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Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jedberg on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:19PM (#19517196)
A fun lession in dilution:

Logan Green and John Zimmer, the co-founders of Lyft, will each have about $500M in stock at $72.

(Edit: I miscalculated the holdings of the cofounders at $85M because I didn't account for their class B shares. However, I think my point still stands for the most part).

Google holds $900M in Lyft stock. A16Z holds $1B in Lyft stock. GM and Fidelity have $1.3B. Rakuten Europe has $2.2B.

$500M is certainly a life-changing outcome, but it's interesting how we value the capital that those companies put in far more than we value the years of work those two put in.

Edit 2: To be clear, this isn't a complaint in any way. What A16Z and Google and the rest did for Lyft is highly valuable and worthy of compensation.

This is simply a commentary on the relative value of capital vs labor.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by nostrademons on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:47PM (#19517419)
It shows how important avoiding competition by being in an overlooked industry is, or selling quickly before it becomes a slug-it-out battle between well-capitalized growth companies.

By contrast, the 3 GitHub founders each took home about $1.25B from their $7.5B acquisition. Mark Zuckerburg's Facebook stake was worth about $20B in 2011, out of the roughly $85B market cap. Larry & Sergey own 11% of Google today, 15 years after it became a public company. Kevin Systrom netted about $400M from Instagram's $1B sale. The three YouTube founders took home around $700M of YouTube's $1.65B sale. Jan Koum and Brian Acton together took in about $11B of WhatsApp's $19B sale, including continued stock incentives (they may've forfeited some by departing FB early). AFAIK Markus Frind took home nearly all of the $575M that PlentyOfFish sold for.

I was also surprised at how low the founder ownership stakes were for Box (3% IIRC) and PayPal (Elon Musk was the largest founder shareholder at about $85M of the $1.5B purchase price). It really does pay to keep capital requirements low, profits high, and get on the hyper-growth curve before taking lots of capital rather than taking lots of capital so you can get on the hyper-growth curve.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by usrusr on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:54PM (#19517838)
I see a list of companies with low unit costs that used investor money to cover fixed cost and a (mostly implicit) list of companies with high unit costs that used investor money to buy service from subcontractors for resale with relatively little value-add. I suppose PayPal doesn't quite fit that bill (but I don't really have much of a mental model regarding PayPal - did they do sign-up gifts in the early days or is that my failing memory?)
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by nostrademons on Thursday March 28, 2019 @08:04PM (#19517910)
"All happy companies are alike. Each unhappy company is unhappy in its own way."

The companies I mentioned are all alike in that they have nearly zero marginal cost of production; zero cost of distribution (they grew virally); early markets that could be reached with a product built only by the founders; and a lack of competition. Together, that means low costs and high profits, which means they didn't need to take much investment (Facebook is an exception, but they took it all on very advantageous terms), which means they had investors begging them to invest rather than them begging investors.

The ones that got diluted did so for different reasons. My understanding of PayPal is that it's because of the number of pivots and corporate restructurings they needed to do before finding product/market fit; they started as 2 separate companies (X.com and Confinity) in 1996, and didn't really take off until 1999. My understanding of Box is that they need a very expensive enterprise sales process to generate revenue - they don't get the viral growth of say Hotmail or even DropBox. Lyft got in a price war with Uber, and spent billions on ride subsidies to generate consumer demand and ensure they were price competitive.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by adventured on Friday March 29, 2019 @12:02AM (#19519065)
The Atlassian founders have done a remarkable job of holding on to their large founder positions (17 years in). Together they still own about 54% of the value of the company post IPO.

Warren Buffett had over 25% of Berkshire Hathaway after roughly 43 years, until he began liquidating to give it away.

Michael Dell now owns 52% of the publicly traded Dell. That had been reduced to about 14% during the company's last term as a public entity (circa 2013), prior to the move to take it private. Through very clever maneuvering he now majority controls the public conglomerate of Dell + EMC + VMWare.

Another one is Larry Ellison, who still holds 30% of Oracle after 41 years.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by dclusin on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:31PM (#19518385)
If memory serves me correctly box had to do a down round[1]. Those are very unkind to the founders stakes.

