Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT
by bobthepanda on Sunday November 15, 2020 @06:10PM
(#25105866)
I just don't think that the UK has announced any sort of substantial public investment that would enable what you're saying in 2030 to actually be a reality. The free market is not going to deliver an EV infrastructure that works for the average driver by that time period given current levels of investment; ergo, without public investment, a 2030 ban is unreasonable.
Re:UK to ban sale of new petrol and diesel cars from 2030: FT
by slg on Sunday November 15, 2020 @06:21PM
(#25105952)
It is a mistake to judge what the free market is currently doing as an indication of what the market will do as the share of EVs on the road increases. That is why it is important to point out that it is possible for gradual change to be enough. However there is no way to really know for sure how this will turn out, so I guess we just have to agree to disagree.
2020 - EV infrastructure works for a minority of drivers.
2030 - EV infrastructure works for the average driver.
2045 - EV infrastructure works for all drivers.
Also I was talking about conversion because it isn't like the ICE infrastructure is going to persist in perpetuity. That real estate can be converted over to public EV chargers as the ratio of cars on the road change. Right now Tesla's fastest chargers can do an 80% charge in less than 30 minutes. If the industry is able to cut that in half over the next 20 years, recharging an EV isn't really going to be any less practical than refueling an ICE vehicle. We aren't going to need a dedicated parking space with a dedicated charger for every car by 2030.