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Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by geowwy on Thursday March 22, 2018 @07:53PM (#16653833)
Relevent paragraphs:

> [An intelligence researcher] led an investigation at ThreatConnect that tried to track down Guccifer from the metadata in his emails. But the trail always ended at the same data center in France. Ehmke eventually uncovered that Guccifer was connecting through an anonymizing service called Elite VPN, a virtual private networking service that had an exit point in France but was headquartered in Russia.

> But on one occasion, The Daily Beast has learned, Guccifer failed to activate the VPN client before logging on. As a result, he left a real, Moscow-based Internet Protocol address in the server logs of an American social media company, according to a source familiar with the government’s Guccifer investigation. Twitter and WordPress were Guccifer 2.0’s favored outlets. Neither company would comment for this story, and Guccifer did not respond to a direct message on Twitter.

> Working off the IP address, U.S. investigators identified Guccifer 2.0 as a particular GRU officer working out of the agency’s headquarters on Grizodubovoy Street in Moscow. (The Daily Beast’s sources did not disclose which particular officer worked as Guccifer.)

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bigiain on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:20PM (#16653985)
Opsec is hard - you only need to fuck up once...
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by tr4cefl0w on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:20PM (#16654580)
Even crazier is that this is a noob mistake.

There are better ways to hide. From experience (I work in security), the ones I would use are (individually or combined):

- Have the VPN set up in my router using OpenWRT (the R7000 is great for that) and drop all connections when VPN disconnects (with a script).

- Rent a VPS on a botnet friendly host that accepts Bitcoins (i.e Hostsailor).

- Then do all my shady stuff from the VPS or even better, configure Tor and proxychains on the VPS then use proxychains when doing anything on a remote host.

I think the guy was just lazy and preferred convenience.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by ajross on Friday March 23, 2018 @12:45AM (#16655138)
You're overthinking this and getting lost in technology. The guy surely did that stuff. What likely happened is that the guy pasted an URL into the wrong browser window.

Having a separate browser that jumps through all the well-audited crypto hoops you want doesn't really help you if you have a native Safari window sitting next to it where you read your gmail.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by viraptor on Friday March 23, 2018 @04:31AM (#16656099)
Setting up the VPN at the router level doesn't allow mistakes like that. Browser doesn't matter anymore - all the traffic goes out only via that VPN.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by roel_v on Friday March 23, 2018 @05:40AM (#16656386)
Sure, and then one day you sit with your laptop in a park on your company's campus and you are accidentally connected to the wrong wifi hotspot and you leak some info that way.

Opsec is hard. Technology can only solve so much, the weak link will always be the wet spongy tissue.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by viraptor on Friday March 23, 2018 @08:24AM (#16657238)
If you're running an operation with international political implications, you don't sit with your laptop in the park. There's "opsec is hard", and there's "you're an idiot".
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by roel_v on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:24AM (#16658436)
Do you think these large government agencies with hundreds or thousands of employees are some sort of magical super-organizations where everything and everybody is 100% on, all the time? These are all regular people like you and me working there. We're talking about the world's most organized agencies, yet who put or leave an internet-connected webcam with a default password in front of their building; or hire someone who will copy gigabytes of data and run off with it - and fail to notice; or give their most secret and valuable spyware to an ally who then gets impatient and exposes it with some stupid mistake.

This is not about being an 'idiot', this is perfectly normal behavior to happen once in a few years over hundreds or thousands of people.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by viraptor on Friday March 23, 2018 @04:51PM (#16662542)
I think these are all separate cases. Yes, opsec is hard in general. There's a scale of how hard some problems are to prevent - what you listed is in various places on it. The specific case I responded to with laptop in the park while you're trying to mess with foreign governments would be at one extreme of that scale.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bryanrasmussen on Saturday March 24, 2018 @04:51AM (#16665591)
they're all separate cases of people doing stupid shit while working doing this kind of stuff. The laptop in the park was an example of how someone could do stupid shit while working on this kind of stuff, it was of course an example plucked from thin air of one kind of stupid shit one could do and get caught out, not necessarily the stupid shit that actually got him caught. The point is that at least most people, even if most of the time highly competent, slip up some times and it seems this guy slipped up one time which really thinking about it starts to make me suspicious because if you slip up once in hundreds of times why not 3-7 times. why only one time. but anyway the point is intelligent most of the time, stupid once is all it takes to get caught and nearly everyone does it.

And now I'm defending a Russian agent doing stuff I think sucks.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by ajross on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:44AM (#16658652)
If you're writing mission critical software, you don't scribble all over memory by writing through unvalidated pointers. There's "software quality is hard", and there's "you're an idiot".

What you're asking for, fundamentally, is for people not to make mistakes. You probably don't hold that opinion in your professional life (yeah, I'm assuming you're a programmer). Why here?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by viraptor on Friday March 23, 2018 @05:10PM (#16662660)
There's not even remotely the same magnitude of error between those two cases in my mind. One you can miss by accident, the other you're actively doing.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by notfromhere on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:26AM (#16658460)
even intelligence agents are human. how many spies were caught by doing stupid shit?

For example, Rudolf Abel was caught because he paid with a fake nickel on accident.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by petegrif on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:27AM (#16658473)
You are absolutely correct. People make mistakes. Even very well trained professionals make mistakes. Incredibly experienced skydivers die. Industrial safety is tough despite well designed processes and constant training. Tradecraft slipups happen. etc etc The weak link is the human being.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by jorvi on Friday March 23, 2018 @08:18AM (#16657187)
You can prevent this by running Little Snitch and only allowing outbound traffic if you are connected to GRUfi. Hell, Little Snitch even has a mode that blocks all but the core services on your Mac. Do that combined with a router-VPN with a kill switch and a hardened browser I don’t see how you would leak your location.