1. https://www.cbinsights.com/research-downround-tracker

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by beambot on Thursday March 28, 2019 @08:21PM (#19517998)
> It really does pay to keep capital requirements low, profits high, and get on the hyper-growth curve before taking lots of capital rather than taking lots of capital so you can get on the hyper-growth curve

How much of the capital raise decision due you feel falls into founder choice vs market or industry dynamics?

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by nostrademons on Thursday March 28, 2019 @08:33PM (#19518063)
I'm not sure you can really separate them. Good founders pick their market carefully, and they also keep a very close eye on the market & industry dynamics when deciding when & whether to fundraise.

I know that I've decided not to fundraise until I have a pretty good idea who my market is and some proof points that they actually want my product, and I've chosen product ideas and target markets to make it feasible (if difficult, sigh) to test those assumptions without funding. Part of this is that I see my personal competitive advantages as technology & strategy, though, and I kinda suck at skills like hype and fundraising. Someone good at hoodwinking people like Elizabeth Holmes or Lucas Duplan might rationally choose to raise as much capital as possible first and then hire people to figure out the details ... but then again, it didn't exactly work out for either of them. (Actually, Steve Jobs and Jeff Bezos are good examples of people for whom this strategy did work out - but they actually were not diluted all that much, because the data they took to investors was such that they were able to raise that capital on advantageous terms.)

Brian Chesky talks in some interviews about how they initially planned to grow AirBnB organically and take only as much capital as needed to stay alive, but foreign competition that copied their idea and raised hundreds of millions forced their hand. At that point it didn't matter much, though, because they already had a profitable business. Joel Spolsky has also written about the decision process:

https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2010/02/14/raising-money-for-...

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by ackbar03 on Friday March 29, 2019 @02:18AM (#19519551)
I don't think jobs and bezos can be classified as the hoodwkinking type, if anything it should be the former. Jobs had Wozniak and they did have initial demand for their computer. Granted I don't know much about Amazon's early history but bezos came out of de shaw, in sure he knows his shit
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by bredren on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:06PM (#19517537)
Sure, it "really does pay" so long as you can run a company lean into hypergrowth. Recall the number one reason startups fail is they run out of cash.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by amvalo on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:15PM (#19517584)
Isn’t that sort of like saying most humans die because their heart stops beating?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by nine_k on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:47PM (#19517793)
In a way.

But many startups run out of cash while still growing. It's more like dying from exhaustion while running faster and faster, not a frequent outcome.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by bredren on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:30PM (#19518384)
And running faster and faster or dying is your job if you are raising money from institutional VCs in the first place.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by cwalv on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:52PM (#19517824)
It's more like saying most men who die in their 20's die due to excessive risk taking.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by Gabriel_Martin on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:14PM (#19517580)
Alternately, one could translate that instead to mean the number one reason is unsustainable over-scaling too early is what causes failures, not the lack of cash.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by parthdesai on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:52PM (#19517819)
>Recall the number one reason startups fail is they run out of cash.

Is it that or is it because a lot of start ups always want to "grow" at all cost? It is be possible to have a small-medium scale business and organically growing it out, but obviously if you take investor money, they want max return in shortest amount of time possible.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by usrusr on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:59PM (#19517877)
The VC curse: five funded startups becoming modestly profitable cannot compensate for five failures, but one stellar hypersuccess can compensate for nine duds and more.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by IshKebab on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:32PM (#19517706)
You mean because they failed to create a profitable business surely?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by bredren on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:26PM (#19518363)
Nope. I am talking about a startup capable of hypergrowth. These do not need to build profitable businesses to exit and they can and do run out of cash.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by rhizome on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:27PM (#19517674)
...because funders turn off the spigot.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by simonebrunozzi on Friday March 29, 2019 @04:36AM (#19520015)
> The three YouTube founders took home around $700M of YouTube's $1.65B sale.

$700 x 3 = $2.1B. I guess one of these numbers is wrong.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by Spare_account on Friday March 29, 2019 @04:51AM (#19520066)
GP was saying that the three founders split $700M between them.

