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Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by protonimitate on Thursday April 26, 2018 @02:52PM (#16934502)
Trade skills are a great field to get into, with caveats.

First, construction in general is a pretty up and down industry. Construction booms don't last forever, and in general you need to 'follow the work'. This is great if you are young, single, and willing to chase the high paying jobs. Not so great if you have a strong desire to stay in one spot.

Second, trade jobs are usually pretty tough on the body. After a couple decades of work your body begins to break down, assuming there are no workplace injuries to put you out of commission sooner.

Third, workplace conditions are on average undesirable. Outdoors in the heat/cold, or indoors in tight spaces or high places. It's tough sell over companies that glorify bean bag chairs, nap pods, and free beer on hand.

Fourth, there's a social stigma around trade skill jobs. Blue collar jobs have gained a reputation of being jobs held by slackers or the less fortunate. Unfortunately, wearing workboots carries a stigma that wearing a shirt and tie/'startup' attire doesn't.

Fifth, and this one may seem like a silly reason to most, the drug testing (for marijuana specifically) is a huge barrier of entry. From a safety perspective, it makes sense. But for better or worse, marijuana use is becoming more socially accepted while work places (and in particular trade jobs) are lagging behind the times. Removing a marijuana screen from standard workplace testing would help revitalize the employee pool.

Sixth, and this is arguably the biggest one, four year degrees are seen as a status symbol and are being sold to use as such. They are Big Education, and are pulling on all the right strings to keep the tuition/student debt machine running. Advocating for trade jobs is in direct competition. They have enough players in their pockets (donors, alumnus, politicians) to keep the money flowing in the right direction. Selling someone on trade school/work is hard when it is seen as the less optimal path towards 'life success'.

All of these observations are based off my fathers experience as union based pipe fitter/welder for >30 years.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by sigstoat on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:18PM (#16935276)
> Second, trade jobs are usually pretty tough on the body. After a couple decades of work your body begins to break down, assuming there are no workplace injuries to put you out of commission sooner.

the electrician i hire is in better shape than i'll ever be in, despite being about 50. pretty sure he makes about what i do, too.

> Third, workplace conditions are on average undesirable. Outdoors in the heat/cold, or indoors in tight spaces or high places.

ignoring high rises and installing solar panels, i feel like it isn't much worse than the stuff a lot of folks do on a regular basis to get exercise to make up for all the sitting they do all day, or just recreationally.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by retbull on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:19PM (#16935903)
I've done roofing and it is really hard on your body regardless of the good condition it puts you in. Sure you can lift 200lbs of shingles up a ladder on your shoulders but your ankles ache 100% of the time and your knees start to click. I only did it for a couple of years at 18 and I regret it to this day. I didn't go and work on big projects it was mostly housing but it wasn't safe at all. Also it isn't anywhere similar to going out for a 30 min run in the park. If it is -10 and you have to get a job done because it is technically not raining or snowing you go out and do it for 8 hours. If it is 140 on the roof of a house and you have to walk up and down it with a pick ripping the roof off you do it for 8 hours. Those conditions happened all the time.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gascan on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:39PM (#16936100)
I only did it for a couple of years at 18 and I regret it to this day.

Curious, have you ever talked to a physical therapist? I've learned a lot of the maladies people live with are correctable, even sometimes things that seem permanent. Many running overuse injuries, for example, boil down to muscle weakness, muscle imbalance, or bad posture.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by stevenkovar on Friday April 27, 2018 @08:40AM (#16940325)
Specifically, look into myofascial release therapy or muscle activation therapy.

Without seeing a therapist, try doing this every day or every few days to elongate your 'posterior chain' and help your posture reset (which will help your knees, ankles, elbows operate under less duress): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4BOTvaRaDjI

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by nojvek on Friday April 27, 2018 @10:21AM (#16940920)
Have you noticed healthcare costs in US?

Why would you blow all your salary? On something that is uncertain to work?

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gascan on Friday April 27, 2018 @12:13PM (#16941905)
Physical therapists are not expensive, and most times prescribe a set of exercises to do at home. If your condition is really bad, you might go in for a visit once a month for six months. So you might be out $500, if you have a high deductible plan.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mullen on Friday April 27, 2018 @12:49PM (#16942227)
I would also like to point out that if you are over 30, you got something that needs to be fixed that a Physical Therapist can fix. Don't go your whole life in pain or even annoyance.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ams6110 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:21PM (#16937361)
Roofing (and drywall as well) are not really what I would call "trades." They are basically grunt work jobs that require a minimum of skill and training. Most of the guys I've met who do that work are either very young, illegal, or so screwed up on alcohol or drugs that they can't do much else.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by nitrogen on Friday April 27, 2018 @02:47AM (#16938866)
A relative has been a roofer for most of his working life (maybe all), which is very long now. There's a talent to it -- a skilled roofer will provide a roof that never leaks, never sags, never loses a shingle to the wind. This relative is such a roofer. It's awful work and he's had multiple serious injuries, but it's still possible to be really good at it.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by megaman22 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @11:03PM (#16938178)
There's a bit of an art to finishing off drywall and mudding it in to make everything smooth and nice-looking. The difference between somebody who is good at it and amateur work is significant.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by lsiunsuex on Friday April 27, 2018 @07:21AM (#16939872)
This.

As a DIYer for 8 years 'ish, mudding drywall is an art. Where it might take me 4 or 5 (or 6) to get a good finish on joints or corners, it might take a pro 1 or 2 coats and very minimal if not none sanding in between. Primer and 2 coats of paint won't fill in imperfections greater then an 1/16th in diameter so if you have a lot of imperfections, you'll see it in the finished product.

Let's not even discuss mudding ceilings. The amount of upper body strength needed is amazing, let alone good balance on a ladder.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Moto7451 on Friday April 27, 2018 @08:57AM (#16940435)
Yup, just because something can be done by a "grunt" does not mean that there isn't skill required to do it well. My girlfriend just moved into a house that can be best described as "the victim of a flip" and you can immediately see the difference between work was done by a pro and someone who is just banging on the keys.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by fouc on Friday April 27, 2018 @09:21AM (#16940575)
When my dad & I built a house together. We outsourced the drywall and indoor paint job. Drywall is serious detail work, takes too long to get it right if you haven't done it a bunch.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ghaff on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:28PM (#16935994)
The "trades" covers a lot of ground. Some of it is going to be hard on your body. But electrical is probably less bad in general. I also have a friend who is (or at least was) in the steelworker's union; she got into HVAC after Ringling Brothers clown college didn't land a permanent gig. She mostly does design work. Not everything is roofing, which as a peer wrote is probably fairly tough in general.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by woobar on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:09PM (#16936346)
Sounds like she's got an office job that is not much different from what programmers do. I once spent 3 minutes in the attic while HVAC guys were replacing my unit. They were hauling/removing through a tiny opening in the ceiling and installing heavy stuff for several hours. And July in the South is not a 'recreational' season.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ghaff on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:22PM (#16936475)
My point was that the trades don't automatically mean "hauling/removing through a tiny opening in the ceiling and installing heavy stuff for several hours" although they can. She does have to spend a fair bit of time onsite.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by saint_fiasco on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:31PM (#16935422)
That might be survivorship bias, plus in the end it's just anecdotes.