Edit: you could even configure Little Snitch to ask for permission for every app and domain your Mac wants to connect to. That way you would even catch yourself accidentally surfing to the wrong URL or using the wrong browser.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by roel_v on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:26AM (#16658466)
Yes yes yes - you're completely missing the point. The point is that it's easy to come up with some sort of contained scenario in which you can devise a perfect technical solution for a well-defined problem. But it's hard to get groups of hundreds of people to always behave perfectly according to protocol, every time, everywhere, with not a single slip-up over several years.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by masklinn on Friday March 23, 2018 @06:38AM (#16656633)
The problem is that all of a sudden your side-searches for rash treatments or your checks on your gmail account go through that VPN as well, linking your identities temporally.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by rmc on Friday March 23, 2018 @06:53AM (#16656713)
Maybe get a different laptop on the desk beside you for your personal stuff?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by masklinn on Friday March 23, 2018 @09:10AM (#16657649)
Parent was calling for router-level VPN-ing, if the second device uses the same router it has the same VPN.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by AFNobody on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:19AM (#16655282)
It does if you do not have your personal stuff on the same physical network/equipment as your professional stuff.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by themihai on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:34AM (#16655351)
Even so it's still likely to type the wrong url/login on the wrong device(i.e by reflex). The only safe choice you have is to not have any "personal stuff"(i.e. personal twitter account).
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by AFNobody on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:45AM (#16655401)
Possible, I know that a couple times a year but I would think a professional in that situation would use a completely different service for personal use. (I.e. Personal Twitter, Professional Reddit)
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by themihai on Sunday March 25, 2018 @07:34AM (#16671735)
Well if the job requires you to use all of them(twitter, facebook, reddit) you are left with no service for personal use only.

Usually you don't have a choice, you use what your friends use.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by Tuna-Fish on Friday March 23, 2018 @05:40AM (#16656384)
The solution to that is to use a password manager, and save all your (randomly generated, long and unmemorizable) professional passwords only on the device that cannot connect into the open internet.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by apexalpha on Friday March 23, 2018 @05:23AM (#16656329)
It doesn't even need to be a fuck up. Knowing the scrutiny this hack would trigger means he could've easily left a single connection to a russian IP address as false bread crumb trail for investigators.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by varjag on Friday March 23, 2018 @06:33AM (#16656611)
So you seriously mean he logged in from GRU HQ in Moscow to frame Russia years later?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by lostcolony on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:18AM (#16658392)
Once, I might add. He did it once, and was willing to wait years with no reason to believe anyone noticed.

That totally says "false trail" rather than "fuck up" to me. /sarcasm

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by cix_pkez on Friday March 23, 2018 @08:53AM (#16657519)
Why is it so easy to spoof a phone number and robocall people, yet not to spoof an IP? Everyone's talking about the machine attribution as a given.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by mbreese on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:29AM (#16658502)
Much more difficult to spoof an IP than a phone number. Once you’re behind a NAT, all bets are off, but the public IP has to be routable back to you in order to be usable.

Instead of phone number, think port on the phone company’s switch or a specific pair of wires. That’s hard to spoof.

It’s much easier to spoof a MAC address, which can identify specific hardware associated with the IP address, but that doesn’t make the IP any more difficult to identify.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by ryanlol on Friday March 23, 2018 @08:57AM (#16657542)
A company like hostsailor will sell anyone access to your server for a few thousand $.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by CapacitorSet on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:37PM (#16654057)
If all it takes is "one occasion" for investigators to believe you're Russian, it's also definitely easy to throw investigations off course.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by Lazare on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:02PM (#16654188)
> If all it takes is "one occasion"

Depends on the occasion, no? There's a difference between "the target account once used phrasing more typical of a Russian speaker than a Romanian speaker" and "the target connected to the server from inside GRU headquarters".

> it's also definitely easy to throw investigations off course

Connecting to a server from GRU headquarters isn't something I'd call "definitely easy". If the claim is true, Occam's Razor suggests that the GRU was involved in some fashion. What's the alternative? That the DNC compromised the network of a Russian intelligence agency?

(How much faith to put in an anonymously sourced claim about what was in the logs of an unnamed social network is a separate question, of course.)

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by dvogel on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:05PM (#16654510)
You've added something that was not in the article. The IP address was not necessarily in the GRU HQ. The IP was in Moscow. The IP allowed the agent to be identified. That might mean the IP was in the GRU HQ but not necessarily. Once the agent was identified, they knew (possibly based on other intel collection) that he works out of (has as a "home" office) the GRU HQ.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by forapurpose on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:32PM (#16654866)
It is in the article:

> U.S. investigators identified Guccifer 2.0 as a particular GRU officer working out of the agency’s headquarters on Grizodubovoy Street in Moscow.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by fulafel on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:39AM (#16655368)
This quote still leaves open the details on how they connected the IP to the officer or actual locale.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by forapurpose on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:19PM (#16663515)
Ha ha. I'll go get the complete top secret NSA report and post it here, and then we can arrange a Q&A with the NSA officers to address your further questions, as there certainly will be some.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by coldtea on Friday March 23, 2018 @03:42AM (#16655880)
Which we should take at face value
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:37AM (#16656946)
> (How much faith to put in an anonymously sourced claim about what was in the logs of an unnamed social network is a separate question, of course.)

Parent already addressed this. Unless you have evidence to the contrary the "what if" game does not take us very far.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by coldtea on Saturday March 24, 2018 @01:49PM (#16667834)
I like to play the "what if" game as well as the "who profits" and "what has happened historically" game...

As well as the whatabboutism game ("what about the other side pointing fingers? Who has done worse?").

I don't like thought stoppers.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by 1337biz on Friday March 23, 2018 @09:04AM (#16657593)
With any intelligence information 'what if' is most reasonable approach. It is absurd to trust anyone that has the objective to spread misinformation.

In comparison why would you trust anybody who is a professional liar on any information? Just because you have no other more reliable information does not turn the liars lie into a truth.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by SlowRobotAhead on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:25AM (#16655304)
That seems WILDLY unprovable.