If it had said "each took home" then your interpretation would have been correct.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by Hinrik on Friday March 29, 2019 @04:52AM (#19520071)
The poster didn't say $700M each.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by shyOneInSchool on Friday March 29, 2019 @04:59AM (#19520096)
I don't think OP mentioned each
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jedberg on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:51PM (#19517445)
This is an interesting take on it. Thanks.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by hn_throwaway_99 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:26PM (#19517263)
This article in NYT puts Green and Zimmer's value much higher, at $603 and $416 million, respectively: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/business/dealbook/i... .

And considering Lyft was/is a hugely capital intensive business that is still losing billions, I'm not surprised the capital investors came out with more equity in this one.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by chemeng on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:27PM (#19517272)
This is incorrect. Green and Zimmer have moved material amounts of shares to trusts, other vehicles, etc. If you accumulate their owned or controlled shares, Green is around 500MM and Zimmer around 350MM

https://www.businessinsider.com/lyft-ipo-paying-off-big-time...

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jedberg on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:29PM (#19517289)
I got the numbers from the S1, which is supposed to include all beneficial trusts. I may have read it wrong though.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by chemeng on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:34PM (#19517331)
The S-1 is a bit opaque as it doesn't list out Class B ownership in the table. Lyft class B's are convertible to Class A at any time. If you follow to the table footnote for Green's entry you'll see:

"Consists of (i) 4,663,809 shares of Class B common stock held by El Trust dated August 3, 2015, for which Mr. Green serves as trustee, (ii) 675,564 shares of Class B common stock held by The Green 2014 Irrevocable Trust dated June 12, 2014, for which Mr. Zimmer serves as trustee, (iii) 360,979 shares of Class B common stock held by The Logan Green 2016 Annuity Trust, for which Mr. Green serves as trustee, (iv) 360,979 shares of Class B common stock held by The Eva Green 2016 Annuity Trust, for which Mr. Green’s spouse serves as trustee, (v) shares of Class B common stock issued pursuant to the Founder Option Net Exercises and (vi) 1,180,329 shares of Class A common stock underlying RSUs for which the time-based vesting condition would be satisfied within 60 days of December 31, 2018 and assuming the satisfaction of the performance-based vesting condition. Subsequent to December 31, 2018, a portion of the shares described in this footnote were transferred between the trusts described in this footnote for estate planning purposes."

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by khazhou on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:21PM (#19518338)
If the founders have $1B between the two, then employee #1 would have (guesstimating) on the order of $10M, assuming the standard employee#1 == 1%. Of course there's the initial investor share and option pool to account for, but we're still in the right ballpark.

Employee #20, who joined maybe a few months in, and then put in seven years, is gonna be at order of magnitude down, $1M. Employee #50, who put in six years, is the hundred thousands, and we keep going down.

Yeah, fantastic money, but pales compared to founders.

Lesson: don't not be a founder.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by lukejduncan on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:40AM (#19519426)
This math feels off. It’s hard to imagine employee #20 making “only $1m” when there are engineers at Lyft getting $1m+ equity packages as offers today. Maybe their initial grant would be worth that much but for sure there would be a large number of subsequent grants since joining at #20.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by hawaiianbrah on Friday March 29, 2019 @02:06AM (#19519516)
$1m+ equity offers today? Hmm... that sounds pretty high.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by dannyw on Friday March 29, 2019 @10:17AM (#19521865)
Not unsurprising, 1M equity over 4 years at today’s valuation is fairly common.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by paulddraper on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:26PM (#19518365)
Lesson 2: don't not be successful as a founder.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by vecter on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:33AM (#19519400)
Completely wrong assumptions.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by khazhou on Friday March 29, 2019 @02:34PM (#19524297)
Which assumption is wrong? Employee #1 @ 1% equity is very common. You very quickly get into .5% and .1% after just a few employees.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by cma on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:29PM (#19517288)
> far more than we value the years of work those two put in.

They did all the work, or they hired employees to do lots of it with the capital?

