All you need a Raspberry Pi and some public Wi-Fi network to create a jump point and hide among the 100s of devices going on and off that one public IP. With projects like TailScale you could set it up and plant it somewhere in a matter of hours

I thought most VPNs sold usage data to ad companies?

I also recently wrote a single ephemeral socks5 proxy over a hidden service in Rust. Since they’ve probably compromised other machines in the past, they could’ve easily used something similar to proxy their connection through tor and to some random computer (access some vulnerable router through tor, proxy through it, etc). Hiding your tracks aren’t hard

All we know is they were active during business hours of the UTC+1/3 timezones. They used a chinese sounding name as one of their front figures, the one who made most of the commits of malicious code. They wrote english messages that some people claim appear to be a Russian trying to write in English. But that last argument is pretty weak as they could have just masked their origin using Google translate, or even ChatGPT.

One of the biggest clues is actually one little commit that they let slip with a middle name to the chinese persona. And some people claim the names don't match up with different chinese cultures.

After that you can use all your psych 101 experience to try and analyze them but you'll just be guessing.

Personally I think using a chinese front name is a very interesting detail. They could have used any name in the world, there are open source contributors from all over the world.

Using a name in a country where most people have a very little insight is a good way of not being uncovered as fake of course. But why not use a Ugandan name? Also using a Chinese name can be perceived as pointing the blame at China, which might be sensitive geopolitically.

So these names seem somewhat similar to "Jia Tan" in their almost-but-not-quite real quality.

Here is my speculation.

I would look at the test framework - the attacker needs the complexity of it to hide away the attack and it is first thing he publishes - probably has been planned from the very beginning.

This is a homemade thing based on something called "Seatest".

How common is Seatest? Not that common as far as I can tell - maybe someone can correct me?

https://www.wired.com/story/jia-tan-xz-backdoor

The Mystery of ‘Jia Tan,’ the XZ Backdoor Mastermind

The thwarted XZ Utils supply chain attack was years in the making. Now, clues suggest nation-state hackers were behind the persona that inserted the malicious code.

...

At a glance, Jia Tan certainly looks East Asian—or is meant to. The time zone of Jia Tan’s commits are UTC+8: That’s China’s time zone, and only an hour off from North Korea’s.

Indeed. If it's nation state and years in the making then the idea of all the commit times being faked isn't a stretch.

Hell, even five-eyes (UK+AU+US+etc) could seek a linux backdoor and use Perth, Australia (GMT+8) timezones or have a submission bot in the UK that just commits at preset time from preset IP proxy.

The time zone is consistent with Western Australia and the work starts by "branching out" a not widely used Australian test framework.

The actual attack is probably done by someone else.

Which Jia Tan turns into "s-test".

So there are also PR reasons to create a fake trail.

The best lie confirms your confirmation bias. Everybody heard about the Chinese hackers attacking US, Ugandan hackers however would raise a few eyebrows.

Usually Microsoft etc. don't hold back identifying "threat actors".

Is there a US police investigation ongoing that could ask Microsoft? The target of this attack has been US firms / persons so if they report it, I assume a US police investigation would be required.

Based on a HN comment from a couple of weeks ago, by analyzing the attackers IP addresses from IRC chat logins, it seems they used a VPN service. If you think about it, it makes sense to always use VPN when doing an operation like this. So I think the ip addresses won't be of much use.

And why an Asian name? It's certainly exploiting a psychological bias. Apart from what you noted, the names are much more generic than Ugandan names and IMO it's virtually impossible to track a legend down. And the number of OSS contributors from East Asia is much larger than from Africa. Hence a more normalized/frequent occurrence. And lastly if things start going south, some play on the r-card is always up the sleeve of PsyOps personnel.

I have recently read that book https://www.ifitssmartitsvulnerable.com/ The author mentions a malware which at the first glance looked to originate from China (e.g. saved with Mandarin-localized MS Office) but was actually developed in Russia.

I learned about Bitcoin either days prior or days later. As a newbie I did not care who created Bitcoin, but now I regret not knowing and speaking with him directly.