Tell me; how did The Daily Beast, an org that has Chelsea Clinton on their board, get the external IP addresses of the Russian Intellegence headquarters?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by EarthMephit on Friday March 23, 2018 @02:05AM (#16655501)
Please read the article properly before commenting - It helps you to stop jumping to wild, crazy conclusions

It wasn't the DailyBeast conducting the investigation, they are just reporting on it

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by SlowRobotAhead on Friday March 23, 2018 @02:07AM (#16655509)
Tracked to a specific office in their HQ... by an external IP address... lol, ok.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by EarthMephit on Friday March 23, 2018 @02:31AM (#16655604)
You are not as anonymous as you think when you are online - An IP address can easily identify a particular office in a government building

There are many, many cases where a journalist has tracked down specific wikipedia edits to a particular office or intranet in a government building all from their IP address

You can find a ton of stories with a quick google search: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/government-w... https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/investigation-into-o...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by tomclive on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:36AM (#16656941)
Yep. I agree - it's pretty easy to slip up and public IPs are fairly easy to monitor.

It reminds me of this project https://github.com/edsu/anon which "lets you tweet about anonymous Wikipedia edits from particular IP address ranges"

You can see it working at Congress Edits - https://twitter.com/congressedits

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by SlowRobotAhead on Friday March 23, 2018 @03:15PM (#16661644)
>Yep. I agree - it's pretty easy to slip up and public IPs are fairly easy to monitor.

Public IPs are NOT easy to monitor correctly when A. It's supposedly Russian Intelligence HQ B. They are claiming they can identify the specific office it came from

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by aslkdjaslkdj on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:39AM (#16655375)
The Clinton boogie man at it again eh?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by SlowRobotAhead on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:41AM (#16655379)
Did I post something incorrect? Do you want to explain who maintains the current and past list of external IP addresses belonging to Russian Intel?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by djur on Friday March 23, 2018 @02:23AM (#16655569)
The NSA and/or the CIA?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by vageli on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:12PM (#16654239)
Teenagers can hack NASA [0] so I don't think a sufficiently motivated attacker, possibly backed by a nation state, couldn't pull off something like this as a false flag.

[0]: https://abcnews.go.com/Technology/story?id=119423&page=1

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by Lazare on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:37PM (#16654375)
> Teenagers can hack NASA [...] so I don't think a sufficiently motivated attacker [...] couldn't pull off something like this

Right, the fact someone could compromise a random government agency in the 90s clearly means someone else could compromise Russian military intelligence in 2016, because NASA's IT security in the 90s is totally comparable to the GRU today, absolutely.

> possibly backed by a nation state

Which nation state, exactly?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by refulgentis on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:45PM (#16654919)
Considering a U.S. ally had their tendrils so deep inside GRU that they had a live video feed, you should probably reevaluate your assigned probabilities.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by equalunique on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:17AM (#16658377)
You mean the recent story which broke by Dutch intel?

There is no public video recording to substantiate their claim. You'd think this entire debate would be settled if on YouTube we could all just watch visual proof of Russians hacking the US.

They also claimed that the video feed came from a university building in Moscow's Red Square. I challenge you to find such a building on a map of the Red Square.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by refulgentis on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:29PM (#16664431)
Your entire posting history is devoted to obscure conspiracy screeds whenever Russia is involved – it's truly remarkable your account has persisted this long.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by equalunique on Saturday March 24, 2018 @01:04PM (#16667568)
That's an extremely offensive thing to say. Also, that is not a true characterization of my comment history. If you do want to discuss that topic, I am more than happy to engage in discussions supported by sourced material.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by equalunique on Sunday March 25, 2018 @03:27AM (#16671175)
Did you find that university building inside the red square yet? Where is it on google maps?

The story which made it to HN: https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2018/01/dutch...

My analysis is below, but I encourage you to look at Suzie Dawson's epic takedown here: https://steemit.com/steemit/@suzi3d/10-reasons-the-dutch-rus...

So, just because the US intelligence community gets attribution details in 2014 doesn't mean they didn't fake the attribution for the 2016 DNC hack. That's like me registering an account with your username on some site and posting stuff with it - many digital "fingerprints" can be faked. Readers of HN should know this (lol).

Also, the author's claim that the US intelligence community attributed the DNC hack is dubious. James Clapper did, and he threw around a debunked "17 intelligence agencies" slogan[0], but the man's a retired partisan[1]. Recall that the DNC would not let the FBI do actual forensics on their hacked server[2] - well, there's one intelligence agency that didn't get a chance to make an official attribution. Recall too that the Crowdstrike's hack report claims were debunked by the Ukranian army[3] & authenticity of the C&C software was questioned by many in the cyber security community[4].

Like, who didn't know that Russia had hackers? We also know that the DNC/DeepState have a scapegoat.

[0] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2017/07/06/clapper_c...

[1] https://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-11-17/lawmakers-re...

[2] http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2017/05/09/the_fbi_i...

[3] https://www.voanews.com/a/cyber-firm-rewrites-part-disputed-...

[4] http://www.zdnet.com/article/no-smoking-gun-for-russian-dnc-...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by coldtea on Friday March 23, 2018 @03:44AM (#16655887)
>Right, the fact someone could compromise a random government agency in the 90s clearly means someone else could compromise Russian military intelligence in 2016, because NASA's IT security in the 90s is totally comparable to the GRU today, absolutely.

Because such hacks don't happen today?

>Which nation state, exactly?

Well, which nation state likes false flags and BS excuses like WMDs for their target du jour?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by aldous on Friday March 23, 2018 @06:39AM (#16656638)
Are you referring to the Kremlin? There is a wealth of allegations of such activities attributed to them:

The most infamous (and heinous) oft sighted example...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_apartment_bombings

And there are plenty of more recent allegations such as the framing of North Korea for the attempts to disrupt the Winter Olympics:

https://www.wired.com/story/russia-false-flag-hacks/

Parkland shootings etc etc

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2018/feb/22/...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/after-the-parkland-s...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bnjms on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:56PM (#16654735)
I find it amusing that those who call false flag sound as if they are the ones flying a false flag. It's exactly the sort of action one would expect to call out if I was trying to turn a population in on itself. False flag is a recently common accusation which did not used to be common on the internet.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by varjag on Friday March 23, 2018 @06:37AM (#16656632)
False flag is the quicksand of online drama. People allude to them a lot more often than they are found in the wild.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by coldtea on Friday March 23, 2018 @03:45AM (#16655893)
Blaming everything on "Russian hackers" also didn't use to be "common on the internet".