What do life/health/disability insurance companies think? They might charge higher prices to people in more dangerous professions, and they have big incentives to get it right.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by GFischer on Friday April 27, 2018 @04:36PM (#16944076)
They do. I used to work on that, and while I don't have access to the list right now, I remember there were differences (not that big though).
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by noobermin on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:25PM (#16937381)
You're literally replying to a trend by stating your one exception. Back pain from sitting is nowhere near the level of debilitation one can get from having a workplace injury. Moreover, a workplace injury can threaten your very ability to do your work, while a hurting back won't ruin your ability to code or do paper shuffling.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by murukesh_s on Friday April 27, 2018 @06:40AM (#16939724)
> ignoring high rises and installing solar panels, i feel like it isn't much worse than the stuff a lot of folks do on a regular basis to get exercise to make up for all the sitting they do all day, or just recreationally.

So true, also earning is relational, if you are in a group of high paid folks, you tend to feel you earn less, not matter how much you earn more than average income.

On a relational note to the exercise portion, the max a high earning person often dream (and afford) about is spending a week in a beach 'hut' on a 'remote' island while there are several penniless people who just live on a beach hut for 365 days often without experiencing half the stress.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by bfuller on Thursday April 26, 2018 @11:26PM (#16938252)
its hard to ignore high rises when you start out. as a journeyman you have to carry all the tools up the stairs before the elevators are wired up, and thats when your knees go.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by acjohnson55 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @11:31PM (#16938270)
There's a distinction between physical conditioning and functional wellbeing. Look at any elite athlete whose joints and ligaments are betraying them.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by noddingham on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:51PM (#16936680)
>Fifth, and this one may seem like a silly reason to most, the drug testing (for marijuana specifically) is a huge barrier of entry. From a safety perspective, it makes sense. But for better or worse, marijuana use is becoming more socially accepted while work places (and in particular trade jobs) are lagging behind the times. Removing a marijuana screen from standard workplace testing would help revitalize the employee pool.

Perhaps (and I'm granting some leeway here) we don't yet have the tools or the data to understand well enough how something like THC affects motor skills like we do with alcohol, but someday I expect we will. Work places (particularly those with high safety concerns) shouldn't make any sacrifices just because something is socially acceptable. You can't show up drunk, and alcohol is more socially accepted than marijuana.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by squeaky-clean on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:59PM (#16936750)
We don't have accurate ways to test if you're high though. We can only test if you've done it in the past few days/weeks.

Fire someone for showing up to work drunk, sure. But would you fire them for a bottle of wine on a Saturday night?

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gruez on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:21PM (#16937360)
>Fire someone for showing up to work drunk, sure. But would you fire them for a bottle of wine on a Saturday night?

If alcohol was like THC (that is, it's impossible to determine whether you drank in the last hour or the last week), I sure as hell don't want people who test positive driving.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by tkxxx7 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:46PM (#16937491)
This is inaccurate. Oral tests are effective around 8-12 hours from use.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by StudentStuff on Thursday April 26, 2018 @09:05PM (#16937573)
Still too broad a range, smoking some weed at 7pm doesn't necessarily make you unsafe at 7am. Zero tolerance is unrealistic and unnecessary for most jobs that drug test.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by PC_LOAD_LETTER on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:16AM (#16938594)
There's not another viable test though that can act on a shorter window than that. Companies aren't out of line for not wanting their employees to be working while under the influence of marijuana - the problem isn't that they're being too strict ('zero tolerance'), it's that they don't have a granular test that would suffice.

That, plus marijuana is still illegal in most states. Whatever your personal conviction may be, businesses aren't in the business to turn the blind eye to illegal substance use. They're on the hook for liability.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by nmcfarl on Friday April 27, 2018 @10:20AM (#16940911)
> plus marijuana is still illegal in most states

NPR recently pointed out that if you include medical marijuana this is no where close to true with it being legal in 29 states: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_cannabis_by_U.S....

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by exDM69 on Friday April 27, 2018 @04:56AM (#16939353)
Oral tests are very inaccurate and the false positive rate is huge (can be more that 50% for some manufacturers, you're better off flipping a coin). To my best knowledge, oral tests are usually confirmed with urine and/or blood samples (at least that's the procedure if you test positive while driving here).

So as far as I know, there isn't a reliable and accurate way of testing.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by alexbeloi on Thursday April 26, 2018 @10:13PM (#16937959)
Using DUIs as an example, these cover things besides alcohol, can be prescription drugs, probably other things that impair motor function (IANAL).

Roadside DUI test is a general test for motor impairment. BAC tests are a nice proxy for that in the case of alcohol, and a legally convenient one as they are precise and objective, but the police care (morally speaking) about your motor impairment not your BAC.

tl;dr, we can already answer the question "is this person too stoned to drive?", roadside DUI test.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by PC_LOAD_LETTER on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:18AM (#16938602)
Disagree. Motor impairment is one issue, yes, but so is mental impairment. People under the influence of drugs can have poor decision making, even if their motor skills are fine. Driving on meth is still driving under the influence, and those people would generally not have any trouble with a roadside gymnastics demonstration.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Clubber on Friday April 27, 2018 @08:51AM (#16940393)
Who's talking about meth?
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by billmalarky on Thursday April 26, 2018 @09:06PM (#16937581)
Sounds to me like you're trying to find a rational answer when it's likely just politics.

There's tons of (acceptable) prescription drugs that have a worse effect on performance than THC being in your system from the weekend before. Someone's glucose level being outside the norm would have a larger effect.

> Work places (particularly those with high safety concerns) shouldn't make any sacrifices just because something is socially acceptable.

Should it be illegal to be on the job while sick? Good luck getting that legislated.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by drewmol on Friday April 27, 2018 @07:55AM (#16940041)
>we don't yet have the tools or the data to understand well enough how something like THC affects motor skills like we do with alcohol, but someday I expect we will.

We do have some understanding and data: very slightly, the most consistently measurable affect being minimally impared depth perception. Treating marijuana intoxication as a high risk imparment to motor function is making a mountain out of a mole hill. Relating the equation of motor function impairment caused by marijuana to that of alcohol or for that matter many other intoxicants (including a multitude of very commonly used pharmaceuticals and stimulants) sure seems a bit ignorant or uninformed to me. I'm not advocating marijuana use, especially when performing potentially dangerous actions that require attention and possibly urgent corrective action (driving, operating dangerous equiptment, performing surgery, etc.). But do consider there's plenty of professional athletes who have preformed some of the highest level coordination, precision and reaction time dependant functions of humanity while being under the influence of THC. Sorry to rant, but I think it's important to remember that people using alcohol cause an awful lot of harmful, deadly, and easily avoidable accidents. DUI's and similar restrictions are a direct result of that fact. I've looked for but have never seen evidence that shows an even remotely similar risk from THC consumption. If anyone is aware of data indicating otherwise, please share.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by purplerabbit on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:03PM (#16936784)
The point is not that you should be allowed to show up high. It's that drug tests unfairly discriminate against people who use MJ responsibly.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by verall on Thursday April 26, 2018 @09:20PM (#16937676)
Precisely, and made even worse by the fact that you can take a bump or few on Friday and likely be fine by Monday, but smoke a joint and you're fucked.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ramblerman on Thursday April 26, 2018 @11:48PM (#16938336)
> You can't show up drunk, and alcohol is more socially accepted than marijuana.

