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Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:27PM (#35907195)
I’m sorry for your loss but I’m really amazed you thought that 7% yield from savings at a time of 0% interest rates was anything other than a fabrication.

I looked at these and they were so absurd there was no way I would invest. No fundamentals. No audit. No insurance. No stable company or bank.

What was your thought process in putting funds here? Did you think it would just take longer to explode and you would be able to withdraw before? Did you genuinely believe?

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:35PM (#35907308)
Well, there was some hand-waviness claiming that GUSD was FDIC insured [1], and they kept comparing it to bank accounts. I will admit that I should have done more research before putting it in, but I just assumed that since Gemini was ostensibly working with regulators and they were plastering the safety of GUSD everywhere, I guess I just didn't do my due diligence. I'll accept my share of the blame.

[1] https://www.gemini.com/dollar It still mentioned "FDIC" stuff in small print, but it was much more prominent in earlier stuff.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by JumpCrisscross on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:39PM (#35907354)
> there was some hand-waviness claiming that GUSD was FDIC insured

This should be piercing-the-veil fraud if true.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:41PM (#35907390)
They're actually being sued by the SEC over this, claiming it's an unregistered security.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by JumpCrisscross on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:02PM (#35907660)
> being sued by the SEC over this, claiming it's an unregistered security

Good, but insufficient. Misleadingly using the FDIC’s brand should open a criminal investigation.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:47PM (#35907481)
But that’s so simple to validate. I mean, I have funds in a few accounts and every one of them shows up in FDIC’s bankfind tool and “member fdic” is advertised by the banks.

The link you posted does mention fdic but it says Gemini’s deposits are fdic insured (probably true as what kind of a crazy company keeps cash in uninsured accounts). Definitely shady of them to word it like that as it’s likely meant to confuse and mislead. But again, pretty easy to validate and disprove before sending any funds.

I hope you get something back and I guess the good news is that you only make this mistake once in life and teach everyone in your family how to avoid.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:55PM (#35907581)
Yep, no argument that I should have checked the FDIC's bankfind tool, which I do make liberal use of now. I guess I just made the mistake of thinking that Gemini wouldn't have been able to do this for so long if it were a scam, especially since they repeatedly claimed they were working with regulators.

I'm also reasonably sure that the FDIC insurance stuff was more prominently displayed on their site, though I'm having trouble confirming that so maybe I'm just misremembering.

And indeed, I have helped a few people avoid these scams now. When friends of mine ask me about investing in crypto now, I tell them "I think you should buy Treasury Bills directly from the government for safe short term stuff, and probably just find a good low cost index fund from a registered broker for longer term stuff".

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by johnmaguire on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:01PM (#35907642)
You're not crazy that it used to[1] be less clear what exactly FDIC insurance applied to.

Originally:

> Gemini is a U.S. company regulated by the New York Department of Financial Services. GUSD reserves are eligible for FDIC insurance up to $250,000 per user while custodied with State Street Bank and Trust.¹

Later:

> Gemini is a U.S. company regulated as a limited purpose trust company by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Each GUSD corresponds to a U.S. dollar held by Gemini in accounts at U.S. FDIC-insured bank accounts and money market funds holding short-term U.S. treasury bonds and maintained at a custodian. The cash portion of these GUSD reserves may be eligible for FDIC “pass through” insurance for Gemini customers, in the event of the failure of a bank holding the U.S. dollar deposit portion of the GUSD reserves.

[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20211201224824/https://www.gemin...

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by johnmaguire on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:51PM (#35907535)
> But that’s so simple to validate.

Simple to who? Simple to you? I didn't invest in Gemini and also thought these returns were obviously bunk, but I've never heard of "FDIC's bankfind tool" before your comment.

The guy already said he accepts his share of the blame for not doing DD, but I'm not sure why you're so insistent that it's entirely his fault when SBF was clearly committing fraud.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:08PM (#35907719)
Simple to anyone with significant sums of money to invest.

Either someone is competent enough to earn thousands to hold with FTX or competent enough to inherit win and not have it wasted away.

Either way, if I have $10-100k or whatever and this isn’t simple for me then the issue isn’t FTX, it’s me and I’m going to eventually lose it.

I’m saying it is OP’s fault because he invested in magical thinking. Of course it’s also SBF’s fault for committing fraud. But this is an entirely avoidable fraud as it’s not a complicated con.

