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Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by rqtwteye on Saturday March 22, 2025 @04:23PM (#43448352)
Technical progress would be fantastic if the benefits didn't go mainly to the top. I am pretty sure in the not too far future we will have enough technology that you can live off the land somewhere with the help of some robots. Or have them do all your housework. In principle, this is great, but our society is not set up for a lot of people not working while the technology is progressed by a relatively small number of highly qualified people.

I am not sure where this is going but there will be some large changes to society needed if technology keeps progressing at current speed.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by geysersam on Saturday March 22, 2025 @06:13PM (#43449059)
> I am pretty sure in the not too far future we will have enough technology that you can live off the land somewhere with the help of some robots.

I don't understand, what stops you from doing that today?

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by buckle8017 on Saturday March 22, 2025 @08:00PM (#43449714)
The availability of fertile land.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by nthingtohide on Saturday March 22, 2025 @11:56PM (#43450801)
Vertical farming / hydroponics will solve that.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by elcritch on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:24AM (#43450896)
See the neo-feudalism comment below. Land and even vertical farming will be controlled by nobility / corporates in the neo-feudalism era.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:50PM (#43454089)
so what’s your solution then? you realize corporations are just run by people? but yes they become cold, heartless soul sucking places. yes.

make your own company and do something about it then. or STFU.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by daveguy on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:30PM (#43454370)
Not the GP, but I'd rather reform our government to not be exclusively for money grubbing companies and billionaires who put profits over people.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @03:42PM (#43455318)
i absolutely hear you on that. it just seems too hard to do that.

my solution is to make companies that are cool, fun to work at, push good values and make some money.

then use that money to push for appropriate political moves like you are saying.

how would you propose to reform the government? through voting? good effing luck. it will take $$$.

additionally, i get really annoyed with all the complaining that is done about politics. did you vote? neat, that’s the system we have. want to do something about it? make some money. that’s the system we have.

these people complaining about things instead of doing something will die complaining.

coming from a liberal that is more in the center and annoyed with my overally liberal parents.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by asdf6969 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @06:04PM (#43456262)
Sometimes there just isn’t a solution or it’s not the right time. That’s what bitching is good for. Imagine being the world’s most dedicated republican in 1750s France. You could analyze the state of the world and everything required to fix it but no matter what you do there’s still decades of feudalism left and feudalism fucking sucks. That’s where we are today and these bandaid solutions like making “better” companies are like asking the King to be nicer. It changes nothing fundamentally..

Maybe your lord is a great guy and he does everything right but tomorrow his son comes into power and he could whip you. That’s what a good company is like. My new manager is an asshole who ruined my great job.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:06PM (#43456608)
that sucks. i just quit my job cuz i was pissed about a lot.

but we can move to new feudal leaders or literally become a feudal leader ourself.

America baby!

Is it easy? nope. neither was getting a tech job or rising and surviving in it. but some of us do and some of us don’t.

anyone interested in some cold blooded american history from the mid-1800s should check out American Primeval on netflix. i really enjoyed it. it is a bit graphic.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by asdf6969 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @08:57PM (#43457057)
> we can move to new feudal leaders

Working on it

I love history. It’s a great cope to see how people can live fulfilling lives under completely different conditions from the standard 2025 life path. Maybe I will check it out :)

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:01PM (#43457337)
totally agree!
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by danaris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @09:59PM (#43457332)
Ah, yes, I will take my $3000 of savings and start a company that can compete with triple-digit billionaire venture capital firms for prime farmland....
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:05PM (#43457352)
you could. that’s the beauty of America.

Or you could raise the capital by pitching investors that have money because you actually have a good idea.

or you don’t have a good idea. you don’t have any money. and you want to complain.

what are you asking for? that your parents were more rich? that everyone has the exact same amount of money?

what are you striving for in this comment? are you pointing out that life is unfair? i do agree with that.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by danaris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:12PM (#43457372)
First, and most obviously, I'm pointing out that any individual without massive wealth attempting to tackle such a thing on their own is inevitably doomed to fail.

But more importantly, I'm pointing out that suggesting personal solutions to systemic problems is not only inevitably doomed to fail, but is promulgating the wrongheaded thinking that has created and sustained the crisis that brought us to this point.

"I don't want all the land to be held by neofeudal corporations that exercise control over every aspect of our lives" cannot be solved by "so become a neofeudal overlord yourself!" Not only is it effectively impossible to achieve, at the very best it only solves the problem for you.

I don't want to just have a better life for myself. I want a better life for everyone.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:19PM (#43457392)
i’d say likely to fail, not doomed.

if you want to have a better life for everyone then what is your solution? you do not provide one.

my solution is if enough people with the right thinking also become neofeudal overlords then we can exercise the change you’re talking about.

do you think some day everything is just going to magically snap into place and everyone will just be fair?

it has been fought for and died over for thousands of years to get where we are. and we are lucky that much less of us have to die in order to stand up for what we believe in.

now we can just make money and use that to effect change. pretty cool evolution of civilization if you ask me.

in addition, what’s wrong with solving the problem for me first? then taking care of others? that’s exactly the right approach.

others can then follow the same approach. now we have a lot of feudal overlords.

diversified micro feudalism is the term that this conversation has spurred. i like it!

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by danaris on Monday March 24, 2025 @08:50AM (#43460476)
The solution is to keep fighting, not give up and decide that we can only ever have corruption and despotism, with the only choice being whether we are the oppressed or the oppressors.

A better world is possible, whether you believe in it or not.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Monday March 24, 2025 @09:07AM (#43460635)
i agree with everything you say. i just think the first step is what i’m laying out.

gotta show them we’re not afraid to play their game and win it as well.

we should be able to play any game, any time. But based on that direct the game to be of higher moral ground.

editing this comment as apparently we’ve reached our thread comment limit.

yes, bargaining from a position of power. that would allow to direct it to a more suitable place. banding together with individuals of power to produce combined power. you say it’s impossible and then say exactly how we’re going to do it. :)

i hope you know this has been a very enjoyable conversation for me.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by danaris on Monday March 24, 2025 @09:11AM (#43460665)
I don't see how "become the oppressors" can possibly be read as having the "moral high ground."

At best it's "bargaining from a position of strength."

