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Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by pwinnski on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:40AM (#19960215)
Software is eating the world, automobiles included.

I'm a huge skeptic when it comes to Tesla, but JLG raises a good point here. Apple had all sorts of problems in 2007, so many that established phone manufacturers largely brushed them off. A focus on software rewrote the mobile phone industry, and every day I get into my car and watch the onboard computer struggle to handle bluetooth properly.

I need to look beyond the obvious inanity of Musk and remember this shift: software will eat this part of the world too.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by asdkhadsj on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:20AM (#19960547)
> and every day I get into my car and watch the onboard computer struggle to handle bluetooth properly.

I hate "me too" posts, but this gives me so much rage that I can't help it. My car has a touch screen interface and I am puzzled why car manufacturers even bother. Who thinks the interface they made is even remotely good. It actively degrades the otherwise fine experience of my car. It is ugly, poorly made, and fails at even basic functionality.

I am truly puzzled why these car manufacturers released such terrible user facing features. Maybe it's better these days (my car is ~5 years old), but it's just impressively bad in my car at least.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by zaroth on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:37AM (#19961494)
I totally agree with you, having also had to deal with rental cars with batshit crazy touchscreens that barely functioned, lagged like crazy, and were obviously not fit for the purpose for which they were built.

My last car was a 2006 G35 with no screens as all, and a nice analog clock. I loved that about it so much.

I never understood why manufacturers tried to reinvent the wheel and not just use the phone for all things entertainment and navigation. I would never want GPS in my car, because they all were so horrifically bad.

Until I got the Model 3.

It take less than 1 second, literally two taps in almost exactly the same location on the screen, to activate GPS to my ‘Work’ or ‘Home’ presents. And if I do need to dial in an address it has a full keyboard, full POIs, and autocomplete which is as fast as Google Maps on my iPhone X. Traffic aware navigation which appears to use the same feed as Google Maps (estimates and routes seem to always match). The GPS on Model 3 is a joy to use, actually, truly.

The best part is that it implements very good interpolation when GPS drops out using compass and velocity, so going through tunnels tracks almost perfectly compared to Google Maps on iPhone which gets hopelessly stuck.

The interface is very reminiscent of an iPad, just as quick and responsive, and has a bunch of cool touches.

For example you can drag the media player to be hidden, to be just showing key info, or to nearly full screen, based on the level of interaction you need in it. The drag is a quick flick of the finger and doesn’t require precise targeting at all. It’s amazingly natural to navigate. While driving all the media control you need (volume and skip) is on the steering wheel. You get free Slacker and free LTE and I’ve really enjoyed the streaming music and have actually been introduced to some new artists I didn’t know before.

I never wanted a touchscreen in my car. Full stop. Until now. The fact that it’s all touch with consistent OTA upgrades give me confidence that it has staying power to remain functional, relevant, and looking elegant.

Particularly with the way Tesla designs their cars, I would be surprised if Model 3 wasn’t essentially the same interior design 10 years from now. I know they designed 3 in particular to have as little as possible that might look “dated” in the future.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by cdkee on Monday May 20, 2019 @02:32PM (#19963534)
I just got a 2018 BMW 2 series and it's the best system I've personally used outside of a Tesla. It has a mobile connection so it can find POIs very quickly. It's surprised me many times when I've asked it to navigate somewhere.

I'm sure the recent crop of Audis and Mercedes are the same. The German brands seem to be finally getting on the voice assistant train with a "Hey Mercedes" or "Hey BMW" cue.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by xiphias2 on Monday May 20, 2019 @03:22PM (#19964024)
Your BMW is new, I have an old one, and the sofware updates made it worse actually. Tesla is making sure that the new processors are backward compatible (for example the new, v2.5 generation autopilot hardware fits in the v2.0 hardware, and doesn't increase the power usage substantially).

