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Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by LeoPanthera on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:23PM (#25102837)
This may be a bit off-topic, but these comments are really eye-opening. I had no idea that anti-EV sentiment was so strongly held. Especially among HN users, who you would assume would be more likely to see the benefits of new technology.

What's disappointing is that all the talking points are the same-old tired fossil fuel propaganda from a decade ago. We have made progress, and we can make more progress if we all pull together.

It's seems crazy that in the 21st century the best option we have for the storage and transfer of energy is "let's burn stuff". We can do better than that.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:42PM (#25103017)
I live in the UK and I'm 100% for it in theory, but 100% against it in practice.

I currently have an electric vehicle - the only kind of usage scenario where it works and is absolutely brilliant is charging at home. That's about it. Public charging is a joke, vast majority of stations either don't work, are occupied most of the time, or cost so much money to use that it would literally be cheaper to drive a diesel car.

We visited our friends some time ago in London for a few days(before lockdown). They live in an apartment so no way I could run a cable to the parking space. No problem I thought - there's a Shell station nearby with a charging point, several ChargeYourCar points at car park not far away, and I could see on ZapMap that there were two charging points on the street - and worst case scenario there are rapid chargers along the way at few motorway stops.

We got there and basically - all ChargeYourCar points were out of order for 3 days we were there, the 2 charging points on the street were only for permit holders(something that ZapMap didn't mention), and the one single charging point at the Shell station nearby was occupied every single time I checked. So we stopped at the motorway services in the end, where they had 4 rapid charging points - all taken. We waited 30 minutes for someone to leave, once they left the car wouldn't connect - had to ring up the number on the charger, finally the customer service advisor restarted the point for me and it started charging. Only another 45 minutes of waiting and we had enough charge to get home. Oh and the charge was literally £0.49/kWh(I pay £0.05/kWh at home on a night tariff) - I had a Qashqai 1.6dCi few years ago that I could fill up for that much and drive down to london and back.

Again, the car itself is brilliant. It is the future. I have no idea how people still drive around in cars that burn anything to move - they are loud, having to have gears is stupid, having to keep buying fuel is stupid.

And yet.

I can't imagine that the UK government and the private sector will get their act together and somehow, in 9 years, the infrastructure will be amazing, and they will find answers to questions like how do you charge at an apartment or a house with no dedicated parking space. I'm eagerly awaiting to hear about these solutions.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:11PM (#25103316)
>I can't imagine that the UK government and the private sector will get their act together and somehow, in 9 years, the infrastructure will be amazing, and they will find answers to questions like how do you charge at an apartment or a house with no dedicated parking space. I'm eagerly awaiting to hear about these solutions.

They have much longer than 9 years to get the infrastructure right.

The average car age in the US is roughly 12 years old. I imagine is is roughly the same in the UK. That means even if they stop selling new ICE cars in 2030 the average car might still be an ICE into the 2040s. Assuming no further restrictions it probably wouldn't be until the 2050s that it would become truly difficult to find a used ICE car.

Obviously the UK would need to improve in the meantime, but they would basically have 30 years to get their EV infrastructure into the position it works for every car owner.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by bobthepanda on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:29PM (#25103444)
> They have much longer than 9 years to get the infrastructure right.

No, these seem like pretty solid questions to ask if you are going to be forced to buy an electric car, not just if society is going to go all electric. Unless we're trying to convince people to just stop buying cars altogether in 2030.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:37PM (#25103505)
>if you are going to be forced to buy an electric car,

That was my point. You aren't going to be forced to buy an EV. The used market for ICE vehicles can be expected to be robust for some 15-20 years after the ban on new cars goes into effect.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by bobthepanda on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:18PM (#25103862)
Being forced to buy an old ICE car rather than a new one is still being forced to do something.

Newer cars will have improvements in other things besides motive power, like safety features. Are we going to force people who are not in a situation where EVs are usable, to forgo safety measures as well?

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @04:42PM (#25105174)
No one is being "forced" to do anything. You want an ICE car, you can keep your ICE car or buy another used one. I am sure when it comes to it, there will also be a thriving niche market to keep these cars roadworthy for even longer than the normal 15-20 year lifespan. That also probably includes aftermarket modifications to make the cars safer.

I'm also sure at some point someone somewhere might be inconvenienced by decisions like this, but we are going to have to just accept that if we want to combat climate change. Maybe you object to it for a political or ideological reason. However it doesn't make sense to blame that objection on the lack of currently existing infrastructure when it would be 20-30 years before we truly need that level of infrastructure.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by bobthepanda on Sunday November 15, 2020 @05:04PM (#25105359)
> when it would be 20-30 years before we truly need that level of infrastructure.

I don't agree. Where I currently live, there are often waitlists for rationed time at workplace charging spots. The person who you initially responded to also has massive issues charging anywhere outside the home. We are already at a point where electric infrastructure is woefully inadequate to deal with the influx of EVs in the current market, which isn't all that EV friendly; this will be catastrophic once all new cars are required to be EV-friendly.

The correct choice to combat climate change would be to actually make credible, large investments in national EV charging networks, not pooh pooh the issue and tell motorists to eat cake.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @05:22PM (#25105503)
You are miscategorizing my comment. From my first post:

>Obviously the UK would need to improve in the meantime, but they would basically have 30 years to get their EV infrastructure into the position it works for every car owner.

I acknowledge it needs to improve. However conversion of infrastructure doesn't need to be completed by 2030. A gradual increase in infrastructure over the next 20-30 years can get the job done and is eminently doable.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by bobthepanda on Sunday November 15, 2020 @05:34PM (#25105607)
> I can't imagine that the UK government and the private sector will get their act together and somehow, in 9 years, the infrastructure will be amazing, and they will find answers to questions like how do you charge at an apartment or a house with no dedicated parking space. I'm eagerly awaiting to hear about these solutions.

This isn't what's "works for every car owner", this is "works for even a majority of car owners". The current setup is terrible, the current investment pace is terrible, and there are currently no actionable plans to do better. And here we are talking like a ban is supposed to be feasible and this is going to get bearable in a nine-year timeframe.

We're not talking about the conversion of infrastructure, we're talking about the existence of adequate infrastructure. Other countries with electric transitions have clearly put public funding for infrastructure in place, and that's why it's not punishing for them to mandate it, because they are already ready.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @05:58PM (#25105800)
I don't know what to tell you. You are acting like I am saying something that I'm not saying. Here is a simplified timeline that would meet the criteria I am talking about.

2020 - EV infrastructure works for a minority of drivers.

2030 - EV infrastructure works for the average driver.

2045 - EV infrastructure works for all drivers.

