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Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by matsemann on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:20AM (#32164136)
Time to change the format. It's understandable you don't want to spend your whole career preparing for these long matches all the time. For the challenger it's 6 months of preparing, but for Carlsen it would've been his 6th time of preparing for this in a few years.

They have also become less entertaining. 12 matches is long (edit, 14 now), but no one dares to take any risks. Caruana was just defensive and all games ended in a draw. Karjakin they both at least won each their game, but still had to go to rapid tie-breaks. And against Nepo it was a steamroll, understandably meeting him again isn't that exciting.

It's also almost impossible for a new person to get a chance. Even Carlsen didn't like the format and didn't participate in the Candidates for a few years, and when he first did he almost didn't win it to be allowed to play the WC match. Even though he clearly was the best player at the time.

I wonder how this will affect the status of the title, when it's in practice is now a title-fight between the second best players.

Also what will happen to the hype in Norway? Each WC match has so far been live streamed on all big news pages, biggest TV channels etc. It will still be a Christmas tradition to watch the rapid WC tournament I guess, but I'm afraid this will lead to less coverage. But just to tell how big Carlsen is in Norway: This is the top news on all outlets at the moment.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dalbasal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:57AM (#32165868)
Chess' centre of gravity is increasingly online centred now. Carlson himself has a lot to do with it. So do other charismatic super GMs like Nakamura.

A light hearted, unplanned and unadvertised naka-carlsen bullet match can attract a lot of viewers. They both stream, and lots of other chess streamers will switch to watching and doing commentary when these matches happen.

They'll play silly openings like the double bong cloud and have fun.

Carlson's into this new egaming vibe. He's good at it, and it's good for chess. Meanwhile, high-level classical is brutal. The level is so high that the game is hard to follow. It takes forever and is draining. Most games end in a draw.

I feel like Fide should focus more on rapid, and get more involved in the online scene. Maybe this is the opportunity.

I suspect the most anticipated, spectator matches of the future will be rapid matches and alt formats like team tournies (go Norway gnomes). They're just more fun for everyone but your cranky old chess instructor, and even she loves it in secret.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by econnors on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:26AM (#32166225)
> A light hearted, unplanned and unadvertised naka-carlsen bullet match can attract a lot of viewers.

I'd bet a 20 game rapid series over 4 days between naka-carlsen would attract more viewers than the world championship.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by whimsicalism on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:39PM (#32168345)
Viewership is not all that matters. I doubt it will happen, but I certainly wouldn't cheerlead the death of very high-level chess.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dalbasal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:16PM (#32169941)
That's a bit strong. The levels attained by the likes of Magnus is true art, and it's cool that the art has had such a following for so long.

I agree on fast chess being more fun, but hey now :)

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by ptudan on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:58PM (#32169707)
I don't think it will ever go away if chess is still around. But perhaps it stops being the main viewership draw
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by MikePlacid on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:50PM (#32171230)
Isn’t very high-level chess kind of dead already? I mean - watching Karpov-Kasparov was watching two best players in the world. But nowadays a match between human players just clarifies which of the second-rate devices is better than another. Or is it just me?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by whimsicalism on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @04:03PM (#32171420)
Did the invention of artillery cause javelin throwing to be dead?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by MikePlacid on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @05:18PM (#32172463)
I do not know the name of a single javelin throwing champion. But I know the names of chess champions… up to Kasparov.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by darepublic on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:56PM (#32174051)
You have no knowledge of Kramnik, Anand or Carlsen?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by MikePlacid on Thursday July 21, 2022 @02:43AM (#32176486)
I’ve heard of these guys. But I do not know which of them is/was a champion. But I can name the previous champions, and I think I can still remember the exact sequence: Steinitz, Lasker, Capablanka, Alekhin, Eiwe, Botwinnik, Tal… missed somebody?

But I’ve lost interest after Deep Blue event. Alpha Zero plays were fun to watch though.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by V-2 on Thursday July 21, 2022 @07:04AM (#32177905)
You missed a guy named Bobby Fischer, for one - a rather big name in chess history I would say. He was arguably a major driving force in turning chess into a professional discipline outside of the USSR.

As for computers, they've certainly changed the landscape tremendously, but it doesn't mean that players simply play like chess engines. You don't just get to transfer the chess engine heuristics to a human mind. Chess engines help players find ideas, refutations etc., and they're certainly significant when it comes to opening theory. The role of memorization in opening theory (at the highest level) predates computers though.

Computers have also levelled the playing field, improving (buzzword alert) inclusiveness. Players from countries with flourishing chess tradition, such as Russia, don't have the inherent advantage anymore. That's why the current top 2 (on the rating list) are from Norway and China, which would be rather unlikely a few decades ago.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by darepublic on Tuesday July 26, 2022 @11:06AM (#32239370)
They were/are all world champions :)
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by drc500free on Thursday July 21, 2022 @02:31AM (#32176422)
Carlsen, yes. But only because of his personality and streaming. I played in the chess club every day in high school in the 90s, and I must have had a similar reaction about computers, because I don't know what happened after Kasparov.

I also stopped watching red sox games once they won the world series. Fandom is weird.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by frisco on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @04:41PM (#32172012)
I mean ... yes?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by literallyWTF on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:13AM (#32166911)
Oh fuck yes it would. I rather have a classical 960 tbh
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by andrepd on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @05:16PM (#32172451)
Yeah, classical 960 would be amazing since it de-emphasises preparation.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by ycombinete on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:54PM (#32175606)
There have been a few 960 world champs. The first FIDE one was in 2019. Wesley So won it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess960_Championship

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by cowmoo728 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:32PM (#32169282)
You aren't kidding about classical games being hard to follow. I'm a pretty strong amateur at about 2200 on lichess, but some of the recent Candidates games are so dense that I can't make sense of them without a computer analysis. With blitz even when the super GMs play I can usually tag along and figure out what's happening once I see an interesting move played.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dalbasal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:18PM (#32169961)
Exactly.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by jasonwatkinspdx on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:54AM (#32167557)
I've thought for a while that someone should go hard on an esports style lightning tournament. Basically, try to recreate the energy that happens when an aggressive game happens between chess hustlers and everyone crowds around, but done as a stadium audience spectacle like esports. Big stage lighting setup, music, live commentary, crowd roar encouraged, etc. Besides a main event focused on rated pros, have side tournaments and exhibition games with big personalities. I think there's definitely a sizable audience for something like this.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by joshuamorton on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:30PM (#32169237)
Did you watch PogChamps? It had some great moments like this: https://youtu.be/YyG6HtsaF0w
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by jasonwatkinspdx on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @04:51PM (#32172144)
Yeah, exactly. The concept would be to create that sort of energy in the video stream production setting familiar to lan esports where you've got the hype of a couple thousand people behind it in person. I'm absolutely convinced there's an audience for something like this, and if you were reasonably deft in how you messaged it people like Magnus would be falling all over themselves to participate just for the fun of it.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by tux1968 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:22AM (#32166154)
> They'll play silly openings like the double bong cloud and have fun.

It's kinda fun to see this referenced recently in a television quiz show:

https://youtu.be/aD2mUHeBIRA

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dalbasal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:20PM (#32170002)
Guggling.. gas!
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by V-2 on Thursday July 21, 2022 @03:40AM (#32176788)
> I feel like Fide should focus more on rapid, and get more involved in the online scene. Maybe this is the opportunity.

This cheapens the tradition and the prestige of the discipline. Chess has attained a revered status over the years. It's not perceived as a game like any other. That's why it's able to attract luxury sponsors, if nothing else. Shifting the focus onto the "double bong cloud drunk banter blitz" territory destroys this legacy. This casual, fun aspect exists and does very well independently of the official, suited up aspect. They are complementary. But I'd really think twice before trying to remove one of the pillars. Chess is the most known, researched and commented mind game on the globe, it doesn't suffer from niche viewership. There's no need to try and fix a problem that doesn't exist. Tradition and legacy is something no amount of online clicks could ever buy.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dalbasal on Thursday July 21, 2022 @04:55AM (#32177127)
I didn't say anything about removing classical. It obviously has a place.

As for prestige and tradition... we shall see, I suppose. Prestige follows the prestigious. We are now entering terrify, with Magnus at least, where the best players don't want to compete in traditional matches and the chess watching public doesn't want to follow it anyway.

