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Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by NickC25 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:31PM (#33550042)
What I don't get is why some of these guys just cash out when they're near the top.

Guy was 29 and had some 5 or 6 billion dollars to his name (supposedly). Leave the trading firm to a few folks, keep a bit of equity to enjoy the continued success, and that's it! Just walk away, call it a day and enjoy your life. Same could be said for Zuck - except he had like 25 or 30 billion (not adjusted for inflation) at the same age. I just don't understand it.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by tempsy on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:37PM (#33550138)
His reported net worth was equity in his business.

The idea of "cashing out" the entirety of your equity in a VC backed co as a founder is not exactly an option unless you're acquired.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by NickC25 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:57PM (#33550458)
I get that - but my hunch is that if VC firms were able to invest the amount that they did, he probably had the ability to sell more of his stake in the company if he wanted to.

Granted, with what we know now, that does fit the definition of securities fraud.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by tempsy on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:00PM (#33550517)
if you’re lucky you can do small secondaries

but there’s no cashing out, quitting, and walking away to a beach somewhere after raising billions of dollars…it’s just not an option

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by adrr on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:29PM (#33550939)
They paid the WeWork founder $1.7B to step down.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adam_Neumann

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by bluedevil2k on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:36PM (#33551043)
We’re all missing the big gotcha here - if he tried to sell out, the buyer would have done some DD and found the fraud as quick as Binance did. Best to keep quiet about your crimes.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonporridge on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:40PM (#33550200)
Why did Yvon Chouinard not actually give his company Patagonia to charity, but instead gave it to a non profit foundation that he and his family still totally control?

Up to a certain point, more money doesn't make your life materially better.

At that point, the game becomes entirely about power and influence.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by caminante on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:46PM (#33550292)
I debated the Patagonia altruist marketing play with friends.

The consensus was that if you were the kids, you'd much rather have the post-tax cash in your bank account. :-)

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonporridge on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:13PM (#33550715)
You and your friends are likely broke in comparison to the Chouinards.

It seems incredibly presumptuous to assume you know how the minds of children of billionaires work and what they aspire to have.

This calls to mind a scene in the series "Succession" that I can't find now. The father and owner of the company is considering selling the company and cashing out, and his children, who have all been fighting for years to become his key successor, are up in arms about it, despite the fact that they would all become cash billionaires due to the shares in the company they already own. The gist is that having billions in cash effectively makes you a nobody compared to the person actually running a multi billion dollar company. As the leaders of a global media company, you're somebody important, compared to just some schmuck with a billion dollars. Then again, these characters are all have deep insecurity living in the shadow of their father, and he plays them all like a fiddle to keep them fighting each other for his approval.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by solveit on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:19PM (#33550789)
"You don't understand billionaires because you're not a billionaire. I, on the other hand, watched a satirical TV show, so naturally I have a deep understanding of how the minds of billionaire heirs work."
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonporridge on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:24PM (#33550869)
Lol. Totally fair comeback. I respect that.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by caminante on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:42PM (#33551135)
The parent even contradicted himself.

> Up to a certain point, more money doesn't make your life materially better.

> It seems incredibly presumptuous to assume you know how the minds of children of billionaires work and what they aspire to have.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonporridge on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:53PM (#33551293)
Not a contradiction. I've personally reached a point in my life where more money isn't making my life better, so I'm prioritizing other goals.

Then again, I'm far from a billionaire, so perhaps there exists a valley of money disillusionment that I'm currently in, and more money starts getting desirable again further up the wealth ladder.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by caminante on Thursday November 10, 2022 @02:20PM (#33551635)
> Not a contradiction.

Apparently, you misspoke because you're now limiting your view on the value of marginal dollars to your view (v. a general truth above).

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by NickC25 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @02:19PM (#33551611)
If I could just be "some schmuck with a billion dollars" I'd be as happy as I could imagine it's possible to be. Not everyone wants the limelight, and if you can have that level of money and not be important...well, that's a position I'd kill to be in.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by based69 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:55PM (#33550424)
Whats more likely to result in your kids being upstanding members of society? 300 million cash in a bank account, or a job and board seat at a billion dollar charity for eternity and $20 million?
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by caminante on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:31PM (#33550979)
> 300 million cash in a bank account, or a job and board seat at a billion dollar charity for eternity and $20 million?