I think you misunderstood the MJ testing. MJ stays in the blood stream, and you can be caught by a random drug test on Tuesday for that joint you had on Saturday.

OP was not, I think, arguing for working 'high'

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mancerayder on Thursday April 26, 2018 @09:00PM (#16937549)
Isn't much of workplace drug-testing related to lower insurance premiums? Or is that an overstated myth? I've heard this repeatedly, but haven't read anything definitive.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gbacon on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:00PM (#16935128)
[Comment ignores hairsplitting over whether aviation is a profession or a trade. The point is there are many career options that do not require a college degree.]

Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association (AOPA) is rolling out a high-school STEM curriculum[0] for aviation. There are lots of options for aviation careers such as dispatcher, air traffic control, airframe & powerplant mechanic, and of course pilot.

A pilot who wants to make captain at one of the major U.S. airlines will want to add a four-year degree somewhere along the way, e.g., as a military officer or as a civilian climbing the ratings ladder. Part 121 is only one segment of the aviation market.

The FAA recently changed the required equipment for the commercial-pilot and certificated flight instructor (CFI) checkrides. Candidates for either rating until recently had to provide a complex airplane (retractable landing gear, flaps, and a controllable-pitch propeller). These take more time to train in and hence more expense.

[0]: https://youcanfly.aopa.org/high-school/high-school-curriculu...

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by dvtrn on Friday April 27, 2018 @02:00AM (#16938730)
There are lots of options for aviation careers such as dispatcher

A bit of first hand here, I'm currently pivoting over to this-there is absolutely demand for flight dispatchers right now. There's two kickers though I learned along this course that was not immediately apparent:

1) While you can take the first phase of your ADX training online, virtually every school that offers this program requires a portion of in-class instruction, which for some is a deal breaker...mostly due to

2) The number of available schools is not that great; the majority are on either coast, with only a dotting of schools to choose from in the interior US.

3) It's not the cheapest professional license one could obtain, but there are others that are far more expensive (welding for example, excluding training and licensing and simply purchasing durable and quality work gear can be a heft cost)

Still, that said...I have a friend who also decided to go out and become an ADX. She took the FAA exam, passed and was employed in under a month (this required relocation on her part).

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by nwatson on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:42PM (#16936120)
My younger older brother wanted to be an opera singer and majored in vocal performance, doing a variety of jobs like landscaping, manual labor, selling insurance, directing church choirs (doesn't pay well at all but was tied with his sense of mission), etc. I think he was a great singer, perhaps even professional opera quality -- but in that world you need to be the top 2% of the top 2%, maybe, to make a living at it, and to be in the right place at the right time.

So with a wife and two kids and in his late 20's, he decided one day he was going to be a pilot. Already in precarious financial circumstances, he took out some huge loans to go to flight school. We all were concerned it might not turn out so well. He worked up to a pilot license, twin-engine license, flight instructor license, commercial license. He got a series of cargo jobs ... and >> they pay extremely low wages and require lots of odd hours and time waiting around away from home. << It wasn't easy, pay was low, for many many years. These outfits all make money by squeezing employee pay and by skimping on maintenance -- and he had a couple of emergency landings in the Arizona desert amongst the cacti and boulders.

He eventually got some jobs flying real people around for >> minor airlines <<, and bounced between those and other cargo jobs. Pay was still low. He also spent a stint in the Central African Republic helping a real nice Sudanese gentleman start an airline. There are lots of mining companies that need to fly around equipment and engineers even in a poverty-striken country, and lots of rich Portuguese folks wanting a real African dense-jungle hunting experience. The biggest risks for a while were precarious landing strips and corrupt government officials (they managed to pay zero bribes by just saying "no" to solicitations, holding out, and working their way up the hierarchy). A revolution came along to destroy the airline dream, and he was lucky the French military managed to pick him and other expats up from his neighborhood before the worst came along.

In his last "podunk" air cargo job, the airplane he was operating malfunctioned due to poor maintenance. The company wanted to pin the damage on him and his lack of procedure (he's very conscientious) and tried their best to break him on an unreasonable simulator test -- he managed to come out of that unscathed. Fortunately he'd just interviewed with America West and got the word the next day he was hired to fly 757's.

So it took my brother about 15 years to work from his first commercial job to becoming a full-fledged airline pilot in the majors ... and he had to work many marginal jobs for low pay in the interim. It's worked out well for him. He's flown 757's for various years on many routes, but most commonly now does Phoenix <--> Hawaii. There have been more challenges stemming from America West's acquisition pseudo-mergers with first the bankrupt US Airways, then the bankrupt American Airlines ... labor and seniority issues in the airlines are never easy, especially during mergers.

He's had time to get a Comp-Sci degree in the mean time while working "reserve" and started a decent-sized Salesforce consultancy and recruited some other family to work in that. (That consultancy kind of blew up ... working with family is hard, but that's a different story.) He flies and does Salesforce consulting now and is reasonably happy.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Apocryphon on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:04PM (#16936293)
Does he still pursue hobbies associated with opera singing?
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by nwatson on Friday April 27, 2018 @12:59AM (#16938539)
Yes ... he participates in a classical choral group, and has sung in and/or led church choirs until they inevitably get cut from the priorities and budget as "worship bands" become the sole musical style in middle America protestant churches.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gbacon on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:16PM (#16936426)
> Indy Center, Superswell 1337, level fife thousaaaaaaand!
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by tannhauser23 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:19PM (#16936450)
Wow, your brother is an inspiration. Such hard work! I'm glad to hear he's in a solid place now.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by astrange on Friday April 27, 2018 @07:10AM (#16939832)
Please try to take a more cynical view of someone having to work hard enough to be an "inspiration" and nearly die twice just to reach "reasonably happy"!
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by drewmol on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:29PM (#16942560)
I just don't see much chance that tannhausee23 changes his opinion on this. ;)
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by wutangson1 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:01PM (#16937209)
Wow, I think there is a Robert Frost verse about the path less taken making all the difference. Perhaps optioning a screenplay will be the financial windfall.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by icebraining on Friday April 27, 2018 @06:02AM (#16939605)
I think there is a Robert Frost verse about the path less taken making all the difference.

There is, but it might not mean what you're thinking it means.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mediocrejoker on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:44PM (#16935565)
How well does being a pilot pay, eg. entry level and at the 2, 5 and 10 year marks?
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by cameldrv on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:49PM (#16937116)
It's pretty bad. Yes, once you get the brass ring of 777 captain at a major airline, it's $300k. You need 1500 hours even to be in the right seat at a regional airline now though. Since everyone needs those hours, it's hard to get them without paying for them. You can instruct, but there are only so many students, so you spend a lot of time sitting around or doing unpaid work for the flight school. People tend to get creative like going overseas, working for almost nothing for marginal cargo operators, etc. Ultimately, you're probably going to pay about $70 per hour of flight time, whether it's cash or opportunity cost. Ultimately, IMO the best way to hit the magic number is to buy a very fuel efficient trainer and spend a year or two flying around a whole lot.

