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Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by harryh on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:15PM (#11424536)
$10,000 * US_POPULATION ~= $3.2T ~= The total annual tax revenue of the US federal government.

Just something to keep in mind when discussing this topic.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by virmundi on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:26PM (#11424649)
The advocates for such policy do keep this in mind. They require tax increases on business. If you make money, you have to pay. The idea is to help reallocate wealth because the market has moved beyond certain segments of labor.

For example, when McDonald's can automate half its staff, the other half can't provide labor at the minimum price to be worth while. UBI says give these people, those displaced from the labor force since they are no longer needed, tax money directly rather than going through government mediators in a piecemeal fashion like they do today. Of course McDonald's will have a higher tax burden to support these displaced workers.

Rather than McDonald's shouldering the burden by itself, the government acts as an insurance company. It takes in taxes and payout what is essentially an existence claim.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by johndevor on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:30PM (#11424698)
Won't higher taxes here in the US drive more and more business overseas (specifically to China) and further exacerbate the problem of income inequality?

We already see corporations keeping massive amounts of capital overseas because of high tax rates. That money should and could be here in the USA.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by tangent128 on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:34PM (#11424733)
What value exists in bringing that capital back "in" to the USA if it provides no benefit to US citizens in doing so?
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by randyrand on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:45PM (#11425475)
Its almost impossible to bring in wealth and not have it benefit people.

People dont keep their trillions of dollars under the mattress. Its invested.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by noobermin on Monday April 04, 2016 @09:58PM (#11427256)
>Its almost impossible to bring in wealth and not have it benefit people.

Tell that to Bernie and Trump supporters so they can all pipe down.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by virmundi on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:55PM (#11424960)
I agree, but the theory goes that eventually tax havens will disappear. Europe would probably adopt UBI along with us. So those lower rates would go away. China would do something similar or would be too scary for westerners to fully flee to. Right now many companies are fleeing to Europe for better corporate rates while their C level employees benefit from lower personal tax rates in the US.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by home_boi on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:24PM (#11425263)
Or some countries will take advantage of these fleeing westerners and keep their tax rates lower than the US
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by virmundi on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:59PM (#11425616)
True. Then the US has to lower its rates or the low tax company has to increase due to social unrest. We see this with China. The rising wealth of the writing class is causing party increases. So large that work us coming back to the US or to other south Asian countries.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by randyrand on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:43PM (#11425450)
Or any enterprising country will keep their tax rates low and take all the manufacturing business. Go figure.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by spinlock on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:41PM (#11424812)
businesses would look at total operating costs. Taxes are increased but payroll is decreased. It's a win if you can structure it such that the savings in payroll are greater than the increase in tax.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by bufordsharkley on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:47PM (#11424875)
This is one reason why a UBI really needs to be attached to something that can't leave the country, namely a land-value tax.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by camhenlin on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:32PM (#11424720)
Yes but it won't matter because the newly displaced workers will receive basic income!
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by ThrustVectoring on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:53PM (#11425563)
That's a most of why I'd like to fund GBI in part with a land-value tax.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by msellout on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:14PM (#11425149)
Empirically, no. Or at least not to the extent that many people fear. Many businesses are headquartered in NYC, despite the city's extra taxes.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by Turing_Machine on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:52PM (#11425550)
They may be "headquartered" in NYC, but they're domiciled in Delaware, Nevada, etc. and their production facilities are located in China or Indonesia.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by msellout on Monday April 04, 2016 @06:23PM (#11426243)
They still employ a large number of New Yorkers.

And it's not just New York. Take any major city. Better employee productivity balances the higher costs. Not always, so some companies relocate. But many stay.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by floppydisk on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:48PM (#11424882)
Playing devil's advocate, what happens to businesses in the presence of an even higher regulatory and tax environment and what will the impact of increased taxes be on employment and business viability as well as the cost of living?

For the sake of argument, think about businesses with razor thin margins like restaurants. In the presence of increased taxes, their margins significantly diminish, if not vanish, and it becomes increasingly unviable for the business to stay in business. Once they shutter their doors, the tax base and employment decreases. Extending the argument, consider other organizations that have a healthier margin and are growing and hiring. The presence of substantially increased taxation raises the costs of growth (re: hiring) and raises the costs of employing Americans and earning money in America which reduces their ability to compensate employees / develop new products etc. Yes, they might have the margin to pay the increased tax rate, but the tradeoff is they lose money that goes into R&D, increasing salaries, hiring more people, and other business activities we think are good and useful.

