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Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by umanwizard on Monday August 12, 2024 @07:46PM (#41230638)
Does anyone actually seriously believe the U.S. will land a person on the moon in 2025? This is the country that takes decades to open a new subway station.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by akira2501 on Monday August 12, 2024 @07:49PM (#41230659)
We're the only nation that has ever done it. It seems like unchecked graft is our current main problem. In the scope of all problems of returning people to the Moon this is both expected and the easiest to deal with.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by okanat on Monday August 12, 2024 @07:58PM (#41230715)
When that was happening, the US was spending ungodly amount of money to show Soviets that they can take ~a nuke~ sorry people to the Moon and back.

Boeing, Lockheed etc. were still engineering oriented companies full of projects and management opportunities for innovative and risk-taking people. Starting with the Reagan era, they are now emptied out rent seekers full of car salesmen who look up to Jack Welch as a role model.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by _moof on Monday August 12, 2024 @11:35PM (#41231968)
And there were a lot more players in aerospace then too. Apart from Boeing and Lockheed, Apollo also involved North American Aviation, Grumman, Rocketdyne, General Dynamics, Pratt & Whitney, Douglas, TRW, and Bell. Of those, only General Dynamics and Pratt & Whitney have not been acquired or merged into other companies.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by knowaveragejoe on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @11:10AM (#41236233)
Are there not _far_ more players in aerospace today than what you listed? Maybe those of today are not at the scale of the companies you listed at the height of the cold war, but we're really in a new era of space industry.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by _moof on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @11:45AM (#41236558)
People making cubesats? Sure. Companies that can build moonshot hardware, though, are far more scarce.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by knowaveragejoe on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @11:09AM (#41236221)
> Boeing, Lockheed etc. were still engineering oriented companies full of projects and management opportunities for innovative and risk-taking people. Starting with the Reagan era, they are now emptied out rent seekers full of car salesmen who look up to Jack Welch as a role model.

To be fair, Boeing, Lockheed etc won't be the decisive players putting humans back on the moon from the US. It'll be smaller and scrappier players more akin to startups.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by okanat on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @12:08PM (#41236770)
This is where the "ungodly" funds of Cold War make the difference. There is little incentive in the US government to spend at once as much and take political risk as much.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by umanwizard on Monday August 12, 2024 @07:54PM (#41230689)
> We're the only nation that has ever done it

The USA of the 1960s was very different from the one that exists today.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by cqqxo4zV46cp on Monday August 12, 2024 @07:55PM (#41230695)
What “the US” did 50+ years ago has absolutely no say in what “the US” can do now.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by whatshisface on Monday August 12, 2024 @08:22PM (#41230864)
Our GDP is about 50x higher now than it was then, in real terms.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by scottyah on Monday August 12, 2024 @08:48PM (#41231036)
GDP in such a services-based economy is unreliable as a metric for the ability to produce, since just moving the money around now contributes to it.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by hnthrowaway0315 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @12:10AM (#41232135)
The spirit is different.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by pfdietz on Monday August 12, 2024 @08:52PM (#41231053)
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by desperate on Monday August 12, 2024 @08:26PM (#41230892)
Yeah but money can't pay for skill that doesn't exist anymore.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by darth_avocado on Monday August 12, 2024 @08:36PM (#41230958)
Ohh but it can. The downfall of Boeing has literally been because it prioritized not paying money for skill that definitely exists.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by xtracto on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @08:03AM (#41234625)
Something else... US current political climate vs immigrants doesn't help. In addition to the life prospects of potential immigrants.

I'm a drop on the ocean only, but my case is the one I have: PhD in Computer Science, highly specialized and have lived and worked around the world , but there's not enough that attracts me to living in the US.

Its health system issues, the animosity against minorities and immigrants and the lack of reasonable immigration paths for professionals make it unsexy.

And as I said I'm literally nobody. How would the US attract real post Ww2 talent?

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by umanwizard on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @09:24AM (#41235216)
There is definitely animosity towards migrants in the U.S. but I’m not convinced it’s any worse than in any other country with a large immigrant population. Look at the huge advances made recently by far-right parties in Europe for example, or the riots in England.

> lack of reasonable immigration paths for professionals

getting a visa is the hardest part, but doable if you’re a bit lucky. Once you have the visa, getting permanent residency after a few years and ultimately citizenship is relatively straightforward, IF you’re not from one of a few countries with large numbers of immigrants to the U.S.: mainly Mexico, the Philippines, China and India.

It seems from your profile that you’re Mexican so yeah, getting permanent status in the U.S. would take a really long time even if you got a visa.