But, again, I apparently need to emphasize that what you suggest is, for any given individual, effectively impossible. The only way to achieve it would be to band together in such numbers that we could, instead, work to influence politics toward the ultimate goal of equality with much more success.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tmnvix on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:38PM (#43455711)
Doesn't work well for potatoes (and other carbohydrate heavy crops) as far as I'm aware.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by jszymborski on Saturday March 22, 2025 @07:49PM (#43449658)
Capital, and its inequal distribution.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by oblio on Saturday March 22, 2025 @07:25PM (#43449536)
The fact that those robots don't exist :-)
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by onemoresoop on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:41AM (#43453238)
Those robots want to be all your tools, with subscription and expensive maintenance that you can no longer do it yourself. And with the obvious kill switch. From tractors to other things
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by intrasight on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:54PM (#43454108)
I think this is the part that classic sci-fi didn't get right. It assumed that we would own the robots instead of them being owned by corporations that would rent them out.

Having a robot that I don't control that's stronger than me and smarter than me in my house does not sound at all comforting.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dingnuts on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:41AM (#43453237)
the complexity and expense and necessity for expertise of today's farming machines aren't what the OP is talking about, which sounds more like something from Asimov's Caves of Steel
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by Isamu on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:52AM (#43453308)
Yes actually robotics is still in its infancy, it needs machine learning advances to become anything like the generalized problem solving worker that farms need, especially small family farms.

Source: I have worked on both robots and small farms.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by rqtwteye on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:02PM (#43453793)
Agreed. But I expect huge progress in the next years/decades. It feels like a lot of things are finally coming together. The same happened in the 90s with the internet or the 2000s with cell phones. People are doing research in a lot of different areas and you see some not so great products that implement them. But then you have a point where all components come together in one really compelling product.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by goatlover on Sunday March 23, 2025 @02:20PM (#43454708)
But why would individuals own farms instead of big agriculture just using the robots to make food production even cheaper and more efficient? Of course some people will, but most people will live in urban areas and shop at grocery stores. That's been the trend since farming started being automated.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by danaris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:08PM (#43457361)
Because there's a very strong strain of (particularly American) thought that the Ideal Life is living off the land in a single-family house, far away from any cities and probably from most other people.

And even the people who recognize that this ideal is utterly impractical can still be strongly influenced by it, such that when a set of technological advances promises the prospect of actually being able to realize it, they jump toward it with stars in their eyes.

Unfortunately, it's not just impractical because of the lack of technology to support it (other obvious problems include the degree to which humans need social interaction to be healthy, the limited amount of land available, the number of things taken for granted in modern life that cannot be either grown or crafted alone, even with robotic help...). It's a fantasy, and always has been.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by sterlind on Saturday March 22, 2025 @04:50PM (#43448499)
I wanted fully-automated luxury communism, but I got fully-automated neo-feudalism instead. It feels bad.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by VladVladikoff on Saturday March 22, 2025 @07:13PM (#43449445)
Pretty much every piece of technology we have known so far which had creator restrictions has been jailbroken. Sure the future might be Elon & Bezos androids, but what’s stopping us from jailbreaking them and using them off grid?
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by stego-tech on Saturday March 22, 2025 @08:11PM (#43449763)
Police forces protecting the interests of capital first, citizens second, e.g. private police forces (Pinkertons) and strikebreaking.

Militaries being used by Governments to protect the interests of capital at the expense of citizens, e.g. the Battle of Blair Mountain.

Government legislation enshrining the rights of capital and profit over the rights of citizens, e.g. copyright laws and DRM protections.

Centralization of systems and dependency of products on remote compute, e.g. public cloud service providers, social media networks, shifting from wired to wireless home ISPs and networks to reduce stability of private hosting.

They made it illegal to break DRM on their devices, send the police to protect their property, leverage the military to annihilate opposition, and now use modern technologies to prohibit end user control by requiring remote dependencies for operation.

That's how they stop you.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by wahnfrieden on Saturday March 22, 2025 @07:16PM (#43449465)
Police and military
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ein0p on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:43AM (#43451098)
You can live off the land today with no help from robots. I know a couple of folks who had enough of corporate America and now live on a farm in Florida. It's been almost 10 years, they're doing all right. It's not even that much work unless you grow stuff commercially.

But I hear what you're saying. More "humane" progress would certainly be very welcome. In fact if neo-feudalism wins, most of us will have to "live off the land", whether we want to or not.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by onemoresoop on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:43AM (#43453249)
If neo-feudalism wins the majority will be working on the goals of the feudal nobility, whatwver that may be.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ein0p on Sunday March 23, 2025 @02:36PM (#43454812)
Robots will be doing that. There will also be a small workforce to repair the robots. The rest of us will have to learn to grow and preserve food. That is assuming the feudals leave us alone and don't exterminate us instead.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by somenameforme on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:57AM (#43453345)
There's a simple litmus test for these sort of nearish future dystopias - how long before you have an 'AI plumber' or an 'AI electrician'? I'm not just listing random skilled trades, but listing jobs that are extremely complex, 100% context sensitive in a way that just doesn't generalize well, requires a mixture of high dexterity and high strength, and a million other things. To say nothing of the numerous [oft extremely expensive] task specific tools you also need.

And those are only two of the jobs for maintaining households. If those two things aren't automated, we're not having these 'robo households' - period. Instead I think the future holds mostly the present - glorified clappers [1] and ad-tech masquerading as some sort of something that mostly does a mediocre to awful job of whatever it's supposed to be, Alexa.

[1] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MTNuJXi6UUk

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by riehwvfbk on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:17AM (#43453495)
We do, however, have computer assisted plumbers, electricians, and other technicians. With nothing more than YouTube one can fix appliances and cars, or do some DIY home improvement, and the projects that are possible are much more involved than they were in the old days. It's very hard to pick up these skills from a book, but if there's a video to walk through the process - the projects become possible.