As a consumer, I'm also curious to know what this does to my cost of living. Prices will not stay static and if businesses are incurring higher costs to produce goods and services, those get reflected in price. Given wages aren't keeping pace with inflation, what will a sudden price shock do to the cost of living in the face of businesses adjusting prices to address the new taxes? This could take people who are getting by now and turn them into a new wave of impoverished as necessary goods and services increase in price or it could prevent UBI from achieving its goal because prices keep rising to offset the tax rate which puts goods and services outside what people can afford on UBI.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by rm_-rf_slash on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:03PM (#11425047)
Most restaurants derive most of their cost from labor. With basic income in and minimum wage out, you can pay people much less than you had to before. Yes, you may pay more in taxes, but that's from profit after everything else has been taken care of.

So if you end up with less total profit than before, it sucks, but your control over the situation is far more variable than if you had to simply suck it up and plan to pay your $9.00/hr dishwasher at least $15/hr in three years.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by NoMoreNicksLeft on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:37PM (#11425386)
> Most restaurants derive most of their cost from labor. With basic income in and minimum wage out, you can pay people much less than you had to before.

That's plainly false.

No one's going to wash dishes at Chain Restaurant #12 for 15 cents an hour, not even if the government is giving them $10,000/year. Infinite increase in their current effort for a 1% increase in annual income?

That's like the most pathologically slanted example of diminishing returns possible.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by 1812Overture on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:56PM (#11425580)
$5 per hour to double their income though? You'll have takers there.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by rm_-rf_slash on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:39PM (#11425406)
Point missed, read my reply to the other comment.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by home_boi on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:29PM (#11425314)
It's the opposite. The utility of money decreases as the amount of money owned/earned goes up. $9/hr to a person without basic income is worth more than $9/hr to a person with basic income.

Now people need more money to gain the same utility as they could have previously gained without basic income.

Why would people wash dishes if they didn't need to pay the bills?

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by aninhumer on Monday April 04, 2016 @07:05PM (#11426475)
I think there's a lot of untapped utility in better quality jobs, that doesn't get explored at the moment because people's first priority is getting enough money to survive.

Maybe no one wants to wash dishes (so buy a machine), but I imagine quite a lot of people actually enjoy being waiters, since you get to be directly helpful to a lot of people every day.

And now you're not afraid of being fired, you can even start to negotiate about the parts that suck. Obnoxious customers? Hey that restaurant down the street pays a bit less, but they're also willing to throw people out for being jerks. Maybe not going home upset once a month is worth a lot more to you than a new TV.

Things like this might not even cost the business very much, but they've never considered them because people take what they're given.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by rm_-rf_slash on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:37PM (#11425392)
Sure, a dishwasher might not need to work to pay for rent and heat, but...

Can they afford nice clothing to attract people they like?

Can they save up for college? For their kids?

Can they play the latest games? See the latest movies?

Do they enjoy cigarettes, alcohol, or other recreational drugs?

Do they like to eat out?

Do they want a higher standard of living when they "retire?"

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by home_boi on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:55PM (#11425575)
People would be less willing to work for those goods than for rent and heat, so employers would have to pay higher wages.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by ambicapter on Monday April 04, 2016 @06:08PM (#11426141)
Those people sound useless. The same way its less expensive to house the homeless than to chase around with cops, I feel like its better to just pay them to stay in their own little world.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by floppydisk on Tuesday April 05, 2016 @12:28AM (#11427810)
Does the delta between lowering the cost of labor (assuming people will work for the lower wage) cover the tax increase?

Labor, in the service industry, is already handled like a variable cost. If you expect a rush, you increase the number of people on the shift and if you don't, you schedule the bar minimum. If there's mismatch between staffing and projected work - and say schedule too many people for what turns out to be a dead shift - they get sent home. Changing the minimum wage from $9/hr to $15/hr reduces the number of people you can run per shift and keep your costs the same (assuming all other inputs continue to cost the same). I.E. It costs me $30/hr to keep two waiters when I could run 3 for $27/hr so I cut back one waiter per shift.