As words, phrases and fads spreads on the press, so they do on the internet.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by cjslep on Friday March 23, 2018 @04:22AM (#16656062)
Where have you been? "Russian hackers" has been an internet trope before memes were a thing.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by coldtea on Saturday March 24, 2018 @01:17PM (#16667641)
Not referring to the internet trope (or the existence of hackers in Russia and/or Eastern Europe), but the actual BS press "Russian hackers behind this and that", which is the "WMDs" of late 2010s.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by cjslep on Saturday March 24, 2018 @06:20PM (#16669357)
What do you mean "WMDs of late 2010s"? The WMD excuse I'm familiar with was the one to invade Iraq was early 2000's, and anyone with half a critical mind could see that it was a flimsy argument at best in order to appeal to the hawks at home who wanted blood after September 11th. And American citizens who had studied Islam at all would understand that the only reason the Sunni, Shia, (and Kurds, ethnic not religious minority) had not openly killed each other in Iraq was due to Saddam's non-discriminating iron fist, and that invading could have potentially destabilized the country into a pariah state.

I'm not going to change your mind on what you think is BS, but I do disagree with you. If you have the chance, I highly suggest talking to retired CIA operatives that were active during the Cold War -- the stuff they talk about (when allowed) can be pretty eye-opening.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:38AM (#16656954)
Back in my day it used to be "chinese hackers" but I guess we have always been at war with Eurasia.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by checkyoursudo on Friday March 23, 2018 @10:34AM (#16658561)
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by stordoff on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:30PM (#16654329)
Why would NASA's defences be comparable to GRU?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by gruez on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:16PM (#16654266)
...and NASA is known to have top opsec?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by Nomentatus on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:34PM (#16654360)
And it's still 1999?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by kbenson on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:49PM (#16654121)
One very hard to fake set of connected facts that corroborate each other, validate a suspicion, and match a motive.

It generally only takes one occasion of a videotape catching you stealing and an eyewitness corroboration for you to be believed the thief as well.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by vageli on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:10PM (#16654227)
This isn't video evidence though, it's an IP address. I don't think this metaphor is similar at all.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by pwtweet on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:49PM (#16654699)
There was real time video surveillance of the building, both external/internal by Dutch and another unnamed European agency. Also RT published the names of the two officers who controlled the G2 account: Sergei Afanasyev, GRU Deputy Chief and Grigoriy Viktorovich Molchanov, Head of the GRU Academy.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by rdtsc on Friday March 23, 2018 @12:51AM (#16655167)
> Also RT published the names of the two officers who controlled the G2 account: Sergei Afanasyev, GRU Deputy Chief and Grigoriy Viktorovich Molchanov, Head of the GRU Academy.

It's surprising that RT published those. I thought it was an entity controlled by the Russian government. Why would it be publishing the names of its own officers when supposedly the said officers went out of their way to appear Romanian and not Russian.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by SlowRobotAhead on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:27AM (#16655317)
Yea... I’m going to call BS on RT posting embarrassing Russian Intellegence mistakes - that are true.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by geofft on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:57PM (#16654166)
It's very hard to spoof a log of a TCP connection in one country from an IP address assigned to the residential internet connection of an intelligence official in another country. It's certainly not impossible, but it's not as easy as just adding an email header or something.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by kenbaylor on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:42PM (#16654398)
It really is super easy. Even since 2007, malware like Zeus and SpyEye, and a million different Remote Access Tools (RATs) take over your machine and allow all activity to emanate from it. Very easy to plant a false flag or incriminating evidence.

and please note the careful wording: "Working off the IP address, U.S. investigators identified Guccifer 2.0 as a particular GRU officer working out of the agency’s headquarters on Grizodubovoy Street in Moscow. "

interpretation 1: The guy accessed the device from his GRU office

Interpretation 2: The IP belongs to a guy (maybe his residential connection), and he happens (from other sources) to work at the GRU office. Assuming the GRU device is relatively secure, is it possible that other devices on his home have malware on them? If the latter, all the devices would appear as coming from that same residential IP address.

I work in this field and false attribution happens all the time. Evidence is really easy to fake.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by geofft on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:52PM (#16654449)
If you have gained remote access to a Russian intelligence officer's computer, I feel like spoofing an HTTP request to a social media site is the least exciting thing to do with that access.

Don't confuse the ease of installing tools that let you maintain access once you have gained access with the ease of gaining access in the first place.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by 1337biz on Friday March 23, 2018 @09:25AM (#16657805)
If you have access to a device of some low level employee there is no harm in burning it for a high profile operation like the guccifer story. This was not just a random Twitter bot, but potentially at a global-scandal level. Whoever coordinated this was certainly not a some random fool.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by kenbaylor on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:58PM (#16654480)
It's called a watering hole attack. You infect many of the devices way ahead of time (that are interested in whatever subject area you targeted), and pick your victim when you need to. If you haven't prosecuted these cases, you'd be surprised how often it happens:

https://www.cyberscoop.com/winter-olympics-hack-attribution-...

https://krebsonsecurity.com/2017/08/blowing-the-whistle-on-b...

https://blog.trendmicro.com/trendlabs-security-intelligence/...

https://blog.talosintelligence.com/2018/02/who-wasnt-respons...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by geofft on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:14PM (#16654551)
All of the articles you link are about trying to derive attribution using signatures from the malware itself, which is unrelated to the thing you're talking about. I agree that trying to find meaningful attribution from the evidence left on the machine is unlikely to work and that spoofing this evidence is easy.

But that has nothing to do with a watering hole attack - are you claiming that successful watering hole attacks against GRU personnel are commonplace?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by kenbaylor on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:46PM (#16654681)
Great question: Apologies if I wasn't being clear.

For example: the Chinese government has been waging war against the Free Tibet movement for years: https://www.google.com.sg/search?q=chinese+malware+free+tibe...

There's a bunch of articles there. One technique is they put up a pro-Free Tibet site, and put malware on it. The visitors get infected and they have an insight into who is interested in that topic and their IP addresses for basic geo location, and maybe remote control of their machines.

If we pick a topic that's super interesting for government intelligence people (like the Guccifer blog site itself), and put some awesome non-detectable malware on there, you could potentially infect multiple intelligence officers from multiple countries.