If you think FIDE involvement in rapid/online cheapens chess... then you'll eventually be in a world that has tradition & prestige on one side and popularity and the best players in the other.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by V-2 on Thursday July 21, 2022 @06:15AM (#32177576)
> We are now entering terrify, with Magnus at least, where the best players don't want to compete in traditional matches

[Citation needed] :) Says who? What exactly indicates the best players "don't want to compete in traditional matches"? What implies that Magnus forfeiting his title (having collected five) is a result of such general trend?

Either it's "best players", or only Magnus, in this specific situation, having already built a remarkable legacy.

> and the chess watching public doesn't want to follow it anyway.

[Citation needed] again : ) Because I'm not sure if the chess watching public KNOWS that it "doesn't want to follow" traditional matches. Regarding the previous world championship match:

"Total viewership for the event exceeded 12.6 million hours watched with a record peak streaming viewership for chess of 613,000 concurrent viewers making the FIDE World Championship in Dubai one of the most watched events in streaming globally."

https://kommunikasjon.ntb.no/announcement?publisherId=168238...

> In total, viewers of the World Championship spent more than 12.6M hours on broadcasts, which is twice as much as at the World Championship 2018. The average audience of the World Championship 2021 was 239.7K viewers, which is almost 2.5 times more than at the previous iteration of the tournament

https://escharts.com/news/fide-world-chess-championship-2021...

Guess the chess watching public didn't get that memo. Viewership can grow substantially, despite this era of shortening attention spans. I can't see a problem in need of fixing here, much less a trend going in the opposite direction that these numbers show.

> If you think FIDE involvement in rapid/online cheapens chess...

Involvement in and of itself, no. It has its place. And they're involved already. There are World Rapid and World Blitz championships. But these titles don't hold the same value as "the" World championship. Ask Abdusattorov ("who"? Exactly :)) if he wouldn't prefer to be the classic world champion.

What I'm saying is that this involvement should be kept in proportion, and pushing towards rapid/online, with the goal of attracting more publicity (which is already larger than ever before, the internet takes care of itself without the need for any official blessing), steers towards diminishing returns, while the long-term costs would tend to increase.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:24AM (#32164730)
> And against Nepo it was a steamroll, understandably meeting him again isn't that exciting.

The first half of the match wasn't even close to a steamroll. It's just Ian broke mentally after that famous 6th game. The candidate tournament showed that he had more than recovered from that loss and I think he would be in a much better shape to challenge Carlsen again. Also, with Carlsen's current attitude, it is quite possible that he would be closer to breaking first. (One may assume he already broke since he gives up the title without a fight)

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by toolz on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:23AM (#32165448)
nepo at candidates was in my opinion favored to beat magnus...he dominated the candidates harder than anyone else has in the history of the candidate matches - and it was not an easy pool of candidates, either. Sure, there were a lot of sloppy games, but only a couple vs nepo - with one of them being after the 1st place spot had been guaranteed.

If nepo plays like he did in the candidates, I would not be so quick to favor magnus.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by tzs on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:48AM (#32167454)
> nepo at candidates was in my opinion favored to beat magnus...he dominated the candidates harder than anyone else has in the history of the candidate matches - and it was not an easy pool of candidates, either.

What about Fischer? The format was a little different then, but here was his route to the Championship.

1. Won the Interzonal tournament 18.5/23 (+15-1=7). The top 8 from the Interzonal then played a knockout series of matches using a bracket system.

2. In his quarter-final match of that he beat Taimanov 6-0.

3. In his semi-final match against Larsen he also won 6-0.

4. In his final match against former world champion Tigran Petrosian, he won 6.5-2.5 (+5-1=3).

In the 21 games total that his candidates matches lasted, he won 17 games, lost 1, and drew 3. If we include the Interzonal it is 32 wins, 2 loses, 10 draws. In the combined Interzonal and knockout matches he had a streak of 20 consecutive wins against the world's top players.

And then in the Championship against Spassky he won 12.5-8.5 (+7-3=11) (and one of those loses was a forfeit when he skipped the game over some complaint about the playing conditions).

Nepo's performance in this Candidates was pretty dominating, but doesn't come anywhere near Fischer's level of dominance.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:55PM (#32170494)
> And then in the Championship against Spassky he won 12.5-8.5 (+7-3=11)

TBH in that match Fischer started his shenanigans about demanding all sorts of things which most likely unbalanced Spassky - who was known to be somewhat lazy - so with all the political pressure and mind games he likely decided that he doesn't care enough.

The match was actually not that top-level chess as it is presented in chess mythology. Reshevsky [1] said the following things about it:

"True, there were several excellent games, but the match as a whole was disappointing. It was marked by blunders by both players. The blunders committed by Spassky were incredible. In two games, for example, Spassky overlooked a one-move combination. In the first, he was compelled to resign immediately, and, in the other, he threw away all chances for a win. Fischer was also not in his best form. He made errors in a number of games."

... and he is also very critical of how Spassky was prepareding for the match. So a well-prepared Karpov would likely have been able to dethrone Bobby, and I think Fischer knew it, and it played a big part in why he had forfeited the defence.

[1]: http://billwall.phpwebhosting.com/collections/The%20Fischer-...

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by toolz on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:30PM (#32169232)
You make a very strong argument, but if you take fischers score vs the top 8 in the interzonal and double it, fischer would've had 10/14 to nepos 9.5/14, which given it was just 1 game vs the top 8 and given the ELO spread was vastly more spread than current candidates games(easily fischer had 100+ more ELO than the other top 7 opponents) I think it's fair to say you could say nepo was more dominant when compared to the interzonal

granted it becomes more clear that fischer dominated in the quarterfinals forward, but it still is worht pointing out that his opponents weren't nearly as strong as nepo's opponents, relatively speaking

I imagine nepo's score would've been MUCH stronger if he was playing 100-200 ELO points weaker opponents all candidates. Instead nepo had 3 opponents with higher ELO and his weakest opponents ELO was only 19 points lower than his own...

in summary, I think you're correct and I was wrong, but I'm not so sure it's quite so clear-cut when you factor in other variables

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by jollygoodshow on Thursday July 21, 2022 @05:32AM (#32177324)
I think your argument here actually favours Fischer's dominance. ELO metrics don't matter as were talking about the best players of the respective eras
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by mda on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @05:31PM (#32172636)
Well Magnus destroyed Nepo in the previous match, I don't see a reason why Nepo would be favorite this time. I think his chess and mental fortitude in general is inferior to Magnus.

Personally I am not interested in this championship match at all.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:30PM (#32174299)
Magnus didn't destroy Nepo, he was the first to win a game. At the level of chess in the first 6 games catching up after a loss is difficult, and Ian likely decided not to fight too hard. Also he said he overprepared for the match and was to burned out.

A fresh match with a new score could be very interesting.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by mda on Thursday July 21, 2022 @04:10AM (#32176916)
7.5 - 3.5 is pretty much definition of total destruction. Bouncing back from defeat is part of the game (See Carlsen Karjakin match).
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Thursday July 21, 2022 @07:52AM (#32178254)
After the first five games it was 2.5 - 2.5. Whatever happened to Ian after the first loss does not indicate the level of the play he is capable of, and does not even in the slightest predict what would happen in the rematch.

I understand that Magnus glory hunting fans are everywhere and they love to pretend that once he had someone beaten, he'll repeat the feat with certainty, but have some more sense than that. More than one world champion has won the crown not on his first attempt, including one of the all-time greats, Kasparov.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by taneq on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:50AM (#32165001)
Does it count as 'breaking' if you're just tired of the game and don't want to play any more? Surely it's OK to stop and do other things eventually?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by noirbot on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:43AM (#32167386)
I think the difference, and what Carlsen is doing well in this case, is just backing out now instead of trying to defend his title and then getting 5 games in and just going "I hate this and I want to leave. I forfeit".

That would look even worse for him, and be unsatisfying for his opponent and the public. In this case, he realizes he doesn't have the passion for this event any more, so he's doing the best thing for the sport and just letting two people who are still passionate about it compete instead of doing the mental-sports version of playing injured.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Enginerrrd on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:55AM (#32165081)
Yes, that's what people mean, almost by definition. In highly competitive events, even a slight break in focus and drive toward winning are often really problematic. Once that wolf-like focus and readiness to fight is broken, a competitor is usually done.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Bootvis on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:01AM (#32165923)
I think Magnus just changed focus to being the first 2900. I bet the way the last match went was a bit of a let down for him as well.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by cupofpython on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:23PM (#32169113)
i have to imagine there are only so many 'tricks'/new lines left for him to use to win games at that level. revealing them on center stage for a single win is wasteful of the resources he has. the WCC games get studied by everyone, not only live with the worlds best engines, but after the fact too. much better to use those resources in tournaments where you can actually play a lot of games with it before people really get a chance to study it in depth.