If I buy magic beans from a traveler whose fault is it? It’s certainly the traveler’s fault for claiming they will grow into a beanstalk to heaven, but it’s also my fault for believing such a tale.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by SoftTalker on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:29PM (#35909207)
> Simple to anyone with significant sums of money to invest.

Remember Bernie Madhoff?

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:45PM (#35909355)
Hedge funds are quite different than cash accounts. And Madoff at least had a story with fake statements and whatnot.

FTX was patently impossible.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Friday May 12, 2023 @10:01AM (#35916468)
Genesis was claiming that the Earn program was effectively using cryptocurrency as collateral on high interest loans. I knew how high the interest was on credit cards and auto-loans and payday loans, so it didn’t seem ponzi-like to me.

To be clear, I didn’t ever directly do anything with FTX, at least not knowingly. I was unaware of the cross-mingly that was happening with SBF, Genesis, and Alameda, so no matter how “impossible” FTX seemed, it wouldn’t have saved me if I didn’t know FTX was involved.

That said, 7% when banks and bonds are are offering 0.1% should have more directly set off my bullshit alarm.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by the_gastropod on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:59PM (#35907626)
It's really unfortunate so many VC's and people in the tech industry lent credibility to such naked fraud. It made (and continues to make) regulation politically untenable. One of our political parties _continues_ to insist the crypto industry is "innovation!" and it'd be a mistake to stifle such incredible innovation. It's all bs.

I'm sorry you fell victim to this. It's a shame the regulators, meant to protect consumers from this exact thing, weren't able to do their jobs. Don't take it as a personal failure. This was systemic, and you were served up by lots of deeply monied interests.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by __loam on Thursday May 11, 2023 @07:22PM (#35909700)
I mean the VCs literally make their money from pump and dump schemes. There are a ton of startups in the valley that have ludicrous valuations. VC can do the initial investments then recoup their capital even before companies are profitable as we see with examples like Uber.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by lightfield1002 on Friday May 12, 2023 @04:08AM (#35913365)
Or you could take personal responsibility for having ignored everybody who said for years that it's all BS. This was not a secret, unforeseen, some higher natural power. It was delusion, and if you choose not to listen then it's up to you. Don't blame it on regulators.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by the_gastropod on Friday May 12, 2023 @09:04AM (#35915640)
Hey, I was one screaming at everyone about how silly it all was. I’ve got a nice decade of HN comments to demonstrate. BUT I also have a decent interest in personal finance and understand that world better than your average bear. It sucks that predators are just allowed to scam less informed people, and this is the response they have to deal with.

We’re all getting older, and there’s a good chance we’ll lose some of our faculties along the way. I’d prefer to live in a place that does something to help protect me from outright scams, and not have to take “personal responsibility”, and constantly be on guard against every potential bad actor.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by hibikir on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:00PM (#35907631)
But it's precisely that handwaviness that should make you not have to do research at all and smell a rat, as ultimately rate of interest and risk come hand in hand. It doesn't matter whether the instrument is based on crypto, real estate or pokemon cards.

If someone is offering a high interest, very liquid investment with returns so high that you are better off taking a larger mortgage, and putting the extra money into the investment, there has to be a hidden risk component: Otherwise, why would anyone issue mortgages, instead of investing in this very liquid instrument? It's too good to be true.

It's not unlike the people that spent money ordering cryptominers from butterfly labs: The expected return from buying them (pay the whole thing off in two months, and afterwards it's all profit!") just doesn't line up, regardless of the justification. Extraordinary returns exist, but they either require that you discover them yourself, or have to carry significant risks. So when someone is selling the opportunity to you, and you are told there's no risk, you have to know you are being lied to, no due diligence necessary.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:17PM (#35907816)
I mean, I know. I lost my money. I wrote the post explaining that I feel stupid about it.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by bloppe on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:06PM (#35908396)
Lol bold move looking for sympathy on one of the most mansplaining-heavy forums on the internet.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by gumby on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:24PM (#35908568)
The gender of posters is rarely clear so “nerdsplaining” is the appropriate term
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by conradfr on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:27PM (#35908603)
What does that have to do with anything?
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by Xeoncross on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:10PM (#35908429)
Sorry, we all make mistakes. Some people do dumb things with money, others with relationships, some with their health, and others with their time.

It's hard to be successful at everything. Ask the friends of anyone here, they'll point at the things someone did right and the things they messed up to get their.