In return I'm a bit scared of buying a Tesla because I live in Europe and read quite bad stories about the service wait time here.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by sjwright on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:58AM (#19960998)
It seems to be an ongoing truism that companies that see themselves as fundamentally hardware-oriented inevitably make terrible, terrible software.

Just look at the historical shitpile that is printer drivers.

Or the software bundled with digital cameras.

Car companies are all hardware-oriented, with Tesla being the first and only mass-producing exception.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by stcredzero on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:09PM (#19961881)
It seems to be an ongoing truism that companies that see themselves as fundamentally hardware-oriented inevitably make terrible, terrible software.

IBM saw itself as a hardware company when it came out with System/360. From what I've seen, System/360 was a good OS for its time.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by jimbokun on Monday May 20, 2019 @01:24PM (#19962718)
Can you elaborate on that?

Did they see themselves as a "hardware company", or as a "computer company" at a time when the hardware and the software all came together, and there wasn't really a separate software industry?

Which would make them the Apple of their time, where they built and sold the hardware needed to deliver the software?

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by stcredzero on Monday May 20, 2019 @04:35PM (#19964892)
Did they see themselves as a "hardware company", or as a "computer company" at a time when the hardware and the software all came together, and there wasn't really a separate software industry?

I think they did see themselves as a hardware company. Software was something they had to make to make their hardware work, but they didn't think of it as a major part of their business. I happened to work for the "world's first software company" which was founded by a star IBM salesman. (Cincom Systems Inc. in 1968.) The Smithsonian has a write up on it. It was the first time that a company was intended to make all of its money from the sale of software, and succeeded in doing so.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by sjwright on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:19PM (#19966858)
My response to that is to say that IBM belongs in a third group—the fundamentally systems-oriented company. Systems-oriented companies are capable of understanding and delivering the whole product without either the hardware or software seen as more important. This would include the likes of 1970s IBM, Apple, Sun, Atari, Commodore, etc.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by tashoecraft on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:23AM (#19960575)
It's not any better. This past year I've driven something like 2 dozen rentals from a variety of manufactures, they all suck. The only saving grace is sometimes I can use CarPlay and I'm much happier for it.

The fact that I have to struggle to adjust the climate control while driving to click through their terrible interface is just insane.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by CharlesColeman on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:38AM (#19961503)
> My car has a touch screen interface and I am puzzled why car manufacturers even bother.

IMHO, touch screen controls should be banned from cars, no matter how good. Tactile physical control based interfaces allow drivers to keep their eyes on the road. Touch screens inevitably take driver's eyes off the road and distract them, since they need to use those same eyes to figure out where on the screen they need to touch.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by paranoidrobot on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:47AM (#19960841)
>Maybe it's better these days (my car is ~5 years old), but it's just impressively bad in my car at least.

I honestly don't think it's getting any better. At best, it's just getting different - but maybe worse as manufacturers try to add more "smart" features.

Was a passenger in a <1 year old BMW 5 series for about a week this year for a roadtrip. There were so many stupid behaviours with the software that we effectively gave up using it for anything except bluetooth music. Trying to use the built in GPS navigation was awful.

Also a passenger in a new SUV style vehicle for two weeks last year, I forget what brand. It too had utterly bizarre behaviours that it wouldn't explain anywhere, and it took a variety of experimentation to figure out. For instance, Bluetooth pairing is disabled once the car is in put into gear, and is not re-enabled until you turn the car off and turn it back on again. However it doesn't tell you this, it just doesn't show bluetooth options in the menu anywhere. So I spent hours going through every menu item (as a passenger, mind) over a few days until I finally figured it out.

In every case, the number of either unlabelled or poorly labelled buttons is overwhelming.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by pwinnski on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:26AM (#19961332)
My Toyota "grays out" all Bluetooth options other than "choose from paired devices list" while the car is in motion, deliberately. Coming to a stop re-enables the other options, though, at least making the cause obvious. BMW is absolutely making the right decision here, but apparently communicating their reasoning poorly.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by mschuster91 on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:19AM (#19961258)
> For instance, Bluetooth pairing is disabled once the car is in put into gear, and is not re-enabled until you turn the car off and turn it back on again.