And what is the PV of that board seat at the family controlled charity/business that wasn't affected by an inheritance tax?

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by vasco on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:09PM (#33550648)
You do realise he could've just not done anything if that was the point? Why go through all the trouble if he could've just kept the company?

Some people will find problems with everything, what a depressing comment. I guess he also runs it as a B-Corp and wrote a book promoting the concept because he wants more power, there's no way he actually wants the employees to have more balanced lives and to put less impact on the planet, it's just a ploy to get more power.

You're the type of person that hears a friend donated money to charity and mutters to themselves that they just did it for attention and recognition.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonporridge on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:19PM (#33550792)
> Why go through all the trouble if he could've just kept the company?

Because Chouinard is 83 and getting close to his inevitable death, which would have triggered a tax bill for his heirs on the order of $700 million. Because the family likely doesn't have $700 million in cash to pay that tax bill, they would almost certainly be forced to sell off a large portion of their equity in the company, thus losing control to outsiders who many not be fully aligned with the family's interests.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-15/patagonia...

The scheme he just executed allows them to pay only $30 million in tax, and the family will be able to keep control for generations to come without ever triggering an estate tax as each member dies.

By the way, it's not just Chouinard. The Christian founder of Hobby Lobby just pulled the exact same move but "donating his company to God". https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2022/10/27/hob...

It's a marketing, tax avoidance, and power consolidation play. Nothing more.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by vasco on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:31PM (#33550971)
The family's interests are keeping the values of the company. They are not cashing out as you say, so what power play is this? The fact that the company will keep operating with the environment and the well being of its employees in mind instead of becoming another puppet to private equity?

If this was some oil company pumping out dividends or whatever I'd understand, but your problem is with Patagonia of all things?

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by ryeights on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:45PM (#33551170)
And what is the problem with this, if the family's interests align with "protecting the environment and furthering charitable causes" rather than outside shareholders' usual interests of "make me money at all costs"?

Not to mention that the reason the family is receiving said tax break is because the firm's income will no longer flow through them. Giving up the future profits of the firm in perpetuity is surely more expensive than paying a one-time tax bill.

It is symptomatic of our society that people find it impossible to believe that there is even one wealthy man on the planet whose goals and actions aren't entirely self-centered.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonporridge on Thursday November 10, 2022 @02:05PM (#33551434)
What's the problem with a royal family that monopolizes political power and passes it down through their bloodline? Why is representative democracy and the peaceful transfer of power a better system?

Western civilization at least is currently of the opinion that heritable political power is net bad, even if there are plenty of examples of it being good. I suspect the primary reason for this is that competence, context, and experience aren't easy to pass on to your children, and most of the things that make an individual worthy of wielding tremendous power get lost and corrupted after only 2-3 generations.

Most of us can agree now that Chouinard is probably doing net good for Earth's biosphere. Why do you think that will continue to be the case when his grandchildren and great-grandchildren are in charge? Even if they still have the same surface level values, how do you know that they won't be so under educated and incompetent that they won't make counter productive and even destructive decisions with the unearned power they have?

I have zero problem with competent and successful individuals who become absurdly wealthy and powerful.

I have many problems with these individuals then attempting to pass on their extreme wealth and power to their offspring who almost certainly aren't strong enough to wield it.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by vasco on Thursday November 10, 2022 @02:13PM (#33551537)
It's way better for those individuals to force sell to Private Equity, largely ran by the existing elites, that most likely don't have sustainability as a first order goal - immediately, because you're afraid the grandchildren of the founder might do that later?

You raise excellent points about perpetuating lineages and yet your proposal would immediately put a large portion of patagonia in the hands of the very people you propose to want to keep power away from.

If we get another nike or adidas in 2 generations instead of as soon as the guy dies, that's still a way better outcome.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by jdeibele on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:21PM (#33550823)
It took me years to realize that there are people who will criticize anything you do.

Donate nothing? You're selfish. Donated money? You didn't donate enough. Donate a lot of money? As you say, people will say it was just for the attention.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by msie on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:21PM (#33550825)
There is the possibility that the charity would run the company into the ground.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by jt2190 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:47PM (#33551207)
Having a company that is a hybrid of a designer/manufacturer and a charity makes for a confusing corporate mission. Better to let the company focus operating profitably and let the charity focus on evaluating grant applications and funding projects.