AI-assisted plumbers will follow this archetype.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by teucris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:01PM (#43453788)
I have four books that I got from my dad - one for construction and repairs, one for electrical, one for plumbing, and one for landscaping. They’re in simple English with excellent illustrations. Using those books, I’ve been able to fix/improve pretty much everything in my house for ten years.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by bennettnate5 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:30PM (#43453938)
Could you list the titles/author of these books? I'd actually really like to get more into DIY home improvement, and having a starting reference like this would be really valuable
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by codpiece on Sunday March 23, 2025 @06:09PM (#43456284)
I know of a couple: - How to fix damned near everything [1] - Reader's Digest Fix it yourself [2] - Audel's Carpenters and Builders guide [3]

That Audel's, my wife got me for Christmas a few years back at Lee Valley Tools, I think. Was about 1/3 of what the listed price is here.

[1] https://www.abebooks.com/servlet/SearchResults?ds=20&kn=how%...

[2] https://www.abebooks.com/servlet/SearchResults?ds=20&kn=read...

[3] https://www.abebooks.com/book-search/title/audels-carpenters...

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by teucris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:54PM (#43457482)
The electrical and plumbing books are from a series from Home Depot called "1-2-3": "Plumbing 1-2-3" and "Wiring 1-2-3". I love them but some other posters have shared books that look even better; I plan to check them out. The construction book is "Modern Carpentry" by Willis H. Wagner. I can't find the landscaping book - haven't needed that one as much - but in my stack I noticed Reader's Digest's "Home Improvements Manual" which I've also used quite a bit.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by bennettnate5 on Monday March 24, 2025 @10:41AM (#43461656)
Thanks!
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ryandrake on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:31PM (#43453943)
It's still a human doing it and not an AI or robot. All of these jobs are not uniform enough for a robot or AI to be able to handle everyone's uniquely built house.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by mistrial9 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:57PM (#43454130)
you also got standardized parts and plug-in systems that use them; standardized tools that were available for a reasonable cost; and you have basic health and mobility
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by teucris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @06:56PM (#43456565)
You’re absolutely correct. The point was that I don’t need AI.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by paulmakl on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:31PM (#43454380)
Would love to know what these books are.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by luckydata on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:07AM (#43453421)
You need more to maintain a house, drywaller, gardener, carpenter, painter. The most important robotic help though will be cleaner and nurse. As our population ages and shrinks home help will become scarce and we'll desperately need an alternative to take care of ourselves as we age.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by throw80521 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:55PM (#43454536)
Perhaps in response housing will become even more homogenized so that AI has an easier time maintaining it in a standardized way?
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by somenameforme on Monday March 24, 2025 @02:12AM (#43458110)
But is your house iHouse compatible, or only OpenHouse compatible?
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by mikrl on Monday March 24, 2025 @09:28AM (#43460829)
>not using GNoUse

Why do you hate freedom?

Wait brb, the ceiling fan I wrote in Lisp is spraying yogurt again

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by goatlover on Sunday March 23, 2025 @02:14PM (#43454675)
Immigrants from countries whose populations aren't shrinking could fill that role.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by DangitBobby on Sunday March 23, 2025 @05:50PM (#43456182)
Who will maintain their houses? Why would it be immigrants instead of an underclass of citizens already in the country?
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by asdf6969 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @05:54PM (#43456201)
What houses? In Canada we stick 5 of them in every basement with no path to ownership. They’re happy to share bedrooms because it’s better than where they came from. The “underclass” of today got in early enough to own land and will be the landed gentry of tomorrow
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by kridsdale1 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:01PM (#43456586)
Central BC is full of low-skill nobody boomers who happened to have affordable Vancouver starter homes. These people are driving Porsches and sipping wine thanks to their good fortune.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:35PM (#43453972)
agree with all your points with the anecdata that the Roomba is awesome for dog hair. awesome.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by kridsdale1 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:00PM (#43456581)
My Roomba painted the whole room With dog excrement. The roomba thus went straight in the trash.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:11PM (#43456626)
lol, that sounds crappy. there are some that avoid that and some that don’t.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by treis on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:48PM (#43454492)
I don't think we're that far away but I also think it looks different than humanoid robots.

I can see a drain plumbing system that maps out a new construction home and some sort of automated robot that builds out large sections of pipe. It wouldn't completely eliminate the plumber. But it'd change it from something like measuring, cutting, and gluing 100 times to walking around with a camera for 5 minutes and then gluing 10 things together.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by goatlover on Sunday March 23, 2025 @02:13PM (#43454666)
That's just for new construction though. What about all the existing homes that need repairs?
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tucnak on Sunday March 23, 2025 @02:48PM (#43454887)
Well, there's going to be less of those. As construction industry is further incentivised to use more efficient methods and materials for their plumbing, driven by the ever-competitive housing market (that would likely see a crash in our lifetime, you know?) making the point moot. I think nobody is delusional that there's blue ocean in plumbing, or some hidden plumbing Renaissance of human labour. Do people even want to do manual plumbing in the first place?
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by thatcat on Sunday March 23, 2025 @03:31PM (#43455226)
Good luck given the codes in place for all these things, not to mention trade unions.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tucnak on Monday March 24, 2025 @09:05AM (#43460622)
The unions only protect employees from the employer, not the market. The point of contention here is whether modern-day trade school could ever provide that which they say they do—career security, that is. Nobody dreams about becoming a plumber when they're little. Clue
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by treis on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:55PM (#43455839)
Sure, but it's still an AI plumber even if it can't replace every single plumber.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ttoinou on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:58PM (#43455871)
Its more likely that we’ll hire plumbers who are going to throw a robot at the job and double check the work
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by derkster on Sunday March 23, 2025 @06:29PM (#43456415)
Absolutely. It will be a while before AI is the absolute replacement, AI will enable the people in these professions to do faster, better (hopefully) work.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by asdf6969 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @05:51PM (#43456189)
The most likely future is that we start standardizing infrastructure and building in a different way that’s easy for robots to use. Kind of like how cars would suck if we didn’t have roads and Benjamin Franklin couldn’t have predicted power plants and wires to every home. Then people who can’t afford the new stuff will keep paying plumbers but there’s a slow path to get rid of them. The old stuff will always be around but much less important.

I expect new “robo friendly” roads will be the first example but of course homes could do the same.