That's not a bug, that's intentional, and saves lives.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by SideburnsOfDoom on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:32AM (#19961424)
I think that this is the UX Bug:

> However it doesn't tell you this, it just doesn't show bluetooth options in the menu anywhere. So I spent hours going through every menu item

Greyed out menu item = This is where it is on the UI, but it's not allowed at present.

No menu item = maybe it's somewhere else?

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by sathackr on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:36AM (#19961477)
If cars only contained drivers it wouldn't be that bad.

If only there were some way that someone besides the driver could manipulate the in car system.

My Chevrolet handles this well, using the passenger seat occupancy sensor. If someone is sitting in a passenger seat, it gives the option "I am the passenger" to allow access to normally blocked-while-moving screens.

And the behavior the parent described is just annoying. The device has the capability to know if the car is in motion or not. Permanently locking out the function until the car is turned off and on is dumb.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by jwlake on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:27AM (#19961347)
This is a universal unfounded assumption. Lawyers have more to do with decisions like these than data.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by MS90 on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:26AM (#19960598)
I agree with you on the touch screen interfaces, especially considering how long people keep their vehicles nowadays. I have had my Tacoma for 11 years. Had I gotten one with some sort of touchscreen or other display interface, it would seem like utter dog shit now using a touchscreen and computer system from 2008.

That's the first thing I think about when I see new cars with their fancy displays. How will this look and perform in five years? In ten?

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by maxxxxx on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:03AM (#19961057)
“That's the first thing I think about when I see new cars with their fancy displays. How will this look and perform in five years? In ten?”

I wonder about the same. I think there is a good chance that cars will go the way of the computer where it’s almost inconceivable to use something that’s ten years old. So people may buy cars every five years and used cars will be recycled instead of being sold as used cars.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by officeplant on Monday May 20, 2019 @03:54PM (#19964424)
As someone with a car from 2015 that lacks both touchscreens and infotainment options due to going for the "value edition" I dread the day I have to move on from it. Of course it still has a terribly slow bluetooth connection time but I'm gonna miss real gauges and physical controls when it comes time to replace it. I also fear that it will be the last manual transmission car I've owned if those vanish from the market.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by IOT_Apprentice on Monday May 20, 2019 @06:16PM (#19965855)
Mercedes-Benz is certainly egregious in this regard. Their screens are non-touch screen and require you to move a weird joystick to move about major functions. Their radio channel display is a tired version of the iPod/Finder song carousel view and direct access to premium channels is a chore.

Their Apple Carplay adaptation is a least free as opposed to BMW charging some bogus subscription.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by linuxftw on Monday May 20, 2019 @03:21PM (#19964008)
Big fancy screens were an effective way to sell cars 10 years ago. Now, technology is so cheap, it's just cheaper to stuff those fancy screens into every car.

I think for SUV's (the new ones) backup cameras are pretty much a standard safety feature because you certainly can't see behind them whatsoever due to their shape.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by api on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:19PM (#19961982)
Part of the problem is Bluetooth itself. The protocol is an over-engineered abomination full of totally unnecessary statefulness and special-casing and other nonsense. It's really hard to get Bluetooth to work reliably.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by bcatanzaro on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:50AM (#19960294)
This is all true.

But.

My Model S has a worse Bluetooth implementation than my Chevy Volt did.

Tesla’s software is objectively pretty terrible.

Sometimes my center console reboots randomly while I’m driving, which means I lose all audio, and the climate control shuts completely off for several minutes.

Tesla has not yet achieved Apple quality polish on their software.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by pwinnski on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:19AM (#19961250)
This is a good observation, and since I don't own a Tesla, I appreciate your perspective.