The number of years it takes to go from regional FO to major Captain is extremely dependent on the economy. Since everything is based on seniority, if there is a downturn, airlines fly less flights and need less pilots, so basically your career goes on hold because no one is getting promoted. When things are good, you move quickly up the ranks.

To your direct question, once you have all of your ratings and your 1500 hours, plus a 4 year college degree (required at major airlines) (figure 6 years and $200-250k in debt), at 2 years you are probably FO at a regional, $50k/yr. At 5 years, captain at a regional, 80k/yr, 10 years, FO at a major, $150k/yr.

If the economy tanks, you stall and might be laid off or furloughed. If your airline goes bankrupt, you scramble to find another job and start at the bottom of the FO totem pole again. If you have almost any health problem or require most any medication, you lose your medical and find another line of work. If further automation leads to a single pilot cockpit (fairly likely IMO in the next 20 years), you either lose your job or take a big pay cut.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mediocrejoker on Wednesday May 02, 2018 @03:34PM (#16980411)
Thanks for the detailed reply.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by zaphod12 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:56PM (#16935676)
Enormously depends. Captain at a major airline will earn you a nice 6 figure salary. Copilot at a regional airline is pretty much at the poverty line. Unfortunately that's where you need to start, often.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gbacon on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:26PM (#16935980)
Captains at majors can make upwards of $200k or $300k.

First officer salaries at regional airlines have come up to start in the skilled trade range, $60k plus. Regional captains make $80k and up. (It used to be awful, $20-30k.) Getting to that point in the Part 121 world takes a lot of training and expense. Candidates for the Airline Transport Pilot (ATP) certificate must have a minimum of 1,500 flight hours.

Other commercial flying such as hauling cargo, air taxi, or private charter may require a commercial single or commercial multi certificate with instrument rating. These pay about like the skilled trades too.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Naritai on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:24PM (#16936928)
I think you're glossing over the point,] that's been made by others in this thread, that while you're building up that 1500 hrs. of flying time you're getting paid not much more than minimum wage. i.e. the salary at 2 years is quite low.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Shivetya on Friday April 27, 2018 @09:06AM (#16940487)
since I am not in the know, how well does that compare to the internships many in the medical field must take on?
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gbacon on Friday April 27, 2018 @10:53AM (#16941169)
For those who may not be familiar with FAA regulations, there are many routes to being a professional pilot other than being an airline transport pilot (ATP) flying Federal Aviation Regulations (FAR) Part 121. As with all things FAR, it’s complicated, so a detailed treatment from the very first comment would quickly become boring and overwhelming.

Reaching ATP minimum required 1,500 flight hours has multiple routes to it. Unfortunately for people who work their way up through the ratings as civilians, they are competing against retired military pilots who did not go into debt for their training and who are receiving pension payments. (Military aviators certainly paid for their training in a different way, and I am making no comparison of their respective costs.) Retired military pilots are frequently hired directly to major airlines whereas Billy and Susie Civilian start off at regional airlines.

Even with ATP certificate in hand, it’s not yet fat city. Airline pilots have to work their way up through the seniority ranks, beginning with crummy ready reserve where they sit around hoping for a ride. Other flavors are short call and long call, the difference being how quickly the pilot must report for duty after receiving the call. Moving up to more desirable bases and aircraft goes through a complicated bid process[0].

[0]: https://www.reddit.com/r/flying/comments/8eaupt/moronic_mond...

Yes, compensation relative to the training expense used to be horrible for first officers and even captains at regional airlines, starting in the $20k range annual compensation. Again recall that military retirees have their mailbox money coming in. Because of the pilot shortage, first officers at regionals now start around $60k annually.

Two common civilian paths to ATP minimums are becoming a certificated flight instructor (CFI) or flying aerial survey, photography, air tours, private carriage, diver driver (i.e., flying skydivers) and so on. In reality, there may be some blend because all of the aforementioned tasks require a commercial pilot certificate. Because the airlines are a training environment, there is at least some degree of preference for CFIs rather than someone who schlepped around for a thousand hours towing a banner over the beach in a 152. These are not minimum-wage jobs. Someone with a wet commercial ticket might make twenty bucks an hour. Here again, the would-be ATP is competing against fellow time builders trying to get to 1,500 hours. More advanced instructors (e.g., CFI-Instrument, commercial instruction, or complex instruction) command a higher hourly rate, and instructors get paid for both flight time and for ground instruction. It’s not great money, but they aren’t starving either: starting in the $30k range up to the $50s — a lot like apprentices in the skilled trades.

Candidates for the commercial pilot checkride must have at least 250 flight hours. The commercial airplane ticket comes in four flavors along two axes: single- or multi-engine and land or sea. The least expensive is airplane single-engine land (ASEL). To reach that point, trainers in this class rent between $100 and $200 per flight hour “wet,” inclusive of fuel. Include instruction, test fees, gear, and the cost of an instrument rating (which I am glossing over) will total to around $30k. Some flight schools and operators of multi-engine aircraft will foot the bill for the multi rating and MEI in exchange for some number of flight hours on the back end with a clawback if the pilot leaves for another opportunity.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gbacon on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:08PM (#16936329)
Air traffic control specialists make a lot of money and quickly. This line of work does not require a college degree, and once someone certifies, she’s making six figures in less than seven years — maybe sooner.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ssully on Friday April 27, 2018 @10:05AM (#16940832)
I think you keep overlooking the path taken to get to the point of making those six figures.

I would love if someone in the industry could shed some light here. I have two friends early in an ATC career and it sounded like getting to where they are now was hell (and they definitely aren't at the 6 figure mark yet). The most reductive way I've had it explained is it's years of training, with shit pay and relocation, and the possibility of washing out along the way being relatively high.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gbacon on Friday April 27, 2018 @11:07AM (#16941303)
Yes, ATC specialists who are living the good life are definitely survivors. It is a specialized aptitude that not everyone has controlled by a federal bureaucracy and a union. People wait for months and years for OTS (off the street) bids, take a battery of tests, receive a TOL (tentative offer letter), and wait months for a slot at the ATC academy at Oklahoma City.

Assuming our hero passes the academy, she is then assigned to an Air Route Traffic Control Center (ARTCC or just Center), an air traffic control tower (ATCT), or an “up-down” facility with both a control tower and TRACON, terminal radar approach control. Certifying in just one sector may take a year or two. Trainees make upwards of $30k annually. Someone who washes out may look at transferring to a less demanding facility. People also request hardship transfers to be closer to family and so on, but ATC is chronically understaffed, and obtaining those transfers takes time.

As with pilots (see another reply in this thread[0]), military ATC experience is often a more expedient route. FAA controllers tend to discount the skill and decision making of former Army controllers who mostly deal with low-flying slow movers under VFR rather than jets under positive control.