Glad you're doing better.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by sally_glance on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:34PM (#35908671)
Just wanted to chime in and say thank you for sharing. If everyone was too ashamed of sharing past stupidness we would have no guideposts at all for gauging our own inevitable stupidness.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @07:14PM (#35909615)
Yeah, honestly I don't particularly care what the people on HN think of me [1], but I think it's important to come out to say that even relatively educated people like me can be duped. I might very well be an idiot, but at least nominally I'm in the "educated" demographic: I have a yuppie job, a college degree, some graduate education, and until Gemini Earn was generally considered somewhat financially responsible. I don't gamble, I don't drink, I don't go out to eat very often, any large purchases are planned out for weeks (if not months), and I try and put at least 30% of my paycheck into some form long-term savings (either something low risk/long-term like an index fund or something super-low-risk like a treasury bill). I feel like if something like this can happen to me, it can happen to nearly anyone else.

If anyone was thinking about "investing" in cryptocurrencies, just try and remember that it's largely-unregulated funny money, and you're probably not going to save the world while simultaneously getting rich from it.

I'm hoping that other people can learn from my mistake the age-old adage: if it looks too good to true, it probably is.

[1] (well, most of the time, admittedly I'm subject to vanity like anyone else)

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by lightfield1002 on Friday May 12, 2023 @04:04AM (#35913334)
> if it looks too good to true, it probably is.

And everybody told you, all the time, and you chose not to listen. That's your choice, no worries.

But threatening physical harm to the con man you fell for is just not ok.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Friday May 12, 2023 @07:28AM (#35914666)
Sorry, “everybody” told me? “All the time”? That’s news to me; lots of people seem to get suckered by Gemini Earn. Yes there were a few comments we can look back at in hindsight, but its not like anyone in my friend group told me anything.

Also, it’s hardly a “threat”; it was a bit of hyperbole, which nearly everyone here seems to understand (including you, I think), but let’s just pretend my statement was 100% sincere; what danger am I causing exactly? I very clearly say that I do not want to meet him. What kind of cartoon-like circumstances are going to lead to me meeting this guy if I am not seeking him out?

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by Frondo on Friday May 12, 2023 @03:33PM (#35921149)
Actually, threatening physical harm to a con man has a long and storied tradition in this country; but more than that if SBF had mugged this guy I don't think anyone would call a physical response a bad thing, but because he mugged him with words you're going to posture about this is "just not ok"? Come on.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by diversionfactor on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:07PM (#35909035)
Don’t sweat it. I’ve invested multiple hundreds of thousands in venture-backed startups over the past two decades, and lost all of it. None of the startups was successful. These were all audited venture-backed with experienced founders many of whom I’ve known personally in the Austin tech scene. Losing money is the rule in any kind of investing beyond the prevailing real interest rate. It’s all speculation. By the sound of it your diversification is paying off. Actually you’re quite smart in that regard, you didn’t put it all into startups like me.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by didip on Thursday May 11, 2023 @07:12PM (#35909594)
It's ok. Don't worry. I lost $250k during Covid because of similar lack of due diligence.

I made most of them back YOLO-ing TQQQ, but like you, I was having cold sweats for several nights.

Thankfully, there is so much money in tech industry that you can still recover from mistakes like this.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by Narkov on Friday May 12, 2023 @03:14AM (#35912995)
Thanks for sharing. You've paid a significant price for a very tough life lesson. It takes guts to be so open about it. Kudos.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by JeremyNT on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:37PM (#35908720)
OK, now you're moving from the realm of genuine curiosity and into the realm of victim blaming.

Before the collapse, FTX and crypto had a veneer of respectability. They had ads everywhere and the mainstream press treated them like legitimate financial investments.

The failure here isn't of the individuals who get suckered with crypto bullshit, it's a failure in our ability to regulate and tamp down that kind of bullshit. Shame on the press, government institutions, and of course tech sector VCs, for either shilling for, investing in, or looking the other way while these frauds were taking people to the cleaners.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by graeme on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:59PM (#35908953)
I talked to a lot of people at the time. You could say things like:

* There is no free money. Why would there be free money?

* It isn't FDIC insured. Look, it is a lie

* It has ponzi economics, etc

And it would get hand waved away. Agree that authorities dropped the ball, but the way a good con works is the mark wants to get conned, they want to believe there is something too good to be true.

This is not aimed at OP, who opened up, admonished themself, etc.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by SoftTalker on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:22PM (#35909153)
Yes, it often boils down to recognizing that "this person is telling me what I want to hear" because we're very vulnerable to that.