I definitely don't love Tesla, but I guess I think of it like this: I suspect Tesla can improve their software (and deliver it to all existing customers) a lot more quickly that their non-software-focused competitors can. I still don't think Tesla will ever have full auto-driving, but I know my car's Bluetooth handling in my 2014 Toyota sucks, and will always suck. If a Tesla's Bluetooth handling suck, there's a good chance it won't in another 5 years.

And Tesla isn't even a company I'm eager to defend, but I think JLG is right: software-focused companies will eventually beat out those which aren't. It'll take a while, but it'll happen.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by dabeeeenster on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:08AM (#19960431)
I have a 2018 Leaf. Drove a model 3 for a day last month. The software of both vehicles is not even comparable. It's like going from a Nokia 3310 to a modern iPhone.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by arkitaip on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:17AM (#19960523)
Interesting analogy because there are those who would consider the 3310 the better phone in terms of build quality and having a device that minimizes distraction due to how limited its functionality is.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by needaccount on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:13AM (#19960479)
Having never driven either, which is which?
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by isalmon on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:15AM (#19960504)
Tesla = iPhone
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by mbreese on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:59PM (#19962422)
And which do you want in a car?
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by bluedino on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:27PM (#19962076)
Which is better? The iPhone or the Nokia?
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by gamblor956 on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:38AM (#19960730)
Leaf = iphone
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by ripdog on Monday May 20, 2019 @02:46PM (#19963677)
Uh, he went from the Leaf to the Tesla, i.e the Leaf is the Nokia and the Tesla is the iPhone.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by goshx on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:22AM (#19960565)
Even the Jaguar I-Pace's software is sluggish. It's almost like they do this on purpose.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by alasdair_ on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:02AM (#19960392)
My 2015 model S has appallingly bad voice recognition and turn by turn directions compared to my phone (1st gen Android Pixel) from the same year. Both have software updates but the car is really, really bad when it comes to those things.

I'm happy with the bluetooth though, and I've never had a random reboot.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by lallysingh on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:07AM (#19960424)
Fwiw, every car has terrible voice recognition.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by Klathmon on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:26AM (#19960609)
I've actually had cars with fantastic voice recognition, but they have always been when using Android Auto in the car (so it's not really the car doing the voice recog)

I used AA a TON in an Audi TT convertible and it would correctly understand me even while driving on the highway with the top down!

Funnily enough, the built-in voice recognition in the Audi was horrible and was hard to get working right even when sitting still.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by leesec on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:58AM (#19960358)
I have a model 3 and the Blutooth seems about average. All the rest of the software seems way better than any other car I've ever been in though. Wonder what your complaints are?
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by londons_explore on Monday May 20, 2019 @06:00PM (#19965723)
"Bluetooth seems about average".

That statement has underlying meaning. It implies that it has not worked perfectly and lag-free every single time. It implies you have identified ways it could be better.

Yet it also implies you are happy with its level of buggyness. You have come to terms with it. You don't complain when occasionally it won't connect without cycling Bluetooth off and on again, or when there's a slight glitch.

If I design or develop a technology, I would consider it a 100 percent failure if as well as there being bugs with it, users stop complaining about the bugs and they just become 'normal'.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by jvagner on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:06AM (#19961079)
Curious about this too.

I have a 3.5 year old Toyota Highlander. No issues with Bluetooth, ever.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by goshx on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:53AM (#19960315)
Model S from what year? I have not experienced this with my Model 3.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by bcatanzaro on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:28AM (#19961373)
2017 P100DL

Voice recognition just doesn’t work, period.

Often I have to hold my phone to my ear for a call because the audio doesn’t come out over the speakers. It’s random, though - Bluetooth sometimes works great.

I love the car because it’s fast and electric. But the software sucks. I was expecting better.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by isalmon on Monday May 20, 2019 @07:41PM (#19966381)
I have 2018 P100D - never had these problems. I'd take it to a service - might be a quick fix.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by goshx on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:34AM (#19961453)
That's odd. Have you taken it for service with Tesla?
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by hndamien on Tuesday May 21, 2019 @12:13AM (#19967521)
My iPhone XS actually does this occasionally, as does my Model S. Apple is a little better, but there isn't a huge difference here.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by octorian on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:15AM (#19961186)
The moment Tesla cares more about the software experience of existing owners, than things they can brag about to reporters and observers (who don't actually own/drive their cars everyday), that will hopefully change. When that'll happen, I have no idea.