This is one of the biggest competitive disadvantages of the U.S. currently: making it unreasonably hard for skilled people to immigrate, compared to places like Canada or Europe. But I think it’s an exaggeration to say there’s no reasonable path.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by darth_avocado on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @12:12PM (#41236804)
It can be unreasonable, like you mentioned, if you originate from specific countries. For sectors like Defense, Aerospace etc., you literally can't work unless you are a permanent resident or a citizen. Which means, even if you do have a visa, without a path to permanent immigration, you can't really contribute in those sectors, making it unreasonable.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by umanwizard on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @12:29PM (#41236960)
True, that is a fair point in the context of the moon discussion.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by akira2501 on Monday August 12, 2024 @08:39PM (#41230984)
I really think it's worth it to go back and read the original Apollo program proposals, technical conference memos, and NASA administrative plans to see the history of the program and how something like this gets off the ground in the first place.

The US was not a bastion of technical capability or well educated people in the 1950s. To say that the "skill doesn't exist anymore" suggests a misunderstanding of "where it comes from" in the first place.

You can do the same thing for Apollo as you can for the Shuttle. The process of reading through these histories, from front to back, is incredibly enlightening, and shows just how with determination alone you can build something like this from scratch.

That being said.. it really also helps if there's a dual purpose use for the military.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by sgnelson on Monday August 12, 2024 @09:18PM (#41231225)
I think you drastically underestimate the influence that World War 2 had on up-skilling a technological workforce in the United States. I know a handful of people who's fathers or relatives went from farm boy to a radio technician with basic electrical engineering skills (or a similar story) because of the war.

The effect that war had on the technological progress, including learning the skills of how to manage a not-so-simple idea like going to the moon into reality was incredible, and a direct spinoff from the bureaucracy created during the war.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Dalewyn on Monday August 12, 2024 @11:10PM (#41231828)
Most people want to deny it, but both Apollo and Space Shuttle were the results of there being a Fucking War(tm) that had to be won at any cost.

Nowadays, that specific motivator is squarely with the Chinese.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Rinzler89 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @12:55AM (#41232387)
But what wars has China started though in order for us to be afraid of them?

If I look at the current score board in the last decades, US has invaded more counties than China (have they found those WMDs yet?), yet somehow we're (us non Americans in the west) are supposed to fear China, because reasons?

Honestly, my biggest enemy right now is my own EU government who has done the biggest damage to our country and because of them there's a shortage of doctors, teachers, etc, high inflation, stagnating wages, high taxes, unaffordable housing, etc. We have done that ourselves, not China. Whatever bad things China is doing in their own back yard is much less damaging to us than all those things I've just mentioned yet somehow we're expected to fear China.

Aren't these foreign boogie men convenient finger pointing to our corrupt and incompetent leadership: "Hey, don't look at us for your plummeting standard of living, look at Covid, Russia, China, immigrants with beards, The Loch Ness Monster, etc". Give me a break.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Jensson on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @01:17AM (#41232488)
Powerful undemocratic countries are scary, if they are willing to oppress their own people they are for sure willing to oppress other people as well.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Rinzler89 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @01:21AM (#41232508)
>Powerful undemocratic countries are scary

Just like all the other undemocratic dictatorships the west is "friends" with and turn a blind eye to their anti human rights actions?

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by zo1 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @03:42AM (#41233218)
There is no reasoning about this. Government as an entity (especially the "Rainbow" West ones like the EU and US) is literally schizophrenic or crazy or has multiple personality disorder (that's the best analogy I can come up with). Their laws are not internally consistent, their words don't match their actions, they entertain conflicting and opposing priorities, they actively do things to their own detriment, they promote the well-being of everyone but their own citizens, they can't get consensus on anything from their own populace, and they blame everyone and themselves too at the same time for their own failings.

They admit their own failings by showing us who they are "allergic" to. So yes, China may be a "bad guy", but they're painted as a boogeyman for a reason.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Paradigma11 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @04:42AM (#41233542)
China has made it pretty clear that it is planning to grow into a dominant position and then invade Taiwan and claim the 9 dotted line.

While it is true that it is globally not very active in military terms I am pretty sure that this is going to change when more and more economic partners are realizing that there is no more money coming from China and it is cheaper to just default on their debt and nationalize Chinese interests.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by defrost on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @05:02AM (#41233644)
> and then invade Taiwan and claim the 9 dotted line.

FWiW :

    The Republic of China (ROC), or simply China, was a sovereign state based in mainland China from 1912 until its government's retreat in 1949 to Taiwan, where it is now based.