Where the business gets in trouble, in terms of survival, is the price of fixed inputs. They need to buy goods and services that will fluctuate in price and if the cost of doing business goes up due to higher fixed costs in the form of taxes, those costs will reverberate through the chain. The food supplier will raise prices, the restaurant will need to raise its prices to afford the food, which will impact their ability to attract customers which impacts their ability to derive revenue to pay the food supplier, their tax bill, and so forth.

Similarly, if businesses are having to charge higher prices and wages are depressed due to UBI + <other wage>, will people have the money to afford goods and services at the higher rate?

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by ricardobeat on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:56PM (#11424972)
> For the sake of argument, think about businesses with razor thin margins like restaurants. In the presence of increased taxes, their margins significantly diminish, if not vanish, and it becomes increasingly unviable for the business to stay in business. Once they shutter their doors, the tax base and employment decreases.

That's a big assumption. As long as there is demand in a free market, they will stay in business and prices will adjust accordingly.

Or not, since they might get more business from all these people who now have a minimum income. Also consider that the trend is for operational costs to go down with continued automation of the whole production chain.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by brbsix on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:31PM (#11425332)
The OP's point about certain businesses disappearing is valid. Just as an example, pizza parlors may disappear. Instead that demand will be satiated by highly efficient instant delivery services (with no storefront and almost no staff) or perhaps not at all. Do you see many elevator attendants lately?

Also to be clear, we're not talking about anything remotely like a free market.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by wonderlust on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:34PM (#11424738)
Wouldn't it be a better idea to have unions, and have them negotiate shared ownership?

It seems that some people have already solved the problem with dividends in companies they own part of.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by danvoell on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:33PM (#11424724)
What happens to the people who can't get jobs to begin with? Also, does this make it harder for companies like McDonalds to higher people, if they are worried that the employee might be a future claimant?
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by empath75 on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:26PM (#11424656)
The top marginal tax rate would have to be dramatically increased to pay for it. Also, you'd have to increase capital gains and estate taxes.

Make no mistake, basic minimum income would be a massive redistribution of wealth. I'm in favor of it, but let's not pretend we can pay for it by shuffling around some social safety net spending.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by refurb on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:50PM (#11424905)
The top marginal tax rate would have to be dramatically increased to pay for it

Someone should do the math! Sure you could increase the top marginal rate, but where does that get you. Yes, the top 1% is very wealthy, but there aren't many of them.

I would bet you'd have to increase income taxes well down the income ladder, dipping down into what most people call the middle class. You simply can't avoid it, that's where all the money is.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by JonFish85 on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:03PM (#11425048)
As with any tax increase, the middle class is always the ones that bear the brunt of it, because for all the noise about taxing the 1%, there just isn't enough money to take. The people that end up really paying the price are the people who worked their entire lives to be able to pay for their kids' college, not the people who have $10b in assets.

Politicians are happy to talk about raising the taxes of the wealthy and to cut taxes to the middle class. However, in practice, this means a massive loss in tax revenue, so eventually the middle class taxes have to go back up, or cuts need to be made.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by jrs235 on Monday April 04, 2016 @05:20PM (#11425765)
"As with any tax increase, the middle class is always the ones that bear the brunt of it" because we continually keep talking about taxing income instead of wealth.

Tax wealth more and income less. WHAT?!?!?!! People say? Well that really fancy and expensive military we are paying for.. it's not just protecting your income. It's protecting your wealth. Pay your fair proportional share for security of your assets...

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by JonFish85 on Monday April 04, 2016 @07:56PM (#11426747)
Huh? As I said, it would take the combined wealth of the top 1000 wealthiest Americans to pay for the federal budget for one year. Pretty quickly you run out of people whose money you can take without getting to the middle class. No matter how you slice it, the real money is in the middle class.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by jrs235 on Monday April 04, 2016 @11:37PM (#11427599)
When people talk about raising or lowering taxes they are usually talking about income taxes (not property taxes). I'm suggesting we tax all property (assets/wealth).
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by JonFish85 on Tuesday April 05, 2016 @12:11PM (#11431593)
What does that change? As I said, the combined net worth (everything that they own: cash, property, stock, etc) of the top 1000 richest Americans pays for the federal budget for one year. The only way to raise enough money to pay for things is to make the middle class pay the bulk of it. Whether it's via income tax, net-worth tax, etc, there simply isn't enough in "the 1%" to pay for things.