[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16941169

Oh by the way, our hero must get in (I believe be admitted to the academy) before her 31st birthday. The clock is ticking.

Yes, there is survivorship bias in the success stories. People wash out of other careers too. Seeing actual data on rates would be fascinating. For balance, read the “Why do drug dealers still live with their moms?” chapter of Freakonomics.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gascan on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:21PM (#16934750)
Blue collar jobs have gained a reputation of being jobs held by slackers or the less fortunate.

Ironic given that plenty of blue collar professionals can make a lot more than your average worker in many degreed professions. (That's not to say the average blue collar wage is higher)

I feel like referencing welding is pretty cliche, but for example:

http://profoundlydisconnected.com/welding-is-a-100000-job/

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mywittyname on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:02PM (#16937218)
> Ironic given that plenty of blue collar professionals can make a lot more than your average worker in many degreed professions.

No they don't, this is a myth that has become perpetuated in recent years.

Mike Rowe might mean well by writing articles like this, but the content is a lie. The median salary of a welder in the US is $40,240 a year according to the BLS. People are essentially selling an entire generation a load of BS in order to flood the market with cheap labor instead of paying them more.

There are some welders who make $100k a year, but they are several standard deviations above the mean. Those $100k/welders are like the $5MM/yr programmers. Yeah, they exist, but only in the top 1% of workers.

I don't want my kids to be tradespeople. I watched 2008 destroy the careers of every tradesperson friend I had, along with nearly wiping out my family's (second-generation) construction business. I had talented friends in their early 20s that were forced to move back in with family after having their work hours cut to 2-3/hr a week (but they had to report to work everyday). The ones with family safety nets went to college, those without joined the military.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by megaman22 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @11:11PM (#16938208)
A half-way decent welder can generally make $20/hr, and live in low cost of living areas. That's a good living for many people.

If you're willing to accept the boom-or-bust nature of construction projects, or remote (as in, go to where work is in demand) work, you can make considerably more. Then there's overtime, which your salaried white-collar worker doesn't get at all.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by watwut on Friday April 27, 2018 @02:13AM (#16938765)
Then again, the white collar worker spends evening with his familly. Travelling worker does not and it makes relationship with both kids and wife harder. You have to factor that in too. There is reason why remote work pays more.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by PedroBatista on Friday April 27, 2018 @07:09AM (#16939827)
Most white collar ( real workers ) spend their evenings doing house shores and their brain is already in half a coma.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by nwmcsween on Saturday April 28, 2018 @01:40AM (#16946233)
At least in Canada common rate is about $40+ for a decent welder
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by somethingwitty1 on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:07AM (#16938561)
They do in locations such as California.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by PC_LOAD_LETTER on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:22AM (#16938618)
Sure, but $20 an hour isn't really "more" than what people are making in degreed professions.

> Then there's overtime, which your salaried white-collar worker doesn't get at all.

Not true across the board - in fact, many mid-paying office jobs are hourly and do pay overtime. I know a bunch of people that worked at AT&T as "salaried" workers, but they still needed to log their hours toward projects, and received 1.5x pay when they worked more than 40/wk, which was most weeks.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by rxhernandez on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:54PM (#16935663)
Can make a lot more means nothing if you don't look at the distribution. According to Payscale[1] more than 90% of welders make less than $26/hour. I'm sure that there exists some welders that make 6 figures but 9/10 out of them don't come within a mile of that.

1. https://www.payscale.com/research/US/Job=Welder/Hourly_Rate

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by germinalphrase on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:25PM (#16934805)
The downside being, of course, that your vision only lasts so long as a welder.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by biggieshellz on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:54PM (#16935066)
Why is that? If you wear your PPE (helmet with appropriate shade while welding, face shield while grinding), I would think you would be protected.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ddingus on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:58PM (#16935105)
You largely are, but incremental damage does happen through error largely.

Examples:

Difficult to see work becomes root cause if phase error between protection in place and start of arc.

Ever glance over and see the bright arc? Hard to not do that.

Use of marginal protection happens for a ton of reasons.

Each flash exposure adds up.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ghaff on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:30PM (#16936017)
Yeah, and my experience with welders (used to supervise shipyard jobs on drilling rigs) is that a lot of them are pretty bad with eye protection while using cutting torches as well.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ddingus on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:58PM (#16936744)
Oh good call. Those are well above safe limits. I see this all the time myself.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by germinalphrase on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:47PM (#16935596)
Yep - this largely what I've been told. Incidental flashes and cumulative exposure.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by blhack on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:59PM (#16935120)
Less so your vision and more your lungs.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by aj7 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:00PM (#16935730)
The salary distribution function has a much different shape, trades vs. college. The expectation value of Total lifetime earnings does too.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by squozzer on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:54PM (#16935073)
All points agreed with - and I'll add to the sixth.

>"Parents want success for their kids," said Mike Clifton, who teaches machining at the Lake Washington Institute of Technology, about 20 miles from Seattle. "They get stuck on [four-year bachelor's degrees],

What parents want is to be able to brag on their kids. Which is to say, they want to be able to boast that their kid went to a presigious university and now holds a prestigious job. And the Education-Industrial Complex (tm) has milked that for everything it's worth. Which is trillions of USD.

Seventh, the people who work in the trades have a rep as rabidly anti-intellectual, for whom Playboy magazine is "too snooty."

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by thaumasiotes on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:36PM (#16935492)
> the people who work in the trades have a rep as rabidly anti-intellectual, for whom Playboy magazine is "too snooty."

This is an odd example; Playboy's whole thing was that it featured high-class literary content, so you could read it "for the articles". It was intentionally snooty as a branding choice helping it contrast with, say, Hustler.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by squozzer on Friday April 27, 2018 @08:24AM (#16940243)
You expounded my point brilliantly. I was thinking of Playboy / Hustler when I made that statement.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ddingus on Thursday April 26, 2018 @11:22PM (#16938238)
This one could be avoided with better norms.

"See that awesome building with the cool lights? My kid wired the whole thing, passed code inspection the first time."

Frankly, accomplishments like that are worth talking up. We play, live, build, do as we do in relative comfort and safety because of the hard, quality work trades people do.

It's like the old saw, "nobody values the plumber, until they do." When they do, they really do.

All of us could be messaging to this in basic, affirmative ways. I think it would help.

Meta: what is the post limit? I can't seem to interact reasonably. Nothing out of the ordinary, but too fast... ?

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by JPKab on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:31PM (#16934861)
Brilliant analysis, and accurate. I worked as a builder for a few years, and the social stigma really bothered me. Baby boomers were the worst offenders.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by skookumchuck on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:37PM (#16934912)
On the other hand, there's a stigma to being a programmer:

https://www.damemagazine.com/2014/05/23/amazon-killing-my-se...

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by filoleg on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:48PM (#16935024)
there is no stigma, there is a stereotype, and it is individual's choice whether to live up to it. I don't know a single guy in tech who had trouble getting dates or socializing with people through the fault of anything but their own. There is no stigma against people in tech, there is a stigma against a certain type of person that is easily found in (but not limited to) tech.