The trust is there to oversee the company (as its major shareholder) and to make sure that it is held accountable. They in in turn fund the charity and hold them accountable as well.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by skulk on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:37PM (#33550141)
Why don't you quit your (assumed comfy US tech) job and go retire in a low cost-of-living area? I know that it's not the same thing, but the answer might be similar.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by geraldcombs on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:41PM (#33550207)
I think you just answered the question yourself. There's a big difference between being able to retire to a low cost of living area and being able to retire to an any cost of living area.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by NickC25 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:44PM (#33550256)
I don't have a comfy US tech job, and never have, but I would love to. Closest I got was doing PM work for a startup in which I had significant equity (but ended up failing). Funny enough, YC doesn't even let me attend their job webinars!

Truth is though - if I could ever achieve a payout of a few million or more, I'd call it a day, right on the fucking spot. Invest in long stocks and dividend stocks, and go live in a small home near a cold weather city. I grew up around billionaires, and they scare the shit out of me...no intention of becoming one.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by NotYourLawyer on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:35PM (#33550110)
Poor man wants to be rich. Rich man wants to be king.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by nostromo on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:40PM (#33550206)
I think it’s selection bias, because plenty of folks do cash out early.

If Zuck had taken Yahoo’s offer to buy Facebook for $1B, neither you nor I would be talking about Facebook or Zuck at all right now.

The only people that get to these insane levels of wealth are people who repeatedly let their bets ride, perhaps due to innately low risk aversion.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by misiti3780 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:54PM (#33550404)
if 330M people flip a coin 20 times in a row, someone will get close to 20 heads. that person might have been zuck. how much is talent and how much is luck, no one will even know.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by SXX on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:08PM (#33550635)
There is something that we do know though. Those who dont flip coin at all will never get close to 20 heads. Ever.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by MarcelOlsz on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:12PM (#33550693)
Why would I even want to flip a coin? I already have a bag full of pennies.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by misiti3780 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @04:34PM (#33553735)
If you have an account in HN, something tells me you have flipped some coins.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by MarcelOlsz on Thursday November 10, 2022 @11:24PM (#33557296)
And I lost every time.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by misiti3780 on Friday November 11, 2022 @08:47AM (#33560742)
Keep flipping! you will eventually regress back to the mean.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by MarcelOlsz on Tuesday November 15, 2022 @06:09PM (#33616509)
I rather focus on studying languages and instruments. Sacrificed too much time chasing money. Don't have the brain for it.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by lostmsu on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:05PM (#33550580)
> someone

About 314 people to be precise.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by 0003 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:11PM (#33550660)
29 times then
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by RC_ITR on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:07PM (#33552429)
>if 330M people flip a coin 20 times in a row, someone will get close to 20 heads.

And then they will go on CNBC and talk about the journey that got them to where they are today.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by misiti3780 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @04:34PM (#33553737)
always.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by matthewmacleod on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:55PM (#33550425)
If Zuck had taken Yahoo’s offer to buy Facebook for $1B, neither you nor I would be talking about Facebook or Zuck at all right now.

I think that's kind of the point – I can't imagine myself being offered the choice of "enough money to do whatever you want forever" or "enough money to do whatever you want forever but also constant public attention" and choosing the latter.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by factsarelolz on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:58PM (#33550475)
The US government would not allow the sale of LifeLog

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/DARPA_LifeLog

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by thakoppno on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:08PM (#33552448)
Yahoo cofounders themselves walk around today with enough money forever and without public attention.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by factsarelolz on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:57PM (#33550464)
> If Zuck had taken Yahoo’s offer to buy Facebook for $1B

The US government will never allow Zuck to sell LifeLog

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/DARPA_LifeLog

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by coldtea on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:03PM (#33550567)
Regardless of the LifeLog tie exists or not, why not? It's all the same to them if Yahoo! had it, or anybody else still "patriotic" enough
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by factsarelolz on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:07PM (#33550609)
Kindly look into Yahoo's board and large investors at the time. Your answer should be apparent. This isn't about Patriotism, and I'm not sure I understand the scare quotes. It would be just as much about Patriotism as the Patriot Act
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by berberous on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:07PM (#33550610)
Forget innately low risk aversion, Sam has autistically low levels of risk aversion:

https://twitter.com/sammykoppelman/status/159047684524111462...