Also I was talking about conversion because it isn't like the ICE infrastructure is going to persist in perpetuity. That real estate can be converted over to public EV chargers as the ratio of cars on the road change. Right now Tesla's fastest chargers can do an 80% charge in less than 30 minutes. If the industry is able to cut that in half over the next 20 years, recharging an EV isn't really going to be any less practical than refueling an ICE vehicle. We aren't going to need a dedicated parking space with a dedicated charger for every car by 2030.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by bobthepanda on Sunday November 15, 2020 @06:10PM (#25105866)
I just don't think that the UK has announced any sort of substantial public investment that would enable what you're saying in 2030 to actually be a reality. The free market is not going to deliver an EV infrastructure that works for the average driver by that time period given current levels of investment; ergo, without public investment, a 2030 ban is unreasonable.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @06:21PM (#25105952)
It is a mistake to judge what the free market is currently doing as an indication of what the market will do as the share of EVs on the road increases. That is why it is important to point out that it is possible for gradual change to be enough. However there is no way to really know for sure how this will turn out, so I guess we just have to agree to disagree.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by Arnt on Sunday November 15, 2020 @04:15PM (#25104919)
You're wrong about the 12 years — that's the average age at retirement, so the average car on the roads is six years old, not 12.

But I think you're right about the bigger issue — Norway's further along the road, and has been able to fix the infrastructure enough that people don't complain much, and has done so in much less than those 30 years. There are complaints, e.g. about building coops that won't let people install chargers in shared garages.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @04:43PM (#25105187)
>You're wrong about the 12 years — that's the average age at retirement, so the average car on the roads is six years old, not 12.

Here is my source[1]. Average age for vehicles in operation is 11.9 years. 1 in 4 cars are at least 16 years old. Do you have a source on your claims?

[1] - https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/28/25percent-of-cars-in-us-are-...

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by dagw on Monday November 16, 2020 @03:28AM (#25109403)
"in 1994, 6.3 per cent of cars on the road were over 13 years of age...(in 2019) the percentage of vehicles over this age is 19 per cent."

"according to the research, the average age of all cars on UK roads has increased from 6.7 years in 1994 to 8.3 years in 2019."

https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/cars/article-8739771/Bri...

So the average car is getting older, but still far from 12 years.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by Arnt on Monday November 16, 2020 @09:41AM (#25112174)
Total cars on the road divided by new car sales.

I seem to find useful pages only in German now (I am in Germany), which I expect wouldn't help you much, but statista.com and wikipedia.org has both, and if you wade through all the irrelevant graphs on statista you'll typically see that total/new is in the low teens for western countries (I checked three now, e.g. 47m/3.4m for .de, almost 14y lifetime or 7y average age).

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by russli1993 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:10PM (#25103306)
Nio's car is capable of battery swapping. There is a swap station and a robotic arm take out the battery from your car a change a new one in 3 mins. What is interesting is that they have this program where when you buy a car, you don't buy the battery, you pay a price for the car, then a subscription fee for the battery. And then you can do unlimited free changes at these battery stations. The idea is that you use the entire battery like "fuel". You don't care the ownership of a battery. They make sure the battery is always healthy and full of charge. It also allow you to upgrade to a bigger capacity battery on your car just buy changing a tier in the subscription. Back then nio cars were launched with 75kw battery. Now users can upgrade their car to a 100kw battery by changing a tier of the sub on their phone and pay more monthly fee. Oh you can also downgrade the tier too, say you don't need the single charge range of the 100kw, you can switch to the 75kw and have lower per month fee. China population mostly live in dense apartments, and many old apartments cannot be retrofited with car chargers. This is vastly different from the US where people live in houses. This system allow nio cars to be used like gas cars. And if your swap speed is fast, you don't need as many "energy refill" stations. The way I see it, it's really hard to get ev charging speed equal to gas refills. But it's not technically difficult to a build a robot that changes out battery fast. There was another car company that made a prototype battery change station that can swap battery in 1 mins. And you can always charge the battery as well. So fast charging, destination charging, at home charging for the capable. The combination is able to cover more scenarios and more flexibility. I think it will be interesting to see how this system gets developed in the future. See if it could work well. It will bring a new solution to this industry problem. So far, it seems to work well for both nio and consumers.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by jaharios on Sunday November 15, 2020 @03:56PM (#25104751)
This seems to me the only way possible to solve the charging problem. Not only it neutralizes the need for charging stations in your house but it makes the refill out of your house easy as gas one. The problem again is the adaptability and compatibility , if we can make smartphone companies use the same cable good luck making car manufacturers use a common battery type.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by grecy on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:00PM (#25103207)
> and somehow, in 9 years, the infrastructure will be amazing...

It doesn't have to magically be "perfect" on Jan 1, 2030.

In the UK around 2.3 million vehicles are sold per year[1]. Which means in 2030 about that many electric cars will be sold, and so on for each year. The ICE vehicles that were sold in 2029 won't magically stop being used, they'll just slowly fade out.

So in reality they have until well into the 2030s (even 2040s) before the very vast majority of vehicles will be all electric.

Of course this is a big challenge, and it will require effort. Anything worth doing is difficult.

The other choice is we sit around and do nothing. I know which option I prefer. And at 38 years old, it isn't up to me. Talk to people who are 15-25 and ask what kind of air they want to breath and what kind of world they want to live in. This is a decision for them, not for us.

[1] https://www.marklines.com/en/statistics/flash_sales/salesfig...

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:06PM (#25103257)
> and ask what kind of air they want to brea

I don't know what kind of air they want, but it doesn't look like they are doing much to stop polluting.

If they wanted to, they could stop buying so many clothes or wear them for more than a season...

https://indigohoneycomb.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/fash.png

https://assets.weforum.org/editor/4DxwPKr6vDnGTAjAheQiVQrcrv...

See?

Nobody likes a bit of truth

People only want to believed the stories they already believe in.

As I've written in another comment

"Praise EV and you'll look cool, blame fast fashion and they'll hate you"

Point proven.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by ip26 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:51PM (#25103124)
Maybe I'm engaging in magical thinking, but I can't help think after a policy like this is implemented, apartments without electrical service next to your parking spot will rapidly become virtually unlettable. Supply follows demand.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by pmontra on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:50PM (#25103608)
Houses could have their own charging stations. I guess all the cars will need to be charged during the night, in parallel.

Parking garages could add charging stations for all their customers and get paid for that.

Parking places on the streets could be equipped with charging stations, one per place. It's going to be more complicated than laying fiber optics but doable. It's a new grid as big as the current one and for higher wattage.

Finally, if you have to park where there are no charging stations, oops.

Gas stations that can refill N cars per hour will be able to recharge a fraction of them, bad news for those businesses.