When the bots phone home, they will report username, domain name, email addresses, visited URLs, security certificates (or basically anything you want). So you now have a rolodex of machines you can manipulate. Mossad did it...nope....North Korea....nope CIA...nope FBI etc etc

Now this is super hard to do in practice. But you only have to be lucky once.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bigiain on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:48PM (#16654428)
"Very easy"? to fake a connection from the ip address of "of an intelligence official in another country"?

OK - show us. Doesn't need to be GRU - I'd settle for an NSA or Mossad ip address instead. Go on, install a RAT and make a connection...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by kenbaylor on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:02PM (#16654496)
Here you go....from my 2012 Blackhat presentation. It then shows the issues of attribution as everything comes from the infected machine...sorry it's dated but nothing has really changed

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvoiI5gJ7-0

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by geofft on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:09PM (#16654526)
Nobody is disputing that, given a remote-access tool running on a machine, actions taken by that tool are seen to come from that machine.

What is being disputed is that making it look like it came from a Russian intelligence officer specifically, as opposed to from some random infected machine somewhere, is easy. I see that you're claiming that if you set up a botnet and start infecting people and wait, you'll eventually get someone who works for a bank or someone who works for the military, sure. But what are the changes that you'll find someone who happens to work for the specific intelligence agency that is widely suspected as being the actual perpetrator?

Are you claiming that lots of botnet operators happen to have infected so many machines that their chance of being able to get to the machine of an employee of any government agency in the world is high? That the average GRU officer has hundreds of RATs in their home from hundreds of bored teenagers around the world?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by kenbaylor on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:53PM (#16654723)
Hopefully I addressed it in the section above.

I believe that intelligence agencies are targeted all the time, and keeping machines clean is not that easy. Certain governments (like Singapore) adopted an air-gap approach, so the machines you use for work don't touch the internet.

But even then, it would be a lot easier to infect that persons's home machine.....Many of the people visiting Guccifers site were normal people, some were from intelligence agencies (proportionally probably a lot more than visit a normal site).

Assuming you had AWESOME undetectable malware, you'd have to infect the lot, get them to report in, and ferret out the interesting ones. Not exactly a weekend project, but if this was your passion in life, very achievable.

Spear phishing these guys is hard, watering hole may be easier.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bigiain on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:34PM (#16654633)
Nice talk! I just 1.5x-ed thru the first ~30 mins.

I still think we're talking at cross purposes though - I'm not disputing Zeus works, I'm disputing that it's "super easy" to identify and then infect a machine attributable to "an intelligence official in another country".

I mean - if all I need to do is make a tcp connection - all I need is an <img> tag in a web page - the big problem is getting that webpage and/or RAT onto a GRU officer's work computer.

(And if you _do_ cover how to do that in the remaining bit of the talk, I'd love to know...)

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by mistermann on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:09PM (#16654783)
Don't you also have to somehow get the up-to-date list of IP Address to Employee Name (as seems to be the claim)?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bigiain on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:54PM (#16654464)
(For the record - do not do this. It's a _spectacularly_ bad idea...)
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by nl on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:22PM (#16654591)
Wow.. can you imagine seeing this in the news in 3 years time:

"bigian" (an alias) taunted kenbaylor on an internet message board call Hacker News to attack the NSA or Mossad"...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bigiain on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:35PM (#16654641)
Yes. Yes I can imagine that... :sigh:
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by threeseed on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:41PM (#16654394)
You also have to know which IP address to spoof.

That means that if it it wasn't Russia then it must be some "deep state" conspiracy. Which so far hasn't been backed up by any decent evidence.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by thelittleone on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:05PM (#16654767)
Seems like a massive opsec hole. Why not force all outbound connections through an offshore VPN or proxy at their internet gateway.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by mistermann on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:23PM (#16654836)
It's odd on a site like HN that ideas like this occur to hardly anyone. Well, on certain subject matter of course.

Lets see what Jonathan Haidt has to say on the matter:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v6nNT0JtHT8

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by kenbaylor on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:51AM (#16655433)
Something like this?

"“With UMBRAGE and related projects the CIA cannot only increase its total number of attack types, but also misdirect attribution by leaving behind the ‘fingerprints’ of the groups that the attack techniques were stolen from,” Wikileaks said in a statement."

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2017/03/07/wikileaks-cia...

and for remote control:

"In April this year, WikiLeaks disclosed a brief information about Project Hive, revealing that the project is an advanced command-and-control server (malware control system) that communicates with malware to send commands to execute specific tasks on the targets and receive exfiltrated information from the target machines. Hive is a multi-user all-in-one system that can be used by multiple CIA operators to remotely control multiple malware implants used in different operations."

https://thehackernews.com/2017/11/cia-hive-malware-code.html

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by willstrafach on Friday March 23, 2018 @09:19AM (#16657741)
No, nothing like a project to re-use commodity code, or a C&C server platform.

How would either be relevant?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by nl on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:20PM (#16654579)
True.

Except the Russians haven't worked very hard to try to deny it.

And - more importantly - everything else they do aligns with this same goal.

It's like during WW2 finding a person spying in London, finding they were passing information on English plans to attack German air defenses to someone in Berlin and saying "Well.. they might have been American, because the US and the UK were rivals during the Washington Naval treaty process during the 1920s". Yes.. they might. But there's a lot of evidence pointing the other way, and German actions indicate it was the kind of thing they would like.

Same here.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by jasonlotito on Friday March 23, 2018 @12:02AM (#16654980)
That's literally not what happened. There is a lot of other evidence to support this claim. It wasn't just this one simple thing that pointed to Russia.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bpizzi on Friday March 23, 2018 @09:19AM (#16657747)
Yes Opsec is hard, but not in this specific example: one would just setup a VM with tails [0], and one would only performs its shady actions within this VM, and all one's outgoing network activity would automatically jump threw a TOR exit point, and why not a VPN tunnel above it. No chance (well, almost no chance) to screw here.

Doing something shady from a regular workstation is either a mark of noobiness, or it's someone trying to disguise as someone else. Relying on manually launching a commercial VPN each time when you want anonymity? It's not really opsec per se.