Think like how the Catholic Church never disappeared but the rest of the world moved on around it. We will never get rid of context sensitive plumbing and electrical work but it just won’t really matter

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by robertlagrant on Monday March 24, 2025 @10:01AM (#43461222)
> Think like how the Catholic Church never disappeared but the rest of the world moved on around it

What does this mean? The world didn't start Catholic and gradually reduce its Catholicism over time. There are apparently about 1.4bn Catholics out there[0].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catholic_Church

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by fakedang on Monday March 24, 2025 @02:30PM (#43464018)
The Catholic church once decided which kings and princes could marry which queens and princesses, which alliances would be allowed and which wouldn't. Now it's nothing but a shadow of its former self.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by hasmanean on Sunday March 23, 2025 @06:12PM (#43456308)
We have YouTube plumbers. Has destroyed the industry? No. But it’s made plumbing accessible to a whole range of DIYers.

Maybe AI will be just as productive.

Seriously YouTube has been amazing for the world of self learning. AI could learn a lot from it.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by rqtwteye on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:32PM (#43456714)
True. I have a serious DIY porn addiction due to Youtube.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by milesrout on Monday March 24, 2025 @05:54AM (#43459084)
But do you actually do any DIY? And is it more than you would have done without watching hours of it on YouTube?

I have at times watched a lot of videos of people making stuff or doing DIY. I suspect like 99% of the audience of those videos, they are just entertainment.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by saturn8601 on Monday March 24, 2025 @12:00PM (#43462536)
not OP but I am forced to. Services are too expensive these days and even when you pay, the quality is usually very hit or miss. I have lost count the number of times where a mechanic does the job right but its sloppy. Even my plumber or electrician gets things done but my drive for perfection cringes at the sloppy craftsmanship. I'm not a multi millionaire so I can't get the people that supposedly made things like Apple Park. A DIYer might not be able to do every job but many of the low hanging fruit can be done well.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by rqtwteye on Monday March 24, 2025 @03:16PM (#43464458)
Yes, I do a lot. Everything I feel confident doing and have the time for.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by taneq on Monday March 24, 2025 @08:03AM (#43459958)
The availability of (mostly) accurate, in depth information snout any rabbit hole you can think of has certainly impacted some industries. There’s an entire generation of doctors who are infuriated by “Doctor Google” And another generation of doctors who embrace the ability to quickly research topics and fact check suggestions online collaboratively with their patients.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by mustyoshi on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:23AM (#43453528)
120 years ago 40% of Americans were farmers, today that number is under 2%.

That technical progress resulted in a few companies and farm conglomerates becoming incredibly wealthy. But the benefits that we all received was we didn't have to toil in a field, and we get fresh beef on every corner.

The wealth gap growing, and the median person being better off aren't mutually exclusive.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:38AM (#43453633)
> The wealth gap growing, and the median person being better off aren't mutually exclusive.

The wealth gap was growing since 1980. Is the median person better today when the median person cannot afford a college education or a house?

Both of those were easily afforded in the 80s.

Also remember: the average job didn't require a college education back then either. College has become a gatekeeper due to its rising costs and diminishing returns.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:02PM (#43453796)
Why is “affording a house” the marker of a success? I would say just the opposite. Owning a home decreases mobility and the ability to move to where the jobs are.

That being said, the home ownership rate in the US is 65% and almost anyone who wants to go to college can via loans and scholarships.

Only around 40% of people in the US have a college education. But that doesn’t mean that the other 60% are homeless and starving.

Then cultural, as we see now, there is very much an anti-intellectual anti college bias by a major user of people in the country.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by OJFord on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:10PM (#43453841)
Ok, 'having that much money (or credit worthiness to borrow it) regardless of what you do with it', then?

Many people don't want to be itinerant, they want a settled home to make their own and enjoy for a long time if not life. 'Forever home' is a phrase and a positive one because that is a goal people have.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:32PM (#43453950)
And those same people who want their “forever home” and aren’t willing to move to where the jobs are unemployed and underemployed.

I want a million dollars a year income. No one owes me that. Move to where the jobs are. I moved from my hometown in south GA the week I graduated from college because there were no jobs.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by achierius on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:38PM (#43455704)
You can't both tout status-quo economic figures and then point at hypothetical alternatives. If people did as you say and took those lower-paying jobs, then the average person would be less well off -- perhaps closer to the experienced reality for many.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @08:46PM (#43457014)
Take what lower paying jobs? I am saying they need to move to where the jobs are. Do those jobs require an education? Yes.

Maybe rural America should stop voting for politicians who are opposed to affordable college education (or trade school) and student loan forgiveness.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ToucanLoucan on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:49PM (#43455787)
Well the problem, and stick with me here, is that we have people everywhere. So, as a consequence of that, having broad opportunities for everyone to earn a decent living, in more than a handful of places in the entire country, is an unambiguously good thing. And like, maybe this is pink-haired commmie-scum thought of me to say, but perhaps you shouldn't need to leave your childhood home, friends, support system, and familiar places when you finish your schooling in order to earn a living? Just because it's... really bad for you, and makes for a less stable you, which on balance over millions of times for everyone else who grew up with you, makes for a less stable society?

> I want a million dollars a year income. No one owes me that.

Why is this always where this type of conversation goes? No one has spoken about any entitlement here, but frankly, while you aren't owed a million dollars a year, I'd say you're owed something. Assuming you're working full time, I'd say you're owed at least a living wage.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @05:01PM (#43455888)
What exactly does society even with a strong safety net (which I support) owe anyone? Universal healthcare? Yes. A method to enable people to have safe shelter? Yes. Even public transportation to get to jobs - Yes. I’m even in favor of affordable public college education.

But everyone should be able to own a home? No.

People today are living all across the country and not be homeless and the people who live in the poorest states repeatedly vote for politicians that want to cut government services and cut the safety nets. Right now they are cheering DOGE. Why should I feel sorry for rural America? They are getting exactly what they voted for.

We are under no obligation as a country to make sure that people who want to live the rest of there life in the MiddleOfNowhere Oklahoma can stay there for the rest of their life who don’t want to move. Besides again, these people overwhelmingly voted for politicians who don’t want to help them.

They are also cheering for the dismantling of the Education department, defunding colleges, cutting Medicaid, inflationary tariff policies, etc.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Sunday March 23, 2025 @05:03PM (#43455897)
> But everyone should be able to own a home? No.