And that's not to mention that you're essentially taxing the same assets multiple times. The stock that, say, Zuckerberg owns was already taxed when he received it. You're asking to re-tax the same thing over and over and over again. This sort of taxing already exists (property tax & excise tax come to mind), but I'm not really sure what sort of gain you think would come of it.

No matter how you run the numbers, the money comes from the middle class.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by earlz on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:12PM (#11425133)
In theory there would definitely be some tax increases even for middle class, ideally it'd be closely balanced so that the non-conditional UBI would balance out the tax increases
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by aetherson on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:35PM (#11424747)
Not the top marginal tax rate, the tax rates on probably the top 50% -- certainly the top 25%.

Which is not necessarily crazy -- I think that a basic income is an attractive idea, though I doubt the ability to implement it well. But just like we shouldn't pretend we could just shuffle some social safety net programs, we also shouldn't pretend that you could just tax the 1%.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by mdorazio on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:23PM (#11425253)
Increasing capital gains taxes back to historical levels doesn't actually get you very far. Maybe another 100-200 billion [1]. Forcing corporations to pay taxes on all money earned in the US instead of tossing it offshore would get you another 90 billion or so [2].

Realistically, almost all of the revenue has to come from increasing personal income tax, probably mostly on the top 5% of earners, but realistically everyone would have to pay more. I haven't yet done the calculations, but it seems like we're talking double digit percentage increases.

[1] http://people.opposingviews.com/percent-irs-revenue-comes-ca... [2] http://www.americansfortaxfairness.org/tax-fairness-briefing...

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by alttab on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:32PM (#11424722)
It would completely remove the necessity to be productive. That can't turn out well.

What's preventing me from having as many babies as I can knowing that they too will not have to work or find a job to be supported?

I know this won't work at scale, because I understand math.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by thesimon on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:45PM (#11424851)
>It would completely remove the necessity to be productive. That can't turn out well.

As seen in welfare states in Scandinavia or Germany, where almost no one works because of the unemployment benefits.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by snerbles on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:56PM (#11424965)
Of course not, but the stability of such a state is becoming a concern with the current migration situation.

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/02/wel...

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by alttab on Tuesday April 05, 2016 @10:27AM (#11430600)
And it's ignoring culture.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by usefulcat on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:58PM (#11424988)
Wait, are you really suggesting that people decide how many children to have based on whether they believe those children will have to work when they become adults?
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by emidln on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:46PM (#11424864)
There's no necessity to be productive now. Most (all?) of the minimum wage jobs in the United States aren't productive to society except so far as that they have some minimal amount of money to make violent property crime slightly less attractive.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by jack9 on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:46PM (#11424859)
> It would completely remove the necessity to be productive. That can't turn out well.

Take a look at mobile games. People do lots of things just to be 1 rung higher on an artificial competitive ladder (reset every month) about endlessly punching a "Battle" button. I think this idea that necessity has ever driven productivity (look around at your job) is a long running joke.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by tangent128 on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:38PM (#11424775)
Why would you <em>want</em> to have as many babies as you can?
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by alttab on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:40PM (#11424798)
What if having a big family brings me joy? If welfare and basic income provide the support I need to have a huge family without being productive, why would I choose to live a life that is inconsistent with my life's motivations? Why work for a living when I can do what I want, and be just as comfortable? I don't need a Tesla, so I'll leave the working for the chumps.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by tangent128 on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:32PM (#11425341)
Congratulations, you get to be productive by raising society's next generation.

Sincerely. Many people don't desire large families, if any, or are physically incapable of reproduction. So why pressure them to when others are perfectly willing to pick up the slack?

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by lintiness on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:34PM (#11424736)
you need to emotion this a little more and get back to us.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by SilasX on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:00PM (#11425014)
... and you'd have to stop everyone from throwing complicated tax structures around their incomes to avoid the increasing tax rates.