[0] https://tails.boum.org

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by rbanffy on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:10PM (#16653920)
What I find unlikely is that it was possible for the officer to log into the account from anything but a computer connected to a secured network. The computers that could be connected directly should never have the constructed persona's credentials.

These are not amateurs. They should know better.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by nickpsecurity on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:07PM (#16654211)
Our people screwed this basic principle up regularly with an otherwise secure product per a defector from a foreign, intelligence service:

"If you have a STU-III secure telephone, use it, but remember that even the STU-III depends upon strict telephone security discipline. A defector from one of the foreign intelligence services that monitor U.S. communications reports that STU-III encryption is fairly secure. However, he also advised that the chitchat that occurs before the STU-III is switched to secure mode and after it is switched off of secure mode is a bonanza of valuable information. Communications monitors can identify STU-III lines, so these phone numbers are obvious targets. Therefore, a STU-III line being used in non-secure mode may be more likely to be monitored than another line that never carries encrypted communications. Maintaining strict telephone security discipline is critical." (my emphasis added)

http://www.tscm.com/stu.html

I'll also note that stopping these accidental leaks was part of the motivation for the Compartmented Mode Workstations that weren't secure enough at B1 class to stop well-funded attacks that B3 or A1 might. Risks ranged from cut/paste to classified docs making it onto unclassified networks. The systems' security kernels would look at the labels to catch that. The kinds of leaks they addressed still happen to both innocent users and criminals.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by dragonwriter on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:27PM (#16654024)
> These are not amateurs. They should know better.

Yeah, in every field there are lots of cases where people end up saying this because professionals who should know better don't. Or cut corners because of resource constraints. Or, just screw up something they actually do know. Or...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by YarickR on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:37PM (#16654062)
Or this is bullshit, plain and simple . You don't think outgoing connections are unproxied and unmonitored at GRU (GRU, of all things ? This is military intelligence, BTW) , do you ?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:45AM (#16656990)
Have you worked with the US Gov't in any capacity?

They are just regular people. It's not a world of super spies. I am sure GRU is not that much different. Even the top folks eat corn flakes like everyone else.

People make mistakes all the time.

This might be bullshit but just saying so is hardly a compelling argument. I will wait for more evidence one way or another myself, with the obvious disclaimer that anything could be bullshit.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by cc81 on Friday March 23, 2018 @04:47PM (#16662505)
For example when CIA accidentally lost control over all those hacker tools.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by polotics on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:33PM (#16654352)
military intelligence... greed, incompetence, office politics
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by zaroth on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:53PM (#16654144)
Or one log entry was altered to insert the desired IP address — because the chain of custody of these logs is so ironclad? Or a MITM altering packets to generate the desired log entry....

“We found an IP address in a log which lets us tie Guccifer 2.0 to a specific GRU agent” is laughable on the face of it. But with the absolute shitshow that the investigation has been to-date I personally am way past caring, and way past beleiving anything at all to do with the Russia narrative.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by gruez on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:19PM (#16654278)
So how much evidence would you need? 2 log entries? 3 log entries? A PGP signed, blockchain timestamped message from the russians that said "yep, we did it"? I'd bet if there were too much evidence, naysayers would say it can't be them because the russians can't be that incompetent.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by comex on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:44PM (#16654410)
> I'd bet if there were too much evidence, naysayers would say it can't be them because the russians can't be that incompetent.

Indeed, Trump has already said something like that:

“Somebody did say if he did do it, you won’t have found out about it. Which is a very interesting point.”

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by cycrutchfield on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:07PM (#16654213)
Ah, the tired old deep state argument. Alex Jones would be proud
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by patrickg_zill on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:30AM (#16656927)
Senator Rand Paul has said that the Deep State exists. Is he a nut also?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by zimpenfish on Friday March 23, 2018 @09:39AM (#16657941)
> Senator Rand Paul has said that the Deep State exists. Is he a nut also?

Yes.

"He has cautioned in the past of a plan to create a North American Union with a single currency for the United States, Mexico and Canada, and a stealth United Nations campaign to confiscate civilian handguns. He has repeatedly referred to the “tyranny” of the federal government."

He's a strong libertarian which is, by definition, wackjob territory.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:50AM (#16657023)
"The Deep State" aka lifelong career civil servants doing their jobs and investigating criminals.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by tiles on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:02PM (#16654184)
Thirteen indictments of foreign agents is a shitshow?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by jayd16 on Friday March 23, 2018 @02:44AM (#16655651)
Don't forget the constant obstruction, the refusal to enact any policy that isn't good for Russia, and literally meeting with the Russians in Trump tower, lying about it, and then tweeting confirmation of it.

At this point, if you don't want to see to the myriad of evidence that the Trump campaign was either working with or willfully used by Russia its just because you don't want to see it.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by sattoshi on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:10PM (#16654226)
Seems like a political show, yes.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by ineedasername on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:29PM (#16654327)
Political? Meuller is a Republican, appointed by a Republican. Our country was attacked, maybe you should start acting like that's not just some "political" narrative, because it's still happening
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by bduerst on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:45PM (#16654674)
Yep, if anyone is doubting you, they should know that the Russians are already at work on influencing this year's (2018) midterm elections:

http://time.com/5155810/russian-meddling-2018-elections/

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/13/us/politics/russia-sees-m...

https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/13/politics/intelligence-chiefs-...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by mistermann on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:29PM (#16654855)
From those articles, what is the strongest piece of evidence that should convince a skeptical reader?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by SlowRobotAhead on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:32AM (#16655347)
Time, NYT, CNN... hmm.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by rhcom2 on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:51AM (#16655435)
They are reporting on testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:46AM (#16656995)
I only get my news from emails my uncle forwards to me. I'm with you.

Oh yeah, and from Facebook.

You know, reliable sources unlike the failing NYT and WaPo.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by zaroth on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:49PM (#16654432)
If you think it's not absolutely a political narrative (and a shitshow) I really don't know what to say. I'm not sure what you mean by "it's still happening" but if you're talking about abusing social networks to spread discord, I mean, we're watching the implosion of Facebook in real-time, I'd say that the wheels are pretty certainly fucking turning. Where we end up, and if it's better than where we started, well...

