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Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @12:57PM (#20215226)
The 'root' cause is that industries tend to concentrate, and that's not an easy problem to solve.

And at the same time there's a massive economic draw, California refuses to let the market provide anything like enough housing.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by erentz on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:22PM (#20215608)
People respond to this agglomeration factor with the argument we should “hire remote cuz the internet thing”. But the other factor to consider is how we are less tied by our jobs to physical location and that allows more choice in where people decide to live too. A lot of people want to live in the Bay Area and other coastal cities. They don’t want to live where housing is cheap in the Midwest.

So you may have a liberating force in the way jobs have changed, but that works both ways.

People are moving to the big coastal cities. The big coastal cities (and states) are doing a piss poor job of accommodating this - actually they’ve taken active measures to worsen the housing problem with zoning and tax rules.

I would guess that google would get a lot more bang for its buck if it just outright bribed politicians with that $1 billion to enact policies that allowed constructing of more housing and better transit.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:27PM (#20215679)
> I would guess that google would get a lot more bang for its buck if it just outright bribed politicians with that $1 billion to enact policies that allowed constructing of more housing and better transit.

Hah - see my comment elsewhere.

Local politicians are definitely the choke point that doesn't allow the market to function properly.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by manigandham on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:02PM (#20215311)
Why is it not easy? The internet is global just like the products these companies create. There's not much, if any, reason they need to be so consolidated in a single region or city.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by dymk on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:05PM (#20215366)
Face-to-face communication has not been supplanted with online tools yet, and face-to-face communication is very important to this job.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by andrew311 on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:17PM (#20215538)
An alternative way of looking at it: whether or not face to face is important for the specifics of the job, it might be important for emotional connection between humans, fulfilling a common human desire to connect with peers and be happy on the job and _outside_ the job. In other words, we might want to be around peers for social (non-job) reasons.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by dymk on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:20PM (#20215578)
Exactly. I wouldn't even say that's a non-job function - I've worked at companies with low morale and social cohesion before, and it directly impacted the quality and amount of work that people could do. We're smart primates that are still heavily dependent on social cues and a feeling of inclusion.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by icebraining on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:39PM (#20215861)
Yeah, and instead we're stuck in cars commuting. Remote working frees up more time to spend with other people.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:42PM (#20215884)
If only we had the knowledge to plan cities so that it's possible to live near where you work. Perhaps it sounds crazy, but we could even stack dwelling units on top of one another.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by icebraining on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @02:07PM (#20216334)
Then I would have to commute out to spend time with my family, who live nowhere near my work, or any workplace of my industry.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:45PM (#20215926)
Witchcraft!

Seriously though: It'd be great if apartments were better sound-proofed. My only gripe with apartment living was inadequate privacy and being woken up at 3 AM by a lead-footed upstairs resident.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:57PM (#20216150)
In places like Europe where more people live in them, they tend to do a bit better job of privacy, because they're not just 'cheap housing for people without the means to live in a "real" house'.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by smus on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @06:19PM (#20219030)
Yeah right, next thing you'll be telling me there's a better way to move large quantities of people than each one sitting on the highway in their own personal metal box
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by felipemnoa on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:33PM (#20215772)
This is a really good argument. It is the same reason why authors instead of staying in their homes by themselves writing all day, will go to public places to be around other authors/people. We are social animals.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by slavapestov on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @10:17PM (#20220281)
It's possible to have a life outside of work, and find connection with people who are not your coworkers. This is not the purpose of employment.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by andrew311 on Wednesday June 19, 2019 @12:41AM (#20220850)
I agree wholeheartedly. This is important and will provide balance. That said, often people have some sort of passion, their job might be a manifestation of that passion, and they want to connect with peers.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:06PM (#20215370)
> and face-to-face communication is very important to this job

[citation needed]

It can be important for some people, and for some teams, but it's not very important for every person or every team.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by xauronx on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:35PM (#20215791)
I was actually doing research a couple of days ago to support more remote workers for my company and... unfortunately almost all of the research I found was backing co-location. There are degrees of remote work, but it seems that for most teams and most products being co-located provides the most productivity.

There are a lot of shades of gray there, like, if someone commutes for 2 hours through stressful SF traffic to get to a campus where they jump on a Google Hangout since their team members are spread across 3 buildings... yeah, I don't think productivity is going to get much of a boost. However, our team is in a suburb of Cleveland Ohio where you can live within 30 miles, get here in 30 minutes and have dirt-cheap housing. I'm having a hard time coming up with collateral to support my "modern" viewpoint on the benefits of remote workers.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by achenatx on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @04:20PM (#20217957)
my theory is that if you try to convert a co-located workforce to remote you are going to struggle because you have a mix of people that are able and unable to properly function that way. However if you start a company with that model from day one, over time you select for people that can handle the remote aspect. It becomes a core cultural value.