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jedberg on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:40PM (#19517370)
That's fair. How do we figure out the total employee holdings?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by nostrademons on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:51PM (#19517812)
The employees got paid in cash, (largely) not stock, because that's the deal they took.

Equity investors exist because most people would rather work for cash than for stock. Typically, the way the money flows is that college endowments & pension funds put cash into VC funds in exchange for equity; VC funds put cash into startups in exchange for equity; startups use that cash to pay salaries; and employees who receive those salaries spend a portion on college tuition, gifts to their alma mater, retirement savings, etc. that then gets recycled back into institutional finance. If the startup ends up being worth more than the money put in (either because they turn a profit or because they can convince some greater sucker to take that equity off their hands), the excess is returned to the VC fund in proportion to their ownership stake & liquidation preferences, who take 20% for their GPs and distribute the rest of it back to their LPs, who use it to fund scholarships or buy a new building or pay for your parents' retirement.

If you can convince employees to work for you for equity, you don't need VCs at all: you give them shares, and when the company has a liquidity event, everybody benefits. Most people don't take that bargain, though, because they don't have confidence that the equity will be worth anything and need to eat in the meantime. The premium VCs get is precisely because people are risk averse. If all companies were public and everyone were willing to work for equity, that premium would be arbitraged down to nearly nothing, but then we'd probably be complaining about how certain unscrupulous actors managed to convince people to accept equity of their worthless company and now those people can't eat because they were bilked out of just compensation for their labor. (The crypto economy basically functions like this, with various tokens acting as pseudo-equity in the "economy" that grows in value as the surrounding ecosystem grows and these tokens being freely tradeable on exchanges - and it suffers from precisely this failure mode, where it turns out that unforgeable tokens != unbreakable promises.)

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by tomp on Friday March 29, 2019 @07:20AM (#19520635)
> Most people don't take that bargain, though, because they don't have confidence that the equity will be worth anything and need to eat in the meantime.

No, I think the reason is different, and it's quite rational. Diversification. VCs invest in 10(0)s of startups, but an employee is only employed by one, and his/her job depends on the success of that one startup. It makes sense to take whatever money you can, and invest it in other start-ups (or equity markets).

It would be much more fair of course if "normal" people were able to invest in start-ups, or at least in VCs. (AFAIK currently only "sophisticated investors" can.)

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by auspex on Friday March 29, 2019 @06:40AM (#19520458)
Also, you can't work for just equity in California any more... you have to paid at least minimum wage now, unless you are a founder.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by wickedsmile on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:40PM (#19517754)
But isn't labor a commodity and ground breaking innovation not?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by toomuchtodo on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:18PM (#19518317)
How many startups are in the latest YC batch? An enormous amount compared to previous batches. “Innovation” is a commodity because it’s just become product market fit testing through brute force.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by confiscate on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:58AM (#19519486)
ya, but testing for product-market fit is much more uncertain than buying/providing labor. It's still harder
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jonny_eh on Thursday March 28, 2019 @08:07PM (#19517928)
The employees aren't responsible for any innovation?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by lotsofpulp on Friday March 29, 2019 @04:20AM (#19519968)
Barring corruption, compensation is usually commensurate with how much risk your capital takes.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jiveturkey on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:39PM (#19517361)
I'm not sure that dilution is really the word you're going for here. Dilution implies / has the connotation that it is foisted upon you unwillingly and unknowingly, as in employees "get" diluted.

The founders chose to get diluted at each round. And you're ignoring that at each "dilution", the value went up. The company didn't start at $24bn and at each round the founders got their value diluted, down to around a mere $500mm. The founders started at 100% of $0 and got "diluted" up to $500mm each.

I'd call it a fun lesson in meteoric wealth growth for 2 guys starting with just an idea. $500mm/7yrs = $70mm/year. That's remarkable.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by mrnobody_67 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:30PM (#19517688)
They earned less than any of the top 20 hedge fund managers: https://www.forbes.com/hedge-fund-managers/list/#tab:overall

top pay : $1.7b for 1 year for #1 spot to $100m for spot #20.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by kgwgk on Friday March 29, 2019 @03:46AM (#19519856)
They also earned less than The Rock. They earned less than Messi. They earned less than Mayweather in one single fight a couple of years ago.