The only thing I know is this -- no one is right, no one is good, no one is clean, and there's enough corruption on all sides of this to make anyone sick. You can pick whichever specific aspects of it support one side or another, but I personally think the things we do have hard evidence of point to;

1) An incredibly fucked up situation at the top of the FBI and Justice Department

2) A media which has largely lost the ability to separate reporting from editorial

3) A little trolling by Russian during the election to stir the pot

4) A very close election which was won by the "wrong" person, and a large percentage of Americans who are desperate to unseat him by any means possible

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:49AM (#16657016)
Can you explain why Trump keeps insisting on having private meetings with the Russians and Putin himself, often unreported in the Western press only to have that story broken by the Russian media?

And why he insists on breaking all protocols to do this, such as meeting without his own translator? For so many reasons this is a terrible idea.

Why would Trump meet with the Russian ambassador and tell him Comey is taken care of? And do this secretly? Why would Trump have an insult for every US ally and not a single bad word about Russia?

I challenge you right now to find me a single bad word Trump has said about Russia.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by atypicaluser on Friday March 23, 2018 @01:32PM (#16660530)
"Irresponsible." March 5-6, 2018. Trump's comment to Theresa May over Putin's boast regarding nuclear weapons.

Anywho...

I'm tryin' hard not to roll my eyes as I write this, but here goes -

Like everything Trump does, his discussions with Russia are all about Trump. He's probably not just looking at the here and now, but also at his post-Presidency. He is a businessman after all. (Hell, Trump tried landing property deals in Russia BEFORE he'd ever considered running, sooo...)

I'm unsure that Trump told any Russian that 'Comey is taken care of,' but then, I'm skeptical of many things and, in this case, I consider this rabbit hole a waste of time.

For future reference, you'll need more than you've proffered here to convince me (and others) Trump deserves the outrage others have spilled onto this thread considering -

* Had the election gone for Clinton, no one would be tearing after her for all the good turns she did Russia in the Uranium One deal (and this is all-on-the-record-and-verifiable stuff,) and

* Russia ain't the only country trying to influence American elections. China? Israel? Saudi Arabia? The UK? Please name me a major country that ISN'T trying to influence American politics. You really think Russia had more influence this past election than an Australian owning Fox or a Mexican owning the New York Times? That Russian hackery was more influential than non-citizens voting in California? Piffle.

Considering the context, there is no there there, dude/tte.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @04:10PM (#16662217)
It's hard to have discussion with someone who will not acknowledge basic facts.

> Trump Told Russians That Firing ‘Nut Job’ Comey Eased Pressure From Investigation

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/19/us/politics/trump-russia-...

You also found the exception that proves the rule. I can't believe you would honestly think Trump is not deferential to Russia if you did try to look for a bad thing he has said any only found that one

The pattern is clear for anyone who wants to look.

The fact remains Trump is much harder on our allies -- all of them -- then Russia. The Trump admin has also been slow to enact sanctions passed by Congress, as is their constitution duty. There is no reasonable explanation behind these actions and actions speak louder than words.

Finally, foreign countries try to influence our politics, but usually not in concert with a candidate and certainly not supplying said candidate with hacked info on their opponents. As more comes out, that may actually be some of the less scandalous ways Russian assets worked with the Trump campaign.

Let's not forget Trump's campaign insisting the RNC change their platform at the party convention to be soft on Russia re: Ukraine.

You are free to have your opinions about this but the facts speak for themselves.

> Diana Denman, a Republican delegate who supported arming U.S. allies in Ukraine, has told people that Trump aide J.D. Gordon said at the Republican Convention in 2016 that Trump directed him to support weakening that position in the official platform.

> Ultimately, the softer position was adopted.

https://www.npr.org/2017/12/04/568310790/2016-rnc-delegate-t...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by atypicaluser on Friday March 23, 2018 @05:57PM (#16662932)
True enough -

> It's hard to have discussion with someone who will not acknowledge basic facts.

Let me acknowledge the article as 100% factual, and further let me concede that the New York Times (NYT) didn't leave any pertinent information (context) out or editorialize the meeting. Fair 'nuff for discussion? My next response is, 'So what?' He's free as anyone to talk as he likes to anyone he likes. Unless Congress passed a law saying otherwise... is Congress free these days to negate the First Amendment?

Let's parse your earlier statements regarding the Russian ambassador -

> Why would Trump meet with the Russian ambassador and tell him Comey is taken care of?

Where does Trump say specifically Comey is 'taken care of'? I see no such quote. I see NYT quoted him as saying 'I just fired the head of the F.B.I. He was crazy, a real nut job.... I faced great pressure because of Russia. That's taken off.... I'm not under investigation.' That's all of Trump's quotes in their entirety, the ones NYT thought fit to use.

As you have a hard time discussing things with people who won't accept basic facts, I have an equally hard time with people who spin so-called facts to mean there's only one plausible explanation. So to answer your question - Trump could have said what he's reported to have said because he genuinely hated Comey and was proud of getting rid of him. Or maybe he wanted to show off to the Russian officials and, like he often does, jokingly and in an off-handed way decided to state what he just did to show what a man he was. Who knows? Trump wouldn't be the first person happy to fire a guy.

Before I leave off this, take a look at what NYT itself wrote right after quoting Trump - 'The conversation... reinforces the NOTION that the president dismissed [Comey] primarily because of the bureau's investigation into possible collusion...' (Emphasis mine.) Notion. Not fact. Notion. Belief. Editorial. The fact is Trump dismissed Comey. The fact is Trump took no small amount of glee in it. The fact is, whatever Trump's feelings, as President he had every right to fire Comey. If he smiled when he told the Russians what he did, eh, again, so what? As far as I'm aware, that indicates Trump's a jerk, not that he's breaking a law or colluding with anyone.

Moving on -

> And do this secretly?

If the meeting was recorded and reported on, it's not much of a secret. Besides, I can give at least one good reason why he WOULD want to keep this meeting a secret - because there are folks who will interpret such a meeting in the worst. Possible. Light.