Tesla does try to produce a better experience, in theory, than everyone else. It's the small details and bugs that you'd likely only notice as an owner, which they seem to struggle with (or simply not care about).

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by mhermher on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:32AM (#19961422)
Why is the theory that they try to produce a better experience? Where does that come from? Probably from their self-promotion and tech journalists eating it up, and nothing else.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by aaronblohowiak on Monday May 20, 2019 @01:00PM (#19962441)
Wat? Senty Mode, Dashcam, etc. nice updates for existing users.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by octorian on Monday May 20, 2019 @02:45PM (#19963662)
All features that make for a great press release, and lots of media buzz that may tempt people to buy the cars.

Fixing bugs and regressions in the existing software? Not so much.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by houqp on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:55AM (#19961716)
I have the first version of Chevy volt. I can take phone calls with Bluetooth but not play music with it, what a joke.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by saturdaysaint on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:38AM (#19961508)
Not sure what you're talking about in terms of Apple's 2007 problems. They were highly profitable, had successfully migrated their computers to Intel chips (an incredibly thorny technical platform hurdle) and the iPod was a global cultural phenomenon that never faced a true competitor. All of their products were arguably best of breed. Apple stores were already the centerpiece of most upscale American malls. They were firing on all cylinders.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by pwinnski on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:51AM (#19961663)
Specifically with the original iPhone: no 3G, no MMS, semi-frequent crashes. I owned an original iPhone in 2007, so clearly the problems weren't enough to deter me, but it wasn't a perfect device.

It was, however, in an entirely different conceptual category from its competitors.

The same could be said of Tesla, I guess, but I'm still very much a skeptic on Tesla. My point is just that being in a different conceptual category is a huge advantage. Perhaps Tesla will capitalize on that and come out on top (as Apple did), or perhaps it will be some other company (as Google did with Android), but I think it will happen.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by mbesto on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:32AM (#19960677)
> Apple had all sorts of problems in 2007

This analog is disingenuous.

- Selling a $1k phone or a $2k computer is very different from selling a $80k luxury car

- A smartphone is a full fledge computer, which is a massive change from a dumb-phone (which capabilities were limited to calling and SMS). An electric car has the same features as a gas car, with the exception that its drive chain has a different source of power.

- Apple was an established business for 30 years before 2007, and navigated a software/hardware development environment (90's) that was very immature prior.

> software will eat this part of the world too.

Yet we're talking about a company that sells a big hunk of steel. The quote "software is eating the world" has to do with the replacement of human beings by software, not with "shiny new thing that still needs to be powered by energy".

PS - Tesla's fully autonomous (Level 5) solution is unproven. Until then, let's take the "software is eating the world" talk out the question.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by dexen on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:57AM (#19960974)
>A smartphone is a full fledge computer, which is a massive change from a dumb-phone (which capabilities were limited to calling and SMS).

I'm sorry, but this is the very blindness the old smartphone manufacturers exhibited. Nokia, Sony-Ericsson, RIM, they all had well-established offerings of smartphones with the on-paper capabilities matching, or rivaling, that of iPhone. Unified messaging, camera, keyboard, handwritten recognition, web browser, you name it. Even apps ecosystems. All good, right? And yet the iPhone won via software. And via the hype. And via the app store in the longer run. And via tight integration with other Apple offering in the longer run. And via upmarket, "cool" brand.

The customers were sold "the experience of future, today". Cringe? Sure, but it worked.

>An electric car has the same features as a gas car, with the exception that its drive chain has a different source of power.