By resources i mean things like going into a position that gives your opponent an incredibly small advantage but is hard for them to play. It's one of the best ways to win games. it's hard work to find those lines, and he's been doing it for so long at WCC level it's not surprising that he's tapping out against someone he's already beaten. if you use a line in the WCC, it becomes very risky to use it again - because if your opponent studied it and plays it correctly then all you've done is make it even harder for you to win the game.

to reach 2900 he has to win games, not tie

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:59PM (#32169719)
> much better to use those resources in tournaments where you can actually play a lot of games with it before people really get a chance to study it in depth.

That doesn't exist anymore, any game Carlsen plays is studied in depth by the world immediately, and especially by his opponents. Same for other top grandmasters.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:20PM (#32170836)
> that he's tapping out against someone he's already beaten.

Many observers overplay the importance of one match loss. More than one chess champion title was taken by a challenger who had lost in the previous attempt [1] - and considering there was just a handful of champions, it is a lot.

[1]: Spassky and Kasparov have lost in their first attempts against Petrosyan and Karpov.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by cupofpython on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @04:40PM (#32171991)
while true, it is still fair to say Carlsen views nepo as a waste of time. While it would be easy to dismiss this as hubris - i think the bigger point is that he doesnt gain anything from beating him again. It's not that Nepo has no chance of winning.

Magnus specifically mentioned Firouzja as an opponent that he would consider playing the WCC against[1]. So while not the most important factor in his decision, the fact that Nepo won the candidates again and was the last challenger before Magnus made the Firouzja statement seems relevant. Also relevant is that the candidates tournament concluded on July 5th and Magnus released his withdrawal now in the same month.

It seems to me like the challenger being Nepo was the last significant piece of information towards his decision. How specific it is to Nepo or a more general feeling of Nepo being one of many people he doesnt feel any personal benefit from playing against, who knows.

[1] https://chess24.com/en/read/news/magnus-carlsen-unlikely-i-w...

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @05:22PM (#32172512)
> Magnus specifically mentioned Firouzja as an opponent that he would consider playing the WCC against[1].

That is not how it works, and not how it is supposed to work. This is hubris and disrespect to all chess players in the world. For more than 100 years champions changed each other in title matches (well, before Kasparov's limitless ego created a decade of turmoil in Chess), with just one exception by Fischer, and now Carlsen 'doesnt feel any personal benefit'. :ThumbDown:

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by cupofpython on Thursday July 21, 2022 @10:46AM (#32180036)
I think you are misunderstanding. His sentiment seems to be one of "I am burnt out and unmotivated to continue BUT the idea of playing against a young upcoming GM could be motivating enough"

So it isnt the most important reason, but nepo being the challenger didnt offer anything to change his mind like he was hoping the result of the candidates would.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SamoyedFurFluff on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:38AM (#32165622)
Even wolves are only focused during occasional hunts. They also play, raise their young, mate, sleep, and care for their sick and injured.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Retric on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:53AM (#32167548)
Depends on the game, but people will often come back much stronger after a ~6 months break.

It’s a mix of having a new perspective, dealing with stress, and having time to heal etc. This is one of the reasons most sports have an off season. Even if basketball could easily be played year round, the game would suffer.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by slowmovintarget on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:40AM (#32165645)
Magnus isn't stopping. He's playing chess everywhere else, at tournaments all over the world. He's pursuing his goal of a 2900 rating (he currently has the world record for his peak rating, though he's dropped a bit from that).

He's just not playing in the FIDE World Championship because he dislikes the process.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by piker on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:02AM (#32165176)
Not sure there will be much distinction in the history books unless there’s an accompanying rule change, etc. that comes out of it.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dwighttk on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:03AM (#32165190)
It is both okay to stop and do other things eventually and it also counts as ‘breaking’
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by BobbyJo on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:15AM (#32165337)
So no one can ever quit without it being considered 'breaking'? If not, what would distinguish between 'breaking' and not 'breaking'?

Surely, if one can quit without it being considered breaking, resigning while on top is how.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:25AM (#32166214)
You can honorably lose while giving it all, like most other champions did, except Fischer, who forfeited, and Alekhin, who died while holding the title.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by s1artibartfast on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:37PM (#32169369)
Yes, quitting is always breaking. It is just that breaking isn't always a bad thing for the player
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Accacin on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:23AM (#32165440)
For me it's the intent at the time a decision was made.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by BobbyJo on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:41AM (#32166414)
What intent constitutes 'breaking'?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by noirbot on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:44PM (#32174401)
It's a temporal question. If you decide in the middle of a competition that you don't care any more and want to quit/forfeit/throw the match, then you broke. You committed to playing an event, presumably because you thought you could win or at least compete, and instead your mental stamina broke and you gave up.

IMO, it's less the intent that you have when you quit - the intent is almost always at that point that you don't want to be there any more doing the thing. The more important part is the intent that led up to the moment where you quit.

In some ways, it's similar to quitting any job. If you just have a bad day or week at work and put in your resignation with no other plan because you just can't stand coming in to work again, you "broke". If you're still working, but interviewing elsewhere, get another job, put in your notice and walk away with something else lined up, it's a bit different.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by pverghese on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:04AM (#32165972)
So the only way for it not to be considered not 'breaking' is by losing. That makes no sense
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dwighttk on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:36PM (#32168292)
Um no. Losing is also breaking. Breaking doesn’t have a moral component, it is just losing. The world champion isn’t morally better than everyone, he just wins against challengers.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Andrew_nenakhov on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:23AM (#32166174)
Well, there is another way: you can die undefeated, like Alekhin.

Yes, every championship title eventually goes to someone else.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by rsync on Thursday July 21, 2022 @10:03AM (#32179527)
Counterpoint: John Elway.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dwighttk on Thursday July 21, 2022 @04:32PM (#32184623)
I don’t understand
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:39AM (#32164272)
> They have also become less entertaining.

The classical World Championship matches have never been entertaining to watch live.

In fact they used to take 2 days for one game.

> No one dares to take any risks. Caruana was just defensive and all games ended in a draw.

Chess, in theory, with absolutely perfect play, is a draw. It's not a game of "risk" in classical time format. You can take risks in blitz and rapid, but in classical you have (almost) all the time in the world to calculate the line you're playing.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by matsemann on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:45AM (#32164323)
I've found them entertaining to watch. But Norwegians are master of slow-TV, so I guess that's why. They have good experts that manage to explain it to normal people. Interesting guests in the studio between moves. Interact with audience through questions from chat etc.

> Chess, in theory, with absolutely perfect play, is a draw.

I don't think that's solved, actually.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by __s on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:12AM (#32164604)
It isn't solved but it's pretty obvious. There's enough drawn endgames where material advantage is insufficient to win

Antichess at least is a solved win for White

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by qw on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:58AM (#32164452)
> I've found them entertaining to watch. But Norwegians are master of slow-TV, so I guess that's why. They have good experts that manage to explain it to normal people. Interesting guests in the studio between moves. Interact with audience through questions from chat etc.

I usually don't follow chess, but I still end up watching the WC matches on Norwegian TV. They manage to make it interesting and exciting.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dhosek on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:50AM (#32165762)
I love the idea of being somewhere that (a) what the world chess champion does is big news and (2) there are resources dedicated like this to the broadcast of chess matches. American culture is just so ostentatiously mauvais ton in comparison with so many other countries (my other point of comparison was being in England in ’93 and watching a game show where it was clearly a competition of intellectual skills and the winner’s prize was a dictionary—I just cannot imagine that being on American television).
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by KingOfCoders on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:30PM (#32169239)
If find it suspicious calling a match interesting when people need to have "Interesting guests in the studio between moves. Interact with audience through questions from chat etc." - I always found that suspicious with the NFL too.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by magicalhippo on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:13PM (#32173646)
The overall match can be interesting, while still having some periods of lower intensity. The guests are typically celebrities which also has some relation to chess, for example a famous actress being an avid amateur chess player as well.

The guests will typically join in on the discussion of the positions, and as such often serves as a proxy for the viewers by asking questions like "but why doesn't he just do X now" and similar.

It doesn't always work but overall I think it's been a positive addition to their broadcasts.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:03AM (#32164514)
I do watch the WC matches myself, but definitely not live.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by fijiaarone on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:44PM (#32174400)
Trips to Spain between moves.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by fouronnes3 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:44AM (#32164311)
> Chess, in theory, with absolutely perfect play, is a draw.