For the hedge fund managers note that this is not just "pay", it includes as well the returns on their own invested fortunes. The #1 in the list is not even working (he's 80 and he retired 10 years ago). They may make billions, but they also may lose billions: since 2011, John Paulson's estimated wealth is down from $15bn to $5bn.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by TheSpiceIsLife on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:58PM (#19517496)
One other perspective: Each of those companies--Google, A16Z, GM & Fidelity, Rakuten--are comprised of, what?, tens of thousands of shareholders. If we include mutual and indexed funds, and the retail investors who buy in to those, then probably millions of shareholders.

Versus two.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by throwaway5752 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:00PM (#19517507)
A fun lesson in taking other peoples money?

The capital is arguably more valuable in this case. Lyft is just a copycat of Uber, what did the founders bring to the table?

I'm playing devil's advocate [more than] a bit. I'm happy for Green and Zimmer, and they are both making FU money from this so I'm not sure what the complaint is.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by tonyhb on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:22AM (#19519350)
I agree with your devil's advocate.

Not to downplay Lyft, though... Lyft started in 2007, two years before Uber — and so was doing ridesharing beforehand. Uber snuck in with a taxi model that was legally gray which opened the doors.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by malandrew on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:48AM (#19519449)
So basically it's about about execution, not timing.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jedberg on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:02PM (#19517519)
No complaint, just a commentary on the value of capital vs labor.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by throwaway5752 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:23PM (#19517641)
That's a bit glib, though. They are the 2nd mover in a capital intensive business. Kalanick did better, in a pretty direct comparison. Anyway, I'll drop it. They have set up their families for centuries, build a huge company in extraordinary little time, made a lot of their employees rich, made life a lot better for people trying to hail a cab, and I don't want to rain on their well-deserved parade today.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by fasfhfjashdf on Friday March 29, 2019 @03:27AM (#19519792)
A $500 million payday for building a company that loses $1 billion a year sounds like a pretty freakin' great outcome to me.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by ddalex on Friday March 29, 2019 @06:22AM (#19520388)
A masterful exercise in hype. Lyft and Uber are PR companies in the personal transportation domain.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by idlewords on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:26PM (#19517261)
They put that work in to create a company that loses nearly a billion dollars a year, so it kind of make sense to me that the people throwing money on this bonfire should be valued higher than the ones who lit the match.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by wp381640 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:05PM (#19517532)
over a decade on this site i've watched comments from people being cynical about the value of Google, Facebook[0], Amazon, Uber and many others

At what point of seeing this same story over and over again and realising that funding growth is a viable strategy do the cynics just let go?

[0] heaven forbid you ever take investment advice from dhh https://signalvnoise.com/posts/2585-facebook-is-not-worth-33...

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by zby on Thursday March 28, 2019 @08:37PM (#19518083)
The fact that the Amazon, Google and Facebook stories are now so well internalized by the general public is what makes investing in Lift dangerous. The criticism back then was wrong - but now it is too easy to dismiss any criticism. The danger is that Lyft and Uber (and some other unicorns) are just cargo cults - copying the visible strategy of rapid growth but lacking ingredients that are more subtle but nevertheless necessary for sustained business.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by likpok on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:54PM (#19517831)
Facebook and Google were both profitable when they went public, which is a big difference between Uber and Lyft today. They were merely not as profitable as today.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by idlewords on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:13PM (#19517575)
The sites you mention (aside from Uber, which does not make a profit) found their way to profitability by building out and then cashing in from an apparatus of mass surveillance unparalleled in human experience.