The world is full of liars, something one learns as one gets older.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by krainboltgreene on Thursday May 11, 2023 @09:13PM (#35910613)
> Yes, it often boils down to recognizing that "this person is telling me what I want to hear" because we're very vulnerable to that.

This also explains all the hype and starry eyes for LLMs.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by lightfield1002 on Friday May 12, 2023 @03:32AM (#35913120)
And yet the top comment here starts with:

> I sincerely hope that I never meet Sam Bankman Fried, because if I did I do not know what I would do but it certainly wouldn't be legal.

Why is this statement not condemned? Of course it's terrible that SBF was a fraud. But insinuating that physical harm is justified is just not ok. They were the naïve ones who bought into the BS, waived away all the warning voices, and now they are threating violence? Not ok.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Friday May 12, 2023 @07:19AM (#35914613)
I was engaging in a bit of hyperbole because I very much dislike SBF. I wouldn’t actually hurt him if I met him in person, but even if I would, I find it exceedingly unlikely that I will meet him in person, so it’s really a non-issue regardless. It would be kind of cool if he stubbed his toe or something on my behalf those though.

I feel like you know this, and you’re pretending to not understand this to take some moral high-ground.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by mickael-kerjean on Thursday May 11, 2023 @07:59PM (#35910054)
> There is no free money. Why would there be free money?

When interest rate is below inflation, we do have free money, it's just not for everyone.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by Seb-C on Thursday May 11, 2023 @09:42PM (#35910863)
When the "victim" was planning to grab free money at the expanse of the next guy in the ponzi scheme, I think it's fair enough to blame them.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @10:24PM (#35911176)
I didn’t know it was a Ponzi scheme. I thought they were using GUSD as collateral for high-interest loans.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by unmole on Friday May 12, 2023 @06:05AM (#35914123)
> The failure here isn't of the individuals

Nope, the failure is of the individuals. Sure, regulators deserve some of the blame but nobody forced the individuals to put their money into such ridiculous schemes.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by spacemadness on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:32PM (#35909239)
They know this. Why are you trying to make them feel worse? I really don’t like the culture around finance issues where everyone is treated like an irredeamable fool.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:41PM (#35909328)
It’s better to treat people like the redeemable fools we are.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by __loam on Thursday May 11, 2023 @07:13PM (#35909604)
Sure, but fraud is illegal lol. They're the victim of criminal activity at their expense.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @10:44PM (#35911302)
That’s the redeemable fool part. I was a fool to fall for this obvious fraud. I am redeemed by now being less of a fool.

But it doesn’t change the fact that I was once a fool.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by fshbbdssbbgdd on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:27PM (#35907938)
There were people in the comments here 11 months ago who thought the same thing: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31434052
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:36PM (#35908044)
You know, it's very possible that I read this exact thread when it was fresh. I should have listened to you!
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by ww520 on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:04PM (#35908376)
10 months ago when Voyager blew up, I've pleaded people not to believe the FDIC status these crypto firms were claiming [1]. The misrepresentation by these firms was straight fraud.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31954115

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tornato7 on Thursday May 11, 2023 @09:55PM (#35910932)
GUSD holders never lost a cent. Only people who deposited their GUSD in Gemini Earn, where they made it clear it was a loan to Genesis, have their money encumbered.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by JumpCrisscross on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:33PM (#35907271)
> I’m really amazed you thought that 7% yield from savings at a time of 0% interest rates was anything other than a fabrication

Necessarily risky. Not necessarily fabrication. Between those two there is room for both productive gains and delusional optimism.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by mrguyorama on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:39PM (#35907364)
Risk to return is non-linear, and at a system with a floor of 0%, 7% is an insane claim. Granted, this requires a reasonable amount of financial literacy, and plenty of people think they have that but don't.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by maccard on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:50PM (#35907528)
> at a system with a floor of 0%,

There's not a floor of 0%. Negative returns exist.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by TheOtherHobbes on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:34PM (#35908022)
But are rarely promoted as an investor benefit.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by TuringNYC on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:33PM (#35907277)
>> I’m sorry for your loss but I’m really amazed you thought that 7% yield from savings at a time of 0% interest rates was anything other than a fabrication.

The guy (SBF) was hanging out with and appeared to be anointed by Gensler and crew https://www.sec.gov/about/commissioners/gary-gensler. How much due diligence does one expect common citizens to perform?