Do you seriously want to turn this discussion into lower-class rental / apartment discussion? Okay, fine. Lets go there.

https://ipropertymanagement.com/research/average-rent-by-yea...

Average rent in 1980 was $243/month. Average rent in 2025 is $1397/month.

For those who cannot afford a home, life has gotten worse. For those who _can_ afford a home, their life has gotten worse. It doesn't matter where you plan to pivot this discussion, its all bad numbers for your discussion point.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @08:28PM (#43456943)
Okay, so what do you propose? Rent control? That is going to decrease supply. Tariffs to encourage manufacturing in America? That’s just going to make things less affordable.

But, rural America consistently votes for politicians and people who are trying to get rid of services they need the most. They are getting exactly what they are voting for and cheering right now.

They are actively opposed to programs that would make education more affordable and cheering cutting the department of education, the post office, internet for rural America etc.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Sunday March 23, 2025 @08:45PM (#43457009)
Let's start with just agreeing that the wage gap and wealth inequality is a bad thing.

Which is all I wanted to say in the root post. I'm not gonna get gish galloped off topic any further.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @08:48PM (#43457020)
It’s a “bad thing” that over half of America wants (and a majority of poorer Americans) as they cheer on two billionaires that are gutting the safety net they need the most.

So they must be okay with it.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:52PM (#43457680)
Sure sure.

But that doesn't change the argument or the truth about what is, or isn't bad for people. I recognize the political disadvantage I'm at here, but lets just stick with the truth of the matter before we get into the politics.

As I said before, I'm happy if you could just agree with me that wealth gap is a problem worth tackling.

-----

I'm not one to tackle entire problems all at once. Lets focus on things one step at a time. Lets first agree what the problems are in America. And then once we all agree on that, then we can work on them.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ToucanLoucan on Sunday March 23, 2025 @09:49PM (#43457291)
I swear I have said this like ten times on this website since the election, but once again, since apparently people still don't get this:

Trump won the electoral and popular votes with 312 (58%) of the former and 77,303,568 (49.81%) of the latter, which supports saying "over half" compared to Harris' 226 (42%) of the former and 75,019,230 (48.34%) of the latter. However the population of the United States is 340.1 million of which 244.6 million are voting eligible. Some quick back-of-napkin math then will tell you that while Trump took both the popular and electoral votes enough to win, that victory represents at best the will of approximately 31% of the eligible voters. And, that's strictly the popular vote, which doesn't actually win the election. Democrats struggle in every election because of decades of meddling on the part of Republicans with regard to how electoral votes are awarded and calculated, gerrymandering in every state, anti-voter, anti-minority policies that disenfranchise people on an industrial scale from the right to vote they're entitled, etc. etc. etc.

And you can say "well the Democrats should be working harder to undo it!" and I totally agree, but between the raw numbers on the ground, the well-documented Southern Strategy that has turned formerly pro-labor and progressive swathes of America into hard right strongholds via churches, and the various culture wars that have utterly melted American's brains to a great degree spearheaded by rest-in-piss Rush Limbaugh and the rest of the reactionary media sphere he helped weld into being, it is not remotely a fair statement to say that "over half of America voted for this knowing what would happen." Some did, for sure. Not half, not even fucking close.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @10:56PM (#43457495)
gerrymandering is so messed up. but speaking strictly from an outside perspective it is a gangster move.

dare i say, gangster moves back are REQUIRED.

to whoever downvoted this, you want to take the high road? when our citizens’ voting rights have been marginalized?

or are you just turned off by the word gangster?

anyway, i propose making the gerrymandering an anti—american thing. which it is.

make it the center of everything. there should be zero other issues until the ability to vote on the issues for all our people has been corrected.

i would call out every single politician that was responsible for this gerrymandering. repeatedly, over and over again until they were harassed into a retirement recluse. that is my gangster counter move proposal.

focus on the individual politicians reponsible for this and launch an all out aggressive offensive to eradicate their whole memory from America.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by 8note on Monday March 24, 2025 @08:46PM (#43466992)
first thought is to repeat whats worked in the past - have the government comfiscate all the rental land, and charge the renters 20 bucks or so to take the deed.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ToucanLoucan on Sunday March 23, 2025 @05:13PM (#43455950)
> What exactly does society even with a strong safety net (which I support) owe anyone? Universal healthcare? Yes. A method to enable people to have safe shelter? Yes. Even public transportation to get to jobs - Yes. I’m even in favor of affordable public college education.

Cosigned all above.

> But everyone should be able to own a home? No.

I think insofar as property is treated as an investment vehicle, everyone should be able to own something. Like, the difference between a mortgage and a rental contract in terms of personal economics couldn't be further from one another. One creates wealth, one transfers wealth and concentrates it.

"Can you afford to buy a home" as an economic metric doesn't mean necessarily that you should buy a home and you are a poor if you haven't or simply choose not to. That's fine. However, owning a home is a significant economic data point because it's a large investment to make that requires access to okay credit, and that once done, benefits the homeowner financially decades into the future. When I got a mortgage, an insured one with no money down even, my credit immediately went down to account for having a loan, but then right afterwards jumped almost 20% in a 3 month period, even though I did nothing differently apart from paying into a mortgage instead of paying rent.

Alternatively, reform the housing market so it functions as... well, a market. A house shouldn't necessarily appreciate in value over time, and the fact that it's expected to is... strange. One could argue that if nothing has appreciably changed in your neighborhood since you bought your house, it should sell for ballpark about the same price as what you paid for it, unless you did some substantial renovations or something. And even then... if you're just making it more suited to your tastes, probably not?

In other words make houses... well, houses. Not investment vehicles.

> People today are living all across the country and not be homeless and the people who live in the poorest states repeatedly vote for politicians that want to cut government services and cut the safety nets. Right now they are cheering DOGE. Why should I feel sorry for rural America? They are getting exactly what they voted for.

Well, a lot of them are poorly educated for starters, and insanely propagandized. They've been the singular target for Republican messaging for decades now, and as you state, they've voted for those people too who have in turn damaged their schools and pillaged their industries. And that's not even going into things like offshoring and cheap international goods that have obliterated small town America, or corporations like Walmart, which have done a fantastic job of pillaging middle America's markets out of existence.