Of course this is true only if we'll have to charge. If battery swap becomes common then the problem will be solved. Yet, the volume and the weight of a battery is still greater than the volume and weight of the gasoline storing the equivalent energy. The logistics will be more complicated. I expect to see power plants dedicated to charging: charge batteries -> load them on a truck -> deliver to "EV stations" -> bring back the exhausted batteries -> check if they're still OK -> loop again.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by xxpor on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:43PM (#25103557)
And following that assumption, the most recent version of the national electric code in the US calls for there to be a drop for a EVSE at every N parking spots in new apartment buildings (there's a formula based on how many spots). It doesn't require for an EVSE to actually be installed, but the building has to have the capacity for it. That's important because adding say 20 30 amp EVSEs is a non-trivial increase in the total capacity a building needs.

BTW, even a 30 amp EVSE isn't great in an apartment. Because commercial service is almost always 3 phase, you'll only get 208v. That's 6.2 kW. In my townhouse, I have a 40A 240V circuit (50A at the breaker, but the 80% rule means the EVSE only puts out 40A). That's 10 kW. A 61% increase.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by eisa01 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @03:28PM (#25104510)
Norwegian experience is that you only need on average 1-2 kW on a load balanced system (individual chargers are 22 kW). I hope the regulation allows for that?
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by Wowfunhappy on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:47PM (#25103085)
How do you expect this to change? Whatever the downsides of electric cars, rampant global warming is clearly much worse. (And yes, stopping it will require more than just switching to electric cars.)

Perhaps if electric vehicles were mandated, fast charging stations would be more widely available...

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:52PM (#25103129)
Btw, that's not me arguing against electric vehicles. They are absolutely fantastic. I think in the next ~10 years everyone who can aford one and has a place to charge one should get one. There will be a massive shift towards them. I just don't see a total ban in 2030 to be necessary -the market will shift towards electric anyway, but if you are in a situation where an electric car just doesn't work for you for whatever reason, I don't see why you shouldn't be able to buy an ICE car. Especially since I imagine they will start being in minority by then, so their impact will be smaller and smaller every year. With a total ban you aren't solving the situation for people who can't work around the limits of an EV - you're just making them pay higher and higer prices on the second hand market for existing ICE cars(as pre-2030 cars are meant to be allowed for as long as they work).
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by Wowfunhappy on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:57PM (#25103180)
I would also prefer a very strong carbon tax (or something similar like cap-and-trade) over a blanket ban on specific products, but I'm not sure it makes much difference in practice. Isn't forcing people to pay more on the second hand market more-or-less equivalent to adding a tax?

And, eventually, you'd need the number of ICE vehicles to be low enough that ubiquitous gas stations won't be economically viable anyway.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by bobthepanda on Sunday November 15, 2020 @05:32PM (#25105589)
two words: public investment

Norway has already shown the road to getting to mostly EVs. It costs money. But they can easily ban ICE cars because they've put their money where their mouth is.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by saiya-jin on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:05PM (#25103248)
Look, we're all trying to do something for the future, we're on the same boat. But you can't just simply waltz to mankind and actively make their lives measurably more miserable 'because future and polar bears', suck it up. People will react very negatively and you will lose the cause, maybe for good. In next elections some populist will win and revert any progress (I believe I don't need to put names here, do I).

It literally doesn't matter that everybody on Hacker News would agree with this, HN is definitely not a representative sample on many topics.

If you think mankind is smarter, look at politics of lately, look at covid-related deniers, folks rejecting masks due to some wacky conspiracy, 5g/chipping and so on and on.

Forcing folks like this while we give places like China, India or other polluters a free pass? Not only are people expected to pay the bill (research, transition), but it literally won't matter on global scale that they do.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by Wowfunhappy on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:20PM (#25103372)
> But you can't just simply waltz to mankind and actively make their lives measurably more miserable 'because future and polar bears', suck it up.

It's not for the polar bears, it's for us. Massive droughts and rampant storms are going to be far worse than needing to charge electric cars.

What is your alternate plan? I would love to have a less disruptive path forward.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by burntoutfire on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:27PM (#25103959)
UK going away from fossil fuel-powered cars will not affect climate change in any mesurable way. The way to go forward is to get everyone (or at least a majority of countries) to agree on a reduction program. Otherwise, UK's population will suffer for nothing.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by _ph_ on Monday November 16, 2020 @03:23AM (#25109384)
Funny, one thing one hears in these discussions in Germany is: reducing the amount of CO2 emitted in Germany isn't affecting climate change in a measurable way. Now replicate this in most other countries... One has to start and other nations are going to quickly join in.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by craigr1972 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:35PM (#25104042)
Yes it will, because the UK is hosting the United Nations Climate Change Conference in 2021 at which a lot of vital decisions will be made or ratified.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by majewsky on Monday November 16, 2020 @09:59AM (#25112405)
By the same logic, we shouldn't spend money on the police to investigate murders in $TOWN because even if we did, it wouldn't down the global crime rate all that much.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by concordDance on Wednesday November 18, 2020 @03:58AM (#25134576)
That's really not analogous at all...

Where is the negative externality in your example?

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by raxxorrax on Wednesday November 18, 2020 @03:40AM (#25134456)
I think you are correct and the responses are missing the point. But I don't think a petrol ban is forcing people to do anything. If it really would negatively individual transport, there would be a huge backlash. But I think the scenarios are realistic enough so it doesn't come to that.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by _ph_ on Monday November 16, 2020 @03:21AM (#25109372)
Switching to electric cars will make the life better for most of us. Even ignoring the fight against climate change, they don't emit bad smelling and most importantly toxic exhaust, create much less noise. In most cases, they drive way better than ICE cars.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:01PM (#25103221)
> they are loud, having to have gears is stupid,

It's the beauty of driving

I'm all in favour for people to stop driving if they don't like it, I can't wait for the day where I can be among the few owners of a mechanical car that I drive when I need to relax, outside of the cities, just don't call what other people enjoy stupid, please

Before anybody jumps at me, I quit driving for commute or day by day activities 7 years ago and when I need a car now I use car sharing (I spent around 25-30 euros a month, it really is nothing compared to what I used to spend when I owned a car).

But please don't tell me that one of those electric smart is a real car

The feeling is just not there

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:07PM (#25103276)
>>just don't call what other people enjoy stupid, please

I enjoy it too, my last car was a Mercedes AMG with a modified exhaust and a tune map. I loved it.

But no, it was stupid. The climate is fucked and I literally had a car where the ECU would inject fuel and cut ignition just to produce the loud BRAP BRAP BRAP noise when changing gears. Literally burning fuel to make a noise and not move the car forward.

Like, these two are not mutually exclusive. It was incredibly awesome and incredibly stupid at the same time.