A lot of people live up to the stereotype though, and that's where the author of the article is coming from. To repeat a saying I heard a lot during my undergrad at a Stem-heavy school that had male-dominated ratio - "The odds are good, but the goods are odd."

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by robocat on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:43PM (#16936134)
> there is no stigma

I think there is a stigma.

When single I remember the intense look of an interested girl, that switched off at hearing what my job was.

However, I also think that is offset by some positive bias towards looking for wrll paid professional partners.

The stigma exists. I do think it is fairly easy to avoid its effects (don't be the "undesirable" stereotype). I also think most jobs have a stigma, with negative reactions from some people.

If someone only sees you as your job, that is their problem!

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by tstrimple on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:20PM (#16936458)
> When single I remember the intense look of an interested girl, that switched off at hearing what my job was.

Maybe try telling her you’re a plumber and seeing what the reaction is as a comparison.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ams6110 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:01PM (#16937210)
The plumbers I know all have pretty hot wives. Not sophisticated, for the most part, but quite attractive by mainstream American standards
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ams6110 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:59PM (#16937198)
Yeah I've been in tech for 30 years and have worked with hundreds of people and I can't recall a single one who wasn't a nerd or geek in some way.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by skookumchuck on Thursday April 26, 2018 @10:42PM (#16938084)
> there is no stigma, there is a stereotype

For this thread, there is no difference.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by booleandilemma on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:06PM (#16936805)
He was good-looking enough, but I wasn’t going to be able to get it up for a boring tech dude. And my city, Seattle, like San Francisco is lousy with them.

Poor her. She should move to a city with less intelligent and successful men, I suppose.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by car_invasion on Friday April 27, 2018 @08:04AM (#16940109)
There must be chemistry. Compatible minds, attraction, love/lust, ... luck, whatever chemistry really is. If feelings aren't mutual, then I don't see the point of it.

Luck is a great factor. He might have dodged a bullet, she might have made the wrong choice. Frankly I don't give a damn about them. I've turned down worthy people, I've been turned down by less-worthy ones, and reverse. It doesn't matter. I don't have any regrets.

Programmers, like all people, can be good looking, physically fit, not socially awkward(?:, successful, financially stable/rich, confident, healthy, faithful, non-promiscuous, happy, etc., etc.)? and good in bed. The exact opposite can also happen. Most times it's a variable combination and that's just the way it is. That is how nature works.

Tastes and opinions (not only prejudices) can change and people can find themselves compromising as they grow older. This is what matters to me, I don't want to see myself regretting choices related to my love life.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by malvosenior on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:15PM (#16937313)
Meh. Feminists bloggers have a notorious axe to grind with developers (this is Dame magazine after all). In my experience, regular people don’t try to project this stereotype on tech employees. Most people will not know what a “brogrammer” is.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by daseiner1 on Friday April 27, 2018 @06:29AM (#16939681)
obviously most people in seattle and SF are going to know what a brogrammer is, they make up a huge part of the city’s biggest industry
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by malvosenior on Friday April 27, 2018 @07:48AM (#16940008)
Incorrect. Most people outside of the blogging bubble have not heard of this term. Also incorrect that a “huge part of the city’s industry” is “brogrammers”. The vast majority of programmers are just that, programmers.

I’ve been in the industry my entire adult life and have never met one of these mythical creatures. After all, the term started off as a joke developers themselves would use then got co-opted by anti-tech people and used literally.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by akhilcacharya on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:30PM (#16935421)
I have serious doubts the same stigma exists for employees of other tech companies.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by skookumchuck on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:33PM (#16935448)
Maybe this will help:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZuIOGazSmHg

(It's from the 90's.)

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by akhilcacharya on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:37PM (#16935502)
I dunno, but in my experience generally speaking the folks at top companies are well adjusted and have lots of interesting hobbies, at least the ones I know of at FB and a few startups. My guess is it's a consequence of graduating from elite institutions.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by skookumchuck on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:54PM (#16935664)
Engineers are pretty much never the heroes in Hollywood productions, they're usually portrayed as sidekicks at best, and usually pathetic objects of scorn. The Big Bang Theory is just the most obvious example.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by adamsea on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:28PM (#16936522)
Hollywood is full of negative stereotypes of all sorts, especially of women (an entire gender); and well actually men too. it’s not a good barometer of this.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mywittyname on Thursday April 26, 2018 @09:10PM (#16937606)
Counter-example: Ironman.

Though, I guess he's also a rich playboy who happens to build robots powered by advanced AI.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by msla on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:13PM (#16934677)
Adding onto/tying together the second and third of your points:

Some trades will take you to awful places to live and work. For example, if your job takes you into the oil fields, there's a good chance you're going to Bakken, and North Dakota/eastern Montana is just a fundamentally terrible place to be, winter or summer, and the usual boomtown criminality and lack of resources only makes it worse.

That's tough on your family, too: Those places don't have good schools. The after-school activities consist of drugs, drinking, and driving under the influence of one or both to get to and from the places you do both or either. There's a reason there's a meth/opioid epidemic in those regions, and it isn't because they have a vibrant social scene with plenty of gathering places you can walk to most of the year.

I lived in Havre for ten years, including my high school years, and I have, if anything, understated the problems because Havre isn't nearly as bad as the Bakken region.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by pietroglyph on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:24PM (#16936924)
>Fifth, and this one may seem like a silly reason to most, the drug testing (for marijuana specifically) is a huge barrier of entry. From a safety perspective, it makes sense. But for better or worse, marijuana use is becoming more socially accepted while work places (and in particular trade jobs) are lagging behind the times. Removing a marijuana screen from standard workplace testing would help revitalize the employee pool.

Marijuana and heavy machinery don't mix well... I can't speak to how long you have to be clean to pass a test, so it's possible that these tests select for people who _never_ use, versus people who got high 30 minutes ago. Even if it's the latter, one could argue that any use means someone could be high at the wrong time. I don't really have enough information on drug use patterns to comment here; perhaps someone else does?

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by bengarrr on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:36PM (#16937030)
Nor does alcohol mix well with heavy machinery, but just because someone may drink alcohol at some point in the future doesn't mean they will before they operate deadly machinery. The same would apply to marijuana. A stable considerate employee wouldn't use either substance while performing their duties, so maybe we should be screening for something like mental stability, aptitude for identifying/avoiding high-risk behavior etc. instead of trying to run a catch-all for potential drug users.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by toomanybeersies on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:48PM (#16937505)
Marijuana can be detected in a urine test for 3 days after use for a non-user.

If you're a frequent smoker, it can last be detected over a month after your last use. Even longer in hair tests.