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by mrguyorama on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:38PM (#35907352)
Why do you think that made the financials viable?
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by TuringNYC on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:44PM (#35907425)
>> Why do you think that made the financials viable?

Even a person with a finance background such as myself cannot realistically state what yield is "viable", especially without history.

Commercial Real Estate is paying 8.5% preferred these days...is that viable? Not sure, but I can look at history across rate environments.

Crypto has no history so I think a lot of people were going on trust of the players. Many investments are about trusting the managers.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:51PM (#35907534)
These investments were comparable to money market funds. There’s no way passive cash is viable at those returns.

If Commercial Real Estate is paying 8.5% and someone starts offering “Crypto Commercial Real Estate” as a competing product for those same fundamentals but offers 400% return, would you still be unable to assess its viability?

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by TuringNYC on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:05PM (#35907690)
>> These investments were comparable to money market funds. There’s no way passive cash is viable at those returns.

Totally agree. But why would you compare crypto high yield accounts to MM funds, rather than, say, CLOs or CLO funds, or structured notes (https://pprcapitalmgmt.com/invest-in-a-real-estate-fund/) or factored receiveables funds

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by __loam on Thursday May 11, 2023 @07:24PM (#35909716)
Not sure how strong the commercial real estate argument is rn lol
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by jfghi on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:32PM (#35907265)
Marketing and media went to great efforts to make ftx seem legitimate and that a 7% return is possible for such a “successful” and “innovative” organization.

Side note: I didn’t believe those efforts.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by it_citizen on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:32PM (#35907260)
Being a true passive investor is much harder than most people think. We are flooded with stories of "amazing opportunities" and "systemic risks".
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by toomuchtodo on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:37PM (#35907337)
Financial literacy is hard because you don't know what you don't know and people are not all that autodidacticy. Reddit r/personalfinance built a flow chart to help people [1] [2]. With that said, once you have found canonical resources [3] [4], it becomes much easier to be educated on how to passively invest.

[1] https://old.reddit.com/r/personalfinance/wiki/commontopics

[2] https://i.imgur.com/lSoUQr2.png

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Index_Card

[4] https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by andrepd on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:42PM (#35907400)
Yeah, if it hadn't imploded or he managed to exit before it did, I'm sure he would have enjoyed the money. Well it didn't go so well, tough luck for what was essentially a gamble.

I still feel bad but only in the measure that poor economic literacy contributes to people falling for these scams. That and old-fashioned greed :)

7% risk-free savings with negative interest rates... Come on.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by tombert on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:48PM (#35907492)
I mentioned this in a sister comment, but in a bit of fairness to me, Gemini was claiming some degree of FDIC insurance on GUSD coins. I definitely should have read the fine print more thoroughly.

Clearly I'm not the only one who was suckered by some of this verbiage though: https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-7

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by nashashmi on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:48PM (#35907486)
I’m not sure what the terms of the deal were. but I am sure if the payment for the 7% interest was to be made in the same coin and loans were to also be made at the same rate if not higher, then all of those coins would appreciate in value. what causes inflation and therefore depreciation is printing too much money. What causes appreciation for a coin is scarcity that can be created by interest rates, especially super high ones. When not enough coins are being minted And interest is accumulating Then it creates a deficiency in supply.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by nradov on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:57PM (#35908292)
It's sort of bizarre to talk about "inflation" for an asset where the actual value was always zero.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by smileysteve on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:52PM (#35907545)
Anecdotal, but btcJam was one of the first to the market of paying interest, and could offer 8% with significant reputation recourse.

Btcjam were making the market between miners buying more equipment and capital much earlier.

Eth staking was also in the plan this same time as FTX

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:30PM (#35907981)
Yup, i remember, I gave 3 loans of a few BTC there to three "AAA+++" borrowers, only one repaid the loan, partially :) Their "arbitration" decided in my favor, the catch was I needed to go find the debtors (with a fake Brazilian identity) myself :)
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by smileysteve on Saturday May 13, 2023 @08:48PM (#35934300)
I did an number with the same borrower that paid every time
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK on Sunday May 14, 2023 @04:50AM (#35936457)
He was in "reputation accumulation" phase.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by geph2021 on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:53PM (#35907558)

   I’m really amazed you thought that 7% yield from savings at a time of 0% interest rates was anything other than a fabrication
On the one hand, I agree with this: where was the 7% coming from?! There's a basic level of skepticism that should have raised alarm bells for the "average" person.

