Just the other week an older relative asked me to help get them set up so they could buy Ethereum. Another friend asked me to help them setup an account to buy Doge. Neither have any intention of using it as anything besides a speculative store of value because they hear other people are buying it, which would be fine if it didn’t actually have such poor environmental externalities.
What a time to be alive.
The fable about Henry Ford has rarely been as apposite as now. During an American recession, the shoeshine boy on the sidewalk gave Ford some tips on the stock market. Ford's response: "When the shoeshine boy is telling you what to buy, it's time to sell!"
For what it's worth the first hit I got searching for it was from January 2008...
Once you have real ETFs the crypto mania will turn into yet another debt fielded bubble. In the meantime, enjoy the ride!
How does it compare against Bitcoin? What intrinsic value (besides "ooh, shiny") does gold actually have?
I agree that BTC and cryptocurrencies generally are utterly wasteful, but what too many look at is the headline figure of energy consumed, and not what energy is being consumed.
Disclaimer: I think BTC is a total waste of time, and I am long BTC because I think it'll buy me a house one day too.
(EDIT: I also have gold too)
I don't know how you can show status with Bitcoin though. Maybe show your server farm or something.
Ex ante, it is difficult to differentiate a Pets.com from an Amazon, or a dot com bubble from a beanie baby boom.
Arguably a small minority were able to differentiate and it paid off very well for them.
True. But from a policy perspective this punts the problem. Ex ante, identifying the president from the deluded is difficult.
I'm guessing you might have meant "prescient" there?
Then again, perhaps not.
But we're well over a decade into cryptocurrencies, and there is no application for them yet except crime.
- You could lose your wallet and have nobody to phone in to get your information back (regular banks often can help you here)
- Conversely, you may think "Gee, I should make backups of my keys!" which isn't a bad strategy, except if any one of your backups is compromised, you lose everything, and each new backup creates an inherent new risk in getting leaked
- You could get some trojan horse with steals your cryptocurrency, and once again, you're SOL
- There's a lot of moving parts that all need to be present to make cryptocurrency even remotely viable to so-called unbanked classes (I presume you mean poor people that have little means in the first place?)... like an active internet connection to talk to said blockchain, possibly even a vendor or other party even willing to deal with cryptocurrency in the first place
- The volatility swings are absolutely ridiculous
And of course let us not forget that those that simply want to transfer to someone, then have that someone quickly convert to their home currency of choice may not necessarily be possible, due to some exchange level ban by their country's exchange controls.
I wish cryptocurrency proponents would just be honest and just say they want to make a quick buck with as little effort as possible, and leveraging the peanut gallery to get here is the best way to do it.
Sounds unethical.
The only knowledge I try to spread is correcting anyone who uses the word "invest" and recommend the proper words of buy, speculate, or gamble when it comes to cryptocurrencies. I guess I will add "fundamental" too since I think you meant technical analysis. But even that implies brains when it really is just voodoo unless you are an influencer.
$1 is worth $1, tautologically. If you happen to believe $1 has no worth, just send me all your dollars. I can use them. I'll send you a loaf of bread, which you can eat to sustain life.
Bitcoin is a bit underdeveloped there.
Tell that to citizens of countries who have experienced hyperinflation and whose currencies became worthless almost overnight.
There is a reason every asset is going up right now. Real estate, stocks, commodities, and crypto. More money is being printed this year than ever before. The financial media and the fed can claim minimal inflation but the markets are exposing that claim as dubious.
I don’t think any of my family in Algeria are using Bitcoin, and same for my wife’s family in Bangladesh. In Algeria at least, generally you’ll go to a hawala money changer who gives you better rates than the banks and exchange your local currency into Euros. If you need to send money abroad you use the same old Islamic hawala system to send it to France or wherever else.
There will probably be some useful things built on top of blockchains, and I don’t think crypto has zero value, but I don’t think it’s going to reasonably fix a situation of a failing state.
Mind you, I speak as someone who is a citizen in a country that experienced that. Not now, but back in 2016, our currency got halved. Nobody, and I mean absolutely nobody ever thought "I should have bought crypto."