Wrong, very very wrong. A gasoline car is goods sold via dealership network at about zero margins, with the tacit understanding the customer will be back frequently to change oil & filter & timing belt, service the engine (almost every new generation of ICE comes with serious deficiencies), upgrade firmware, and all the jazz. The money for the dealership is in the servicing, not in the initial sale.

An electric car is, for better or worse, mostly absent those services. You rotate tires, replace brake pads & shock absorbers once every several years, and that's that. Any money to be made is in the charging network, if at all.

There is a dual shift - software/perception/hype, and also the business model. The traditional vendors have already mostly figured out how to put electricity in cars (if at low efficiency); but they desperately need to un-learn how to sell cars via the legacy business model. Right now they aren't ready to ditch the dealerships, while at the same time they want to sell ever more of the dealership un-friendly electrics. Talk about stuck between rock and hard place.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by throwayEngineer on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:10AM (#19961123)
>A gasoline car is goods sold via dealership network at about zero margins

Citation needed.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by dumbfounder on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:25AM (#19961316)
https://www.autonews.com/article/20171019/RETAIL/171019631/n... shows gross margins in 2017 at 5.9%

This quora answer claims net margins at 1-2% back in 2013 (a lifetime ago) but there is no citation: https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-profit-margin-of-a-new-car...

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by throwayEngineer on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:53AM (#19961698)
6 percent is Definitely not 0.

Especially at 30k/vehicle price points.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by neuronic on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:52AM (#19960908)
Let's make two points clear:

Point 1)

Tesla does not have SAE Level 5. It is an absolutely ridiculous claim. At most Level 3, but the SAE levels are kind of fuzzy between 2 and 3, so you could even argue level 2. [1]

Tesla Autopilot cannot and will not be able to deal with ALL situations that can possibly occur - which would be SAE Level 5. They are spouting marketing bullshit in face of their poor quarterly results. Most engineers in the space will agree that level 4 will be the highest level reached for decades - if ever. Showing an Autopilot in heavily trained-for area during perfect weather and road conditions with infinite retries for getting the video right means nothing.

This has to be viewed separate from some real progress and contributions that Tesla has made in the space. However, that doesn't mean they get to throw around the "Level 5" term yet. And they likely won't within the next decades. Level 5 is a whole other beast than Level 4 and nobody is even remotely close to get there.

Point 2)

Have you ever sat in a modern car beyond 1995? They ARE computers. And in most recent years, user access is widened. 10 years ago an onboard computer would calculate your air-fuel mix and you wouldn't ever interact directly with it. Today there are huge and ever growing interfaces and you can use voice control to make your car perform certain tasks.

So yes, software is eating up the industry. Doesn't mean the steel hunks disappear.

[1] https://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/blog/2013/12/sae-levels-drivin...

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by natch on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:17AM (#19961230)
>Tesla does not have SAE Level 5. It is an absolutely ridiculous claim.

Where did you see Tesla make the claim that they have SAE Level 5?

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by neuronic on Monday May 20, 2019 @04:34PM (#19964870)
I took it from my predecessor. Have not seen it from Tesla, but saw level 4 from Audi. It’s all bullshit PR talk.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by cptskippy on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:05AM (#19961070)
> The quote "software is eating the world" has to do with the replacement of human beings

No, it was made by Marc Andreessen in reference to how software companies were taking over. It had nothing to do with replacement of humans.

https://a16z.com/2011/08/20/why-software-is-eating-the-world...

The OP's comments are spot on IMO.

Tesla is presenting a new model for automobiles where your car isn't outdated every year by a new trim design or every 5-7 years by a generational uplift. Instead your car evolves as you own it and enhancements are made incrementally both to the software and hardware rather than being held back for annual or generational releases.

In the less than 6 months I've had my Tesla Model 3 it has had software updates to:

- improve braking performance

- increase surpercharger performance

- increase power output, speed, and acceleration

- increase range

- enhanced automatic electronic braking

- enhanced lane departure warnings

- add dashcam recording capabilities

- add deterrence, video monitoring, and logging security features

- add climate control management for pets

With a traditional car company all of those things would be added incrementally in subsequent years or not at all.