On the other hand, this was an epic level of fraud. As an example, I was making ~8-10% off of peer-to-peer lending when rates were very low, done via very (seemingly) reputable lending platforms. Imagining if a SBF-level scammer was running one of these, and I very much feel for those that put trust in an overall system that generally doesn't have this scale of fraud.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by ska on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:13PM (#35908470)
There doesn't even have to be a scammer involved. (Although is also clearly true that the entire ecosystem is a magnet for scammers)

Any of these schemes had to involve a much higher risk than conventional investing. You can wave your hands as much as you want, but that doesn't hide the fact that there was (and still is) systemic risk that was by a) nature incredibly difficult to quantify and b) probably pretty high, given the returns. There is no free lunch.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by Canada on Thursday May 11, 2023 @03:57PM (#35907611)
It was possible in a market neutral way in crypto and without much risk for a while.

You could provide liquidity for stablecoin swaps, collect the shitcoin rewards and regularly dump them. Withdraw at anytime.

Of course, in that scenario you had good control and the counterparty can't rug you because you could verify what was going on. There was some technical risk, but it never actually occurred.

It was because interest rates were zero, largely, that this was possible.

The mistake here was giving the assets to another party who can do whatever they like and where you can't see directly what they were doing.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by nradov on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:54PM (#35908246)
Just because people got lucky for a while doesn't mean that risk was actually ever low. The reality is that risk on those trades was always extremely high, but it wasn't apparent through traditional risk metrics such as volatility or credit ratings. And there are more risks to worry about than just market risk and counterparty risk.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by ska on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:18PM (#35908514)
>without much risk for a while.

> There was some technical risk, but

These statements are a bit at odds. "But it never actually occurred" is a statement of chance, not risk. I also suspect you are downplaying significant systemic risk. "Withdraw at anytime" could go away quite easily in several scenarios.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:24PM (#35907896)
Wait, I have a few CDs that are "FDIC insured", according to Fidelity, offered by banks I absolutely don't know. In fact, that's the reason I choose them over Treasuries, which are not FDIC insured. Is my money safe or could it be a fraud like FTX? I learned to trust Fidelity over the years, maybe now is the time to be less complacent.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by ChainOfFools on Thursday May 11, 2023 @05:25PM (#35908577)
FTX is really no separate phenomenon than the underlying crypto industry itself.

The entire space rests on the metrics generated at the whim of perhaps a hundred or two extremely (crypto-)influential individuals who are all affiliated with one another and whose incentives and behaviors are highly correlated even when that affiliation is weak or antagonistic. I'm referring here to the large established miners, both public and dark (i.e. bot farm based, corrupting gov. officials, etc.) As well as the pools that they pretend not to control, and to a lesser extent the operators of the larger exchanges - although they are not nearly as free to move in recent years as the miners still are. It's no accident in miners are extremely publicity shy.

This group, which behaves like a cartel so it's reasonable to reason about it as one, self-generates nearly every metric used to determine the size and depth of the entire industry. The fees and other costs to create fraudulent statistics would be impossible for anyone who is not a miner to swallow, but if you're mining at scale there is an enormous discount - because an inverse scale fraction of those fees are paid to yourselves.

Transaction volume, price, number of nodes, number of accounts, velocity of funds, everything that is used to construct a picture of the real human interest in this market via the lens of virtual numbers that describe it is completely under the control of a few people. Although some of them are more regulated today than they were in the past, for a good part of a decade there was effectively no oversight into how any of these operations worked, and they were free to openly front run the market, buy electricity at substantially corruption-reduced cost or just outright steal it- and again in the early days this paid off extraordinarily well because early large block rewards could be sat on and held until they bubble-appreciate several thousand of percent above acquisition cost.

when you're paying reduced (or nearly zero) cost for your production infrastructure you don't need to sell all of your product right away, and you thereby accumulate a future war chest to create a market 'bottom' anytime liquidity gets a little bit too loose for your liking: simply slow-roll selling new block rewards and voila, price stabilizes. Your carefully managed low public profile lets the media and public fill in their own self-serving explanation, which is that the public must be crazy about this stuff it cant stop buying it.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by prepend on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:51PM (#35909406)
You can check those banks to confirm they are fdic insured.