And yes it's tremendously frustrating to talk to these people since they're seemingly ready to blame anything and everyone who isn't them, their ideology, and their own choices for the fact that their home is dying, but it's still their home, and it's still dying. And like, even if their children all do what you're telling them to do, that means millions upon millions of people about to immigrate to cities from these rural areas. So like, you gotta deal with them one way or another. They're not just going to Thanos-snap out of existence.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by JustExAWS on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:08PM (#43456618)
> However, owning a home is a significant economic data point because it's a large investment to make that requires access to okay credit

You would be surprised at how low the credit rating you have to have to get an FHA mortgage. It only needs to be 580 to qualify for 3.5% down.

> However, owning a home is a significant economic data point because it's a large investment

And then later you said

> A house shouldn't necessarily appreciate in value over time, and the fact that it's expected to is... strange.

So exactly how do you keep a property from appreciating in an area that people want to be in? My parent bought their home in 1978 in South GA for $50K. According to Zillow it’s now worth $180K. Inflation adjusted it should be worth $245K (https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/).

> And that's not even going into things like offshoring and cheap international goods that have obliterated small town America, or corporations like Walmart, which have done a fantastic job of pillaging middle America's markets out of existence.

So you support Trump’s inflationary policies about tariffs that will make goods more expensive in an effort to bring jobs back to the US (which won’t happen).

The world where every other country was demolished by wars and allowing the US not to have to compete with other developed nations is gone. Manufacturing jobs aren’t coming back to the US. Would you be in favor of taxing those in the 90th percentile in wealthy (which you only have to make around $160K to be in) enough to support all of the other people so they can buy houses?

I think a lot of people here have absolutely no idea how “rich” they are compared to the average American and aren’t willing to give up enough of their income for “equality”.

> So like, you gotta deal with them one way or another. They're not just going to Thanos-snap out of existence.

Let them suffer. They would rather vote for politicians who hate the same people they hate - non Christians (except for Jews for some reason), minorities, immigrants, non-straight people, college educated, etc. They aren’t voting against their own interest because they are “uneducated”.

They see the country eventually becoming more diverse and minority/majority and are doing everything they can to fight the inevitable.

They themselves would rather not have universal healthcare because it might help the “illegals”.

Of course other cohorts are the middle class evangelicals who think they are going to burn in hell if gay people have equal rights and Jesus won’t have any place to come back to if Israel isn’t protected. I’m not exaggerating at all to make a point.

Then you have people with money who like the status quo and don’t care about inequality.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:46PM (#43454060)
That's a weird non-sequitur you did.

> But that doesn’t mean that the other 60% are homeless and starving.

No one said starving. I'm saying that the average person is in worse straights than the average person from the 1980s.

If your message is 'Maybe not everyone needs a house' then it kinda sounds like you agree with me?

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:55PM (#43454120)
The home ownership rate in 1980 was also in the mid 60s…

https://www.census.gov/library/publications/1991/demo/sb91-0...

In fact home ownership rate has consistently been in the mid 60s since 1960

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/home-ownership-ra...

In which way is the average person worse? Worse health? Worse life expectancy? More homeless people?

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:01PM (#43454163)
People who owned a home in 1980 only had to pay $47k, or roughly 4x average salary. (12513: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/AWI.html).

People who own a home in 2025 have to pay $350,000ish on a wage of only $66k.

Home prices have gone up dramatically more than wages.

> In which way is the average person worse?

The amount of debt needed to own a home. Which is related to income vs cost-of-home. This ignores the fact that to reach $66k+/year salaries to begin with, you needed tens-of-thousands in student loan debt as well (which the average person in 1980 didn't need).

----------

1. Costs of education have gone up. It costs more money to be able to get a comfortable salary to begin with in today's world.

2. Younger folk are entering a very high-priced housing market, despite being already saddled with student loan debt (and thus starting off with no savings).

3. The bulk of "starting a new life" costs are car, house, and education. While yes computers and food have gotten cheaper, I would argue that car/house/education costs are the primary gatekeeper into income and/or class mobility.

-----------

For the 40%ish who cannot afford a house, it gets even worse. Rental prices in 1980 were $243/month. Do you want me to run the numbers on how screwed they've gotten? Or do you have the gist yet?

Also remember: 1980 was a recession year with high unemployment and incredible inflation. We're comparing ourselves to the WORST time of stagflation and some of the worst geopolitical crisis of that era.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:06PM (#43454203)
The average student loan debt is around $40K in the US.

Even still, somehow, some way, the homeownership rate is the same, people aren’t going homeless and people’s needs are being met. How is that? If people are worse off meeting their Maslow hierarchy of needs?

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:08PM (#43454215)
So you ignore the literal prices of these things we're discussing.

Gotcha. I'm glad that I've forced you to ignore my argument rather than addressing the elephant in the room.

The average student loan debt in 1980 was zero because the vast majority of people could get by on free and public high school education btw. Especially if we assume that we're talking about the median income household.

To achieve this equivalent to 1980s lifestyle, we're talking what? $200k extra debt burdens on every average / median person? $40k in student debt and $150k++ in extra housing debt? Plus 4 years lost in education (as 1980s folk could work those 4 years instead). How is this a better or even equivalent life?

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tkjef on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:04PM (#43457527)
student loan debt is out of control. college is a money pit that will hopefully be dissolved within our lifetime. the social aspect is not worth the money.

all knowledge is on the internet. we do not need college at all. that will come to be more evident. but colleges got lots o’ money from donors to prolong their livelihoods.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by tmnvix on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:36PM (#43455690)
From your source:

> Home Ownership Rate refers to the percentage of homes that are occupied by the owner

So this rate is not that of people that own a home, but homes that are owned by someone that resides there.

Consider people in shared housing, young adults staying with parents, etc.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by authorfly on Sunday March 23, 2025 @02:20PM (#43454707)
Well inability to own a house was a major prelude to the 1930s economic and later conflict issues, particularly in western Europe (where it was more expensive in places like Britain to buy a house than even today, about 10-14x salary vs 8x today). House prices have been how they are now before: in the 1920s... (America is a bit of an exception because of all the expansion into California etc in the early 1900s).