While this is highly likely and essentially agreed upon by all experts on the matter, it's not proven yet.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Someone on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:35AM (#32167268)
I think no expert will claim it’s a win for either player, but I don’t think all experts agree it’s a draw. There will be some that don’t claim to know either way.

(If they had to bet, I think all experts would bet on “it’s a draw”, but some experts won’t be wanting to bet, even if they think that’s almost certain)

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by asdajksah2123 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:31PM (#32168203)
I don't see why anyone would agree to that. In fact, I can see it being far more likely that chess experts believe it ends in a win for white considering that today white is favored, to the point where if offered a quick draw, black will almost certainly take it (unless they need a win to move up a rank in a tournament, etc).
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:54PM (#32168600)
This is flat out false. Virtually all of the experts agree on this, and in top engine and human play the percentage of games drawn is increasing, not decreasing. AlphaZero on autoplay @ 1 minute per move draws 98% of the games.

> if offered a quick draw, black will almost certainly take it

[citation needed], and 1200 elo games on lichess aren’t a valid citation

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by ChrisLomont on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:26PM (#32170077)
>AlphaZero on autoplay

While Alpha Zero is good, this is not very good proof. Alpha Zero is not perfect, so if there are tiny ways to win that Alpha Zero misses, it will miss it on both sides (being the same engine), so would never explore that path.

It's like claiming inbreeding will result in perfection :)

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by aaron695 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:36AM (#32164856)
> While this is highly likely and essentially agreed upon by all experts on the matter

Can you cite this?

I can't see anything on this.

It's not something a chess champion would know on their own for instance.

Basically you have to get a good understanding that the advantage of being white can't be leveraged enough to win.

Obviously it can't be proved, but to even get an idea will be very mathematical or computational.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by nhumrich on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:56AM (#32164438)
Chess is still no-hard, so "proving this" will be near impossible. The closest we have is statistics. I remember watching a "bot battle." A chess tournament for bots only, algorithms playing eachother. Nearly 70% of these games ended in draw.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by adrianN on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:02AM (#32164501)
Chess on an infinite board is asymptotically difficult in the worst case. Chess on an 8x8 board can be solved in constant time.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sweezyjeezy on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:15AM (#32164628)
Not sure if this was sarcasm, but that's like saying NP-hardness is no big deal because we only care about finite problems.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by adrianN on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:01AM (#32165162)
NP-hardness is indeed often not a big deal in practice because NP-hardness is a statement about asymptotic worst case complexity. In practice you have some finite size problems that are often of average difficulty, not of worst case difficulty. For example, we solve instances of SAT every day, some of them quite large. Even humans are able to solve many Sudoku puzzles, even though Sudoku is NP-hard.

If you hang with the right crowds (for example people into software correctness), PSPACE completeness is easy and you even solve undecidable problems every day.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by throwaway09223 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:32AM (#32166290)
I solve the TSP every time I run errands.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sabageti on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:05AM (#32166801)
How Sudoku is NP-Hard?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by CJefferson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:32PM (#32168221)
If you generalise sudoku to a board with sides length, with subsquares with sides length n, then sudoku is no complete.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by jstanley on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:18AM (#32165368)
The reason chess is hard to solve is not because it's NP-hard (which it is not, being a constant-sized problem), it's because chess is a big problem.

It can simultaneously be true both that NP-hardness matters, and that constant-sized problems can be hard.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sweezyjeezy on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:20AM (#32165390)
I never said chess was NP hard, it was an analogy. The equivalent would be some kind of chess on an NxN or Nx8 board I guess, I don't know how hard would be.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dskloet on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:27AM (#32164762)
Chess on an 8x8 board is not NP-hard. That doesn't mean it's easy but invoking NP-hardness is kind of meaningless.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bawolff on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:57AM (#32165108)
Like parent was saying - that is true of all problems in practise since the earth has finite resources. That doesn't make complexity classes a useless concept.

In other news, no point in needing pi, because perfect circles dont actually exist in the real world.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by pessimizer on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:44AM (#32167402)
I don't think people are trying to claim it's unimportant in general, to anyone, they're suggesting that it's completely unimportant in this conversation about how slow and boring championship chess matches are.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sweezyjeezy on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:11AM (#32165289)
Yes and saying a problem is finite is also kind of meaningless. That narrows it down to everything except infinity. I also did not say that chess is NP-hard, it was an analogy.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by piva00 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:23AM (#32164720)
Why hasn't it been done then?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by adrianN on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:04AM (#32165195)
We haven't build enough Dyson spheres to power a computer of the right size yet.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluGill on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:33AM (#32166298)
There are more states to calculate than atoms in the universe so it isn't possible to brute force the problem. Maybe it can be solved, but it will require math.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:31PM (#32170963)
To be fair, on this scale, “the total number of atoms in observable universe” is quite a small number.

Even 52! comes pretty close to it, and that’s just one deck of cards.

Saying there are merely “more” states is almost insulting to the depth of a chess game :)

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by scaredginger on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:10AM (#32164582)
I invite you to sit down and solve it then
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by simiones on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:55AM (#32165079)
A hundred billion years is still constant time. That doesn't mean it's doable.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by noSyncCloud on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:02AM (#32165175)
https://tcec-chess.com/

70% draws is a very small number, really. Not conclusive at all.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by EvgeniyZh on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:56AM (#32165857)
TCEC is forced to choose very imbalanced openings to make sure there are some non-drawn games. From starting position it'd be 100 draws out of 100 (also all very similar o each other)
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by tobiasvl on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @05:20PM (#32172496)
> The classical World Championship matches have never been entertaining to watch live.

> In fact they used to take 2 days for one game.

Come now. The WCC matches were entertaining to watch for chess enthusiasts. Even when games took two days, people would sit and analyze each position, and that was without computers.

They still do that, of course. Although chess computers have taken some of the fun out of the analysis, I've been to several live viewings of the recent WCCs at chess clubs and bars, where a local GM would sit and comment on the position and take questions and suggestions from the crowd.

But the WCC matches have become less entertaining for chess enthusiasts, since there is so much defensive play. There isn't too much to analyze in yet another Berlin game.

It's entertaining when someone makes a horrible blunder, but not in the same way – there's little to analyze in a position that's blundered.

So I'd argue the classical WCC used to be entertaining to watch live for chess enthusiasts, but now they're less entertaining for chess enthusiasts. For "regular people", they've never been very entertaining, except when there's a spectacular blunder, which has never been very entertaining for chess enthusiasts.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sweezyjeezy on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:12AM (#32164606)
> Chess, in theory, with absolutely perfect play, is a draw.

True, but that doesn't mean that you can't treat chess like other sports and try to incentivize wins - for example giving win/loss/draw a 3:1:0 point ratio. The world championship is not a good format to decide "who's the best at chess", and anyway we already know who that is right now. Might as well treat it as a spectator sport and add some drama in my opinion.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by somenameforme on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @04:36PM (#32171940)
An alternative is to have tie-breaks for every game, playing increasingly rapid time controls until the result is not a draw.

1. Classical game, win = 5 points.

2. Rapid game, win = 2 points

3. Blitz game, win = 1 point.

4. Armageddon game, win = 0.5 points.

This point layout might backfire and make the classical games even less interesting because the huge edge for winning is probably going to motivate extreme do-not-lose style play, which trends towards draws. But, nonetheless, wins in classical should be weighted well above the tie-breaks.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dwighttk on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:07AM (#32165233)
How would point ratio help if every game is a draw? Maybe if it was a round robin tournament that would help top two players competing for wins against less highly rated people and then drawing against each other. Like Liverpool and Man City
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by arbitrage on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:24AM (#32165461)
My feel is that from a game theoretical approach, a 3:1:0 scoring ratio would encourage enough players to at least try for a win sometimes that it would restore some of the interest and competitiveness to the sport.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by franknstein on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:47AM (#32167451)
Would you play tic-tac-toe for a win with that scoring ratio?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by somenameforme on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @04:19PM (#32171689)
This is an inappropriate analogy. Chess at the highest levels is not drawish because the game is inherently drawish but because the meta of it is.

The easiest way to illustrate this is with openings, though it applies throughout the game in different ways. Against e4 the Najdorf defense was once the opening of champions, being a major part of the repertoire of players like Kasparov and Fischer. In modern times it's an increasingly rare guest at the highest level. It's not because it's considered unsound or even slightly dubious - it's a rock solid opening that gives black real winning chances. But the problem is it also gives him real losing chances. It's complex, difficult to play, and if you get outprepared by your opponent you may lose without him even having to make a single move himself, which is really one of the worst feelings in the world.