Southwest is the fun airline. What would american airlines have to do to become a fun airline? They would have to fire 2/3 of their staff.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by dymk on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:10PM (#20215427)
> It can be important for some people, and for some teams, but it's not very important for every person or every team.

[citation needed]

It's clearly important enough for Amazon, Facebook, and Google to invest heavily in already established tech hubs where it's incredibly expensive to build, so they can have their engineers working in the same physical location(s).

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:14PM (#20215487)
Do I understand your argument correctly?

Effectively, what I'm reading is, "Because large tech companies do X, it's very important for everyone else too (including billion-dollar companies that don't do X)."

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by dymk on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:18PM (#20215553)
You're not understanding my argument correctly.

I'm saying, in spite of it being cheaper to distribute their engineers and hire remote, they do not. These aren't companies run by incompetent people, and they're large enough to have some remote workforce, so they understand how remote workers compare to onsite with as few other variables changed.

These companies hire onsite because it's important to be able to meet face-to-face. Emotion is particularly poorly conveyed over email or VC, and sometimes to convince somebody of something, meeting them in person is the best way to do that.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:30PM (#20215724)
Okay that's a more reasonable argument than what I thought you were making.

I'd contend that you're not considering the impact of sunk cost fallacies on business decision-making. Or if you have considered it, you've probably discounted it far more than is warranted.

It could be the case that, out of all the people currently employed by these companies, the majority believe they thrive in an onsite role rather than a remote one. Years of self-selection (especially if exacerbated by a lack of diversity in their employment experience, since these companies tend to hire out of colleges) could lead to a feedback loop.

Just because they're smart people doesn't mean they're impervious to human cognitive distortions.

How many of these companies have even trialed 100% remote positions, even if only for a year?

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by q3k on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:52PM (#20216039)
> These aren't companies run by incompetent people.

It's not about incompetence, it's about not willing to introduce difficult changes and admitting they are wrong. See: open plan offices.

There's tons of successful, fully distributed companies.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by minwcnt5 on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:22PM (#20215605)
I don't think the fact that humans are social animals needs a citation. Most people are healthier and happier spending their time in social groups. Even as a highly introverted person, I'd much rather interact with live people every day than work remotely and only interact electronically. Of course there are exceptions, but I would guess that building a company, or even parts of it, from the exceptions is a lot of trouble.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:26PM (#20215676)
> I don't think the fact that humans are social animals needs a citation.

Humans can (and should) get their social needs met anywhere, not only at their place of employment.

I've worked both onsite and remote throughout my career. I'd never advocate for forced remote work (because some people want to get their social needs met through their employer).

Rather, I'd argue that it should be considered as an option.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by minwcnt5 on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @02:54PM (#20216937)
For me it's not just about having social needs met, it's also that for a lot of engineering work in-person collaboration is crucial. Serendipitous interactions are important. Passionate discussions involving emotion and empathy are important. Being able to easily grab a co-worker's attention for a minute to show them something on your screen or sketch an idea out on a whiteboard is important. You can technically make some of these things to happen remotely using technology, but in practice, there's just too much friction, and these sorts of interactions don't happen.

I agree that not all roles require this sort of thing. There are employees who can come to the office, work 8 hours, and go home, all without speaking a word to another person. There are probably thousands of employees at Google who could probably be just as effective working remotely. That said, having worked there, I think that's not true for the vast majority of SWE work.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by slavapestov on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @10:20PM (#20220299)
When I worked at an open office in Google, a good fraction of the people had headphones on most of the day. While there was some serendipitous discussion, much of the time we'd book meeting rooms, specifically to avoid distracting those around us.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by orangecat on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @11:33PM (#20220592)
Open plan offices are indeed terrible, but that doesn't contradict the benefit of face-to-face communication. For me the best environment has been a large team office with 4-8 people, where everyone has a decent amount of personal space and spontaneous discussions are more likely to be relevant.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by malcolmgreaves on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:18PM (#20215548)
It's quite literally how nearly every successful business currently operates. Digital communication suffers from lag and resolution. There simply isn't the requisite bandwidth and speed to communicate the same information that humans get from all of our five senses.

Jobs are about relationships.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by toomuchtodo on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:10PM (#20215430)
And yet, there are fully remote companies (bootstrapped, lifestyle, and startups) collectively worth over a billion dollars that are fully remote. I don't buy this argument at all having worked for one of them. Face to face communication is only necessary if your collaboration tools and business/workplace processes are not up to par, and that's a business problem, not a social interaction problem.

To echo the refrain others have said in this thread, "Hire remote, hire remote, hire remote."