For driving experience of course I would pick the AMG over my electric car. But it's not a sustainable position to be in.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:30PM (#25103451)
> The climate is fucked

Not because of manual gears...

Or because people love to drive

But because we move too many things burning fossil fuel

Pleasure is never stupid, before considering driving stupid, there are many things I would call it first

For example drinking beer, to quote you "you are literally burning fossil fuel to produce something that poison you"

The war on ice is wrong in many ways similar to the war on drugs: it is punitive only for the final user.

Do you really want people to stop using cars?

Instead of putting public money in private companies to help people buy the expensive new electric cars, give the money directly to people to not use the car and see what they use the money for, so you can better understand what their needs are, instead of creating an artificial one.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by phil21 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:51PM (#25103623)
> Do you really want people to stop using cars?

Stop? Nope. Vastly reduce reliance? Yep. Remove all subsidy to this mode of transit? Yes.

Global warming in my opinion is only the tip of the iceberg of "things car-based society has hurt". The massive sprawl induced by subsidized car infrastructure has many societal impacts, pollution is only one small item of a huge list.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Sunday November 15, 2020 @05:47PM (#25105708)
> Stop? Nope. Vastly reduce reliance? Yep. Remove all subsidy to this mode of transit? Yes.

We agree

You make an important point, the exact one that makes me doubtful that EV transition should be subsidized, again.

EV incentives will go to the same actors that created these conditions and is going to pay for the same infrastructure that made our cities a living hell.

Instead of banning cars, remove the need to use them.

Instead of subsidize car makers, subsidize the rethinking of the entire mobility plans

If people won't need cars, they won't use them

If people feel that they invested in new "safe" EV cars, even the young people who show no love for cars (not wrongfully) will start using them, because they are new, they are modern, they are safe and probably smell good too and for sure they signal that you care about the environment, so you won't keep them hidden in the garage, you'll use them as much as you can (also to maximize the investment)

Which will bring us to the same point we are now: much of the cities public real estate is eaten by roads and parkings while walking is disincentivized because everything useful, from IKEA to the shoe shop, are in some giant mall out of town unreachable without a car

We need to get rid of cars as a social need, EV or not, it is a really bad habit to rely on them other than for fun and the occasional emergency

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by noonespecial on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:47PM (#25104129)
Soon some madlad will create a kit with pedals, a shift knob, and some noise makers for under the car plus a sweet software patch that will perfectly replicate the manual petrol experiece.

A bunch of purists with then argue that despite the fact they can't reliably tell the simulated electric from the original in blind a/b testing that the original is still better because it has "soul".

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Sunday November 15, 2020 @03:37PM (#25104592)
It's already a thing in China - they created an electric car that has a clutch and 6 gears - that don't actually do anything, they are 100% simulated, including stalling the car. Why? For a training car, so people who want a manual driving licence can train on an electric car.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/jalopnik.com/this-chinese-elect...

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Sunday November 15, 2020 @06:10PM (#25105868)
It's not about soul, it's about safety

Engine braking is an important part of driving safely because it avoids losing control of the steering wheels and can be used to drive at constant speed or slow down on slippery surfaces (snow, ice, water etc.)

There's a reason if trucks are still mainly manual and even the automatic transmission in trucks is not the same used in cars (it's much more advanced and it's more a computer activated gear than simply automatic)

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Monday November 16, 2020 @03:47AM (#25109530)
I don't understand your argument at all. Again, every single electric car(including my own) has a regenerative mode, where the car applies gentle resistance to the electric motors when you lift your foot off the throttle - I can absolutely guarantee that if you drove one you wouldn't see any difference between this and engine braking with a manual. It provides the same level of safety in slippery conditions as a manual would.

The reasons why trucks don't usually have automatic transmissions is that the torque needed to move such a huge mass would destroy nearly every traditional hydrokinetic transmission, only recently dual clutches have started getting good enough to be installed in trucks, and indeed most new tractors you can buy now from Volvo, Mercedes or Scania are all automatic. It has nothing to do with safety, it was a technical limitation. And for braking trucks have a separate engine retarder that has nothing to do with the transmission.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Monday November 16, 2020 @04:31AM (#25109806)
> where the car applies gentle resistance to the electric motors when you lift your foot off the throttle

are you chosing it or how much?

the answer is no.

you can't become an expert if you aren't allowed to control the parameters.

> The reasons why trucks don't usually have automatic transmissions is that the torque needed to move such a huge mass would destroy nearly every traditional hydrokinetic transmission

that's another point, automatic transmission is more expensive, less robust and increases the cost of the vehicle without adding any other benefit than being 'easier' to operate.

would you fly on a plane where the pilot only knows how to use the autopilot?

that's where safety comes in, when things take more time to master, people tend to become better at them

Manual gear is not stupid, it is simply technically superior (it costs less and lasts more).

That doesn't mean we should have levers and clutches, that's the simplistic view of wannabe futurists, trucks have something much more similar to a semi-automatic (with 10, 12, 13 gears) than a full automatic one.

Truth is car makers need to sell more cars and will gladly make them do all the work "automatically" so people don't have to learn how to do it properly.

If they don't do something now, the 15 years old of today will grow up without cars and in a generation cars would be a thing of the past (that would be great!).

How to make them survive? Well, first of all don't make them useless, make them electric and costly and cover the added cost with people taxes that go directly in car company's pockets.

Secondly make them "easy" and "cool" and "sexy" so that a teenager doesn't have to learn to drive, that's scary and dangerous, like... do you really still practice to learn? what are we, cavemen?

And make them as complex as possible, so that the price won't ever go down and a Renault Zoe will cost as much as a Tesla (a Model 3s cost about 35k, a Zoe around 33k. It's just ridicoulus!).

We live in the era of the iPhones where the promise is that anybody can do what any other people can do, even though there are people that spent their lives learning something and other that did not (I did not, for example).

Of course it is possible when what you can do is dictate by the manufacturer, because "it dangerous out there, think of your old parents! would you give them a smartphone that let them do whatever they want? of course not"

Would you give your children an ICE car?

With manual transmission?

Are you a criminal?

The whole idea that you don't know how to not destroy the planet and the car needs to teach you how to drive responsibly, while the same car has been built by those that profited from destroying the planet's environment, always fascinated me.

How did it become a good idea in people's minds?

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Monday November 16, 2020 @09:27AM (#25111984)
>>are you chosing it or how much? the answer is no.

Uhm, yes of course you are, at least in most cars you can chose the level of regenerative braking, the same you would in a manual car. The effect is the same as if you were going downhill and decided to stay in 4th, 3rd, 2nd or even 1st gear - it's up to you. The mechanical result of it is exactly the same as when using engine braking, so I'm really not getting what you're trying to argue here.

>>you can't become an expert if you aren't allowed to control the parameters.