So if I'm critical about the "grow while burning money" strategy, it's because I've seen the damage the eventual successful business model does to civil society. It's a bait and switch that we don't have to continue falling for.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by simonebrunozzi on Friday March 29, 2019 @04:41AM (#19520030)
And yet, the mechanisms at play make it so that this system survives and thrives. How would you end it?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by idlewords on Tuesday April 02, 2019 @06:27PM (#19559192)
Tax the wealth and put it to productive use that helps a broader group of people (mass transit, health care, education, climate mitigation).
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by gcbw2 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:21PM (#19517209)
The work they put in still can't solve the constant need for cash to keep the lights on, so?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by ykevinator on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:49PM (#19517428)
That's why if they're smart they'll liquidate like andreesen and cuban. The company may be worth a fraction of this.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jedberg on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:28PM (#19517279)
I'm not denying that the capital has a ton of value for the company. Without it the company would have failed long ago.

But I'm just making a commentary on the relative value of the capital vs. the work.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by zaroth on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:35PM (#19517339)
Two people. Working for less than 10 years each. Spending billions of dollars of other people’s money.

Speaking as a Founder myself.... Honestly their stake is too damn high. They didn’t do 0.001% of the work required to build the company. Could you make the case they even had some unique skill or insight that meant they were providing even 1% of the business value? They were just first.

And they weren’t even the first with the idea of how to build a “Lyft”. They were just the first on this particular cap table.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by pytyper2 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:31PM (#19518389)
They also owned the company, this means something.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by empath75 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:45PM (#19517406)
The capital invested represents the accumulated work of a lot of other people.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by wickedsmile on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:42PM (#19517764)
And capital is acquired for free?

Think it this way, the work of founders which got them their share of capital will be used as investment in some other company.

Or are you trying to claim the capital invested in this company by investors was acquired for free without putting in any work or risk?

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by black-tea on Friday March 29, 2019 @03:01AM (#19519698)
Capital is important because it represents work that has already been done. What's always disheartening, though, is that capital is always raised from private investors and they then use the stock market to cash out. The stock market was invented to raise that capital in the first place which gives the public an opportunity to see these kind of gains. Now there's just no chance.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by ves on Friday March 29, 2019 @02:41PM (#19524363)
It’s much more difficult and expensive to list on a public exchange than it is to raise private capital. Also the SEC kinda forbids this situation to further the aim of “protecting mom and pop investors.”
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by smallgovt on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:23PM (#19517229)
I'm confident these guys already cashed out a large fraction of their holdings in prior rounds.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jedberg on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:25PM (#19517247)
Sure but let's assume they already cashed out even $85M. They still made way less than the investors. So we still value the investors money a lot more than the founder's time.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by kgwgk on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:34PM (#19517324)
What ROI got those investors compared to a typical investment?

How much did those founders get for their time compared to the average person selling their time?

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by goatherders on Friday March 29, 2019 @08:55AM (#19521167)
Of course they made less than investors. Capital is worth a LOT more than time and energy and ideas.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by shrimpx on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:18PM (#19517614)
And there are a bunch of suckers who put in X% the work that each cofounder put in and are getting (X/1000)% of that 500M. It's because they assumed 1000x less risk presumably.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by yks on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:40PM (#19517749)
Actually, what is the 1000x risk for SV startup founders? They are not risking their own money and apparently not even their reputation (failed VC-backed founders tend to be able to get VC capital again) so on the face their risk is just to lose a job, same as for any other employee.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by shrimpx on Friday March 29, 2019 @12:53AM (#19519238)
Yeah exactly. Many of these founders are on their 2nd startup and are already millionaires. Some poor nth employee is in fact risking a lot by e.g. quitting their nice life in a city by relocating, or quitting a promising career. Yet the founders' massively disporportionate ownership is chucked off to "risk".

I for one hope for market forces that will rebalance these discrepancies. Talented 1st employee shouldering most of the technical brunt taking <1% plus dilution is selling oneself to the dogs.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by snovv_crash on Friday March 29, 2019 @11:17AM (#19522396)
What you're risking is your health, physical and mental.