When the 2017-2018 crypto rush happened, and people started mining ETH, well-off people* here got onto it and started mining ETH.... only to immediately sell it as they mined. Nobody held onto it.
*well-off because GPUs were absurdly expensive due to the inflation, and it only got worse when the shortages hit.
EDIT: I also want to add that very, very few people here in my country actually understand what bitcoin even is (or cryptocurrency or blockchain). The people that I have seen support mining here only really view it as a way to earn some money while doing nothing.
Cryptocurrency lately has become this techbro version of a white-savior complex, where we think this magic technology will somehow uproot the lower lesser classes from their eternal toil and discord, yet I've seen plenty of these kinds of folks either not bother to get in on this (because it's likely too difficult to comprehend) or lose their shirt because they didn't make it on the right end of a transaction and lost more money to some cryptocurrency-rich fat cat, laughing all the way to the bank.
I mean yeah, technology has magically elevated the toiling masses from shitty work. When was the last time you worked in a factory for 16 hours a day? When was the last time you got scurvy as a sailor on a wooden ship? When was the last time you tilled a field with the trusty family oxen?
Sorry, but the bitcoin fans get condescending, acting like they can save us from those evil banks. Not a chance.
Technology that has improved society does absolutely exist though, like the world wide web, which has proven potential and has revolutionized the way we do business and commerce.
Cryptocurrency on the other hand is just an ancap wet dream. You are free to disagree with me, but bitcoin has been around for 12 years now and, yet, I see no killer application that doesn't involve some kind of grift. In the same period of 12 years, from the start of the WWW to around the early 2000s, so much innovation happened by comparison.
My exact thought upon reading the Slashdot article announcing the release of v0.3 of this thing called Bitcoin back in 2010. The last decade has only reinforced that view...
I'd hate to be her when (not if) this goes tits up.
Ethereum goal was to allow people to build different types of dApps by opening up the number of op codes on the virtual machine - this allowed people not only to build bitcoin on ethereum but also other types of apps - like Uniswap (Exchange), Compound (Lending) and dydx (derivatives). These are just a few. There’s a whole other world of NFT’s that is also bubbling up now. Aragon is building a DAO creator and launcher where you can build and run organisations in a digital jurisdiction.
Now as the World Wide Web decentralised the power to distribute information via a protocol, Blockchain’s can allow that for anything that requires trust - such as finance
Though the biggest limiting factor is still scalability of Blockchain’s but the Ethereum team and a bunch of other teams are solving that by being at the breeding edge of mechanism design. Ethereum realised Blockchain’s aren’t scalable and are bad for the climate long long ago - and already have plans to move away from PoW (energy intensive) to PoS (not energy intensive)
P.S - I got into bitcoin early because believe it was a hedge to inflation - realised it isn’t really a value add to society and have been dabbling with ethereum projects since 2016
I get the hate HN has for bitcoin - but deflationary assets are a use case especially when central banks believe they can pump infinite money. Nobody knows where this will end but your best bet is a deflationary asset
I love tech and finance - I believe the next decade we’ll see finance being disrupted by these protocols as ethereum moves to PoS
"Ethereum goal was to allow people to build different types of dApps by opening up the number of op codes on the virtual machine"
Let me tell you, laypersons won't understand a word of this at all. :)
For something like blockchains adding "trust" to finance, I have one big problem with this. Humans on both ends of the transaction still need to conduct their business honestly for this to work. Sure, the so-called smart contracts system, like the one found with Ethereum, allows you to write an immutable record to the blockchain that dictates whatever terms and commit it to what is essentially a distributed append-only database. Additionally, if you make a mistake on a smart contract, d'oh! You basically can't change an immutable record. You'd have to append over it with a fresh one, which, depending on how energy intensive this blockchain application is, contributes to unneeded waste.