Except that you are, I honestly think you aren't very up to date with what the current designs are, and almost certainly you haven't driven an electric car.

>>that's another point, automatic transmission is more expensive, less robust and increases the cost of the vehicle without adding any other benefit than being 'easier' to operate.

Again, you operate on "common knowledge" from at least 10 years ago. The "traditional" hydrokinetic automatic - absolutely, sure. But those aren't really being used in most cars nowadays. Modern Dual-Clutch automatic is as light as a manual, marginally more complex than one(because in fact is is a manual in operation), and indeed, has other benefts like improved fuel consumption and vastly faster shift times than any manual transmission can even dream of having. Again, I doubt you have actually driven one recently or at all.

>>would you fly on a plane where the pilot only knows how to use the autopilot? that's where safety comes in, when things take more time to master, people tend to become better at them

Sure, if your goal is to have everyone on the road be a professional driver, then yes, I 100% agree with you. I think people should be trained like in Germany, where a part of training is going on the Autobahn and driving at 200km/h+ for a little bit. I'd love that. I also think that my opinion on this topic is irrelevant because like I said earlier for most drivers this level of skill is unnecessary. Funnily enough, the exact same argument has been used to argue against autopilot in planes though - that its introduction will lead to pilots becoming inept and unable to act in emergencies. And that has actually happened in at least one documented plane crash - the autopilot disengaged and the pilots couldn't figure out why and the plane crashed. But....that doesn't change the fact that overal the introduction of autopilot has decreased the amount of accidents by several orders of magnitute - it made flying safer for everyone, even if it meant that pilots are now slightly worse at flying without it.

>>Manual gear is not stupid, it is simply technically superior (it costs less and lasts more).

Yeah except that in practice it doesn't, because people wear out manual transmissions all the time by being crap at using it. My dad used to have a car repair shop and someone who isn't "passionate" about cars will destroy a manual by just being an idiot at how they shift gears. People constantly break them by not using the clutch properly, shifting at the wrong moment, staying in the wrong gear for too long.....you physically cannot do this in an automatic, because you don't get to change the gears yourself - so in practice and for "an average consumer" they last longer.

Besides, I just want to point out - I love how you took my argument against a blanket ban on ICE cars, and you turned it upside down into an argument about manual cars and the love of driving. I have started by, and continued to argue that the ban is stupid because: 1) people will need ICE cars

2) There are enthusiasts who should be able to keep driving them if they already own them

For my enthusiast driving needs, please give me a good MX-5 or a roll cage equipped Impreza, any day please. But for most cars for average consumer shouldn't be anywhere near like that. They should be electric, they should be full of safety tech, and they should baby their drivers and passangers. Like, again, like I said multiple arguments ago - these are not mutually exclusive positions to take.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Monday November 16, 2020 @05:12PM (#25117710)
> and almost certainly you haven't driven an electric car.

Of course I did.

And if you compare features and prices, they offer a way worse experience than a traditional car.

I've also driven rally cars professionally and on track sometimes with semi automatic gears.

I just lack the vocabulary to talk thoroughly about it in English (sorry, I studied business English and then computer science, not mechanical engineering...)

The state of the art is absolutely better and has been for decades, but the state of the art is not what people drive everyday.

The most popular EV right now in Europe is the Renault Zoe, which honestly is good, but far from great (and you can buy the same exact car with an ICE engine for 10k less, it's 30% less!)

Smart EQ is on the rise given the small size which is a great quality in many EU cities, it's as bad as the ICE one. At least it's affordable.

Except for Tesla all the other offer a very bad experience for the price, even the BMW i3 is not what you would expect from a 40 thousands euros car.

> People constantly break them by not using the clutch properly, shifting at the wrong moment

As I said I grew up in a repair shop too, imagine what they do to their cars when the same people think that an automatic is easier to drive so they put even less effort to it.

They destroy every other piece of the car, irresponsible people will be irresponsible.

I am not rooting for ice cars, but for letting cars go as a necessity and think of something else.

Electric cars are just another way to keep producing the same old product in a slightly different way.

They give a false sense of security and of progress.

But we are gonna have a black market for hacks and modified parts (batteries probably) anyway and they will be as dangerous as the traditional cars we have right now for pedestrians and other road users.

The problem with cars is barely the pollution, it's the effect that they produced on our environment, especially the highly dense urbanized areas of the World

If they were harder to drive and operate there will be less of them around

We got rid of people dying by falling from horses by not riding horses anymore as a standard way to travel

How many people do you see flying a plane?

A Cessna is not more expensive than a high end Tesla

P.s. flying without autopilot is barely possible, using an autopilot without mastering flight first is unimaginable

P.p.s. the same people not using the clutch correctly are going to mess with the engine controls on their new electric cars. How is that going to be better? Are they magically going to be better at operating machinery? Or will they care less because "EV are the future they almost drive themselves?"

P.p.p.s. the number of fatalities is constantly going down because there are more and more mandatory safety devices on cars, but the number of accidents is almost steady (at least in Italy) also considering that the number of km driven went down due to 2 global economic crisis and a pandemia in 20 years and the increase of restricted areas in cities. But, and this is the bad news, there were more cars in Italy in 2019 than ever before, 1.4% more than 2018.

In red goal for 2020 victim reduction, in black actual number of victims

https://www.pneurama.com/ew/ew_articolo/images/weekly_it/ima...

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by oivey on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:59PM (#25103196)
I don’t disagree with your pessimism, but at the same time 9 years is an eternity to just install electrical infrastructure. Hopefully laws like this will put a fire under people’s asses.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by pmontra on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:57PM (#25103670)
On the other side, would anyone start a business to lay power cables under the sidewalks of a city and create tens of thousands of charging points and be able to start selling it fully only in 2030? Probably not unless countries, states or cities pay for the setup. Will they start doing it closer to 2030 if they see that the adoption of EV is ramping up? More likely.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by tjoff on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:00PM (#25103210)
While I fully agree with your points and I truly have set my expectations for long-distance EV-travel to be as cumbersome as yours (you have to plan for that, because you can't know in advance). Still, I don't think that is enough to be against it.

I live in an apartment and charging an EV would cost way more than gas. Even the cost of having a charging pole would be more expensive per month than I pay for gas (charging not included and likely also expensive). And, as you mentioned, be way more inconvenient in some situations.

But can't it still be worth it? It is just one, very minor, out of countless sacrifices we will undoubtedly have to make.

Why fight this one?