    The nine-dash line, also referred to as the eleven-dash line by Taiwan, is a set of line segments on various maps that accompanied the claims of the People's Republic of China (PRC, "mainland China") and the Republic of China (ROC, "Taiwan") in the South China Sea.

    A 1946 map showing a U-shaped eleven-dash line was first published by the Republic of China government on 1 December 1947.
The area has always been claimed, whether by the ROC, the PRC, or indeed under Puyi, who had reigned as the Xuantong Emperor of the Qing dynasty.

The issue is that "Western" sea faring nations self selected themselves as arbitrators of global borders, including those of regions with governance dating back 4,000 years.

    On 12 July 2016, an arbitral tribunal organized under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) concluded that China had not exercised exclusive and continuous control over the [ dashed zones ]

    Over 20 governments have called for the ruling to be respected.
    It was rejected by eight governments, including China (PRC) and Taiwan (ROC).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nine-dash_line

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_China_(1912%E2%80%...

China and Taiwan have always claimed the regions within the nine dashed line.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Paradigma11 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @05:15AM (#41233714)
It is somewhat disingenuous to say that Taiwan claims those regions. China has made it clear that any abdication of those claims would be seen as a move towards independence and result in invasion.

Similar to the Chinese claims that the British never brought democracy to HongKong while China threatened invasion if any such thing had happened.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Rinzler89 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @04:44AM (#41233553)
>China has made it pretty clear that it is planning to grow into a dominant position and then invade Taiwan and claim the 9 dotted line.

Populist words are cheap. I'll start blaming China for warmongering when they actually put boots on the ground. Meanwhile how many dorne strikes has the US made in the middle east without any consequences?

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Paradigma11 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @05:20AM (#41233735)
But the massive buildup of the Chinese Navy and their paramilitary maritime militias are not cheap. In the end the only thing that matters is if China invades Taiwan there will be war, if it doesnt there wont be. Better be prepared for the first case.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Dalewyn on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @05:05AM (#41233663)
Wars don't have to be waged with rubber and lead; actually, fighting a war is about the worst possible way to wage one.

No, China is waging a war against the entire world in the smartest way imaginable, and most of us don't even realize it: They have their financial tendrils in all of our economies, down to the core elements and throughout the peripheries. Nearly everything has at least some degree of Chinese monies and thus influence now.

It's really only a matter of time until Pax Americana comes crashing down because we are all far too busy complaining about our navels. Be prepared, because Pax Sino isn't going to be kind to most of us.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Rinzler89 on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @07:54AM (#41234545)
>No, China is waging a war against the entire world in the smartest way imaginable, and most of us don't even realize it:

IDK man, being drone striked from above by the USAF seems far worse to me than whatever China could be doing to me, but I'll bite.

>They have their financial tendrils in all of our economies, down to the core elements and throughout the peripheries. Nearly everything has at least some degree of Chinese monies and thus influence now.

More influence that the world reserve currency which last time I cheeked is the USD and only the US has the printer for it?

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by jazzyjackson on Monday August 12, 2024 @08:58PM (#41231111)
Apollo really was a rare alignment of motivations, unbounded optimism meets existential fear, ie, "humanity can migrate into the stars" overlapping with "if we don't do this the commies win first strike capability", seems unlikely to re-occur.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by JumpCrisscross on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @01:53AM (#41232678)
> money can't pay for skill that doesn't exist anymore

Expert welders can be trained in years. We could easily buy an Apollo-era generation of aerospace welders if we wanted them.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by knowaveragejoe on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @11:20AM (#41236333)
The depth of breadth and skill is still there, even moreso today. Whether Boeing will catalyze that is in question, not the fundamentals.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by davidw on Monday August 12, 2024 @07:51PM (#41230669)
There are no NIMBYs on the moon, so maybe?
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by justinclift on Monday August 12, 2024 @09:08PM (#41231178)
If they keep awarding contracts to SpaceX for getting the needed pieces done, then it's possible. :)

At least until SpaceX starts to feel a bit too comfortable... o_O

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by dylan604 on Monday August 12, 2024 @09:16PM (#41231214)
That doesn't really seem like something SpaceX will do any time soon though. After all, they want Mars. The moon is just wasting time to SpaceX. So until SpaceX achieves Mars, they have too much to do to become too comfortable. Of course, I just sit on a couch offering opinions.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by nordsieck on Monday August 12, 2024 @10:52PM (#41231722)
> That doesn't really seem like something SpaceX will do any time soon though. After all, they want Mars. The moon is just wasting time to SpaceX.

