Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title
by asdajksah2123 on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:31PM
(#32168203)
I don't see why anyone would agree to that. In fact, I can see it being far more likely that chess experts believe it ends in a win for white considering that today white is favored, to the point where if offered a quick draw, black will almost certainly take it (unless they need a win to move up a rank in a tournament, etc).
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Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title
by sgjohnson on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @12:54PM
(#32168600)
This is flat out false. Virtually all of the experts agree on this, and in top engine and human play the percentage of games drawn is increasing, not decreasing. AlphaZero on autoplay @ 1 minute per move draws 98% of the games.
> if offered a quick draw, black will almost certainly take it
[citation needed], and 1200 elo games on lichess aren’t a valid citation
Re:Magnus Carlsen to give up World Championship title
by ChrisLomont on Wednesday July 20, 2022 @02:26PM
(#32170077)
>AlphaZero on autoplay
While Alpha Zero is good, this is not very good proof. Alpha Zero is not perfect, so if there are tiny ways to win that Alpha Zero misses, it will miss it on both sides (being the same engine), so would never explore that path.
It's like claiming inbreeding will result in perfection :)