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by marketgod on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:59PM (#25104245)
Buy a Tesla everything else is shit. Others need to catch up but it's going to take a while. If you buy a Nokia phone today it's not going to work as well as an iPhone. I'm presuming the electric car you have is from a company who isn't as good.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Monday November 16, 2020 @10:19AM (#25112701)
That has nothing to do with my argument though, unless we're willing to assume that by 2030 people will be only buying Tesla vehicles.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by marketgod on Monday November 16, 2020 @09:10PM (#25119590)
Their competitors aren't good enough. It's going to take them a while to catch up so yes, for the next decade, Tesla will have first-mover advantage. From what I can see in the market, Tesla and NIO are leading the charge, the rest of them should just file bankruptcy now.

With all this said, I am presuming what you have. If you tell me the car you drive, I can look at their stock and give you a more informed statement.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by ggreer on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:44PM (#25103047)
It’s not anti-EV sentiment. It’s anti-blanket-ban sentiment. Even a decade from now there will be some use cases where gas vehicles are a better fit than EVs. Instead of a blanket ban on new gas cars, it’s less coercive and more economically efficient to tax their externalities.

I’m not a fan of gas vehicles. The only car I own is a Tesla. Still, I’m aware that gasoline cars do have certain advantages and banning them outright seems more detrimental than taxing them.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by toomuchtodo on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:49PM (#25103105)
The climate doesn’t care about economics, only total parts per million of atmospheric CO2. It is mind boggling it’s taken us this long to appreciate the gravity of the situation and new combustion vehicle bans are kicking in.

I’m sure even when crop failures and mass migrations happen, some will still complain about their rights to burn fossil fuels for energy. We pulled progress and growth forward through incurring an enormous energy debt (burning ancient sunlight for 100+ years), and now it’s time to pay it back.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by adrianmonk on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:31PM (#25103454)
> The climate doesn’t care about economics, only total parts per million of atmospheric CO2.

But behavior cares about economics, taxes change the economics, and behavior affects CO2 levels.

The devil is in the details, of course. Taxes would have to be high enough to get the behavior under control. It could turn out that, in order to get usage down low enough, the taxes need to be 500% of the cost of a fossil fuel car or 5000% of the cost of fuel. And maybe that's not politically feasible or something.

But my point is in order to dismiss the idea of taxes as a solution, you can't start with the idea that taxes won't have any effect. Governments all over the world use taxes to change behavior, and there are obvious examples of it working, like tariffs in trade wars.

Note that I'm also not saying taxes are the right solution here. This is really just a point of order.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by toomuchtodo on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:50PM (#25103607)
I agree that economics can be used to incentivize certain behavior, my argument (poorly) worded is that such a policy (taxes vs outright bans) is no longer sufficient. Better economic incentives (carbon tax) might have negated the need for a ban, but we're beyond that point now [1].

[1] https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/...

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by reitzensteinm on Sunday November 15, 2020 @03:29PM (#25104517)
A carbon tax is still pretty important. If you can only push through one of the two politically it's not clear to me an ICE ban is the right choice.

In ten years at the current rate of progress, EVs will be well past their tipping point economically and sales will crater anyway. If you add substantial carbon tax on the fuel, they're done.

And a carbon tax will help with all sorts of other emissions, transportation being only about 10%.

A new car sales ban does help car companies see the writing on the wall, but in the EU the direction is crystal clear anyway.

I feel like pointing at a graph of carbon in the atmosphere is an unfair response to the parent comment, who isn't denying the problem and is just talking tactics.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by reitzensteinm on Sunday November 15, 2020 @04:19PM (#25104973)
Well I took the time to reply toomuchtodo, so I'm just going to paste my response here.

It appears politically untenable in the US. But so does a new ICE ban.

Caifornia has passed a 2035 ban, but it has flirted with a carbon tax too in parts.

Canada has a carbon tax, and a 2040 ban. Australia had a carbon tax, with no ICE ban, but to our eternal shame repealed it when a conservative government regained power. India has an ICE ban scheduled and a carbon tax. Norway has their aggressive 2025 ban, but has had a carbon tax that covers about half their emissions since the 90s.

The EU doesn't have one yet, but I would bet a lot of money they will by 2030.

It's not clear to me that they're all that different in terms of political will required. The same countries are interested in both.

Although the specific level of tax that can be passed on carbon may not be sufficient for the desired result. An ICE ban is in theory blanket, although exceptions are going to creep in.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by gambiting on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:58PM (#25103190)
Right, but we also recognize that eventually the impact of something is so small that it's not worth banning. Why are Lamborghinis allowed to be sold despite emissions easily going into hundreds of grams of CO2/km? Because legislators have correctly recognized that the number of Lamborghinis sold each year, and the average amount of miles they are usually driven is absolutely negligable and has close to no impact on climate change. That's why small car manufacturers who produce few thousand cars a year have an exemption from the new emissions regulations enforced by the EU from next year - they just don't matter at all.

Once the market gets to a point where the sales of ICE cars are around few percent out of all, maybe even less - then there's no point in banning them at all. Clearly only people who absolutely need them are buying them, because no one else does. So....why ban them? And it looks like the market is absolutely heading towards that point anyway, with truly draconian fines in the EU introduced soon and general apetite for electric cars showing strong growth in the car sales. We'll be there in 10 years, full ban or not.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by toomuchtodo on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:59PM (#25103202)
I see what you’re trying to get at, but look at Toyota (who sells about 10.7 million cars a year annually) trying to push fuel cells when EVs are the clear winner and there is almost zero hydrogen fueling infra (Honda and Fiat have to pay Tesla billions because they aren’t selling EVs in Europe, but still get to sell those combustion vehicles they do sell). I think market forces are important, but sometimes, when the situation warrants it (global emergency), you have to use the regulatory stick. We’ve run out of time for the Imaginary Hand to save us.

During World War 2, the US gov didn’t go to manufactures and kindly ask them to retool for the war effort. They demanded it. Similar situation, similar (but not quite as draconian) implementation. “You will build only EVs now, retool accordingly”.