I would love to see HN's monthly Who's Hiring prioritize/bubble up fully remote jobs to the top of the list first. Give an advantage to those who are helping the situation. This is no different than roads. You can't just keep building roads forever. You have to destroy demand for local habitation once it reaches a point beyond which equilibrium can ever be reached, and the Bay Area is beyond that point. Let people work from places where they can afford to live better lives.

EDIT: @aerophilic: Agree entirely with your comment.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by aerophilic on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:19PM (#20215556)
In my personal experience managing and being part of different teams (remote, onsite, hybrids).

I have found that what is in general most effective is that EVERYONE on the team is remote, or everyone is co-located. You can do hybrids, remote work with an on site team if the remote folks are strong communicators and/or people that are more task oriented (Assuming you have someone to manage them) but there is a tax on doing so, and often they won’t feel as connected.

Even in the above hybrid example, there are specific things you need to “plan in” to be effective (things like an office buddy, regular sync up times, clear responsibilities/action lists, etc).

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:31PM (#20215737)
This is a great observation: my observation is that there's a tipping point. Get enough people in the office, and side conversations are much easier to do face to face, and you end up skipping the collaboration tools.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:13PM (#20215475)
Those companies are pretty cool and I think we'll see more in the future. That said, while they're better than the alternative of not existing at all, it's not a given that they're not inferior to a company operating out of one office where it's easier to communicate.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:15PM (#20215505)
Open offices with white noise generators don't exactly strike me as the paragon of ease of communication.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by minwcnt5 on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:35PM (#20215793)
They work better than closed offices, in my experience, for the roles I've worked in (software engineering).

I'm way more likely to ask a co-worker over to my desk to show them something or have a discussion if they're a few feet away within sight and earshot. In an open office I also overhear a lot of pertinent information -- I'm aware of issues that might be relevant to me as they develop, I don't have to wait hours or days for someone to communicate them in an email, issue tracker, or meeting.

There's a cost in terms of readily available heads-down concentration time to be sure, but if I want to mess around with math formulas or something I pop on the headphones, go to a quiet room, or do it at home. It's much harder to replicate the benefits of an open office environment in a closed one than the reverse.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by manigandham on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @06:31PM (#20219119)
So an open floor plan full of distractions for the occasional time you call someone else over audibly and immediately, while possible interrupting them and others? And when you want to work, wear headphones or go to an entirely different place?

Why does it make sense to optimize for the former instead of the latter? The benefits must be studied in context of how overall productivity and bottomline is affected, not just easy it is to start talking to someone.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by joshuamorton on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:21PM (#20215589)
There are also sole proprietorships collectively worth billions. That doesn't mean that a sole proprietorship is the best way to run a company.

Perhaps I'm weird, but I'm not interested in working remote. It's isolating socially and politically, and I work slower over the medium term.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by smileysteve on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @03:45PM (#20217561)
> collectively worth over a billion dollars that are fully remote

This factoid detracts from the argument; When the op is about a (or several) company individually worth about a trillion dollars.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by BurningFrog on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:20PM (#20215580)
Sure, but one billion dollars is only 0.more_zeros_than_I_care_to_compute% of the value of all tech companies.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by Tade0 on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:16PM (#20215522)
and face-to-face communication is very important to this job.

For what purpose specifically?

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by Kalium on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:18PM (#20215547)
Effective and efficient communication is very important for a large number of job functions. Video conferencing has yet to supplant the efficiencies enabled by co-location.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:24PM (#20215645)
Let's see - software development can take different forms.

On one end you have work where someone gives you well defined specs and the tools you need, and you just go crank out some code on your own. That works well for remote work.

On the other end there are plenty of software positions that require people who can understand and develop requirements, possibly by talking with disparate groups like customer support, finance, sales, marketing, and so on who are not at all technical. These people may not understand the costs of different options so subsequent conversations about costs/benefits for different groups are needed. Sometimes these discussions might be contentious, as resources are finite. Sometimes there's a lot of back and forth involved, as the software person tries to understand the business - and vice versa.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by svachalek on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:52PM (#20216051)
Cleanly isolated work that can be shipped anywhere in the world is like making plastic widgets, it's a race to the bottom in terms of wages. So as a general rule it's the messy, on-site, highly iterative and negotiated work that pays the kind of money no one is willing to believe on HN.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by quicklyfrozen on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @05:24PM (#20218596)
To me, it has always seemed like face-to-face is very useful to get to know people and get the process started, but after that, following up via messaging and video conferencing is fine. But a similar timezone remains pretty important.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by lotsofpulp on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:31PM (#20215745)
Off the record conversations, which may or may not result in good or bad things.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by minwcnt5 on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:25PM (#20215648)
Decision making.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by driverdan on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @04:23PM (#20217985)
I downvoted you because face-to-face communication is not very important to most online jobs. As you pointed out elsewhere it may be important for other reasons but those needs can be fulfilled elsewhere.