Being a founder is a hugely stressful job, and everyone I've seen spend 5 years as a founder has aged more like 10 years in that time.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by Zarath on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:25AM (#19519367)
That's how capitalism works?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by lexs on Friday March 29, 2019 @06:34AM (#19520435)
and you don't see a problem with that?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jliptzin on Thursday March 28, 2019 @10:50PM (#19518746)
Unless I’m mistaken Lyft came after Uber right? They built a good product but nothing unique other than being “not-Uber.” In that sense you can think of Green and Zimmer as being hired by their investors to produce an alternate Uber. They executed very well against their task and everyone got a nice payday for it.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by xenospn on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:19AM (#19519335)
As far as I can recall, Uber used to be a service where you could rent professional drivers to drive you around with big black SUVs, and Lyft started ride-sharing, which Uber shortly followed with Uber X.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by skrebbel on Friday March 29, 2019 @02:07AM (#19519518)
I'm confused how anybody can pitch "personal net worth went from negligible to half a billion" as a negative thing. When they started they had 100% of nothing. Now they have $500m. Wow.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by malandrew on Friday March 29, 2019 @01:42AM (#19519435)
That capital paid for all the labor of the engineers and ops folks that built the company and all the promotions to build the buy side and sell side of a two sided market place. It's done more than either of those two have done. It's not even like they brought much creativity and gumption to the table like Kalanick. They just followed the Uber and got lucky when the Uber went through a bad year.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by nodesocket on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:22PM (#19517218)
Huge win for A16Z. Logan and John ended up owning the same amount of shares each all the way through the rounds, is that typical?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by mrnobody_67 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:30PM (#19517695)
You don't lose shares with funding rounds... new shares get created, thus lowering the percentage ownership of everybody.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by jcfrei on Thursday March 28, 2019 @06:27PM (#19517276)
>[...] but it's interesting how we value the capital that those companies put in far more than we value the years of work those two put in.

"We" value taking risks more than working. An investor in Lyft carries much more risk than the founders - who would quickly find new jobs. But if the company goes bust the investor's money is gone.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by dv_dt on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:04PM (#19517525)
They put in capital, true, but it wouldn’t be available unless this was the most likely fit for their investment profile, vs say low yield treasuries. The investors are just playing maximization game and have much more security than the lyft founders even if they lose ecery cent.

We lionize the “risk” of VC investors far too much.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by ryandrake on Thursday March 28, 2019 @11:48PM (#19519009)
Also, let’s get real: VC investors are rich. They were rich before the investment, and they will be rich afterwards, regardless of the outcome. Maybe they will be ultra-rich after an exit, or they’ll be simply super-rich after a failure. Either way, they are already in the “set for life no matter what” category, so really, are they taking that much of a personal risk?
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by dv_dt on Friday March 29, 2019 @12:16AM (#19519120)
That's what I mean, the investors are so rich, it makes complete sense to take a portion of their riches and invest in high risk high reward states where most of the outcomes will be every cent is lost. It's not only set for life type money, but so much money that hiring teams of people to figure out how to even invest the proceeds in a rational way, of which VCs are just one subset of the team (outsourced, insourced, or otherwise).
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by mathattack on Thursday March 28, 2019 @09:08PM (#19518276)
The lesson here is that the business was very capital-intensive. In these situations, an overcapitalizdd company beats an undercapitalized one. The founders could have kept a larger share of a much smaller pie.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by willart4food on Thursday March 28, 2019 @08:01PM (#19517891)
It's the Golden Rule: He who has the gold makes the rules!
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by zby on Thursday March 28, 2019 @08:12PM (#19517958)
"This is simply a commentary on the relative value of capital vs labor" - what this capital was spent on? Overwhelmingly on labour I guess.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by pathseeker on Thursday March 28, 2019 @11:25PM (#19518902)
>how we value the capital

Who is "we"? The founders are who agreed to those terms. It's how they valued the capital.

Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by quickthrower2 on Thursday March 28, 2019 @10:33PM (#19518651)
This is a winning horse. But investors also back losers. On average they hope to come out on top.
Re:Lyft prices IPO at top of range by caprese on Thursday March 28, 2019 @07:16PM (#19517601)
Yes, it is fascinating.

I would say this is more related to cultural understanding and values, than how to just do something profitable.

The cognitive dissonance comes from valuing work, and getting affirmation from others that your work was worth more because of your efforts.

But this has nothing to do with math and accounting.