Here's where my personal issue is at with all this. Say you decide to take receipt of a delivery from Timbuktu for some fine vases. You receive the items from said vendor and, despite the entry clearly describing what you were supposed to get, you in fact get scammed with a delivery full of sand. So, what do you intend to do? The ledger can be as specific about a transaction as you want, but this won't stop dishonest people from being dishonest. So then you can settle it in a court system, bring the parties to task, and... oh wait. Why did we not just simply use a regular database and time tested ERP systems that have done the job for ages?
I guess what I'm really getting at here is that blockchain isn't some magic bullet that will guarantee specific outcomes in commerce, and in fact, feels like a different way to do the exact same thing we've done forever, but we need to cater to some kind of NIH syndrome.
Back to cryptocurrencies, why do we need so many different tokens out there in existence? Aren't they all trying to generally accomplish similar tasks? That also adds a ton of confusion and consternation, with everyone claiming how their particular cryptocurrency project is truly the best and why you need to use it over INSERT PROJECT HERE.
Fintech is an interesting space to watch, but I see way more projects with less than pure intentions trying to see if they can make out like a bandit down the line.
The world wide web, by comparison, is (and by some sources... was) a truly democratic medium. I'm not sure the same thing applies with cryptocurrencies and blockchain, which all feel like solutions in search of a problem (or projects in search of money from FOMO-riddled folks with nothing better to do).
EDIT: To your point about Bitcoin being digital gold. Yeah... it's nice sounding in theory, but at least with real physical gold, it can survive till the heat death of the universe and doesn't require the constant consumption of resources to maintain it (which I find egregious and unconscionable), as well as not requiring an active internet connection. I'm not a goldbug either, but I can at least concede to gold having a handful of intrinsic properties which lends to it being a hedge in its own right, agreed on over thousands of years in human history.
Firstly, did we like become best friends or something? I love how you described homeschooling haha.
Secondly, really just want to say, yes... perhaps my use of the phrase "white savior complex" is a bit cringy and social justice-y, which I'm actually not really part of that camp. I'm just applying that based on some observation of what I see. I just wish the socio-political crap would mostly go away and let the technology of blockchain/bitcoin/whatever stand on its own. Some of the proponents I mentioned earlier in the thread also just make my skin crawl a bit. There is inherent dishonesty in their gospel, I personally feel.
I'm simply trying to point out what I feel is a dangerous game they play, especially with the massive boom and bust cycles bitcoin and its ilk undergo.
I'd feel far less cynical if there wasn't some pyramid-esque (no, bitcoin itself is not a pyramid scheme, but the community and proponents surrounding it make it feel like one in many ways) action going on around it, like all the activity between BTC and tethers and other shitcoins that makes it all look like painting the tape.
I'm of the opinion that currently, this all feels like a redistribution of the wealth in a weird casino like fashion, and not a legitimate growth in real value. That's just me though. For every rich-on-paper cryptocurrency fan, there are also plenty that have lost their shirts in this experiment.
Hope this ramble made any sense. I really appreciate you chiming in, imwillofficial.
I'm actually of the opinion that I need to be offended once in awhile.
It makes me think.
At best, this argument turns Bitcoin into a massive subsidy by stable countries of unstable ones. A subsidy paid for in the form of higher energy prices, environmental damage and opportunity cost.
It's kind of like saying you don't want to buy an index fund because there are some really volatile stocks in there!
If you are arguing that bitcoin is a bad currency because of high transfer fees, very few merchants accept it and that very few people are actually buying things with it in any meaningful way, then that's wrong because it's an asset.
If you are arguing that as an asset it is purely speculative and has no fundamentals and zero return other than appreciation, then that's wrong because it's a store of value.
If you are arguing that as a store of value it's actually highly volatile and has experienced multiple serious crashes, then that's wrong because it's actually a currency.
This is the primary tactic Bitcoin seems to use to deploy to combat any criticism - if someone critiques its ability to do one thing you claim it's something else..
Savings rates have exploded, and those funds need to go somewhere.
I'm at the traditional "first-time-homebuyer" age, and I'm personally saving a fair portion of my income primarily because assets, such as houses, are so expensive. Were housing cheaper, I'd be paying a mortgage instead of a saving account.