So instead the meta has largely shifted to openings that are more about minimizing risk where black, more or less, aims for a draw - and usually gets it. Changing the risk:reward ratios in a sufficiently extreme way is most certainly capable of changing the meta.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scea91 on Thursday July 21, 2022 @08:54AM (#32178724)
This reminds me of football analogy where goals scored at away matches count for two in competitions like Champions League.

I am not good at chess but would it help if win as black was rewarded more than win as white?

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by somenameforme on Thursday July 21, 2022 @11:29AM (#32180558)
The current trend has to been to increase the value of any win, with things like 3 points for a win and only 1 point for a draw. In my opinion increasing the points based on color is an interesting idea, but it's unlikely to be seriously considered because of the fact that it would disrupt the "symmetry" in chess both the sort of abstract fashion, and also in the specific - such as requiring tournament pairing systems based on score to be completely reworked.

One tie break system, armageddon, does break the symmetry by giving black draw odds (he wins if the game is drawn) but less time in a blitz game. But it's very poorly regarded and generally only used as a this-game-MUST-have-a-decisive-result last resort.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:23PM (#32170037)
This implies that top-level players aren't trying for a win.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by DiogenesKynikos on Thursday July 21, 2022 @06:01AM (#32177487)
> Chess, in theory, with absolutely perfect play, is a draw.

Even the best human players are nowhere near perfect play.

Chess engines have proven that even players that are 1000 Elo stronger than the best players alive today can lose. Just look at how each new version of Stockfish absolutely trounces the previous version.

Stockfish 7, released 6 years ago, is nearly 500 Elo weaker than the newest version, Stockfish 15.[0] That's the difference between Carlsen and the weakest grandmasters.

0. https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/64992190/179047597...

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by TomGullen on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:42AM (#32164293)
In theory, wouldn't the player who takes the first move have a tiny tiny edge? Or is the second mover always able to guarantee a draw if they play perfectly?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by FartyMcFarter on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:56AM (#32164439)
It's possible, although it seems unlikely, that white is in zugzwang [1] on the starting position, in which case black would have a win with perfect play.

Chess is only solved for positions with 7 pieces or less (and some configurations of 8 pieces [2]), so we're far from knowing best play from the 32-piece starting position.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zugzwang

[2] https://www.chess.com/blog/Rocky64/eight-piece-tablebases-a-...

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:06PM (#32169806)
> In theory, wouldn't the player who takes the first move have a tiny tiny edge? Or is the second mover always able to guarantee a draw if they play perfectly?

White cannot have a tiny tiny edge against perfect play.

Either it is possible to force a win against perfect play, or it's not. So white is either winning or the game is a draw (or black is able to force a win against white's perfect play, but that's a whole different level of unlikely).

When talking about perfect play, terms like "tiny edge" lose their meaning.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by rocqua on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:45AM (#32164953)
It isn't known theoretically whether perfect play is enough for black to force a draw. It is also an infinitesimal probability that white starts off in zugzwang (i.e. all possible moves are bad).

However the consensus guess is that perfect play yields a draw.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Gehinnn on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:01AM (#32165148)
Why is that the consensus guess? I could imagine that a perfect play completely contradicts common chess theory.

Just like we can efficiently find approximate solutions for the traveling salesman problem (that are at most 50% longer than the optimal solution), these heuristics have not much to do with the optimal solution.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluGill on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:41AM (#32166419)
Because when great players realize they have a position that they connect win are still able to figure out how to force a draw so they don't lose.

> I could imagine that a perfect play completely contradicts common chess theory.

So can anyone. Nobody knows what perfect chess play is. Our best guess though is that whatever your opponent plays you can always force a draw before they can win.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bee_rider on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:46AM (#32166486)
That's an interesting point.

Unfortunately it leaves us in the position of not having much to go by, if expert experience doesn't help analyze the game.

I wonder how different a chess engine and optimal play look for the reduced sized boards.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by pred_ on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:50AM (#32164379)
Unless I missed something recent, it is not known whether any player has a winning strategy (or a drawing strategy, for that matter). It would be quite the discovery as well.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by usrusr on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:13AM (#32164614)
It would be wild if it turned out that some of the 20 first moves led into a tree that included a perfect winning path for black while others were draw on perfection: "take it, if you can, I bet you can't"
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:12PM (#32169892)
With connect-4 it's like that: playing in the middle on the 1st move means the first player wins, playing adjacent to the middle means the game will be drawn, and starting further to the side means the second player wins (all assuming otherwise perfect play).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Connect_Four#Mathematical_solu...

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by usrusr on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:13PM (#32170744)
Plenty of forced moves in that game, where there is only one option to not lose immediately. I basically sacrificed the last years of school math to a 10x8 variation of that game, it was almost as if there were two competitions in parallel, who would win and who could call a game decided first. Declaring the other guy winner before he even knew was almost better than winning (but certainly not as good as declaring victory and then explaining why)
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by KptMarchewa on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:36AM (#32165595)
Having a winning strategy for black seems impossible though; the discussion is whether white have it or is it a forced draw.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Someone on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:47AM (#32167442)
Why would that seem impossible? One could argue that white has to open up his defenses first, allowing black to pick the best response to that.

In general, there’s no guarantee of first mover’s advantage. For example, Hexapawn (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hexapawn) is a win for black on some boards (https://web.archive.org/web/20050330222720/http://www.chessv...). Versions that are more complex than chess and are a win for black may exist.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SamReidHughes on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:16PM (#32167942)
White could start with a knight move. Unlike Hexapawn, in chess, white moving first provides an increase in optionality for white, and the board positions are not forcing white on some losing track, because white is free to "burn" a move with many pieces by taking 2 moves to get to the same place they could with 1 move. White can use two bishop moves, or a pawn push to the 3rd rank followed by the 4th rank, to turn around the initiative early in the game.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SamBam on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @06:56PM (#32173490)
That would give black two moves in a row, which is a different scenario, and might still be optimal for black.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SamReidHughes on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:17PM (#32174207)
Black doesn't know it's getting two moves in a row when it makes the first move. And on the second move, it can only take advantage if white's first move reduces white's optionality in a specific manner, e.g. by blocking another piece essential for response to a certain tactic, which by construction, would mean it wasn't really an opportunity to transpose the game to hand over the initiative.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SamBam on Thursday July 21, 2022 @08:37AM (#32178576)
Not sure I follow.

The scenario we're positing is that perhaps, in fully-solved chess, white is actually in zugzwang, where every initial move is actually bad for them.

If there were some way for white to hand the first move to black, then clearly this would be the best solution.

But all the take-back solutions (e.g. move the knight forward and back again) actually give black two moves, which is a different situation.

And the stutter-step solution of white moving a pawn only one space instead of two doesn't work because that's simply refuting the premise that white is in zugzwang.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Tenoke on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:50AM (#32164382)
It's not a solved problem but our best players and best computers perform better with white. The edge isn't tiny either.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluecalm on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:10AM (#32164587)
They don't anymore, at least not the computers. When you let them start from normal starting position and provide decent hardware and some time it's always a draw and has been for a few years now.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:17AM (#32164646)
> always

Not always. Almost always.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluecalm on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:35AM (#32164827)
No one is going to waste the CPU time running Stockfish (or GPU with Leela) against each other at classical time controls long enough to see a decisive game which might never happen anyway so we will likely never know. I think current Stockfish on a modern ThreadRipper with classical time control will never be beaten. I am not 100% sure I am right but I don't expect (but would love to!) to be proven wrong.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:45AM (#32164954)
Stockfish won't solve it. We need a full game tree. Stockfish is not designed to build a full game tree.

Generating a full game tree would be a truly daunting undertaking, and I can't even fathom how much memory would it take.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by tromp on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:37AM (#32165617)
Due to alpha-beta cutoffs, you don't need a full game tree. But if you did build a tree with all legal chess positions, it would have approximately 4.8x10^44 of them [1].