I know, "just close the loopholes lol". Except that it's a battle of wits of nerds against a bureaucracy with every-bigger portions of the economy at stake, where every government victory is a longer, less transparent tax code.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by harryh on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:50PM (#11425529)
Recent increases in the capital gains tax rate were very effective at increasing taxes on people in the upper end of the income spectrum. The ability of high earners to avoid taxes through complex use of loopholes is vastly overstated.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by seibelj on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:21PM (#11424589)
Don't have an opinion on any of this, but how many of the population you calculate are citizens over the age of 18? And what would be saved from the US budget by eliminating various existing programs that would be superfluous by UBI?
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by Permit on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:28PM (#11424676)
Do children not typically receive the universal basic income? If not, is it fair to give a parent of three children the same allowance as I (a single person) receive? I also wonder about whether or not $10,000 is more or less than someone on disability currently receives.

Is there a risk here that the more vulnerable members of society will end up receiving less money?

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by Lawtonfogle on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:16PM (#11425169)
Be careful of the incentives you create with these methods.

As a side note, will a poor person who is unable to have a child be allowed to adopt and receive an increase in basic income, and will the adoption process by significantly more discriminating in who is allowed to adopt compared to who is allowed to have children?

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by grahamburger on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:36PM (#11424759)
I've often wondered this too. I suspect that a family making use of WIC, medicaid / medicare and/or disability is commonly using more than $10k/person/year or gov't assistance, and would lose money going to UBI at that rate. I also wonder what could be done to avoid the UBI version of the two-income trap[0] - seems like UBI would naturally pressure entry level wages downward.

http://www.amazon.com/The-Two-Income-Trap-Middle-Class-Paren...

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by stickydink on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:32PM (#11424716)
There's a risk that people decide that pumping out children is an effective way to make money in the short term.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by NolF on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:27PM (#11424669)
Note that there are "only" 209m Americans over the age of 18 [1]. Not that it makes it much more affordable. Without including medical, it looks the government spends about 1.5T already (including SS) [2]

1 http://www.infoplease.com/us/census/data/demographic.html 2 http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/year_spending_2016USbn_1...

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by EpicEng on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:30PM (#11424703)
Yet I imagine that a basic income for e.g. a family of four would be quite a bit higher than that for a single 20 year old. Minors have to be factored in somehow.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by kapnobatairza on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:35PM (#11424748)
Does a basic income need to be generated directly through government spending?

With all the talk about QE and "helicopter money" over the past 8-9 years, I'm curious why very few have considering the merits of a basic income through inflation.

What if the central bank had a mechanism to fund special "basic income" accounts at banks on a yearly basis... These accounts would not be considered deposits but would rather be a special type of 0-interest loan that is not paid back and doesn't not count against each bank's fractional reserve requirements. Each citizen is able to open 1 of these accounts at a bank that meets the qualifications to participate in the program.

Is there any merit in a basic income through inflation? If we are going to inflate our money by through QE and throwing it out of a helicopter to banks, why not use the same principle and inflate our money by throwing it our a helicopter into the homes of citizens?

special "basic income" accounts

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by imtringued on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:57PM (#11424983)
The effects of Quantitative Easing can be reversed by the central bank because it's merely an asset swap. It's only a temporary measure.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by dv_dt on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:19PM (#11425209)
It's a temporary measure whose end and efficacy remains unknown. It seems like the QE injection really only affected 'Wall street' with very little of it escaping to cause mainline economic activity.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by saalweachter on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:59PM (#11425000)
The total personal income in the United States is $14.7T (2014); so a $3.2T spending program amounts to a ~22% flat income tax.

Which is interesting when you consider that you'd (presumably) be dissolving Social Security and Welfare in favor of UBI; Social Security is already 12.4%.

What's also fun with UBI is that you then get to assign a numeric value to how socialist your country currently is, eg, 22% socialist. (Personally I'd go for something closer to 30% socialist.)

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by aero142 on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:34PM (#11424734)
Imagine a new tax passed at the same time as basic income where anyone making more than the median income of $51,939 paid an additional $10000 in taxes. Now, lets tack on a dollar for dollar replacement for anyone receiving disability or social security.