(And, I'd argue, sending longer doing so too due low interest rates.)
As per the earlier link:
> Personal saving is equal to personal income less personal outlays and personal taxes; it may generally be viewed as the portion of personal income that is used either to provide funds to capital markets or to invest in real assets such as residences.(https://www.bea.gov/national/pdf/all-chapters.pdf)
This has been true for the last 12 years and will continue to be true.
Good luck with _that!_
Yeah, it's almost as though they had invested in Bitcoin during one of its crashes. What do you think they will say next time Bitcoin crashes back to 10% of its value?
Here in the West there's basically no barriers for someone like me sending $10k or $10 million wherever, for whatever. Just ensure I pay any taxes on investment profits, and don't fund terrorists or drug cartels. Many countries are far more strict. E.g., Argentinians can only move $300 a month out of the country legally, as I understand it. If they want to purchase real estate in Canada or Australia as a hedge against inflation, for example, that can be very hard even if they have the funds.
Getting around capital controls seems to be a niche for Bitcoin. I can think of few other ways to simply send $10,000 from Argentina to Nigeria in one hour, reliably and securely. Assuming people can exchange Bitcoin for cash or similar on both ends, it can be near-ideal for certain pairings compared to the legal and traditional financial system.
Q: If you pitch up in, say, Canada or Australia, and offer to buy a chunk of expensive real estate and pay with Bitcoin, who is selling?
Q2: ... or do you have to convert to AUD/CAD first, and if so, which bank(s) can you rely on to not worry about KYC?
Q3: ... or do you have to actually travel to Canada or Australia first, in order to open a regular bank account first, in order to have somewhere to move your Bitcoin to, in order to have local currency, in order to be able to pay the local seller?
Even if you had to do that, laundering the funds into Canada unfortunately does not seem it would be difficult in practice, given the apparent scale of money-laundering associated with the Vancouver housing market. And you do not have to be physically present to acquire property in Canada.
Is this true only if you're sufficiently under the radar, or does it still hold true no matter how big/famous/wanted a criminal you are?
EDIT: see
https://www.step.org/industry-news/canadian-citizens-challen...
and
https://www.fintrac-canafe.gc.ca/guidance-directives/client-...
??
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/cullen-commi...
https://globalnews.ca/news/7593419/bc-casinos-too-dangerous-...
I think at some point, government is going to ban PoW mining in the same way they ban gasoline based cars or plastic bags.
> The thing is... Bitcoin solves a problem for almost nobody. It's almost entirely a speculative bubble. Citizens of stable countries are almost entirely better off with traditional currencies
That's the key: citizens of stable countries are just speculating, but for people of not so stable countries (Mexico, Argentina, China, among several others) where people just do not trust their government & their banking system, Cryptocurrencies deffinitely have value.
In my case, I have part of my portfolio on Bitcoins, because there is no easy way to open a USD account in Mexico, and storing USD or gold is just not practial. And with our stupid president having 4 more years to go, the country is quickly going to a deep recesion. I don't doubt that when a recession come, the government will "lock" the banks to prevent a "cash run" as they did before (and as it has happened in other countries like Venezuela and Greece)
Fair point, but curious in how many shops in those countries you can buys groceries or how many landlords take their rent in Crypto? Because if you can't use it to feed or house yourself then what's the point of owning it other than going back to BTC's only real use cases so far: storing it for speculation, drug trafficking and ransomeware payments.
Plus, can you imagine paying a $26 transaction fee every time you buy a $0.30 loaf of bread with bitcoin?
In Cuba there are 2 coins accepted CUC and CUP . The CUC was more or less pegged to the dollar and people preferred it due to distrust of their government.
It happens. And cryptocurrencies will continue to evolve to fill up that trust less requirement.
Stores and landlords won’t take payment in gold or index funds either.
Seems like a great way to lose any stored value in transaction fees. Transaction fees are $26USD right now, which is likely more than what most pay in those countries for their groceries.
That's what's said now because it failed as a currency.