[1] https://github.com/tromp/ChessPositionRanking

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluecalm on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:36AM (#32167292)
I am not saying Stockfish is going to solve it. I am saying it will not lose from the initial position. In other words my hypothesis is that we already have a soft solution to chess available. I can't prove it but I can proceed accordingly in practice (in opening preparation or correspondence games for example) and no one will prove me wrong or exploit it.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by lmm on Thursday July 21, 2022 @01:13AM (#32175993)
Stockfish lost a handful of games against Leela from starting positions that were a couple of moves into mainstream openings. I don't think it's at at all unlikely that there's a route that beats it.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluecalm on Thursday July 21, 2022 @06:17AM (#32177596)
Can you provide an example of such a game? I am following computer chess pretty closely and it's just all draws if we start from mainstream openings. By mainstream I mean things that are considered solid by today top players and engines. Some of the traditional mainstream openings turned out to be problematic (King's Indian for example). I am talking about recent Stockfish (the one with NNs) as the traditional version had pretty serious problems in certain positions and needed an extensive opening book to steer it out of trouble.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:14PM (#32169916)
When have you last seen a decisive game from the starting position by two modern engines on normal hardware? I haven't seen one for many years.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by franknstein on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:00AM (#32164477)
There is a small chance that deep into the tree the first to play gets into zugzwang first, meaning position with no good moves. Is there any other scenario where playing black would give you theoretical edge?

So until proven otherwise it's still possible that its theoretical win for white, theoretical draw or theoretical win for black as i understand it.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Gehinnn on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:04AM (#32165198)
Zugzwang is the only way for white to lose. Without Zugzwang and a winning strategy for black for chess with Zugzwang, white could skip the first move and now has the winning strategy.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by franknstein on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:57AM (#32165865)
What do you mean skip the first move? Like play a neutral move? Why would such a move exist?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluGill on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:45AM (#32166467)
Skip your turn. Don't move anything at all.

Zugzwang means that you would be better off not moving any piece on your turn letting your opponent make two moves in a row. There are a number of endgames that depend on getting your opponent into a position where he has only one legal move and by making it you can then play the winning move. If your opponent could instead skip his turn you have no ability to win the game.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by franknstein on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:08AM (#32166849)
I know what zugzwang is. I was just asking what he meant by 'skipping turns' because skipping turns by simply refusing to make a move is illegal, so i was not sure what point was Gehinnn trying to make.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Gehinnn on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:05PM (#32170647)
The question was if there is any other scenario where black could force a win other than by forcing a zugzwang.

I would say no by contradiction. Let's assume black could win without zugzwang. Then white would win (and in particular not lose) by skipping the very first move and then playing blacks strategy (because now black has to make the first move and by white skipping the first move, the colors swapped).

If white would not skip the very first move and play an arbitrary move instead, white loses and black wins.

But this is the very definition of zugzwang! Thus, black can only win because of white's initial zugzwang, which contradicts our assumption.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by asdf_snar on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:28PM (#32170929)
I think I may share confusion with the other poster. I don't understand the following step:

> Then white would win (and in particular not lose) by skipping the very first move and then playing blacks strategy

I understand the other comment, that there do exist setups in which colors can be effectively switched by e.g. 1. e3 e5 2. e4, but that requires cooperation on black's part. How does white "skip" the first move? Thanks in advance.

Edit: it may be that the statement "without Zugzwang" implicitly (or perhaps by definition) means you are allowed to skip moves? If so, that clarifies my confusion.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Gehinnn on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:49PM (#32171210)
Well, applying "zugzwang" means you only win because the opponent has to do a move and cannot skip their turn.

When black has a winning strategy, black already applies "zugzwang" for white's very first move: Black only wins because white has to make a move. If white could skip, black would not win.

> Edit: it may be that the statement "without Zugzwang" implicitly (or perhaps by definition) means you are allowed to skip moves?

Yes. It's not well defined, but I'd say a non-zugzwang win is a win (or rather a winning position) where you would also win when your opponent can skip their turn. A zugzwang win is a win that is not a non-zugzwang win.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by franknstein on Thursday July 21, 2022 @08:11AM (#32178391)
Ahh okay I think I get it now, you are saying if chess is win for black, that immediately implies zugzwang for white from starting position. In the same way, chess being a win for white implies zugzwang for black starting position.

So chess being a win for one side is equivalent to starting position being zugzwang for the other side.

It's obvious now, but so interesting to me, I never thought about it that way! Thanks for taking time for explaining yourself.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Gehinnn on Thursday July 21, 2022 @11:23AM (#32180487)
White could win without zugzwang! Because white starts. After the first move, the position is no longer symmetric, so it doesn't help black to skip to switch sides.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by YawningAngel on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:03AM (#32165959)
You can play e.g.

1. e3 e5 2. e4 whatever

And you effectively have a king's pawn opening with colours reversed

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by franknstein on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:03AM (#32166761)
Can black refuse this 'color switch'? It seems like he can, for a while, by mimicking moves. 1. e3 e6 for example.

Does this strategy necessarily leads to provably losing position?

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SargeZT on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:04PM (#32174935)
Provably there's little that can be said about chess at large when it comes from opening to endgame. Heuristically speaking though matching moves against even a beginner is a very bad strategy for play, as a recent speedrun being done by GM Aman Hambleton on youtube has been showing.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uUfF6l4A6Ks

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:13PM (#32169906)
Having that happen in one place deep in the tree wouldn't mean much: black would need to be able to get such a zugzwang (or other win) against anything white does.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by fileeditview on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:50AM (#32164380)
Many think that perfect play from both sides will result in a draw but there is no prove for that yet. So I'm reality we do not know.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by philipswood on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:45AM (#32164325)
Still an open problem.

Unlike tic-tac-toe we're not certain if it is a win or a draw for perfect players.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dane-pgp on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:06AM (#32164551)
To give an example from a game more complicated than tic-tac-toe, it is known that the player who goes first in Connect 4 can always win with perfect play if (and only if) they play in the middle column on their first turn.

The chess analogue to this would be that there is a single opening move for white that a perfect player can guarantee a win from, or maybe a limited set of opening moves.

In fact, there is a variant of chess where this the case, namely "pawns-only chess", where 1.b4, 1.c4, 1.f4, and 1.g4 are winning for white, whereas all other first moves are a win for black with perfect play.

https://chess.stackexchange.com/questions/8755/is-the-result...

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Synaesthesia on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:43AM (#32164302)
AFAIK it's not a solved game so we cannot say with certainty.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by deltree7 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:56AM (#32166645)
Cricket went through a similar revolution and now we have a single game that last 5 days (Tests) which is an intense high-skill perseverance play, a game that last a whole day (One Day Internationals) and a much shorter format (Twenty20) that last 3 hours.

All three formats are thriving with some superstars playing all three formats and official World Championships being played in all three formats

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Someone on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:25AM (#32167118)
I don’t see the test format as thriving. It often seems the players don’t have the patience anymore to play it, losing games that they could have drawn if they had the perseverance needed to try so.

(For those who don’t know cricket: if your opponent is outscoring you heavily, there’s no way to win the game, but by playing defensively, there still is the possibility of “not losing” the game (called a draw. That’s different from a tie, where both teams score the same number of runs. Ties are extremely rare (about 1:1000 matches. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tied_Test), draws fairly common (about ⅓ of all test matches)). Part of the charm of test cricket is that trying harder to win a game also increases the risk of losing it, so teams have to make educated guesses as to whether to pursue that)

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by kamaal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:16PM (#32167943)
>>It often seems the players don’t have the patience anymore to play it

Not enough monetary incentive either, it doesn't pay as well as T20.

Second problem is bowling doesn't pay as well as batting. And that brings only batsmen centric view to the game, which is boring to watch after a while, even in T20.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by kamaal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:27AM (#32167150)
Cricket had a different problem. The game moved to be very batsmen centric(pitch construction) for a good part of 90's and 2000's. This caused most games to end in draws. Batsmen would just play days to make records. Ricky Ponting even said no Australian captain would allow the match to be played purely for records and not for winning.

This eventually happened in ODI's as well. It just all reduced to batsmen playing purely for records. Competition dried out.

T20 suffers from the same problems, and is a big reason why people are so burned out. I have barely watched any cricket in years.

In matches where is there is a good pitch, and something for the bowlers, the test matches are super interesting to watch.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by taude on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:38AM (#32164261)
I know next to nothing about competitive chess, other than watching the Magnus documentary about a younger Magnus. What kinds of things are chess players doing to prepare for a match for 6 Months? Is there something they're memorizing, studying video (what would they be looking fro)? I'd have always just thought they were good to play at any time. This sounds super stressful.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by matsemann on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:49AM (#32164366)
In a normal tournament, you meet so many different people (and you often don't know in advance exactly who you will meet of all the participants), so it's hard to specifically prepare. For a match of this kind, however, you know your opponent will prepare specifically against you. So you kinda have to do the same.

