://www.reddit.com/r/technology/comments/utes3n/comment/...
I find it hard to believe that someone so rich, yet so petty will "save humanity".
After he accused a random guy of being a pedophile because he saved a dozen kids, after he lied about making Tesla a private company, after he lied about Tesla accepting bitcoins as payment (just to speculate on BTC), it should be evident to everybody that Musk is not to be trusted. It wouldn’t surprise me if he pretended to buy Twitter to speculate on price changes with some weird derivatives.
nevertheless, "accused a random guy of being a pedophile" is damming
Then, when you die, your estate can take advantage of the step up rule. Which means that instead of using the original value of the stock you bought as a basis to calculate your profits, the basis is "stepped up" to the value of your stock on the day you died. After which, your estate can sell the stock and pay no taxes and then pay off the loans you lived off of your whole life.
And that is exactly why companies with founders that own lots of shares are no longer paying out dividends and trying to make a profit. They simply put everything possible back into growing the stock price eternally. Because dividends are taxed. Stock appreciation, if you are rich enough, is not.
Because he didn't have money before; he had paper wealth. Some media pretends that they're the same to keep you clicking. Now he's sold, he pays tax on it, because he gained capital.
I also dislike those who get lots of help from others to become rich and powerful then use their power to stop others from getting the same help, which he has done.
HN users consider themselves consumers first and foremost. The investor, techno-utopian believer, fanboy of companies..they are all sides which are secondary to the consumer one . At least on HN.
Despite all the media frenzy and fanfare about mr.Musk, the American consumer received next to nothing from him in terms of quality of life. And it's not like he's a young crypto-bro still finding himself. Guy is 50, has been doing this for 30 years. When I say "doing this" I mean offloading overpriced equity onto bigger fools using lies, deception and cult of personality.
Teslas for example still account for less than 1% of total vehicles sold globally in FY21. And it has been a slow year...also mr. Musk has been at the helm of Tesla for 20 years now. Less than 1% in 20 years...it means that the consumer is getting nothing.
He sells more top tier cars than all German car makers combined, for five years already.
And that’s nothing compared to what he does for space flight and the long term survival of conscience in the universe.
You seem to be very badly informed.
Dude, business ain't politics.
You have to be the person signing off the quality of life if you want people to shake your hand and pat your shoulder.
Musk is signing off quality of life for essentially nobody (1% of total vehicles sold globally in FY21) and those who are on the receiving end, they already have plenty of quality of life given that Teslas are basically luxury vehicles.
Real quality of life for everybody is Microsoft being used everywhere ranging from Bel Air to subsaharan Africa, same for Google, Facebook, Amazon. Even financial companies, you can find an HSBC or a Barclays branch in Lagos or Accra or Abuja, just as you can find them in NYC or LA for God's sake.
Another type of quality of life is Pfizer/Moderna 4$ vaccine injected in the arms of everybody in the developed world within 24 months from the emergence of a new virus, and AstraZeneca 0.10$ vaccine taking care of the developing world and especially India when they were burning bodies in the streets.
> You seem to be very badly informed.
You seem very insulated in your bubble of wealth and internet echo-chambers. Numbers don't lie. Musk companies are defacto non-existent in the real world. They provide quality of life to essentially nobody, and in fact you basiclly don't see them anywhere outside of places where huge amount of wealth is concentrated.
Narrative and headlines is the only metric in which such companies dominate.
https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2022-04-12/musk-is-of...
Not seriously, HOWEVER, I would now worry about him a lot more as a competitor or enemy as he's shown he's happy to blow what is -- to me -- an unthinkable amount of cash on whimsy and for the lulz.
This is all a side show and negotiation tactics. Really not bizarre at all. The original offer is at least 10 billion or so too much now.
I doubt it would happen, but I'm also not betting on it.
I'm just just following history.
But I suppose if they were going to present a bill like that again today, the only possible circumstance I could imagine would be the same as in 2004, where a popular republican might want to run for president but isn't a natural born citizen. (this bill was introduced soon after Arnold Schwarzenegger won the governorship in CA.)
Yo, did you miss the part where this part of the posting is talking about Elon Musk angling to be US President?
And don't tell me he's not a Republican; neither was Trump.
https://www.ibj.com/articles/karen-celestino-horseman-conven...
They may get the chance, too, if a few more state governorships end up in the GOP's hands.
Even after the drops in tech stocks, he has enough money to fund the takeover if he really wants it. Did he not even consider that possibility? Twitter having bots is not surprising to anyone even a tiny bit informed. Their public records and filings have this data. Did he not even read those?
The whole thing is just bizarre and stupid, yes.