Cryptocurrency cannot sustain that. DApps are effectively useless. Blockchains are expensive and environmentally destructive merkle trees and do nothing that git couldn't do faster and easier and cheaper. Decentralization has not proven itself to be useful at all to anyone.
A killer app doesn't even have to be complicated, it only has to be useful. Nothing about cryptocurrency is useful. It is an ouroboros of busywork and self-justification.
So I would ask, why wouldn't a new technology need to demonstrate utility?
Do they really? Or are you fantasizing a Cyberpunk future where they would?
Because fantasies are cheap, but food and shelter is not, and the ones who make the bread might be more into the cash in hand right now rather than waiting for your BTC transaction to clear.
The parent is clearly not making that statement.
Parent said ".. they will sell an amount of Bitcoin" which can be done either through exchanges or just as easily peer-to-peer through platforms like LocalBitcoin. If you have Bitcoin in a scenario like that, most definitely will not be a problem.
Until the regime decides to cut off access to crypto exchanges or the whole internet country wide. Good luck cashing out your bitcoins then.
How else are you gonna spend your crypto to buy food or pay for shelter or pay for travel or smugglers to get you out of the country?
Crypto would be great if it could be used 100% offline, like tap your phones via NFC, and boom, coins transferred, here's your bread.
So if a bunch of miners drop off due to electricity prices or such concerns, the network will simply readjust and keep on going.
BTC has a lot of issues, but nothing forces it to be ever power hungrier. It can scale down the energy consumption and keep on existing just fine.
Bitcoin and other proof-of-work (no actual useful work being done here either, opportunity wasted!) based crypto-currencies increase the proof-of-work algorithms complexity factor as a means of controlling the rate. Bitcoin cannot scale up without using an ever increasing literal waste of electricity. Want a better system? make a new crypto-currency trust basis... (proof of stake, etc.)
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Proof_of_work
https://changelly.com/blog/proof-of-work/#Proof-of-Work-Draw...
Yes, BTC is proof of work. Yes, complexity increases to control the rate. But that's it.
Complexity has nothing to do with scaling. BTC doesn't scale. It's fixed at 1 block per 10 minutes, 1MB per block. No amount of horsepower is going to give it more capacity, so BTC doesn't scale up by wasting more power. It stays the same.
You can see this in forks like Bitcoin Cash, which took the exact same algorithm, and forked the exact same chain, but gained less miners. After some time it readjusted, and BCH is perfectly functional with less miners than BTC.
I agree that BTC and its ilk suck in many, many ways. But saying that power usage must increase is incorrect. It can remain static or go down without changing the functionality or the capacity of the network to process transactions, because those things don't depend in any way on the hashrate.
Today i believe, most usage of Bitcoin is for legitimate purposes. There is always lots of illegal use cases for anything with value, if it has value, people will do illegal s** to get it and will use as payment. Human nature.
The energy used since the inception of the network is what makes the network valuable. Think of it this way: to create a cryptocurrency you need some "value" attached to it, Bitcoin does this by converting energy->work->bitcoin, you add "value" to the network in the form of energy and get bitcoin back (you get your "value" back in the form of money when you sell the mined BTC). Ethereum took a different approach (token sale + PoW) and now are moving to PoS.
Pure PoW seems the only way to launch a completely anonymous and decentralized crypto
Transaction wallet ids are public and Chinese miners control the currency.
Like what? Aside from "speculating that it will increase in value", what are these legitimate purposes?
Same as Facebook or Twitter or Instagram. They may use less power but their negative influence is far greater.
[1]https://youtu.be/emc83bQYiF8?t=1358
Also, consider the massive dis-incentivization of consumption that BTC will encourage. The environmental effects are ambiguous, and probably not nearly as bad as mainstream media suggests. It could even be net positive.
I wonder how afraid one actually needs to be of 51% attacks. How would the attacker profit from a 51% attack? They might double-spend, or rewrite known history somehow, or decide to only include certain transactions in their blocks and leave other transactions stranded. In each of these cases, it would be clear to everyone that Bitcoin has been broken, and that it has lost its usefulness and the properties it became famous for. The attacker might then control a large amount of Bitcoin, but having lost everyone's trust in it, that large amount of Bitcoin would be worthless. It's not in any attacker's interest to actually break the system, since they would need a gigantic initial investment and get no return on it. (Except if it were very cheap and the attacker's motivation would really be to destroy Bitcoin.)