That entails analyzing all of their games and finding defenses and weaknesses. But also trying to find new novelties in the openings etc. And since the opponent will do the same, you yourself have to prepare defenses for lots of potential new openings 16 moves deep or so. It's an insane amount of studying.

Of course, that pays off for future games outside the match as well. But when you know your challenger will spend half a year on this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to beat you, you probably have to do the same. So have to say no to everything else.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bluGill on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:54AM (#32166617)
the top 100 players in the world is a small list, and at this level you don't need to worry about anyone below that (until they get higher) as you are enough better than them that you can beat them. Thus for tournaments you don't have worry as you have already studied everyone you need to worry about before the tournament. Odds are you know ahead of time who is in the tournament and so you have a couple weeks to study all possible opponents.

Remember for the best players in the world chess is their full time job. They spend 12 hours a day on the game. They are earning enough from tournaments to support life.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by kamaal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:55AM (#32164433)
Say a player just rote memorised moves from a chess engine and just played it. Would that be considered cheating?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by matsemann on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:14AM (#32164621)
No, that's part of the preparation. But remember that you have around ~16 moves to choose from each time it's your turn. And you have to prepare a response for all the possible choices your opponent can make.

This of course gets unwieldy very fast. 16^5 is already over a million different games.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by mtlmtlmtlmtl on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @03:55PM (#32171291)
Actually it's so much worse than that. Chess has a branching factor of ~30, not 16, IIRC. A lot of those moves will be nonsensical though.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by somenameforme on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @04:48PM (#32172105)
That is correct. And of course you don't just need to prepare for your own moves, but also consider your opponent's moves. So "just" 6 moves = 30^12 = about 500 quadrillion possibilities.

Though, like you said, the vast majority of those moves will be somewhat nonsensical though.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by babarock on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:40AM (#32164903)
As long as it's all in memory, that's fair game. Everybody at the high level is using engines for training/preparation.

This is balanced by the fact that the sheer number of possible lines is huge. Too big for any human to "remember" them all.

It's also not enough to memorize "good" moves from an engine perspective. "Good" engine moves and "good" human moves are different things.

An engine might see a move as "good", because it calculated 50 moves down the line and found an advantage. This means that you'd have to play the next 49 moves in a very precise manner to reach this advantage. One way to think about it, is that there are multiple positions that are analyzed as "draw" by en engine, but 9 grandmasters out of 10 will see one side winning. That's because one side would need to play perfectly, while the other side has much higher tolerance for mistakes (engine assume perfect play on both sides).

TLDR: engine is fair game, during preparation. It's a big deal, it transformed high level chess, but it didn't break the game, and is unlikely to do so.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by ChefboyOG on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:03AM (#32164510)
No, using engines to find lines is a common way to practice (at least, that's my understanding. Obviously, I'm not personally a world class chess player.)
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by gliptic on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:05AM (#32164536)
No, that is exactly what they do in opening preparation.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:19PM (#32169991)
No. But the opponent will do that too. The trick is to find a move that is just slightly worse according to the engine, but that gives a complicated position that's hard to figure out behind the board. That you will then learn all the in and outs of, and memorize. And then hope you get it on the board...

They need hundreds such ideas for a match.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by timerol on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:17PM (#32168994)
That is the strategy of opening preparation. For the most common openings, GMs often have a 20 move sequence memorized. The time limit of chess matters a lot, so the strategy is to break your opponent out of their preparation with a move that is unintuitive or considered untenable, after you have determined the ways in which it is actually better than widely considered.

The ideal at top level is to get to move 20 or so with a slightly better position, essentially all of your time (because you've been playing memorized moves), and your opponent already having used most of their time.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by moomin on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:00AM (#32164489)
It isn’t, partly because you needed to predict the scenario would come up and partly because your opponent can do the exact same thing.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by coremoff on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:05AM (#32164532)
That would depend on the opponent doing the same, and picking the same engine and settings for their side too.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:40AM (#32164276)
> Is there something they're memorizing

Yes. Their upcoming opponent's past games (including analyzing them for strengths and weaknesses), and engine lines mostly.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by throw7 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:45AM (#32165711)
I remember Caruana mentioning how he wasn't prepared for how much Carlsen "understood" him (not exact words from the video, but something to that effect).

It sounded sort of like a side mind game that Carlsen plays on his opponents. It made it clear that Carlsen really studies his opponents and not just their past games.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:17PM (#32169951)
Going through all of opening theory to invent enough new ideas that might give them a tiny edge, somewhere. And then eventually memorizing what they found.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by V-2 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:41AM (#32165660)
12 games - or even 14, since the last WC (games, not "matches", excuse the nitpick) isn't long, it's short. There's never been a shorter format for chess WC. And this is precisely WHY players don't take any risks - because dropping even a single point means there won't be many chances left for equalising the score again.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by huevosabio on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @11:32AM (#32167243)
I would make the following changes: - Make the candidates be the main event, the winner is WC. - score games as in soccer, 3 points for a win, 1 for draw, 0 for lose.

These changes increase the stakes, incentivize offensive chess, allow the sitting WC to play all the best players rather than one, reduces the time commitment to a single event for the challengers, and allows the WC to partake in the most prestigious tournament.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by kamaal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:41AM (#32164282)
For those of us who don't follow this closely, why is the format such a problem?

Is it because its stressful, and demands too much work and prep from participants.

Just asking as competitive sport at the top level be it chess, football, or even swimming for that matter demands lots of work and a kind of work ethic not easy for most of us.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by akyu on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:54AM (#32164421)
The format to the world championship in chess has historically always been a point of contention, and the current format is no exception.

The Candidates tournament has some seemingly arbitrary qualifications that players must meet, and you could argue that the format doesn't necessarily produce the strongest player to challenge the world champion.

The World Championship match itself is problematic because it gives the defending champion a fairly huge advantage, in that they retain the title if they can draw out the match, although more recently it goes to rapid chess tie breaker rounds. So in practice the Championship is decided by these tie breaker rounds, which doesn't really seem appropriate.

Given the prep time players have and the engines available, players go into these matches extremely well prepared and draws over the board are quite a typical outcome unless someone makes a mistake.

I believe Magnus wants the Championship to become a knockout tournament to reduce the advantage that so much prep time can give. There is a big difference between prepping for a field of 12 players versus prepping for a single opponent.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by ycombinete on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:00AM (#32164474)
> The World Championship match itself is problematic because it gives the defending champion a fairly huge advantage, in that they retain the title if they can draw out the match.

This has not been the case for quite a while. All of Carlsen's matches (Anand, Anand, Karjakjn, Caruana, Nepomniatchchi) had tie breakers in the format, to determine a guaranteed clear winner. The Karjakin and Caruana matches were decided in this way.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by chongli on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:41AM (#32165655)
The distinction is the fundamental difference between mental and physical effort.

An athlete can spend all day in the gym and then grab a shower and roll into bed. They may be sore as hell from head to toe but they will be so exhausted they can just pass out and get a great night's sleep. They also get the benefit of endorphins which make them feel good and rewarded for doing their exercise.

On the other hand, a chess player spending all day going over variations and practicing is going to have a difficult time sleeping with all of those lines and positions flying around in their head. They will be mentally exhausted but still active and alert. It is an absolutely miserable experience. So to prevent it you need to cut back on the hours which means spreading out the preparation over many days/weeks/months. It can also get very boring because you don't get the same rewards you get from playing and winning games. The only reward comes when you finally get to the WC match and then you actually have to win or it's utterly heartbreaking.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by zarzavat on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:19AM (#32164672)
It takes months of preparation to prepare for the world championships, basically rote memorisation with a team of people. If he doesn't do that, he will lose.

This is time that could be spent playing tournaments.

This would be okay if the world championships was every four years, but it's every two, so a large fraction of Carlsen's time is spent preparing for this one match that everybody knows he's going to win anyway.

It's similar to the way that many professional teams are reluctant to allow their players to play in the Olympics (in e.g. Basketball, Ice Hockey, and Olympic Football is completely neutered). Carlsen clearly feels that the World Championship is not important enough to sacrifice a large chunk of his career for.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by kamaal on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:37AM (#32164865)
>>Carlsen clearly feels that the World Championship is not important enough to sacrifice a large chunk of his career for.

Which other tournaments are considered like the top levels of Chess competition, and what are the criteria for being the top chess player in the world(If not winning the world championship)?