Although it’s a lot easier to trust a boring and stable company like Fidelity that’s not offering snake oil.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by zamnos on Friday May 12, 2023 @09:29AM (#35915963)
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by randerson on Thursday May 11, 2023 @08:29PM (#35910308)
Treasuries aren't FDIC insured, but they're considered the safest asset on earth because they're backed by the government. At least historically. Who knows if that will continue to be the case next month.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK on Friday May 12, 2023 @03:48PM (#35921360)
>> next month

Exactly)

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by jesuspiece on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:42PM (#35908094)
> What was your thought process in putting funds here? hope. desperation.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by robbywashere_ on Thursday May 11, 2023 @04:59PM (#35908310)
What’s crazy is if this was so blatantly obvious too good to be true… why didn’t the SEC stop it ?
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by avar on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:39PM (#35909304)
There isn't any prima facie problem with paying an extremely high interest rate.

I'm sure you can find double digit interest rates for say bonds that represent payday loans, but you should expect the bondholders to default at a correspondingly high rate.

But investors should be aware that higher rates imply higher risks.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by robbywashere_ on Friday May 12, 2023 @04:15PM (#35921740)
If such responsibility is laid on investors why is the SEC the SEC. This was a case of Bernie Madoff level fraud, all the while Gary was interacting with SBF - there are receipts. meanwhile the SEC was chasing celebrity crypto endorsements. Something stinks. Why is there such discriminatory enforcement of these markets. The SEC imo is either glaringly incompetent or a blazingly corrupt government organization.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by SoftTalker on Thursday May 11, 2023 @06:26PM (#35909172)
Some of the smartest SV people fell for his con. Big names we all know. Anyone can be conned.
Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by SilasX on Thursday May 11, 2023 @07:45PM (#35909915)
(Replying in the context of Genesis/Gemini since that's what the parent comment was about, not FTX.)

>I’m sorry for your loss but I’m really amazed you thought that 7% yield from savings at a time of 0% interest rates was anything other than a fabrication.

I'm amazed that this is itself amazing. The 7% was over a time when US inflation peaked at ~9%. It doesn't seem right to say, of a yield that doesn't compensate for inflation, that it's is so ridiculously high that only the most self-deluded investor it was achievable.

Furthermore, the collapse didn't happen while those sky-high rates were being promised. As of November 1st 2022, rates had been cut to 5.6%, and then, that was only for the Gemini dollar (which Gemini issued and was willing to use as a loss leader). By then, other stablecoins were lower, like DAI at 4.9% [1], similar to the rate that overcollateralized platforms like Compound were charging to borrow it.

(Disclaimer: I used Gemini Earn, but was able to remove all assets before suspension of withdrawals and hat not put anything in that I would need urgently.)

[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20221027002940/https://www.gemin... -- note, that's from Oct 27, before the final GUSD drop.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by TeMPOraL on Friday May 12, 2023 @02:53AM (#35912860)
> I’m really amazed you thought that 7% yield from savings at a time of 0% interest rates was anything other than a fabrication.

Did something substantial changed on the market recently? Because right now I can literally get a risk-free 7% time-limited savings deposit from my bank (Santander), which HN tells me is completely legit, all while banks in most other countries in the EU are stuck at offering 0.01% or even negative interest rates. What gives?

I've long given up on trying to make any sense out of it.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by madsbuch on Friday May 12, 2023 @02:57AM (#35912884)
> Did something substantial changed on the market recently?

Yes. The FED has increased to interest rates. So the marked can support that now.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by lightfield1002 on Friday May 12, 2023 @04:12AM (#35913395)
The FEDs rate was close to 0% early 2022 and is now above 5%.

Yes, something very substantial has changed.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by sofixa on Friday May 12, 2023 @06:22AM (#35914255)
It's quite easy really. The FED has done stuff which doesn't impact you directly, really.

However what the ECB(European Central Bank, steward of the euro) and the NBP (Narodowy Bank Polski) have done, impacts you much more directly.

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/ke...

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.mp2305....

And of course, most relevant, Polish Central Bank: https://nbp.pl/en/monetary-policy/mpc-decisions/interest-rat...

The 7% interest rate you get in Poland is based on the one set by the central bank. Note that it is only like this since end of 2022, before that the rate was probably hovering around zero, like the ECB.

Re:IRS Files $44B Claims Against Bankrupt FTX by alexnewman on Friday May 12, 2023 @08:07AM (#35915001)
wit 0% rates at the time, you can consider 7% as a risk asset, and not a big issue if the portfolio is diversified.