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by kerblang on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:15PM (#33550726)
That's not autism at work, whether he is autistic or not.

If anything, this study would predict greater risk aversion: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29846850/#:~:text=This%20stu....

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by bagels on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:25PM (#33550884)
I think about Tom from myspace all the time. He's not a billionaire, but he cashed out for tens of millions and is living the best life.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonporridge on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:29PM (#33550947)
MySpace Tom is on Twitter btw, https://twitter.com/myspacetom
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by madmax108 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:44PM (#33553039)
He also had this zinger of a conversation on Twitter (quite relevant to the thread) a few years back: https://imgur.com/hLV4k :D
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by imartin2k on Friday November 11, 2022 @01:08AM (#33557794)
I don’t think about him all the time but it’s wisdom! Some people just seem to intuitively be better at understanding the mechanisms of the hedonist treadmill than others. I’d claim that all the tech billionaires we know of must be rather bad at it. Otherwise they had followed Tom’s example.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by ren_engineer on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:36PM (#33550127)
dude was running a Ponzi scheme in this case, there was no walking away. There were like 3 people internally who knew about all this stuff behind the scenes. It was a full time job keeping everything hidden for this long
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by the-printer on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:07PM (#33550619)
This is it in a nutshell. Maybe when a criminal enterprise is more “white-collar” than the usual, the truth behind the concept of being “in too deep” is overlooked.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by alangibson on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:42PM (#33550229)
The qualities that get them to that point are the same qualities that make it impossible for them to stop.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by jjulius on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:32PM (#33550066)
Greed, power, narcissism, the list goes on. Not attributing any one of those specifically to any individual, but yeah.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by herodoturtle on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:33PM (#33550082)
Or ambition.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by the-printer on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:05PM (#33550583)
Which is often synonymous with “Greed, power, narcism” when billions of dollars are at play.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by pfortuny on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:37PM (#33550136)
The will to power. It is a much stronger force than one reckons usually. And it is very difficult to be conscious of it in oneself.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by myth_drannon on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:41PM (#33550210)
Bernie Madoff also didn't quit at the peak.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by pastor_bob on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:42PM (#33550228)
Many people cash out at stages before this and don't make it to his level. You don't hear about them because they cashed out. Above a certain number, it's really irrelevant. The drive (or greed, etc) keeps them going.

Not to mention, money makes your influence increase, and the idea you can start influencing things like politics on a national scale becomes very enticing.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by CPLX on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:37PM (#33550140)
You can’t walk away from a fraudulent balance sheet.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by TuringNYC on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:45PM (#33550259)
>> What I don't get is why some of these guys just cash out when they're near the top.

Because you dont know where the "top" is. One could argue the top was 1M. 5M. 100M. 1B.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by NickC25 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:06PM (#33550597)
Right - I get that, and you make a fair (and valid!) point. Nobody knows where the top is. It's all hypothetical.

But my point is that when you're seeing hypergrowth in your company, you probably have an idea of what it's worth or what level you're happy walking away at. Example: I currently run a small side-hustle culinary business while I look for a full-time tech gig. It doesn't make me much money but I enjoy doing it and it helps put food on the table. If someone came up and offered me a million dollars to walk away, I'd take it without blinking.

If Yahoo offered Zuck 10 billion way back when instead of 1 billion, I have a feeling he would have walked away, too.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by shuckles on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:46PM (#33550280)
Did you read the article? He didn't cash out for the same reason he left a job with guaranteed wealth at Jane Street: he doesn't think he has the same diminishing marginal utility for money that you do.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by vagab0nd on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:49PM (#33550332)
When I think about it rationally, the answers are pretty obvious to me. Either he wanted something other than money (winning, fame, etc.), or he was addicted and wanted more money.