Obviously being high at work isn't a good thing, but neither is being drunk at work. But you don't get fired for having a few beers on the weekend.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by throwaway080383 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:33PM (#16937003)
I believe it's on the order of weeks. I don't buy that someone who smoked two weeks ago is liable to get high on the job. If someone drinks on the weekend, should we automatically worry they're liable to operate machinery drunk?
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by lowdest on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:32PM (#16936994)
>I can't speak to how long you have to be clean to pass a test

Several days at least. Weekend smokers are out.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by polskibus on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:04PM (#16934596)
You missed the advertised by media doom of those jobs by automation and artificial intelligence.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by gaius on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:49PM (#16935616)
There will be plumbers and hairdressers long after the last lawyer and accountant have been replaced by AI.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by cathhhhji on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:19PM (#16934728)
How do you automate HVAC, plumbing, land scaping, etc. Gonna send a robot into my home and fix things?
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by delecti on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:36PM (#16936070)
I don't think anyone can guarantee what will or will not be automated in 10 years, let alone the 40+ year span that the average high school graduate can expect their career to last. That said, past trends hint at it being more likely that manual labor positions will be decreasingly lucrative as time goes on.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by sf_rob on Thursday April 26, 2018 @05:31PM (#16936019)
Well my dad's construction company is doing a lot more prefab in warehouses which is not only more efficient but removes hazard pay (elevation related). This would not be possible if not for the advances in BIM software.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by analog31 on Friday April 27, 2018 @08:30AM (#16940283)
Prefab, and technologies that reduce labor. It won't eliminate labor completely, but will reduce demand.

My house is full of copper plumbing, all cut and soldered together by hand. The wiring is all in hard conduit. Today, conduit is gone, and plumbers assemble things using flexible tubing and fittings that get squeezed onto the ends (for lack of the correct terminology).

I doubt that fixing things will ever provide as much work as construction.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by adamsea on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:28PM (#16936527)
Gonna send in the nanotechnology ;)
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ShabbosGoy on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:46PM (#16935589)
It’s more like you have a smart home with dozens of sensors and IoT devices that will have some self-healing capabilities. Don’t forget the always-on listening device and screen so you can be brainwashed daily.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by EADGBE on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:07PM (#16934626)
Of all the jobs to automate, I see the building trades being replaced last.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by petra on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:28PM (#16934832)
There's a startup building prefabricated house using robots and cheap labor in a factory, with very little professional work on site.

But on the other hand, yesterday we had an article here about visual coding, and according to some it can build very complex application with much higher productivity(and maybe the work becomes accessible to business analysts and domain experts, maybe).

So it's hard to tell these days.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by ghaff on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:43PM (#16934976)
>There's a startup building prefabricated house using robots and cheap labor in a factory,

Not my area but various companies have been trying to do this sort of thing forever. I can remember reading stories about partially pre-manufactured modular homes decades ago and it's never panned out. It seems to be one of those ideas that makes a lot of sense on paper but people don't want it.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by larkost on Thursday April 26, 2018 @04:12PM (#16935232)
I grew up in a Sears & Roebuck home, as were a good portion of those on my block. The Wikipedia article on the subject says that there were 70,000 of them built[1]. So I see this as more of something that has come and gone, probably a few times, and we are back on the up-swing.

The Sears & Roebuck were partially assembled (think wall by wall), and then those parts were hoisted off the freight trains and nailed together. There was still a lot of work that needed to be done (often by professionals), but it really cut down on the (especially local) costs.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sears_Catalog_Home

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by sah2ed on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:57PM (#16935091)
Katerra?

They recently raised $865m lead by SoftBank's vision fund [0].

[0] https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/24/business/dealbook/katerra...

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by EADGBE on Thursday April 26, 2018 @10:37PM (#16938062)
I think “the last mile” of this process is going to be the hardest to automate.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by lostlogin on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:11PM (#16934658)
I see early childhood and primary school teaching going later.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by matte_black on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:22PM (#16934762)
Quick! someone write a short story about AIs who hire a professional human.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mywittyname on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:06PM (#16937244)
You don't automate, you make things more efficient. The building industry is very good at bringing to market products that increase productivity by double or more.

So people will have to build more houses for the same money.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by NFPA_SysAdmin on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:22AM (#16938621)
In many cases, you'll end up making something that works using simple relays way more complex, so you'll still need some kind of technician to troubleshoot the equipment when it fails. The "advances" in equipment technology is mostly for sales brochures but in many cases the increased complexity creates more failure points and simply requires a different type of technician to troubleshoot.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by mywittyname on Friday April 27, 2018 @11:00AM (#16941230)
I'm talking about things like PEX, which drastically simplify and reduce the time needed to plumb a house. The construction industry as a whole seems to be making a huge investment in time-saving innovations.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by bparsons on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:15PM (#16936412)
If you are a young person who doesn't come from wealth, it is a good idea to get a skilled trade certificate right out of high school. In many cases you can do it in a year, and have a good job right away.

You can do that job to pay (at least partially) your way through university, and if your preferred career is interrupted by economic conditions or some weird life event, you always have something solid to fall back on.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by EADGBE on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:09PM (#16934634)
I like your points.

> Removing a marijuana screen from standard workplace testing would help revitalize the employee pool.

To me, trade jobs seem to be the most willing to offer a "second chance" to workers willing to work. More so than some white-collar jobs that have a no tolerance drug/crime policy.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by protonimitate on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:14PM (#16934696)
Yes, failing a drug test for weed is not usually a black mark for trade workers.

But a majority of trade workers get bounced around job sites, and are usually required to pass a screen before each one. If you get sent to a job with little notice (can happen within a week), you need to pass a screen. If you fail, you simply don't get hired and have to enter the queue and wait for the next opportunity. Fail enough times and you either get dropped by your union local, or black listed entirely.

So messing up a drug screen once or twice doesn't mean you will lose all job opportunities, but it could mean you go without work for 1 week to over a year. And if you are represented by a trade union, you don't have the luxury to apply freely to open positions like you would in the white collar market.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Spooky23 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @08:51PM (#16937519)
As an adult you need to choose between a immature desire to smoke weed or abuse alcohol and your work where the health and safety of others is at risk.

If you’re lucky enough to get into the union, I doubt you care much about the luxury of making less money.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by billmalarky on Thursday April 26, 2018 @09:22PM (#16937693)
> immature desire to smoke weed or abuse alcohol

I find it interesting you equate even light use of marijuana with the abuse of alcohol.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Spooky23 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @10:06PM (#16937929)
Alcohol leaves the body in a few hours. If an employer screening is picking up alchohol, that’s by definition abuse.

With respect to marijuana, it’s well known that it is detectable for some period of time. If you’re smoking with full knowledge that you can be randomly screened, you’re demonstrating poor judgment and risk tolerance.

I don’t want someone dumb enough to do these things in a position where my health and safety is at risk.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by 1298492137 on Friday April 27, 2018 @02:41AM (#16938840)
>First, construction in general is a pretty up and down industry. Construction booms don't last forever, and in general you need to 'follow the work'. This is great if you are young, single, and willing to chase the high paying jobs. Not so great if you have a strong desire to stay in one spot.

This is worse in software engineering. You are probably in the bay area or some other tech city, but for all the people who live outside of those areas, they have to either move to them or get paid a ridiculously low wage relative to their work.

Here in Australia, only those people who want to work in the mines have to go anywhere. All the other trades can not only live wherever they want, they don't have to live near the city. Programmers have to live close to the city and pay the extra in housing because all of the jobs are in the city.

>Second, trade jobs are usually pretty tough on the body. After a couple decades of work your body begins to break down, assuming there are no workplace injuries to put you out of commission sooner.