Governments are even willing to invest in manufacturing and charging network costs, and green/central banks are coming with easy money. I’m unsure what other support you can provide at this point to make the transition smoother, considering petroleum consumption externalities are already unpaid for by the entire supply chain.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by _ph_ on Sunday November 15, 2020 @03:06PM (#25104308)
One way or the other, politics needs to send signals to the manufacturers and customers, where things are going. Yes, I expect the ban to be completely a token effort because people stopped buying ICE cars long before, but that might be triggered by this token now. Also, when discussing large scale infrastructure needed, be it grid enhancement or charge point creation, having this clear goal helps with the planning, especially when the government is involved.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:13PM (#25103333)
The climate doesn't care also for political choices based on nothing else than PR

EV are cool, they make people who supports them blindly look cool too

Banning fast fashion is not, it'll make anyone who proposed it sound like a sad trombone or a "boomer" who wants to stop youth expression of inner self

But I know which is worse and I know that if we ban the first, we should obviously ban the other 5 years before

p.s. I do not own a car anymore (sold the last one 7 years ago) and I only make an average of less than 1 thousand Kms/year - this year I still have to surpass the 500 Kms - on rented cars (mainly inside the city, on electric cars)

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by _ph_ on Monday November 16, 2020 @03:26AM (#25109394)
I would be interested in which use cases you see for cars, that in 2030 cannot be provided by electric cars?
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by alibarber on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:39PM (#25102999)
I have no strong opinions on this other than that it's inevitable at some point. However, a theory:

Many of the HN crowd here are quite likely to live in an urban area, in an appartment without a fixed parking space. There is no 'charging at home'. Sure there're a decent number of plugs around - but for _everyone_? Not by a long shot. What this law is basically saying is that there will be no practical way for these people to own a car - not least without significant infrastructure work and public investment (and corresponding political will), which is, not always something you want to bet on. Given the healthy dose of skepticisim anyway - I'm not entirely surprised this is being received with less than universal excitement.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by azalemeth on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:46PM (#25103080)
I've never found the need to buy a car in my life. I'm 34. I commute everywhere by bicycle, and my partner (who also doesn't own a car) and I get heavy things delivered. It is possible, and, for the sake of the planet, I really think that this is a great thing that we should be celebrating. Most people on the planet live in cities, and I really think that we should try to wean them off fossil fuels.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by alibarber on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:55PM (#25103154)
Sure - I lived in London for years and didn't own a car. I also commuted by bicylce and I thought it was great. Sometimes the highlight of my day!

But people in general don't like having their options constricted even if it's for the greater good. It's human nature and I think the best ways forward are to get people excited about the electric future. 'In 10 years electric cars will be so good you'll forget we ever bothered with petrol' would probably be a more effective way to get people excited. Unfortunately that'd need to come from a pretty credible source, and they'd get the credit for it, and so in the absence of that - just make this law! It's easy, and who will be around in 10 years (in politics) anyway?... That's why I'm raising my eyebrows a bit at this.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by jaharios on Sunday November 15, 2020 @04:12PM (#25104890)
Bikes are perfect for the city,expect when it is raining and when you have kids , yeah giving up cars and kids is the way to save the planet.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by romanoderoma on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:22PM (#25103384)
Heavy things delivered means you are contributing to pollution as well as anybody else

What's really polluting the atmosphere is not people's cars, it's the constant and unstoppable traffic of goods delivered from country to country for no real reason other than "economy of scale"

A friend of mine has asked for an eye pencil replacement the other day because it was delivered of the wrong colour

It costed a couple euros and came from Korea

They gladly sent another one and picked up the old one

For a two euros eye pencil

Imagine what the fashion industry produces when it moves the 30 billion pounds of clothes that every year are discarded in UK

Not to say that people don't pollute, but that the control should start on who produce the most pollution and also profit from it, not from the last ring of the supply chain

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by iamben on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:49PM (#25103100)
Definitely my personal feelings. I couldn't imagine the practicalities of owning an EV in central London. Assuming you're lucky enough to own/rent somewhere with some kind of parking - good luck trying to get them to install charging points. Most of the time it's a struggle to get the windows cleaned.

Whilst most of the petrol stations near me are pretty shabby - it's easy enough to get fuel.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by xxpor on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:49PM (#25103597)
>good luck trying to get them to install charging points.

Make it mandatory. Done. Either they do it or they shut the parking garage. Both are wins.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by iamben on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:40PM (#25104074)
The initial developer is probably bankrupt. The management company attempts to pass the charge to the flat owners (through a protracted series of letters), most of whom now live in the countryside because the rent from the London flat pays the mortgage on their 5 bedroom home in the countryside. They spend 2 years dragging out the process; arguing, challenging. None of the renters get to charge their car until about 2037.

Yay London :-/

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by xxpor on Sunday November 15, 2020 @08:04PM (#25106769)
Is there no way to have a special charge to flat owners in the UK? If it's like the US, it'd be through a HOA for the building. If someone wanted to fight it they'd have to go to court.

I could imagine a scheme where a bank lends the HOA the money but then deals with the court since dealing with that is much less of a pain for them than the random building HOA president.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by _ph_ on Monday November 16, 2020 @03:28AM (#25109405)
That would be a reason to require electric outlets at each parking space a bit earlier than 2030. And of course, not every car is electric in 2030, hopefully only every new car.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by GreenWatermelon on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:58PM (#25103193)
If you're living in an urban are, then you're better off NOT buying a car and using public transport instead.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by alibarber on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:08PM (#25103287)
But people do still buy cars, I assume voluntarily, so there must be some benefit for them.

I live in a urban area and my commute by public transport is twice as long as by car. Yes I know it's not something to be celebrating - but I am definitely and objectively better off by using a car.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by pjmlp on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:22PM (#25103385)
And take 1h 30m for that ride that is done in 30 minutes? No thanks.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by xkcd-sucks on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:26PM (#25103424)
> Especially among HN users, who you would assume would be more likely to see the benefits of new technology.

I think people closer to the frontlines of tech understand better the problems with new technologies as they are implemented in practice, hence more people prefer having the choice to use older, less sexy, more time-tested technologies.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by lm28469 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:37PM (#25103503)
It depends at which scale you look at it. EVs are nice because you get less emissions locally, but in the grand scheme of things you just displaced the pollution and created new problems (lithium, cobalt and rare earth mines, battery recycling, power source, updating the grid &c).

> We have made progress, and we can make more progress if we all pull together.

The question is, is it enough ? It feels a bit like we're curing the symptoms but not their causes.

There are 1.5 billion vehicles in the world, we should strive to reduce their number, not continue to expand it, EVs aren't a miracle, 1.5 billion EVs are still a huge problem

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by _ph_ on Sunday November 15, 2020 @03:09PM (#25104339)
The impact of electric vehicles is minimal compared to ICE vehicles. An ICE vehicle burns like 20 tons of fuel during its life time. An electric vehicle needs less than 10 kg of lithium, which can be completely recycled at the end of life. The next generation of Tesla batteries will be cobalt free and no lithium battery contains any rare earths. That is an urban legend.

Switching to electric doesn't mean to increase the number of vehicles, they are built instead of ICE vehicles. Ideally, we reduce the count a lot, but every single vehicle built needs to be electric.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by fomine3 on Monday November 16, 2020 @08:19PM (#25119283)
* If generation is 100% carbon free
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by _ph_ on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @03:15AM (#25121277)
Electric cars are a win in almost all countries already, but of course, if we want to prevent climate change, we have to convert energy production to be 100% carbon free, and that quickly. Basically every electric car bought today will eventually run on 100% carbon free electricity. Any ICE vehicle will run on 100% carbon.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by mymythisisthis on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:28PM (#25102885)
I would like to start by banning all diesel...this is something that can be done immediately. All city buses can run an regular gas or propane, same with large transport trucks.