Ahem. Moving on -

> Why would Trump have an insult for every US ally and not a single bad word about Russia?

Mmm, as far as I know Trump's buddies with Benjamin Netanyahu, and Israel's a US ally. I don't recall any insults, but I don't pay much attention to newspapers these days, so there's a chance one's slipped past me. Nor do I recall insults to the prime minsters of Japan and South Korea. But, again, newspapers.

You did ask for a single bad word about Russia, yes? And I provided, yes? I can't help that you move the goal posts.

Then again, I am told I have trouble with basic facts.

P.S. Downvote me, but please explain why.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by dragonwriter on Friday March 23, 2018 @06:07PM (#16663005)
> The fact is, whatever Trump's feelings, as President he had every right to fire Comey

No, he had the legal power to fire Comey. This is not in dispute (if it were, there would be a question of the validity of the firing, and whether Comey was, in fact, still lawfully the Director of the FBI.) It is also not a question of rights, but of powers vested in particular government officials under the law.

What is in question is whether that firing was an abuse of power (a misfeasance or malfeasance in office), as well as the overlapping question of whether Trump or others had previously committed other crimes (which the firing may have been intended to protect; note that had Trump wished to retroactively license such crimes, the power of the pardon would also be within his legal power, but that would still raise questions of abuse of power, and would be somewhat more overt in its purpose.)

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by auntienomen on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:44PM (#16654673)
5) the GRU sharing the Democrats' campaign strategies with the Republicans...
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by CabSauce on Friday March 23, 2018 @09:48AM (#16658043)
Out of morbid curiosity, where's the line between "a little trolling" and a state-sanctioned, large, disinformation campaign?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by roywiggins on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:12PM (#16654792)
In a certain sense everything is political. Every indictment makes a political statement about what sorts of crimes the government cares about and what sort of people will find themselves on the receiving end.

What makes these indictments more political than every other time the FBI prosecuted alleged spies?

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by knodi on Thursday March 22, 2018 @10:07PM (#16654521)
Please go back to watching FoxNews.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chatmasta on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:28PM (#16654325)
How do they know the Moscow IP was not another proxy?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by threeseed on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:32PM (#16654342)
Probably because they have seen that IP before whilst investigating other cases.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by blhack on Friday March 23, 2018 @05:46AM (#16656409)
How does that answer the question?
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by chillwaves on Friday March 23, 2018 @07:51AM (#16657029)
Look, you have access to the same information as the person you are asking. Do you really expect them to know the answer?

Wait for more evidence to come out.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by forapurpose on Thursday March 22, 2018 @11:57PM (#16654964)
It was in GRU offices, and attributable to a particular officer. The article has more.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by 1337biz on Friday March 23, 2018 @08:57AM (#16657543)
I hope those investigators know about cascading VPNs and hacked personal Computers that are used as VPNs/proxies...
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by dahdum on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:13PM (#16653944)
Glad to see actual evidence, too often we see tenuous links that are touted as proof positive.

The DNC leaks were pretty bad for the campaign, but ultimately of their own doing.

Edit: downvoted I assume for not specifying technical evidence, like this garbage news story about dns traffic:

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/cover_story/...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by Amezarak on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:16PM (#16653963)
"A source familiar with the government's investigation" is about as far from actual evidence as you can get. Especially in the past year, but certainly throughout the past half-century, "anonymous" government sources have been demonstrated to be completely wrong or intentionally lying to advance a political agenda.

Moreover, note the weasel wording. For all we know, "familiar with the government's investigation" just means "the guy who brings in the water bottles overheard some office gossip."

I would take this story with a grain of salt.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by timb07 on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:53PM (#16654147)
"A source familiar with the government's investigation" doesn't imply it's a government source.

Recommended reading for understanding attribution: https://www.lawfareblog.com/how-read-news-story-about-invest...

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by dahdum on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:26PM (#16654021)
Oh for sure, but at least they are claiming something that passes the smell test technically. I read some of the BS reports that firms have put out, often they made their conclusion first (since they were paid on that basis) and connected the dots like /r/pizzagate to prove it.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by Amezarak on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:33PM (#16654039)
Understood. I think the idea that it could be traced back to the GRU is highly likely, though I do have some trouble with the idea they were able to identify a specific agent based on the IP address - what, does Russia assign static IPs to each and every agent in the office? Of course, there could have been more legwork we're not told about, or this could be a case of parallel construction, but who knows.

I did want to point out the sourcing either way, though. It's really distressing to me the way anonymous sourcing has really taken off lately, and that most people appear to be entirely credulous despite the lessons we learned back during the Bush administration. It rarely even gets questioned, though even the past year in particular has served up frequent and egregious object lessons of why anonymous government sources cannot simply be taken at their word. The sad fact of the matter is that the vast majority of anonymous sources are not leaking information to edify the American people. They are leaking information because they have an agenda.

That doesn't mean that we can simply ignore them. Sometimes the information is false, sometimes critical context is left out, but sometimes it is true and extremely important. It means we have to consider what they say very carefully and why they might be saying it.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by dahdum on Thursday March 22, 2018 @09:32PM (#16654349)
I’ve often wished for a reporter scorecard, showing how many times the reporter quoted unnamed sources that turned out to be garbage, and how severe those were.

Columbia Journalism Review publishes insightful articles on these and other problems.

With the modern need to push fast headlines for outrage clicks, I don’t see the standards rising anytime soon.

Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by zrobotics on Friday March 23, 2018 @12:27AM (#16655072)
The only thing I've seen that even possibly makes sense is that it was the officer's home/personal IP, not work. Which might also explain the opsec slip up, but until I see something more credible than an anonymous source (which may happen soon from muller) or a better explanation, that statement is ringing some alarm bells for me. However, the article doesn't explicitly state GRU headquarters, just ties the officer to GRU headquarters and tries to imply the connection was directly from their HQ w/ weasel wording.
Re:Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Int... by YarickR on Thursday March 22, 2018 @08:33PM (#16654041)
Where did they publish "IP-to-street address" yellow books for GRU ? Is the same data available for CIA ? For MI6 ?

You know, trying to convince specifically knowledgeable audience isn't something you can do easily .