Sitting is worse for your body than most trades. Some trades may be really tough, but the majority are not. Programmers generally look completely out of shape. You talk about "after a few decades", well, I wonder if you have met any older office workers? I work with people in their late 30s and early 40s who have done nothing but office work. Just the other day, we were walking up a large group of stairs to go to a conference and they were all going on about their knees and groaning on pain. I suspect you are confusing people just getting old who don't really look after their body, with a specific effect of a type of job.

>Third, workplace conditions are on average undesirable. Outdoors in the heat/cold, or indoors in tight spaces or high places. It's tough sell over companies that glorify bean bag chairs, nap pods, and free beer on hand.

This sounds like someone who just hates the outdoors. I have worked in both types of jobs and I absolutely hate being in an air-conditioned office. I hate unnatural air and the lack of sunlight. I also hate beer, and bean bag chairs are terrible for your body. Nap pods, jesus.

>Fourth, there's a social stigma around trade skill jobs. This does seem kind of true, but I see people in trades with much prettier girlfriends than most programmers due to the better shape they are in both mentally and physically, and the fact that money is all that counts. Trades outside of tech cities get paid the same or more as programmers.

>All of these observations are based off my fathers experience as union based pipe fitter/welder for >30 years. Exactly.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Baeocystin on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:51PM (#16936679)
>Fifth, and this one may seem like a silly reason to most, the drug testing (for marijuana specifically) is a huge barrier of entry.

If I remember correctly, the NSA had to drop the marijuana prohibition on hires recently, simply because they were not getting enough applicants.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by bmj on Friday April 27, 2018 @06:34AM (#16939699)
There are other skilled trades. Plumbers and electricians aren't going away until our society devolves to the point of not having indoor plumbing or electricity.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by poundtown on Thursday April 26, 2018 @09:39PM (#16937805)
yes its ironic they show iron workers tying rebar..i did that for a summer in college and i can tell you my forearms have never recovered...:)
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by icantdrive55 on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:47PM (#16935014)
The trick is getting in a good union, like local 6 in San Francisco.

You won't run out of job opportunities if your book 1 union.

Yes--construction is not a great job. Out if of all the Trades; Electrical is a bit better than the rest. It's less physically taxing.

Union Elevator Mechanic might be the best trade?

So much depends on your attitude. If you like going to work, sweating, getting dirty, and going home without much worry--in a good union you are making over $100/hr. Listening to some of the guys takes patience, but you will never hear, "It sounds like you have a case of the mondays, or have to listen to some jack arse pontificating in a meeting.

Non-union is just aweful. You are better off in retail. If very motivated, use the non-union shop to gain experience, and then get a C-10 contractor's licence.

That said, there's only a few cities I would consider working in.

Mike Rowe (the t.v. guy who's made himself the ambassador of "working hard". I personally think he is exploiting a bad situation.). goes around as the prince of the Trades. He always yacking about these jobs that go unfilled. Most of these jobs are non-union, in the middle of the rust belt, and are temporary. There's a reason these jobs go unfilled.

So if you don't mind getting dirty, ex king up early, being around sweaty guys all day long; keep an eye out for the union admittance test. Some unions have over 1000 people taking the test for a few spots.

It's an easy test, but get every question right. The oral interview counts for half.

(I was in the union a year. I got a better opportunity, so I left. Looking back--I probally should have finished the apprenticeship, but did not want to turn into my father. I literally saw myself turning into him. Oh yea, watch the drinking. It's ok to come in with a hangover, but heavens forbid marijuana.

In all honestly, a lot of guys smoked pot. It's only the bigger job sites that required a drug test. Even then, when I worked at Pacbell park, guys would stop smoking a few weeks before showing up for to the job site, and within a few days they were back to smoking.

There was one statistic about working construction that always bothered me. Too many guys were waiting for retirement to really live their lives. They would collect a few retirement checks, and die. A lot of that was probally the wrong diet, and too much drinking?

Good luck!

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by aphextron on Thursday April 26, 2018 @07:43PM (#16937079)
Just looked up the wages for IBEW Local 6, $70/hr for a journeyman electrician sounds incredible even compared to SWE salaries.

How long would it take to get to that level from zero trade experience, and how hard is it to get into the union?

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by unholythree on Friday April 27, 2018 @12:39AM (#16938477)
Electricians typically have a five year apprenticeship and apprentice pay is a percentage of the journeyman rate, for example I think a fifth year makes 80%. I think getting in unions can be hard, some more then others. NYC's Local #3 for example is notoriously difficult to get in.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by NFPA_SysAdmin on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:34AM (#16938652)
Keep in mind that that is your average journeyman's pay. You'll have additional incentives depending on your workplace, role, and experience. For example a utility company substation technician will make journeyman's pay + extra substation pay, a substation foreman will also get additional pay, a licensed master electrician will earn even more, etc...there are definitely high paying "blue collar" jobs in the utilities industry.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by onetimemanytime on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:32PM (#16936559)
>>Second, trade jobs are usually pretty tough on the body.

Tougher than sitting in an office chair for 10 hours a day ?

But yeah, personally, I'd push my own child to get a degree, as insurance. Life can be quite long and you never know.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by Baeocystin on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:49PM (#16936665)
As someone who has worked as a shipyard welder and a mechanic... Good lord, yes, working most trades are going to be much harder on your body than sitting around. It is not a close comparison.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by NFPA_SysAdmin on Friday April 27, 2018 @01:29AM (#16938640)
It depends, as a technician I was active, mobile, exercised my muscles daily, and was in very good shape. After I got my CS degree, I spent the next year sitting in front of a desk staring at an editor and couldn't stand it. I moved back into the trades and it seemed like the healthier (and better paying) option.
Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by et-al on Friday April 27, 2018 @12:30AM (#16938454)
Not to mention white collar workers have to the luxury of being able to request standing desks, mats, anything for ergonomics.

Ask for something like that at a job site and you'd probably get laughed off.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by matte_black on Thursday April 26, 2018 @03:18PM (#16934720)
> Fourth, there's a social stigma around trade skill jobs. Blue collar jobs have gained a reputation of being jobs held by slackers or the less fortunate. Unfortunately, wearing workboots carries a stigma that wearing a shirt and tie/'startup' attire doesn't.

Tech jobs aren’t free from this anymore. For people in the industry, if all you do is stuff like front end JavaScript work (basically what any boot camp grad does), you’re basically the tech equivalent of a construction worker. Except now, others outside the industry are catching on to this too. The people in tech who get all the prestige are those who are solving real problems or work in more esoteric domains, at least by those who aren’t also blue collar workers themselves.

Nothing wrong with it, it’s just the way it is. Prestige won’t last forever.

Re:High-Paying Trade Jobs Sit Empty, While High School Grads... by michaelt on Thursday April 26, 2018 @06:06PM (#16936319)

  The people in tech who get all the prestige
  are those who are solving real problems or
  work in more esoteric domains
I'm not sure my girlfriend's parents appreciate the difference between me inventing my own Byzantine fault tolerance algorithm and me importing Apache ZooKeeper.