I don't think we need to fool ourselves that miners are in it to "protect" the network. They're in it to make money.
It’s a clean energy subsidy. Be it hydroelectric, wind, nuclear, or cold fusion - create it and the returns are yours indefinitely.
Indeed, much of mining is already hydroelectric, and much is overage that can’t be stored. This is not just sugarcoating or PR. Miners are highly incentivized to find these situations and exploit them. The more that happens, the less “bad” miners can even compete.
I lived in a period without debit and credit cards. You dropped your cash it was gone. I'm not sure not having a reversal transaction is the killer missing feature.
I know what life is like with the existing feature of getting thousands of stolen dollars back by relying on the banking (and/or legal) system. I won't willingly adopt a system without it.
Most Android phones stop receiving security updates after two years or less.
Can someone hack an exchange or your bank account login/password or your bank or worse setup for an account under your name no phone needed?
There's plenty of malware that looks for unsecured Bitcoin wallets on machines it infects, or masquerades as legitimate wallet software.
If you have root, you just need to wait until the user unlocks their wallet, or if you're lucky, their wallets don't have passwords.
With bitcoin it's medieval ages at best.
If you don't know the other person then cash or bitcoin it wouldn't matter.
If you drop your cash it's gone. If you drop your bitcoin wallet and you backed it up you still have your bitcoin..
Since we need huge investments into renewables production, every mechanism for such capital reallocation should be welcomed. Our future is electticity. Currently we are producing a fraction of what we'll need.
Lots of banking problems in your so called "stable" countries like your account getting blocked (try running a business on transferwise or paypal) because of some shit algortihm.
How much energy do all atm machines (on idle) waste compared to miners? At least miners have incentive (dependent on local regulation/costs) to find cheaper sources of energy because it directly affects their bottom line.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electri...
Bitcoin grows by a factor of 100x, Satoshi is now a Trillionaire. He has vast reserves of money he can move around anonymously. Does he still exist? Well his coins haven't moved. Will the world be okay with the mystery?
So the likely reasons someone sitting in a notional value of $50B+ who hasn't cashed in any of it include:
1. He (or she) is dead (I believe the last confirmed post was 2012?);
2. He (or she) has lost access to these coins;
3. He (or she) has cashed in some wealth from wallets not linked to Satoshi; or
3. He (or she) is sitting on this mountain of wealth and not cashing any of it in.
There's the possibility of course that Satoshi isn't one person but several.
Let's consider (4). You would need to be an incredibly committed ideologue. We have ways now of essentially laundering crypto (ie by converting it to other crypto through a pooling mechanism that makes it difficult to identify the source wallet for what comes out).
It's stated that perhaps Satoshi fears government persecution (eg the tenuous connection to Wikileaks). To me that seems... unlikely. It's not like Satoshi controls the network. Lots of people hold crypto now.
Maybe Satoshi just really likes his, her or their privacy. But given that wealth... (1) or (2) become increasingly likely as time goes on.
It's fun to speculate.
This has always been my biggest sticking point with cryptocurrencies. It doesn't take into account that sometimes you need to fix a mistake.
Cryptos also have a usability problem. If you forget your login credentials you lose access to your account. If you forgot your credentials at a regular bank, they have multiple avenues for figuring out if you are who you say you are. Eg post etc.
Didn't read the rest, btw forks of a chain like bcash doesn't have much to do with immutability.
I realized something very sad this year.
I used to think that Bitcoin was a poor currency, and if someone just made one that was actually scalable and better, then this whole first-gen system would fizzle out, like Friendster or AskJeeves in the presence of better technology.
But no. You see, Satoshi had us all fooled with the title of his paper: “A peer to peer cash system.” FORGET about Bitcoin being a currency. It is a store of value. And it has all the features you’d ever need to store value and not have it be diluted. There is nothing that needs to be improved over and above those features, and that is its killer app: being a black hole of value. Constantly growing versus fiat.