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by matsemann on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:55AM (#32165080)
The criteria is probably their rating. Since they use the ELO system, each game gives or loses points. So the ratings are a good measure in how good you are over time and meeting multiple opponents.

And Carlsen absolutely dominates the others, and have been the top rated player continuously for a decade. So no questions about who is the best, WC title or not.

Carlsen is right now 98 points above Nepo, the challenger, which is an insane difference.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by LeChuck on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:31AM (#32166274)
The format is not a problem per se. It's grueling, sure but that's what a word-championship match should be. Magnus Carlsen just feels there's not much to gain anymore for him, by defending his title. That's all there is to it I think.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by thomasahle on Thursday July 21, 2022 @02:48AM (#32176516)
> Is it because its stressful, and demands too much work and prep from participants?

The problem is that the world champion is out of play for 6 months out of every two years, preparing for just one game.

It's boring for him as well as the fans to spend that much time in isolation just trying to memorize everything about one particular opponent.

It would be better to have him out and about playing tournaments and beating lots of different opponents.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bfuller on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:47AM (#32164339)
No idea their reasoning, but if I were a top football, swimmer, or other athlete and knew that a computer could outperform me even at my highest level would be pretty disconcerting.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Cass on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:56AM (#32164441)
That's already true of most sports, though. There's plenty of mechanical constructs that can move faster than the fastest human. The challenge is to be the fastest human using nothing but a human body, not to outrun a car or a boat (or even a humanoid running robot, which I assume we could build at this point, if anyone was interested in putting enough money behind it.)
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by bfuller on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:54AM (#32165830)
Of course a human can't outrun a car. This isn't some unprecedented idea, people have retired for this reason before:

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-50573071

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by chalst on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @07:51AM (#32164399)
I guess swimmers have known that the performance of powered aquatic vehicles runs circles around them on many metrics for longer.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Gare on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:19AM (#32164680)
Not to mention some other mammals.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by kzrdude on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:24PM (#32169137)
One thing they could change with the format, without changing the format(!) is to schedule the game very close to the candidates, say with four week's distance.

That way the match is the same but the half year of prep is gone.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SamReidHughes on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @01:31PM (#32169260)
That only takes prep time away from the world champion, not the candidates winner.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by thomasahle on Thursday July 21, 2022 @02:42AM (#32176479)
The candidates winner probably won't have spent that much time preparing for Magnus, since they had to prepare for all the candidates matches.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by Scarblac on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:22PM (#32170030)
They need to know who the players are so they can look for sponsors willing to put up the prize money and organising costs. The events are often sponsored by companies from the home country of one of the players. Doing it before the challenger is known makes the pool of potential sponsors too small.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by thomasahle on Thursday July 21, 2022 @02:43AM (#32176485)
The WC would basically become a part of the candidates tournament. So they could use the same sponsors.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by thomasahle on Thursday July 21, 2022 @02:44AM (#32176495)
This would be really great. Less prep could also lead to more opening mistakes and decisive games.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by gentleman11 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:57AM (#32166663)
Chess960 or other variants would be nice to mix things up over time
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by shudza on Thursday July 21, 2022 @09:53AM (#32179401)
You can't just change the format. Then it's not the same sport. It's like saying we should change football (soccer), reduce the field size, make goals bigger and reduce play time to 60 mins. Then it's not football anymore, it's another sport.

If Magnus doesn't want to play this sport anymore, it's his decision, and totaly understandable. But don't try to change like a century of tradition (much like the rules of chess).

EDIT: fix typo

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by dmurray on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:25AM (#32164731)
> It's also almost impossible for a new person to get a chance.

> when [Carlsen] first did he almost didn't win it to be allowed to play the WC match.

These complaints are in opposition to each other! You can have an open process which gives an outsider a chance to qualify, or you can teleport the incumbent best player straight to the final, but you can't have both.

The current Candidates structure balances it pretty well, in my view. Most of the 10 players who have a realistic chance in a match reach the final 8, but it often features one great-but-not-elite grandmaster who had a good tournament, and it's theoretically open to even the worst amateur who shows up to his Continental Championship and performs well in that followed by the World Cup.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by matsemann on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:47AM (#32164972)
The candidates being the WC deciding event would solve both of them, though. So while the points are in opposition to each other, a new format could find a better way to solve it than now, in which both things happen.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by enugu on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:00AM (#32164483)
How about a very short gap, say a week, after the Candidates tournament to the Championship match to avoid long opening preparations?
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by NhanH on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @08:03AM (#32164508)
That just forces 8 players in the candidates to do their preparation BEFORE the tournament.

Economically speaking, that won't be enough time for advertising, setting the venue or getting sponsor up either. It matters who plays in the WCC match before you can do either of those things. We still don't know when or where the match for this cycle will happen even now.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by chongli on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:32AM (#32165550)
Not only does it force the 8 players to prepare before the tournament, it forces the champion to prepare against all 8 players, making their task even worse!
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by _ph_ on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @10:30AM (#32166261)
Worse or, and that would be the point of the change, entirely different. You would do some study of all possible opponents, but you obviously can no longer do so much focus on the single player. Which means, the better preparation would just to prepare your best chess against whomever you are going to play. Which could be much more fun and make the games more interesting, as there is much more space for tactical surprises.
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by SpacePortKnight on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @09:17AM (#32165354)
Maybe a format with 60 minutes + 30 seconds increment from move 40, could be more entertaining to watch than the current 90 minutes for the first 40 moves, followed by 30 minutes for the rest of the game, with an addition of 30 seconds per move starting from move one format.

Most rounds would finish in around 2 hours, just like several e-sports games. Have 2 rounds a day and finish it in 8 rounds. With a more e-sport like approach, chess could bring in even more viewers and hence more sponsorships.

Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title by V-2 on Thursday July 21, 2022 @03:51AM (#32176835)
> Time to change the format

The format has been changing way too often, if anything.

> 12 matches is long (edit, 14 now), but no one dares to take any risks.

Not really: 12 or even 14 games is short, which is exactly why players aren't particularly willing to take risks - short format makes it hard to catch up should they fall behind. The format used to be 24 games in Kasparov times, and some WC matches were decided by the "first to X wins" rule, which could last very long, given that draws wouldn't push things forward (and for example Alekhine beated Capablanca after 34 games).

> And against Nepo it was a steamroll, understandably meeting him again isn't that exciting.

It wasn't such a steamroll, the score doesn't tell a full story. Nepo's play quality was excellent and he arguably had more winning chances throughout the first half of the match. His first loss was in the longest WC game ever played (136 moves, and theoretically drawish almost until the very end when Nepo finally slipped). He collapsed psychologically right after, starting to make errors that - in his own words - were "simple things you would never overlook in a blitz game".

In part due to that gruelling, exhausting loss, for sure, but some have theorized he may also have folded due to realizing how many good chances he had missed before that.

GM Sam Shankland (US champion of 2018, for those not up to date with the who-is-who of chess world) went as far as to say Ian was two different players in the match: Nepo A and Nepo B.

Subverting people's expectations, Nepo won the Candidates now so convincingly (some suspected he might not recover, and certainly not to such an extent) that I see no reason why one would expect a landslide Carlsen's victory in the upcoming match.

Especially since there's an enormous difference between having NEVER played a WC match (which was Ian's situation the last time), and having already played one.

To quote Kramnik reminiscing on his first WC match: "it was still a very unfamiliar situation, like playing all your life for Lokomotiv and then coming out to play for Real Madrid in the final of the Champions League. Of course, you have to get used to the new situation, kick the ball a couple of times so they don't laugh at you."

> Even Carlsen didn't like the format

Yeah, well - he didn't like it, isn't that a bummer :) But come on, it's not like Carlsen has no say in the matter of the format, especially now that he already is a 5x world champion. He could have negotiated a different one with FIDE - or at least try. Obviously it's too late for that once the challenger has already been revealed, the time for that was before the cycle started. The format isn't set in stone though, far from it, and the #1 player, the reigning WC, has a lot of weight to throw around.

Carlsen may have not liked the format from an objective point of view, but the format was certainly very convenient for him. He excels in rapid chess, so if his winning chances are, say, around 80% in the classical portion of the match, they probably reach something like 95% once it comes to rapid tiebreaks. And the shorter the format, the larger the likelihood of getting to the tiebreaks.

> I wonder how this will affect the status of the title, when it's in practice is now a title-fight between the second best players.

This isn't something new. Kasparov was still the world's #1 for years after he lost the title to Kramnik. (He had actually hoped for a rematch, but they couldn't work the conditions out, and since age was catching up with him, he finally retired.)