Male crime rates correlate with economic opportunity too, so even if you don't care about the 1930s and the economic reset of WW2 and its rebuilding (and WW1, but to a lesser extent), you should care about the possibility of crimes rates continuing to regress. Serious crimes don't get solved at a much higher rate than in the past, even if they have decreased since the 90s.

Home ownership is a lagging indicator and doesn't show the whole picture: If people used to buy a home at 25 and move into it, but today they wait and live in their parents house until 30 before moving into a home, the stats might appear the same. The quality of life won't be. Home ownership rate needs context too, in some countries rent is low and house prices are high(er than the US), where many people rent through retirement, and where the implication of rising house prices is not as bad unless rent also raises.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by scarface_74 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @08:39PM (#43456984)
And what exactly is wrong with living with their parents longer like most other countries do and is still prevalent among first and second generation Americans?

As I asked before, what do you propose? Rent control? Affordable higher education? I agree with that. But half of America as seen by the support of DOGE and the lack of support for student loan forgiveness of any kind don’t. America is getting exactly what they voted for - especially in the poorest, least educated states that vote Republican.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by asdf6969 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @05:56PM (#43456217)
> mobility and the ability to move to where the jobs are.

This is a sign of low class status and lack of success. Rich people change the world to fit their needs. Poor people change themselves to fit the world. Leaving your entire family and social network behind for work is extremely middle class behaviour

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by JustExAWS on Sunday March 23, 2025 @06:41PM (#43456489)
Yes, that’s why Musk still lives in South Africa..
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by asdf6969 on Monday March 24, 2025 @05:09AM (#43458798)
Immigration is different. No individual can make a shitty country good
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by satvikpendem on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:42PM (#43456755)
> Both of those were easily afforded in the 80s.

That's due to the post-war boom. The book Capital in the 21st Century goes over this, that the period between 1950 - 2000 was an anomaly for the US that cannot be replicated, yet people bring up this stat as if it were normal.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by dragontamer on Tuesday March 25, 2025 @04:22PM (#43475502)
1980 was during the stagflation era and a major Middle East crisis with nearly 20% interest rates.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by milesrout on Monday March 24, 2025 @06:03AM (#43459141)
The average person didn't have a college education in the 1980s. Rates of educational attainment have skyrocketed. So obviously a lot more people spend a lot more money to be university-educated than did in the 1980s. Maybe people put more value on education today?

Students expect a lot more services from universities today. They expect regular formative assessments. They expect various support services. They expect warm, air conditioned buildings without draughts. They expect healthcare, mental health support, disability services, and expensive facilities for everything: projectors and screens and computers and everything.

Could that also be part of the drive of cost? The services definitely are, theyre a big driver of the increase in admin staff at universities.

The cost of education is pretty irrelevant anyway because nobody actually pays it. You get a loan. That is paid by someone else: you, later. But young men and women heading off to university don't have a moment where they have to give up the opportunity to go because they don't have the money.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by robertlagrant on Monday March 24, 2025 @10:05AM (#43461255)
> The wealth gap was growing since 1980. Is the median person better today when the median person cannot afford a college education or a house?

The house is due to population increasing far faster than new houses being built. That's a function of policy, not of rich people existing.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by IshKebab on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:43AM (#43453667)
Yeah the thing is there were better jobs that ex-farmers (or at least their children) could go to. I'm unconvinced that's the case this time round. Especially for unskilled people.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by anon7000 on Sunday March 23, 2025 @03:19PM (#43455118)
Is that really true 120 years ago? We have a lot of hindsight bias, but things really weren’t amazing for the average person in the US even one hundred years ago.

Today, the average person has affordable access to a lot of things that may have been luxuries, or simply didn’t exist, 100-200 years ago. Running water, electricity, internet, mobile phones, modern sanitation & infrastructure, and any number of tiny cheap devices that improve QoL.

And yes, we also have huge problems with wealth disparity and late stage capitalism.

The problem is, we should not throw out the baby with the bathwater. Like, we do not have widespread food scarcity problems today. Extremely advanced medical technology is available, if too expensive.

Our tech bubble is only one small part of actual technology. There is still very cool research going on in other fields. Big tech is all about personal computing & social media, and yeah, AI in this area is dubious and hard to get excited about.

At the same time, there are SO MANY other areas of technology which can have huge impacts on humanity. For example, the tech behind modern AI models has already produced breakthrough research in the field of protein folding. (https://youtu.be/P_fHJIYENdI) This will have a big impact on our ability to solve biological problems.

All that to say… let’s stop being so closed-minded about tech. Yes, the big tech social media, app, and SaaS companies are not going to give us a utopian future. But technology is way more than that. It includes robotics advances for cheap manufacturing, cheap energy from small scale hydro or even nuclear installations, advances in our ability to fight diseases and viruses (the COVID vaccine would not have been possible as quickly without modern technology), more clever & efficient construction techniques, and the list goes on and on. Tech is absolutely solving tons of real problems that we face. We can be excited for that and also not care about the next knock-off AI wrapper SaaS company.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by IshKebab on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:18PM (#43455573)
> Is that really true 120 years ago? We have a lot of hindsight bias, but things really weren’t amazing for the average person in the US even one hundred years ago.

I didn't say they were. I said they had better jobs to go to than working in the fields. I'm not saying their lives were better than ours are now. Obviously not.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by aiajsbdbdjxjx on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:41AM (#43453650)
Nobody’s arguing things aren’t better in some ways than the past. But your argument amounts to what is essentially trickle down economics. The median American is getting a marginal improvement - the top .1% American has gotten an astronomical improvement.

The wealth gap increasing is a moral failure of our billionaires. They should take pride in building a better tomorrow for their fellow countrymen. And what we have now is the exact opposite of that.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by ryandrake on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:28PM (#43453934)
It's not just a moral failure of the billionaires. Many of us live in democracies, so we are choosing (through our elected officials) that creating a few billionaires is more important than building a better tomorrow. The sorry state of things could be undone in a single election if people didn't explicitly want and vote for the sorry state of things.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by graemep on Sunday March 23, 2025 @04:25PM (#43455636)
We have a limited choice of who to vote for. Here in the UK that is the big parties think, and most of the smaller ones too. The same is true in many democracies.