These kinds of thing make that number start dropping pretty quick and are in the spirit of what basic income would look like. The raw number you gave isn't what anyone is proposing.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by blacksmith_tb on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:22PM (#11424601)
Presumably though you just increase income tax to recover some or all of that from people who are employed? So the actual cost should be significantly lower.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by bryanlarsen on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:28PM (#11424672)
Yes, taxes on the average worker would go up by the same amount as they're receiving in basic income. So the effective costs of a basic income program are a very small fraction of $3.2 trillion.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by Jtsummers on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:24PM (#11424624)
That tax revenue isn't just from (personal or corporate) income tax. There are a number of other sources of federal tax revenue which could be increased without a (direct) impact on the same people intended to benefit from a UBI (though it will have an indirect impact).
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by tankenmate on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:25PM (#11424636)
Some argue that if an UBI is introduced then a flat rate tax should be applied to all other income; in the US this would lead to reasonably large income tax increase.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by Shivetya on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:28PM (#11424675)
What about working age population? Surely it isn't that much. Kind of scary when you reverse the numbers. The number of people working certainly isn't enough to generate the tax income of the country has. Yet this game is what keeps people from open rebellion; embedded taxes.

Figure it this way, if individuals had to pay the full tax load out of their paychecks that they actually do most would more than flinch.

Regardless, current subsidies to many people are higher than 10k so it would never be set there. People would get all sorts of up kicks for dependents and the like because politicians need to buy votes and punish dissenters.

So if we just consider the working population, how much does it cost? Can we then rid ourselves of some government agencies which are devoted to providing aid?

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by tyingq on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:24PM (#11424629)
Interesting. This chart is a pretty good reference to see what types of existing spending might overlap with that (Social Security?) and what wouldn't. https://media.nationalpriorities.org/uploads/total_spending_...
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by refurb on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:52PM (#11424924)
You couldn't eliminate social security payments since for a lot of folks, they take home more than $10K. You could lop off the bottom 10%, but a lot of spending would remain.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by merpnderp on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:35PM (#11424744)
Many people would not receive this money from the government as their taxes would be more than the $10K payment. 160 million Americans work, and likely half would receive little or no money, and only the bottom two quintiles of income earners would earn the full or close to the full amount. So probably only cost around $2T, or about 25% more than Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid combined (although this would only replace Social Security).

Very expensive, but doable in a world where our representatives weren't corrupt to the hilt.

Not sure what is an equitable solution for children, but giving the full amount per kid seems grossly unfair.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by NoMoreNicksLeft on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:42PM (#11425444)
> Not sure what is an equitable solution for children, but giving the full amount per kid seems grossly unfair.

Why unfair? I sometimes get the impression that the mainstream culture values children at some degree lower than "human".

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by bunnymancer on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:27PM (#11424664)
Right, which currently excludes any taxes that would've come from the population that do not have any income to spend, and is instead costing taxpayers More through constant healthcare and the insanely pricey food stamps, etc.

Just something to keep in mind.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by iskander on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:23PM (#11424609)
Would children and retirees also claim basic income?
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by gpm on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:27PM (#11424663)
Retirees presumably yes, since differentiating 'retired' vs 'unemployed' involves the sort of expensive invasive work that UBI looks to obsolete.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by jerf on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:36PM (#11424751)
Part of the reason I'm not a UBI proponent is that I have absolutely no confidence in the ability of the real world to "obsolete" that much work. Literally the next bill passed after UBI would be a bill to limit and/or extend it somehow to some favored or disfavored interest.

We got to where we are not because of arcane technical procedures, we got to where we are because of the humans in the government. Pass UBI with the same humans in the same government and the same result will occur at speed.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by undersuit on Tuesday April 05, 2016 @06:55PM (#11435256)
>Literally the next bill passed after UBI would be a bill to limit and/or extend it somehow to some favored or disfavored interest.

It's universal. You can't extend it, it's universal. You could limit it, but then it's obviously not universal.

I'm not saying it's impossible, but by definition anything not universal is not Universal Basic Income.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by zardo on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:30PM (#11424701)
Children are included in the basic income in Alaska.
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by spinlock on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:36PM (#11424755)
This is a very good back of the envelope calculation. But, I think you need to take a similar look at the cost of social security, etc...
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by kinghajj on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:44PM (#11424839)
Aren't UBI proposals designed so that those who earn more than the yearly stipend from employment don't receive it?
Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by bufordsharkley on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:52PM (#11424925)
The key to the UBI is that there is no means test (which introduces bad incentives, etc).

UBI with means testing is known as the Guaranteed Minimum Income.

Re:A Basic Income Is Smarter Than a Minimum Wage by earlz on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:57PM (#11424978)
No, UBI is everyone receives X amount of money, no questions asked. The theory is that the tax increases etc balance this out for the middle class so that they effectively earn the same amount of money with the UBI income