I don't have billions of dollars, but if I was put in that position, I could imagine myself doing the same, maybe. (not the fraud part, but continue working)

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by jonas21 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:55PM (#33550418)
> call it a day and enjoy your life

Presumably, they're already doing the thing they enjoy most in life, and cashing out and lying around on a beach or whatever would be extremely disappointing.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by skrebbel on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:55PM (#33550422)
I don’t know about SBF, who to my limited understanding is just a run of the mill crypto scammer so should’ve gotten out while he was ahead, but with Zuck I’m pretty sure that it’s simply not only about the money for him, but also about making cool stuff and having an impact.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by HFguy on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:58PM (#33550481)
My view, having watched some super wealthy guys up close, is the formula to make a lot of money in one life time is: (1) Be skillful at whatever you do + (2) Take a lot of risk

Keep in mind there is a survivorship bias at work.

So the really rich guys, they usually do have considerable skill and ability. But they also have taken big risk after big risk and it has, more or less, always paid off for them.

It is all they know...the coin flips going their way. So they are some combo of they are pre-wired to take big risks and/or have been conditioned by experience that the risks just always pay off for them.

So they will just keep taking big risks time after time. There is no "take the money off the table".

The question I always have is it more (A) pre-wired or (B) Good luck has conditioned them over and over. Don't know.

As you point out, you see not just SBF doing this, but Zuck and Elon and the list goes on...

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by tsimionescu on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:52PM (#33551278)
You forgot the most successful strategy for making enormous amounts of money in one life: start with enormous amounts of money, and don't be entirely completely idiotically incompetent. Making a billion dollars is a lot easier if you can start with mommy's billion, or even her hundred million.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by robocat on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:33PM (#33552871)
Everything I have seen shows the strategy is “start with connections”.

The money is less important (multiple bankruptee becomes prez, Gates used IBM connections, Elizabeth Holmes got investors through family connections, yada yada yada).

There are lots of billionaires that started from upper-middle-class wealth. And other examples of children given huge money that blow it all.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by nullc on Thursday November 10, 2022 @12:59PM (#33550487)
> (supposedly)

Key word.

But not it looks like most of that wealth was fictional-- just marking up highly illiquid premined shitcoins.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by donsupreme on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:00PM (#33550505)
$20B with asset. How much of that asset he holds that he can cash out without systemic correction, maybe $1B? Especially with a lot of his worth tied to his own token FTT, which has paper thin liquidity.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by keewee7 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:01PM (#33550523)
He was born on the Stanford campus to parents who are Stanford professors. His personal criteria for success is probably something else than just becoming yet another rich tech guy.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by vkou on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:21PM (#33550820)
It was also certainly not becoming the Madoff of crypto.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by fshbbdssbbgdd on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:01PM (#33550529)
SBF wealth probably would have vaporized if he tried to sell.

In recent days there’s been evidence that a big portion of SBF’s net worth was tied up in coins SBF issued. To the extent that his companies possessed other assets, many of them were purchased with loans collateralized by SBF coin’s.

We just saw what happened when confidence in FTX was threatened. The whole thing came tumbling down. Selling out would likely have had the same outcome.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by readthenotes1 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:54PM (#33553198)
Well, what we saw was the guy stealing $8B to keep the plates spinning. Hope he goes to jail.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by escapecharacter on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:08PM (#33550636)
Maybe I’m in the wrong tax bracket but I’m fine walking away from anything once I have more than a billion dollars regardless of age.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by chrchang523 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:13PM (#33550702)
In SBF’s case, I think there was actually an academic failure: there was something very important that he should have been taught, but wasn’t.

https://mobile.twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/133725070407583334...

https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1299553547596431360

These are excellent topics for classroom discussion. What I believe should have followed is a stronger justification for using something like the Kelly criterion despite a personal near-linear utility function, on the basis that e.g. not going all the way down to zero asymmetrically preserves access to future investment opportunities, and similar grounds. I think plenty of people intuitively understand this.