Douglas Adams described it well:

"No," said Ford, who by this time was a little more rational and coherent than he had been, having finally had the coffee forced down him, "nothing so simple. Nothing anything like so straightforward. On its world, the people are people. The leaders are lizards. The people hate the lizards and the lizards rule the people." "Odd," said Arthur, "I thought you said it was a democracy." "I did," said Ford. "It is." "So," said Arthur, hoping he wasn't sounding ridiculously obtuse, "why don't people get rid of the lizards?" "It honestly doesn't occur to them," said Ford. "They've all got the vote, so they all pretty much assume that the government they've voted in more or less approximates to the government they want." "You mean they actually vote for the lizards?" "Oh yes," said Ford with a shrug, "of course." "But," said Arthur, going for the big one again, "why?" "Because if they didn't vote for a lizard," said Ford, "the wrong lizard might get in. Got any gin?"

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by pphysch on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:49AM (#43453704)
96 years ago we there was a massive financial crisis and depression that killed a lot of people and is directly related to the (lack of) national policies of the time.

USA recovered remarkably well, but only because there was a big pivot away from crony capitalism and towards "socialism" under FDR. Big investments in The People, unions, education, infrastructure.

We are going in the former direction right now.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by hollerith on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:53AM (#43453739)
Causal relationships can be hard to discern. Some say that FDR's policies extended the downturn to 10 years whereas recovery from previous downturns was much quicker.

(Also, it is not clear to me how any of this is relevant to "The wealth gap growing, and the median person being better off aren't mutually exclusive".)

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by rqtwteye on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:58AM (#43453767)
These are probably the same people who say that environmental regulation is not necessary because companies would clean up pollution anyways.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by whatshisface on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:20PM (#43453909)
"If the health benefits of pollution were so bad, insurers would pay plants to install scrubbers."
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by whattheheckheck on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:12PM (#43453861)
I don't think your comment adds clarity to the line of questioning and reasoning.

I think it's damaging to clear thinking by muddying the waters.

I give you an example of returning the favor to you:

"Causual relationships can be hard to discern. Some say when people spout a spurious claim without evidence nor citations that falls in line with the entrenched structural power interests it simply shuts down critical thinking and causes people to not advocate for themselves and their own self interests which lets deep systemic issues fester and rot and leading to mass violence."

https://a.co/d/9rTmcYe https://a.co/d/5aIpwPC https://a.co/d/0ujVgWg https://a.co/d/0g5HHDh

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by teucris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:58AM (#43453764)
Can you provide references? This is the first I’ve ever heard of this.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by hollerith on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:37PM (#43453995)
For example, Murray Rothbard argued in America’s Great Depression (1963) that both Herbert Hoover and FDR worsened the economic downturn through interventionist policies. He believed FDR’s price and wage controls, massive public spending, and business regulations stifled economic recovery.

My point is not that the person I was replying to is definitely wrong about FDR's policies, but rather that the effects of FDR's policies are uncertain enough that the fact that FDR imposed them in the 1930s cannot credibly used to lend strong support to any argument for any economic policy to be imposed today. The post-WWII economic boom for example happened after most of FDR's policies had been repealed.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by teucris on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:05PM (#43457532)
Thanks for the reference. I generally agree that, from a very high-altitude, it's difficult to know whether New Deal policies shortened the depression given that WWII shook up the US so much. However, there are many things introduced during that time that have had a visceral effect on the average American's quality of life, saved lives, and would be terrible to abandon: the FDIC, the construction of a massive amount of infrastructure, social security, etc.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by pphysch on Sunday March 23, 2025 @01:37PM (#43454413)
Of course libertarian ideologues will argue FDR was the Big Bad. They are arguing from ideology, not science.

FDR committed the grave sin of making a lot of rich people slightly less rich, in the short term. Deregulation is the answer to everything, including the problems caused directly by lack of regulation and governance. Hilarious.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by deadbabe on Sunday March 23, 2025 @12:12PM (#43453855)
I can think of one technology that could easily solve this problem: an ability to “freeze” people into some kind of hibernation indefinitely until they are needed. Potentially, this could even mean going to sleep on Earth and then waking up on some distant planet colony where they need people. Jarring, but somehow people can find a good life this way I bet.
Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by aceazzameen on Sunday March 23, 2025 @02:50PM (#43454896)
I bet anything that any robots capable of performing any kind of service will be subscription based. It will also purposely be out of reach for anyone not wealthy.

Society has to change before humanity has any further technological progress that will benefit everyone. We're simply in the "how to min max wealth growth" stage.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by overfeed on Sunday March 23, 2025 @07:45PM (#43456765)
> I am pretty sure in the not too far future we will have enough technology that you can live off the land somewhere with the help of some robots.

If John Deere can help it, those Deerebots will be sealed shut, TPM'd & DRM'd to hell. You'd pay a subscription and have to take them into a service center to get them serviced and have the firmware updated. They basic subscription tier will only work with genuine Monsanto(TM) seedPods(R)

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by mindslight on Sunday March 23, 2025 @11:44PM (#43457656)
From what I've seen, the small low-HP tractors without particulate filters have a minimum of electronics. It's the computerized emissions controls where they start creeping in. And I assume the big farmers put up with digital restrictions management because they want to have their shiny new gear serviced by professionals anyway, whereas homesteads there is going to be a lot more DIY.

The real problem is that farming is fucking hard. I bought a vertical tiller somewhat as a hedge against societal collapse from the political movement to destroy America, but I'm under no illusions of that being a straightforward food supply. The main aim is to be able to do food plots for neighbors in trade.

Honestly I've got to wonder if we're going this far, why do you even need to live off the land? As in, why turn soil just to get free sun and water? Why not just indoor hydroponics? Or even still using soil, but inside in a much more controlled fashion.

Re:Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D by robertlagrant on Monday March 24, 2025 @09:35AM (#43460894)
> Technical progress would be fantastic if the benefits didn't go mainly to the top

They don't. You live better than Henry VIII in almost all ways (other than you can't establish a new state religion). You have access to painkillers, dentistry, sight correction, and information on a daily basis, along with more chicken than he did. The fact that that's true for hundreds of millions of people is incredible.