Even if face-to-face is important for specific positions it's even more rarely a daily requirement. Most of the country is so much less expensive than the Bay Area that you could fly someone in one day a week and it would still cost less.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by manigandham on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @04:04PM (#20217789)
My point was only about extreme consolidation. They can have multiple smaller offices in various cities. It doesn't need to be thousands of people all working from home.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by jriot on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:36PM (#20215805)
Face-to-face communication is not needed, it is a notion everyone says to keep the status quo.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:01PM (#20215289)
Hire remote. Provide relocation assistance to get developers to move out of major cities, instead of the other way.

Fringe benefit: Less payroll overhead since the cost of living in rural areas is much lower.

> that's not an easy problem to solve.

The solution is simple, it's just getting people to actually do it that's hard.

> And at the same time there's a massive economic draw, California refuses to let the market provide anything like enough housing.

I don't know enough about California's politics to provide insightful commentary, but from what I have heard, none of it was good or sane.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:02PM (#20215310)
I've worked remote, and it's ok, but it's not the same thing as being in the office. It's not the same thing as having a bunch of local companies to choose from. Or from the company's point of view, it's nice to have a lot of local workers. And then there's stuff like high quality universities, and of course venture capital.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:05PM (#20215354)
> It's not the same thing as having a bunch of local companies to choose from.

What is the intrinsic advantage to having "local companies" to choose from in a world where every company you'd want to work for also offered remote positions?

> Or from the company's point of view, it's nice to have a lot of local workers.

Same question for that perspective, except I do have a few ideas of a cynical answer to that question from the company's perspective.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by filoleg on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:55PM (#20216114)
>What is the intrinsic advantage to having "local companies" to choose from in a world where every company you'd want to work for also offered remote positions?

The advantage is that on the path in-between now and the perfect future where all companies are remote-first( that we are not sure will ever happen), you will not be at a significant disadvantage when it comes to job prospects. I don't think that many people would be willing to heavily limit their job prospects (not even taking into account all the other advantages that come with living in a densely populated coastal city) while waiting for that "bright all-remote future" that may never come.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @02:03PM (#20216264)
As a short-term strategic move, sure. That's pragmatic.

But given a ceteris paribus comparison of the two, my question is what is inherently superior about the onsite position over the remote position?

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by onemoresoop on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:05PM (#20215363)
How about remote offices or remote subdivisions? It always worked out, why wouldn't it work out now?
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:08PM (#20215397)
Remote offices seem like a good compromise once a company is big enough. There are still coordination issues though, I would imagine.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by gamblor956 on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @06:47PM (#20219213)
California recently passed several laws to make it easier for the market to provide housing.

However, local governments are still the ultimate deciders and many of them are opposed to new housing, such as in the SF Peninsula.

Other parts of CA are less resistant to new housing. In LA's downtown, for example, almost 50,000 units of new housing are being brought online between 2016-2021. In both Korea Town and Hollywood, more than 5,000 new units have come online in the past 3 years (and they're already the densest neighborhoods). In Marina Del Rey and Playa Del Rey, roughly 2500 new units have opened/will open up in 2018 and 2019. Along the Metro Expo Line, more than 25,000 residential units within 4 blocks of a station are planned or already under construction. Inglewood will see somewhere between 500 and 2500 new apartments in the neighborhood around the Sofi Stadium, not including other residential development. Even Santa Monica will see roughly 2000 new apartments over the next 2 years.

Edit: these are just the developments that I'm aware of. There are plenty more. If you're interested in following LA-area development, there are several Facebook groups devoted to this subject.

Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by xtracto on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @02:08PM (#20216348)
Given that "About 71 percent of tech employees in the Valley are foreign born," I think that if a group of FAANG+Friends agreed to open campuses in some other state at the same time, they could easily build a new tech community.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by CiPHPerCoder on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @02:11PM (#20216394)
If they can launch a global currency, they damn sure can build a tech community in a red state.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by falsedan on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:04PM (#20215340)
Software development isn't an industry like oil refining. Imagine if all the architects or civil engineers were located in a small handful of cities!
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by davidw on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:07PM (#20215386)
Architects and civil engineers mostly work where their services are needed, which makes sense. The economics of their industries are different.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by falsedan on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @06:52PM (#20219240)
I don’t know what the point of this fact is. Architects and engineers mostly work from offices, which are usually located so that there is a good pool of potential employees around.
Re:$1B for 20,000 Bay Area homes by dredmorbius on Tuesday June 18, 2019 @01:37PM (#20215821)
Oil workers go to where the oil is. Which is both concentrated and distributed.

Software is dematerialised, which means, perversely, it tends to concentrate to a far greater extent. Much as local and regional entertainment, constrained by material proximiy to audience, gave way to Hollywood.