*edited for clarity.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by hef19898 on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:50AM (#19961651)
Or, especially the first one, would already have been there from the very beginning.

But I see the advantage of Tesla's approach. On the other hand I can sign up with our family Peugeot for regular updates for free for, it was, 2 years or so. Not over the air the registration is a pain. But it's not that it isn't there.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by cowmix on Monday May 20, 2019 @02:21PM (#19963403)
No. That braking problem would have plagued ANY car manufacture. The only difference it there would have been a mad rush of people setting up service appointments at dealerships all over the country to get it fix -- costing time and money for everyone involved. Tesla did OTA updates, no fuss.

My Chevy Volt has had two software updates in the past 6 years.. not user noticeable improvements. I love my car but the car I was sold in 2013 is the same (problems and all) car I have now. My friends who have had their TM3s for over a year have drastically improved cars in almost every aspect.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by cptskippy on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:37PM (#19962178)
On the flip side, my Nissan's connectivity module was 2G based and deprecated by the carrier shortly after the car was built. Nissan offered a free upgrade and I was eligible but I only knew about it because I'd read something on a forum referencing a service bulletin that I never received despite being the registered owner of the vehicle. The excuse being that the bulletin must have been lost in the mail.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by mcguire on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:54AM (#19960934)
There's more to your second point: aren't smartphones still a computer connected to an almost-completely separate cell phone? Haven't the phone producers repeatedly had problems with things like antenna placement and design? Google has repeatedly released their own physical phone, but it's never gotten much market traction.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by rootusrootus on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:56AM (#19960330)
I think it is very tempting for software guys to think that software will indeed eat the world.

Fundamentally, until we reach actual self-driving cars (which I believe to be far enough away that it does not merit much discussion of the current car market), cars need to drive first, software second. Given the shit show that is software updates on my workstation, I'm pretty sure I don't ever want my car to be that focused on software. There is something to be said for being careful -- I think the legacy manufacturers ought to embrace over-the-air updates because that just makes sense, but I hope they think more like aviation (but not Boeing ;-)) than silicon valley when they plan their release schedule.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by pwinnski on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:37AM (#19961492)
I can't speak for anyone else, but I'm not even talking about the full-self-driving pipe dream. In general, despite real technological shortcomings, the iPhone approach to software beat out approaches of Nokia, Motorola, et al. It's easy to see how a software-focused company--maybe Tesla, maybe not--could do the same with the existing car companies.

For a tiny example of how I'm thinking: Apple introduced CarPlay, and it took years for car companies to be ready on their end. Super-long lead times seem like a good idea when you're talking about airline safety, but for bluetooth audio? For touch-screen user interface stuff? Think about how much iOS and Android have changed just in the last five years, and think about having everything delayed by five years because "we're a car company, not a computer company."

I don't just mean everything that happened in 2012 happens in 2017 instead, I mean that the first release is delayed by five years, which means that it isn't until that release hits the market that developers can see what direction to go in based on user feedback, and then there's another five years before that hits the market, and then competitors are also doing things, but it's another five years before that has any effect, and so on.

I'm as terrified as anyone ought to be about the idea that Tesla can over-the-air release a regression that drives someone into a concrete barrier it used to navigate properly, but the details of Tesla aside, the whole idea of focusing on software seems like a good move, and I think the car industry will (much more slowly) follow the phone industry overall pattern.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by pbreit on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:19PM (#19961971)
This mentality is exactly the reason a new entrant was able to find huge sales success in an extremely difficult and expensive industry.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by rootusrootus on Monday May 20, 2019 @01:19PM (#19962654)
Well, I'd say it has more to do with having billions of dollars to throw at the effort, and a small but enthusiastic niche of tech folks with good salaries and an appreciation for pretty touchscreens and no real concern about driving dynamics. Followed by some image-seekers who hope that a Model 3 in their driveway could be mistaken for a Model S.