But instead, nobody was able to explain to him why he couldn’t throw out the book on risk management, and he acted accordingly.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by robocat on Thursday November 10, 2022 @02:33PM (#33551838)
SBF discusses his objections to the assumptions for the Kelly Criterion here: https://twitter.com/sbf_ftx/status/1334310313710157829

  1) it's way too conservative for many people
  2) it contains strong assumptions about infinitely repeated identical bets that you can't have an adaptive strategy with, none of which describe the real world
  3) it's scale-invariant in a way that is inconsistent with its sublinearity
“Rationalisation” is a favourite word of mine, because it is so irrational. I try not to underestimate anyones capacity for self-deception (including my own). Sam surely deeply understood the Kelly Criterion, and risk management, yet he apparently kept doubling down, like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Petersburg_paradox

https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/sam-bankman-fried-spotlig... says:

  Here, SBF realized, was the rub: When he applied this principle to his own life, he came up short. There was little chance he’d get himself fired from Jane Street. Thus the decision to stick with Jane was a risk-averse preference. It was the logical equivalent of being offered a choice between $50 and 50 percent of $100, and saying, “Give me President Grant.” SBF was risk-neutral on behalf of Jane Street, but not, he realized, for his own life. To be fully rational about maximizing his income on behalf of the poor, he should apply his trading principles across the board. He had to find a risk-neutral career path—which, if we strip away the trader-jargon, actually means he felt he needed to take on a lot more risk in the hopes of becoming part of the global elite. The math couldn’t be clearer. Very high risk multiplied by dynastic wealth trumps low risk multiplied by mere rich-guy wealth. To do the most good for the world, SBF needed to find a path on which he’d be a coin toss away from going totally bust.
Although it is weird the author of the article uses an example of taking both bets, yet Sam throws away one bet (working for Jane Street).
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by chrchang523 on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:18PM (#33552640)
I’m actually not criticizing SBF here.

I am criticizing people, possibly including myself, who should have developed more realistic and convincing models clarifying why his behavior was increasingly suboptimal despite his near-linear personal utility function.

His behavior doesn’t really look like self-deception to me. It looks like blindness to poorly articulated limitations of a mathematical model he was taught and understands very well, and I suspect he wouldn’t have been so blind without the “poorly” above.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by hnfong on Saturday November 12, 2022 @12:34PM (#33575186)
As another poster mentions, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33550610 , he's aware of the St. Peterburg's paradox. There's no way a rational person can understand the paradox and continue to disregard Kelly's criterion.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by anonu on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:22PM (#33550843)
He needed Elon money. Elon questioned his wealth and SBF was looking to add a few zeros. Pure Greed.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by renewiltord on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:33PM (#33551006)
Because the guy who would quit there would quit earlier.
Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by ptero on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:38PM (#33551086)
I feel the same way. He probably could not have sold a large portion of it without trashing its value, but he surely could have sold a few hundred millions.

And, should the system later implode, he could have easily disassociated himself from this fiasco: "those things would not have happened if I were still running things; I lost a lot of billions; I am a victim of this fiasco, just like you are."

In politics, too, very few leaders manage to leave at the right time: while they are near the peak of success, which looks so much better later on...

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by bmitc on Thursday November 10, 2022 @01:44PM (#33551147)
I have always wondered the same. Others say it’s selection bias, but I think it’s more of the personality type of those that don’t cash out. I think there’s a lot of narcissism, ego, or maybe even just plain naivety involved.

If it was me, I would cash out and then do some combination of foundation/volunteering work, education, relaxing, and focusing on some of my actual passions.

Re:Sam Bankman-Fried Has a Savior Complex (September 2022) by Ebree on Tuesday November 15, 2022 @12:36PM (#33612367)
I believe that founder leaving created a big missing out fear in founder and lowers value of shares automatically. When get all from first business it becomes part of you and your identity. You start asking yourself if you are able to come back to the same point with a different idea, if you will make any good at different path and if you not miss out on ability to forever improve product "only you know best in world". Nobody wants to resign from position of best in the world at something & it highjacks you mentally.

The most based thing to do would be leaving company, cashing out and building a better alternative.

But nobody that crazy except few guys like Nodejs, Whatsup guys(if not mistaken), lately Jack. But sometimes it's forced by circumstances like founder(s) of vk & Telegram. And you have these serial pump and leave schemes builders as the guy who built Bitshares, Steen, EOS. It maybe shows that only keeping distance to own creation you keep ability to see it critically, notice flaws & point where you can't improve it without fundamentally redesigning it from scratch. People are servants of their goal, if they can't imagine better extension or replacement of the goal they get stuck because only alternative is not having a good goal & being lost. People are scared if being lost more that of death. Maybe both cases are somehow similar.