I'd like my city to become a bicycling paradise. It's the best way of getting around for under 30km.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by jefftk on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:29PM (#25102907)
Uh, could you say why you want to ban diesel in particular?
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by sjg007 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:32PM (#25102931)
Diesel has higher particulates and pm2,5s.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by brianwawok on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:31PM (#25102925)
It releases a fair bit more gunk into the air. Bunker oil is even far worse.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by john_moscow on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:23PM (#25103396)
It's merely about usability. EVs are great for short commuting hops, but offer no solution if you want to have a road trip with daily mileage exceeding the full battery range. Also note that the posted ranges are "under best possible circumstances", so factor in real-world use, battery degradation and not wanting the charge to drop below 20-30% for your own peace of mind, and your effective roadtrip range is sliced in half.

Sure, there are charging stations, but if you are traveling with kids, having an extra 1-hour break, could be a huge headache.

A common standard for batteries that could be quickly exchanged at a charging station, instead of charging them, could solve the problem 100%, but instead we see governments forcing less effective solutions into everyone's throat.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by strawberrypuree on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:31PM (#25103995)
My husband and I took a road trip of 4,682 miles in a Tesla, with a dog. We stopped every 3 hours and charged for 30 minutes. It was not only possible, but easy, because those stops corresponded to lunch, coffee, dinner, and sleeping. The dog needed to be let out, I needed to stretch my legs, etc.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by john_moscow on Sunday November 15, 2020 @05:04PM (#25105362)
It's harder with kids. Tesla gets a reasonable range due to squeezing everything to the limit. Getting the same range out of a minivan-sized vehicle without tripling the cost of batteries would be rather tricky.

Also when you travel with kids, you make longer breaks when the kids need them. In that case, picking a random gas station nearby filling the gas while my wife runs everybody through the toilet and distributes snacks, makes things easier. Doing it exactly on schedule with a forced 30-minute wait in a fixed location would be much trickier.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by neya on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:28PM (#25103434)
I'm a technical savvy IT consultant with more than 10 years experience. I have dealt with automotive software for more than 5 years with various clients. Some of my perspective is based on that. I drive a diesel car currently and I plan to keep it as long as possible.

Depending on where you live, EV's may range from moderately practical to unrealistic. I travel to many countries frequently and have lived across APAC including India.

If you talk about a country like Singapore, which is very small in real estate (literally called a tiny red "dot"), sure. EV's are quite reasonable, also somewhat practical. It's good for daily commute or going around the island, sure.

If you talk about a country like India, then, it's highly impractical to own one. First, you need proper infrastructure across such a massive land area, which by itself could take decades to get right (currently, India doesn't have them). Then, you need to factor in the populace and thus the long queues you're going to be facing in the public charging spots. Because India is such a vast country, if you wanted to travel from the southern most point of the country to the topmost (Kanyakumari to Kashmir), it's going to be impossible with just an EV and relying on public charging points. The charging time alone would add up quite quickly over such a long duration.

I do a quarter of that stretch frequently - Banglore to Kanyakumari or sometimes even from Chennai. It takes me 8 hours on an average including a 1 hour meal break. And the fuel stations are just so easily accessible across this entire stretch. It costs me just $50 for one way and $70 for a 2 way journey of about 700-800 kms. If I was driving an EV, the best range I can get is about 250 kms (based on the options available in India and not quoting optimistic manufacturer ratings, but based on real world traffic conditions in India) on my Hyundai Kona. Charging to 80% takes about an hour. If you do the math, I'm going to be spending 3 hours just on charging alone. The cost for charging is also much more expensive compared to what I'm going to be spending on oil. It's a clear cut decision for me, especially when I have to travel long distances.

And I'm not even factoring the risk of what happens if my car breaks down in the middle of the highway, which a local mechanic will have no idea on how to fix. During my work experience, I have audited some of the code for some popular manufacturers out there. EV cars are actually not about battery tech, it's about software. They run basically everything from a software "engine". That actually scares me, especially because I'm a software engineer. The modern EV has a lot of things going down under the hood. This is so unlike my Suzuki diesel which is simply an old school car with a battle-tested ECU (the same ECU is reused across many models, manufacturers for decades now) made by Bosch. The code in there is very simple and doesn't try to do a lot. It takes care of firing the pistons at the right time, making sure the turbocharger doesn't overwork, it takes care of the locks and alarms in the car and that's about it. It doesn't do all the "smart" stuff that a modern EV does. Like talk to the manufacturer telling them where I am exactly. Or when I should service my car. Or what playlists I would enjoy listening to. The infotainment system on my Suzuki is separate, for instance. There is no software "engine".

As someone who prefers dumb speaker systems and TVs instead of "smart" speakers and TVs, I prefer regular, old-school cars than the modern "smart" EVs. If they made a dumb EV, for sure, I'd go for it for my city use, but it still doesn't meet my criteria for long distance travel as explained above.

This is why I consider EV's highly impractical FOR ME.

And this argument about "let's burn stuff" - did you know many charging points consume power off the grid, especially in India? And many people like me who own the Kona, actually carry around a portable Honda generator in our boot (which runs off petrol) which can charge the car for worse case situations.

> What's disappointing is that all the talking points are the same-old tired fossil fuel propaganda from a decade ago.

My point is, we are not there yet and we have to acknowledge that. You can't cast judgement on the rest who don't use an EV simply because it's not practical for them. That's elitist. EV's aren't necessarily "better" for everyone.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by perryizgr8 on Sunday November 15, 2020 @12:38PM (#25102979)
Letting people choose petrol and diesel vehicles is not "anti EV". I believe sales of electric cars will automatically eclipse petrochemical ones gradually, government coercion and suppression of individual liberty is not required.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by GreenWatermelon on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:03PM (#25103231)
The climate doesn't wait and doesn't care. it's better to accelerate the adoption of Electrical cars by any means necessary before the occurrence of apocalyptic events.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by cbozeman on Sunday November 15, 2020 @02:24PM (#25103931)
Then ban private jets too.

If the climate doesn't wait and doesn't care, then allowing wealthy people to pollute the ever-living fuck out of the environment solely because they're wealthy is even more perverse than placing the enormous burden on poor and middle class people to buy a new technology that has shit infrastructure.

Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT by Razengan on Sunday November 15, 2020 @01:05PM (#25103254)
> Especially among HN users, who you would assume would be more likely to see the benefits of new technology.

HN users generally seem to care about their own convenience at the cost of everything else, as seen by all the support for things like Electron.