Sales are already faltering and money is getting very tight over at Tesla; one of the reasons I opted out of buying a P3D and instead am waiting for a Model Y is because by the time that hits the markets we'll have a better idea on whether Tesla has a real future or not.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by isalmon on Monday May 20, 2019 @07:44PM (#19966398)
Well that's the beauty about Tesla - it's the most fun car to drive. I feel like 99% of people who don't like Tesla have never takes a test drive - it's just very different from all the other cars out there. Software is just the icing on the cake (but also a strong competitive advantage in the future).
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by bdcravens on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:15AM (#19960507)
In 2007, Apple had just released the iPhone. Tesla has been producing cars for over ten years at this point.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by nicoburns on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:57AM (#19960347)
> Apple had all sorts of problems in 2007

However, Apple was profitable in 2007, which is a pretty significant difference...

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by TomMarius on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:10AM (#19960453)
Well Apple was not founded just a few years before they released iPhone
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by nicoburns on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:40AM (#19961531)
Right, but the fact that Tesla is not an established company is precisely why some people think they might fail.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by TomMarius on Monday May 20, 2019 @03:02PM (#19963824)
Why do you use a completely unrelated argument then?
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by MarkMc on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:51AM (#19960891)
The iPhone has a user interface and a very strong network effect - more users means more apps, which means more users.

Self-driving software is fundamentally different. A self-driving Tesla would have no significant UI or network effect, so users could easily switch and Tesla won't have a durable competitive advantage. As soon as there are two robo-taxi services, people will simply choose whichever one is cheaper. It will be a commodity service similar to air travel.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by natch on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:19AM (#19961254)
We'll see about that. With frequent software updates, you don't really know what Teslas on the road today will be doing 6, 12, 18, 24 months from now.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by hef19898 on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:34AM (#19961447)
Which, one could argue, opens up a new front for Tesla on configuration management. This is bad enough for hardware and poses already a problem regarding spare parts. Add the additional layer of software that might or might not work with a certain hardware config and this problem increases exponentially.

I'd live to see the Tesla announcement that from today on they will focus exclusively on X because of Y and the measureable and benefits will A, B and C til date D.

But all we get is "full self-driving next year" and "fleet of autonomous robo-taxis".

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by natch on Monday May 20, 2019 @11:46AM (#19961599)
Mentioning configuration management, that's something Apple is really good at... it will be fascinating to see what comes out of their efforts eventually.

I almost prefer their approach of keeping things under wraps until they are ready, rather than pre-teasing stuff that might happen later than predicted.

To be fair to Tesla, they are not saying we will have full self driving next year... it is Elon making a prediction, not a promise, and he couched it many ways. Full self driving for Tesla development cars, basically, and robo-taxis possibly by the end of next year, with safety drivers, if you listen to what he said in response to an audience question... so his actual statements are pretty far removed from what you have dressed up as "quotes" right there.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by maxerickson on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:02AM (#19960398)
I wonder if software is a bigger deal for neutered communications devices than for polished transportation devices though.

(I get that calling vehicles polished is contrary to complaints about the radio, but they do a decent job at the main thing they do)

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by SideburnsOfDoom on Monday May 20, 2019 @09:59AM (#19960361)
> software will eat this part of the world too.

Hardware, specifically batteries and electric motors, seem just as fundamental to motor cars.

Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by yters on Monday May 20, 2019 @10:17AM (#19960521)
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by dfilppi on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:14PM (#19961929)
I'm still puzzled by the meat being transported along packed freeways every day. Other than the segments of the economy that require face to face interaction, it is stupid, wasteful, dangerous and destructive.
Re:Tesla: Insane or Clever by la_barba on Monday May 20, 2019 @12:34PM (#19962150)
What is your alternative that the world can switch to without an enormous cost? Utopias are fun to think about, but I am skeptical if flawed humans could ever produce one.