IMO, the opposite is true.

1. SpaceX needs money to fund their Mars dreams. And the HLS contract is a couple billion dollars that they can grab.

2. Getting to the moon with NASA will dramatically help SpaceX because NASA will be working with them to crew rate the lander for everything except taking off from and landing on Earth.

3. Developing HLS Starship will let SpaceX begin to offer private Lunar missions.

4. Mars is really tough. It's far away, it's only feasible to travel there once every 2 years, it's very difficult to land, and it'll be super hard to get in-situ resource utilization - basically harvesting resources from Mars to generate enough propellant that a return trip to Earth is possible.

I'm sure SpaceX will probably send some rockets to Mars. But the first few sets will be figuring out hwo to land and maybe set up ISRU. And in the meantime, the Moon is a great venue for SpaceX to train systems and earn a bit of money.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by Yeul on Monday August 12, 2024 @09:32PM (#41231300)
If America can make space a crusade again instead of a business sure.

The Chinese are currently in their Apollo phase in which every engineer dedicates their life to the mission.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by pharos92 on Monday August 12, 2024 @10:11PM (#41231495)
Well we're over 1,000 days in to Kamala Harris' $42B universal broadband access program and not a single subscriber has been connected.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by wonderwonder on Monday August 12, 2024 @11:22PM (#41231897)
I honestly hope so or soon after although I think it unlikely. The psychological shock to the nation & to the world of seeing China do it before us will be immense. It will have indicated a changing of the guard and the decline of America.

But I like to think we will.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by kevin_thibedeau on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @12:38AM (#41232303)
That was always a bullshit date. No different than elder Bush's Mars in 2030. 2028, maybe if everything goes well with Starship, and the suits. Their lunar variant is still a disaster waiting to happen without a better design. We've seen how Starship destroys a launch pad with ill-conceived flame diversion. How is it going to land on unprepared regolith without toppling in its own crater or destroying the engines with rebounding shrapnel? SLS is also supposed to somehow fit into the picture which is still not tested in any way resembling the baby steps Apollo took.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by mr_toad on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @01:18AM (#41232490)
Starship didn’t destroy anything, that was the booster, and they’re not landing a 33 engine booster on the Moon.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by boxed on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @02:40AM (#41232901)
Super Heavy isn't going to the moon. Also, the moon has less gravity. WAY LESS.

I think those two things combined means your logic is off by at least 3 orders of magnitude.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by inglor_cz on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @05:09AM (#41233685)
"We've seen how Starship destroys a launch pad with ill-conceived flame diversion. How is it going to land on unprepared regolith without toppling in its own crater or destroying the engines with rebounding shrapnel?"

Starship has fewer engines than Super Heavy, it likely won't be landing at full throttle either, and lunar lander Starship could have landing legs as well. The lower gravity on the Moon means that you can carry more hardware with you. Maneuvering in 0.16 g is nowhere near as fuel intensive as in 1 g.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by wormlord on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @01:30PM (#41237463)
Why is this being downvoted? These are all valid concerns.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by cco on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @02:02AM (#41232725)
There is a very interesting video from Smarter Every Day that suggests everyone knows that the SLS is physically incapable of landing on the moon as designed but nobody seems to be mentioning it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoJsPvmFixU

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by preisschild on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @02:51AM (#41232965)
HLS is for landing, but nobody seems to have any plan on how many resources it will take to get Starship HLS there with a full enough tank
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by moffkalast on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @05:39AM (#41233847)
SpaceX is probably just gonna brute force it by launching 20 times to refuel it, they see it as testing out the hardware anyway.
Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by the_duke on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @06:01AM (#41233946)
You got things very confused.

SLS is the thing that launches Orion, which is the capsule with humans inside. SLS isn't capable enough to get that capsule into lunar orbit. Orion also isn't landing by itself though, it just transfers the astronauts to a landing vehicle (SpaceX Starship, currently...), which lands and then starts again.

The thing brought up in that video is that the rendezvous point should probably be in lunar orbit, but isn't.

Re:NASA Investigation Finds Boeing Hindering Americans' Retu... by imtringued on Tuesday August 13, 2024 @02:14PM (#41237909)
Unfortunately there is no alternative to Orion so far.

No, Starship may carry people to the moon, but getting them off the moon isn't possible. The lunar Starship won't return to LEO.

The closest thing you could do is send another Starship and do the same NRHO docking that SLS+Orion is already doing and then instead of aerobraking, do a deceleration burn to get an LEO capture. That is the only way without Orion. For better or worse, Orion in NRHO is indispensable.