You see, just like gold, Bitcoin is a store of value becaus others say it is. It has reached critical mass and mindshare for “storing value” even from companies now. From here on out, even if a better system arises, if it becomes a sidechain of bitcoin that locks up the coins, then there will be less and less “unlocked” coins, and therefore each coin will be more valuable. Also, bitcoins are constantly lost as dust or misplaced private keys or other things. And so the supply shrinks.
But bitcoin is divisible into extremely tiny pieces (satoshis) so this merely helps one bitcoin get more and more valuable. You can’t kill bitcoin by making something better because even if 1/1000th of it remains, it will actually just be more valuable. The scarcer bitcoin gets, the pricier bitcoin gets, like the Hulk.
Ok so what does it mean for electricity consumption? Here is where the sad part comes in! You see, bitcoin miners are rewarded in bitcoin, and as long as the price of bitcoin outpaces the halvings, mining rewards will grow.
Read the story again, and extrapolate. The year is 2035, and households are fighting for electricity against bitcoin miners, who are easily winning. Governments trying to ban bitcoin mining meet similar fate to Mexican governments trying to ban the drug cartels’ activity, that is to say their families are threatened and they do not have power anymore to stop it, etc. Their feeble attempts to print money fall short of the ever growing rewards.
Everything in the article about bitcoin using “only” 6% is misunderstanding the expontnential function. In 2021 those stats are outdated and the Bitcoin network consumes more electricity than half the world’s countries. We are five minutes to midnight. By the time we realize it’s consuming more than half the world combined, it will be too late to stop this activity. It will be “too sweet” and too financial lucrative.
If you think we can stop it as a society, then let’s see how we have done with killing off insects, reducing biodiversity and species, polluting the world with plastic and pumping greenhouse gases into the air. Take that last one for example — have we been able to make a reduction in the greenhouse gas emissions, or merely their rate of growth?
What exactly will change between now and 2035, or 2135 that will make bitcoing mining NOT be more economical valuable than, say, airconditioning homes?
Change my mind. Prove me wrong.
How Argentina justifies using so much energy?
Bitcoin supports the degenerate gambling habits of some nerds.
This is a very Western centric view. Also, I live in the west and see Bitcoin as a good alternative store of wealth.
Also, have fun staying po...
With a twitter thread?
I mean, what is the application of Bitcoin, except crime?
Bo one believes in BitCoin except a few people who don't understand how the word works.
Do educate yourself: https://medium.com/@kaistinchcombe/ten-years-in-nobody-has-c... and followup: https://medium.com/@kaistinchcombe/decentralized-and-trustle...
As to your tweet, it is as ignorant and uneducated as anything coming from bitcoin apologists.
Good luck with your S&P ETF fund.
Another article suggests the carbon footprint of Bitcoin is equivalent to New Zealand [2].
It's not just the cost of mining new coins (which will ultimately end) but the cost of maintaining the network. The more valuable the collective Bitcoins are, the more energy you need to spend defending it against 51% attacks.
To the apologists claiming there's no other good use for that energy, it's not simple. Using too much electricity can raise the price that everybody pays [3].
Miners will keep chasing cheap power but I expect, much like ArbBnB, municipalities, states and even countries will increasingly clamp down on it.
The thing is... Bitcoin solves a problem for almost nobody. It's almost entirely a speculative bubble. Citizens of stable countries are almost entirely better off with traditional currencies. Try and see ordinary people deal with a Bitcoin wallet and discover there's no recourse if a vulnerability in their computer means the contents are irreversibly stolen.
I realize there are corner cases (eg sending money to and from Venezuela). There's also a lot of illegal use cases.
Thing is, blockchains aren't really as immutable as pundits suggest. Bitcoin and Ethereum have had forks.
[1]: https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-56012952#:~:text=Cambrid....
[2]: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/05/bitcoin-btc-surge-renews-wor....
[3]: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/cheap-power-drew-bitcoin-m...